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© 2021 ANAROCK Property Consultants Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved.Disclaimer: This publication is the sole property of ANAROCK Group, and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of ANAROCK Group.
Q3 20
21
Indian Economy & Residential Real EstateT H E N A R R A T I V E I N C H A R T S
Prashant Thakur | Sr. Director & Head of [email protected]
For research services, please contact:
Virendra Joshi | Sr. Vice President, [email protected]
© 2021 ANAROCK Property Consultants Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved.Disclaimer: This publication is the sole property of ANAROCK Group, and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of ANAROCK Group.
5.4% 4.6% 3.3% 3.0%
-24.4%
-7.4%
0.5% 1.6%
20.2%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Q1FY'20
Q2FY'20
Q3FY'20
Q4FY'20
Q1FY'21
Q2FY'21
Q3FY'21
Q4FY'21
Q1FY'22
GDP Growth Rate (Constant)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
Jan-
20
Feb
-20
Ma
r-20
Ap
r-20
Ma
y-20
Jun
-20
Jul-
20
Aug
-20
Sep
-20
Oc
t-2
0
No
v-20
Dec
-20
Jan-
21
Feb
-21
Ma
r-21
Ap
r-21
Ma
y-21
Jun
-21
Jul-
21
Aug
-21
Sep
-21
Oc
t-2
1
SBI Home Loan Rate Repo Rate
140
145
150
155
160
165
Jan-
20
Feb
-20
Ma
r-20
Ap
r-20
Ma
y-20
Jun
-20
Jul-
20
Aug
-20
Sep
-20
Oc
t-2
0
No
v-20
Dec
-20
Jan-
21
Feb
-21
Ma
r-21
Ap
r-21
Ma
y-21
Jun
-21
Jul-
21
Aug
-21
CPI (Inflation)
1,358
1,458 1,444 1,450
1,5741,606
1,733
1,981 1,997
2,101
1,901
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Per Capita Income (USD)
The Indian economy recovered post the COVID-19 pandemic…
…However, the pandemic has impacted the per capita income
Amid supply issues and production bottlenecks, inflation rose during the past few months…
…Low interest rate regime continued to offer all-time best affordability for homebuyers
Note: CPI indexed to 2012 = 100SBI Home Loan rates are the lowest rates offered by the bank to the salaried employees for the loans up to INR 30 Lakhs
Source: MOSPI, World Bank, RBI, SBI & ANAROCK Research
Indian Economy: The Narrative in Charts
© 2021 ANAROCK Property Consultants Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved.Disclaimer: This publication is the sole property of ANAROCK Group, and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of ANAROCK Group.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
Bengaluru Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata MMR NCR Pune
No
. of
unit
s
Q2 2021 Q3 2021
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
Q12020
Q22020
Q32020
Q42020
Q12021
Q22021
Q32021
Affordable Mid-end High-end Luxury Ultra-luxury
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Bengaluru Chennai Hyderabad Kolkata MMR NCR Pune
No
. of
unit
s
Q2 2021 Q3 2021
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
Q12020
Q22020
Q32020
Q42020
Q12021
Q22021
Q32021
New Launches (Units) Sales (Units)
The residential real estate sector yet again proved its resilience post the 2nd wave…
Q3 2021 Residential Real Estate: The Narrative in Charts
…Almost every city recorded a quarterly growth in new launches
The developers continued to launch in the mid and high-end segments…
…Every city’s sales more than doubled from the previous quarter
1stW
ave
2ndW
ave
SOLD
NEW
Note: Affordable: < INR 40 Lakh, Mid-end: INR 40 Lakh - INR 80 LakhHigh-end: INR 80 Lakh - INR 1.5 Cr, Luxury: INR 1.5 Cr - INR 2.5 Cr, Ultra-Luxury: > INR 2.5 Cr
Source: ANAROCK Research
© 2021 ANAROCK Property Consultants Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved.Disclaimer: This publication is the sole property of ANAROCK Group, and must not be copied, reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, either in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of ANAROCK Group.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021S
ales
-S
upp
ly R
atio
NCR MMR Bengaluru Pune Hyderabad Chennai Kolkata
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
104%
106%
108%
110%
112%
114%
Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2018 Q3 2019 Q3 2020 Q3 2021
Pri
ce In
dex
ed, Q
3 20
15 =
10
0%
NCR MMR Bengaluru PuneHyderabad Chennai Kolkata
610,000
620,000
630,000
640,000
650,000
660,000
670,000
Q12019
Q22019
Q32019
Q42019
Q12020
Q22020
Q32020
Q42020
Q12021
Q22021
Q32021
Unsold Inventory (Units)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2018 2019 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021
Inventory Overhang (months)
Sales to supply ratio recovered to >1 in MMR, NCR, Chennai & Bengaluru…
Q3 2021 Residential Real Estate: The Narrative in Charts
…Launches exceeding sales led to a northward movement of available inventory
Prices registered a 4% annual appreciation primarily due to a rise in input costs…
…Amidst an uptick in demand, the inventory overhang declined incessantly
₹
Source: ANAROCK Research