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International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Available online at: http://euroasiapub.org
Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, pp. 269~279
ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939 | Thomson Reuters Researcher ID: L-5236-2015
International Journal of Research in Economics & Social Sciences
Email:- [email protected], http://www.euroasiapub.org
(An open access scholarly, peer-reviewed, interdisciplinary, monthly, and fully refereed journals.)
269
Pulses- India Needs a “Rainbow Revolution”
Swaha Shome
Faculty (Economics) ICFAI Business School
Introduction:
The Economic Survey- 2016-17 has urged the necessity of increasing the production of
pulses in India. The survey has criticized the agricultural policy in India as being cereal centric.
Pulses are considered a principal source of vegetarian protein in India. Pulses contain 25% protein,
which is twice the protein in wheat and thrice the amount in rice. The protein content in pulses is
also easily digestible as compared to that in eggs meat and poultry. Thus, pulses are an important
part of the Indian diet and hence any increase in prices will affect the consumer’s welfare. Pulses
comprise about 11% of the total intake of protein in India. Following the Green Revolution in
1950s, the cultivation and production of rice and wheat increased manifold. High Yielding
Varieties of seeds, ample irrigation and fertilizers added to the increasing yield. Within a few
decades India became self- sufficient in rice and wheat. Yet, Pulses seemed to have escaped this
phenomenon and there is an urgent need for a “rainbow revolution” to ensure the protein intake
of the masses of the country. This paper seeks to examine the main reasons behind a shortage of
pulses in India and thereby confirm the need for the initiatives taken by the Government.
Background:
The main pulses grown in India are Gram (Chickpeas), Arhar (tur) Moong Dal,
Urad, Lentils (Masoor) and Peas (Matar). There are other sub-varieties as well. Pulses are grown
all over the country, other than those areas with very heavy rains. Major areas under pulses are in
the States of Madhya Pradesh (24%), Maharashtra (14%), Rajasthan (6%), Uttar Pradesh (16%),
Karnataka (7%), Andhra Pradesh (10%), Chhattisgarh (3.8%), Bihar (2.6%) and Tamil Nadu
(2.9%).Pulses are predominately rain-fed crops and production is sharply affected by drought.
However, since pulses are leguminous plants and aids in nitrogen fixation, cultivation of pulses
have positive externalities as its cultivation alternately with other crops helps in preserving soil
quality. The two most important pulses grown in India are Gram and Tur. Gram is being grown in
about two-fifths of the total area under all the pulses. Gram is generally a Rabi crop, and sometimes
it is sown mixed with wheat. Thus it is an alternate crop in the central and northern India. The
other pulses like Tur, Urad and Moong are grown as Kharif crops. In northern India, Khesari and
Masoor are raised as Rabi crops. Gram is mainly produced in Madhya Pradesh, Haryana, Uttar
Pradesh and Rajasthan. Tur is is often produced on the low banks dividing the rice fields. Madhya
Pradesh, UP and Maharashtra are the main producers. Red Lentils or Masoor is another Kharif
crop having high nutritional value and relatively cheaper. The other variety is Moong which is
highly consumed in eastern India. The Rabi production of pulses is twice that of the Kharif
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
International Journal of Research in Economics & Social Sciences
Email:- [email protected], http://www.euroasiapub.org
(An open access scholarly, peer-reviewed, interdisciplinary, monthly, and fully refereed journal)
270
production.
India is the largest producer as well as the consumer of pulses.
According to FAO, the country accounts for 22% of the world pulse production. However, the
availability of pulses has persistently been lower than demand thus requiring significant imports.
The main reason for the shortage is that the production of pulses has grown by less than one
percent in the past forty years. This figure being almost half the growth rate of India’s population
has led to a fall in the per capita availability of pulses. According to several rounds of NSSO, per
capita availability of pulses has declined from 60 gms per day in 1950s to 40 gms per day in 1980
and around 35 gms per day in 2000. The past few years however has seen an improvement with
the availability increasing to 50 gms per day mostly due to higher production. India achieved a
record production of 18.1 Million Tonnes in 2010-11, with a record output in chickpeas, moong
and urad. This improvement in production has been due to the increased efforts taken by the
Government through the National Food Security Mission .There has also been an increase in
imports of dry peas from Canada and Australia.
According to IIPR (2011), in order to achieve self sufficiency, pulse requirement in the country is
estimated at 32 MT in 2030, which requires an annual growth rate of 4.2%. Studies by
Kumar(1998) and Mittal (2006) growth of pulses should be in the range of 6%.
Acreage, Production and Yield of Pulses in India:
Gross cultivated area in India increased by more than 30 million hectares during last 50
years since the start of green revolution. However, pulses hardly showed any expansion in acreage.
The main reason for stagnant area under pulses has been the relative profitability of competing
crops as well as differential use of technology. After the green revolution, High Yielding Varieties
(HYV) of wheat pushed out gram cultivation in the Rabi season. In comparison with the other main
Kharif and Rabi crops, pulses show very poor performance. The yield and production of pulses
have largely remained stagnant since the 1980S. Between 1966 to 2009, the yield of pulses
increased only by 12.2 % as compared to 162.6% for wheat. The following graphs show a
comparison between pulses, wheat and rice in terms of area under cultivation, production and
yield.
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
International Journal of Research in Economics & Social Sciences
Email:- [email protected], http://www.euroasiapub.org
(An open access scholarly, peer-reviewed, interdisciplinary, monthly, and fully refereed journal)
271
Fig 1: Area under Cultivation (million hectares) of Rice, Wheat and Pulses
(1975-76 to 2013-2014)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
Fig2: Production (million tonnes) of rice, wheat and pulses.
(1975-76to2013-2014)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
Fig3: Yield (kg/ha) for rice, wheat and pulses.
(1975-76 – 2013-14)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
0
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AREA UNDER CULTIVATION
RICE WHEAT PULSES
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YIELD
RICE WHEAT PULSES
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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To support the graphs, the following table shows the stagnation in area, production and
yield of all pulses in India in the last three decades.
Table1: Area Production and Yield of Total Pulses in India
Year Area (million hectares) Production(million tonnes) Yield (kg./ hectares)
1980-81 22.46 10.63 473
1990-91 24.66 14.26 578
2000-2001 20.35 11.08 544
2010-11 26.40 18.24 691
2011-12 24.46 17.09 699
2012-13 23.47 18.34 781
Source : Computed from RBI Handbook of Statistics
As a result of the widening difference between yield of pulses and that of rice and wheat, the
profitability of pulses declined inspite of prices increasing due to the deficit in supply.
Minimum Support Prices and its Economic Impact:
The major incentive to increase acreage, production and yield of any crop should be the
output prices. The Government of India does provide price support to the farmers through the
support prices referred to as Minimum Support Prices (MSP). The Government announces MSP
for 24 crops but procurement of the same is largely limited to rice wheat and some cotton. There
has been steep increase in MSP of pulses as seen in the following table and graph which has not
increased either the acreage or yield. In other words, increasing the MSP has not been perceived
as an incentive to increase acreage under cultivation.
Table 2: Minimum Support Prices (Rs per qtl) for the different pulses: (2011-2014)
Pulse 2004
-05
2005-
06
2006-
07
2007-
08
2009
-10
2009
-10
2010
-11
2011
-12
2012-
13
2013-
14
2014
-15
2015
-16
Tur 1390 1400 1410 1550 2000 2300 3500 3700 3850 4300 4350 4625
Gram 1425 1435 1445 1600 1600 1760 2100 2800 3000 3100 3175 3500
Moong 1410 1520 1520 1700 2520 2760 3670 4000 4400 4500 4600 4850
Urad 1410 1520 1520 1700 2520 2520 3400 3800 4300 4300 4350 4625
Lentil 1525 1535 1545 1700 1700 1870 2250 2800 2900 2950 3075 3400
Source: Handbook of Statistics: RBI
*For 2010-11 and 2011-12, MSP includes Rs 500 for the harvesting season
It is seen that the MSP of kharif pulses are more than that of the Rabi Pulses. The cost of
production of the rabi pulses is less than that of the kharif pulses. If one looks at state level data,
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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273
cost of production in Bihar and Madhya Pradesh is lower than in other states. Andhra also has a
lower cost of production than the MSP. This means that acreage in these states can be increased
more profitably. In fact introduction of chick peas in the black soils of Andhra can be taken as a
case study on how to increase pulse production in the country. We can consider the response to
MSP in terms of acreage for the two major pulses, gram and tur.
Fig 4: Acreage, yield and MSP for gram
(1985-86 to 2013-14)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
Fig 5: Acreage, yield and MSP for Tur
(1985-86 to 2013-14)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
It is evident in the above graphs that despite a sharp increase in the MSP of both gram and
tur, neither the acreage nor the yield has increased significantly. If we take an average acreage of
all pulses in India and take the average minimum support prices for pulses as whole, the same
conclusion can be made by estimating a simple OLS regression with Acreage as a dependent
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
aucgram mspgram yldgram
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
auctur msptur yldlagtur
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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variable and MSP of pulses as an independent variable. The period considered is 1975-76 to 2010-
11. Since Acreage under pulses is stationary at level but MSP of pulses is stationary after first
differencing, we look at the following equation,
AUCPt = C + a.change in MSPP+ ei…………………………………….. (1)
Where AUCPt= Area under cultivation of Pulses in period t
C =constant
ei = error term
Table 3: Regression Results:
COEFFICIENT T VALUE R2 F
Change in MSPP 0.04** 2.11 0.2 0.04
** significant at 5%
The regression results show that MSP increase has a positive significant but a very small impact
on area under cultivation. Hence the increase in MSP is not a sufficient tool to increase pulse
acreage.We can thus conclude that the supply response of pulses to MSP have been highly inelastic.
The main reason why pulses acreage and production have not picked up in India is that
there is no assurance of a support price. In contrast, the assurance of open ended procurement of
rice and wheat at assured prices encourages the farmers to grow rice and wheat in most of the
available irrigated land, thus leaving the un-irrigated land for pulses. This makes the crop
dependent on variation of rainfall. Every episode of drought hits the production of pulses and
thereby yield falls. In fact the yield in India is lower than the major pulse producing countries. The
main reason for this is dependence on rains, less application of fertilizers and pesticides as well as
less availability of high yielding seeds. The following graph shows the comparison of the
percentage area irrigated for rice, wheat and pulses.
Figure 6: Area under irrigation for Wheat, Rice and Pulses(%)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
To check the impact of MSPP and irrigation on yield in the same period, the following regression
is estimated.
0
20
40
60
80
100
RICE WHEAT PULSES
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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YLDPt = C+ a.change in MSPP + PERCENTIRRGNt + ei. …………………………………..(2)
Where YLDPt : Yield of Pulses. Here again YLDP is stationary at level
PERCENTIRRGNt: Percentage of area under pulses which is irrigated. This variable is also
stationary at level.
Table 4: Regression Results
COEFFICIENT T VALUE R2 F
Change in MSPP 0.002** 2.22
Percentirrgn 13.25** 504 0.62 >0.000
** significant at 5% and below
This shows that if more irrigated area was put under pulses cultivation, the yield would
have increased significantly. However, as shown above , most of the irrigated land is under rice and
wheat cultivation. In terms of fertilizer usage, pulses have a very small share of fertilizer
consumption as compared to wheat and rice. The following figure shows the limited consumption
by pulses as compared to other crops. Fertilizers are expensive and their usage can be justified
when the farmer is able to realize his costs. Once again the issue of assured price support can be
stated as the reason behind poor use of fertilizers for pulses.
Fig 7:Crop Wise consumption of fertilizers (2010-11)
Source: Agricultural statistics at a glance
The use of pesticides in pulses is also much below optimum leading to loss. Pulse crops
are highly vulnerable to pests during cultivation as well as after harvesting. According to IIPR, crop
losses of around 15-20% are seen in post harvest output. Infact availability of pulses can be greatly
increased by investments in crop protection which will require suitable research programmes.
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The yield of pulses is not supported by high yielding seeds. According to the seeds division of the
agriculture ministry, in 2010-11, 101 lakh quintals of seeds were required .Against that only 20.83
lakh quintals of certified seeds were supplied which has a severe impact on yield. Thus more effort
is required by the Government to reduce the wastage through more scientific storage and
warehousing facilities.
As a result of these suboptimal levels of inputs, the yield of pulses have remained largely
stagnant. In order to increase yield of pulses, it is important to incentivize the farmer to increase
irrigation, fertilizer and pesticides rather than only increase the MSP. Assurance of a MSP will have
strong incentivizing effect in increasing the inputs. There is also a greater role to be played by
organizations like the Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI) and the International Crops
Research Institute for Semi Arid Tropics (ICRISAT), to provide the necessary technological support.
The major R&D thrust should be on solving issues like low yield, huge post harvest losses,
inadequate technology adoption amongst others.
Import of Pulses:
The demand for pulses has consistently been higher than the domestic production thus
resulting in imports. Pulse output in 2015-16 crop year (July-June) is expected to be 17.33 million
tonnes as against the demand of 22-23 million tonnes. Myanmar, Tanzania, Mozambique, Canada,
USA and Australia are the major exporters of pulses to India. The following table shows the
imports of pulses by India in the past few years. The domestic price of pulses therefore get affected
by international prices and very often the MSP does not take into account the same.
Table 5: India’s Import Dependence
The following table shows the import and export of pulses by India. (IN LAKH TONNES)
Year Import Export
2006-07 25.04 2.64
2007-08 29.45 1.82
2008-09 25.8 1.45
2009-10 37.64 1.29
2010-11 27.8 2.06
2011-12 34.96 1.75
2012-13 16.74(apr-sept) 0.66(apr-sept)
www.ipga.co.in/pulses-trade-import -export
Prices of Pulses:
So far we have concentrated on the supply side issues of pulses. The increasing demand
for pulses which is not matched by larger production have an upward impact on prices The whole
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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sale price index of pulses has increased much more than paddy and rice thus affecting consumer
welfare. The following graph shows the comparison with rice and wheat.
Fig 8: Comparative WPI of rice, wheat and Pulses:
In spite of such an increase, the gross value of output from pulses have remained far below rice
and wheat.
Table 6: Gross Value of Output from Rice wheat and pulses: (at 2004-05 prices) in Rs crores
Item 2004-
05
2005-
06
2006-
07
2007-
08
2008-
09
2009-
10
2010-
11
2011-
12
2012-
13
Rice 73162 78869 79936 82930 85672 78091 82539 90606 86971
Wheat 47788 47218 53948 55166 56231 55291 59448 64857 62955
Pulses 20246 20627 21406 22839 22307 22137 26794 26165 27955
Procurement of Pulses:
The three main agencies for procurement of pulses are Food Corporation of India (FCI),
Small Farmers’ Agribusiness Consortium ( SFAC) and National Agricultural Cooperative
Marketing Federation of India Ltd.(NAFED) .In case of wheat and rice, the FCI procures the grains
directly from the farmers , thereby ensuring that the benefit of MSP is passed on to the farmers.
However, in case of pulses, the middle men insist that the payment to farmers be made through
them. In most years, the prices the farmers get from the private traders is above the MSP. The
Government has fixed kharif MSP for tur at R4,625 per quintal for the 2015-16 session, the price
farmers can get from private traders is significantly above this.The following table shows the price
of Tur in the months July- December 2015.
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
WPI of Pulses , Wheat and Rice (Base 2004-05)
pulses rice wheat
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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Table 7 : Retail Prices of Tur – July to December 2015. (In Rs per kg)
Item July august September October November December
Tur 113 114 132 158 166 167
Hence it becomes difficult for the procuring agencies to create a buffer stock which is the only way
the spikes in price can be avoided.
Hence it is imperative that strong procurement machinery be set up for prices such that
the farmers have an incentive to grow pulses. The budget speech 2016 points towards that
direction. The Government has suggested Rs 500 crores under National Food Security Mission.
There is also a plan of creating buffer stocks of pulses through procurement at MSP as well as the
creation of a Stability Fund to stabilize market prices. This fund gives a corpus of Rs 900 crores to
support market interventions. In December 2015, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs
(CCEA) decided on a creation of a buffer stock of pulses. This aims to procure 50,000 tonnes of
kharif crops and one lakh tonne of Rabi crops. Procurement will be done at market prices by the
FCI, NAFED, SFAC and any other approved agency. Most of the procurement is expected from
Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Rajasthan.
These market prices may be above the MSP and will be financed through the Price
stabilization Fund. If the prices go below the MSP, procurement will take place at the MSP. This
action is expected to reduce price fluctuations in the pulses market and hence reduce food
inflation. If the MSP become effective it will act as an incentive to produce more pulses and thus
reduce dependence on imports.. FCI has already started the procurement of pulses at a budget of
Rs 240 crores. This will goa long way in creating a sufficient stock of pulses so as to stabilize
domestic prices. The import of pulses is also being taken to create buffer stocks of pulses.
Also, trade policy works independently of MSP policy, and hence, imports of pulses often
come at prices much below their MSP. Hence instead of raising MSP, it is important to implement
them.
Conclusion:
It is evident that the agricultural policy in India till now have not paid much attention to
the long run sustainability of pulse production in India. Till very recently, agricultural strategy
albeit with an intention of ensuring grain sufficiency continued to favour only rice and wheat. This
only led to burgeoning stocks and increasing subsidy bills. Simultaneously such a biased policy
pushed out other crops like pulses, thereby having a strong impact on soil quality, groundwater
usage and the domestic insufficiency. The Government has to move beyond increasing MSP. Pulses
need to receive its due share of attention .This will require measures for ensuring adequate
procurement, creating a buffer stock and give attention to research and technological innovations.
International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences (IJRESS) Vol. 7 Issue 6, June- 2017, ISSN(o): 2249-7382 | Impact Factor: 6.939
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With a better seed – fertilizer – irrigation support higher yields will be achieved and greater area
devoted to pulses. There is also a need to be region specific in the long term policy on pulses. If
green revolution made India self-sufficient in food grains and the white revolution made the
country the largest producer of milk, it won’t be long before suitable policies can make the
nutrition deficiency in India get addressed by the rainbow revolution, where pulses play an
important part.
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healthy food consumption:Public distribution of pulses in India
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