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form guides Monday 5 Sept, 2009 Air New Zealand Cup Heartland Championship Hyundai A-League Barclay’s Premier League It’s all INSIDE

INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

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See all the latest form guides for the week of October 5 2009. This guide includes sports results and predictions for Rugby Union games, Air New Zealand Cup Round 11, Heartland Championship Round 7 and football games, Hyundai A-League Week 10 and Barclays Premier League Week 8.

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Page 1: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

form guides

Monday 5 Sept, 2009

Air New Zealand CupHeartland ChampionshipHyundai A-LeagueBarclay’s Premier League

It’s all INSIDE

Page 2: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Round Eleven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-09 04-10-09

Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1

The ‘Bay’ took advantage of BOP’serratic defence to just get up. Theycould possibly drop one and still makethe semis but it wouldn’t want to bethis. With Waldrom, Guilford and Daggexcelling and Berquist’s accuracythat’s unlikely, albeit the carelesshandling and option issues. Countiesagain showed their talent for turningscraps into points out wide vCanterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1

Despite an 11th table position andearly positives, the ‘ASAP Ratings’have Manawatu second last. They’vefought hard and got a few individualsbut they couldn’t compete up front orout back with Wellington. Canterburywere patchy away v Counties but willplan their run at the title now. Withplenty of ABs back and at home witha shield to protect you’d expect acomfortable win.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1)

This should end the slim semi chancesof one. Taranaki brought cohesion,defence and some width v Otago ledby Tony Penn and Jason Eaton.Ripia’s territorial grasp continues togrow and that game would reallytrouble Auckland. The latter broughtsome urgency for a change and foundenough running chances to get over aflat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, andMoeke looked good but the team willface real unity here.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1

Otago fought hard on Taranaki’s day.With Thompson inspiring they bringplenty to the breakdown and thelineout. Down south they’ll make ittough for Waikato who are now 5 from6. They’re looking more stable withLeonard, Donald and De Malmancheback. Sweeney is in everything and ifthey can lower the error rate and closesome holes they could make thesemis.

Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1

Expect a gut buster. Both desperatelyneed this for the semis and playsimilar no nonsense rugby. Southlandwere flat, even Robinson’s kicking wasoff, v Auckland. Back home they’llshow, driven by the work rates ofRutledge and McIntosh. Tasmanagain adapted best to ugly conditionsin Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman,Petenise and Cook are firing butmainly they bring team and can winthis too.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1

BOP are another who remain in thesemi race. They battled tough v the‘Bay’, but defensive lapses eventuallycost them. NH were also downed in aclose one v Waikato. They pounce onerrors, can find wide and will havetargeted this. Still, you’d think theability of Bourke and Delaney tocontrol options will give them territoryand they’ll look to expose Harbour’soften sleepy defence.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1

The stiff 1st half wind didn’t fazeNorthland who put in again vCanterbury. The reality is they lack theclass to break good line defences.They haven’t beaten Wellington since2000 and its difficult to see thatchanging here. The latter are findingsome shape despite missing ABs andinjury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger,Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewsonare all standing up and Jane isexceptional.

WLWWWW Hawke's Bay W 22-19 v BOP 10 6 3 1 45 - 14 60% $1.05 $1.30 W by 16

LLWLLL C-Manukau L 17-28 v Canterbury 10 2 8 0 14/9/08 20% $8.00 $4.00

WLWWWW Canterbury W 28-17 v Counties 10 8 2 0 24 - 25 80% $1.05 $1.15 W by 21

LLLLLL Manawatu L 15-43 v Wellington 10 3 7 0 2/8/08 30% $8.00 $8.00

WWWLLW Taranaki W 38-10 v Otago 10 5 4 1 6 - 22 50% $1.90 $2.10

WWWLLW Auckland W 27-13 v Southland 10 5 5 0 10/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.90 W by 1

WLLLWL Otago L 10-38 v Taranaki 10 3 7 0 10 - 39 30% $2.35 $2.10

WWLWWW Waikato W 33-22 v N Harbour 10 6 4 0 26/9/08 60% $1.55 $1.90 W by 1

WDWWLL Southland L 13-27 v Auckland 10 6 3 1 6 - 3 60% $1.55 $2.10

LWWLWW Tasman W 21-16 v Northland 10 6 4 0 19/9/08 60% $2.35 $1.90 W by 2

LLLWWL Nth Harbour L 22-33 v Waikato 10 3 7 0 31 - 38 30% $2.00 $2.10

LWLWLL BOP L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay 10 6 4 0 16/8/08 60% $1.75 $1.90 W by 8

LDLWLL Northland L 16-21 v Tasman 10 3 6 1 27 - 43 30% $5.50 $4.00

LWLLWW Wellington W 43-15 v Manawatu 10 6 4 0 13/8/05 60% $1.13 $1.30 W by 13

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.

Page 3: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

AIR NEW ZEALAND CUP Round Eleven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-09 04-10-09

Round 11 - 7:35pm Thursday October 8, Napier - Sky Sport 1

The ‘Bay’ took advantage of BOP’serratic defence to just get up. Theycould possibly drop one and still makethe semis but it wouldn’t want to bethis. With Waldrom, Guilford and Daggexcelling and Berquist’s accuracythat’s unlikely, albeit the carelesshandling and option issues. Countiesagain showed their talent for turningscraps into points out wide vCanterbury, but lack 80 minute grunt.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Christchurch - Sky Sport 1

Despite an 11th table position andearly positives, the ‘ASAP Ratings’have Manawatu second last. They’vefought hard and got a few individualsbut they couldn’t compete up front orout back with Wellington. Canterburywere patchy away v Counties but willplan their run at the title now. Withplenty of ABs back and at home witha shield to protect you’d expect acomfortable win.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Friday October 9, Nplymouth - Sky Sport 2 (Replayed 9.30pm Sky Sport 1)

This should end the slim semi chancesof one. Taranaki brought cohesion,defence and some width v Otago ledby Tony Penn and Jason Eaton.Ripia’s territorial grasp continues togrow and that game would reallytrouble Auckland. The latter broughtsome urgency for a change and foundenough running chances to get over aflat Southland. Kaino. Afoa, andMoeke looked good but the team willface real unity here.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Saturday October 10, Dunedin - Sky Sport 1

Otago fought hard on Taranaki’s day.With Thompson inspiring they bringplenty to the breakdown and thelineout. Down south they’ll make ittough for Waikato who are now 5 from6. They’re looking more stable withLeonard, Donald and De Malmancheback. Sweeney is in everything and ifthey can lower the error rate and closesome holes they could make thesemis.

Round 11 - 5:30pm Saturday October 10, Invercargill - Sky Sport 1

Expect a gut buster. Both desperatelyneed this for the semis and playsimilar no nonsense rugby. Southlandwere flat, even Robinson’s kicking wasoff, v Auckland. Back home they’llshow, driven by the work rates ofRutledge and McIntosh. Tasmanagain adapted best to ugly conditionsin Whangarei. MacDonald, Goodman,Petenise and Cook are firing butmainly they bring team and can winthis too.

Round 11 - 7:35pm Saturday October 10, Albany - Sky Sport 1

BOP are another who remain in thesemi race. They battled tough v the‘Bay’, but defensive lapses eventuallycost them. NH were also downed in aclose one v Waikato. They pounce onerrors, can find wide and will havetargeted this. Still, you’d think theability of Bourke and Delaney tocontrol options will give them territoryand they’ll look to expose Harbour’soften sleepy defence.

Round 11 - 2:35pm Sunday October 11, Whangarei - Sky Sport 1

The stiff 1st half wind didn’t fazeNorthland who put in again vCanterbury. The reality is they lack theclass to break good line defences.They haven’t beaten Wellington since2000 and its difficult to see thatchanging here. The latter are findingsome shape despite missing ABs andinjury forced re-shuffles. Schwalger,Vito, Ramasy, Leuia, and Mathewsonare all standing up and Jane isexceptional.

WLWWWW Hawke's Bay W 22-19 v BOP 10 6 3 1 45 - 14 60% $1.05 $1.30 W by 16

LLWLLL C-Manukau L 17-28 v Canterbury 10 2 8 0 14/9/08 20% $8.00 $4.00

WLWWWW Canterbury W 28-17 v Counties 10 8 2 0 24 - 25 80% $1.05 $1.15 W by 21

LLLLLL Manawatu L 15-43 v Wellington 10 3 7 0 2/8/08 30% $8.00 $8.00

WWWLLW Taranaki W 38-10 v Otago 10 5 4 1 6 - 22 50% $1.90 $2.10

WWWLLW Auckland W 27-13 v Southland 10 5 5 0 10/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.90 W by 1

WLLLWL Otago L 10-38 v Taranaki 10 3 7 0 10 - 39 30% $2.35 $2.10

WWLWWW Waikato W 33-22 v N Harbour 10 6 4 0 26/9/08 60% $1.55 $1.90 W by 1

WDWWLL Southland L 13-27 v Auckland 10 6 3 1 6 - 3 60% $1.55 $2.10

LWWLWW Tasman W 21-16 v Northland 10 6 4 0 19/9/08 60% $2.35 $1.90 W by 2

LLLWWL Nth Harbour L 22-33 v Waikato 10 3 7 0 31 - 38 30% $2.00 $2.10

LWLWLL BOP L 19-22 v Hawkes Bay 10 6 4 0 16/8/08 60% $1.75 $1.90 W by 8

LDLWLL Northland L 16-21 v Tasman 10 3 6 1 27 - 43 30% $5.50 $4.00

LWLLWW Wellington W 43-15 v Manawatu 10 6 4 0 13/8/05 60% $1.13 $1.30 W by 13

Ratings Performance MeterRANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDSRatings

RankLast

Week Teams P W L D StreakPtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 Canterbury 10 8 2 0 W4 289 176 29 80% 5 37 1 33.5 $2.152 2 Wellington 10 6 4 0 W2 262 203 26 60% 5 29 3 28.7 $4.003 3 Auckland 10 5 5 0 W1 199 191 20 50% 6 26 7 26.7 $9.004 4 Hawke's Bay 10 6 3 1 W4 266 208 27 60% 4 30 2 25.3 $9.005 8 Taranaki 10 5 4 1 W1 209 188 21 50% 2 24 9 24.7 $30.006 5 Tasman 10 6 4 0 W2 229 174 23 60% 4 28 4 24.2 $30.007 6 BOP 10 6 4 0 L2 209 182 21 60% 2 26 6 23.9 $12.008 7 Southland 10 6 3 1 L2 181 173 18 60% 2 28 5 21.5 $12.009 10 Waikato 10 6 4 0 W3 205 223 21 60% 2 26 8 20.4 $9.00

10 9 Otago 10 3 7 0 L1 188 229 19 30% 6 18 10 19 n/a11 11 Nth Harbour 10 3 7 0 L1 187 234 19 30% 4 16 12 15.8 n/a12 12 Northland 10 3 6 1 L2 187 241 19 30% 2 16 13 15.6 n/a13 13 Manawatu 10 3 7 0 L6 210 268 21 30% 5 17 11 12.6 n/a14 14 C-Manukau 10 2 8 0 L3 192 323 19 20% 3 11 16 9.6 n/a

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

AUCKLAND

TEAMS

HAWKE’S BAY

OTAGO

BAY OF PLENTY

MANAWATU TURBOS

SOUTHLAND

CANTERBURY

NORTH HARBOUR

TARANAKI

COUNTIES-MANAKU STEELERS

NORTHLAND TASMAN

WAIKATO

WELLINGTON

From: Tevita Mailau, Pauliasi Manu, Charlie Faumuina , Paea Fa’anunu, Francis Smith, Tom McCartney, Kurtis Haiu, Jay Williams, Andrew Van der Heijden, Dean Budd, Chris Lowrey, Peter Saili, Onosa’i Auva’a, Hamish Paterson, Taniela Moa, Grayson Hart, Ash Moeke, Daniel Bowden, Benson Stanley, Winston Stanley, Jamie Helleur, Teddy Stanaway , Thomas Timani, Dave Thomas, Atieli Pakalani, Paul Williams, John Afoa, Jerome Kaino, Keven Mealamu, Joe Rokocoko, Isaia Toeava

From: Hika Elliot, Ash Dixon, Clint Newland, Sona Taumalolo, Josh Keys, Jodi Allen, Ross Kennedy, Bryn Evans, Matt Egan, Michael Johnson, Karl Lowe, Thomas Waldrom, George Naoupu, Adam Bradey, Hugh Reed, Pama Petia, Chris Eaton, Dane Shelford, Matt Berquist, Andrew Horrell, Aayden Clarke, Sam Giddens, Jason Shoemark (captain), Richard Buckman, Mark Jackman, Israel Dagg, Zac Guildford, Jason Kupa, Neil Thomson, Bryn Evans

From: Keith Cameron, Tom Donnelly, Paul Grant, Sam Hibbard, Eben Joubert, Seko Kalou, Jason Macdonald, Hoani Matenga, Kees Meeuws, Peter Mirrielees, Ben Nolan, Charlie O’Connell, Steven Setephano, Alando Soakai (Captain), Adam Thomson, Hayden Triggs, Sean Romans (Vice Captain), Johnny Legg, Chris Noakes, Aaron Bancroft, Luke Herden, Glenn Dickson, Andrew Parata, Brett Mather, Karne Hesketh, Lucky Mulipola, Fetu’u Vainikolo, Ben Smith, Ryan Shortland, Michael Witt

From: James McGougan, Marcel Cummings-Toone, Culum Rettalick, Luke Braid, Joe Savage, Matt Vant Leven, Josh Hohneck, Zac Hohneck, Josh Olsen, John Moore, Ted Tauroa, Colin Bourke, John Pareanga , Josh Katene, Solomon King, Junior Poluleuligaga, Josh Hall, Phil Burliegh, Mike Delaney, Cory Aporo, Zar Lawrence, Lance MacDonald, Jason Hona, Wayne Hughson, Clinton Toopi, Nick McCashin, Nigel Hunt, Tanerau Latimer, Andre Ellison (ol), Ben Smith (ol)

From: Grant Polson, Talau Hala, David Te Moana, Ma’afu Fia, Sean O’Connor, Rob Foreman, James Goode, Reece Robinson, Lisiate Fa’aoso, Michael FitzgeraldNick Crosswell, Hamish Gosling, Josh Bradnock, Doug Tietjens, Bertus MulderBrent Thompson, Aaron Smith, Aaron Good, Aaron Cruden, Isaac Thompson,Francis Bryant, Johnny Leota, Tavita Taufui, Andre Taylor, Lote Raikabula, Tomasi Cama, Kurt Baker, Casey Stone

From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett

From: Andrew Olorenshaw, Rodney Ah You,Peter Borlase, Corey Flynn, Ti’i Paulo, Will Catherwood, Luke Romano, James Broadhurst, Sam Whitelock, Matt Todd, Michael Paterson, George Whitelock, Ash Parker, Nasi Manu, Willie Heinz, Tyson Keats, Andy Ellis, Dan Carter, Colin Slade, Stephen Brett, Tim Bateman, Ryan Crotty, Adam Whitelock, Casey Laulala, Chris Small, Sean Maitland, Tu Umaga-Marshall, James Paterson, Sam Monaghan, Isaac Ross, Brad Thorn, Owen Franks, Kieran Read, Richie McCaw, Wyatt Crockett

From: James Afoa, Mike Reid, Ben Afeaki, James Parsons, Michael Mayhew, Anthony Boric, Filo Paulo, James King, Chris Smith, Malakai Ravulo, Tom Chamberlain, Richard Mayhew, Robbie Colhoun, Vili Ma’afu , Chris Smylie, Matt France, Mike Harris, Ben Botica, Andrew Mailei,, Anthony Tuitavake, George Pisi , Nafi Tuitavake, Josh York, Rudi Wulf, Jack McPhee, Ken Pisi, Tony Woodcock, Luke McAlister

From: T. Penn (Captain), C. Carmichael, L. Corlett, J. Hincho, T. Tutavaha, A. Hore,S. Cleaver, M. Bent, N. Soqeta, C. Clark (vice Captain), L. Power, J. EatonJ. Willis, B. Souness, C. Walker, S. Waldrom, J. Hoeata, S. Vunisa, B. Goodin, B. Phillips, K. O’ Donnell, W. Ripia, J. Hayward, J. Cameron, N. Hohaia, W. Rickardsm, S. Austin, P. Perez, E. Jenkins, A. Malo, Andrew Hore, Jason Eaton

From: Cody Martin, Courtney McKay, Sikeli Nabou, Sherwin Stowers, Matt Holloway, Augustine Pulu, DJ Forbes, Siale Piutau, Waka Setitaia, Josh Hall, Ahsee Tuala,Fritz Lee, Jamie Metcalf, Lelia Masaga, Mark Selwyn, Samisoni Fisilau, Tim Nanai Williams, Siua Halanukonuka, Ilisa Maasi, Jason Roache, Rees Logan, Viliami Fihaki, David Raikuna, Graham Dewes, Jamie Chipman, Seremaia Tagicakibau, Kojak Faioso, Notise Tauafao, Simon Lemalu, Tasesa Lavea, Josh Hall (ol), Matt Holloway (ol)

From: Baker Steve Caine Rhyan, Carpenter Derek Clutterbuck Matt, Collins Justin, Collins Nick, Davies Justin, Dow Tim, Eyre Cameron, Fakafanua Damien, Fonua Sione, Gadolo Eroni, Gilmore Brook, Goodwin Dan, Griffin Roy, Haitana Karl, Hamilton Luke, Jowitt Cameron, McKenty Joel, Munroe Lachie, Murray Bronson, O’Connor Pat, Payne Jared, Ranger Rene, Tuu’u Mikaele, Wallis Matt, Woodman Troy, Elrick Jon

From: Hamish Cochrane, Ben Franks, Tristan Moran, Sakaria Taulafo, Quentin MacDonald, Daniel Perrin, Alex Ainley, Anthony Elisala, James Foster, Joseph Wheeler, Mark Bright, Daniel Crichton, Glen Gregory, Daniel Hyatt, Jonathan Poff, Zane Winslade, Shaun Begg, Kahn Fotualii, Matty James, James Marshall, Andrew Goodman, Sione Holani, Ammon Matuauto, Mike Pehi, Kade Poki, Blair Cook, James Kamana, Afeleki Pelenise, Robbie Malneek.

From: Ole Avei, Vern Kamo, Hikairo Forbes, Ben May, Kieran Ramage, Nathan White, Kent Fife, Romana Graham, Toby Lynn, Kevin O’Neill, Ray Allen, Jack Lam, Sione Lauaki, Liam Messam (captain), Jordan Smiler, Dominiko Waqaniburotu, David Bason, Josh Sutherland, Sam Christie, Trent Renata, Callum Bruce, Roimata Hansell-Pune, Jackson Willison, Tim Mikkelson, Henry Speight, Dwayne Sweeney, Savenaca Tokula, Sosene Anesi, Aled de Malmanche, Stephen Donald, Brendon Leonard, Mils Muliaina, Sitiveni Sivivatu

From: Adrian Barone, Anthony Bradshaw, Dane Coles, Arden David, Fa’atonu Fili, Scott Fuglistaller, Kaipati Gaualofa, Joe Hill, Michael Hobbs, Daniel Kirkpatrick, Alapati Leiua, Faifili Levave, Serge Lilo, Matt Luamanu, Motu Matu’u, Chris Middleton, Api Naikatini, Charlie Ngatai, Tomasi Palu, Anthony Perenise, Brett Pigott, Buxton Popoalii, Daniel Ramsey, Mark Reddish, Ged Robinson, Julian Savea, David Smith, Apoua Stewart, Shaun Treeby, Frae Wilson, Rodney So’oialo, Neemia Tialata, Hosea Gear, Cory Jane, Ma’a Nonu, Conrad Smith, Piri Weepu

Page 4: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

Ratings Performance Meter

HEARTLAND Championship Round Seven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-08 03-10-09

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton

This looks a possible final again.Wanganui found the full team effortthey’d threatened v S Canty. Theybroke the latter with Middleton,Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will.Mid Canty’s committed and abrasivepack held the territory their pivotsgained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton thiscould be close, but you get the feelingMC will be better still in a few weeks.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne

Poverty Bay are hard to measure.They struggled v W Bush but turnedon a traditional late running attack andgot up on the whistle. You’d think inGisborne they could get H-Kapiti aswell but it wont be easy. The latterwere to loose against a tremendouslydetermined Mid Canty team. If theycan better respect possession theirown pack can match P Bay.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru

W-Bush went down on the gong to PBay. With the points carry through thisis a must win. They’ve got will andteam ethic and Karaitiana is findinggood position. They’ll need to tightenthe defence and close S Canty’sexcellent half back Sekope Maea. SCanty were exposed by Wanganui butthey were served a ‘day of’ trip toWanganui. They should competebetter here.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha

This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Bothhave lost all 6 this season and in theHeartland Cship TV are on 11 straightlosses having not won since thismeeting last season. EC’s streak is 14.TV contested up front in the rain, butfailed at the loose ball v W Coast.They’re favoured to get this. EC wereflattened by a resurgent N Otago butthat fate waits others as well.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru

North Otago got going to late. That’swhy they’re in the Lochore Cup.According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ thedivision is a no contest. They openedup E Coast, winning by over 50 withten players scoring. Buller have beenclose often this season. They finallygot there second, tipping up KCountry. Higginson and Tafua deliverdecent work rates but its hard to seethem turning NO who are peaking.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti

The merit of K Country’s win over SCanty the previous week was exposedwhen Wanganui beat the latter by over40 points. As it proved KC couldn’trepeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done bygreater desire. W Coast’s pack stoodup in tough conditions v TV and theyfound some space later. Hughes andMerritt offer plenty of skills and evenup north WC should have too much.

MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 2 Wanganui 6 5 1 0 W4 205 85 34 83% 5 25 1 25.5 $1.652 4 Mid Cbury 6 5 1 0 W3 149 113 25 83% 2 22 2 16.1 $3.753 5 Wair-Bush 6 3 3 0 L1 121 84 20 50% 3 15 3 10.6 $25.004 6 H-Kapiti 6 4 2 0 L1 154 108 26 67% 2 18 4 10.1 $40.005 3 Poverty Bay 6 5 1 0 W2 127 104 21 83% 2 22 3 9.7 $4.256 7 Sth Cbury 6 3 3 0 L2 102 153 17 50% 1 13 6 -0.6 $25.00

LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 North Otago 6 3 3 0 W1 206 95 34 50% 4 16 1 23.7 n/a2 8 West Coast 6 4 2 0 W1 118 120 20 67% 0 16 2 5.0 n/a3 9 Buller 6 2 4 0 W1 120 110 20 33% 4 12 3 1.9 n/a4 10 K Country 6 2 4 0 L1 117 131 20 33% 3 11 4 1.0 n/a5 12 Thames Val 6 0 6 0 L11 84 190 14 0% 3 3 5 -6.6 n/a6 11 East Coast 6 0 6 0 L14 57 267 10 0% 0 0 6 -13.4 n/a

-WWLWWW Mid Cbury W 34-19 v H-Kapiti 6 5 1 0 12 - 27 83% $3.20 $2.60

-WLWWWW Wanganui W 59-14 v S Canty 6 5 1 0 25/10/08 83% $1.55 $1.70 W by 4

-WWWLWW Poverty Bay W 18-17 v W Bush 6 5 1 0 26 - 5 83% $1.55 $1.90 W by 2

-WWLWWL H-Kapiti L 19-34 v Mid Canty 6 4 2 0 25/10/08 67% $2.30 $2.10

-WLWWLL Sth Cbury L 14-59 v Wanganui 6 3 3 0 19 - 27 50% $1.85 $2.60

-LWWLWL Wair-Bush L 17-18 v Poverty Bay 6 3 3 0 30/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.70 W by 10

-LLLLLL Thames Val L 3-27 v West Coast 6 0 6 0 20 - 3 0% $1.16 $1.70 W by 7

-LLLLLL East Coast L 8-63 v North Otago 6 0 6 0 6/9/08 0% $4.50 $2.60

-LLWWLW North Otago W 63-8 v Est Cst 6 3 3 0 22 - 18 50% $1.11 $1.15 W by 22

-LWLLLW Buller W 20-17 v K Country 6 2 4 0 13/9/08 33% $5.50 $8.50

-LWLLWL K Country L 17-20 v Buller 6 2 4 0 22 - 24 33% $1.40 $2,60

-WLWWLW West Coast W 27-3 v Thames V 6 4 2 0 11/10/08 67% $2.70 $1.70 W by 1

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

Page 5: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.

From: TBA

From: Glen Atkin , Hein Gerber  , Phil Beveridge  , Clark Nelson , Craig Moore , Ryan Hughes , Ben Coman  , Jamie Paul  , Brad Walters , Louis Roache , Luke Brownlee , Matt Parata  , Jay Smith  , Nick Makea , Nathan Thompson , Sam Marris , Daniel Hooper  , Mitieli Kaloudigibeci  , Marcus Taylor , Matt Bonisch , Stu Neigh-bours , Tema Faifua  , Peni Nabainavalu , Kevin Moore , Michael Mumm

From: Daniel Bokser, Jon Dampney, Paddy Davis, James Carr, Richard Fridd, Jason Gill, Joel Hewson, Jason Rickard, Travis Thompson (Southern), Michael Connell, Malcolm Cairns, Hayden Dwyer, Daniel Maw, Peter McAndrew, Matt Ryan, Tim O’Sullivan (Methven), James Buchanan, Jason Feutz (Celtic), Siaola Fifita, Siale Lolohea, Manase Nonu, Tokulua Tolu (Hampstead), Jeff Naish, Chad Stewart (Collegiate), Craig Dunlea (Rakaia)

From: Matt Gray, Josh Maynard, Colin Hovell, Murray Hewson, Chris Bell, Sione Ngatu, Ryan Sayer, Tavita Maka, Kele Bola, Scott Leighton (captain), John Stewart, Campbell Te Rito, Wade Owen, Josh Mahoni, Kahu Tamatea. Bench: Ralph McInally, Warwick Knox, Petelo Piliu, Jono Naoupu, Brent Ingram, Sam Bunny, Clayton Kiwara.

From: Glen Townsend, Duncan Leask, Jamie Gifkin, Klinton Wade, Sean Bagshaw (Waihou), Hayden Rasmus-sen, Dion Silvester, Chris Doak, Bevan Robinson, Brendan Firth, Blair Rawlins (Paeroa West), Gavin Brewster, Simon Adams, David Harrison (Hauraki North), Mike Nation, Luke McFarland (Tairua), Jarod Nel, Joe Murray (Thames), Hayden Cullen, Jarrad Hill (Mercury Bay), Esau Uiesi (Paeroa Old Boys), Vesi Raulini, Ben Titoko (Morrinsville Sports), Sam Clarke (East Coast Bays)

From: Matt Gilbert (Utiku), Sheldon O’Hagen (Ruapehu), Shaun McDonough (Ruapeheu), Justin Lock (Marist), Shane Ratima (Hunterville), Cole Baldwin (Pi-rates), Jon Smyth (Pirates), Nick Cranston (Ruapeheu), Fraser Hammond (Ruape-hu), Peter Rowe (Ruapehu), David Gower (Ruapehu), Darren Munro (Kaierau), Denning Tyrell (Kaierau), Ricky Alabaster (Taihape), Leon Mason (Ratana), Steelie Koro (Marist), Vance Pereka (Ratana), Lasa Ulukuta (Kaierau), Waisake Ratuni-deuba (City College), Cameron Crowley (Marist), Sam Scown (Marist), Asaeli Tikoirotuma (Kaierau), Fraser Middleton (Petone)

From: TBA

From: TBA

From: Palenapa Mafi, Mike Essex, Tavite Mafi, Cowan Finch, Seko Kalou, Viliami Leo, Ross Hay (captain), Joe Mamea, Nick Webster, Daniel Waenga, Lemi Masoe, Mike Mullins, Ekeroma Sefo, Ofa Fatai, Peter Breen. Reserves: Fraser Fletcher, Tokelau Tatafu, Lei’ataua Limuloa, Samisoni Tongotongo, Paula Fonokalafi, Jason Forrest, Hamish Clare.

From: Matt Fetu, Tenari Fagalima, Ben Hewitson, Simana Paea, Fainga’a Savi-ete, Andrew Scarlett, Brad Mori, Shan-non McRae, Maikara Deer, Eric Smith, Jarrod Hayman, Sekope Maea, Phil Candy, Scott Norton, Tristran Johnston, Tanu Suavine, Ewen Campbell, Kalifi Latu, Pat Tupuola, Malakai Fonua, James Owen, Ritchie Preston, Gideon Snow

From: Kurt Simmonds Jared Brock, Nick Beavon, Brett Rudman, Ben Pereira, Richard Puddy, Adam Marshall, Tomasi Kedrabuka, Andrew McLean, Brandon Young, Nathan Rolls, Duncan Law, Joe Feast, Joss Tua-Davidson, Jared Hawkins, Chris Senior, Nick Risdon, Api Matenga, Byron Karaitiana, Nathan Couch, Sili Tugaga, Sam Mitchell, Tommy Harmon, Heemi Tupaea, Jordan Watene, Junior Togia, Nick Olson, Siaosi Anamani

From: TBA

Buller

Horowhenua-Kapiti

Mid Canterbury Poverty Bay

Thames Valley

Wanganui

East Coast

King Country

North Otago

South Canterbury

Wairarapa-Bush

West Coast

Competion Ratings and Performance

Teams

Ratings Performance Meter

HEARTLAND Championship Round Seven Form Teams Latest Match P W L D

LastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

30-07-08 03-10-09

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Ashburton

This looks a possible final again.Wanganui found the full team effortthey’d threatened v S Canty. Theybroke the latter with Middleton,Tikorituma, and Tyrell scoring at will.Mid Canty’s committed and abrasivepack held the territory their pivotsgained v H-Kapiti. In Ashburton thiscould be close, but you get the feelingMC will be better still in a few weeks.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Gisborne

Poverty Bay are hard to measure.They struggled v W Bush but turnedon a traditional late running attack andgot up on the whistle. You’d think inGisborne they could get H-Kapiti aswell but it wont be easy. The latterwere to loose against a tremendouslydetermined Mid Canty team. If theycan better respect possession theirown pack can match P Bay.

Meads Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Timaru

W-Bush went down on the gong to PBay. With the points carry through thisis a must win. They’ve got will andteam ethic and Karaitiana is findinggood position. They’ll need to tightenthe defence and close S Canty’sexcellent half back Sekope Maea. SCanty were exposed by Wanganui butthey were served a ‘day of’ trip toWanganui. They should competebetter here.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Aroha

This decade its 4-3 E Coast. Bothhave lost all 6 this season and in theHeartland Cship TV are on 11 straightlosses having not won since thismeeting last season. EC’s streak is 14.TV contested up front in the rain, butfailed at the loose ball v W Coast.They’re favoured to get this. EC wereflattened by a resurgent N Otago butthat fate waits others as well.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Oamaru

North Otago got going to late. That’swhy they’re in the Lochore Cup.According to the ‘ASAP Ratings’ thedivision is a no contest. They openedup E Coast, winning by over 50 withten players scoring. Buller have beenclose often this season. They finallygot there second, tipping up KCountry. Higginson and Tafua deliverdecent work rates but its hard to seethem turning NO who are peaking.

Lochore Cup - 2:30pm Wednesday October 7, Te Kuiti

The merit of K Country’s win over SCanty the previous week was exposedwhen Wanganui beat the latter by over40 points. As it proved KC couldn’trepeat v Buller in Te Kuiti, done bygreater desire. W Coast’s pack stoodup in tough conditions v TV and theyfound some space later. Hughes andMerritt offer plenty of skills and evenup north WC should have too much.

MEADS CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 2 Wanganui 6 5 1 0 W4 205 85 34 83% 5 25 1 25.5 $1.652 4 Mid Cbury 6 5 1 0 W3 149 113 25 83% 2 22 2 16.1 $3.753 5 Wair-Bush 6 3 3 0 L1 121 84 20 50% 3 15 3 10.6 $25.004 6 H-Kapiti 6 4 2 0 L1 154 108 26 67% 2 18 4 10.1 $40.005 3 Poverty Bay 6 5 1 0 W2 127 104 21 83% 2 22 3 9.7 $4.256 7 Sth Cbury 6 3 3 0 L2 102 153 17 50% 1 13 6 -0.6 $25.00

LOCHORE CUP – Rankings – Ratings - OddsRatings

RankLastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 North Otago 6 3 3 0 W1 206 95 34 50% 4 16 1 23.7 n/a2 8 West Coast 6 4 2 0 W1 118 120 20 67% 0 16 2 5.0 n/a3 9 Buller 6 2 4 0 W1 120 110 20 33% 4 12 3 1.9 n/a4 10 K Country 6 2 4 0 L1 117 131 20 33% 3 11 4 1.0 n/a5 12 Thames Val 6 0 6 0 L11 84 190 14 0% 3 3 5 -6.6 n/a6 11 East Coast 6 0 6 0 L14 57 267 10 0% 0 0 6 -13.4 n/a

-WWLWWW Mid Cbury W 34-19 v H-Kapiti 6 5 1 0 12 - 27 83% $3.20 $2.60

-WLWWWW Wanganui W 59-14 v S Canty 6 5 1 0 25/10/08 83% $1.55 $1.70 W by 4

-WWWLWW Poverty Bay W 18-17 v W Bush 6 5 1 0 26 - 5 83% $1.55 $1.90 W by 2

-WWLWWL H-Kapiti L 19-34 v Mid Canty 6 4 2 0 25/10/08 67% $2.30 $2.10

-WLWWLL Sth Cbury L 14-59 v Wanganui 6 3 3 0 19 - 27 50% $1.85 $2.60

-LWWLWL Wair-Bush L 17-18 v Poverty Bay 6 3 3 0 30/8/08 50% $1.85 $1.70 W by 10

-LLLLLL Thames Val L 3-27 v West Coast 6 0 6 0 20 - 3 0% $1.16 $1.70 W by 7

-LLLLLL East Coast L 8-63 v North Otago 6 0 6 0 6/9/08 0% $4.50 $2.60

-LLWWLW North Otago W 63-8 v Est Cst 6 3 3 0 22 - 18 50% $1.11 $1.15 W by 22

-LWLLLW Buller W 20-17 v K Country 6 2 4 0 13/9/08 33% $5.50 $8.50

-LWLLWL K Country L 17-20 v Buller 6 2 4 0 22 - 24 33% $1.40 $2,60

-WLWWLW West Coast W 27-3 v Thames V 6 4 2 0 11/10/08 67% $2.70 $1.70 W by 1

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

Page 6: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

RatingsRank

LastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 1 Melbourne 9 4 2 3 W3 14 12 2 44% 0 15 2 1.5 $4.752 2 Brisbane 9 3 3 3 L1 14 14 2 33% 0 12 6 1.3 $7.003 6 Sydney 9 5 3 1 W1 10 7 1 56% 0 16 1 1.1 $4.254 5 Adelaide 9 3 3 3 D1 9 10 1 33% 0 12 7 1 $15.005 4 Gold Coast 9 4 3 2 D1 16 11 2 44% 0 14 3 1 $4.006 8 Phoenix 9 1 2 6 D5 8 10 1 11% 0 9 8 0.9 $18.007 7 Perth 9 4 3 2 D1 14 11 2 44% 0 14 4 0.9 $9.008 3 Mariners 9 3 3 3 L1 8 5 1 33% 0 12 5 0.9 $13.009 9 Fury 9 1 4 4 D1 9 17 1 11% 0 7 10 0.8 $28.00

10 10 Newcastle 9 2 4 3 D1 8 13 1 22% 0 9 9 0.7 $20.00

Victory top the ‘ASAP Ratings’ for the 3rdweek. They’re now 3 straight after showingtoo much voltage up front for Roar. Muscatbrings not only infinite class but stability andFabiano, Hernandez, Thompson, Leijer, andMoss are all lifting. They’ll draw another20,000 plus here v Sydney who came with aseason best v CCM. They passed sharp anddominated possession, but will need it allhere.

Following their great away trot Glory failed toget the win over Fury at home. Against 10men for 55 mins, they couldn’t finish hit byanother albeit disputed blunder by GKVelaphi. The ‘Reds’ have the defence forGlory as they showed mostly keeping out a1st half onslaught from the Jets in a 1-1draw. Dodd failed, but if they bring their finishopposed to their slow starts this could goeither way.

Fury again showed above their table positiondrawing in Perth. Down to 10 for 55 mins,spirit and fortune got them a share of thepoints. They’ve a committed defence and willcompete even at Blue Tongue. CCM haven’thad the luck since the big win over GC. Theystruck Sydney at their best last week and aremissing Simon. Still, McGlinchy iscommanding the middle and Fury will findthem tough to break.

Although done in Melbourne, Roar playedwell across the park against the top ‘rater’.They lost Henrique in the process but if theycan finish better this is a chance. Bleibergand GC are yet to match the hype reflectedby a crowd of 4000 last week. Admittedlyshort staffed v Phoenix they rarely lookedlikely and were lucky to get a draw. Theyhave plenty to prove.

Form Teams Latest Match P W L DLastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin Ratings Trend Match Day Form

7-8-09 5-10-09

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

HYUNDAI A-LEAGUE Round Ten

Round 10 - 10:00pm Friday October 9, Etihad St - Sky Sport 2

LDDWWW Mlb Victory W 2-1 v Brisbane 9 4 2 3 3 - 2 44% $2.20 $1.65 W by 2

WLLWLW Sydney W 1-0 v Mariners 9 5 3 1 27/12/08 56% $3.00 $5.00

Draw Price: $3.20 $5.00

Round 10 - 12:00pm Friday October 9, Members Equity St - Sky Sport 2

WLDWWD Perth Glory D 1-1 v Fury 9 4 3 2 0 - 1 44% $2.25 $2.90 Draw

DDWLWD Adelaide Utd D 1-1 v Newcastle 9 3 3 3 7/8/09 33% $2.90 $2.90

Draw Price: $3.20 $3.20

Round 10 - 3:00pm Sunday October 11, Bluetongue St - Sky Sport 1

LWLWDL CC Mariners L 0-1 v Sydney 9 3 3 3 Not 33% $1.66 $2.15 W by 1

DDWDLD Nth Qld Fury D 1-1 v Perth 9 1 4 4 Met 11% $5.10 $4.35

Draw Price: $3.30 $3.20

Round 10 - 7:00pm Sunday October 11, Suncorp St - Sky Sport 2

WDWLWL Brisbane Roar L 1-2 v Melbourne V 9 3 3 3 1 - 3 33% $2.40 $2.40 W by 1

LWDLLD Gold Coast D 0-0 v Wellington 9 4 3 2 8/8/09 44% $2.70 $3.60

Draw Price: $3,20 $3.20

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS Ratings Performance Meter

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide KeySource: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.

Page 7: INSIDER Weekly Form Guides - 5 Oct 2009

RatingsRank

LastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

0 4 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 W3 24 10 3 71% 0 15 5 3.3 $6.502 3 Chelsea 8 7 1 0 W1 18 6 2 88% 0 21 1 3.3 $2.103 2 Man United 8 6 1 1 D1 19 8 2 75% 0 19 2 3.2 $2.754 1 Liverpool 8 5 3 0 L1 21 11 3 63% 0 15 6 3.1 $10.005 5 Man City 7 5 1 1 D1 15 8 2 71% 0 16 4 2.7 $106 6 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 D1 19 12 2 63% 0 16 3 2.5 $907 8 Aston Villa 7 4 2 1 D1 9 5 1 57% 0 13 7 2.2 n/a8 7 Everton 7 3 3 1 D1 9 11 1 43% 0 10 10 2.2 n/a9 11 Sunderland 8 4 3 1 D1 16 13 2 50% 0 13 8 2 n/a

10 12 Bolton 7 2 3 2 D1 10 11 1 29% 0 8 13 1.8 n/a11 10 Stoke 8 2 3 3 D1 6 10 1 25% 0 9 11 1.8 n/a12 9 Fulham 7 2 4 1 D1 6 10 1 29% 0 7 15 1.7 n/a13 16 West Ham 7 1 4 2 D1 8 11 1 14% 0 5 19 1.5 n/a14 13 Wigan 8 3 5 0 L1 8 15 1 38% 0 9 12 1.4 n/a15 15 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 L2 5 8 1 25% 0 7 14 1.3 n/a16 14 Blackburn 7 2 4 1 L1 8 15 1 29% 0 7 16 1.3 n/a17 17 Portsmouth 8 1 7 0 W1 4 13 1 13% 0 3 20 1.1 n/a18 19 Burnley 8 4 4 0 W1 7 16 1 50% 0 12 9 0.9 n/a19 18 Wolves 8 2 5 1 L2 7 14 1 25% 0 7 17 0.8 n/a20 20 Hull City 8 2 5 1 W1 8 20 1 25% 0 7 18 0.7 n/a

Form Teams Latest Match Prev Match P W L DLastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin

RatingsTrend

22-08-08 06-10-09

PREMIER LEAGUE MattersArsenal’s six goals v Blackburn and Chelseaimposing themselves 2-0 on Liverpool atStamford Bridge were among the highlightslast week, along with Portsmouth getting awin over Wolves, something their homesupporters are yet to see.

Arsenal moved to the top of the ‘ASAPRatings’ despite being 5th on the table.There’s under half a goal between the topfour and Bolton made the top ten. At theother end Hull, Wolves and Burnley are thethree lowest ranked.

Hull City got their 2nd, upsetting Wigan whocouldn’t reproduce the form that bowledChelsea the previous week. Its unlikley toassist the pressured management. Equallytroubled’if not more so, Portsmouth, on a 7loss streak, got one over Wolves. Theformer has a new owner, Saudi businessmanAli Al-Faraj.

The quality of the above wins should beconsidered in the light of their positions onthe ‘ASAP Ratings’. Prior, three of the fourwere the lowest ranked with Wigan ranked14.

Burnley came back from their 0-5 vTottenham with a hungry 2nd half to get up2-1 over Birmingham at home. The latternow has a Hong Kong based Chineseowner, Carsen Yeung’s Grandtop Holdings.Away to Bolton, Tottenham were downtwice in the match before getting out of TurfMoor with a predicted draw at 2-2.

Everton who were expected to wincomfortably at home to Stoke just manageda draw after a brilliant late strikers goal byLeon Osman. At Emirates Stadium, Arsenal,who had been labelled to win by 3 by the‘ratings’, delivered 6 goals pulverisingBlackburn 6-2.

At Old Trafford Manchester United werelooking certain to go down to Sunderlandbut the latter’s defence weakened whenRicardson was sent with 5 minutes to go andunder pressure Anton Ferdinand deflected tohis own goal in injury time to making it 2-2.The neighbours Manchester City alsoencounterd problems at the back as AstonVilla proved difficult to contain beforeBellamy secured the predicted draw 1-1.Villa are showing plenty and have a shot atthe top five or six.

Highlights this week include Aston Villahosting Chelsea then Arsenal hostingBirmingham from 12.40am Sunday SkySport 2. On Monday Sky Sport 2 coveragecommences at 12.55am with Blackburn vBurnley followed by City at Wigan. Tuesday7.55am Sky Sport 2 has Hull at CravenCottage v Fulham.

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

Barclays PREMIER LEAGUE Week Eight

Week 8 - 12:40am Sunday October 18, Villa Pk - Sky Sport 2WWWWLD Aston Villa D 1-1 v Man City L 1-2 v Blackburn 7 4 2 1 0 - 1 57% $0.00 $2.90 DrawWWWWLW Chelsea W 2-0 v Liverpool L 1-3 v Wigan 8 7 1 0 21/2/09 88% $0.00 $2.85

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 8 - 2.55am Sunday October 18, Emirates St - Sky Sport 2

WLLWWW Arsenal W 6-2 v Blackburn W 1-0 v Fulham 7 5 2 0 1 - 1 71% $0.00 $1.50 W by 4DLLWLL Birmingham L 1-2 v Burnley L 1-2 v Bolton 8 2 5 1 12/1/08 25% $0.00 $5.80

Draw Price: $0.00 $6.25 Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Goodison Pk

LWLWWD Everton D 1-1 v Stoke W 1-0 v Portsmouth 7 3 3 1 1 - 2 43% $0.00 $1.50 W by 3LDLWLL Wolves L 0-1 v Portsmouth L 2-5 v Sunderland 8 2 5 1 1/5/04 25% $0.00 $7.30

Draw Price: $0.00 $5.05 Week 8 - 5am Sunday October 18, Old Trafford - Sky Sport 2 (Delayed)

WWWWWD Man United D 2-2 v Sunderland W 2-0 v Stoke 8 6 1 1 1 - 0 75% $0.00 $1.65 W by 3LLWDWD Bolton D 2-2 v Tottenham W 2-1 v Birmingham 7 2 3 2 17/1/09 29% $0.00 $4.40

Draw Price: $0.00 $5.65 Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Fratton Park

LLLLLW Portsmouth W 1-0 v Wolverhampton L 0-1 v Everton 8 1 7 0 1 - 1 13% $0.00 $3.65WWLLWD Tottenham D 2-2 v Bolton W 5-0 v Burnley 8 5 2 1 18/1/09 63% $0.00 $2.40 W by 1

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Britannia St

DWLDLD Stoke D 1-1 v Everton L 0-2 v Man U 8 2 3 3 0 - 1 25% $0.00 $2.25 W by 1LDLLLD West Ham D 2-2 v Fulham L 1-3 v Man City 7 1 4 2 2/5/09 14% $0.00 $4.00

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 8 - Sunday October 18, Stadium Of Light

WLWLWD Sunderland D 2-2 v Man U W 5-2 v Wolverhampton 8 4 3 1 0 - 2 50% $0.00 $3.00 DrawLWWWWL Liverpool L 0-2 v Chelsea W 6-1 v HullCity 8 5 3 0 3/3/09 63% $0.00 $2.75

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 8 - 12:55am Monday October 19, Ewood Park - Sky Sport 2

LLWLWL Wigan L 1-2 v HullCity W 3-1 v Chelsea 8 3 5 0 0 - 1 38% $0.00 $3.30WWWLWD Man City D 1-1 v Aston V W 3-1 v West Ham 7 5 1 1 17/1/09 71% $0.00 $2.60 W by 1

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 8 - 3:55am Monday October 19, DW St - Sky Sport 2

LDWLWL Blackburn L 2-6 v Arsenal W 2-1 v Aston V 7 2 4 1 Not 29% $0.00 $2.15 W by 1WLLWLW Burnley W 2-1 v Birmingham L 0-5 v Tottenham 8 4 4 0 Met 50% $0.00 $4.40

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 8 - 7:55am Tuesday October 20, Craven Cottage - Sky Sport 2

LLWLLD Fulham D 2-2 v West Ham L 0-1 v Arsenal 7 2 4 1 Not 29% $0.00 $1.90 W by 2n/a Hull City n/a 0 0 0 0 0 Met 0% $0.00 $5.15

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.50

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

RatingsRank

LastWeek Teams P W L D Streak

PtsFor

PtsAgst

AveScore

%Win

BonPts

CompPts

CompRank

ASAPRatings

TABOdds

1 3 Liverpool 7 5 2 0 W4 21 9 3 71% 0 15 3 3.5 $6.502 2 Man United 7 6 1 0 W5 17 6 2 86% 0 18 1 3.4 $2.503 1 Chelsea 7 6 1 0 L1 16 6 2 86% 0 18 2 3.1 $2.704 4 Arsenal 6 4 2 0 W2 18 8 3 67% 0 12 6 2.9 $8.505 5 Man City 6 5 1 0 W1 14 7 2 83% 0 15 5 2.8 $96 8 Tottenham 7 5 2 0 W1 17 10 2 71% 0 15 4 2.6 $1257 7 Everton 6 3 3 0 W2 8 10 1 50% 0 9 9 2.3 n/a8 6 Aston Villa 6 4 2 0 L1 8 4 1 67% 0 12 7 2.2 n/a9 11 Fulham 6 2 4 0 L2 4 8 1 33% 0 6 17 1.8 n/a

10 9 Stoke 7 2 3 2 L1 5 9 1 29% 0 8 12 1.8 n/a11 14 Sunderland 7 4 3 0 W1 14 11 2 57% 0 12 8 1.8 n/a12 12 Bolton 6 2 3 1 W1 8 9 1 33% 0 7 13 1.7 n/a13 18 Wigan 7 3 4 0 W1 7 13 1 43% 0 9 10 1.7 n/a14 15 Blackburn 6 2 3 1 W1 6 9 1 33% 0 7 15 1.6 n/a15 10 Birmingham 7 2 4 1 L1 4 6 1 29% 0 7 14 1.5 n/a16 13 West Ham 6 1 4 1 L3 6 9 1 17% 0 4 18 1.4 n/a17 19 Portsmouth 7 0 7 0 L8 3 13 0 0% 0 0 20 1 n/a18 17 Wolves 7 2 4 1 L1 7 13 1 29% 0 7 16 0.9 n/a19 16 Burnley 7 3 4 0 L1 5 15 1 43% 0 9 11 0.7 n/a20 20 Hull City 7 1 5 1 L3 6 19 1 14% 0 4 19 0.4 n/a

Form Teams Latest Match Prev Match P W L DLastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin

RatingsTrend

22-08-08 29-09-09

PREMIER LEAGUE MattersFive goal wins by Liverpool and Tottenhamover Hull and Burnley respectivelyhighlighted last week along with Wigan’sflooring of Chelsea. The upshot has movedboth Liverpool and Manchester United aboveChelsea on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. Liverpoolwho were predicted to win by 4, are on top,despite being 3rd on the table.

Wigan had already competed well and were1-1 when Petr Cech was sent leavingChelsea with 10 men for most of the 2ndhalf. They scored the penalty and again lateto deliver coach Ancelotti his first loss. Overat Ewood Park, Blackburn showed how itsdone with 10 men, a late penalty giving thema 2-1 and ending Aston Villa’s 4 win streak.

Portsmouth’s losing streak went to 7courtesy of Everton’s Louis Saha who hadthreatened all day. Portsmouth competed butthis was tough on the home crowd.Liverpool fans on the other hand are feelingsomething. The 6-1 drubbing of Hull, whichincluded 3 by Torres, sent the winner to thetop of the ‘ASAP Ratings’ and the loser tothe bottom.

Tottenham, although 6th by the ‘ASAPRatings’ moved into the top 4 on the tableafter slamming Burnley 5-0 at home, RobbieKeane nailing 4. Despite the ongoing injuryissues of Rio Ferdinand, Manchester Unitedshowed their great depth by making 11changes for the second time in a week.These included rolling Ryan Giggs off thebench to secure a win over Stoke away. The2-0 makes them this week’s dinner host.

Sunderland backed up their big win overHull with another, 5-2 over Wolves at home.At Craven Cottage Fulham producedchances all match but were denied by keeperMannone and a quality Van Persie strike togo down 0-1 to Arsenal. Bolton got theirsecond win upsetting Birmingham 2-1 awaythanks to a late score by Chung-Yong.

Manchester City’s authority over mostteams was confirmed again by a 3-1 overWest Ham with Carlos Tevez putting two onhis former club.

The highlight this week is unquestionablyLiverpool’s trip to Stamford Bridge (Chelsea),Monday 3.45am Sky Sport 2. Earlier at1.25am Sky Sport 2 have Arsenal vBlackburn, while on Sunday morning from2.55am Sky Sport 2 have Bolton vTottenham followed by Manchester United vSunderland.

Copyright ASAP Index © 2009

Barclays PREMIER LEAGUE Week Seven

Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Molineux StWLDLWL Wolves L 2-5 v Sunderland W 2-1 v Fulham 7 2 4 1 0 - 0 29% $0.00 $2.55 Draw

LLLLLL Portsmouth L 0-1 v Everton L 0-2 v Aston V 7 0 7 0 31/1/04 0% $0.00 $3.30Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20

Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Turf Moor - Sky Sport 3 (delayed 12pm)WWLLWL Burnley L 0-5 v Tottenham W 3-1 v Sunderland 7 3 4 0 Not 43% $0.00 $3.55WDLLWL Birmingham L 1-2 v Bolton W 1-0 v HullCity 7 2 4 1 Met 29% $0.00 $2.45 W by 1

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Communications St - Sky Sport 3 (delayed 10pm)

LWDLLL Hull City L 1-6 v Liverpool L 0-1 v Birmingham 7 1 5 1 0 - 1 14% $0.00 $4.80LLLWLW Wigan W 3-1 v Chelsea L 0-4 v Arsenal 7 3 4 0 22/3/09 43% $0.00 $2.05 W by 1

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 7 - 2:55am Sunday October 4, Reebok St - Sky Sport 2

-LLLWDW Bolton W 2-1 v Birmingham D 1-1 v Stoke 6 2 3 1 3 - 2 33% $0.00 $2.90 DrawWWWLLW Tottenham W 5-0 v Burnley L 0-3 v Chelsea 7 5 2 0 31/1/09 71% $0.00 $2.85

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Goodison Pk

-LLWLWW Everton W 1-0 v Portsmouth W 3-0 v Blackburn 6 3 3 0 3 - 1 50% $0.00 $2.10 W by 2LDWLDL Stoke L 0-2 v Man U D 1-1 v Bolton 7 2 3 2 14/3/09 29% $0.00 $4.00

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.55 Week 7 - Sunday October 4, Upton Pk

-WLDLLL West Ham L 1-3 v Man City L 2-3 v Liverpool 6 1 4 1 3 - 1 17% $0.00 $2.65 W by 1-WLLWLL Fulham L 0-1 v Arsenal L 1-2 v Wolverhampton 6 2 4 0 18/1/09 33% $0.00 $3.15

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 7 - 5:25am Sunday October 4, Old Trafford - Sky Sport 2

LWWWWW Man United W 2-0 v Stoke W 4-3 v Man City 7 6 1 0 2 - 1 86% $0.00 $1.60 W by 4LWLWLW Sunderland W 5-2 v Wolverhampton L 1-3 v Burnley 7 4 3 0 11/4/09 57% $0.00 $4.65

Draw Price: $0.00 $6.15 Week 7 - 1:25am Monday October 5, Emirates St - Sky Sport 2

-WWLLWW Arsenal W 1-0 v Fulham W 4-0 v Wigan 6 4 2 0 4 - 0 67% $0.00 $1.65 W by 3-LLDWLW Blackburn W 2-1 v Aston V L 0-3 v Everton 6 2 3 1 14/3/09 33% $0.00 $4.60

Draw Price: $0.00 $5.30 Week 7 - 3:45am Monday October 5, Stamford Bridge - Sky Sport 2

WWWWWL Chelsea L 1-3 v Wigan W 3-0 v Tottenham 7 6 1 0 0 - 2 86% $0.00 $2.55 W by 1WLWWWW Liverpool W 6-1 v HullCity W 3-2 v West Ham 7 5 2 0 1/2/09 71% $0.00 $3.30

Draw Price: $0.00 $3.20 Week 7 - 7:55am Tuesday October 6, Villa Pk - Sky Sport 2

-LWWWWL Aston Villa L 1-2 v Blackburn W 2-0 v Portsmouth 6 4 2 0 0 - 2 67% $2.55 $2.70 Draw-WWWWLW Man City W 3-1 v West Ham L 3-4 v Man U 6 5 1 0 4/3/09 83% $2.60 $3.10

Draw Price: $3.30 $3.20

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS

ASAP Rating Graph Form Guide Key

Form Teams Latest Match Prev Match P W L DLastMet

Win%

TABOdds

ValueOdds

ASAPMargin

RatingsTrend

22-08-08 22-09-09

PREMIER LEAGUE MattersThe Man City v Man United derby deliveredeverything last week. United led throughout,but City stayed with them thanks to the MUrear guard. When City striker Bellamygrabbed his 2nd on full time it was 3-3,before Michael Owen, free of bench splinters,got one home in the 6th minute of injury timefor 4-3.

Bolton copped plenty of flack from theirfollowers as the struggled to stay with Stokeat home. They got out with a late draw.Stoke are rating quite well having beatenSunderland and only going down by 1 toChelsea in their last two.

Birmingham got one away for a changealbeit against Hull 1-0. The latter are bottomranked by the ‘ASAP Ratings’, whileBirmingham are midfield. At turf MoorBurnley surprised with a margin of 2,defeating Sunderland 3-1, with striker DavidNugent ending his drought getting two.Among other lower ranked teams, Wolvesdowned Fulham 2-1 to get up to 12th on thetable although the ‘Ratings’ suggest 16th or17th might be nearer their mark.

Liverpool are now on a 3 streak, and 4 from6 for the season after downing a doggedWest Ham away at Upton Park. Torres didthe damage with two and they rank 3rd byboth the ‘ratings’ and the table. West Hamannounced the signing of Mexican strikerGuillermo Franco during the week.

And another of the ‘top five’, Arsenal,cruised home 4-0 against Wigan who arerating like relegation candidates even thoughthey’re 15th on the table. Defender ThomasVermaelen managed two for Arsenal.

Portsmouth away couldn’t take a trick verseAston Villa going down 2-0. They’re now 6from 6 on the loss count. Although at hometo Everton this week, that too is lookingominous as the latter finds some form. Theirsuper striker Louis Saha bagged 2 to givethem their 2nd win, this time at home overBlackburn 3-1. Everton is reported to bechasing Socceroo Lucas Neill.

Michael Owen repaid some debt as the heronailing an injury time goal to get ManchesterUnited up 4-3 over Manchester City. It willgo down as another of the great clashesdelivering some spectacular football, andCity, with the luck, showing again they’rehere to play this season. Meanwhile, Citystriker Adebayor copped 3 matches for theVan Persie stomping the previous week.

Its early days but new Chelsea coach CarloAncelotti couldn’t have hoped for a betterstart. They’re now 6 from 6 as Cole, Drogba,and Ballack all found the net in acommanding 3-0 over Tottenham atStamford Bridge.

This week Portsmouth seek a first win overEverton, Saturday Sky Sport 2, at 11.40pm.Sky Sport 2 also has Arsenal at Fulham,Sunday 4am , Wolves at Sunderland,Monday 3.55am, and City hosting WestHam, Tuesday 7.55am.

Barclays PREMIER LEAGUE Week Six

Week 6 - 11:40am Saturday September 26, Fratton Pk - Sky Sport 2-LLLLLL Portsmouth L 2-3 v Bolton L 0-2 v Aston V 6 0 6 0 2 - 1 0% $4.10 $3.85

W-LLWLW Everton L 1-2 v Fulham W 3-0 v Blackburn 5 2 3 0 21/3/09 40% $1.85 $2.30 W by 1Draw Price: $3.40 $3.20

Week 6 - Sunday September 27, Ewood PkD-LLDWL Blackburn W 3-1 v Wolves L 0-3 v Everton 5 1 3 1 0 - 2 20% $2.75 $3.30 Draw

W-LWWWW Aston Villa W 1-0 v Birmingham W 2-0 v Portsmouth 5 4 1 0 7/2/09 80% $2.45 $2.55Draw Price: $3.25 $3.20

Week 6 - Sunday September 27, White Hart Lane-WWWWLL Tottenham L 1-3 v Man U L 0-3 v Chelsea 6 4 2 0 Not 67% $1.30 $1.85 W by 2-LWWLLW Burnley L 0-4 v Liverpool W 3-1 v Sunderland 6 3 3 0 Met 50% $11.00 $4.70

Draw Price: $4.50 $3.90 Week 6 - Sunday September 27, St Andrews St

-LWDLLW Birmingham L 0-1 v Aston V W 1-0 v HullCity 6 2 3 1 0 - 3 33% $2.25 $2.40 W by 1L-LLLWD Bolton W 3-2 v Portsmouth D 1-1 v Stoke 5 1 3 1 22/12/07 20% $3.10 $3.65

Draw Price: $3.20 $3.20 Week 6 - Sunday September 27, DW St

-WLLLWL Wigan W 1-0 v West Ham L 0-4 v Arsenal 6 2 4 0 1 - 2 33% $11.00 $3.95-WWWWWW Chelsea W 2-1 v Stoke W 3-0 v Tottenham 6 6 0 0 28/2/09 100% $1.30 $1.95 W by 2

Draw Price: $4.50 $4.25 Week 6 - Sunday September 27, Britannia St

-WLDWLD Stoke L 1-2 v Chelsea D 1-1 v Bolton 6 2 2 2 0 - 1 33% $10.00 $3.25-WLWWWW Man United W 3-1 v Tottenham W 4-3 v Man City 6 5 1 0 26/12/08 83% $1.33 $2.60 W by 1

Draw Price: $4.50 $3.20 Week 6 - Sunday September 27, Anfield

-LWLWWW Liverpool W 4-0 v Burnley W 3-2 v West Ham 6 4 2 0 3 - 1 67% $1.11 $1.35 W by 4-LLWDLL Hull City L 1-4 v Sunderland L 0-1 v Birmingham 6 1 4 1 25/4/09 17% $18.00 $10.15

Draw Price: $8.00 $6.25 Week 6 - 4:00am Sunday September 27, Craven Cottage - Sky Sport 2

L-WLLWL Fulham W 2-1 v Everton L 1-2 v Wolves 5 2 3 0 0 - 0 40% $6.25 $3.15 DrawW-WWLLW Arsenal L 2-4 v Man City W 4-0 v Wigan 5 3 2 0 28/2/09 60% $1.65 $2.70

Draw Price: $3.50 $3.20 Week 6 - 3:55am Monday September 28, St of Light - Sky Sport 2

-WLWLWL Sunderland W 4-1 v HullCity L 1-3 v Burnley 6 3 3 0 Not 50% $1.70 $2.25 W by 1-LWLDLW Wolves L 1-3 v Blackburn W 2-1 v Fulham 6 2 3 1 Met 33% $5.00 $4.00

Draw Price: $3.40 $3.20 Week 6 - 7:55am Tuesday September 29, City of Manchester - Sky Sport 2

W-WWWWL Man City W 4-2 v Arsenal L 3-4 v Man U 5 4 1 0 0 - 1 80% $1.40 $1.80 W by 3W-WLDLL West Ham L 0-1 v Wigan L 2-3 v Liverpool 5 1 3 1 1/3/09 20% $8.00 $4.40

Draw Price: $4.10 $4.65

RANKINGS – RATINGS – ODDS

Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Key: The form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.