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ITU Internet Report 2002 INTERNET FOR A MOBILE INTERNET FOR A MOBILE GENERATION GENERATION www.itu.int/mobileinternet

INTERNET FOR A MOBILE GENERATION - TT IFAMG... · ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation Distribution of mobile and Internet users by region, 2001 Asia-Pacific,

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ITU Internet Report 2002

INTERNET FOR A MOBILE INTERNET FOR A MOBILE GENERATIONGENERATION

www.itu.int/mobileinternet

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Mobile and Internet: Identical twins born two years apart?

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1992 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 0102

46

810

1214

1618

Mobile subscribersInternet users

Mobile penetrationInternet penetration

Users (millions) and penetration per 100 pop.

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Distribution of mobile and Internet users by region, 2001

Asia-Pacific, 32%

Europe, 29%

Africa, 1%

Americas, 37%

Estimated Internet users, 500 million

Asia-Pacific, 38%

Europe, 31%Africa,

3%

Americas, 28%

Mobile phone users948 million

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Upwardly mobile in Asia

Source: ITU World Telecommunications Indicators Database

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001

Korea (Rep. of)

Taiwan,ChinaCellular penetration rates, developed Asia, 1991-2001

Hong Kong

Singapore

Asian leaders in mobile teledensity

72.3

59.1

16.5

13.8

9.4

7.9

7.9

7.0

6.9

5.6

Japan

Rep. of Korea

Finland

Canada

Singapore

US

Germany

Italy

UK

France

Mobile Internet penetration, 2001

Mobile Internet users as a percentage of total mobile users

Asian leaders in mobile Internet penetration

Source: MPHPT (Japan)

e.g. Japan: 3G FOMA phones

with i-mode (NTT DoCoMo)

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

What is the “Mobile Internet”?• It is a combination of:

– mobile (wireless) technologies– and information and data communications

services– …with, eventually, the flexibility of IP

networks?

• It implies a convergence of:– terminals– networks– services and applications– corporate structures

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Mobile Internet – enabling technologies and applications

• Network evolution: from 2G to 3G –higher speeds, increased bandwidth efficiency

• “Alternative networks”: e.g wireless LANs –802.11 series

• Mobile User interface: i-mode, WAP• Messaging (SMS, EMS, MMS)• Evolution of digital content, e.g.

location-based services (LBS)• Growing importance of

security (WEP, WPKI)

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Global

1'000

100

10

1

Range (metres)

Data rate (Mbit/s)0.1 1 10 100

3G

Wireless LAN

GPRS & CdmaOne (2.5G)

Bluetooth

High-speed 3G is only part of the overall picture

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

The 3G rollercoaster

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

03/00 07/00 7/00 10/00 11/00 12/00 12/00 01/01 01/01 03/01 03/01 07/01 09/01 12/01

UKGermany

Netherlands

Italy

Austria

Korea (Rep.)Switzerland

CanadaNZ Australia

Belgium

Greece

Denmark

Czech Rep.

Prices per inhabitant, in US$

Note: Excludes licences awarded via “beauty contests”Source: ITU

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Market Trends• Where demand has been greatest

– The ‘first-movers’: HK, Japan and Korea • Evolution of corporate strategies • Factors hindering market development

– Low availability of adequate handsets– Plethora of standards/formats– Lack of evolved billing models

• The economics of success– Avoiding pure tech-push plays– Partnership and collaboration– Encourage revenue-sharing & transparent tariffs

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

What of digital content? • User sessions tend to be short (unlike the

“browsing” behaviour of the fixed-line Internet)

40%

40%

10%

8%

2%Average length of mobile data sessions, 2001

Less than 5 minutes

5-9 minutes10-19 minutes20-29 minutes

30 minutes or more

Note: Based on responses to user survey

Source: Jupiter Media Matrix, BCGCustomiza

tion + Communica

tion

• Thus, “killer app” cannot be pure content

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Towards a mobile information society: “Pardon me, ma’am, but is that your tooth ringing?”

• The advent of “pervasive” miniaturized mobile devices will transform our lifestyles– Can you swallow a mobile phone?

• Implications of location-based services (LBS)– Can you easily be found in an emergency (e911)? – Can wireless implants track your every move?

• Consumer protection, e.g. health, SPAM, – How to re-assure the end-user while fostering

development?

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Highlights of ITU Report “Internet for a Mobile Generation”• 180 pages of information and analysis

• Table of contents includes: technologies, market trends, regulatory/policy aspects, mobile information society

• Analysis supported by country-specific case studies

• Over 70 pages of statistical tables presenting latest available data.

• The ITU Mobile/Internet Index**

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

The ITU Mobile / Internet IndexWhat it is:

•A measure of current information and communication technologies (ICT) development, with a focus on mobile and Internet

•A measure of an economy’s ability to take advantage of these technologies in the future

What it is not:•A measure of the “mobile Internet” in an economy

•Limited to mobile and Internet development only

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

The Top 25Economy Score Rank GDP

Hong Kong, China 65.88 1 $24'249Denmark 65.61 2 $30'902Sweden 65.42 3 $25'654Switzerland 65.10 4 $33'522United States 65.04 5 $37'769Norway 64.67 6 $35'265Korea (Rep.) 63.42 7 $8'828United Kingdom 63.00 8 $24'607Netherlands 62.25 9 $23'995Iceland 62.03 10 $32'069Canada 61.97 11 $23'256Finland 61.22 12 $23'883Singapore 60.58 13 $21'188Luxembourg 58.58 14 $44'664Belgium 57.80 15 $22'498Austria 57.72 16 $23'286Germany 55.53 17 $22'675Australia 55.40 18 $19'474Portugal 55.13 19 $11'014Japan 54.94 20 $34'337France 52.45 21 $21'862Greece 51.44 22 $10'707Italy 51.13 23 $18'788Czech Republic 50.95 24 $4'963New Zealand 50.47 25 $11'847

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

#1: A ‘networked’ Hong Kong

85.5 % mobile penetration

45.9 % Internet penetration

43.5

44.7

45.5

45.9

50.0

51.1

51.6

59.6

60.5

67.9

Canada

Denmark

Japan

Hong Kong, China

United States

Korea (Rep.)

Sweden

Norway

Singapore

Iceland

Internet users, top 10 by density, per 100, 2001

Source: ITU

78.3

79.0

80.7

80.8

82.082.5

83.9

85.5

96.6

96.7

United Kingdom

Sweden

Austria

Israel

Iceland

Norway

Italy

Hong Kong, China

Taiwan, China

Luxembourg

Mobiles, top 10 per 100 inhabitants, 2001, millions

Source: ITU

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002.8

Mobile users, Hong Kong, China (million)

Analogue

Digital, 800/900 MHz

"Activated" prepaid

usersPCS 1.7/ 1.8 GHz

2.5G usersOther prepaid

Source: OFTA

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

For more information: www.itu.int/mobileinternet

ITU Internet Report 2002: Internet for a Mobile Generation

Internet for a mobile generationITU Internet Report 2002

180 pages of text and analysis70 pages of statistical annexes

Price: 100 CHF

www.itu.int/mobileinternet