21
o.de funded by Bioenergy Environmental Impact Analysis (BIAS) presented at the FAO Expert Meeting 5/6 Rome, Feb. 18-20, 2008 Uwe R. Fritsche Coordinator, Energy & Climate Division Oeko-Institut e.V. (Institute for applied Ecology), Darmstadt Office Impacts of Biofuels on Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Impacts of Biofuels on Greenhouse Gas Emissions · Generation Biodiesel 2. Generation Biodiesel fossil Diesel 1. + 2. Generation EtOH CNG. o. de funded by GHG from Land-Use Change

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Page 1: Impacts of Biofuels on Greenhouse Gas Emissions · Generation Biodiesel 2. Generation Biodiesel fossil Diesel 1. + 2. Generation EtOH CNG. o. de funded by GHG from Land-Use Change

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Bioenergy Environmental Impact Analysis (BIAS)

presented at the FAO Expert Meeting 5/6 Rome, Feb. 18-20, 2008

Uwe R. FritscheCoordinator, Energy & Climate Division

Oeko-Institut e.V. (Institute for applied Ecology), Darmstadt Office

Impacts of Biofuels on Greenhouse Gas Emissions

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BIAS: Brief Overview

• FAO commissioned joint study from Öko-Institut, IFEU and Copernicus Institute on keyenvironmental issues of bioenergy

– Develop Analytical Framework: methods

– Issues: Life-Cycle GHG + direct and indirect LUC, airemissions & toxics, biodiversity, water, soil impacts

– Approach: compile existing knowledge, use ownanalysis and scientific expertise

– Define Data Categories and „Tool Box“

– Application not part of current BIAS activities

Page 3: Impacts of Biofuels on Greenhouse Gas Emissions · Generation Biodiesel 2. Generation Biodiesel fossil Diesel 1. + 2. Generation EtOH CNG. o. de funded by GHG from Land-Use Change

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Biomass crops

Residues/wastes

Material Use

Energy Use

Biomass & Biofuels

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Biodiesel

Potential Biofuel CropsPotential Biofuel Crops

Bioethanol

rapeseeds

maize(corn)

soy palmoil

Jatropha,

Castor, Neem…

wheat

sugarbeet

lignocelluloseperennial grasses,

short-rotation

copice

sugarcane

cassava etc.

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Consider all Bioenergy Flows

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Technologies + Fuels

coal

natural gas

crude oil

biomass

nuclear

wind

solar

hydro

geotherm.

Primary energy Energy carrier Infrastructure Power train

gasoline

FT gasoline

diesel

FT diesel

biodiesel

ethanol

methanol

DME

CNG

LPG

hydrogen

electricity

fuel cellsand hybrid

ICE and hybrid

Source: Based on WBCSD 2004

electric motorGa

so

us

fue

lsL

iqu

id f

ue

ls

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Greenhouse-Gas Emissions

• Accounting Issues

– Scope and data background

– Allocation and system boundaries

– Life-cycle analysis: full fuel-chain approach

– GHG from direct and indirect land-use change

– Links to EU and global GHG data and methodologies

(EEA, GBEP, UNEP…)

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GEMIS Database

Energy Materials Transport

technical dataemission data

cost datadirect job datameta data

freely available at www.gemis.de

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Life-Cycle GHG Balances

Data include by-product credits, but no land-use change (GEMIS 4.4)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

diese

l

CtL

SVO

Palm

oil

H-P

alm

oil

jatro

pha

FT-Die

isel

SRC

woo

d

FT Die

sel s

witc

hgra

ss

gasolin

eco

rn/m

aize

cass

ava

suga

rcan

e2.

gen

. mai

zenat

ural g

asbi

ogas

Biom

etha

ne S

RC

g C

O2-

eqp

er k

Wh

inp

ut

1. Generation Biodiesel

2. Generation Biodiesel

fossil Diesel

1. + 2. Generation EtOH

CNG

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GHG from Land-Use Change

Assumptions of LUC from the UK (LowCVP 2007)

27,720-554-120-31Tropical moist rain forestSoy bean

10,620-213-35-23Temperate forestRapeseed

2,020-400-11Temperate grasslandRapeseed

2,020-400-11Set-asideRapeseed

11,220-224-57-4Tropical moist rain forestPalm oil

10,620-213-35-23Temperate forestMaize

2,020-400-11Temperate grasslandMaize

2,020-400-11Set-asideMaize

27,720-553-120-31Tropical moist rain forestSugar cane

10,620-213-35-23Temperate forestSugar beet

2,020-400-11Temperate grasslandSugar beet

2,020-400-11Set-asideSugar beet

10,620-213-35-23Temperate forestWheat

2,020-400-11Temperate grasslandWheat

2,020-400-11Set-asideWheat

t CO2/ha*alifetime (a)totalabove gr.soilPrevious usePlantation

EmissionFarmingt CO2/haC-Stock (t C/ha)

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30% saving

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

kg C

O2-

Eq

. per

GJ

Bio

fuel

direct land use change

production of biomass

transport of biomass

conversion step I

transport betw. conv. steps

conversion step II

transport to admixture

322 kg CO2-Eq./GJ

fossil reference systems

gasoline: 85 kg/GJ.

Diesel: 86.2 kg/GJ

Ethanol from

corn sugar cane

FAME from

rapeseed oil soy bean oil palm oilwheat

tropicalrainforest

humid savannah

grasslandgrassland

GHG Balance incl. direct LUC

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“Leakage” from Biofuels?

Source: based on Girard (GEF-STAP Biofuels Workshop, New Delhi 2005)

Food crops

Protected& other

high-naturevalue areas

Energy crops/ plantations

Loss of

biodiversity

Forests

Deforestation,

carbon release

„unused“ land(fallow, marginal, degraded)

?

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• Leakage = unintentional side-effect(s)

• Biocropping may cause shift of current land-use

(e.g., soy, wheat…) to other areas; indirectland-use cannot be „traced back“ to project

• Carbon release from indirect land-use change

impact may offset GHG benefits from biofuels

(depending on time horizon)

• Shift of land-use may impact high-nature-value

areas

Leakage: Indirect LUC

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GHG from indirect LUC

• Displacement is a generic problem arisingfrom restricted system boundaries

– Accounting problem of partial analysis („just“ biofuels, no explicite modelling of agro + forestry sectors)

– All incremental land-uses imply indirect effects

• Analytical and political implications

– Analysis: which displacement when & where?

– Policy: which instruments? Partial certificationschemes do not help, but have „spill-over“ effects

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GHG from indirect LUC: risk adder

biofuel route, life-cycle max med min max med minRapeseed to RME, EU 117 89 60 38% 4% -30%

palmoil to PME, Indonesia, rain forest 180 142 103 112% 67% 21%palmoil to PME, Brazil, tropical 199 154 110 135% 82% 29%sugarcane to EtOH, Brazil, tropical 60 48 37 -30% -43% -56%

maize to EtOH, USA 89 73 57 5% -14% -33%

maize to EtOH, EU 69 60 50 -19% -30% -41%

SRC/SG to BtL, EU 52 37 23 -39% -56% -73%

SRC/SG to BtL, Brazil, tropical 59 42 25 -30% -50% -70%

SRC/SG to BtL, Brazil, steppe 73 52 30 -14% -39% -64%

bold red = no GHG reduction!

relative to with a risk adder level: fossil diesel/gasoline

kg CO2eq/GJ

Accounting for CO2 from indirect LUC using the “risk adder“

for the GHG balance of biofuels*

*= By-product allocation using lower heating value

risk adder is zero for residues/wastes and for biocrops from

unused/degraded lands

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A conservative: conversion of

savannah

B real: conversion

of soy cropping

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

kg C

O2-

Eq

. per

GJ

Bio

fuel

PME Palmoil

Direct LUC:

A

B

A

A

C

C

C

B

B

C risk sdder

(only for B)

indirect LUC:

D

D: total

Direct LUC:

C no riskadder

indirect LUC: Direct LUC:

C risk adder(only for B)

indirect LUC:

land use change

production of biomass

transport of biomass

conversion step I

transport betw. conv. steps

conversion step II

transport to admixture

A conservative: conversion trop.

rain forest

B real: conversionof degradedland

A conservative: conversion of pasture

B real: conversionof wheat crops

(small reductionof soil-C)

BSO Default

Example: fictiouspractise

D

D

D: total

D: total

GHG from indirect LUC: risk adder

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GHG from indirect LUC: US Data

Source: Presentation of Prof. Michael O’Hare. University of California, Berkely at the CARB LCFS Working Group 3 meeting, Sacramento, CA, January 17, 2008 based on data from Alex Farell (see

http://www.arb.ca.gov/fuels/lcfs/lcfs.htm)

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Conclusions (1)

• GHG emissions become key issue in biofuels trade

• Ccertification needed up from 2009/2010 forEU market access; will become linked to CDM

• GHG emissions must include direct land-usechanges, and indirect land-use GHG emissions can be high, need „risk hedging“

• GHG limits for biofuels also reduce (but notavoid) risk of negative biodiversity impacts

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Conclusions (2)

• So far, only few developing countries deal with life-cycle GHG emissions of biofuels (AR, BR, TH…)

• FAO should actively support countries in dealing with GHG accounting, and relatedcertification; cooperation with UNEP needed, work with GBEP GHG Task Force

• Biogas/biomethane have low GHG profile, but often ignored ���� need more attention

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Biomethane from compressed biogas in New Delhi, India

Biomethane: local & global

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Information & Contact

www.oeko.de/service/biocontact: [email protected]