International Academy of Astronautics International Academy of Astronautics IAA Space Debris Committee Toronto, Sep. 27 th, 2014

InternationalAcademy ofAstronautics

International Academy of Astronautics

IAA Space Debris Committee Toronto, Sep. 27th, 2014


Agenda

1. IAC1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee1.2. Lessons learned from Beijing 20131.3. Status of Space Debris Symposium for Toronto 20141.4. Preparation of Space Debris Symposium for Jerusalem 2015

2. Exchanges2.1. Past events: workshops, conferences, congresses, …2.2. Ongoing2.3. On the Agenda2.4. New achievements2.5. Round table – Open discussion

3. IAA SG 5.14 Situation Report Meeting restricted to Study Group members But new active members are welcome depending on thematics


1.1. IAA Space Debris Committee

General frame:

Officially created within IAA in 2012- Independent Committee- Permanent Committee- Attachment to Commission V questionable

Actions of the Committee:- Position Paper on Orbital Debris in 1993, revised in 2000- Position Paper SG 5.1 on Space Debris Mitigation in 2006- Position Paper SG 5.5 on Space Debris Remediation in 2013- Participation to SG 5.10 on Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerations- Situation Report Paper SG 5.14 ongoing, to be discussed today


Terms of Reference (recall):Scope

Coordination of all activities related to Space Debris within the Academy

•Organization of the IAA Symposium on Space Debris A6 for the IAC, proposals for Keynote Lectures within the A6 Symposium, or Highlight Lectures in the more general IAC frame,

•Organization of any stand-alone conference on Space Debris on behalf the Academy,

•Coordination of the Academy sponsoring, participation and contribution to selected conferences dedicated to Space Debris, such as for instance the ESA Darmstadt Conference,

•Coordination of the Space Debris contribution in conferences not dedicated to Space Debris, but where some sessions may be devoted to the topic, sponsored by the Academy,

•Dissemination of information among the members of the Committee, mainly during regular meetings taking place twice a year, before the IAC and during the IAA March meetings in Paris.



Membership:

No need to be member of IAA !

- Members of the IAA A6 Symposium Program Committee (chairs & rapporteurs)- Members of the Program Committee of other IAA sponsored conferences with Space Debris concerns- Members of Space Debris related working groups (IADC, UNCOPUOS, COSPAR, ISO …)- Academics, Labs, Universities, Industrials… working on the topic

However, it is requested to be somehow “active”:- Participation to the meetings - Debriefing of activities during the meetings- Cross information with other members- Contribution to studies and reports

Two meetings per year:- One just before each year’s IAC

Includes the status of the sessions, workshops, round tables… of the week- One just before or during the IAC March Meeting in Paris

Includes the pre-selection of the abstracts for the following IAC



Official membership:Co-Chairs:Christophe BonnalHeiner KlinkradJer-Chyi Liou

Committee Membership: Adimurthy Vipparthi Agapov Vladimir Ailor William HAkahoshi Yasuhiro Alby Fernand Anselmo Luciano Anz-Meador Phillip Berend Nicolas Brachet Gerard Christiansen Eric LCrowther RichardDolado-Perez Juan-CarlosFinkleman David Flury Walter Francesconi Alessandro Ganeshan A SHanada Toshiya

Anyone missing?Charlotte MathieuChristian CazauxTanja Masson-ZwaanTetsuo YasakaFrank DiPentino

Anyone to be removed?None identified

Hussey W John Hyde James Jah MoribaJohnson Nicholas L. Kelso T. SKibe Seishiro Kouprianov Vladimir Krag Holger Krisko Paula HMatney Mark McKnight Darren SMeshcheryakov Sergei AMulrooney Mark Pardini Carmen Perek Lubos Piergentili Fabrizio Prasad MYSSchaefer Frank Schildknecht Thomas Seitzer Patrick Stansbery Gene Stokes Hedley van Breukelen Eddy DWiedemann Carsten Yakovlev Michael



1.2. Feedback from Beijing 2013

Statistics:

-Based on available information, 3rd most attended Symposia after C1 (Astrodynamics) and A3 (Space Exploration)- Good work of the Chairs and Rapporteurs, with only 5% No-Show: best score of the Congress according to available information- 16 papers proposed for publication in Acta Astronautica- Note: it should have been a “low year” due to the 6th Darmstadt conference


1.2. Feedback from Beijing 2013Based on available, uncomplete, information

Average…90 oral in 2014

Good…Need to keep this level


Highly improvable!

1.2. Feedback from Beijing 2013


Number of IAC abstracts since 2008

1.3. Toronto 2014 A6 Symposium



NORTH AMERICA779 abstracts (2 countries) –

21,8%

LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN

101 abstracts (11 countries) – 2,9%

AFRICA47 abstracts

(8 countries) – 1,3%

EUROPE756 abstracts

(29 countries) – 21,4%

ASIA-PACIFIC1884 abstracts (24 countries) –

52,9%

Geographic distribution of abstracts



Distribution of abstracts per country

2013



Abstracts per symposium



Abstracts per session (top 22)


Number of IAC abstracts submitted to Toronto 2014


Total Number of Abstracts

Oral or PosterOral

PresentationPoster

Presentation

3537 1966 1397 174

100% 55,6% 39,5% 4,9%

Status after the selection, IPC March 14 meeting


AcceptedOral

PresentationPoster

Presentation

3537 2390 1833 557

100% 67,6% 51,8% 15,7%


Number of abstracts, Space Debris Symposium, since 2008



AcceptedOral

PresentationPoster

Presentation

225 172 90 84

100% 76,4% 40,0% 37,3%

Status after the selection, IPC March 14 meeting


Number of sessions, Space Debris Symposium, since 2000+ Poster session, which is gaining importance



A6: Space Debris SymposiumLiou – BonnalThe Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris:

measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance.

A6.1: Measurements: Schildknecht – Agapov – CarrollThis session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing

methods, and results of space debris characterization.

A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis: Anselmo – Liou – HanadaThis session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-

orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

A6.3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection: Francesconi – Sen Liu – Schäfer The session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be

supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation.

A6.4: Mitigation and Standards: Cazaux – Klinkrad – Yakovlev or MolotovThis session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and

vehicle passive protection. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level.



A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues: Piergentili – Prasad – BérendThis session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify

implementation difficulties.

A6.6: Space Debris Removal Concepts: Kibe – DiPentino – BonnalThis session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and identify

implementation difficulties.

A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness:Kelso – Finkleman – Dolado-Perez

This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses.

A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and RemovalBiddington – McKnight – Mathieu

This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered

A6.9: Modelling and Orbit DeterminationJah – Flegel – Lewis

This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris

A6.P: Posters, Bonnal


InternationalAcademy ofAstronautics As of Sep.26th

A6.1: Measurements:10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 7 loaded – 8 confirmed – 4 presentation – 1 ?

A6.2: Modeling and Risk Analysis:10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 9 confirmed – 7 presentations

A6.3: Hyper Velocity Impacts and Protection:12 papers – 3 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 8 confirmed – 5 presentations + ? additional

A6.4: Mitigation and Standards:10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 9 loaded – 8 confirmed – 7 presentations + 2 additional

A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues:10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 9 confirmed – 7 presentations – 1 ?

A6.6: Space Removal Concepts 11 papers – 2 withdrawn – 9 loaded – 9 confirmed – 4 presentations

A6.7: Operations in Space Debris environment, Space Situational Awareness: 10 papers – 1 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 8 confirmed – 6 presentations

A6.8 : Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and Removal: 7 papers – 1 withdrawn – 5 loaded – 5 confirmed – 2 presentations (+ 1 hour moderated debate)

A6.9: Modelling and Orbit Determination: 10 papers – 0 withdrawn – 8 loaded – 9 confirmed – 8 presentation – 1 ?

A6.P: Space Debris: Posters 84 papers – 23 withdrawn – 38 loaded

Total without Posters:90 papers – 11 withdrawn – 70 loaded – 72 confirmed – 38 presentations – 3 ? 100% 12.2% 77.8% 80% 42.2%



Poster competition

A6: 84 selected posters, 16 withdrawn, 35 not uploaded in time for competition, 33 competitors, 3 good finalists!



Don’t miss the Poster award, room 718B + Poster session and cocktail !...



Nice large room 801B for all the sessions: 120 seats



Recall of a few basic rules

No paper, no show: check that the paper is effectively loaded before the session

No show, no paper: If the author doesn't present, the paper will be removed from proceedings

Status of the presenters: Are we sure the authors will show up ? Do we have their short bios ? Try to contact them and ask to come 15’ in advance to check that everything is

OK, Powerpoint, Videos…

Timing may be critical ! Please, do not overpass the standard 3 hours, except if there is nothing after Have clear rules explained to speakers in advance Keep time for Q&A

Publications: no dedicated IAC issue of Acta Astronautica any more Selection of 2 or 3 best papers, if any ! Chairs and Rapporteurs may be asked to act as Peer Reviewers



Report on IAA contribution to IAC

• The goal is to deliver a global IAA report on results from the IAC, to be released outside through the web, a newsletter, or any other media to be discussed

• An e-mail has been sent to the Symposium Coordinators, asking for their inputs, and recommending to use the following process :

- Ask session co-chairs and rapporteurs to write one or two pages on the scientific and technical content of their sessions (only the main findings) and to send it to the Coordinators either during the congress or just after (November 3)

- Symposium Coordinators shall gather these inputs, check that there is no problem with them, and add some additional comments on the overall Symposium if any

- Send the resulting package to the Academy IAC Technical Coordinator (November 21)

- If these contributions are sent in due time, the global IAC Summary report shall be ready for SAC for approval on December 8

• This report will be a high added value for the Symposium Coordinators in terms of visibility, for the Academy members and other people visiting our website in terms of awareness of what has been done during the IAC, and for the Academy in terms of recognition of its role in the operations of the IAC



A6: Space Debris SymposiumLiou – BonnalThe Symposium will address the complete spectrum of technical issues of space debris:

measurements, modelling, risk assessment in space and on the ground, reentry, hypervelocity impacts and protection, mitigation and standards, and Space Surveillance.

A6.1: Measurements: DiPentino - Schildknecht – AgapovThis session will address advanced ground and space-based measurement techniques, relating processing

methods, and results of space debris characterization.

A6.2: Modelling and Risk Analysis: Pardini – Sorge – FlegelThis session will address the characterization of the current and future debris population and methods for in-

orbit and on-ground risk assessments. The in-orbit analysis will cover collision risk estimates based on statistical population models and deterministic catalogues, and active avoidance.

A6.3: Hypervelocity Impacts and Protection: Fitz-Coy – Schäfer – FrancesconiThe session will address passive protection, shielding and damage predictions. Shielding aspects will be

supported by experimental and computational results of HVI tests. Use of HVI techniques for debris mitigation.

A6.4: Mitigation and Standards: Krag – Cazaux – KatoThis session will focus on the definition and implementation of debris prevention and reduction measures and

vehicle passive protection. The session will also address space debris mitigation guidelines and standards that exist already or are in preparation at the national or international level.

1.4. Space Debris Symposium Jerusalem 2015


A6.5: Space Debris Removal Issues: Prasad – Piergentili – SantoniThis session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and

identify implementation difficulties.

A6.6: Space Debris Removal Concepts: Berend – Kawamoto – LiouThis session will address active removal techniques “ground and space based”, review potential solutions and

identify implementation difficulties.

A6.7: Operations in Space Debris Environment, Situational Awareness:Kelso – Dolado-Perez – Finkleman

This session will address the multiple aspects associated to safe operations in Space dealing with Space Debris, including operational observations, orbit determination, catalogue build-up and maintenance, data aggregation from different sources, relevant data exchanges standards and conjunction analyses.

A6.8 (joint with Space Security Committee): Political, Legal, Institutional and Economic Aspects of Space Debris Mitigation and RemovalBiddington – McKnight – Mathieu

This session will deal with the non-technical aspect of space debris mitigation and removal. Political, legal and institutional aspects includes role of IADC and UNCOPUOS and other multilateral bodies. Economic issues including insurance, financial incentives and funding for space debris mitigation and removal. The role of international cooperation in addressing these issues will be considered

A6.9: Orbit Determination and PropagationJah – Klinkrad – Lewis

This session will address aspects of space debris orbit determination related to assessment of raw and derived data accuracy, optical measurements processing and modelling and risk analysis of space debris

A6.P: Posters, Yasaka – McKnight – Bonnal

Consolidated file to be provided soon to IAF secretariat





• Proposal for a Plenary Event or a Highlight Lecture

We should organize ourselves to be capable of proposing a Plenary Event or a Highlight Lecture in Jerusalem

- It requires a good preparation- Thematics, title, organization (Who? Moderator? Round table?...)- Proposal to be made before March meeting

Ideas are due within a couple of monthes

• Should we try a joint session?

- With Satellite users B1, B2, … or Space Transportation D2 relative on end of life operations?- With Small Satellite B4, mainly on very small satellites operations? May be complex as we need to have 9 good papers, or 6 + a good round-table…

Decided not to during the meeting



• 32nd IADC in Beijing- 12 to 14 May 2014- 110 delegates from 11 agencies (Ukraine was absent, but South Korea was there for the 1st time)- Numerous new Action Items and Internal Actions- SG meeting on Wednesday Oct. 1st

- Final Reports on the “public” space of the IADC web site http://www.iadc-online.org/

• 40th COSPAR in Moscow - See dedicated presentation in Appendix 1

• IISL-ECSL Space Law Symposium 2014 - See following pages

• ESA e.Deorbit Symposium 5 May 2014 - See following pages

• 3rd European Workshop on space debris modeling and remediation - See dedicated presentation in Appendix 2

2.1. Past events


2.1. Past events

IISL-ECSL Space Law Symposium 2014


2.1. Past events

IISL-ECSL Space Law Symposium 2014


2.1. Past events

ESA e.Deorbit Symposium 5 May 2014


• SG 5.10 Orbital Debris Removal: Policy, Legal, Political and Economic considerationsDedicated meeting on Sunday 28th

See Appendix 4

2.2. Ongoing


• IAA Academy Day presentation- Presentation Sunday 28 September by Darren McKnight Hall G 16:45 to 17:15- Open to all, don’t miss it

2.2. Ongoing


• 7th IAASS- See following pages

• 6th EUCASS in Krakow- See following pages

• International Conjunction Assessment Workshop- CNES-HQ, Paris, May 19-20, 2015- See description in Appendix 5

• Laser Debris Remediation (Polytechnique - under definition)- Tentatively December 2014 – February 2015

• GOCE workshop 25-28 november (UNESCO Paris)- Elements of reentry predictions (altitudes below 100 km)- If interested, please contact Holger Krag.- Details on GOCE workshop: www.goce2014.org

2.3. On the agenda


2.3. On the agenda


2.3. On the agenda


2.3. On the agenda


2.3. On the agenda

Sessionschaired by Luciano Anselmo


• Astrodynamics Innovation Committee- See Appendix 6

• COPUOS: Long Term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities (LTSSA)- See Appendix 7

2.4. New achievements


• ISO standards status- Following ISO TC20/SC14 Orbital Debris Working Group (WG7) meeting in Tokyo, May 26-30, 2014





2.5. Round table – Open discussion

• Orbital lifetime evaluation for GTO objects- The complexity of such computations, requiring a statistical approach, is recalled and debated during

the meeting.- As a reference, the paper in Appendix 8 describes the proposed methodology

InternationalAcademy ofAstronautics 3. IAA SG 5.14 Situation Report

GoalReference status of the Space Debris problematic, acting as an update of the IAA Position Papers 1993 and Revision from 2001, taking into account the IAA Position Papers on Space Debris Mitigation (SG5.1) and on Space Debris Remediation (SG5.5). Available elements from on-going SG5.10 devoted to Policy, Legal and Economic Issues in Orbital Debris Removal will also be included. Structure1. Introduction, recall of scope and past studies: Christophe Bonnal – Darren McKnight 4 pages2. Present status: Heiner Klinkrad 10 pages3. Measurements: Thomas Schildknecht & Vladimir Agapov 10 pages4. Space surveillance & collision: Christian Cazaux, Dave Finkelman, Fernand Alby 10 pages5. Reentering space objects: Holger Krag? & Marlon Sorge? 10 pages6. Future environment: Paula Krisko 10 pages7. Debris mitigation: Manuel Metz, J-C. Liou & MYS Prasad 10 pages8. Remediation: Darren McKnight & Seishiro Kibe 10 pages9. Protection: Franck Schäfer 10 pages10. Legal: Tanja Masson-Zwaan 10 pages11. References & Standards: Christophe Bonnal 6 pages12. International aspects: Charlotte Mathieu & MYS Prasad 6 pages Status prior to today: to be revisedFirst Draft in Toronto reviewed within the September meeting of the IAA Space Debris CommitteeFinal draft expected in March 2015Delivery to IAA for Peer Reviewing and final process Effective publication expected before IAC 2015

Today: 63 pages, 9 para out of 12Dedicated meeting: Tuesday 12:30 room 801B

Documents

International Academy of Astronautics International Academy of Astronautics IAA Space Debris Committee Toronto, Sep. 27 th, 2014