Intro Lecture Notes Ch09 Macroeconomics

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    EconomicsDr. Saue

    Lecture Chapter 9: Keeping Score

    I. Economic Fluctuations

    Economic activity is ____________________________.

    The Parts of a Business Cycle:

    The US economy has had mostly _________________ and ____________________.

    - troughs at positive growth

    It has had very ___________ contractions and recoveries.

    A _____________________ is 2 consecutive quarters of falling Real GDP.

    - contract for 2 quarters

    A _____________________ is a severe recession.

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    The Recent Recession:Part 1: Housing Bubble Burst

    Part 2: Financial Sector

    Part 3: Financial System Seizes UpPart 4: Recession Spreads Internationally

    Key Facts about Economic Fluctuations1. They are __________________________ and varied.

    - describing them after the fact is easy, predicting them is not

    2. Many macroeconomic variables fluctuate ___________________.

    - different amounts, different directions

    3. As output ___________, unemployment _________.

    4. Fluctuations occur in both the ________________ and long run.

    III. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

    An economy is measured by the ________________ of the goods and services it produces.

    Gross Domestic Product

    is the market valueof all final goods and services

    produced

    within a countrys borders

    in a given time.

    2010 GDP (source: IMF)

    Rank Country

    GDP (millions of

    USD)

    World 61,963,429

    European Union 16,106,896

    1 United States 14,624,184

    2 China 5,745,133

    3 Japan 5,390,897

    4 Germany 3,305,898

    5 France 2,555,439

    6 United Kingdom 2,258,5657 Italy 2,036,687

    8 Brazil 2,023,528

    9 Canada 1,563,664

    10 Russia 1,476,912

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    GDP has 4 components:_______________________ (C) = spending by households on goods and services

    _______________________(I) = spending by firms on capital equipment, inventories, and structures

    _______________________(G) = spending on goods and services by local, state, and federal

    government

    ______________________ (NX) = value of exportsvalue of imports

    There are 2 types of GDP: Real and NominalNominal GDP = the production of goods and services valued at ____________________.

    Real GDP = the production of goods and services valued at ______________________. (adjusted forinflation)

    GDP Growth (aka economic growth):

    _________________________________ is measured by the percent change in RGDP over a timeperiod. (inflation adjusted GDP)

    %RGDP = RGDP2RGDP1 x 100

    RGDP1

    Economic growth can be _____________.

    GDP is calculated _____________________ by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. www.bea.gov

    GDP is a decent measure of economic ___________________.Explain:

    GDP __________________ tells us more about economic well-being than GDP does.

    Using GDP as a measure of social progress has its __________________1. unpaid economic activity

    2. environmental issues

    3. value judgments

    4. leisure5. distribution of income

    III. Inflation

    Inflation is an increase in the overall ___________________.

    The inflation rate is the percent change in the price level.

    formula:

    Inflation Rate = Price Level 2Price Level 1 x 100

    Price Level 1

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    The ______________________________ is a way to measure the price level

    It measures changes in the overall cost of the goods and services that a _____________ household buys.

    Compiled ____________________ by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. www.bls.gov

    BLS has classified all expenditure items into more than 200 categories, arranged into eight major

    groups:

    Calculate the inflation rate for December 2010:

    Calculate the inflation rate from January 2000 to December 2010:

    43.4

    15.3

    15.7

    6.3

    6.4

    5.73.7 3.4

    Contents of the BasketHousing

    Transportation

    Food and

    BeveragesEducation andCommunicationMedical Care

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    Inflation is a ________________ occurrence in an economy.

    - some inflation is just fine

    - high inflation erodes purchasing power

    It is usually the job of the _______________________ to keep inflation under control.

    In general, if a countrys economic growth rate is faster than its inflation rate, then inflation ________

    very harmful.

    ________________________ is actually quite harmful to an economy.

    - consistently falling prices lead consumers to _______________ purchases- firms see a reduction in sales and cut back on production and employees

    - consumers fear job losses and so delay purchases

    - the _______________ is very hard to break

    IV. UnemploymentA person is _____________________________ if they are available to work and are actively seeking

    work, but cannot find a job.-just because a person doesnt have a job, doesnt mean they are unemployed

    Start with the entire population.

    Then ____________:children (

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    The unemployment rate is _______________________.

    Some unemployment is __________________ for an economy.

    - Even if a job exists and a person exits with matching skills, it takes time for the person to find

    the job and go through the hiring process. (_____________________ unemployment)

    - As an economy grows and changes, some jobs become obsolete and new industries are created.When a person loses a job due to a fundamental change in the structure of the economy, it takes

    time for them to get retrained for the new jobs. (___________________unemployment)

    The rate of unemployment that an economy normally experience is called the __________________ of

    unemployment.

    - different countries have different natural rates of unemployment

    - depends on the structure of the ______________________- minimum wage laws

    - hiring/firing laws- unemployment benefits

    When the economy goes into a recession and unemployment rises above the natural rate, that is the

    bad kind of unemployment. (_________________ unemployment).

    V. Government Policy

    _______________Policy is when the government taxes or spends money.

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    Explain the recent stimulus bill.Spending:

    Taxes:

    In reality, fiscal policy might ___________ be a good answer to a recession.

    Three requirements for successful fiscal policy:

    1.

    2.3.

    _____________________ policy refers to the actions undertaken by the Federal Reserve, specifically

    the raising and lowering of interest rates.

    __________________________________________________________________________________

    Summary:

    The economy fluctuates in the short and long run.

    GDP, Inflation, and Unemployment are three basic indicators of the health of the economy.