Intro Lecture Notes Ch07 Finance

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch07 Finance

    1/5

    EconomicsDr. Saue

    Lecture Chapter 7: Financial Markets

    ____________________ is the field that studies how people make decisions regarding the handling of_______________and resource allocation ___________________.

    Financial instruments, like every other good or service in a market economy, must create some ______.

    Meaning:both the _________________ must perceive themselves to be ________________ by enteringinto the deal or they wouldnt choose to enter in to it.

    I. The 4 Basic Functions of Financial Instruments1. Raise Capital

    Examples of borrowing:

    2. Deal with Excess Capital- Store It- in bank, buy assets- not mattress why?

    - Protect It Against Inflation

    - Make Profitable Use of It

    3. Insure Against Risk

    - health/auto insurance

    - explain futures contracts

    - explain catastrophe bonds

    - explain mutual funds

    - explain credit default swaps

    4. SpeculateThe same financial instruments that are used to mitigate risk or to raise capital can also be used to betin the ____________________.

    Analogy: Financial products are to speculation what sporting events are to gambling.

  • 7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch07 Finance

    2/5

    When it comes to credit default swaps, parties other than those in the original contract can get involved.Explain.

    Brother-in-law:

    US financial crisis:

    II. Stocks and Bonds

    A. BondsA bond is a certificate of _________________________. IOU

    When a firm or government issues a bond, they are ____________________ money from anyone whobuys the bond.

    They are promising to pay you back a __________________ in the future.

    A bond has a date of ________________ and a rate of ____________________ associated with it.

    Suppose you buy a $1,000 bond that matures in 5 years and pays 6% interest.- Today, you give up _____________ and receive the ________________.- You will _______________ annual ______________ payments of 6% for the next 5 years.

    - At the end of the 5 years, you ______________________.

    Bonds can be sold atpar value (face value)a discounta premium

    Ex: US Savings bond This bond sold at _______________.

    What determines the price of a bond?

    _______________: length of time until the bond matures- ________________ maturity time _____________

    _______________: the probability that the borrower will fail to pay the interest or the principal

    _______________: some bonds have interest that is tax free

    B. StocksA stock is a claim of ___________________ ownership of a firm.

    - shareholderIf you buy a stock, you are ________________________ to get your money back.

    The price of a stock generally reflects the _____________________ of a firms future ______________.

  • 7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch07 Finance

    3/5

    What determines the price of a stock?1. ______________________________________ is the study of a companys accounting statementsand future prospects.

    It includes doing an economic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis.- P/E ratio (stock price / net income per share)- competitors- the market for its product

    - management- credit risk

    2. ______________________________________ is the theory that asset prices reflect all publiclyavailable information about the value of the asset.

    - equilibrium of supply and demand sets the price

    According to this theory, at the market price, the number of people wanting to ______ exactly equals thenumber wanting to _________.

    Any stock that you think is ____________ and about to increase in value, someone else thought it was

    ________________ and was willing to sell it.

    3. ____________________________Stock prices sometimes seem to be driven by psychological reasons.

    _________________________ is the tendency for individuals to copy the actions of a larger group, eventhough without the group the person may not choose to take the action on their own.

    - when the stock market is booming and everyone is investing, a person might decide it is agreat time to buy some stocks, too

    Herd mentality comes from two forces:

    - social pressure to _______________- the belief that such a _____________ cant be wrong

    Ex: If your friends and neighbors are investing and making money on a hot stock, youwant to join in. Additionally, your brain tells you that if so many people are doing it, itmust be safe.

    Many analysts point to the dot-com ______________________ as a recent example of theeffects of herd mentality in investing.- late 1990s, investors were pouring money into any company having to do with the internet- other investors saw all the money going into this industry and so they invested in it, too -

    because if others were willing to invest in it, it must be a good bet- many investors neglected to research their investments- many of the dot-com firms turned out to not have sound business plans- the economy began to slow and many of the dot-com firms still werent turning a profit, someinvestors began to sell the stock- chain reaction was triggered and even more people jumped on the stock selling bandwagon- the dot-com bubble had burst

  • 7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch07 Finance

    4/5

    Following a StockGoogle Finance 2/21/12

    Range: __________ high and low price

    52 Week: high and low price for the last 52 weeks

    Open: the price at the beginning of trading today

    Vol/Avg: Volume = number of shares traded todayAverage = average number of shares traded daily

    Mkt cap: Market Capitalization is a measure of the ___________________ of the companyMkt Cap= Total Shares Outstanding x Current Price

    P/E: Price-to-Earnings Ratio is the price of a share divided by _________________ earnings per share

    Div/Yield: a Dividend is the amount of money the firm will pay you (typ. each quarter) for each shareyou own. The Yield = dividend / price

    - ___________ all firms pay dividends

    EPS: Earnings Per Share is the amount of earnings per each outstanding share

    Shares: the number of shares outstanding

    Beta: A statistical _________________ of how closely the stocks performance matches the stockmarket in general. The higher the beta, the closer the stock matches the general market.

    Inst. Own: Institutional Ownership is percent of the shares that the firm owns

  • 7/31/2019 Intro Lecture Notes Ch07 Finance

    5/5

    III. Time Value of Money

    Intuitively we understand that an amount of money today is __________________ than the sameamount of money in the future.

    A. ______________________ is the amount of money that can result from an amount of money wehave today.

    Future Value = Present Value x (1 + r )n

    Ex: The average bride is 26 at her first wedding. The average US wedding costs $18,000.What if instead the bride invested the $18,000 in her retirement account, earning 4% interest over 40years?

    Future Value =

    The ________________ the interest rate, the _______________ the future value of your money savedtoday.

    The ________________ the time frame, the _______________ the future value of your money savedtoday.

    B. ___________________ is the amount of money one would need today to produce a given amount ofmoney in the future.

    Present Value = Future Value / (1 + r )n

    Ex. you want to have $1,000,000 in 25 years and the interest rate is 5%

    Present Value =

    Put this amount into an account earning 5% interest and youd have $1million in 25 years.

    The _________________ the interest rate, the ________________ the amount of money needed in thepresent to obtain a particular future amount.

    The ________________ the time frame, the _______________ the amount of money needed in thepresent to obtain a particular future amount.

    __________________________________________________________________________________Summary:Financial instruments are based on 4 types of activities.

    Stocks and bonds are two common financial instruments.

    Calculate the future value of money to see how much money today would be worth in the future.

    Calculate the present value of money to see how much money you would need to start with today tohave a certain amount of money in the future.