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Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 March 11, 2004

Interim Report Student Managed Fund

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  • 1. Interim Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2004 March 11, 2004

2. MBA Fund Managers

    • Anjana Radhakrishnan
    • Christopher Bodnar
    • Ganesh Padmanabhan
    • Geoffrey Munger
    • Heather Utter
    • Jessie LeBlanc
    • Michael Appell
    • Saipriya Menon
    • Tanzhuo Liu
    • Wiebke Wanner-Borchardt

3. Agenda

    • Investment Philosophy & Approach
    • Investment Criteria
    • Portfolio Performance
    • Attribution Analysis
    • Retrospection and Self-Analysis
    • Economic Outlook

4. Investment Philosophy

    • Outperform the S&P500
        • Strategic sector allocation
        • Selection of stocks with strong growth potential
        • Close monitoring of the portfolio
    • Fundamental analysis
        • Historical performance
        • Business models
        • Economic outlook for the industry
    • Valuation
        • Undervalued stocks
    • Long-term (3-5 year) investment horizon

5. Investment Approach Sector Allocation Constant Portfolio Performance Monitoring

  • Valuation
  • PEG and P/E Models
  • Discounted Cash Flow
  • Economic Profit
  • FundamentalAnalysis
  • Historical Growth
  • Free Cash Flow
  • Profit Margin

Investment Criteria 6. Investment Criteria Quantitative & qualitative factors checked across industries Economic Profit Debt/Equity Beta

  • Market Power
    • Product Differentiation
    • Low-cost Producer
    • Customer Relationship

Retention Ratio Gross MarginInsider Trading Free Cash Flow/Net Income Institutional Ownership Growth in EPS Corporate Governance ROIC Company Market Share ROE Industry Growth ROA Qualitative Quantitative 7. Qualitative Investment Criteria - Portfolio 5/8 6/9 6/13 6/12 Corporate Governance -0.30% 0.01% -0.5% 7.70% Insider Trading 83.38% 65.50% 67.44% 95% Institutional Ownership High Low Medium Medium Medium High Low High High Medium High High

  • Market Power
  • ProductDifferentiation
  • Low-cost Producer
  • CustomerRelationship

3.38% 12.00% 17.62% 2.29% Company Market Share 18.5% 12.7% 27.20% 19.42% Industry Growth INTU JEC EBAY OCR 8. Quantitative Investment Criteria - Portfolio 1.20 0.95 1.55 0.85 Beta 0.01 0 0.02 0.68 Debt/Equity 1.56 0.73 1.03 1.30 FCF/NI 96.86% 34.53% 84.6% 28.30% EPS Growth 159M 49M 62M 15M Economic Profit 7.81% 8.12% 8.74% 6.80% Cost of Capital 14.55% 13.10% 10.18% 7.37% ROIC 14.70% 16.35% 10.50% 13.12% ROE 10.27% 7.86% 9.10% 6.18% ROA INTU JEC EBAY OCR 9. Portfolio Monitoring - Sell Criteria

    • Stock reaches its price objective
    • Industry-sector weighting exceedspredetermined limits
    • Risk/reward profile deteriorates
    • Earnings figures lower than estimates
    • Stop loss on all positions

10. SMF Holdings 12/26/03 Our sector allocation closely tracks the S&P500 with exceptions based on economic outlook HEALTHCARE29.28% CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY31.46% 5.89% ZMH 5.77% UNH 5.27% OCR 6.56% GILD 5.78% HSIC 5.00% YCC 4.42% WSM 5.85% HOTT 5.86% MAT 6.12% EBAY 4.21% ALV Equity Weight Ticker 11. SMF Holdings 12/26/03 Our sector allocation closely tracks the S&P500 with exceptions based on economic outlook CONSUMER STAPLES5.97% FINANCIALS5.38% INDUSTRIALS9.15% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY18.77% 5.38% WFC 5.97% MO 4.17% FDC 3.36% COGN 5.56% MSFT 5.62% CD 3.53% JEC 5.68% INTU Equity Weight Ticker 12. SMF Holdings - Adjustments

  • Sold COGN and ALV
  • Initiated positions in:
    • Materials: Newmont Mining (NEM)
    • IT: Intel (INTC)
  • Reviewing positions in: JEC, INTU, WSM, EBAY,and OCR
  • Seeking positions in Energy and Telecom Sectors

13. SMF Holdings 02/17/04 * SOLD -9.27% $8,712 $47.86 200 JEC 0.26% $12,949 $30.75 420 INTC 8.63% $16,505 $66.06 230 HSIC 6.82% $16,159 $27.43 550 HOTT 8.85% $17,412 $53.32 300 GILD 22.55% $17,997 $56.49 260 EBAY 8.92% $16,051 $21.05 700 CD 16.53% $11,337 $32.43 300 ALV* 12.35% $11,312 $35.96 280 FDC -13.39% $9,042 $34.80 300 COGN* -4.48% $14,370 $51.87 290 INTU HPR Market Value (02/17/04) Purchase Price Quantity Ticker 14. SMF Holdings 02/17/04 4.64% $14,480 $55.23 250 WFC -3.9% $14,403 $33.84 350 WSM 2.35% $14,180 $27.71 500 YCC 11.27% $17,848 $69.74 230 ZMH 6.15% $16,518 $51.87 300 MO -0.97% $15,770 $19.19 830 MAT 10.88% $16,657 $54.63 275 UNH 1.98% $14,900 $26.56 550 MSFT 6.7% $9,729 $42.41 215 NEM 26.03% $16,328 $36.93 350 OCR HPR Market Value (02/17/04) Purchase Price Quantity Ticker 15. SMF Holdings Performance Period: Sep 4, 2003 Feb 17, 200421.87% 20.19% Treynor Index 2.93 2.67 Sharpe Ratio 7.46% 7.67% Annualized Standard Deviation 1.00 1.014 Beta 24.97% 23.47% Annualized Return 11.96% 11.28% Return S&P 500 SMF 16. Attribution Analysis

  • Analyze determinants of portfolio performance
    • Sector allocation decisions
    • Equity selection decisions
  • Sector Allocation and Equity Selection EffectDeterminants
    • Sector-wise weights and returns of the Portfolio
    • Sector-wise weights and returns of the S&P 500 index
    • Overall holding period returns of the S&P500
  • Analysis Period: Dec 26, 2003 Feb 17, 2004
    • S&P 500 holding period return: 5.58%
    • Portfolio holding period return: 3.27%
    • Total value added: -2.31%

17. Sector Allocation Effect LEGEND Wa i-- MBA Wts As ofDec 26 2003 Wp i-- S&P Wts as of Dec 26 2003 Rp i-- S&P Sector returns {12/26 to 2/17} Rp -- S&P Overall Return {12/26 to 2/17} {(Wa i- Wp i )* (Rp i- Rp)} -- Sector Allocation Effect -0.6328% Sector Allocation Effect 0.0615% -2.1540% -2.85% Utilities -0.2587% 7.6488% -3.38% Telecomm Services 0.1565% -5.1317% -3.05% Materials -0.0089% -0.8548% 1.04% IT 0.0441% -2.4278% -1.82% Industrials 0.1780% 1.1151% 15.97% Health Care -0.3433% 2.2509% -15.25% Financials -0.0510% 0.8799% -5.79% Energy 0.0203% -0.4047% -5.03% Consumer Staples -0.4314% -2.1386% 20.17% Consumer Disc. {(Wai - Wpi)* (Rpi - Rp)} Rpi - Rp Wai - Wpi Sectors 18. Equity Selection Effect LEGEND Wa i-- MBA Wts As ofDec 26 2003 Ra i--MBA SMF Sector Returns {12/26 to 2/17} Rp i-- S&P Sector returns {12/26 to 2/17} Rp -- S&P Overall Return {12/26 to 2/17} {(Wa i- Wp i )* (Rp i- Rp)} -- Sector Allocation Effect Total Value Added = Sector Allocation Effect + Equity Selection Effect = - 2.48% -1.85% Selection Effect 0.00% -3.421% 0.00% Utilities 0.00% -13.224% 0.00% Telecomm Services 0.00% 6.726% 0.00% Materials -1.47% -7.833% 18.77% IT -0.27% -2.932% 9.15% Industrials 0.22% 0.757% 29.28% Health Care -0.47% -8.724% 5.38% Financials 0.00% -6.455% 0.00% Energy -0.14% -2.375% 5.97% Consumer Staples 0.27% 0.873% 31.46% Consumer Disc. Wai * Rai - Rpi R ai- R pi Wai Sectors 19. Attribution Analysis

  • Observations from Analysis
    • Impact of allocation effect more favorable than that of the selection effect
    • Review both allocation & selection strategies
    • Benefit from future investments in un-invested sectors
  • Over-weighted Sectors
    • Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, IT
  • Under-weighted Sectors
    • Consumer Staples, Financials, Industrials, Materials
  • Un-invested Sectors
    • Utilities, Energy, Telecom

20. Retrospection and Self-Analysis

  • Sector Allocation
    • Use S&P 500 Sector Allocation as a guide
    • Make adjustments based on Industry Research
  • Stock Selection
    • Growth vs. Value Stocks
    • Cyclical vs. Non-Cyclical Stocks
    • Benchmark Risk
  • Underperforming Stocks
    • Sound Fundamentals vs. Poor Price Momentum
    • Hold, Add, or Sell

21. Outlook

  • Continued economic strength
  • Growth at a more moderate pace
  • Continued stock market strength
  • Modest interest rate increase

22. Impact

  • Overweight IT and Healthcare
  • Be aware of interest rate sensitivity ofholdings
  • Select stocks leveraged to the currenteconomic environment

23. Activity Update As of Mar 05, 2004

  • Received additional $150,000 from theFoundation
  • Initiated positions in: WAG, NXTL,CTSH
  • Stock selection process underway

24. Thank you

  • University of Connecticut Foundation Inc.
  • Investment Advisory Board
  • Dr. Chinmoy Ghosh

25.

  • Questions?