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1 © 2007 Nokia
Internet for the Next Billion
Telecom Forum 23 October 2007
Kai Öistämö
Nokia Corporation, Mobile Phones
Executive Vice President & General Manager
2 © 2007 Nokia
Company Conf ident ialCompany Conf ident ial
In a world where everyone can be connected
We help people feel close to what matters to them
3 © 2007 Nokia
Our approachConsumer understanding drives us.
We take a very human approach to technology.
Internet is our quest.
We are taking the Internet to new places
Push for affordability – expand entry markets
Drive universal access through affordability
Meaningful innovations to consumers in entry markets
Achieve ultimate cost leadership
6 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
World population
Internet users
Mobile subscriptions
Source: AMD, Internet World Stats, EMC, Nokia
1995 2000 2005 2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Billio
n
…but not homogeneously
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Nor
thA
mer
ica
SE
AP
adva
nced
Japa
n &
Kor
ea
Wes
tern
Eur
ope
Eas
tern
Eur
ope
Mex
ico
LTA
and
carib
ean
Bra
zil
Chi
na
SE
AP
emer
ging
Indi
a
ME
A
Internet penetration 2005
Source: ITU, Internet World Stats
Internet is growing fast…
The emerging market opportunity
The mobile solution
7 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Mobile GSM Handset and PC Penetration Forecast, 2006-2010
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
06 07 08 09 10
China
Africa
India
Africa
India
China
GSM
PC
8 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Building Blocks to Bridge the Gap
Content
Access
Device
Affo
rdab
ility
Cap
abili
ty
9 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Content: Relevance, Email and Browsing
82
Purchasing goods and services
Instant messaging
Watching movies
Internet chat rooms
Watching news and sports reports
Work
Playing games
Downloading music
Overseas communication
Sending SMS messages
Researching for information
Browsing the Internet
Sending/receiving emails
72
33
15
15
11
10
7
6
4
3
9
3
4
1
1
4
1
1
1
21
16
57
18
Main reason All reasons
Its not the same as the fixed Internet
Unreliable Internet service on phone
Content not as detailed on mobile phone
Subscription costs
Cost of browsing
Can access fixed Internet elsewhere
Not know how to activate my phone /phone not set up
Difficult to use/ not understand how to use
No need/interest
18
10
10
5
53
8
13
15
5
3
3 5
15
58
15
13
All barriersBiggest barrier
Reasons for using fixed Internet Barriers to mobile Internet usage
Source: Nokia study in Africa, 2007
Content
Access
Device Aff
ord
abil
ity
Capab
ilit
y
10 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Access: Different Strategies for Different Groups
Mid
Low
High
RuralSuburbanUrban
Population spread
Popula
tion
by
inco
me c
lass
Wireless Internet for the high-end
Internet for the high-income segment
Wireless Internet for the masses personal usage
Connecting the unconnectedPersonal or shared access to people with no
access currently
xDSL and fiber
Wireless Internet for the masses personal usage
Content
Access
Device Aff
ord
abil
ity
Capab
ilit
y
11 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Device: Same Goal, Different Approaches
Low cost PC (e.g. Tian Yan GX-2)
Thin client PC (e.g. Nova NetTV)
Entry phone & enhancements
Content
Access
Device Aff
ord
abil
ity
Capab
ilit
y
12 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Capability: Ease of Use Is of Utmost Importance
11
9
6
4
3
67
18
No need
No fixed Internet access at home
Internet not available near my home or place of work
Not interested
Too expensive/cannot afford to
Communicate by alternative means
Don't know how to/too complicated
• Two thirds do not use for lack of capability
• Affordability is only a barrier after capability has been tackled
• Mobile phones are significantly easier to use than the other options
Reasons for not using fixed Internet
Source: Nokia study in Africa, 2007
Content
Access
Device Aff
ord
abil
ity
Capab
ilit
y
13 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Affordability: % of Income and TCO Are the Drivers
• Consumers are prepared to pay 5-10% of a monthly income level around USD 50 to USD 100, hence the USD 5/month target or USD 60/year
• As an example, in India that could potentially include 95% of the households (assuming household income larger than USD 1000/year)
Share of Personal Total I ncome on Mobile Services(Willingness to Pay)
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Average Brazil Mexico Turkey Russia China India
51-150 USD per month income
151-250 USD per month income
251-500 USD per month income
Content
Access
Device Aff
ord
abil
ity
Capab
ilit
y
Source: Nokia market research
14 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Building blocks to bridge the gap
Content
Access
Device
Affo
rdab
ility
Cap
abili
ty
15 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Key points
• The bulk of the Internet growth in emerging markets is still to happen
• Local content is essential; email and browsing the key use-cases
• Access is clearly via mobile communications (GPRS in the short term)
• The mobile phone has the potential to be the device of choice for access provided it continues to meet the criteria for affordability and capability
16 © 2007 Nokia
Company Confidential
Thank You!