Interdependent Urbanization in an Urban World, An Historical Overview.david Clark.1997

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    Interdependent Urbanization in an Urban World: An Historical OverviewAuthor(s): David ClarkReviewed work(s):Source: The Geographical Journal, Vol. 164, No. 1 (Mar., 1998), pp. 85-95Published by: Wileyon behalf of The Royal Geographical Society (with the Institute of British Geographers)

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    The

    Geographical

    ournal,

    Vol.

    164,

    No.

    1,

    March

    1998,

    pp.

    85-95

    Interdependent

    Urbanization

    in an Urban

    World:

    an

    Historical

    Overview

    DAVID CLARK

    Geography

    ubjectArea,

    oventry

    niversity,

    riory

    t,

    Coventy

    CV1

    5FB. E-mail:

    [email protected]

    This

    paper

    was

    acceptedforublication

    n

    April

    1997

    The

    distribution

    of the world's

    population

    is now more urban

    than rural.

    Contemporary

    and

    historical

    urban

    patterns

    are identified and

    their

    causes

    are

    evaluated. Urban devel-

    opment

    was

    largely

    confined to

    developed

    countries before

    mid-century

    but has

    spread

    to

    developing

    countries since.

    Both

    outcomes

    are

    seen

    as

    interdependent consequences

    of

    the

    growth

    and

    geographical

    extension of

    capitalism.

    The merits of the

    interdepen-

    dency theory

    are assessed. Recent urbanization

    in Africa

    and

    Asia

    is a locational

    response to the new global economic order. Cities have grown because of the influx of

    manufacturing

    and service

    jobs

    from the

    developed

    economies,

    and the

    in-migration

    of

    workers

    displaced

    by agricultural adjustment.

    The

    prospects

    for

    further urbanization

    are

    considered.

    KEY WORDS:

    world urban

    development,

    urbanization,

    capitalism,globalism, nterdependency heory.

    T

    HE

    LAST DECADE OF the twentieth

    century

    marks a

    major

    watershed

    in

    the evolution of

    human

    settlement,

    or it

    encompasses

    the

    period

    during

    which the location of the world's

    people

    became more urban than rural (Clark, 1996).

    Variations

    among

    countries

    in

    the

    quality

    of their

    census data and

    in

    the

    ways

    in

    which urban

    areas are

    defined

    mean

    that

    it

    is not

    possible

    to be

    exact,

    but

    it

    is

    likely

    that 1996 was the

    year

    in

    which the

    figure

    of

    50

    per

    cent urban

    was

    achieved.

    Despite

    its

    symbolic

    significance,

    this

    historical event went

    largely

    unre-

    cognized

    and

    unreported.

    More

    of the

    5.4

    billion

    inhabitants

    of

    the

    globe

    now

    live

    in

    urban settlements

    than

    in

    villages

    and hamlets.1 No

    longer

    are towns

    and cities

    exceptional

    settlement forms

    in

    predomi-

    nantly

    rural societies.

    The

    world is

    an

    urban

    place.

    Urban

    development

    on

    this scale is

    a remarkable

    geographical phenomenon.

    Instead of

    being spread

    widely

    and

    thinly

    across the surface of the habitable

    earth,

    a

    population

    that

    is

    urban

    is

    one

    in

    which vast

    numbers of

    people

    are clustered

    together

    in

    very

    small areas. Levels of

    urbanization, however,

    are far

    from uniform

    (United

    Nations,

    1991). They

    are

    high

    across

    the

    Americas,

    most of

    Europe, parts

    of

    west-

    ern Asia and

    Australia

    (Fig.

    1).

    South

    America is

    the

    most urban continent with the

    population

    in

    all but

    one

    of

    its countries

    (Guyana)

    being

    more urban than

    rural. More than 80

    per

    cent

    of

    the

    population

    live

    in

    towns

    and

    cities

    in

    Venezuela,

    Uruguay,

    Chile

    and Argentina. Levels of urban development are low

    throughout

    most

    of

    Africa,

    South

    and East Asia

    (Brunn

    and

    Williams,

    1993).

    Fewer than one

    person

    0016-7398/98/0001-0085/$00.20/0

    in

    three

    in

    sub-Saharan Africa

    is

    an

    urban

    dweller.

    The

    figure

    is below

    20

    per

    cent in

    Ethiopia,

    Malawi,

    Uganda,

    Burkina

    Faso,

    Rwanda and

    Burundi.

    Despite

    the

    presence

    of

    some

    large

    cities,

    levels of

    urban development throughout South and South

    East Asia are low

    (Dogan

    and

    Kasarda,

    1989;

    1990;

    Chen and

    Heligman, 1994).

    An

    estimated

    41

    per

    cent of

    China's

    1.2

    billion

    people

    and

    29

    per

    cent of

    India's 0.96 billion

    lived

    in

    towns and

    cities

    in

    1995.

    The

    Himalayan

    kingdom

    of

    Bhutan is

    reckoned to

    be the world's

    most

    rural

    sovereign

    state,

    with

    only

    six

    per

    cent

    of its

    population living

    in

    towns and

    cities.

    The urban world

    has

    emerged only very

    recently.

    Towns

    and

    cities

    have

    existed for over

    eight

    millen-

    nia,

    but fewer than three

    per

    cent

    of

    the world's

    pop-

    ulation

    lived

    in

    urban

    places

    in

    1800.

    According

    to

    Davis

    (1965;

    1969)

    it was around 27

    per

    cent in

    1950,

    by

    which time

    most of the

    countries

    in

    what is

    now

    regarded

    as

    the

    developed

    world were

    predomi-

    nantly

    urban

    (Fig.

    2).

    Urbanization as a

    phenomenon

    that

    encompasses

    the

    majority

    of the world's

    popula-

    tion is a

    consequence

    of a

    massive rise

    in

    the

    percent-

    age

    of the

    population

    that is

    urban

    in

    the

    developing

    world,

    especially

    in

    Africa and Asia

    (Gugler,

    1988;

    Gilbert and

    Gugler,

    1992).

    This shift in

    the locus of

    urban

    development

    raises

    far-reaching

    questions

    con-

    cerning

    the causes of recent and

    current urbanization

    in

    developing

    countries and

    its links with that

    in

    developed areas. This paper explores and attempts to

    explain

    such

    patterns

    and

    relationships

    in an

    histori-

    cal context. It

    overviews

    the

    principal stages

    in

    the

    ?

    1998 The

    Royal Geographical

    Society

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    Percentage

    of

    population

    O

    -

    19.9

    X,

    urban n

    1995

    ' _

    B

    20-39.9

    I[

    40 -59.9

    m,

    60

    -

    79.9

    80-100

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    http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsphttp://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsphttp://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp
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    Percentage

    of

    population

    urban

    n

    1950

    0- 19.9

    L

    20 - 39.9

    [

    40-59.9

    Ir

    60- 79.9

    80-100

    E

    Fig.

    2.

    The

    percentage

    f

    world's

    opulation

    hatwas

    urban

    n

    1950

    --il

    ~ ~ ~ ~

    .

    .....

    .. .. ... .. ... . . . . .

    . . .. . . . . .

    .

    .

    .

    . .

    . .

    . . . .

    . .

    .

    .

    .

    . .

    . .

    . . . .

    . . .

    .

    .

    . . . . . . . . . . . .

    . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

    . .

    . . . . . . . . . . . .

    .

    .

    . . .

    .

    .

    .

    . . .

    . . .

    .

    . . .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    . .

    . . .

    . .

    . .

    .

    . . .

    .

    .

    .

    . .

    . .

    .

    . .

    .

    .

    .

    . . .

    . . . .

    .

    .

    . .

    .

    .

    . .

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    INTERDEPENDENT URBANIZATION IN AN URBAN WORLD

    evolution

    of the urban world and

    suggests

    that

    they

    can be

    explained by

    an

    interdependency

    theory

    of

    global

    urban

    development.

    Interdependency

    heoy

    Urban

    development

    is

    the

    consequence

    of

    deep-

    seated and

    persistent processes

    that enable and

    encourage people

    to amass

    in

    geographical

    space.

    Historically,

    two

    separate prerequisites

    were

    neces-

    sary:

    the

    generation

    of

    surplus

    products

    that sustain

    people

    in

    non-agricultural

    activities

    (Childe,

    1950;

    Harvey,

    1973),

    and the achievement of a level

    of

    social

    development

    that allows

    large

    communities to

    be

    socially

    viable and stable

    (Lampard,

    1965).

    Urban

    historians

    suggest

    that these

    changes

    took

    place

    simultaneously

    in

    the Neolithic

    period

    when the first

    cities

    emerged

    in

    the Middle East

    (Wheatley, 1971).

    It

    is

    further

    thought

    that the volume of

    surplus pro-

    duct imposed a ceiling upon urban development in

    the

    pre-industrial

    society

    (Sjoberg,

    1960).

    A

    second

    coincidence of economic and social

    change

    was asso-

    ciated with

    the rise

    of

    industrial

    capitalism

    in

    the late

    eighteenth

    century.

    This initiated

    powerful processes

    of

    urban

    growth

    and

    urbanization that

    led to the

    emergence

    of urban societies

    in

    Great

    Britain,

    North

    West

    Europe

    and

    North

    America

    (Pred, 1977).

    Although they

    may

    explain

    the

    principal

    historical

    turning

    points,

    theories

    of

    self-generated

    urbaniza-

    tion do

    not and cannot account for the

    recent urban-

    ization of

    developing

    countries. This occurred in a

    world that was already partly urbanized, and the

    sheer scale and

    pace

    of

    the

    changes

    involved

    point

    to

    the

    operation

    of

    widespread

    and

    powerful

    non-local

    forces. Structuralist

    interpretations

    advanced

    by

    Wallerstein

    (1979)

    and

    Goldfrank

    (1979),

    and elabo-

    rated

    by

    Chase-Dunn

    (1989),

    Dicken

    (1992)

    and

    Taylor (1993),

    link

    recent

    changes

    in

    the roles and

    organization

    of the

    economies

    of

    developing

    coun-

    tries to

    the

    growth

    and extension of

    capitalism

    in an

    emerging

    world

    system

    of nations.

    Urbanization can

    similarly

    be seen

    as an

    internal locational

    response

    to

    the

    absorption

    of such areas within an

    integrated

    global

    economy (King,

    1990;

    Timberlake, 1984;

    1987).

    Capitalism produces

    urbanization

    by

    concen-

    trating production

    and

    consumption

    in

    locations that

    afford the

    greatest

    economies of

    scale,

    agglomeration

    and

    linkage,

    and where control over sources and

    sup-

    ply

    can be exercised with maximum

    effectiveness,

    at

    least cost

    (Johnston, 1980).

    An

    important

    feature of

    this structuralist

    nterpretation

    is the

    emphasis

    that

    is

    placed

    on

    historical

    continuity.

    The urbanization of

    the

    developing

    world

    since

    1950,

    and of

    the deve-

    loped

    world before this

    date,

    have

    the same basic

    causes.

    They

    are

    interdependent consequences

    of the

    growth

    and

    expansion

    of

    capitalism.

    Structuralists see the spread of capitalism to the

    developing

    world as the

    most recent

    stage

    in

    the

    development

    of

    capitalism

    as an

    economic

    system

    (Chase-Dunn,

    1989).

    It is a result of

    changes

    in

    the

    ways

    in which wealth is

    accumulated,

    and the evolu-

    tion of the

    world-system

    of nations

    (Table I).

    The

    former is a

    product

    of the

    sequential

    evolution

    of the

    prevailing

    economic formation from

    mercantilism,

    through

    industrial and

    monopoly capitalism,

    to

    transnational

    corporate capitalism (Castells,

    1977;

    Goldfrank,

    1979;

    Chase-Dunn,

    1989).

    It

    has its own

    momentum

    in

    the form of

    the drive for

    ever-higher

    levels of

    output

    and

    profit

    through

    the

    development

    of

    new sources of

    wealth and units of

    production.

    It

    is

    characterized,

    according

    to

    proponents

    of the

    'reg-

    ulation school'

    (Boyer,

    1990), by

    the

    periodic

    emer-

    gence

    of

    powerful

    social and

    cultural

    norms,

    such as

    Fordism and

    post-Fordism,

    which serve

    to

    regulate

    the

    inherently

    unstable course of accumulation

    (Jessop,

    1990;

    1992;

    Lipietz,

    1992).

    The latter

    struc-

    tural

    development

    is

    concerned with

    geopolitics

    and

    involves the division of the world into progressively

    larger spheres

    of

    economic association

    and

    exchange

    based

    upon

    changing space

    relations and

    systems

    of

    supply (Taylor,

    1993).

    It

    is associated with the

    rise

    to

    economic

    and

    political

    dominance of a

    small

    group

    of core

    nations led

    by

    the USA

    as the foremost

    hege-

    monic

    power.

    Interdependency theory proposes

    a

    single

    explana-

    tion

    or

    interpretation

    for

    urbanization,

    whether

    in

    developed

    or

    in

    developing

    economies. It has echoes

    in

    dependency

    theory

    which

    explores

    and

    attempts

    to account for

    the links between

    development

    in

    core

    regions and underdevelopment in the periphery

    (Frank,

    1967; 1969; Hette,

    1990).

    Dependency theory

    suggests

    that

    underdevelopment

    is

    a

    result

    of

    the

    plunder

    and

    exploitation

    of

    peripheral

    economies

    by

    economic and

    political groups

    in

    core areas.

    Interdependency

    theory

    argues

    that urban

    develop-

    ment,

    wherever

    it

    occurs,

    is one

    of

    the

    spatial

    out-

    comes of

    capitalism.

    When seen from the

    developing

    world,

    most

    recent urbanization

    appears

    to

    be

    'dependent',

    in

    the

    sense that

    it

    is introduced or

    imposed by

    the

    developed

    world. From

    a

    global

    perspective,

    however,

    all

    urbanization can be held to

    be

    interdependent

    in

    that it

    stems

    centrally

    from

    cap-

    italism and its

    spatial

    relations. This is not to

    say

    that all

    urbanization has

    arisen

    in

    an identical

    way

    and

    is, therefore,

    the

    same

    in all

    countries.

    Capitalism

    has

    adopted

    different

    forms

    at different

    times,

    and

    is

    regulated

    in

    different

    ways,

    so

    producing spatially

    differentiated

    patterns

    of urban

    development

    at the

    global

    scale.

    The

    interdependency theory

    of

    global

    urban

    development

    can be criticized on four

    principal

    grounds.

    The

    first,

    in

    common with

    structuralist

    interpretations

    generally,

    is

    that it is

    stronger

    on

    sug-

    gested

    associations than on

    causal

    linkages.

    This

    is

    especially important given the debate between struc-

    turalists who

    see

    such

    links as

    arising

    directly

    from

    the

    mode of

    accumulation,

    and

    regulationists

    who

    88

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    INTERDEPENDENT

    URBANIZATION IN AN URBAN

    WORLD

    TABLE I

    Principaltages

    n

    global

    urban

    evelopment

    1780-1880 1880-1950

    Mode

    f

    accumulation

    Economicformation

    Source

    of

    wealth

    Representative

    nit of

    production

    World-system

    haracteristics

    Space

    relations

    System

    of

    supply

    Hegemonic

    powers

    Urban

    onsequences

    Level of

    urbanization t startof

    period

    (%)

    Areasof

    urbanization

    duringperiod

    Dominant cities

    Industrial apitalism

    Manufacturing

    Factory

    Atlanticbasin

    Colonialism/imperialism

    Britain

    3

    Britain

    London

    Monopoly capitalism

    Manufacturing

    Multi-national

    orporation

    Interational

    State

    mperialism

    Britain,

    USA

    5

    North-western

    Europe,

    the

    Americas,

    coastsof

    Empires

    London,

    New

    York

    Corporate apitalism

    Manufacturing

    nd

    services

    Transnational

    orporation,

    global factory

    Global

    Corporate

    mperialism

    USA

    27

    Africa

    and Asia

    New

    York,

    London,

    Tokyo

    trace

    their

    origins

    to social and

    cultural

    norms

    through

    which

    accumulation is

    regulated

    (Roberts,

    1995;

    Painter,

    1995).

    The

    fact

    that

    capitalism

    changed

    at

    a time of

    massive

    urbanization does not

    necessarily

    mply

    a

    functional connection.

    Coincidence

    is not the same as

    causation and the

    mechanisms

    involved,

    which

    may vary

    over time and

    space,

    are matters for detailed

    empirical investigation

    and

    elaboration.

    A

    second reservation

    is

    that

    urbanization

    in

    the

    developing

    world

    lagged

    so far

    behind that

    in

    the

    developed world that it cannot be regarded as part of

    the same

    process.

    Britain

    was an

    urban industrial

    society

    for

    three-quarters

    of

    a

    century

    before

    any

    ter-

    ritory

    in

    what is now the

    developing

    world

    passed

    the

    50

    per

    cent urban

    threshold,

    and

    the urbanization of

    most of the

    developing

    world

    did not

    gather

    real

    momentum until after

    1950.

    It is

    important,

    how-

    ever,

    to

    place

    urbanization

    in

    its

    context

    of

    space

    and

    time. Global

    urbanization involves

    massive shifts

    in

    the

    distribution

    of

    population

    over a wide area

    and is

    inherently

    a slow

    process.

    It

    is

    perhaps

    no

    accident

    that

    self-sustaining

    urban

    development

    first

    occurred

    in

    Great

    Britain;

    a

    very

    small

    country

    where forces of

    urban

    growth

    were concentrated

    (Carter

    and

    Lewis,

    1991).

    A

    sense of

    perspective

    is

    also

    important.

    When

    looking

    back over

    the last two centuries from

    the

    present, lags

    of

    a

    few

    decades

    appear

    to be

    of

    major

    significance.

    In the

    context of

    eight

    millennia of

    urban

    history

    they

    are

    trivial.

    A

    third criticism

    is

    that

    interdependency

    theory

    undervalues the rich

    traditions

    of

    urban

    development,

    supported by

    non-capitalist

    economic

    systems

    that

    existed

    in

    many

    developing

    countries.

    Highly

    success-

    ful urban

    civilizations existed in

    ancient

    Egypt,

    India,

    China, Cambodia,

    Peru,

    Mexico and

    Nigeria

    in

    states and economic systems that were religious,

    military

    or

    feudalistic

    in

    formation.

    Independency

    theory,

    however,

    recognizes

    the

    achievements of

    non-capitalist

    economies,

    although

    it is

    argued

    that

    they

    were

    incidental to

    global

    urban

    development.

    Levels of

    productivity

    and

    surplus

    in

    early

    urban

    hearthlands

    were

    never

    high

    enough

    to

    facilitate

    self-

    sustaining

    urban

    development,

    and

    so their

    impor-

    tance was

    localized.

    Rather

    than

    denying

    and

    devaluing

    their

    contribution,

    interdependency theory

    provides

    a

    powerful

    explanation

    as to

    why

    non-

    industrial urban

    economies were not

    more

    successful.

    The final

    criticism is that

    capitalist

    theories

    do lit-

    tle more than state

    the obvious and

    often

    in

    a lan-

    guage that serves to obscure rather than to clarify.

    Capitalism

    is

    the

    prevailing

    economic

    formation

    in

    most countries.

    To

    say

    that it

    causes

    urbanization is

    to

    advance

    explanation

    and

    understanding

    very

    little

    as

    all social

    outcomes,

    both

    structural

    and

    spatial,

    are

    the

    products

    of

    capitalism.

    Such

    arguments

    have

    some

    validity

    at

    the most

    general

    level but

    they

    fail

    to

    distinguish

    between

    capitalism

    as an

    underlying

    prin-

    ciple

    and

    capitalism

    as a

    specific

    and

    evolving

    eco-

    nomic

    formation.

    The value of

    interdependency

    theory

    lies

    not

    in

    its foundations in

    capitalism per

    se,

    but

    in

    the links that

    it

    proposes

    between

    successive

    stages

    in

    the evolution of

    capitalism

    and

    urban deve-

    lopment

    across the world.

    The

    urbanization

    f

    the

    developed

    orld

    The

    extent to which

    urbanization in

    the

    developed

    and

    developing

    worlds

    is

    an

    interdependent

    conse-

    quence

    of

    the

    evolution of

    capitalism

    and

    its

    chang-

    ing

    space

    relations

    becomes clear with

    historical

    analysis.

    A

    useful

    starting point

    is

    Weber's classic

    work on The

    growth of

    cities in the

    nineteenth

    entury

    (1899).

    Mapping

    data

    of

    questionable

    quality,

    relat-

    ing

    in

    some

    cases

    to

    long-forgotten

    countries,

    pro-

    vides

    only

    the

    crudest

    of

    indications,

    but the

    limited

    extent of urbanization at the global scale is clear (Fig.

    3). Only

    three

    areas in

    Great

    Britain,

    North-West

    Europe

    and the USA were

    more than

    20

    per

    cent

    89

    1950-

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    7/12

    INTERDEPENDENT

    URBANIZATION

    IN AN

    URBAN

    WORLD

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    8/12

    INTERDEPENDENT URBANIZATION IN

    AN

    URBAN

    WORLD

    urban

    in

    1890. With less than

    three

    per

    cent

    of the

    world's

    population living

    in towns and

    cities,

    there

    was

    little

    or no urban

    development

    in

    most other

    territories.

    Urbanization

    in the

    developing

    world was

    restricted to concentrations

    of

    population

    around

    points

    of

    supply.

    The industries of the

    developed

    economies used domestic coal

    and iron ore to build

    and

    power

    machines to

    process

    cotton,

    sugar,

    jute,

    rubber,

    tobacco, wheat,

    tea

    and rice

    imported

    from

    imperial

    territories. The accumulation of these

    agri-

    cultural commodities

    led to limited urban

    develop-

    ment

    in

    developing

    countries that

    was

    not

    detectable

    at the

    global

    scale.

    'Sao Paulo

    grew

    on

    the basis of

    coffee,

    Accra

    on

    cocoa,

    Calcutta

    on

    jute,

    cotton and

    textiles,

    and Buenos Aires on

    mutton,

    wool and cere-

    als'

    (Gilbert

    and

    Gugler,

    1992:

    47).

    Urban

    develop-

    ment

    in

    association with

    agricultural supply

    similarly

    took place in the West Indies and Indonesia,

    Malaysia

    and the Far East

    (King,

    1990).

    Although

    cities were established

    along

    the coasts of

    empire,

    these

    developments

    did

    little

    to

    change

    the over-

    whelmingly

    rural distribution

    of

    the

    local

    population.

    Industrial

    capitalism

    was succeeded

    by monopoly

    capitalism

    towards the end

    of the

    nineteenth

    century

    (Wallerstein, 1979).

    It was

    distinguished

    by

    a

    vastly

    increased

    scale of economic

    activity

    and the domina-

    tion of

    newly-created

    international

    markets,

    within

    state-controlled

    empires, by

    a

    small

    number of

    pro-

    ducers

    in each sector.

    Monopoly capitalism emerged

    in response to the demand for products that was gen-

    erated

    by

    the

    rapidly growing

    population

    of the

    industrial nations.

    This stimulated manufacturers to

    diversify

    from

    making heavy,

    crude

    products

    into the

    mass

    production

    of a wide

    range

    of

    consumer

    goods

    and services. Increased

    output

    occurred both because

    the core economies

    in

    Europe

    became more

    produc-

    tive,

    and because the

    manufacturing

    belt

    of

    the

    USA

    attained core status

    alongside

    Britain, France,

    Germany

    and the

    Low Countries

    during

    the 1880s

    (Chase-Dunn,

    1989).

    It was achieved

    through

    the

    consolidation

    of

    many factory

    enterprises

    into multi-

    national

    corporations

    that

    typically engaged

    in

    many

    functions in

    many

    areas, both at home and in the

    periphery.

    Monopoly capitalism

    involved

    the

    ruthless

    exploitation

    of

    peripheral

    areas.

    The

    larger

    scale

    of

    industrial

    activity

    required

    the international

    sourcing

    of

    raw

    materials

    and

    marketing

    of manufactured

    products,

    so the success of

    the core

    regions

    became

    dependent

    on their

    ability

    to

    dominate

    and

    control

    overseas territories.

    This was either

    through

    formal

    imperialism,

    or else

    through corporate

    power

    and

    influence. Britain established itself as the

    leading

    imperial power

    after about

    1880,

    when

    it

    increas-

    ingly drew its industrial raw materials including ores,

    oil and rubber from around the world and

    in

    return

    supplied

    its

    overseas

    possessions

    (in

    India,

    Africa,

    the

    Far

    East and other

    territories)

    with

    railways, ships,

    machinery,

    arms and

    motor vehicles.

    Similarly,

    the

    USA

    rapidly

    became a

    major

    international

    player

    after 1909

    when,

    symbolically,

    Selfridges

    store was

    opened

    in

    Oxford

    Street, London,

    at

    the

    very

    centre

    of the

    dominant

    power

    in the

    world

    economy (King,

    1990).

    Thereafter,

    many

    major

    US

    corporations

    developed

    international

    spheres

    of

    operation.

    Monopoly capitalism produced

    further urban

    growth

    and

    urbanization

    in

    an

    expanded

    core,

    although

    urban

    development

    in the

    periphery

    remained

    limited.

    Precise

    comparison

    of the urban

    world

    in

    1890

    (Fig. 3)

    with that

    in

    1950

    (Fig.

    2)

    is

    inappropriate

    because of the

    quality

    of

    the

    data,

    but

    the broad

    pattern

    of

    change

    is clear.

    Urbanization

    in

    the

    first

    half of

    the twentieth

    century

    occurred most

    rapidly

    and

    extensively

    in

    Europe,

    the Americas and

    Australasia. Most of the rest of the world

    was unaf-

    fected.

    Urban

    development

    between 1890 and

    1950

    is

    explained

    by

    processes

    of

    population

    concentration

    that were associated

    with

    the economic

    and

    political

    imperialism

    of the United

    States,

    Russia,

    the United

    Kingdom

    and

    France.

    High

    levels

    of urban

    develop-

    ment

    in

    Canada,

    South

    and

    Central America were

    a

    legacy

    of British trade

    and,

    more

    recently,

    corporate

    links with the USA. Limited

    urban

    development

    existed across the Russian

    empire

    in

    Asia,

    Central

    and Eastern

    Europe.

    Urbanization elsewhere

    in

    the

    periphery

    was

    largely

    a

    localized

    product

    of

    British

    and French imperialism. Although only a quarter of

    the

    population

    lived

    in

    urban

    places,

    the

    principal

    feature of

    the urban

    world,

    in

    1950,

    was

    that the

    cycle

    of urbanization

    in

    the

    developed

    countries

    was,

    or was

    very

    nearly, complete

    (Davis,

    1965).

    In

    most

    developing

    countries it had

    hardly

    begun.

    Theneweconomic

    rder

    The

    developing

    world has urbanized

    since 1950 as

    a

    consequence

    of a new economic

    order

    resulting

    from

    the

    reorganization

    of

    production,

    labour, finance,

    service

    provision

    and

    competition,

    on a transnational

    basis. Over the

    past

    half

    century,

    an

    increasing

    share

    of

    production

    has been

    organized

    globally

    rather

    than

    within

    the narrow confines of

    nation-states or

    empires

    (UNCTC,

    1993).

    Much

    production

    has

    shifted to

    the

    developing

    world

    both

    as a means

    of

    penetrating

    local

    markets and

    in

    order to use

    cheap

    labour

    to make

    goods

    for

    sale

    in

    the core economies

    and elsewhere

    (Frobel

    et

    al.,

    1980; Sit,

    1993).

    Examples

    include electronic

    goods, drugs,

    motor

    vehicles,

    clothing,

    machine

    tools

    and domestic

    appliances.

    At

    the same

    time,

    several

    countries

    in

    the

    developing

    world have

    expanded

    their

    manufacturing capabili-

    ties,

    and the firms

    in

    these

    newly-industrialized

    economies have captured markets for their products

    in the

    developed

    world

    (Lo, 1994).

    The

    production

    of

    some

    foodstuffs has also been

    reorganized

    on a

    91

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    INTERDEPENDENT URBANIZATION IN AN URBAN WORLD

    commercial basis

    so that it can be

    exchanged globally.

    Domestic

    agricultural production

    in

    many

    develop-

    ing

    countries

    has

    been

    replaced

    by production

    for

    export,

    a beneficial

    consequence,

    as far as

    global

    capitalists

    are

    concerned,

    being

    that it

    generates

    cur-

    rency

    that can be used

    to

    purchase

    more

    imports

    and so increase external

    dependency.

    The transnationalization

    of

    production

    involves

    the manufacture of

    global products,

    with

    global

    brand

    names,

    which are assembled across

    the world

    from

    components

    made in a number of countries

    (Dicken,

    1992;

    Dunning,

    1992).

    It is achieved

    by

    direct investment

    by

    firms

    from

    the

    core economies

    in

    developing

    countries where

    they

    can

    take advan-

    tage

    of

    large pools

    of

    very

    cheap

    labour.

    A new

    pat-

    tern of

    specialization

    has

    emerged

    that owes less to

    traditional

    distinctions between

    core and

    periphery

    and more to the

    jobs

    that

    workers

    perform

    within

    transnational corporate empires. The basis of the

    new international division

    of labour is the direct

    employment

    of

    large

    numbers of workers

    in

    low-cost

    overseas territories

    to

    perform

    standard

    production

    tasks

    (Cohen,

    1981;

    Feagin

    and

    Smith,

    1987).

    Rather

    than

    peripheral

    supply

    and core

    area

    processing,

    which was the

    pattern

    under

    industrial and mono-

    poly capitalism,

    the new economic order

    is one of

    peripheral

    production

    and

    manufacturing,

    and

    core

    area

    research,

    development,

    design,

    administration

    and control

    (Castells,

    1992).

    This

    pattern

    was made

    possible

    by,

    and in

    turn

    gave rise to,

    a new

    pattern

    of

    international finance.

    A

    global system

    of

    supply

    and

    circulation

    has

    emerged

    in

    recent

    years

    in

    place

    of the bilateral

    funding

    arrangements,

    tied to

    trading

    blocs

    and dominated

    by

    governments,

    that existed

    at

    mid-century.

    The

    new

    system

    is directed and controlled

    by

    the

    economies of the

    developed

    world

    through

    a small

    number of

    powerful

    banks,

    finance houses

    and

    exchanges

    which

    rank

    alongside

    transnational

    corpo-

    rations

    as

    global

    institutions

    (Thrift, 1987;1989).

    The world cities

    in

    which

    they

    are located are the

    command and

    control

    points

    of the

    global

    economy

    (Sassen,

    1994;

    Knox

    and

    Taylor,

    1994).

    Developments in production and finance are sup-

    ported

    by

    the

    growth

    of

    the

    international

    service

    economy

    (Daniels,

    1991;

    1993).

    Service activities that

    were once

    domestically

    bound

    have

    reorganized

    on

    an

    international

    basis

    in order to serve the needs

    of

    businesses

    operating

    across

    the

    globe

    (Warf,

    1989).

    This

    trend is reflected

    in

    the rise

    of

    the advanced

    producer

    services

    sector,

    which

    includes

    insurance,

    accountancy,

    real

    estate,

    legal, advertising,

    research

    and

    development, public

    relations and

    management

    consultancy

    firms. Global business

    is further facil-

    itated

    by

    means

    of the

    organization

    of

    employee

    services, including hotel accommodation, car hire

    and

    personal

    finance,

    on

    an

    international basis.

    The new economic order

    emerged alongside,

    as

    part-cause

    and

    part-consequence,

    of

    a

    new

    political

    geography

    (Taylor,

    1993).

    By

    far the most

    important

    feature was the

    ending

    of

    imperialism by

    Britain,

    France,

    Belgium

    and the Netherlands and the attain-

    ment of

    political independence by many

    colonial

    territories

    n

    Africa and Asia between 1950

    and 1980

    (Corbridge,

    1993).

    This added further

    changes

    to the

    political map,

    which had been

    transformed

    during

    the 1940s

    by

    the

    post-war redrawing

    of boundaries

    in

    Europe

    and

    by

    the withdrawal of

    the

    British

    from

    the Indian

    sub-continent.

    Together

    these

    develop-

    ments

    produced

    a

    large

    number

    of new

    nation-states

    that

    were

    keen to

    participate

    in

    the world

    economy

    in

    order to

    enjoy

    the benefits of trade and Aid.

    The

    new

    pattern

    was created

    in

    conditions of relative

    peace

    and

    prosperity,

    certainly

    in

    comparison

    with

    those that

    prevailed

    in the

    previous

    half

    century

    with

    its two world wars and

    numerous

    regional

    conflicts.

    Theurbanization

    f

    the

    developing

    orld

    The

    new economic order

    is

    principally responsible

    for the

    recent

    rapid

    urbanization

    of the

    periphery

    (Timberlake,

    1984;

    1987).

    Transnational

    corporate

    capitalism

    produced

    and is

    producing

    urbanization

    in the

    periphery

    both

    directly,

    as a

    consequence

    of

    urban

    growth

    in

    response

    to

    localized

    investment,

    and

    indirectly, through

    its

    impact

    on traditional

    pat-

    terns of

    production

    and

    employment.

    The former

    arises because economic

    exchanges

    between

    core

    and

    periphery

    are

    spatially

    focused and so lead to

    a

    concentration of

    globally-related

    economic

    activity

    in

    urban

    places.

    Cities,

    especially

    national

    capitals

    and

    those with

    major ports

    or

    international

    airports,

    offer

    overwhelming

    advantages

    for

    profitable

    investment,

    affording

    wide access to

    cheap

    labour

    and to

    domes-

    tic markets. Such

    places

    are

    typically

    the

    major

    and

    in

    some cases the

    only

    centres

    in

    the

    country

    for

    large-scale

    industry, hospitals,

    universities,

    media

    services

    and

    facilities

    for

    sport

    and the arts. As

    cosmopolitan

    centres with

    good

    external connections

    they

    are

    attractive

    to

    corporate managers

    and

    spe-

    cialist workers

    on

    overseas

    postings.

    They

    are

    likely

    to be the home base of local elites

    that

    shape

    behav-

    iour and consumption patterns towards which others

    in the

    country

    aspire.

    The

    urban concentration

    of

    foreign

    investment-led

    economic

    activity

    is

    high

    across much

    of

    the

    peri-

    phery.

    In

    Indonesia,

    Forbes and

    Thrift

    (1987)

    found

    that overseas investment was

    largely

    restricted to the

    area

    aroundJakarta

    where

    all

    major

    foreign

    corpora-

    tions had their

    headquarters.

    Abidjan,

    the

    capital

    of

    the

    Ivory

    Coast,

    has 15

    per

    cent

    of the national

    pop-

    ulation but

    accounts

    for

    more

    than 70

    per

    cent

    of all

    economic and commercial transactions

    in

    the coun-

    try.

    Bangkok

    accounts

    for 86

    per

    cent of Gross

    National Product in banking, insurance and real

    estate,

    and

    74

    per

    cent of

    manufacturing,

    but has

    only

    13

    per

    cent of

    Thailand's

    population. Lagos,

    92

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    10/12

    INTERDEPENDENT

    RBANIZATION

    N

    AN

    URBANWORLD

    with 5

    per

    cent

    of

    Nigeria's population,

    accounts for

    57

    per

    cent of total Value

    Added

    in

    manufacturing

    and

    has

    40

    per

    cent of the nation's

    highly

    skilled

    labour

    (Kasarda

    and

    Parnell,

    1993).

    Urbanization is also

    taking

    place

    as an indirect

    consequence

    of the

    impact

    of transnational

    corporate

    capitalism

    upon

    the economies of

    developing

    coun-

    tries.

    The

    central

    argument

    here

    is that

    adjustments

    in

    economic

    structure are enforced as the

    price,

    or

    penalty,

    for

    incorporation

    within the world

    economy.

    These lead

    to

    the release

    of

    large

    numbers of workers

    from traditional

    occupations,

    who flock into the

    towns

    and cities and

    so

    contribute to urban

    growth

    and urbanization. Peasant

    farmers are foremost

    amongst

    those

    whose

    livelihoods are undermined

    by

    the

    drive for

    production

    of

    goods

    that will

    generate

    foreign currency,

    both to

    help

    reduce national

    indebtedness and to enable

    governments

    to

    acquire

    the symbols of statehood such as grand presidential

    palaces

    and national airlines.

    Many

    have been

    displaced

    from their traditional lands and means

    of

    subsistence

    by

    the introduction of commercial

    agri-

    culture that is

    geared

    to

    the

    production

    of

    exotic

    fruits,

    flowers and

    out-of-season

    vegetables

    for devel-

    oped

    world consumers

    (Susman, 1989). They

    include

    large

    numbers of the

    very poor

    who have

    no alterna-

    tive sources

    of

    employment

    and must look

    to the

    city

    for survival.

    Droughts

    and civil

    wars,

    especially

    in

    parts

    of

    Africa

    have

    further undermined the

    viability

    of traditional

    farming, leading

    to increased rural

    -

    urban migration.

    The

    policies

    of

    post-colonial governments

    stimu-

    late urban

    growth by

    further

    enhancing

    the attrac-

    tiveness of towns

    and

    cities

    at

    the

    expense

    of rural

    areas

    (Auty,

    1995).

    One

    way

    is

    through

    the

    exagger-

    ated bias of

    government expenditures

    on infrastruc-

    ture and services

    in

    favour of urban areas. Another

    is

    the

    higher wage

    rates and better

    employment protec-

    tion that exist

    in

    cities because

    urban workers are

    organized

    into trade unions.

    A

    third

    is the

    decline

    in

    the demand

    for

    locally-produced staples

    as urban

    consumers

    develop

    a

    taste

    for

    imported

    food

    items.

    Such

    policies

    are

    creating

    'backwash urbanization'

    by destroying

    the

    vigour

    of rural areas and suffocat-

    ing

    the cities

    with

    the burden

    of the human casualties

    this

    process

    creates. The

    implications

    are

    seen

    in the

    rapid

    growth

    and dire social and environmental

    conditions

    of

    many

    cities and

    others

    in

    the develo-

    ping

    world

    that

    are

    swamped

    by

    large

    numbers

    of

    in-migrants looking

    for work and welfare

    (Berry,

    1973).

    Many

    of the urban

    consequences

    of the

    absorption

    into

    the

    global economy

    are

    exemplified

    by

    Zimbabwe,

    a

    country

    that attained formal sover-

    eignty

    in

    1980 after 15

    years

    of

    unilaterally

    declared

    independence (Drakakis-Smith, 1992). The modern

    urban

    system

    in

    Zimbabwe

    emerged

    under settler

    colonialism to facilitate the

    export

    of various

    commodities and the

    import

    of

    consumer

    goods.

    Cities were dominated

    by

    the White

    minority

    in the

    country,

    and other than

    those

    employed

    in

    domestic

    service

    and a

    very

    small

    number

    in

    industry

    and ser-

    vice

    activities,

    Blacks were

    prohibited

    unless

    they

    had

    a

    job

    and

    accommodation.

    In

    the

    countryside,

    some

    Blacks worked for White farmers but most were

    engaged

    in

    subsistence

    agriculture.

    The

    population

    was

    17

    per

    cent urban

    in

    1970. The

    favouring

    of the

    White

    colonialists,

    however,

    meant that social and

    health care services were

    city-based,

    and

    significant

    differences

    in

    standards of

    provision

    existed

    between

    urban and rural areas.

    This basic

    pattern

    was transformed

    during

    the

    1970s

    as

    a

    consequence

    of

    increased

    foreign

    invest-

    ment

    and the

    opening up

    of

    external markets for the

    products

    of Zimbabwe's farms

    and

    factories.

    Urbanization occurred

    through

    net

    in-migration

    to

    jobs in cities, as the manufacturing sector increased

    its

    contribution to the Gross National

    Product

    from

    10

    per

    cent

    in

    1965 to

    24

    per

    cent

    in

    1980

    (Stoneman,

    1979).

    At the same

    time,

    the mechaniza-

    tion

    of

    many

    of

    the

    larger

    commercial

    farms,

    and

    their increase in

    size,

    generated

    a

    surplus

    of

    Black

    labour

    in rural

    areas. Movement into the

    cities

    increased

    significantly

    after 1980 when

    the

    legislation

    permitting ownership

    and residence

    in

    cities

    was

    relaxed and removed.

    Many traditionally

    White

    areas of Zimbabwe's cities

    rapidly

    became Black

    (Cumming,

    1990).

    Urban

    growth

    was

    compounded

    when families were reunited and birth rates rose.

    Some 31

    per

    cent of the

    population

    was

    thought

    to

    live

    in

    urban

    places

    in

    1995 and the

    population

    of

    Greater Harare was

    in

    excess

    of 1.5 million. The

    recent

    rapid

    urbanization

    in

    Zimbabwe,

    in

    common

    with

    many

    African and Asian

    countries,

    is

    a

    conse-

    quence

    of structural and

    associated

    spatial

    changes

    that

    are associated with the

    transformation

    of a

    rural

    subsistence into

    an

    urban-based and

    politically

    inde-

    pendent

    commercial

    economy,

    which is

    incorporated

    within the

    global

    economic

    system.

    Detailed

    evidence

    on

    the links between

    global

    production

    and urbanization

    in

    developing

    countries

    is

    presently fragmentary.

    The research that has been

    undertaken

    points

    to

    the existence of a

    general

    relationship

    between

    incorporation

    within a

    global

    corporate capitalist

    economy

    and urban

    growth,

    but

    with wide variations from

    country

    to

    country.

    Taiwan,

    Singapore

    and

    Korea,

    where there

    is

    a

    clear

    connection,

    and

    China,

    where urban

    development

    is

    largely

    a

    consequence

    of rural

    changes

    associated

    with economic

    liberalization,

    perhaps represent

    the

    extremes. It

    is

    important

    also to

    distinguish

    within

    the

    periphery

    between

    experiences

    in

    South

    America,

    where levels of

    urban

    development

    are

    historicallyhigh, and Africa and Asia, where they are

    low.

    Both

    regions

    have been affected

    by

    the

    same

    adjustments

    associated

    with

    the

    emergence

    of the

    93

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    11/12

    INTERDEPENDENT URBANIZATION

    IN

    AN URBAN WORLD

    new

    economic

    order,

    but with

    different conse-

    quences.

    The

    effects

    in

    the

    former

    have

    largely

    been

    to

    consolidate

    existing

    urban

    patterns

    by

    compound-

    ing

    growth

    in

    existing

    centres.

    In

    Africa and

    Asia

    they

    have created and

    accelerated urban

    develop-

    ment where little existed before.

    Conclusions

    This

    paper

    has identified and

    attempted

    to account

    for the

    processes

    responsible

    for

    the creation of the

    contemporary

    urban world.

    The urbanization of

    developed

    countries

    took

    place

    before

    mid-century,

    and

    in

    the

    developing

    world has occurred

    since,

    but

    it is

    argued

    that the

    causes

    are similar and related.

    Both stem

    interdependently

    from the advance of

    capitalism

    and

    its

    spatial

    relations.

    The

    settlement

    patterns

    in

    most

    developing

    countries have been

    transformed

    in

    recent

    years

    as external

    investments

    have created jobs in cities and as workers, displaced

    from

    the land because of the

    switch from

    subsistence

    to commercial

    agriculture,

    have

    migrated

    to urban

    areas.

    Such

    changes

    are seen as

    consequences

    of the

    progressive

    incorporation

    of their

    economies

    within

    the

    global

    corporate capitalist economy.

    Attempts

    to

    explain global

    patterns

    raise

    many

    contentious issues

    that merit wider consideration.

    Theorists will debate the

    concept

    of

    'underdevelop-

    ment',

    the reasons for the rise and

    reproduction

    of

    capitalism,

    and the extent to which individual coun-

    tries or

    parts

    of countries

    in

    Africa

    and Asia

    are

    incorporated within the global economy and world

    system

    of nations.

    They

    may suggest

    that the

    mode

    of

    regulation

    is a more

    important

    factor

    in

    urbaniza-

    tion than

    the

    stage

    of

    capital

    accumulation.

    Associations

    between

    global change

    and

    urbaniza-

    tion

    have been

    explored

    for evidence

    of

    the

    validity

    of

    the

    interdependency theory,

    but further

    research

    is

    required

    before the links can be

    regarded

    as con-

    crete and causal

    rather than

    ephemeral

    and

    coinci-

    dental.

    Empiricists

    will

    query

    the

    reliability

    of urban

    data,

    the

    definition

    of

    urban

    places

    and the extent to

    which urbanization

    is

    a localized or

    widespread phe-

    nomenon within

    countries.

    Urbanization

    represents

    the

    largest

    shift in

    the

    distribution

    of

    population

    in

    history.

    Such are

    its

    complexities

    that

    many

    will

    question

    the

    purpose

    and

    value of

    trying

    to make

    meaningful

    statements about

    the location of

    over

    2.7

    billion

    people.

    The need for

    high-order

    generalization

    and

    explanation,

    however,

    is

    likely

    to

    increase as the

    pace

    of urban

    change

    quickens,

    especially

    in

    Africa and

    Asia,

    with far-

    reaching implications for environmental sustainabil-

    ity

    and

    social welfare. It took

    over

    eight

    millennia

    for

    half

    the world's

    population

    to

    become

    urban. Present

    predictions

    suggest

    that

    it will

    take

    less

    than 80

    years

    for this

    process

    to

    encompass

    most of the remainder.

    Endnote

    1This

    paper

    is

    based

    on

    estimates of

    urban

    popula-

    tions abstracted

    from

    the United Nations 1991

    report

    on World urbanization

    rospects.

    The

    highly

    variable

    quality

    and

    reliability

    of world urban data

    are

    emphasized

    in

    the United Nations'

    Demographic

    yearbookor 1994 and in the World Bank's Worlddeve-

    lopment

    eport

    or

    1993. For

    a

    general

    discussion see

    Goldstein

    (1994).

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