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Intro
By the Numbers: Snapshot of Arizona’sPostsecondary Education System
Arizona Postsecondary CommissionPhoenix, ArizonaNovember 8, 2007
Tom MortensonSenior Scholar
The Pell Institute for the Study of Opportunity in Higher EducationHigher Education Policy Analyst
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY
The Human Capital Economy
• Since about 1973 incomes in the U.S. economy have been redistributed according to educational attainment--away from those with least formal education and toward those with the most formal education. This finding holds for individuals, families, cities and states.• Beginning about 2000 the world became flat and global competition moved beyond blue collar to white collar jobs as well. • Also about 2000 the higher educational attainment advantage of the U.S. workforce began to erode. Other countries are quickly moving past the U.S. in higher educating young adults entering their workforces.
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
State Poverty Rates
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
State Employed/Population Ratio
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
State Per Capita Personal Income
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
State Median Household Income
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Arizona
• High school graduation• College continuation• College participation by age 19• Interstate freshmen migration• Low income college participation• State tax fund apprpriations
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
State Appropriations FY2007
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Three Forces of Change:
1. Economic change2. Demographic change3. Global competition
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
1. The Changing World of Work
• Employment by Industry• Income by Education
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Total Employment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Distribution of Employment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Goods Producing Employment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Service Providing Employment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Government Employment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Median Annual Male Income
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Income by Education for Males
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Changes in Income by Education for Males
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Median Annual Female Income
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Income by Education for Females
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Changes in Income by Educ for Females
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
2. Demographic Change
• Demographic structure• Shift from white to minority• Shift from higher income to lower income students
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Demographic Structure of Higher Educ
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
White High School Graduate Share
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
White High School Graduate Numbers
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Minority High School Graduate Numbers
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
K-12 Enrollment Approved for Subsidized School Lunches
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
3. Global Competition in Education
25 to 34 Year Olds with Bachelor’s Degrees:
• 1998: U.S. tied for 1st
• 2002: U.S. 2nd
• 2004: U.S. 5th
• 2005: U.S. 7th
• 2020 (projected): 19th
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
61.N148FG12
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Bachelor Degree Attainment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Change in Bachelor Degree Attainment
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Flagship University Tuition & Fees
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Comprehensive Coll & Univ T&F
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Community College Tuition & Fees
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org
Resources:
Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY Arizona Postsecondary Commission – November 8, 2007 – Phoenix, AZ www.postsecondary.org