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INTERIM RESULTS July 2010

INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

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Page 1: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

INTERIM RESULTS

July 2010

Page 2: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Mike WilsonCHAIRMAN

David BellamyCHIEF EXECUTIVE

Andrew CroftFINANCE DIRECTOR

Page 3: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

MIKE WILSON

Chairman

Page 4: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Agenda

IntroductionMIKE WILSON

Business UpdateDAVID BELLAMY

FinancialsANDREW CROFT

Outlook DAVID BELLAMY

Q&A

Page 5: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

DAVID BELLAMY

Chief Executive

Page 6: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

113.2101.9

115.7

97.8 96.4101.9

122.0

98.7

133.2

104.6109.2

93.8

159.3

133.3

£60m

£80m

£100m

£120m

£140m

£160m

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Total new business by quarter

APE (Annual premiums plus 10% of single premiums)

2007 over 2006

+41% +26% +20% +10%

2008 over 2007

+1% +5% +0% -15%

2009 over 2008

-5% -10% +3% +38%

2009 over 2010

+42% +46%

2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 7: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Strong growth across the board

• Manufactured business is up 47% (to 91% of total)

• Investment business is up 66%– Unit trusts / ISAs up 70%– Onshore / Offshore Bonds up 62%

• Single premium pensions is up 36%

Page 8: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Record half year single investments (£’bn)

2.4

1.51.71.7

1.2

£0bn

£1bn

£2bn

£3bn

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

+71%

+42% +0%-12%

+60%

Page 9: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Strong retention rate of funds under management

94.5%96.0%94.8%94.9%94.2%

50%

75%

100%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010*

*annualised

Page 10: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

1.5

1.0

0.8

1.0

0.7

£0.0bn

£0.5bn

£1.0bn

£1.5bn

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Growing first half net inflow of funds under management (£’bn)

+75%

+43%

-20%

+25%

+50%

Page 11: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

22.4

16.917.217.3

13.5

£0bn

£4bn

£8bn

£12bn

£16bn

£20bn

£24bn

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Half year funds under management (£’bn)

+29%

+28% -1% -2%

+33%

16% p.a compound growth

Page 12: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Growing number of partners

1,5061,4641,340

1,2511,157

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2010

+5%+8%

+7%+9% +3%

Page 13: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Exceptional performance

• APE of £292.6 million up 44%

• Total single investments of £2.4 billion up 60%

• Continued strong retention of client funds

• Net inflows of £1.5 billion up 50%

• Funds under Management of £22.4 billion

Page 14: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

ANDREW CROFT

Finance Director

Page 15: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Highlights

• New business on an APE basis £292.6 million up 44%

• EEV new business profit of £100.9 million up 65%

• EEV operating profit at £162.1 million up 60%

• IFRS profit before shareholder tax of £36.3 million up 82%

• Cash result of £18.7 million up from £0.6 million

• EEV net asset value per share of 294.9p

• IFRS net asset value per share of 116.3p

• Interim dividend of 2.025p per share up 10%

Page 16: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Analysis of EEV operating profit

£’m H1 2010 H1 2009

New business contribution 100.9 61.3 +65%Profits from existing business– expected 46.8 37.6– experience variance 12.1 9.0– operating assumption

changes - 1.6

Investment income 1.9 2.4Life & unit trust operating profit

161.7 111.9

Distribution 5.9(5.0)

Other(5.5) (5.9)

Operating profit 162.1 101.0

Page 17: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Analysis of EEV pre-tax result

£’m H1 2010 H1 2009

Operating profit 162.1 101.0

Investment variance (84.5) (63.2)Economic assumption change 9.4

(10.4)Pre-tax result 87.0 27.4

Page 18: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Analysis of adjusted post tax cash result

£’m H1 2010 H1 2009

Net annual management fee 83.7 56.4

Unwind of surrender penalties (27.5) (20.4)

56.2 36.0 +56%

New business strain(5.1) (5.5)

Establishment expenses(35.7) (35.3)

Shareholder interest 1.5 2.0

Development costs(2.0) -

Miscellaneous 3.8 3.4

18.7 0.6

Page 19: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Analysis of IFRS profit

£’m H1 2010 H1 2009

Cash result 18.7 0.6DAC / DIR amortisation 7.8 7.7DAC / DIR new business 9.2 9.7

PVIF(1.4) (1.3)

Share options(4.9) (5.2)

Other(1.0) 4.5

28.4 16.0Taxation 7.9 4.0Pre-tax profit 36.3 20.0

Page 20: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Analysis of cash result + IFRS result

£’m H1 2010 H1 2009

Cash (post tax)

Arising on in force business

52.6 35.9 +47%

Arising from new business (33.9) (35.3)

Post tax Cash result 18.7 0.6

IFRS (pre-tax)

Arising on in force business

67.9 52.0 +31%

Arising from new business (31.6) (32.0)Pre tax IFRS results 36.3 20.0

Page 21: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Return on in force business

• Majority of return comes from fees from funds under management less the unwind & surrender penalties

• Unwind & surrender penalty occurs in first six years

• Consequently the return on new funds added in the last six years is not yet fully contributing to the cash result

Page 22: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Single premium investment (£’bn)

1.6

2.63.4 3.1

3.5

2.4

£0.0bn

£1.3bn

£2.5bn

£3.8bn

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2010

Page 23: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Single premium investment (£’bn)

0.81.2 1.5 1.3 1.5

1.0

0.8

1.4

1.91.8

2.0

1.4

£0.0bn

£1.3bn

£2.5bn

£3.8bn

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 H1 2010With surrender penalties Without surrender penalties

Page 24: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Return on in force

• Some £7.3 billion of new business added in last six years not yet generating positive cash earnings*

• Over £50 million of post tax cash earnings per annum in future*

* Ignores stock net movements and out flows

Page 25: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Analysis of cash result + IFRS result

£’m H1 2010 H1 2009

Cash (post tax)

Arising on in force business 52.6 35.9 +47%

Arising from new business (33.9) (35.3)

Post tax Cash result 18.7 0.6

IFRS (pre-tax)

Arising on in force business 67.9 52.0 +31%

Arising from new business (31.6) (32.0)

Pre tax IFRS results 36.3 20.0

Page 26: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Return on the investment in new business

1.5%Investment as a % of gross new FUM

2.3%Investment as a % of net inflow of FUM

5-6 yearsCash payback period

20.5%IRR (net of tax)

£74.7mPost tax value of expected profit

Page 27: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Interim dividend

Increased by 10% to

2.025 pence

Page 28: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Capital position

• Total group solvency assets at 30 June 2010 are £281.2 million

• Solvency remains strong

• Investment policy for solvency assets continues to be prudent

• Solvency II

Page 29: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

DAVID BELLAMY

Chief Executive

Page 30: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

The Opportunities

• Increasing tax burden

• Sustained low interest rates

• People not confident they have enough for retirement

• Migration from DB pensions to DC continues

• Fewer advisers (200,000 – 1990; 50,000 – 2010)

Page 31: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Our strategy

• Broadening the investment proposition

• Focusing on the drivers for growth– Partner productivity– Partner numbers

• Preparing for the future

Page 32: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

UK Absolute Return Fund

Mark Lyttleton Nick Osborne

Page 33: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Global Emerging Markets Fund

Jonathan Asante

Page 34: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

International Corporate Bond Fund

Jill Fields Zak Summerscale

Page 35: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

New Fund Managers – April 2010

Mark Lyttleton Nick Osborne Jill Fields Zak SummerscaleJonathan Asante

Over £200 million

Page 36: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Retail distribution review

• Well placed

• Positive impact on recruitment

• Positive impact on retention

• Positive momentum towards Diploma +

Page 37: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR
Page 38: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

138.1

182.0 173.5148.5

197.0

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

210

H1 2006 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2009 H1 2010

Half year productivity (APE per Partner)

£,000s

+33%

Page 39: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Compound APE Growth – rolling five years

Growth

25.5%

Jul 03 - Jun 08

18.8%

Jul 04 - Jun 09

22.7%

Jul 05 - Jun 10

17.4

Jul 02 - Jun 07

17.4%15%

20%

Page 40: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Quality of earnings

• No one Partner represents more than 1% of our earnings

• No one client or corporate investor represents more than 1% of our earnings

• The business growth is pretty much across all our wrappers

• Over 75% of the business is repeat business or referral

• Around 95% of the clients’ funds are retained year on year

Page 41: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR

Summary

• APE up 44%

• Single investments up 60%

• Manufactured business at 91%

• Net inflows up 50%

• Funds under management of £22.4 billion

• EEV Operating Profit up 60%

• IFRS Profit before tax up 82%

• Interim dividend up 10%

Page 42: INTERIM RESULTS July 2010. Mike Wilson CHAIRMAN David Bellamy CHIEF EXECUTIVE Andrew Croft FINANCE DIRECTOR