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DNV GL © 2013 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER DNV GL © 2013 SOFTWARE Integrating logistics operations to RAM analysis: how does it improve the supply chain performance 1 Transport logistic modelling

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Page 1: Integrating logistics operations to RAM analysis how does ...static.progressivemediagroup.com/Uploads/CaseStudy/1055/9b6714ab-2038... · Benefits of Plant-Wide Reliability approach

DNV GL © 2013 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2013

SOFTWARE

Integrating logistics operations to RAM analysis: how does it improve the supply chain performance

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Transport logistic modelling

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Transport logistic

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Logistics operations

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An oil tanker is a ship designed for the bulk transport of oil.

There are two basic types of oil tankers: the crude tanker and the product tanker.

– Crude tankers move large quantities of unrefined crude oil from its point of extraction to refineries.

– Product tankers, generally much smaller, are designed to move petrochemicals from refineries to points near consuming markets.

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Exporting Berthing Ships Berthing Importing

Export system

Approach, Berthing and Transfer

Oil carriers•Carry the oil from platform to customer delivery point

Approach, Berthing and Transfer•Operation of approaching the port and start the transfer operation

Import Terminal•Customer delivery point

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Exporting Berthing Ships Berthing Importing

Oil carriers•Fleet size•Ship size•Route Delays•Rejected cargos•Waterway constraints / Traffic

Approach, Berthing and Transfer•Metocean conditions•Tugs•Transfer method and thresholds•Weather forecast•Threshold for safe berthing and unloading

•Allocated window•Berthing rights•Early / Late arrivals•Loading / Unloading•Daylight limitations

Import Terminal•Multiple shippers operations•Storage and inventory•Design configurations•Reliability•Planned maintenance•Peaking capacity / Annual entitlement

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What impacts on a supply chain?

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Asset Performance

Terminal reliability

Process configuration

Berthing operations

Utilities Availability

Maintenance Strategies:• Terminal strategy• Vessel strategy

Production profiles

Planned Maintenance

Unit Capacities

Tank Size

Routes

Export Limits

Plant Characteristics

Inspection, Maintenance and

Reliability

Operations

Market

Logistics

Demand Limits

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RAM analysis

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Why RAM analysis?

RAM

Preferred design concept?

Overall system availability?

Downtime contributors?

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Decision support

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Plant-Wide Reliability Analysis

Evaluate impact of equipment/unit reliability on the ability to supply products to customers, by considering all relevant parameters:

– Network configuration

– Equipment/Unit performance

– Facilities capacity / maximum capacity

– Storage (feed, intermediate, and export)

– Logistics Issues

– Operations strategies

– Maintenance strategies

Enables complete integrated studies capturing plant reliability, facilities capacity, storage, and logistics issues

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Plant-Wide Reliability Analysis

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Plant-Wide Reliability

Unit Utilisation

Unit Availability

Equipment Availability

Component Reliability

•Individual Product Efficiency•Individual Product Volumes•Criticality

•Operational Flexibility•Unit Interdependency•Sales Strategy•Storage•Processes

•Unit Configuration•Maintenance Strategy

•MTTR

•MTTF•RCA•FMEA

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Benefits of Plant-Wide Reliability approach

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Benefits

Support financial investment decisions.

Helps validating send-out guarantees in contract negotiations

Allocating the responsibilities and liabilities to the key stakeholders

Sparing of selected equipment can be optimised.

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Oil carrier model

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Objective

An analyst is looking into understanding the impact logistics constraints to the supply chain

Objective

– To analyse the number and size of oil carriers

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Challenges

What is the impact of vessel motion to the system performance?

What is the influence of bottlenecks in the export operations?

What is the optimum size of my storage tanks?

What is the optimum size of my oil carriers?

What is the optimum number of oil carriers?

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Study description

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The FPSO includes a large range of different systems such as oil processing, gascompression and dehydration, produced water, flare, vent and power generation.

Wells have a similar systems

The maintenance is handled by a maintenance crew located on site at the FPSOand extra resources are needed depending on the equipment failing.

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Exporting Berthing Ships Berthing Importing

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Storage modelling allows operating rules to be placed upon nominated tanks. These rules are triggered by changes in the levels within the tank.

– Volume, Initial volume, Tank transfer rate – Tank level management: Call Up BT, Suppress BT and Trigger

Berths are gathering point for import or export of products. – Arrival and departure time control through berthing constraints, e.g. only berthing during day light hours (vary by month)– Variable operating times, loading/unloading rate– Transfer equipment failures, operational interruptions, berthing delays

Oil carrier covers all types of transport systems that involve movementof batches of products from Suppliers to Customers.

– Size and number, Berthing and disembarking times– Loading/unloading rate– Transport times with variability / Transport failure modes

Transport Logistics modelling

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Infrastructure is largely the same!

The basic definition is: Storage >> Berth >> Bulk transport

Variations on this configuration can be done:

Infrastructure modelling

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Supply chain modelling

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Oil carriers: Export branch

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Type: Berth Name: Oil export berth Load rate: 200 mbbls/day Dock = export

Type: Ship Name: Oil carrier Max transfer rate: 200mbbls/day Vessel size: 300 mbbls/day

Type: Storage

Name: Oil export tank

Tank transfer rate: 150 mbbls/day

Max Volume: 300 mbbls

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Oil carriers: Import branch

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Type: Berth

Name: Oil import berth

Load rate: 150 mbbls/day

Dock = Import

Type: Storage

Name: Oil import tank

Tank transfer rate: 150 mbbls/day

Max Volume: 300 mbbls

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Suppliers/Customers

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Right-click on Oil carriers and select properties

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Results

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Results

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Criticality

Production efficiency

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What is the best design option?

What is the impact of different

maintenance strategies?

What are the optimum

operational procedures?

Discussion

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Logistics operations work for a range of years

The logistics operations of base case cannot cope for years of peak capacity

So what could we do to change this?

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What could we change to enhance the performance?

Increase the number of Oil carriers?

Increase the export rate? Decrease the export rate?

Increase the size of the storage tank?

What are the limitations to these changes?

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Thank you!

[email protected]/software

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