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7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch09 Macroeconomics
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EconomicsDr. Saue
Lecture Chapter 9: Keeping Score
I. Economic Fluctuations
Economic activity is ____________________________.
The Parts of a Business Cycle:
The US economy has had mostly _________________ and ____________________.
- troughs at positive growth
It has had very ___________ contractions and recoveries.
A _____________________ is 2 consecutive quarters of falling Real GDP.
- contract for 2 quarters
A _____________________ is a severe recession.
7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch09 Macroeconomics
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The Recent Recession:Part 1: Housing Bubble Burst
Part 2: Financial Sector
Part 3: Financial System Seizes UpPart 4: Recession Spreads Internationally
Key Facts about Economic Fluctuations1. They are __________________________ and varied.
- describing them after the fact is easy, predicting them is not
2. Many macroeconomic variables fluctuate ___________________.
- different amounts, different directions
3. As output ___________, unemployment _________.
4. Fluctuations occur in both the ________________ and long run.
III. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
An economy is measured by the ________________ of the goods and services it produces.
Gross Domestic Product
is the market valueof all final goods and services
produced
within a countrys borders
in a given time.
2010 GDP (source: IMF)
Rank Country
GDP (millions of
USD)
World 61,963,429
European Union 16,106,896
1 United States 14,624,184
2 China 5,745,133
3 Japan 5,390,897
4 Germany 3,305,898
5 France 2,555,439
6 United Kingdom 2,258,5657 Italy 2,036,687
8 Brazil 2,023,528
9 Canada 1,563,664
10 Russia 1,476,912
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GDP has 4 components:_______________________ (C) = spending by households on goods and services
_______________________(I) = spending by firms on capital equipment, inventories, and structures
_______________________(G) = spending on goods and services by local, state, and federal
government
______________________ (NX) = value of exportsvalue of imports
There are 2 types of GDP: Real and NominalNominal GDP = the production of goods and services valued at ____________________.
Real GDP = the production of goods and services valued at ______________________. (adjusted forinflation)
GDP Growth (aka economic growth):
_________________________________ is measured by the percent change in RGDP over a timeperiod. (inflation adjusted GDP)
%RGDP = RGDP2RGDP1 x 100
RGDP1
Economic growth can be _____________.
GDP is calculated _____________________ by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. www.bea.gov
GDP is a decent measure of economic ___________________.Explain:
GDP __________________ tells us more about economic well-being than GDP does.
Using GDP as a measure of social progress has its __________________1. unpaid economic activity
2. environmental issues
3. value judgments
4. leisure5. distribution of income
III. Inflation
Inflation is an increase in the overall ___________________.
The inflation rate is the percent change in the price level.
formula:
Inflation Rate = Price Level 2Price Level 1 x 100
Price Level 1
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The ______________________________ is a way to measure the price level
It measures changes in the overall cost of the goods and services that a _____________ household buys.
Compiled ____________________ by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. www.bls.gov
BLS has classified all expenditure items into more than 200 categories, arranged into eight major
groups:
Calculate the inflation rate for December 2010:
Calculate the inflation rate from January 2000 to December 2010:
43.4
15.3
15.7
6.3
6.4
5.73.7 3.4
Contents of the BasketHousing
Transportation
Food and
BeveragesEducation andCommunicationMedical Care
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Inflation is a ________________ occurrence in an economy.
- some inflation is just fine
- high inflation erodes purchasing power
It is usually the job of the _______________________ to keep inflation under control.
In general, if a countrys economic growth rate is faster than its inflation rate, then inflation ________
very harmful.
________________________ is actually quite harmful to an economy.
- consistently falling prices lead consumers to _______________ purchases- firms see a reduction in sales and cut back on production and employees
- consumers fear job losses and so delay purchases
- the _______________ is very hard to break
IV. UnemploymentA person is _____________________________ if they are available to work and are actively seeking
work, but cannot find a job.-just because a person doesnt have a job, doesnt mean they are unemployed
Start with the entire population.
Then ____________:children (
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The unemployment rate is _______________________.
Some unemployment is __________________ for an economy.
- Even if a job exists and a person exits with matching skills, it takes time for the person to find
the job and go through the hiring process. (_____________________ unemployment)
- As an economy grows and changes, some jobs become obsolete and new industries are created.When a person loses a job due to a fundamental change in the structure of the economy, it takes
time for them to get retrained for the new jobs. (___________________unemployment)
The rate of unemployment that an economy normally experience is called the __________________ of
unemployment.
- different countries have different natural rates of unemployment
- depends on the structure of the ______________________- minimum wage laws
- hiring/firing laws- unemployment benefits
When the economy goes into a recession and unemployment rises above the natural rate, that is the
bad kind of unemployment. (_________________ unemployment).
V. Government Policy
_______________Policy is when the government taxes or spends money.
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Explain the recent stimulus bill.Spending:
Taxes:
In reality, fiscal policy might ___________ be a good answer to a recession.
Three requirements for successful fiscal policy:
1.
2.3.
_____________________ policy refers to the actions undertaken by the Federal Reserve, specifically
the raising and lowering of interest rates.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Summary:
The economy fluctuates in the short and long run.
GDP, Inflation, and Unemployment are three basic indicators of the health of the economy.