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A collection of articles featuring Property Wizards
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Trevor Dunkley
Wizards.Perth-based buyers’ agency Property
Property Wizards Buyers
Buyers agent Liz Sterzel
Property Wizards buyers agency Trevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
THE HILLS GAZETTE
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Wizards.Property
Managing director Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel’s
WEEKEND COURIER
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Buyers Agency buyers’ agent Trevor Dunkley.
Property WizardsMr Dunkley
Liz Sterzel, of Property Wizards
THE FREMANTLE GAZETTE
THE EASTERN REPORTERTHE SUNDAY TIMES
The managing director of PropertyWizards Buyer’s Agency, Liz Sterzel
Liz Sterzel
Wizards Buyers’ Agency buyers agent Trevor Dunkley
Property
Mr Dunkley
Trevor Dunkley, Property Wizards’ Buyer’s agency director.
buyers agency Property
Trevor Dunkley
Managing Director of Property Wizards Buyer’s Agent, Liz Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Property WizardsTrevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Tread warily, says advisor Trevor Dunkley
Property Wizards
Investment adviser, Liz Sterzel of Property Wizards.
Liz Sterzel Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Liz Sterzel
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
THE SUNDAY TIMES
SUBIACO-BASED buyers agency Property Wizards
Managing director LizSterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Liz Sterzel
Pro-perty Wizards
Property Wizards manag-ing director Liz Sterzel
buyers agency PropertyWizards.
Trevor Dunkley
PROPERTY Wizards managing director Liz Sterzel
Sterzel
Sterzel
Jon & Martin - buying and developing through Property Wizards
Liz Sterzel and Trevor Dunkley fromProperty Wizards
Agent managing director LizProperty Wizards Buyers
Sterzel
Property Wizards directorTrevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
TREVOR DUNKLEY
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
THE JOONDALUP TIMES
Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Agency managing director Liz Sterzel.Property Wizards Buyers’
Liz Sterzel.
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
agency Property Wizardsproperty buyer’s
THE STIRLING TIMES
Ms Sterzel Ms Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards Buyer’sAgency Director Trevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
JOONDALUP TIMES
Trevor Dunkley...look for boom proof properties.
Property Wizards buyers
agent Liz Sterzel
FINANCIAL REVIEW SMART INVESTOR
Property Wizards buyers’ agent LizSterzel
Mr Dunkley
Trevor Dunkley
Property Wizards,
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
Trevor Dunkley director of Property Wizards walks in Subi Centro.
Director Trevor DunkleyTrevor DunkleyDirector, Property Wizards Property Buyers’ Agents
Liz SterzelProperty Buyers’ AgentProperty Wizards
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY THE SUNDAY TIMES
Dunkley
THE JOONDALUP TIMES
Property Wizards buyers
Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards’ client featured in Australian Property Investor magazine.
Liz Sterzel offers some sound advice.
agency managing director Liz
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Mr Dunkley
DunkleyTrevor
Trevor Dunkley, Buyers’ Agent, Property Wizards
Property Wizards Buyers agency managingdirector Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Buyers Agency managing director Liz Sterzel
JOONDALUP TIMES
Property Wizards buyers agent
Agent Trevor Dunkley
Trevor Dunkley.
DunkleyThe Wizards
propertywizards
Property Wizards Buyers Agency MD Liz Sterzel.
Property Wizards
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
PropertyWizards director Trevor Dunkley
Director Trevor Dunkley
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Mr Dunkley
TrevorDunkley
director Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards managing
WizardsProperty
Agent Property Wizards
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Sterzel
ROPERTY Wizardsbuyers’ agent Liz
Ms Sterzel
Liz Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Property Wizards
Property Wizards
Mr Dunkleydirector Trevor Dunkley
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
REIWA AWARDS NIGHT
Property Wizards DirectorTrevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
PropertyWizards.
Mr Dunkley
www.wabusinessnews.com.au
director Liz Sterzelmanaging
Property Wizards Buyers Agency
Property Wizards Buyers Agency
Property Wizards Buyers Agency
Liz Sterzel Trevor Dunkley
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Trevor Dunkley
managing director of PropertyWizards Liz Sterzel
Property Wizards managing directorLiz Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
THE MORTGAGE MAGAZINE
THE SUNDAY TIMES
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Liz Sterzel managing director ofProperty Wizards
Mr Dunkley
Dunkley
Mr DunkleyDunkley.
Property Wiz-
Property Wiz-
ards
ards
Proper-ty Wizards director Trevor
Director Trevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr DunkleyProperty Wizards
Property Wizardsmanaging director Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Property Wizards buyers Agency director Trevor Dunkley
Dunkley says.
Property Wizards buyers’ agent Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Trevor Dunkley
Liz Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
managing director Liz Sterzel
Property Wizards
Property Wizards
Liz Sterzel
Property Wizards buyers’ agencyTrevor director Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards managing director Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards.Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Ms Sterzel
Managing director Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property
DunkleyMr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Wizards.
Property Wizards buyers’ Agency managing director Liz Sterzel.
Property Wizards managing director Liz Sterzel.
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
THE HILLS GAZETTE COMMUNITY NEWS
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
Trevor DunkleyProperty Wizards buyers agency director
Property Wizards.Managing director Liz Sterzel
Property Wizards director Trevor
Trevor Dunkley.
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards managing director Liz Sterzel
Perth Property Buyer’s consultancyProperty Wizards Director Trevor
Dunkley
Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Trevor DunkleyWizards director
Property
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
Ms Sterzel
Liz Sterzel
buyer’s agency Property Wizards,managing director of Perth
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Ms Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms SterzelProperty Wizards buyers’ agent
Property Wizards buyers’Agency.
Property Wizards managingdirector and buyers’ agent LizSterzel
Liz Sterzel.
Ms Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
THE SUNDAY TIMES
managing director Liz SterzelProperty Wizards buyers’ agency
Sterzel
WANNEROO TIMES
Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards Buyers Agent manag-ing director Liz Sterzel
Mr DunkleyMr Dunkley
Mr DunkleyMr DunkleyProperty Wizards Buyer’s
Agency Director Trevor Dunkley
Ms Sterzel
director Liz SterzelProperty Wizards managing
Property
Property
Wizards
Wizards
Liz Sterzel
Property Wizards Buyers Agency director LizSterzel
Liz Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
THE HILLS GAZETTETHE SUNDAY TIMES
Property Wizards
Ms Sterzel
Liz Sterzel managing directorProperty Wizards Buyers Agents andDevelopments
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Property Wizards’ clients getting ahead with a development property found by Property Wizards.
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Section | strapline
92 www.yipmag.com.au
WA PROPERTY
PerthhousesMedian value$480,000
Growth over 12 months-0.26%
Growth over three months to Feb 11-2.17%
Rent return4.13%
Rent amountFeb 11$380/week
Perth unitsMedian value$398,000
Growth over 12 months1.79%
Growth over three months to Feb 11-0.98%
Rent return4.72%
Rent amountFeb 11$360/weekSource: Residex, Feb 11
ACTNTTASSAWA
Anyone with half an interest in the economic health of Western Australia has no doubt have had an earful of predictions
that the state is due for another massive resources boom. Coupled with RBA governor Glenn Stevens touting the impending boom as perhaps the biggest in modern history, hitherto cautious property investors may well start jumping into the WA market with renewed vigour.
Stevens says the mining sector investment has already risen from an average of 2% of GDP over the past 25 years to 4% – exceeding peaks reached in the booms of the 1960s and 1980s.
And he believes the insatiable demand for resources from India and China could see investment rise by a further 1–2% over the next couple of years.
“If it occurs, this will be by far the largest such expenditure of a capital nature in the resources sector in Australia’s modern history,” he said at a recent conference on the resources boom.
Bearing these comments in mind, buyer’s agent and Property Wizard’s managing director Liz Sterzel believes property investors are becoming increasingly keen to board the resources gravy train before it picks up too much speed.
“There’s little doubt among investors that house prices will go up due to a growing WA workforce that will need homes to live in – and they want to get in before the masses do,” she says.
“What’s driving the local market at present is investor knowledge that WA’s economy is forecast to grow (at 4.75% for 2011 to 2012, according to the Department of Treasury and Finance) and that
the resources boom we’re now entering is of a magnitude never seen before.”
Perth’s still coolPutting predictions for wider economic growth aside for the time being, Real Estate Institute of WA (REIWA) president Alan Bourke explains that the property market in Perth is still slow, thanks to a slower rate of population growth, an oversupply of property on the market, and cautious buyers who are concerned about incurring debt in the current economic climate.
“There’s also the expectation with many buyers that prices may drop a little further, so some are waiting and biding their time,” he says.
But don’t wait too long, he warns, as the market seems to have bottomed out and this year could be the one that investors look back on and say “if only I’d bought in 2011”.
“It’s a buyer’s market with plenty of stock, plenty of keen sellers and good room for negotiation on a bargain. The REIWA expects the overall economy and housing sector to pick up in 2012, so for wise investors now’s a great time to strike,” says Bourke.
Sterzel, however, sees Perth as a bit of a mixed bag, with some areas representing a buyer’s market, others favouring sellers, and some struggling to find the market value.
“In some cases, we’re seeing a $50,000 to $60,000 difference in the price of similar properties,” she explains.
“This is a fantastic situation for switched-on investors who can grab a bargain, but it’s a trap for uneducated buyers.”
Overall, however, Sterzel likens the current buying situation to being a kid in a candy shop, with only a minority of players in the Perth property market having tasted the delicious opportunities it presents.
Hot suburbsThe suburbs that are seeing the most buyer activity, says Bourke, are the more affordable areas with good transport infrastructure and decent urban facilities such as shops and schools. He adds that, historically, the areas that have
Is the tide turning in WA?There are still some great buys to be made in WA’s slow moving market, and the mood among buyers is gradually turning from cautious to confident as predictions of a resource industry resurgence flood in
92
86-99_State Roundup.indd 92 3/29/2011 9:00:39 AM
Liz SterzelProperty Wizards managing director
Mr Dunkley
Perth Property Buyers Agent Property Wizards director TrevorDunkley
Sterzelmanaging director LizProperty Wizards
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizardsmanaging director, LizSterzel
Sterzel
THE STIRLING TIMES
property buyers agencyProperty Wizards.
SOUTHERN GAZETTE
THE SUNDAY TIMES
Property WizardsBuyer’s Agency managing director Liz
Sterzel
Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards managing director Liz Sterzel
MANDURAH COASTAL NEWS
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Trevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Property Wizards
Mr Dunkley
Dunkley.Property Wizards Agent Trevor
Property Wizards
Mr Dunkley
Trevor Dunkley
Dunkley
Property WizardsBuyers Agents Trevor Dunkley.
Property Wizards Buyers Agency DirectorTrevor Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Buyers’ agency Agent Trevor DunkleyProperty Wizards
Mr Dunkley
THE SUNDAY TIMES
PROPERTY WIZARDS’ CLIENT LANCE GELDEN
Mr Dunkley Property Wizards
Property Wizards Liz Sterzel
Trevor Dunkley
Dunkley
REIWA NEWS
WESTERN SUBURBS WEEKLY
director Trevor DunkleyProperty Wizards
Property Wizards
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Property Wizards director Trevor
Trevor Dunkley, of Property Wizards, said it was still possible to find a bargain.
Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
Mr Dunkley
PropertyWizards
entertainment precincts. More than $300 million in projects
are completed and a further $465 million in development work
is under way. The Honeysuckle Development Corporation
claims $2 billion is being injected into the Hunter Region
economy over the 20-year life of the project, with more than
8000 jobs created.The project has restored historic buildings, built a bridge
and a bus interchange, and created parkland and promenades.
Corporation general manager Craig Norman says 1500 people
now call Honeysuckle home and that it’s the workplace for
2000 people. Pricewaterhouse Coopers, Telstra Country Wide
and numerous government departments have offices there.
While the Newcastle property market has slowed generally,
Honeysuckle has continued to thrive, having the advantage of
water frontage and also being part of the Newcastle CBD.
“There’s something about harbourside living that people
love,” says communications manager Charnelle Mondy.
“Harbourside dining is such a new thing in Newcastle and
people want to be part of the action. The apartments which
open out on to the promenade and the water are very popular
places to invest.”Guy Robinson of Robinson Property says virtually all the
residential product created in the development over the past
six years has sold out off-the plan. Apartments sold in 2000
and in 2001 are now achieving re-sales close to double their
original prices.
COOGEE AREA, WESTERN AUSTRALIACoogee, south of Fremantle, has been a good
performer recently – but an urban renewal
project planned for this noxious industry area
will take it to a new level. About 20 km south of the Perth CBD, Coogee has taken
some time to shrug off the stigma of nearby heavy industry.
But Coogee’s popularity is growing on the back of its coastal
setting and proximity to Fremantle. There’s been extensive
renovation or reconstruction of older housing stock in the
suburb.The new Port Coogee marina and residential development
will transform an eyesore area and boost nearby suburbs. The
proposed development will be on 55 coastal ha and about 20
ha of seabed on Cockburn Sound.The $700 million development by Australand will rehabilitate
the contaminated land and turn it into a residential estate with
700 houses, 330 marina berths and a small hotel. The first dirt
was turned on the site in February 2006 and the sales campaign
was due to start in October 2006.Price levels are already high in Coogee (the median is above
$600,000) – and the suburb ranks as one with a high degree
of consistency in value growth. The suburb’s price growth last
year, its five-year growth average and its 15-year average are all
15 per cent to 16 per cent. A further boost to the region is the upgrade to South Beach,
a little further north at South Fremantle. There’s likely to be
a ‘ripple effect’, boosting neighbouring suburbs like Hamilton
Hill and Spearwood. Both have median prices under $350,000
NOW! NEXT?
and have only recently started to show the kind of growth
evident in Perth generally.Hamilton Hill has ageing housing stock which is ripe for
refurbishment or duplex development. It also has a government-
sponsored ‘New Living’ urban renewal program happening.
Buyers agent Liz Sterzel of Property Wizards says Coogee,
Spearwood and Hamilton Hill all offer opportunities to investors.
“These areas are relatively close to the CBD, are undergoing
various government upgrades and refurbishments, are close
to the vibrant restaurant strip in Fremantle and will benefit
from the Perth to Mandurah rail line, which will cut travelling
times to the city,” Sterzel says.
WEST END, QUEENSLANDThe hallmark of a hotspot is having more than
one decisive influence. The West End precinct,
about 3 km from the Brisbane CBD, has four
‘creator categories’ working for it.
Lifestyle features, urban renewal and government decisions
are all immediate influences on this market, and once the
Brisbane residential market moves into a recovery phase, the
ripple effect will also impact on West End.This inner-city precinct sits beside South Brisbane – home
of the South Bank Parklands, the Queensland Cultural Centre
and the Brisbane Convention and Exhibition Centre.
West End is a “peninsula” suburb, with the Brisbane River
wrapping around it, so it’s affected by one of the greatest wealth
creators in real estate – water. Increasingly, riverfront land
occupied by industrial uses is being converted to residential.
PRDnationwide’s Tim Lawless says: “The Urban Renewal
Task Force is currently active in West End, providing direction
for the transformation of industrial land. The industrial precincts
along the river are being successfully redeveloped, as are key
sites around the suburb. Unit prices in the area are still relatively
low and we believe there’s room for upward movement.”
West End is also the subject of a traffic study to ease traffic
congestion (plans include the proposed Hale Street link to
connect South Brisbane/West End with Milton on the other
side of the river) and a Suburban Centre Improvement Project
by the Brisbane City Council is targeted on Boundary Road, a
popular destination for shopping and dining.
One sign of West End’s transformation as a more residential
precinct is plans for a $250 million “urban village” on the
border between South Bank (where major residential development
is well established) and West End.Also in this neighbourhood is a $550 million redevelopment
of the Southbank Institute complex and the Millennium Arts
Project, which will include a new Queensland Gallery of Modern
Art and a redevelopment of the State Library. The Pradella
Group has announced plans for an $80 million riverside unit
building in West End.Typical West End houses now cost around $500,000. Like
everywhere in southeast Queensland, West End saw strong
price growth after 2000. But the suburb hasn’t yet fulfilled its
potential and its growth rate has been lower than city averages.
And recently the median price has declined.
NOW! NEXT?
36 AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY INVESTOR OCTOBER 2006
WWW.APIMAGAZINE.COM.AU
COVERSTORY
How to find a hotspotbeforeeveryone else does to Perth and the area’s water
features. When sea change took holdaround Australia, Mandurah was a logical
target because of its natural environment andproximity to Perth. Its status was cemented through new
transport infrastructure, firstly through extensions to theKwinana Freeway and, soon, with the creation of a rail link(now being built down the centre of the freeway). Mandurahis today one of Australia’s headline hotspots. Salt, in hisPopulation Growth Report 2005, identified it as the number onegrowth area among Australia’s 70 largest cities. MandurahShire, about 75 km south of Perth, now has 60,000 citizens.
There are more living outside the shire, but still part of theMandurah metropolitan area. On that basis, Mandurah is nowa bigger city than Mackay and Rockhampton, having averaged6.5 per cent annual growth for 20 years. It has shot from beingAustralia’s 60th largest urban area in 1976 to the 23rd largestin 2004. It will soon be in the top 20.
The 2006 Property Outlook Report by Hegney Property Groupsays: “The sea change phenomenon sweeping Australia hasresulted in a population surge in coastal cities around thecountry. Mandurah is at the forefront of this growth.”
And Mandurah is projected to continue growing. In hisAustralia on the Move report for the Property Council of Australia(which predicted the number of dwellings required in Australia’s41 largest cities up to 2031), Salt ranked Mandurah numberone in the nation.
BALLINA TO YAMBAThe Ballina to Yamba stretch of the northernNew South Wales coastline will benefit fromtwo pieces of transport infrastructure:improvements to the Pacific Highway and the
NEXT?
Tugun Bypass on the Gold Coast. One of the keys to the successof this region is the population base in southeast Queensland.Many Gold Coast and Brisbane residents head south forweekends and holidays – and Salt says the southern extensionof the Pacific Motorway from Byron Bay to Ballina will lead tolifting values in Yamba and Ballina, while the planned Tugunbypass on the Gold Coast will add further impetus.
“People on the Gold Coast have holiday houses further southinto NSW,” Salt says.
“They’ll cascade down south, using the Tugun bypass, downthe Pacific Motorway, through to Ballina. There are a lot oftowns with potential down that way.”
Gold Coast valuer Garrie Love of CB Richard Ellis says theroad improvements are on the minds of property owners.
“Every time we do a valuation in northern NSW, they say wehave to take into account the Tugun bypass,” Love says. “Andthat’s understandable. Every time you see new roads whichsmooth out traffic flows, it benefits real estate.”
Love says the road improvements are “fabulous” for marketssuch as Yamba, Ballina and Lennox Heads.
“Property in Ballina and Yamba is already benefiting,” he says.Ballina Shire spreads 33 km along the NSW coastline 190
km south of Brisbane, with 93 per cent of it classified as Crownland and water-based activities the main recreational activities.The precinct saw strong price growth after 2000 but remainsquite affordable. The house sales market in the Greater Ballinaarea peaked in 2003 and sales last year were half those levels.Throughout Ballina Shire, the median house price is nowaround $370,000.
About 100 km further south is Yamba which is also affordable,especially after recent price reductions. The median houseprice peaked around $380,000 in mid-2004 but, according toAustralian Property Monitors (APM), the median in the year
WWW.APIMAGAZINE.COM.AU OCTOBER 2006 AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY INVESTOR 31
APL
Case studies in hotspot creationThe surest way to make money in real estate investment is topinpoint a hotspot before it becomes one. And investors cando that by studying areas which have recently been hotspots.
By understanding why a region became a property out-performer, investors can identify areas with similar qualitieswhich have yet to achieve full potential as real estate markets.
Mandurah in Western Australia has become one of the headlinegrowth areas of Australia. It didn’t happen by accident. And itdidn’t occur because of one overpowering influence. Like allhotspots, Mandurah had a combination of compelling factors.
Not only was it driven by the sea change phenomenon, butMandurah had a series of important lifestyle features luringbaby boomers and other buyers – specifically a rare combinationof water attractions. The icing on Mandurah’s real estate cakewas transport infrastructure: the extension south from Perthof the Kwinana Freeway and the State Government decisionto link the region to the capital with rail services.
Chinchilla in Queensland was an ugly duckling country townwith very cheap real estate which took off when major industrialand resources projects turned it into a boom town.
As with Mandurah, the best time to be buying property inChinchilla was two to three years ago.
But the key question is: what will be the next Chinchilla orthe next Mandurah? Finding the answer isn’t as hard as youmight think. Existing hotspots all have one or more of ten“creator categories” (see sidebar on page 34) working for them.The next hotspots will be areas with similar characteristicswhich haven’t yet reached their full price potential.
The following case studies in hotspot creation demonstratethe point.
Case study 1: sea change, lifestyle features,transport infrastructure
MANDURAH, WA“If there was a national beauty pageant for seachange locations, Mandurah would be rightup there among the finalists.” So saysdemographer Bernard Salt of KPMG.
Mandurah has become a standout growth area, both forpopulation and property values, because of a confluence ofmajor influences – including sea change, new transport links
NOW! NE
30 AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY INVESTOR OCTOBER 2006 WWW.APIMAGAZINE.COM.AU
COVERSTORY
Tick, tick… BOOMReal estate hotspots always happen for clear reasons – which areeasy to identify with hindsight. Successful investors are those whohave foresight – and know how to identify hotspots before theyhappen. Terry Ryder describes the hotspotting process, a techniquefor identifying markets destined to out-perform.
© Australian Property Investor magazine - www.apimagazine.com.au. Reproduced with permission.
How to find a hotspotbeforeeveryone else doesto Perth and the area’s water
features. When sea change took hold
around Australia, Mandurah was a logical
target because of its natural environment and
proximity to Perth. Its status was cemented through new
transport infrastructure, firstly through extensions to the
Kwinana Freeway and, soon, with the creation of a rail link
(now being built down the centre of the freeway). Mandurah
is today one of Australia’s headline hotspots. Salt, in his
Population Growth Report 2005, identified it as the number one
growth area among Australia’s 70 largest cities. Mandurah
Shire, about 75 km south of Perth, now has 60,000 citizens.
There are more living outside the shire, but still part of the
Mandurah metropolitan area. On that basis, Mandurah is now
a bigger city than Mackay and Rockhampton, having averaged
6.5 per cent annual growth for 20 years. It has shot from being
Australia’s 60th largest urban area in 1976 to the 23rd largest
in 2004. It will soon be in the top 20.The 2006 Property Outlook Report by Hegney Property Group
says: “The sea change phenomenon sweeping Australia has
resulted in a population surge in coastal cities around the
country. Mandurah is at the forefront of this growth.”
And Mandurah is projected to continue growing. In his
Australia on the Move report for the Property Council of Australia
(which predicted the number of dwellings required in Australia’s
41 largest cities up to 2031), Salt ranked Mandurah number
one in the nation.
BALLINA TO YAMBAThe Ballina to Yamba stretch of the northern
New South Wales coastline will benefit from
two pieces of transport infrastructure:
improvements to the Pacific Highway and the
NEXT?
Tugun Bypass on the Gold Coast. One of the keys to the success
of this region is the population base in southeast Queensland.
Many Gold Coast and Brisbane residents head south for
weekends and holidays – and Salt says the southern extension
of the Pacific Motorway from Byron Bay to Ballina will lead to
lifting values in Yamba and Ballina, while the planned Tugun
bypass on the Gold Coast will add further impetus.
“People on the Gold Coast have holiday houses further south
into NSW,” Salt says. “They’ll cascade down south, using the Tugun bypass, down
the Pacific Motorway, through to Ballina. There are a lot of
towns with potential down that way.”Gold Coast valuer Garrie Love of CB Richard Ellis says the
road improvements are on the minds of property owners.
“Every time we do a valuation in northern NSW, they say we
have to take into account the Tugun bypass,” Love says. “And
that’s understandable. Every time you see new roads which
smooth out traffic flows, it benefits real estate.”
Love says the road improvements are “fabulous” for markets
such as Yamba, Ballina and Lennox Heads.
“Property in Ballina and Yamba is already benefiting,” he says.
Ballina Shire spreads 33 km along the NSW coastline 190
km south of Brisbane, with 93 per cent of it classified as Crown
land and water-based activities the main recreational activities.
The precinct saw strong price growth after 2000 but remains
quite affordable. The house sales market in the Greater Ballina
area peaked in 2003 and sales last year were half those levels.
Throughout Ballina Shire, the median house price is now
around $370,000. About 100 km further south is Yamba which is also affordable,
especially after recent price reductions. The median house
price peaked around $380,000 in mid-2004 but, according to
Australian Property Monitors (APM), the median in the year
WWW.APIMAGAZINE.COM.AU
OCTOBER 2006 AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY INVESTOR 31
APL
Case studies in hotspot creationThe surest way to make money in real estate investment is to
pinpoint a hotspot before it becomes one. And investors can
do that by studying areas which have recently been hotspots.
By understanding why a region became a property out-
performer, investors can identify areas with similar qualities
which have yet to achieve full potential as real estate markets.
Mandurah in Western Australia has become one of the headline
growth areas of Australia. It didn’t happen by accident. And it
didn’t occur because of one overpowering influence. Like all
hotspots, Mandurah had a combination of compelling factors.
Not only was it driven by the sea change phenomenon, but
Mandurah had a series of important lifestyle features luring
baby boomers and other buyers – specifically a rare combination
of water attractions. The icing on Mandurah’s real estate cake
was transport infrastructure: the extension south from Perth
of the Kwinana Freeway and the State Government decision
to link the region to the capital with rail services.
Chinchilla in Queensland was an ugly duckling country town
with very cheap real estate which took off when major industrial
and resources projects turned it into a boom town.
As with Mandurah, the best time to be buying property in
Chinchilla was two to three years ago.But the key question is: what will be the next Chinchilla or
the next Mandurah? Finding the answer isn’t as hard as you
might think. Existing hotspots all have one or more of ten
“creator categories” (see sidebar on page 34) working for them.
The next hotspots will be areas with similar characteristics
which haven’t yet reached their full price potential.
The following case studies in hotspot creation demonstrate
the point.
Case study 1: sea change, lifestyle features,
transport infrastructureMANDURAH, WA“If there was a national beauty pageant for sea
change locations, Mandurah would be right
up there among the finalists.” So says
demographer Bernard Salt of KPMG.
Mandurah has become a standout growth area, both for
population and property values, because of a confluence of
major influences – including sea change, new transport links
NOW! NE30 AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY INVESTOR OCTOBER 2006
WWW.APIMAGAZINE.COM.AU
COVERSTORY
Tick, tick… BOOMReal estate hotspots always happen for clear reasons – which are
easy to identify with hindsight. Successful investors are those who
have foresight – and know how to identify hotspots before they
happen. Terry Ryder describes the hotspotting process, a technique
for identifying markets destined to out-perform.
© Australian Property Investor magazine - www.apimagazine.com.au. Reproduced with permission.
Buyers agent Liz Sterzel of Property Wizards
Sterzel says.
Property Wizards director TrevorDunkley
Liz Sterzel managing director of Property Wizards
Property Wizards
PropertyWizards
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
THE SUNDAY TIMES
THE WEST AUSTRALIAN
Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Ms Sterzel
Property Wizards managing director Liz Sterzel
Whether you are a beginning investor, a seasoned pro or a home buyer, please contact us for information to help you build a property portfolio
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Property Wizards Smarter, Faster Wealth Strategies
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