24
© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved. 1 徐業良 IT Director, International Society for Gerontechnology Editor - in - Chief , Gerontechnology 元智大學機械系有庠元智講座教授 老人福祉科技研究中心主任 2020/06/23 Taiwan Perspective I : Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from Research Lab to Community K EYNOTE SPEECH H EALTH T ECH F ORUM 2020 H EALTH T ECH FOR C OMMUNITY , H ONG K ONG CEO

Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved. 1

徐業良IT Director, International Society for Gerontechnology

Editor-in-Chief, Gerontechnology

元智大學機械系有庠元智講座教授

老人福祉科技研究中心主任

2020/06/23

Taiwan Perspective I:

Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation

– from Research Lab to Community

KEYNOTE SPEECH

HEALTH TECH FORUM 2020 – HEALTH TECH FOR COMMUNITY, HONG KONG

CEO

Page 2: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Aging boom, baby bust -- Some demographics of Taiwan

• Taiwan became an aged society in 2018,

and is expected to become a super aged

society by 2025.

• Age 65+: 15.28% (3.61M) @2019/12

• The average life expectancy in Taiwan

hit a new high of 80.7 years in 2018

• Life expectancy at age 65: men 18.44,

women 22.12 @ 2018

• Total fertility rate by World Population Review 2020

Macau: 1.347 (190/199),

Hong Kong: 1.326 (192/199)

Singapore: 1.260 (196/199)

Taiwan: 1.218 (199/199)

• Taiwan had 177,767 births and 176,296

deaths, or almost zero natural population

growth in 2019

Average age of first time mother: 30.9

@2019 (Italy 31.1 @2017)

Age of first time mother 35+: 22.3%

2

Page 3: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

IT IS ONLY NATURAL TO CONSIDER APPLYING

TECHNOLOGIES…

…to provide positive solutions in maximizing the efficiency and

effectiveness of manpower and resource for the care of older adults.

3

Page 4: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

3G’s for the aged society: Gerontology, Geriatrics, Gerontechnology• First International Congress on Gerontechnology 1991,

• International Society for Gerontechnology, 1997

•老人「福祉」科技,樂齡科技…

“Design technology and environment for independent living and social participation of

older persons in good health, comfort and safety”

• Scope of Gerontechnology: Health, Housing, Mobility, Communication, Leisure, Work

4

Page 5: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Proud to be a designer – How I got into gerontechnology…

• PhD 1992, Stanford University, Mechanical Engineering, DESIGN DIVISION

• Teaching and doing design at Yuan Ze University, Taiwan, for 28 years

• Design for people…

• Medical devices, assistive technology…

•Gerontechnology!

5

Page 6: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

A design approach to gerontechnology:

Creativity➔Prototype➔Products➔Sales

6

Est. 2003

Research & Development

Industry-academia collaboration

Commercialization

GerontechnologyIndustry-Academia

Alliance

SEDA G-Tech

Smart LivingIoTGerontechnology

TransdisciplinaryEducation

Internationalacademic exchange

International Society for

Gerontechnology

New Taipei City

Design ThinkingTransdisciplinary

education program

Innovative Product Development Program

福祉科技與服務管理學刊

GerontechnologyOfficial Journal of the ISGMission: To carry out a successful industrial and educational experiment

Gerontechnology is only valuable if we can bring research to daily applications

Page 7: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

What exactly do people do in Gerontechnology?

• My (unscientific) classification of the 81

papers published in Gerontechnology,

from 2017~2020, average 178.4

downloads per paper (data collected

2020/04/29)

1. Monitoring of vital signs / behavior

patterns, and platforms for health

management

18 papers (22.2%), 137 downloads

2. Technology interventions for enhancing

physical and cognitive ability

11 papers (13.6%), 232 downloads

3. Technology assistance in everyday lives

17 papers (21.0%), 182 downloads

4. Platforms for social communication and

participation

10 papers (12.3%), 177 downloads

5. Robots

4 papers (4.9%), 162 downloads

6. General issues: design methodology,

education, culture, business, policy, etc.

21 papers (25.9%), 186 downloads

7

Page 8: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Wi-Fi

Bluetooth

Android App

Wi-Fi

3G/4G

Cloud Server

MQTT Broker

Bluetooth

IoT gateway

How can telehealth systems enter the homes?

8

BP/BG Measurement

Connect older adults with

family members using a simple

IoT device “WhizConnect”

temperature/humidity

Indoor

localization

Page 9: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

The son is the trigger to enable the behavior

9

Supporting the caregivers: Care, interaction,

connection, in addition to health monitoringToilet

Get up

Breakfast

Lunch

Watching TV

Toilet

Get ready to bed

Page 10: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

The golden circle

From research lab to community: More DESIGN THINKING!

• Empathy: User centered, persona, story

• Define the right problem: What, How, Why

• Think like a boss… (not like a professor…)

10

IDEO (http://www.ideo.com)

CEO Tim Brown

Human

desirable

Technology

feasible

Business

viable

Innovation!

Page 11: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

SMART TECHNOLOGIES: INTERNET OF THINGS,

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, BIG DATA…

大數據 人工智慧 物聯網

Rainbow in the sky?

11

Page 12: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Publish, subscribe, topic ➔ IoT is a Line/WeChat/WhatsApp/… group

Wi-Fi

• M2M (Machine to Machine) communication

• The light started to have some AI…

• The bed started to collect big data…

Page 13: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Transfer familiar artifacts in homes into IoT devices – starting from the bed

• WhizPad is an extremely comfortable

mattress capable of motion sensing

• Pressure-relieve material for prevention

of pressure ulcer

13

WhizPadWeb UI

Mobile App Taipei Veteran Hospital

• In Taiwan 2017, 22.5% hospital falls

occurred when patients leave the beds

• Three-stage leave bed alert (sit-up, sitting at

the side, leave bed) for fall prevention.

• Four sensing areas / rule based

• Private cloud IoT

Page 14: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

2nd generation: Machine Learning to capture the intention of leaving bed

• 1000+ learning samples from 31

testers in 7 weight groups

• 30 sensing areas, classification of

lying/sitting/left edge/right edge

• Edge AI: Neural Network model

deployed on chip

Testing accuracy: 96.0% (360 test examples)

• Individual patient management

3-stage leave bed alert

Long lasting pressure area alert

• Using 2 AAA batteries (for 6 months)

• Amazon Web Service (AWS) for

Cloud AI: Living pattern, sleep quality…

14

Page 15: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved. 15

43.05%

55.55%

59.72%

42.36%

46.52%

47.22%

64.58% Daily living pattern obtained from WhizPad

2 weeks

45.88%

1 week

51.09%

Page 16: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Accumulating the norm -- Use 70% as threshold to define “normal activities”

16

Normally, the older adult

1. Gets up no earlier than 05:50

2. Gets up no later than 07:30

3. Not in bed during the day

4. Goes to bed no earlier than 19:00

5. Goes to be no later than 20:40

1. In-bed longer (64.58%)

2. Got up later than normal at 07:50

3. Back to bed multiple times during

the day

4. Went be bed earlier at 17:30

5. Left bed multiple times during the

night

1 32 4 5

9/22: 64.58%

1

32 4 5

In-bed 45.88%

AI: Learning ➔ Prediction

Page 17: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Machine learning for measuring sleep using “bed actigraphy”

17

Real time

• In-bed movement count

from WhizPad vs.

Polysomnography (PSG)

sleep/wake state

Training example

• 30 second episodes

• In-bed movement count

from the 4 sensing areas

• Real time + previous n

minutes

• Sleep/wake by PSG

Page 18: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Machine Learning results (J48 Tree)

• 35 testers, 2 hour sleep

• 7,751 30-second

episodes

• Real time + 7 previous

minutes gave the best

specificity

Accuracy, sensitivity and specificity

obtained from 10-fold cross validation

18

n wake sleep accuracy sensitivity specificity ROC area

0wake 890 1391

0.78 0.94 0.39 0.660sleep 316 5154

1wake 1022 1213

0.80 0.94 0.46 0.747sleep 330 5140

2wake 1080 1109

0.82 0.95 0.49 0.785sleep 292 5178

3wake 1137 1006

0.84 0.96 0.53 0.815sleep 246 5224

4wake 1227 870

0.85 0.95 0.59 0.833sleep 292 5178

5wake 1278 773

0.86 0.95 0.62 0.855sleep 295 5175

6wake 1296 709

0.86 0.94 0.65 0.867sleep 301 5169

7wake 1320 641

0.87 0.95 0.67 0.881sleep 300 5168

8wake 1246 673

0.86 0.94 0.65 0.856sleep 337 5127

Page 19: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Business viable: Support caregivers in the homes Use smart technologies to provide real-time status and long-term

patterns of the older adults

勞動部推估,台灣1,153萬上班族中,231萬人受家庭長照責任影

響,每年約17.8萬人因照顧減少工時或轉換工作,每年約13.3萬人

因照顧離職 2017/09/06中國時報

According to the “Basic Survey on Employment Structure,” by

Ministry of Internal Affairs Japan, the number of employees who left

work because of caring or nursing was 99,100 during the year from

October 2016 to September 2017. 2019/06/06 FNN PRIME

19

Page 20: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

00

:00

01

:00

02

:00

03

:00

04

:00

05

:00

06

:00

07

:00

08

:00

09

:00

10

:00

11

:00

12

:00

13

:00

14

:00

15

:00

16

:00

17

:00

18

:00

19

:00

20

:00

21

:00

22

:00

23

:00

00

:00

2018/06/21甘泉伯伯活動頻率及模式

Motion sensing WhizCarpet: Hardware is often much more difficult…

20

week2

5 0

39 0

117651 6677 42 0

55424 4310 37 0

88 532 10648 3152 571 1590

106 136 166 309 369 493

10 92 104 27 38 124

10 58 38 220 410 156

0 14 19 56

1 0 34 143

0 28 71 436

2 10 50 368

Easy and flexible set up;

soft surface reduces risk

of fracture when falling

Real time position display,

fall detection and alert ➔Mobility and pattern analysis,

abnormal pattern alert

Wandering behavior, path, hot spot

analysis of demented patients➔

Three types of water to handle: bathroom, floor cleaning, urine

Page 21: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Starting small in the homes: WhizConnect to integrate Bluetooth products

21

WhizConnect

Long term health

and living pattern

Vital signs

Environmental data

WhizSeriesReal time status

and event alerts

Page 22: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

WhizTouch: IoT call button for

bedridden older adults

• Big button; mobile phone as receiver;

green light to confirm the call

• But…

• Internet usage is low for older adults

(31.1% /8.6%@2018). High monthly fee

for Internet service is not acceptable.

• Connecting the IoT product to home Wi-

Fi AP has been a major usability issue;

Wi-Fi coverage is often poor in bedroom

Narrow Band IoT: the last mile

• Sim card connects directly to NB-IoT base

station; used anywhere without setup

• NB-IoT based WhizConnect to bring smart

homecare products to the homes…

22

IoT care products at home?

Page 23: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

Smart technologies happening in the homes (2015: IoT; 2017: NB-IoT; 2019: ML/AI)

• Consider B2B2C business model

23

Edge AI:

event identification

Cloud AI:

pattern recognition

3rd Party service cloud

Commercial Bluetooth

healthcare products

Page 24: Insights of Successful HealthTech Innovation from …...2020/06/23  · Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a solution. Design s a problem solving process. Find that Trigger-Caregivers

© GRC, YZU. All Rights Reserved.

The gerontechnology industry is not there, yet…

We are designers!

Design starts with a problem. Design ends with a

solution. Design s a problem solving process.

Find that Trigger-Caregivers are the best designers!

• UX: User Experience Design

From research lab to community

• Are we really doing the right

research which “will be useful in

the future?”

The future world needs trans-

disciplinary talents

• Are we educating students the right

way?

24

Yeh-Liang Hsu

[email protected]

Thank you

https://userexperiencerocks.wordpress.com/2015/08/20/th

en-my-kiddo-asked-whats-the-difference-between-ux-ui/