i!JM IrJf-:YuW Y v F7fl9£ · i!JM tc i) t IrJf-:YuW c Y :i. v --Y' OJ F7fl9£ The Development of Simulating Machine for the Projection of an Uncertain Future We have been developing

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The Development of Simulating Machine for the Projection of an Uncertain Future

We have been developing a new kind of software (eYosoku) for

the projection of an uncertain future. We start from the view point

that current economic theory and projection methods are based on the

implicit assumption of global stability. We discard this assumption and

develop a new kind of simulating machine hased on the assumption that

nothing is clear about the future. We employ IA (Intelligence Amplifier) method to develop this software .

Yasuhiro Murata

JEL: C53 ".'-'7-F: ;t,£�;::.<:: .1 v-:'.-'3 ;,- , riF.U'/7 r, ]Ju;IJJ{tfmj;IJ'A;, 'f;f;J,0)-ij-P-'.f-Ht; Keywords : economic simulation, projection software, forward reasoning method,

surrogate model

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i!JM *IrJf-:YuW Y v F7fl9£ · i!JM tc i) t *IrJf-:YuW c Y :i. v --Y' OJ F7fl9£ The Development of Simulating Machine for the Projection of an Uncertain Future We have been developing

i!JM IrJf-:YuW Y v F7fl9£ · i!JM tc i) t IrJf-:YuW c Y :i. v --Y' OJ F7fl9£ The Development of Simulating Machine for the Projection of an Uncertain Future We have been developing