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International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance and Economic Sciences
Citation preview
Volume 5 No. 2
June 2015
E-ISSN: 2047-0916
Editorial Board
Editorial Board
Editor in Chief
Prof. Dr. José António Filipe, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL),
Lisboa, Portugal
Managing Editor
Prof. Dr. Sofia Lopes Portela, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL),
Lisboa, Portugal
Editorial Board Members
1. Prof. Dr. Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa
(ISCTE-IUL), Lisboa, Portugal
2. Prof. Dr. Rui Menezes, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), Lisboa,
Portugal
3. Prof. Dr. Manuel Coelho, ISEG/UTL, Socius, Lisboa, Portugal
4. Prof. Dr. Isabel Pedro, IST/UTL, Lisboa, Portugal
5. Prof. Dr. A. Selvarasu, Annamalai University, India
6. Prof. Dr. Desislava Ivanova Yordanova, Sofia University St Kliment
Ohridski, Bulgaria
7. Prof. Dr. António Caleiro, University of Evora, Portugal
8. Prof. Dr. Michael Grabinski, Neu-Ulm University, Germany
9. Prof. Dr. Jennifer Foo, Stetson University, USA
10. Prof. Dr. Rui Junqueira Lopes, University of Evora, Portugal
11. Prof. Bholanath Dutta, CMR Inst. of Tech, Blore, India
12. Prof. Dr. Henrik Egbert, Anhalt University of Applied Sciences, Germany
13. Prof. Dr. Javid A. Jafarov, National Academy of Sciences, Azerbaijan
14. Prof. Dr. Margarida Proença, University of Minho, Portugal
15. Prof. Dr. Maria Rosa Borges, ISEG-UTL, Portugal
16. Prof Dr. Marina Andrade, Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL),
Portugal
17. Prof. Dr. Milan Terek, Ekonomick´a Univerzita V Bratislava, Slovakia
18. Prof. Dr. Carlos Besteiro, Universidad de Oviedo, Spain
19. Prof. Dr. Dorota Witkowska, Warsaw Univ. of Life Sciences, Poland
20. Prof. Dr. Lucyna Kornecki, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, USA
21. Prof. Dr. Joaquim Ramos Silva, ISEG-UTL, Portugal
Abstracting / Indexing International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance and Economic Sciences (IJLTFES) is
abstracted / indexed in the following international bodies and databases:
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Table of Contents
1. The Determinants of Governance: A Global Analysis ....................................................... 868
Konstantinos Rontos, Maria-Eleni Syrmali, Ioannis Vavouras
2. Evaluation of the Value Creation in an Innovative Product Using Fuzzy Linguistic
Computing ...................................................................................................................................... 878
M. I. Pedro, M. Sarmento , Marta Silva
3. Business Partnership at the Information Technology Sector in Brazil ..................... 891
Daniel Correia de Albuquerque, José António Filipe, Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira
4. The Managerial and Economic Effects of Celebrity Endorsement on Consumer
Purchasing Intentions ................................................................................................................. 898
Hélia Gonçalves Pereira, António Carvalho, Sofia Lopes Portela
5. Organization Design Redefinition Using Design Thinking ................................... 910
David Lamelas, José Lamelas, José Filipe
6. Better Decision Making in Complex Dynamic Tasks-A Book Review........................ 920
Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
868
The Determinants of Governance:
A Global Analysis
Konstantinos Rontos1, Maria-Eleni Syrmali2, Ioannis Vavouras3
1 Department of Sociology, University of the Aegean
Mytilene, Lesvos, Greece
2 Department of Public Administration, Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences
Syngrou Avenue 136, Athens, 17671, Greece
3 Department of Public Administration, Panteion University of Social and Political Sciences
Syngrou Avenue 136, Athens, 17671, Greece
Abstract - The scope of the paper is to explore the
underlying determinants of governance quality at the
global level. The study suggests that cross-country
variation in governance is mainly attributed to
differences not only in countries’ level of economic
development but to the range of political freedom and
level of social development. More specifically, the impact
of economic development is stronger for the control of
corruption, the rule of law and regulatory quality as far
as the examined governance dimensions are concerned.
Political development is strongly related to political
stability and absence of violence as well as voice and
accountability. A very interesting finding is the high
correlation of social development, as depicted by the
relevant human development index, with the level of
government effectiveness. Therefore, strengthening and
maintaining governance is achieved only through the
adoption and effective implementation of the
appropriate long-run policies. In a similar vein, concrete
policy guidelines lie at the core of the good governance
agenda. The associated reforms target a broad list of
comprehensive governance objectives in order to achieve
government effectiveness, anti-corruption safeguards,
high standards of legitimacy and accountability, among
other attributes of governance systems.
Keywords - Governance; Institutional quality; Corruption;
Public sector reforms; Economic development; Human
development; Political rights.
1 See, also, Woods (2000).
1. Introduction
After the end of the Cold War, global and
regional emphasis on democratization and the
advancement of human rights have created demands
for more accountable and transparent political
institutions and a reformed judiciary (World Bank,
1998). In a similar vein, widespread corruption largely
unveils the existence of institutional fragilities, as well
as economic, social and political underdevelopment
(Rontos, Sioussiouras and Vavouras, 2012). Under
this framework, in the policy world the issue of
governance has come to the fore after the failure of a
long stream of reforms applied to borrowing countries
that did not consider the importance of institutions and
governance issues 1 . More specifically, Africa’s
development problems and the inefficiency of
international aid were attributed to a governance crisis,
whereas governance refers to the exercise of political
power to manage a nation’s affairs (World Bank,
1989). In the same study it is supported that improved
governance standards require political renewal,
whereas emphasis is given to tackling corruption by
strengthening accountability, capacity building, sound
policy fundamentals and institutional frameworks in
order to improve structural weaknesses.
The scientific awareness over the role of
governance and institutions can also be broadly
viewed as an integral part of the ongoing research for
the “deeper” determinants of economic growth and
development 2 . Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson
2 Rodrik, Subramanian and Trebbi (2004).
____________________________________________________________________________________ International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance & Economic Sciences IJLTFES, E-ISSN: 2047-0916 Copyright © ExcelingTech, Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
869
(2005) make the discrimination between the proximate
explanations of comparative growth supported by
standard economic models of factor accumulation and
innovation and the fundamental or deeper causes,
which emphasize the importance of factors like
economic institutions, geography and culture. Even if
capital accumulation or technological innovation
account for significant differences in long-run levels
of per capita output across countries, they do not
answer truly causal questions concerning the success
or failure of certain societies to take the actions
necessary to accomplish such accumulation or
innovation. Similarly, North and Thomas (1973) argue
that factors like innovation, economies of scale,
education and capital accumulation are not causes of
growth, they are growth instead. To further explore
these issues, the emerging field of the economics
literature concerning the deep determinants of growth
described above, is called the new institutional
economics3.
While the notion of governance has gained
prominence in the literature and is extensively
discussed among scholars and policymakers, there is
little agreement on the essence of the concept.
Governance is a multidimensional theme4 associated
with a variety of economic, social and political factors,
such as high per capita income, high human
development standards and democratic institutions.
Due to its elusive nature there is not a clear consensus
on the concept neither a universally agreed definition
of governance 5 (Kjaer, 2004). On the contrary,
international agencies and researchers follow their
own definitions depending on the conceptual spectrum
under which they analyze the phenomenon, with a
main focus on the sociopolitical dimension apart from
the economic aspect of governance.
Although it is difficult to agree on a precise
definition, the most common of them prevailing in the
relevant literature are presented in the following
paragraphs. Governance is defined by the World Bank
as the manner in which power is exercised in the
management of a country’s economic and social
resources for development (World Bank, 1991). In
3 North (1990). 4 Governance is at the intersection of many fields in social
sciences including development studies, economics,
international relations, law, political science, public
administration and sociology (Dixit, 2009). 5 For a concise overview of the relevant literature
definitions, see Dethier (1999) and United Nations (2007). 6 Quibria (2006). 7 Measuring governance performance could assist with
setting standards for improvement and achievement as well
more concrete terms, the World Bank’s involvement
in governance has primarily focused on sound
development management emphasizing public sector
reform, public expenditure control and privatization6.
Therefore, good governance infrastructure is
fundamental in creating, operationalizing and
maintaining an environment of strong and equitable
development, whereas it is a central supplement to
sound economic policies. However, this definition is
characterized as somewhat narrow since it does not
take into account the political system and civil liberties
as well as the role of civil society (Johnston, 1998).
According to Kaufmann, Kraay and Mastruzzi (2010)
this definition is limited centered on public sector
management issues. On the contrary, as discussed by
Keefer (2004) more emphasis should be given to
causal or more fundamental concepts, which enclose
the incentive structure that guides the actions of
political actors. The World Bank identifies three
distinct aspects of governance: (i) the form of political
regime, (ii) the process by which authority is exercised
in the management of a country’s economic and social
resources for development, and (iii) the capacity of
governments to design, formulate, and implement
policies and discharge functions (World Bank, 1994).
One of the most widely used definitions of
governance in the literature is provided by the World
Bank. Governance is defined as the traditions and
institutions by which authority in a country is
exercised. This broad definition includes: (a) the
process by which governments are selected, monitored
and replaced, (b) the capacity of the government to
effectively formulate and implement sound policies,
and (c) the respect of citizens and the state for the
institutions that govern economic and social
interactions among them (Kaufmann, Kraay and
Lobatón, 1999). The governance indicators that have
been developed in this context capture six key
dimensions of institutional quality or governance, and
measure7, through two indicators each, the political,
economic and institutional dimensions of governance
(Kaufmann, 2005). Overall, six dimensions of
governance emerge, which are the following8:
as indicating where funds could have been better used and
where policy might prove most effective (Besançon, 2003). 8 The Worldwide Governance Indicators introduce
sustainability metrics as they incorporate social, economic
and political concerns related to sustainability. The elements
captured by the index, such as accountability, political voice
and political stability among other attributes of governing
systems, are important over both the shorter as well as the
longer term and therefore are of crucial importance from a
sustainability perspective (World Economic Forum, 2011).
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
870
1. Voice and Accountability expresses perceptions
of the extent to which citizens are able to
participate in selecting their government, as well
as freedom of speech, freedom of association and
a free media.
2. Political Stability and Absence of
Violence/Terrorism expresses perceptions of the
likelihood that the government will be
destabilized or overthrown by unlawful or violent
means, including politically‐motivated violence
and terrorism.
3. Government Effectiveness expresses
perceptions of the quality of public services, the
quality of the civil service and the degree of its
independence from political pressures, the quality
of policy design and implementation, and the
credibility of the government's commitment to
these policies.
4. Regulatory Quality expresses perceptions of the
ability of the government to formulate and impose
sound policies and regulations that permit and
promote private sector development.
5. Rule of Law expresses perceptions of the extent
to which agents have confidence in and comply
with the rules of society, and in particular the
quality of contract enforcement, property rights,
the police, and the courts, as well as the likelihood
of crime and violence.
6. Control of Corruption expresses perceptions of
the extent to which public power is exercised for
private gain, including both petty and grand forms
of corruption, as well as misappropriation of the
state by elites and private interests.
The definition of governance according to the
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD) is in line with the World Bank’s
definition. It denotes the use of political power and
exercise of control in a society in relation to the
administration of its resources for economic and social
developmen9. This broad definition encompasses the
role of public authorities in establishing the framework
in which economic agents operate and in determining
the allocation of benefits and the nature of the
relationship between the ruler and the ruled.
According to the OECD, good governance refers to the
9 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
(1995). 10 In the same vein, the Commission’s governance policy
advice includes five principles for establishing more
democratic governance. These are openness, participation,
accountability, effectiveness and coherence (Commission of
the European Communities, 2001).
rule of law, efficient public sector management and
corruption control.
According to the European Commission,
governance refers to the state’s ability to serve the
citizens. It concerns the rules, processes, and behavior
by which interests are shaped, resources are
administered, and power is exercised in society. The
way public functions are accomplished, public
resources are managed and public regulatory affairs
are conducted is the major issue to be addressed in that
framework. Despite its open and wide character,
governance has a practical value related to the core
aspects of the functioning of any society and political
and social system and in this respect it can be
characterized as a basic measure of stability and
performance of a society as well as of quality and
performance of any political and administrative
system10 (Commission of the European Communities,
2003). Thus, institutional sustainability and capacity
building are the primary elements of the good
governance agenda.
According to the United Nations Development
Programme (UNDP), governance is the system of
values, policies and institutions by which a society
administers its economic, political and social matters
through synergies within and among the state, civil
society and private sector. It describes the rules,
institutions and practices that set limits and provide
incentives for individuals, organizations and firms11.
From an empirical perspective, the relationship
between governance and its determinants has been left
rather imprecise, with a notable absence of a concrete
theoretical framework to guide empirical work 12 .
Impediments to empirical research concerning
governance and institutional quality can be attributed
to conceptual and measurement problems, whereas the
way these themes are defined determines what gets
modeled and measured13.
Under this analytical framework, the scope of the
paper is to investigate the determinants of governance
for all countries of the world for which the required
data are available, that is 173 countries. The study
builds on three strands of the governance literature,
namely the economic, political and social14. The first
strand focuses on the level of economic development
11 United Nations Development Programme (2007). 12 Al Marhubi (2004). 13 A similar view has been expressed about corruption,
which constitutes a fundamental pillar of governance (Jain,
2001). 14 The conceptual framework employed builds on La Porta
at al. (1999).
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
871
as measured by gross national income per capita in
purchasing power parities or current international
dollars. The second strand refers to the political
determinants of governance approached by the range
of political rights and the extent of civil liberties. The
third strand analyzes the social aspects of governance
proxied by the non-income human development index,
which combines measures of life expectancy and
educational attainment. The analysis suggests that all
the above factors are of primary importance in
determining the level of governance worldwide and
should not be examined in isolation from each other.
Policy implications that have emerged out of the
empirical analysis reveal that different combinations
of economic, social and political factors contribute to
governance performance not uniformly but depending
on the specific governance dimension under
consideration. Generally, maintaining good
governance is achieved only through the adoption and
effective implementation of the appropriate long-run
policies of economic, social and political nature.
2. Methodology, data and analysis
2.1 Model specification
To explore the factors that determine each
dimension of governance in the global context,
regression modeling was used with the six dimensions
of governance taken as the dependent variables.
Actually, six linear regressions of this kind were
constructed, each of them having as dependent
variable one of the six dimensions of governance
presented above. Concerning the regression approach,
the multiple linear regression model of the following
general specification was used:
Y = bo + b1.X1 + b2.X2 + … + bn.Xn + e
More analytically, to express governance, the
relevant Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI)
dataset is used estimated by the World Bank 15 . It
should be acknowledged that it is the most extensively
used dataset and has emerged as a standard point of
reference in the relevant empirical literature. It covers
a broad spectrum of the six governance dimensions
described above, which neatly capture the good
governance agenda framework as delineated by the
World Bank. The values of the indicators lie between
15
http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.aspx#hom
e. 16See,
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.PP.CD. 17 https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/freedom-
world-2012.
-2.5 and 2.5, where higher values correspond to better
governance. Gross National Income per capita in
purchasing power parities or current international
dollars (GNI.pc.ppp) is used to approximate the level
of economic development in each country.
GNI.pc.ppp is an indicator widely used in international
comparisons of economic development and is
provided by the World Bank16. To approximate the
quality of democracy in each country the political
rights index (PR) is used estimated by the Freedom
House organization. The scale of the PR index ranges
between 1 and 7. Countries and territories with a rating
of 1 enjoy a wide range of political rights, including
free and fair elections, whereas countries and
territories with a rating of 7 have few or no political
rights because of severe government oppression,
sometimes in combination with civil war 17 . To
approximate the extent of civil liberties in each
country the civil liberties index (CL) is used compiled
by the Freedom House organization as well. The scale
of the CL index ranges between 1 and 7. Countries and
territories with a rating of 1 enjoy a wide range of civil
liberties, including freedom of expression, assembly,
association, education, and religion. Countries and
territories with a rating of 7 have few or no civil
liberties18. The human development index (HDI) is
used as a summary measure of the level of human
development. It is estimated by the United Nations
Development Programme (UNDP) and it measures the
average achievements in a given country in three
relevant dimensions of human development: a long
and healthy life, access to knowledge and a decent
standard of living18. According to this index, countries
are classified in four categories: very high human
development if the value of the index is higher than
0.900, high human development if the value of the
index lies between 0.800 and 0.899, medium human
development if the value of the index is between 0.500
and 0.799 and low human development if the value of
the index is lower than 0.50019.
All dependent and explanatory variables of the
regression models are quantitative, measured in the
scales suggested by the organizations that produce
them. The normality of the dependent variable was
tested, while linearity, multicollinearity,
heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation checks were
also carried out. The explanatory power of the model
was expressed by the adjusted coefficient of
determination (R̅2). The stepwise procedure used by
the SPSS package was employed for building the
models, with a probability of F equal to 0.05 as a
18 http://hdr.undp.org/en/data. 19Since the HDI includes as one of its main components GNI
per capita that has already been used as the basic variable of
economic development, the variable HDI based on non-
income measures is employed, that is the HDI excluding its
income dimension or component. See,
http://hdr.undp.org/en/data.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
872
criterion to enter a variable and equal to 0.10 as a
criterion to remove a variable. The economic
significance (the direction of the effect) of a variable
was also a criterion for its approval.
2.2. Estimation results
Table 1 presents summary statistics containing
some preliminary results. All countries independently
of their average real income levels are included in the
analysis. This is also evident by the large difference
between the minimum and maximum value of the
relevant per capita income index, which ranges
between $370.00 and $82,340.00 respectively. Table 2
presenting the correlation matrix provides a first
approximation for the main determinants of
governance. The analysis shows that, on average,
countries with higher income exhibit improved
governance capacities. More specifically, gross
20 Linearity is not a real problem here, as the variance of the
dependent variable is higher than the variance of the
residuals for all models.
National Income (GNI.pc.ppp) is more strongly
positively related to government effectiveness (GE),
control of corruption (CC) and the rule of law (RL).
The relationship between civil liberties (CL) and all
governance dimensions is negative as lower values of
the civil liberties indicator correspond to improved
levels of the index. The strong correlation between
Political factors (Political Rights-PR and Civil
Liberties-CL) with Voice Accountability (VA) is also
remarkable. An interesting finding is the positive
relationship between the human development index
(HDI) with government effectiveness (GE) and
regulatory quality (RQ), which is also reached by the
ensuing regression results. The sign of the relationship
between PR and CL in positive as expected due to the
measurement scale of both indexes. Linearity of the
models seems to be followed according to the
correlation matrix of table 220.
Table 1. Summary statistics
Mean Standard deviation
Minimum
MMaximum
PSAVT -0.11 0.97 -2.69 1.40
VA -0.07 0.97 -2.21 1.75
RQ -0.02 0.94 -2.24 1.96
RL -0.07 0.97 -1.72 1.95
CC -0.06 0.99 -1.56 2.39
GE -0.03 0.96 -1.66 2.21
GNI 14,711.86 15,653.43 370.00 82,340.00
PR 3.38 2.09 1.00 7.00
CL 3.31 1.82 1.00 7.00
HDINI 0.707 0.172 0.310 0.980
Table 2. Correlation table
CC CL GE GNI HDINI PR
PSAVT RL RQ VA
V
A
CC 1.00
CL -0.68 1.00
GE 0.93 -0.68 1.00
GNI 0.77 -0.42 0.80 1.00
HDINI 0.66 -0.58 0.77 0.69 1.00
PR -0.63 0.94 -0.66 -0.38 -0.54 1.00
PSAVT 0.74 -0.68 0.70 0.58 0.56 -0.60 1.00
RL 0.94 -0.73 0.95 0.80 0.72 -0.68 0.76 1.00
RQ 0.85 -0.70 0.93 0.76 0.71 -0.65 0.62 0.89 1.00
VA 0.79 -0.96 0.80 0.55 0.63 -0.93 0.70 0.83 0.79 1.00
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
873
The results of the empirical analysis are provided
separately for each dependent variable expressing each
of the six dimensions of governance. Regression
coefficients presented in table 3 are in the expected
direction and most of them are statistically significant
either at the 1% or at the 5% level.
In model 1, the b coefficients (-0.283 and 0.022)
of CL and GNI.pc.ppp are in the expected direction,
indicating that in a certain country of the studied
group, the higher the income per capita is the higher
the political stability and absence of
violence/terrorism (PSAVT) is. The higher the civil
liberties are, the higher the political stability and
absence of violence/terrorism (PSAVT) is and vice
versa. Stepwise procedure did not include HDI into the
model as it does not add to the explanatory power of
the model in a statistically significant level 21 . The
model has an acceptable total explanatory
performance, as the coefficient of determination R2 CL,
GNI = 56.6%.
In model 2, the b coefficients (-0.345, 0.011, -
0.116) of CL, GNI.pc.ppp and PR are in the expected
direction, indicating that in a certain country of the
group studied, the higher the political rights and civil
liberties are, the higher the voice and accountability
(VA) is and vice versa. Moreover, the higher the
income per capita is, the higher the voice and
accountability (VA) is. Stepwise procedure did not
include HDI into the model as it does not add to the
explanatory power of the model in a statistically
significant level. The b's coefficients of CL,
GNI.pc.ppp and PR are statistically significant (tCL = -
14.007, p = 0.000 < 0.001, tGNI.pc.ppp = 10.554, p = 0.000
< 0.001 and tPR = -5.514, p = 0.000 < 0.001).
Additionally, the constant coefficient is statistically
significant as well (t = 30.770, p = 0.000 < 0.001). The
model has an excellent total explanatory performance,
as the coefficient of determination R2 CL, GNI, PR =
95.9%.
In model 3, the b coefficients (0.028, - 0.217,
0.758) of GNI.pc.ppp, CL and HDI are in the expected
direction, indicating that in a certain country of the
studied group, the higher the income per capita or the
human development is, the higher the regulatory
quality (RQ) is. Moreover, the higher the civil liberties
are, the higher the regulatory quality (RQ) is and vice
versa. Stepwise procedure did not include PR into the
model as it does not add to the explanatory power of
21 The contribution of each independent variable in
explaining the dependent’s variation has been estimated for
all six models and is available upon request.
the model in a statistically significant level. The b's
coefficients of CL, GNI.pc.ppp and HDI are
statistically significant (tGNI.pc.ppp = 7.797, p = 0.000 <
0.001, tCL = -9.186, p = 0.000 < 0.001, and tHDI = 2.101,
p = 0.037 < 0.05). Additionally, the constant
coefficient is not statistically significant at
conventional significance levels (t = -0.870, p = 0.386
> 0.05). The model has a very good total explanatory
performance, as the coefficient of determination R2 CL,
GNI, HDI = 75.3%.
In model 4, the b coefficients (0.037, - 0.254) of
GNI.pc.ppp and CL are in the expected direction,
indicating that in a certain country of the studied
group, the higher the income per capita is and the
higher civil liberties are, the higher the rule of law
(RL) is. Stepwise procedure did not include PR and
HDI into the model as they do not add to the
explanatory power of the model in a statistically
significant level. The b's coefficients of GNI.pc.ppp
and CL are statistically significant (tGNI.pc.ppp = 16.648,
p = 0.000 < 0.001, tCL = -13.458, p = 0.000 < 0.001).
Additionally, the constant coefficient is statistically
significant as well (t = 2.598, p = 0.010 < 0.05). The
model has a very good total explanatory performance,
as the coefficient of determination R2 GNI, CL = 82.2%.
In model 5, the b coefficients (0.038, - 0.236) of
GNI.pc.ppp and CL are in the expected direction,
indicating that in a certain country of the group
studied, the higher the civil liberties are, the higher the
control of corruption (CC) is and the higher the income
per capita is, the higher the control of corruption (CC)
is and vice versa. Stepwise procedure did not include
PR and HDI into the model as they do not add to the
explanatory power of the model in a statistically
significant level. The b's coefficients of GNI.pc.ppp
and CL are statistically significant (tGNI.pc.ppp = 14.069,
p = 0.000 < 0.001, tCL = -10.269, p = 0.000 < 0.001).
Additionally, the constant coefficient is not
statistically significant at conventional significance
levels (t = 1.542, p = 0.125 > 0.05). The model has a
very good total explanatory performance, as the
coefficient of determination R2 GNI, CL = 75.1%.
In model 6, the b coefficients (0.028, - 0.192,
1.411) of GNI.pc.ppp, CL and HDI are in the expected
direction, indicating that in a certain country of the
studied group, the higher the civil liberties, the higher
the government effectiveness (GE) is and vice versa.
Moreover, the higher the income per capita and HDI
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
874
are, the higher the government effectiveness (GE) is.
Stepwise procedure did not include PR into the model
as it does not add to the explanatory power of the
model in a statistically significant level. The b's
coefficients of CL, GNI.pc.ppp and PR are statistically
significant (tHDI = 4.372, p = 0.000 < 0.001, tCL = -
9.054, p = 0.000 < 0.001 and tGNI.pc.ppp = 8.607, p =
0.000 < 0.001). Additionally, the constant coefficient
is also statistically significant (t = -3.261, p = 0.001).
The model has a very good total explanatory
performance, as the coefficient of determination R2 CL,
GNI, HDI = 75.3%.
Tolerance statistics are high and VIF are low
(VIF < 10) for all independent variables, indicating no
serious multicollinearity problems. Condition index
for the last dimension is low (< 15) and Eigenvalue is
near 0 but not equal to it, both indicating not serious
multicollinearity22. Studentized deleted residuals seem
to follow the normal distribution according to all
statistics and tests with the exception of the equation
of regulatory quality and government effectiveness,
which seem to face some but not very serious kurtosis
problems. Moreover, Durbin-Watson test employed
for all equations did not indicate autocorrelation.
Therefore, all estimated models are approved denoting
the existence of linear dependence of each of the six
governance dimensions on each of the independent
variables examined.
3. Conclusions and policy proposals
3.1 Conclusions
The most basic relationships that emerge out of
the empirical analysis between each of the six
dimensions of governance and the employed
economic, political and social predictor variables are
summarized. As far as the economic factors are
concerned, the results indicate that income per capita
is positively associated with all the six dimensions of
the predicted governance variable but it is most
strongly correlated to the degree of corruption, the rule
of law and the regulatory quality. As expected, the two
variables, namely control of corruption (CC) and
GNI.pc.ppp, are positively related. Therefore, higher
values of GNI.pc.ppp are associated with higher
values of CC, that is lower perceived levels of
corruption. From a parallel point of view, the level of
22 Collinearity diagnostics of each final stepwise model,
skewness statistics, kurtosis statistics and their standard
errors, Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests with their p values and
degrees of freedom, the distribution of studentized deleted
residuals, homoscedasticity tests for all equations have been
estimated and are available upon request.
corruption is an extensive one in low income
countries. Moreover, as far the rule of law and
regulatory quality are concerned it appears that their
constituent elements and, more particularly, the
protection of property rights and contract enforcement,
the independent functioning of the justice, the respect
of citizens for the accompanying governance
institutions and the capacity of the state to formulate
and enforce a coherent policy framework are more
prevalent in high income societies.
The political system, mainly represented by civil
liberties, seems to be another critical factor that affects
the level of governance globally. More specifically,
the level of civil liberties seems to be negatively
associated with all the six dimensions of governance,
that is the higher the protection of civil liberties the
higher the quality of governance. However, it should
be pointed out that the most strong negative correlation
is present between civil liberties on the one hand and
political stability and the level of voice and
accountability on the other. As far as the political
rights index is concerned, it is also correlated to the
political dimension of governance. Concerning voice
and accountability the sign of the relationship is
negative as predicted by theory, since higher values of
the political rights index correspond to lower political
development. So, it is concluded that he long-run
health of the political system often requires internal
checks and balances, whereas openness and
transparency are the best ways of ensuring that such
structural mechanisms develop23.
The strong correlation of the economic dimension
of governance, namely government effectiveness and
regulatory quality, with the human development index
should be highlighted. This finding indicates the role
of socioeconomic environment in the quality of policy
formulation and enforcement. Social structures, as
captured by the human development index, are related
to the quality of public services provided and the
credibility of government’s commitment to such
policies. Human development is also positively
correlated to regulatory quality. Human capital
building, which is shaped by the accumulation of its
basic ingredients, is, therefore, closely connected with
increased governance capacities24. Investing in basic
social infrastructure, including education and health,
23 Islam (2006). 24 Countries with high levels of the human development
index are associated with low levels of corruption (Rose-
Ackerman, 2005), which is a fundamental aspect of
governance.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
875
emerge as drivers of navigating towards sustainable
human development, which is critical for promoting an
adaptive governance structure
.
3.2 Policy proposals
The results of the empirical section suggest that
governance quality differs among countries due to the
variation in countries’ level of economic development,
extent of political rights and civil liberties as well as
their respective level of human development, which
determine the overall level of institutional quality.
Therefore, it is confirmed that countries should not
25 As far as the worldwide governance indicators project is
concerned, it must be pointed out that good governance
characteristics are not the privilege of rich countries only but
of developing economies as well. For example, it is indicated
that emerging economies like Botswana, Chile, and Estonia
in specific governance dimensions, such as the control of
follow a blue print for reform so as to increase their
overall long-run development levels (Rontos and
Vavouras, 2013). Moreover, these inclusively
examined factors do not have a symmetric impact on
governance structure, but vary depending on the
specific dimension of governance under consideration.
Insufficient governance capacities and failures largely
unveil the existence of economic and political
weaknesses as well as institutional and social
underdevelopment. An alternative policy
interpretation is that government performance is in
part determined by economic development25, whereas
it is also shaped by the systemic variation in the
political and social conditions of individual countries,
corruption, score better than countries such as Greece and
Italy, which are considered industrialized countries
(International Bank for Reconstruction and Development,
2006). This argument supports the view that good
governance is not only shaped by the level of economic
development but by social and political factors as well.
Table 3. Estimates of governance determinants (2012)
Model 1
(PSAVT)
Model 2
(VA)
Model 3
(RQ)
Model 4
(RL)
Model 5
(CC)
Model 6
(GE)
GNI 0.022***
0.003
6.343
0.011***
0.001
10.554
0.028***
0.004
7.797
0.037***
0.002
16.648
0.038***
0.003
14.069
0.028***
0.003
8.607
PR
-0.116***
0.021
-5.514
CL
-0.283***
0.029
-9.634
-0.345***
0.025
-14.007
-0.217***
0.024
-9.186
-0.254***
0.019
-13.458
-0.236***
0.023
-10.269
-0.192***
0.021
-9.054
HDI
0.758**
0.361
2.101
1.411***
0.323
4.372
Constant
0.508***
0.136
3.736
1.296***
0.042
30.770
-0.224
0.258
-0.870
0.227**
0.087
2.598
0.164
0.106
1.542
-0.752***
0.231
-3.261
R̅2
0.566
0.959
0.753
0.822
0.751
0.753
Durbin-
Watson
2.005
1.822
1.886
2.008
2.005
2.059
Notes: Values below coefficient estimates refer to standard errors and t-statistics respectively. ***, ** denote
significance at the 1% and 5% level respectively.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
876
especially those related to the level of non income
human development.
In practical terms, the analysis implies that
implementing universal policy recommendations to all
countries indiscriminately, regardless of their
economic, social and political background, proves to
be at least unresponsive. Consequently, initiatives
taken to promote good governance should correspond
to individual sociopolitical traits of countries. Fighting
endemic, deeply rooted weakness should involve a
deliberate policy mix, targeted reforms and structural
adjustments aiming at the root causes of governance
failure. For these countries, the control of structural
corruption requires additional global action aiming at
the reduction of poverty (Lalountas, Manolas and
Vavouras, 2011). However, in spite of the existence of
context specific governance weaknesses prevalent in
each country, there is scope for the emergence of
overarching principles that embody economic
development, democracy, equitable and sustainable
human development. Accordingly, concrete policy
measures lie at the core of the good governance agenda
targeting a lengthy list of governance objectives,
including developing anti-corruption safeguards,
reinforcing the rule of law, achieving high standards of
legitimacy and accountability, improving the
performance of public institutions, among other
attributes of effective governance systems.
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Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
878
Evaluation of the Value Creation in an
Innovative Product Using Fuzzy Linguistic
Computing M. I. Pedro1, M. Sarmento2 , Marta Silva3
1CEG-IST – Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal
2Department of Management, Military Academy, Lisbon, Portugal;
CLEGI – Research Center on Engineering and Industrial Management, University Lusíada of Lisbon, Portugal
3Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal
Abstract - Innovation is a vital tool for growth, enhancing
value creation and is also a competitive advantage. The aim
of this research is to propose a methodology to evaluate the
potential for value creation in innovation of a new product,
relatively to intangible and tangible assets. For intangible
assets the proposed methodology combines a multiple
criteria decision-making method with an adaptation of Tai
and Chen (2009) model using 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic
approach. This methodology was applied to the EToll
product developed by the Portuguese company Brisa
Innovation and Technology. It was concluded that the
benefits that most contributed to value creation are the
development and entrepreneurship of national companies
and a better cooperation with suppliers and partners. The
EToll also allowed a significant reduction in operating costs
in the company. The originality of this study is based in the
challenge for business managers to assess the real impact of
new products based not only on financial reports, but also
in terms of intangible assets and also, how to consider the
more appropriate qualitative dimensions to evaluate the
performance of intangible assets resulting from innovation.
Keywords - Innovation, Value Added, Intangible Benefits,
Stakeholders, Multiple Criteria Analysis, Linguistic Variables,
2-Tuple fuzzy.
1. Introduction
In a competition-based economy era, innovation has
become a vital tool for growth, as it enhances value
creation, becoming a competitive advantage
(Damanpour and Wischnevsky, 2006). Also, the process
of developing new products is more and more an open
innovation system where suppliers, research partners and
customers are gaining more and more highlight.
Therefore, during a new product development project it
becomes necessary to assess the real impact of
innovation not only for shareholders, but also for all the
stakeholders that take part in the project (Pérez-Luño,
Cambra, 2013).
This study has several contributions to the literature.
The first concerns the novelty of investigating the return
on investment from an innovative product that is often
not only tangible but also intangible. In fact it is a
challenge for business managers to assess the real impact
of new products based not only on financial reports, but
also in terms of intangible assets. The second is to
consider the more appropriate qualitative dimensions to
evaluate the performance of intangible assets resulting
from innovation. Commonly, intangible assets’
evaluation methods cannot appropriately evaluate the
qualitative factors and expert judgment in the evaluation
process of intangible benefits.
The aim of this research is to propose a
methodology to evaluate the potential for value creation
in innovation of a new product, taking into account not
only the financial return on investment, as usually
happens, but also the intangible benefits to shareholders
and company stakeholders.
Thus, to evaluate the intangible benefits we propose
the application of a multiple criteria methodology
combined with an evaluation model for intangible assets
based on 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic variables. Finally, the
tangible benefits resulting from the development of a
new product are measured through the net present value,
as well as the additional evaluation indicators of the
investment projects.
The article is organized as follows: Section 2
introduces the concept and measurement of value
creation of intangible benefits resulting from the
____________________________________________________________________________________ International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance & Economic Sciences IJLTFES, E-ISSN: 2047-0916 Copyright © ExcelingTech, Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
879
innovation of a new product. Section 3 makes a brief
summary of the evaluation of intangible assets models.
Section 4 presents the adopted methodology for this
research. Section 5 proposes the model for measuring
intangible benefits. Section 6 shows the method based on
2-tuple fuzzy linguistic information through a case study
of an innovation of the new product “EToll” - toll
payment system. Finally, section 7 presents the
concluding remarks.
2. Innovation and Value Creation
The developments of new products are crucial for
companies when innovations are recognized as key
processes of competitiveness in markets (Quintana-
Garcia and Benevides-Velasco, 2004).
Nowadays, the markets look for high quality and
products’ performance in development cycles more and
more short, at a lower cost (Maffin, 2001).
For a good performance of a new product, it is
important to have an efficient and effective management
of the product development process. However, what
seems to be missing in this process is the consistency in
the development system, including an effective process
of assessing the potential for value creation of the new
product. Particularly companies are interested in
measuring the profitability of an innovation in terms not
only tangible but also intangible (Choi, Poon and Davis,
2008).
However, the development of innovative products
depends on the net of customers, suppliers and partners
of the company that contribute to the generation of new
ideas and concepts. More and more, companies are
applying an open innovation to their new projects,
accepting that new ideas can come from inside or outside
the company (Chesbrough et al., 2006; Dornberger and
Suvelza, 2012).
Brooking (1996), Sveiby (1998), Stewart (2002),
Lev (2001), Martín de Castro and López Sáez (2008) and
Vidrascu (2013) among others, try to classify the
intangible assets. A great majority of the authors who
study intangible assets classify them in three or four
categories. For instance, Sveiby (2002) proposed that
intangible assets should include employee competence,
internal structure, and external structure. Stewart (2002)
identified also three categories such as human capital,
structure capital and customer capital.
However, for Brooking (1996), the intangibles have
four classes:
human assets, are linked with to the benefits
that individuals can provide to organizations
through their experience, creativity, knowledge
and capacity to solve problems, among others;
Assets market are related to the market, with the
main brand, customers, customer loyalty, the
recurring business, ongoing operations and
distribution channels;
intellectual property assets are connected with
know-how, trade secrets, copyrights, patents
and designs;
Assets infrastructure are technologies,
methodologies and processes as information
systems, management methods, customers’
databases.
According to Kayo (2002) intangible assets can also
be divided into four categories:
human assets, such as knowledge, talent, skills
and experience of employees, management, and
training;
innovation assets, such as research and
development, patents, technological know-
how;
structural assets, such as processes, information
systems and databases;
relationship assets, such as brands, trademarks,
copyrights, contracts with customers and
suppliers.
Mahroum and Al-Saleh (2013) concluded that there
is a positive relationship between the activities of
research and development and companies’ market value,
what is in accordance with other studies that showed the
same results.
Moreover, it is significant the influence of the
innovations in the customer loyalty, in the less
vulnerability to competitive marketing actions and in the
possible opportunities for extension of the product line.
As a consequence the company has higher and more
consistent operating results in the medium-term (Dobni,
2008).
3. Evaluation Models of Intangible
Assets
The importance of intangible assets in business
valuation is so significant that many authors have
developed models for evaluating intangible assets. In
fact, these models had its great development in the
nineties decade. Some authors employ accounting ratios
or traditional models of companies’ assessment, which
use corporate financial reports. However, these
procedures do not reflect the real value of intangibles.
Qualitative evaluation methods of intangible assets
are proposed to tackle the existing problems of
traditional financial reports’ methods (Smith, 2003). It
became essential to consider multiple dimensions or
factors, which were evaluated by experts in the
evaluation process of intangibles (Sohn and Ju, 2013).
These models are rich in structural terms. The
comparison between these models is made in terms of the
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
880
calculation process and the identification of the starting
and arrival points, since each model uses a different
process.
For other authors the measurement indicators are
based on a questionnaire elaborated with the company’s
stakeholders. However, in the models based on
scorecards as the Skandia Navigator (Edvinsson, 1997)
or the Intangible Assets Monitor (Sveiby, 1997) it is not
easy to visualize the elements of intangible assets.
Besides, they do not provide a systematic process to
build the evaluation model.
Thus, the inclusion of the experts’ subjective
judgments on value creation is an essential process in
order to consider all the important components of the
problem.
4. Methodology
The methodology that we follow, respects the
perceptions of shareholders and stakeholders of a
company, namely company employees, customers,
partners and suppliers, among others. In other words, the
proposed methodology must take into account several
aspects evaluated by the stakeholders and capture the
value of intangible benefits of the new product.
Therefore, to properly assess the value created in
the innovation of a new product, we suggest the multiple
criteria decision-making (MCDM) methodology. This
procedure should include:
Problem structuring;
Model structuring;
Evaluation process.
Problem structuring contains the problem context
and the actors identification involved. Then, model
structuring is composed by the definition of an
hierarchical structure of intangible benefits of the new
product, grouped into classes with their respective
criteria. Also, for each criterion are defined measurement
indicators. Finally, evaluation process is the construction
and implementation of a research instrument through
which the context actors will make subjective value
judgments on each of the evaluation items and assign
weights according to its importance. Besides, to each
indicator is given a rating that reflects the performance
of the product with respect to each criterion.
Then, the rating of the performance of the
evaluating criteria and of the benefits are calculated
using an adaptation of the algorithm to measure the
intellectual capital developed by Tai and Chen (2009),
which uses a dual fuzzy linguistic approach.
At the end, the value created by the new product
considering each of the intangible benefits of the product
is obtained.
Definition 1. A positive triangular fuzzy number �̃�
can be defined as �̃�=(l, m, u), where l ≤ m ≤ u and l>0.
The function 𝜇�̃� (𝑥) is defined as:
𝜇�̃� (𝑥)= {
𝑥−𝑙
𝑚−𝑙, 𝑙 < 𝑥 < 𝑚
𝑢−𝑥
𝑢−𝑚, 𝑚 < 𝑥 < 𝑢
0, 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
(1)
Definition 2. The value β [0,1], will be obtained after
aggregating the result of the evaluation using the
linguistic variable set S. Then, the symbolic translation
process is applied to translate β into a 2-tuple linguistic
variable. The translation function (Δ) can be represented
as:
Δ : [0,1] → 𝑆 × [ −1
2𝑔,
1
2𝑔)
Δ (β) = (𝑠𝑖 , ∝) with {𝑠𝑖 𝑖 = 𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑑 (𝛽 ∙ 𝑔)
𝛼 = 𝛽 −𝑖
𝑔 𝛼 ∈ [
−1
2𝑔,
1
2𝑔) (2)
Where 𝛽 ∈ [0,1]
Definition 3. When x = {(s1,α1), … , (sn,αn)} is a 2-
tuple fuzzy linguistic set, its arithmetic average X̅ is
computed as follows:
�̅� = Δ (1
𝑛∑ Δ
−1(𝑠𝑖 , 𝛼𝑖)𝑛𝑖=1 ) = Δ (
1
𝑛∑ 𝛽𝑖
𝑛𝑖=1 ) =
(𝑠𝑚 , 𝛼𝑚) (3)
In the process of the information aggregation, both
symbolic translation functions Δ and Δ-1 are applied to
ensure that the dual fuzzy linguistic variable can have two
tuples with no loss of information (Herrera-Viedma et al.,
2004).
Definition 4. When x = {(s1,α1), … , (sn,αn)} is a 2-
tuple fuzzy linguistic set, and W = {w1, … , wn} is the set
of weights of each xi , its 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic
weighting average X̅w is:
�̅�𝑤̅̅ ̅̅ = (∑ Δ
−1(𝑠𝑖,𝛼𝑖)𝑛𝑖=1 ∙𝑊𝑖
∑ 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑖=1
) = Δ (∑ 𝛽𝑖
𝑛𝑖=1 ∙𝑊𝑖
∑ 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑖=1
) =
(𝑠𝑤 , 𝛼𝑤) (4)
5. Proposal for a New Model to
Measure Intangible Assets
The proposed model is an adaptation of the
evaluation model of intellectual capital based on
computing with linguistic variables from Tai and Chen
(2009). However, in this study we intend measuring the
level of intangible benefits for companies, when a new
product is developed (Fig. 1).
In fact, there is a lack of knowledge of how to
measure these benefits. In this situation the linguistic
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
881
variables are suitable to evaluate the level of intangible
benefits by managers.
It is assumed that there are m intangible benefits
resulting from the new product Bl (l = 1, 2, ..., m) and n
Cli criteria (i = 1, 2, ..., n) with respect to each benefit.
Each criterion contains several indicators of
measurement. The steps of the proposed method are as
follows:
Step 1. During the questionnaire, each expert uses the
linguistic importance variables (shown in Table 1) to
represent the weight of each intangible benefit for the
study, the weight of each criterion with respect to each
benefit and the weight of each item with respect to each
criterion. Also, linguistic rating variables (shown in
Table 2) are used to evaluate the performance of items
with respect to each criterion.
Table 1. Importance of linguistic variables
Linguistic
label
Linguistic
term
Triangular
fuzzy
number
sw4
Very
important
(VI)
(0.75,
1.00,
1.00)
sw3 Important (I)
(0.50,
0.75,
1.00)
sw2 Fair (F)
(0.25,
0.50,
0.75)
sw1 Unimportant
(U)
(0.00,
0.25,
0.50)
sw0
Very
unimportant
(VU)
(0.00,
0.00,
0.25)
Table 2. Rating of linguistic variables
Linguistic
label Linguistic
term
Triangular
fuzzy
number
s4 Very good
(VG)
(0.75, 1.00,
1.00)
s3 Good (G)
(0.50, 0.75,
1.00)
s2 Fair (F)
(0.25, 0.50,
0.75)
s1 Poor (P)
(0.00, 0.25,
0.50)
s0 Very poor
(VP)
(0.00, 0.00,
0.25)
Step 2. Combining the values of the fuzzy evaluation
of the K experts, we obtain:
The performance rating X̅lij of the item j, with
respect to the criterion Cli and the benefit Bl, after
the evaluation of all the experts:
�̅�𝑙𝑖𝑗 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ Δ
−1𝐾𝑘=1 (𝑠𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘 , ∝𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘))
�̅�𝑙𝑖𝑗 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ β
𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘𝐾𝑘=1 ) = (𝑠𝑙𝑖𝑗 , ∝𝑙𝑖𝑗) (5)
Where 𝑠𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘 is the fuzzy rating of item j.
Figure 1 - Evaluation framework of intangible benefits.
Intangible Benefits
B1
C11
C111 C112 ...C11j
j = 1, 2, ..., p
C12 C1n
B2
C21 ... C2n
... Bm
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
882
The weight �̅�𝑙𝑖𝑗 of the item j, with respect to the
criterion 𝐶𝑙𝑖 and the benefit Bl, after the
evaluation of all the experts:
�̅�𝑙𝑖𝑗 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ Δ
−1𝐾𝑘=1 (𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘))
�̅�𝑙𝑖𝑗 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ β
𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘𝐾𝑘=1 )=(𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗) (6)
Where 𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑘 is the fuzzy importance of item j.
The weight �̅�𝑙𝑖 of criterion 𝐶𝑙𝑖 with respect to
benefit Bl, after the evaluation of all the experts:
�̅�𝑙𝑖 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ Δ
−1𝐾𝑘=1 (𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑘 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑘))
�̅�𝑙𝑖= Δ (1
𝐾∑ β
𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑘𝐾𝑘=1 ) = (𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑖 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑖) (7)
Where 𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑘 is the fuzzy importance of criterion
𝐶𝑙𝑖.
The weight �̅�𝑙 of the benefit Bl, after the
evaluation of all the experts:
�̅�𝑙 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ Δ
−1𝐾𝑘=1 (𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑘 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑘))
�̅�𝑙 = Δ (1
𝐾∑ β
𝑤𝑙𝑘𝐾𝑘=1 ) = (𝑠𝑤𝑙 , ∝𝑤𝑙) (8)
Where 𝑠𝑤𝑙𝑘 is the fuzzy importance of benefit 𝐵𝑙.
Step 3. Applying equation (3) it is possible to obtain
the fuzzy rating of criterion 𝐶𝑙𝑖(𝑋𝑙𝑖.̅̅ ̅̅ ̅ )
�̅�𝑙𝑖 = Δ(∑ 𝛽𝑙𝑖𝑗
𝑙𝑖𝑗=1
∙𝛽𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗)
∑ 𝛽𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑙𝑖𝑗=1
= (𝑠𝑙𝑖𝑤 , 𝛼𝑙𝑖
𝑤) (9)
with 𝛽𝑙𝑖𝑗 = Δ−1(𝑟𝑙𝑖𝑗 , ∝𝑙𝑖𝑗) e 𝛽𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗 =
Δ−1(𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑗)
Step 4. Applying equation (4) it is possible to obtain
the fuzzy rating of benefit 𝐵𝑙(𝑋𝑖.̅̅ ̅̅ ̅
�̅�𝑙 = Δ (∑ 𝛽𝑙𝑖
𝑙𝑖𝑗=1
∙𝛽𝑤𝑙𝑖)
∑ 𝛽𝑤𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑗=1
= (𝑠𝑙𝑤 , 𝛼𝑙
𝑤) (10)
with 𝛽𝑙𝑖 = Δ−1(𝑟𝑙𝑖 , ∝𝑙𝑖) e 𝛽𝑤𝑙𝑖 = Δ
−1(𝑤𝑙𝑖 , ∝𝑤𝑙𝑖)
Step 5. Computing the overall performance level, the
linguistic term ST can be applied to represent the
performance level of the new product in terms of value
creation in an innovation.
P = Δ (∑ βl
lj=1 ∙βwl)
∑ βwllj=1
= (sT,αT) (11)
with βl
= Δ−1(rl, ∝l) e β
wl= Δ
−1(wl, ∝wl).
6. Empirical Results and Overall
Evaluation
The proposed methodology was applied to evaluate
the potential of value creation in the innovation of the
EToll - toll payment system, which was developed by the
Portuguese company Brisa Innovation and Technology.
This company belongs to the highway toll Group Brisa
Auto-estradas de Portugal S.A..
6.1 Problem structuring
EToll is a toll machine introduced in 2010 in the
tolling system of Brisa Auto-estradas. The toll operator
was replaced by the equipment EToll, which continues
to provide the same payment means of the traditional
manual lanes. This demonstrates the intangible value of
EToll.
The actors of the problem context are shareholders
and employees of Group Brisa, product users, suppliers,
and partners involved in the product’s implementation
project.
6.2 Model Structuring
Firstly, intangible benefits are based on opinions of
two employees who were involved in the project
implementation. The chosen categories were the market
benefits, the research and development (RD) benefits
and the human capital benefits.
Secondly, from the list of benefits considered
relevant to the problem, we establish the relationships
between the various aspects that constitute the form of a
tree structure, with the objective to identify the criteria
that could contribute to value creation of each class of
benefits. Throughout the design phase, the tree of points
of opinions was improved with the involvement of the
evaluators and the analyst. The final tree of benefits and
criteria was composed by 12 benefits and 17 criteria (Fig.
2, Fig. 3, and Fig. 4).
Thirdly, in order that the resulting assessment
criteria of value creation in innovation are measurable, it
is necessary to have metrics that indicate the product
performance in relation to these criteria. Thus, we need
to design the measuring instrument, and we applied the
following methodology:
It was drawn up a list with indicators and 6 experts
answered objectively whether the indicators of each class
of benefits would be relevant to assessing the potential
for value creation in innovation through one of three
possible answers: “Yes” if the respondent considers the
indicator relevant for the study. “No” if the respondent
considers it not relevant and “Maybe” if the respondent
has doubts about the indicator.
After evaluating the comments of the experts, a new
list of metrics was drawn up. This list was composed
solely by metrics which had not received any rejection.
Finally, the result was sent to the 6 experts requesting the
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
883
final confirmation/ disconfirmation on the selected
indicators.
So, the final list of metrics that comprise the pre-
survey instrument was sent to internal and external
groups. The first questions are related with the market
benefits; the second with the research and development
(R&D) benefits and the latter with human capital.
Figure 2 - Tree of market benefits and its criteria.
Figure 3 - Tree of R&D benefits and its criteria.
Market benefits
Increased user satisfaction
Quality of product / service
Performance of the payment transaction
Improved business image
Company image
Increase the market potential/strategic
impact
International competitive advantage
Comparative analysis with competing or
substitutes products of other companies
Comparative analysis with competing or
substitutes products of Brisa
Better collaboration with suppliers
Level of partnership
Development of national enterprises
and entrepreneurship
Commitment in national industry
New opportunities for national companies with export capacity
Export of the product
Benefits of R & D
Internal knowledge obtained
Knowledge applied to products under
development
Scientific diffusion
External knowledge obtained
R & D or innovation resulting from
partnerships with suppliers and universities
Getting a technologically
innovative product
Applied knowledge in the product
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
884
Four experts belonging to Brisa Company validated
the pre-survey. The validation allowed changing 4
questions. Subsequently, we redesigned the pre-survey
that was tested by 10 people randomly chosen in the
internal and external groups that belong to the sample.
The suggestions were considered in the design of the
final survey, which was sent to the sample.
6.3 Evaluation Process
In the final phase of a multiple criteria method, the
evaluation of the items that were defined in the model
structuring is made through the interaction among the
company's stakeholders. Therefore, internal groups
(direction, commercial department, technical
department, research and development department) and
external groups (partners, suppliers and users of the
product) of participants were defined. The application of
the research method was made through the
implementation of an electronic survey, which was sent
to 200 participants. We adapted the algorithm used by
Tai and Chen (2009), applying the dual fuzzy linguistic
approach to measure the value of intangible benefits of
the EToll product, through the respondents’ answers.
According to the methodology suggested in section 4
and the proposal for a new model to measure intangible
assets in section 5, the computing process for the
evaluation of the EToll intangible benefits is presented
in the following steps.
This process can be performed with the responses of
all participants or one group of participants. In the
examples mentioned below data is from all participants.
We received 180 valid responses to the survey out of 188
responses in total.
Step 1. Evaluators use linguistic variables (Tables 1
and 2) to determine, through the survey instrument, the
following items:
The performance rating of Etoll, with respect
to each indicator for each criterion;
The weight of each indicator, with respect to
each criterion for each benefit;
The weight of each criterion, with respect to
each benefit;
The weight of each benefit for value creation
in innovation.
Step 2. The 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic aggregation
method was applied to compute fuzzy evaluation (Eq. 5)
and the weighting value (Eq. 6) of each indicator with
respect to each criterion. For instance, the fuzzy
evaluation and weight of the indicator "Index of user
satisfaction" with respect to the criterion "Quality of the
good/service" is connected to the benefit “Increasing
user satisfaction” are computed as:
W̅111 = Δ(1
180(0.75 + 0.75 + 0.5 + 1 + 1 + 0.5 + 1 +
0.5 + 0.5 + 0.25 + 0.5 + 0.5 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 0.5 +
0.75 + 0.75 + ⋯ + 0.75))
W̅111 = Δ (0.67) = (s3, −0.08)
W̅111 = Δ(1
180(1 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 1 + 1 + 0.75 + 1 +
1 + 1 + 1 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 0.5 + 0.5 + 1 + 1 +
⋯ + 0.5))
W̅111 = Δ(0.82) = (s3, 0.07)
The results for all indicators can be seen in Table
1A, Appendix A
Figure 4 - Tree of human capital benefits and its criteria.
Benefits of human capital
Increased employee satisfaction
Employee satisfaction
Improvements in skills development
Development of specific skills in managing activities
of innovation and R & D
Development of appropriate expertise to perform the activities of
Innovation and R & D
Creation of qualified jobs
Creation of qualified jobs
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
885
The calculation of the 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic to
obtain the weighting value of each criterion is based on
Eq. 7. For instance, the weighting value of criterion
“Quality of good/service” with respect to the benefit
“Increasing user satisfaction” is computed as follows:
W̅11 =Δ(1
180(1 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 1 + 1 + 0.75 + 1 + 1 +
1 + 1 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 0.5 + 0.5 + 1 + 1 + ⋯ +
0.5))
W̅11 = Δ (0.83) = (s3, 0.08)
The results for all criterions can be seen in Table 2A,
Appendix A
The calculation of the 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic
weighting value of each benefit is given by Eq. 8. For
instance, the weighting value of benefit “Increasing
customer satisfaction” is computed as follows:
W̅l = Δ (1
180(1 + 1 + 0.75 + 0.5 + 0.75 + 0.5 + 0.75 +
1 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 1 + 0.75 + 0.75 + 0.5 + 0.75 +
0.75 + 1 + ⋯ + 0.5))
W̅l = Δ (0,76) = (s3, 0.01)
The results for all benefit can be seen in Table 3A,
Appendix A
Step 3. The 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic weighted average
method was applied to compute fuzzy rating value
(Eq. 9). For instance, the fuzzy rating value of
criterion “Quality of the good/service” is based on
computing results presented in Table 1A, Appendix
A.
The results to the rating for all criteria can be seen in
Table 2A, Appendix A)
Step 4. The same procedure was applied to obtain the
fuzzy rating of performance of each benefit (Eq. 10). For
instance, the fuzzy rating value of benefit “Increasing
user satisfaction” is based on computing results
presented in Table 2A, Appendix A computed as X̅l = Δ
(0.60×0.83+0.64×0.90
0.83+0.90) = ∆(0.62) = (s2, 0.12).
The results to the rating for all benefits can be seen
in Table 3A, Appendix A
Step 5. According to the fuzzy rating and weighting
value of each benefit, the overall performance level
of the value creation in innovation P is given by Eq.
11 and based on Table 3A, Appendix A.
Therefore, the value creation in the innovation of the
EToll corresponds to a rating of "Good", according
to the set of linguistic terms S. However, it is very
close to "Fair" – if the final rating was equal to
∆(0.62) = (s2,0.12).
This research aims at perceiving which are the
intangible benefits, which contributed to the value
creation in innovation. According to the value
judgments of the Brisa stakeholders, ratings of
performance for each intangible benefit were
obtained, as shown in Table 3.
X̅11 = ∆ ( 0.67 × 0.82 + 0.51 × 0.79 + 0.63 × 0.82 + 0.63 × 0.71 + 0.63 × 0.83 + 0.55 × 0.79
0.82 + 0.79 + 0.82 + 0.71 + 0.83 + 0.79)
X̅11 = ∆(0.60) = (s2, 0.10)
P=∆ (0.62×0.76+0.64×0.79+0.57×0.85+0.74×0.61+0.82×0.82+0.54×0.82+0.7×0.88+0.63×0.85+0.62×0.75+0.62×0.82+0.58×0.86+0.57×0.86
0.76+0.79+0.85+0.61+0.82+0.82+0.88+0.85+0.75+0.82+0.86+0.86)
P = ∆(0.63) = (s3, −0.12)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
886
6.4 Tangible Assets
To assess the potential for value creation in
innovation of a new product, we must take into
consideration not only the intangible assets but also the
tangible.
The economic evaluation was focused on the impact
and variations of perceived costs in the income statement
of the company Brisa Auto-estradas de Portugal, S.A. in
2010. In this year, 249 ETolls were installed in 84 toll
plazas in Brisa’s network. The time horizon considered
was five years, starting with the implementation of the
equipment in July 2010 (year 0) and finishes in July 2015
(year 5).
According to the Annual Report the investment of the
project implementation and installation of EToll resulted
in 11.9 million euros. RD costs were considered as sunk
costs, for purposes of the cash flows.
The implementation costs were costs of machine
manufacturing, external consultancy, logistics, software
development and implementation team. To estimate the
cost of installing the machines, two scenarios were
considered:
In the optimistic scenario, the EToll machine is
integrated in an existing toll booth;
In the worst scenario it will be constructed a new
line of tolling. It is assumed that in 70% of the cases,
the tollbooths already exist and in 30% of the cases,
new lines will be built.
The road construction and equipment installation
costs totaled about 8.7 million euros. The residual value
in year 5 was considered as 10% of the investment.
Operating costs of the EToll project consist primarily
of maintenance, training, layoff and depreciation costs.
It was considered that 2% of the initial investment was
spent in maintenance per year and in the training costs
during the installation period in year zero. We consider
the equipment depreciation has a rate of 20% per year.
The major cost savings of this project were the toll
employees dismissed in 2010. From 2011 until 2015, the
company made high savings with the revenue. The
annual values range from 6.2 million euros in 2011 to 7.2
million euros estimated in 2015. In 2010, the company
managed to save 1.4 million euros. This reduction in
operating costs allowed the company to be innovative
when it comes to efficiency and value creation for its
shareholders.
In order to obtain the net present value (NPV) of the
EToll implementation project, we consider the weighted
average cost of capital 4.45%. The NPV was €
8.982.362, which is positive, so the project has created
value and is generating more money than the best
alternative application of resources for the same risk.
Table 3. Global rating of performance of Etoll in terms of intangible benefits
Intangible benefits Rating of performance
of EToll Linguistic
term
Development and entrepreneurship of
national companies 0.82 = (s3, 0.07) Good
Better cooperation with suppliers 0.74 = (s3, -0.01) Good
Technologically innovative product 0.70 = (s3, -0.05) Good
Better image of the company 0.64 = (s3, -0.08) Good
Internal knowledge acquired 0.63 = (s3, -0.12) Good
Increasing user satisfaction 0.62 = (s2, 0.12) Fair
Increasing employee satisfaction 0.62 = (s2, 0.12) Fair
External knowledge acquired 0.62 = (s2, 0.12) Fair
Improvements in skills’ development 0.58 = (s2, 0.08) Fair
Increase of the market potential / strategic
impact 0.57 = (s2, 0.07) Fair
Creation of qualified employment 0.57 = (s2, 0.07) Fair
New opportunities for national companies
with exporting capacity 0.54 = (s2, 0.04) Fair
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887
The internal rate of return (IRR) is 21.9%. It is higher
than the discount rate used in the calculation of the NPV
(4.45%), which far exceeds the acceptance criteria of a
project.
Regarding the discounted payback of the project, we
obtained a relatively short payback of 3 years and 3
months. This criterion becomes important due to the
economic instability that Portugal has been going
through since 2010.
7. Conclusions
In this research, the methodology combined a
method of multiple criteria decision support for
defining the intangible benefits (respective criteria and
indicators) and from the adaptation of the model for
evaluating intellectual capital from Tai and Chen
(2009).
Linguistic variables were applied to express the
level of qualitative evaluation items, criteria and
benefits of experts’ subjective judgment. It was
concluded that the benefits which most contributed to
value creation in innovation of the EToll were
“Development and entrepreneurship of national
companies”, “better cooperation with suppliers” and
“technologically innovative product”. However the
evaluating weights of innovation process is different
considering the distinctive stages of the process, even
within the same company Wang et. al (2014).
The EToll project is an example to other national
companies with technological scope. The production
and implementation of the new product EToll will be
done by Portuguese companies what will improve
national economy, with a high multiplicative factor,
since many companies are involved in this project,
such as manufacturing, software, equipment
installation and also consulting companies.
Considering the scale of operations, there is also a
potential for new external partnerships and technical
services. Furthermore, Brisa has to seize the strategic
advantage of being the only company in Portugal that
has a machine that allows the integration of several
payments forms. There were also created new control
of route processes, such as remote assistance, charging
and collection of cash.
The reduction in operating costs allowed the
company to be innovative when it comes to efficiency
and create value for its shareholders. The NPV of the
project was approximately € 9.0 million and the
payback period of 3 years and 3 months.
In synthesis, the EToll generates high positive cash
flows, according to the prevision calculations of the
project, what allows the Brisa Auto-estradas de
Portugal S.A. sparing annually an average of 6.9
million euros, since 2011.
We conclude that the methodology used to evaluate
the potential of value creation in the innovation of a
new product is a good contribution to management
science, since the evaluation model of the intangibles
assets used in this research, allowed the company
understand which intangibles assets more contributed
to the value creation in the innovation of EToll.
Additionally, this paper aid to lead for further
studies such as the subjective evaluation of technology
transfer and optimal solution patents. It can also be
applied in the evaluation and selection of other
innovation processes.
Limitations of the study
One of the major problems was the lack of
adherence to participation in the research instrument of
the employees and the difficulty in obtaining financial
data of the company with respect to EToll
implementation and installation costs as well as
information relating to operating expenses or savings.
For the analysis of NPV some data had to be estimated
from the available data.
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Journal of Human Resource Costing & Accounting
2 (1), 73-97.
[25] Sveiby, K.E. (1998) The new organizational
wealth: managing and measuring knowledge-based
assets. Barrett-Koehler publishers, San Francisco.
[26] Tai, W., Chen, C. (2009) A new evaluation model
for intellectual capital based on computing with
linguistic variable. Expert Systems with
Applications 36(2), 3483-3488.
[27] Vidrascu, P. (2013) The complexity classification
of intangible assets. Hyperion Economic Journal
1(1), 42-50.
[28] VorbecK, J., Heisig, P., Mertins, K. (2003)
Knowledge Management: concepts and best
practices, 2.nd edition. Sringer-Verlag, Heidelberg.
[29] Wang, G., Tian, X., Geng, J (2014) Optimal
Selection Method of Process Patents for
Technology Transfer Using Fuzzy Linguistic
Computing, Mathematical Problems in
Engineering, 2014: 10.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
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Appendix A. List of the computing results
Table 1A. Rating of the EToll performance per indicator and the respective indicator weight
# Indicator Indicator Name Rating Importance
111 Index of user satisfaction about the product 0.67 0.82
112 Customer retention rate 0.51 0.79
113 Good performance compared to the quality goal 0.63 0.82
114 Number of uses of remote assistance per year 0.63 0.71
115 Number of errors or equipment failures per month 0.63 0.83
116 Investment in user support 0.55 0.79
121 Percentage of transactions per year 0.62 0.71
122 Service performance compared to the quality goal 0.69 0.83
123 Average response time of transaction payment 0.65 0.88
124 Average response time of remote assistance 0.62 0.89
211 Rate associations of the product name to the company 0.61 0.76
212 Number of citations in the media that relate the product to the brand 0.54 0.74
213 Index of company's innovation 0.76 0.76
311 Number of international competitors 0.59 0.62
312 Number of competing products or substitutes of international
companies 0.58 0.68
313 Characteristics of competing products or substitutes for international
companies 0.56 0.74
321 Characteristics of competing products or substitutes 0.59 0.68
322 Duration of competitive differential 0.69 0.66
331 Utilization rate of the new equipment in relation to other payment
methods 0.48 0.74
411 Relationship with partners 0.73 0.75
412 Number of years with major partners 0.75 0.72
511 Percentage of national companies involved in the project 0.82 0.87
611 Number of identified business opportunities for national companies
with export capacity 0.55 0.81
612 Number of national companies with export capacity potentially
interested in the product 0.52 0.76
711 Percentage of R&D applied 0.70 0.77
811 Percentage of R&D applied to products under development 0.73 0.76
821 Number of presentations at scientific conferences per year 0.57 0.65
822 Number of scientific publications per year 0.45 0.61
911 Number of established technology partnerships with suppliers 0.66 0.75
912 Number of implemented ideas resulting from partnerships with
universities 0.58 0.71
1011 Motivation Index 0.63 0.75
1012 Index of empowerment 0.63 0.74
1013 Satisfaction index 0.62 0.74
1111 Investment in management training on Innovation and R&D 0.58 0.78
1121 Investment in technical training on Innovation and R&D. 0.58 0.78
1211 Number of jobs created 0.57 0.75
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
890
Table 2A. Rating of the EToll performance per criterion and the respective criterion weight
# Criterion Criterion Name Rating Importance
11 Quality of product / service 0.60 0.83
12 Performance of the payment transaction 0.64 0.90
21 Company Image 0.64 0.76
31 International competitive advantage 0.58 0.81
32 Comparison with competing products or substitutes of national
companies 0.64 0.79
33 Comparison with competing products or substitutes of Brisa company 0.48 0.79
41 Partnership level 0.74 0.75
51 Commitment to national industry 0.82 0.87
61 Opportunity to export the product to national companies 0.54 0.81
71 Knowledge applied to the product 0.7 0.77
81 Knowledge applied to products under development 0.73 0.81
82 Science communication 0.51 0.68
91 R&D or innovation resulting from partnerships with suppliers and
universities 0.62 0.75
101 Employee satisfaction 0.62 0.74
111 Development of specific skills in managing innovation activities and
R & D 0.58 0.74
112 Development of technical expertise adequate to the activities of
Innovation and R&D 0.58 0.76
121 Creation of qualified jobs 0.57 0.86
Table 3A. Rating of the EToll performance per benefit and the respective benefit weight
# Benefit Benefit Name Rating Importance
1 Increased user satisfaction 0.62 0.76
2 Improved company image 0.64 0.79
3 Increase the potential market / strategic impact 0.57 0.85
4 Improved collaboration with suppliers 0.74 0.61
5 Development of national enterprises and entrepreneurship 0.82 0.82
6 New opportunities for national companies with export capacity 0.54 0.82
7 Getting a technologically innovative product 0.7 0.88
8 Gain insider knowledge 0.63 0.85
9 Gain external knowledge 0.62 0.75
10 Increased employee satisfaction 0.62 0.82
11 Improvements in skills development 0.58 0.86
12 Creation of qualified jobs 0.57 0.86
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
891
Business Partnership at the Information
Technology Sector in Brazil Daniel Correia de Albuquerque#1
José António Filipe*2
Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira*3
#Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE – IUL), Lisboa – Portugal [email protected]
*Departamento de Matemática (ISCTE – IUL)
Instituto Universitário de Lisboa – BRU-IUL, ISTAR-IUL, Lisboa - Portugal [email protected]
Abstract – This article is made up of a case of
application of Game Theory to business partners. It
analyzes the partnership as an element that has
consequences on the sustainable growth process of
companies in the Information Technology (IT) industry
in Brazil and presents the application of a model
adopted by business partners on this sector. Research
shows that partnership between IT companies with
complementary profiles has beneficial effects and
contributes to the sustainable growth of the companies
in the IT sector, and consequently to this technology
sector in Brazil.
Keywords – Game Theory, Business Partnership,
Information Technology Sector.
1. Introduction
Nowadays societies face many challenges and
obstacles resulting from economic, social and
environmental imbalances, which are compounded by
globalization phenomenon, imposed on all countries.
Consequences of this globalization interfere in the
way of thinking and acting of individuals and on the
movements institutions make in the markets in which
they compete. Faced with such a scenario, it is
important to adopt certain principles and standards to
guide human behavior in the individual and collective
spheres.
This article develops an approach to model
business partnership in the technology sector in
Brazil. This reality is experienced by most business
organizations in general, and in particular for
companies located on Brazil (the country which is
studied on this research), with a special emphasis on
companies in the Information Technology (IT) sector.
In order to understand situations of conflict in
the process of partnership, Game Theory framework
was adopted, based on the mathematical logic and on
the facilitates of the process of decision making. A
game is characterized by conflicts of interest and
considering the need to choose the best strategy for
each player, it is therefore appropriate to use this
theory which aims to forecast movements of other
players, either competitors or allies, whoever they are
standing the best way to achieve their desired results.
In a conflict situation at the time of decision,
Game Theory allows each player to understand the
logic of the problem/dispute, by seeing if there is a
possibility for cooperation; by identifying the
circumstances under which it is appropriate to
cooperate or not; and/or by adopting strategies that
may favor cooperation between players.
Considering also the Mechanism Design Theory,
working as a catalyst for the analysis and serving to
boost the study and allowing new emphases to the
analysis of the context of business partnership in the
Information Technology sector in Brazil.
Thus, there is a novelty in relation to what is
usually studied in the context of theories involved in
this article, which corresponds to the application of
the Mechanism Design Theory to a practical situation
involving the Information Technology sector and
allowing a creative interconnection with the parts of
methodological analysis and yet with the results and
conclusions of the study.
This application is specific and is targeted to a
specific situation, allowing to get innovative findings,
which are settled considering many years of
____________________________________________________________________________________ International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance & Economic Sciences IJLTFES, E-ISSN: 2047-0916 Copyright © ExcelingTech, Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
892
experience and practice in a reference company in the
Information Technology sector in Brazil by one of
the researchers.
2. Research Objectives
The objective of this study is to analyze the
concept of business partnership in the perspective of
Game Theory as a way to contribute to the
sustainable growth of Information Technology
companies in Brazil. The basic working hypothesis is
that, in Brazil, the strategies used in business
partnership interfere in the sustainable growth of
these companies, which were used in the present
study as the analysis field.
The first motivation for this research was born
during the development of the research master's
thesis (see Albuquerque, 2010). According to
Albuquerque (2010), there are several factors that
interfere in the process of sustainable growth of
companies in the information technology sector in
Brazil, among which stands out partnership.
Considering that one of the researchers was an
employee of a technology company for 25 years,
having worked much of this period with business
partnership and their mutual relations, the existence
of a situation of conflict and competition is verified,
what can be illustrated in the following figure.
Figure 1. Scenario involving suppliers (business
partners) and clients in the Information Technology
Sector.
Source: Authors’ figure
Figure 01 shows the sector of Information
Technology, represented by its suppliers and
customers, highlighting a particular customer.
At the bottom, it is the ecosystem of the
Information and Communication Technology
industry suppliers who are represented by
manufacturers and their business partners. Those
companies make up the supply chain and distribution
of the Information Technology sector.
The central part of the figure represents the most
attractive market. This market can be characterized
by a particular industry or a particular customer,
which has the characteristic of being a major
consumer of technology and therefore arouses the
interest of all industry vendors.
In this scenario, if all suppliers pursue the same
market at the same time, the following facts may be
experienced:
Initially, companies will supply the market
at the same time, so they come on a collision
course with each other;
In a second phase, when addressing the
secondary market, they will not be well
accepted because nobody wants to be the
second. This reaction is typical of a market
when it feels discredited.
Then it may be observed that:
As there is a greater effort by the most
attractive market, there will be an expense of
additional resources among business
partners disputing the market, which will
decrease the profitability of companies;
If the business partners losses come, a loss
trend also for manufacturers happen, as they
come pressured to reduce their profit
margins.
If the manufacturer and business partners lose in
an initial situation, it is possible to conclude that the
market gains; however, this is a market short-term
gain in the perspective of the researchers insight.
Thus, the following question arises: In the long run,
there will be specialized companies to meet
customers?
It is important to say that the market (customer)
needs companies experts in technology to serve them
through IT solutions, and thus these companies may
become more competitive in their respective business
segment.
3. Literature Review
3.1 Game Theory
Fiani (2006, p.9) states that: “In an overview,
Game Theory is the mathematical analysis of a
situation involving a conflict of interest, to find out
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
893
the best options that, given certain conditions, should
lead to the goal desired by a rational player.”
It is a mathematical theory created to model
phenomena that can be observed when two or more
decision makers interact with each other. It provides
a way to describe conscious decision processes
having goals that involve all players.
In this article, the theoretical framework will be
seen in the perspective of Economic Theory of
Games, which should not be confused with the
Combinatorial Game Theory, initiated by Sprague
(1935) in the 1930s. The first has predominantly
economic motivations and seeks to establish methods
to maximize the gain (payoff), while the second
theory focuses on aspects of table games (e.g., card
game).
According to Osborne & Rubinstein (1994),
Game Theory is a set of analytical techniques
designed to aid the understanding of observed
phenomena when decision makers or players interact
with each other.
Thus, game theory is the study of the means in
which strategic interactions between rational players
produce payoffs related to the preferences of each
player. Such preferences are utility calls.
This theory is based on the principle of
instrumental rationality with which players seek the
best results for themselves or for their group. This
works on the assumption that players are endowed
with a perfect rationality (strong rationality).
Thus, it is intended to seek forms to examine
ways to achieve the desired ends. The application of
Game Theory can be of great relevance to fields of
study in which the social element exerts influence.
Morgenstern (1944), one of the precursors of
game theory, states that this theory is a new matter,
which aroused great interest because of its novel
mathematical properties and its multiple applications
to social, economic and political areas. Its effects on
social sciences have also been expressed over a broad
spectrum. Its applications are numerous and refer to
significant issues for social scientists because the
mathematical structure of the theory profoundly
differs from previous attempts to provide
mathematical foundation to social phenomena.
Since its inception, it has a wide application
because focuses on decision problems of the
participants, it allows to make predictions on the
behavior of the players and also features likely
outcomes. Thus, the insights provided by this theory
contribute significantly to the understanding and
comprehension of the strategic cooperation and the
formation of strategic alliances.
3.2 Partnership
The global scenario has undergone changes in
economic and social order that affect the market and,
also and significantly, industries. At the current
juncture, it is observed the advance of globalization,
the high interdependence in the economic sector and
the dynamism of markets.
However, this highly competitive posture does
not provide the same kind of results as it happened
few years ago. Organizations have no longer any
direct resources being enough to the success of their
business; and thus the formation of strategic alliances
is gaining strength as a strategic posture in the
economic scenario.
The concept of strategic alliances is difficult to
elaborate, because there is a wide range of possible
relationships between organizations. According to
Yoshino and Rangan (1996, p.5), a strategic alliance
is some kind of a business partnership that increases
the effectiveness of the competitive strategies of the
participating organizations, providing mutual and
beneficial exchange of technologies, skills and
products based on that.
This concept has the idea of mutual benefit. As
participants increase their skills work cooperatively.
However, this concept is still limited by stating that a
strategic partnership is a business partnership.
Reasons for the formation of an alliance and the
interests of partners involve, in most cases,
commercial interests, even if the various interests are
not shown explicitly.
According to Abbade (2010), there are three
characteristics which must be met:
- Two or more companies that come together to meet
a number of combined goals remain independent
after the formation of the alliance;
- Partner companies share the benefits of the alliance
and control the performance of specified tasks,
perhaps the most distinctive feature of alliances and
makes it very difficult to manage;
- Business partner continually contribute with one or
more key strategic areas.
As Parkhe (1993) states, strategic alliances are
voluntary agreements of interorganizational
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
894
cooperation often characterized by inherent instability
caused by the uncertainty related to the partner's
future behavior and by applying a high level of
authority to ensure the commitment. This high level
of authority is related to the governance structure.
Contractor and Lorange (1988) define strategic
alliances from the degree of interdependence between
the organizations involved. The degree of
interdependence can vary between high and low. In a
high degree of interdependence, the reversal of
partnership would be more difficult due to the high
existing degree of dependence among parties. In a
low degree of interdependence, the reversal of
alliance could occur more easily. The degree of
interdependence is an important parameter that
should be considered during the partner selection
process.
According to Lewis (1992), alliances provide
unique opportunities for the development of force
with an exceptionally wide range of partners, such as
manufacturers, retailers, competitors, academic
centres and other companies of any nature.
Faulkner and Rond (2000) consider that the term
“alliance” that at some time in the past meant a
clearly defined relationship between particular
companies, today it is used as a “umbrella” term to
give a feature of a wide range of relationships among
companies.
According Noleto (2000), when companies
realize that their competitors have competitive
advantages, they are motivated to partnership
establishments since they find that it is advantageous
for them by joining efforts in order to optimize
mutual resources and expertising.
4. Business Partnership – The Model
The supra mentioned researcher’s experience
that was gained through many years of working with
business partners enabled the development of a
model that reflects the real business situations on
partnership in the Information Technology sector.
Throughout this article a set of considerations
were developed and some applied cases were
presented to the concrete study of companies in the
IT sector. Successively the market was observed and
a companies’ positioning analysis was made, working
theoretical foundations in the context that was
surveyed.
The model definition will be presented, defining
some variables that will make up the model. The
object of research was also presented as its
suitability. Some analogies and studies related to this
model and under this model are also presented.
This model aims to answer the following
questions:
- Partnership is recommended to companies under
investigation?
- If partnership is made, how would be the
participation (in percentage terms) of each business
partner in the project?
In the construction of the model, the work
developed in Albuquerque (2010) was used as the
research base. There factors that contribute to the
sustainable growth of information technology
companies were studied, i.e. skill, local presence and
relationship. These factors are the variables of this
model.
From the survey results applied to customers in
Albuquerque (2010), a normalization to 100% (one
hundred percent) for factors is made (for skill, local
presence and relationship).
Models Variables
The model consists of questions to each one of
the supra mentioned factors: skill, local presence and
partnership (see below the definition of variables).
These factors will be the variables of the model.
Skill
Question 01: The business partner has the
technical capacity to deliver 100% of the information
technology project? If not, what is the percentage of
the estimated delivery capacity for the solution?
Possible answers in percentages: 0%, 25%, 50%,
75%, and 100%
Local Presence
Question 01: The business partner has a
commercial office in the country place of the
contracting company?
Answer: Yes = 100% and No = 0%
Relationship
Question 01: The business partner personally
knows the person who makes the decision in relation
to the information technology project contractor?
Answer (*): Yes = 50% and No = 0%
Question 02: The business partner has a good
business relationship with the person who makes the
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
895
decision in relation to information technology project
contractor?
Answer (*): Yes = 50% and No = 0%
(*) The weight is considered in this way to
model methodological issues, by considering two
questions for the same item.
For purposes of this study, based on responses to
each question, it was drawn up the following table
comparing the skill factors, local presence and
relationship, which allowed to calculate the
relationship among the factors that influence the
partnership.
Table 01: Comparative model among the factors that
influence the partnership
Source: Authors’ calculations.
In this model, the results are as follow:
- Skill factor - the business partner 01 has the
capacity to deliver 100% of the required solution,
while the business partner 02 has limited capacity to
deliver only 50% of the required solution.
About the factors local presence and
relationship, it is observed that:
- Local presence - the business partner has 01
commercial office in the country of the contracting
company. This position is the same at the business
partner 02 who also has a commercial office in the
country of the contracting company.
- Relationship Factor - the business partner 01 despite
having offices in the headquarters of the contracting
company, does not know personally the person who
makes the decision regarding the IT project therefore
does not establish any business relationship. But the
business partner 02 personally knows and has a
business relationship with the person who makes the
decision in relation to the contracting company's IT
project.
Since the master's thesis in Albuquerque (2010),
the authors have been developing this model in the
market, being applied strategically in the
management of partnerships in the IT company
where one of the researchers works already for many
years. This model has already had much recognition
and merit assigned considering the results it has
achieved with its use.
5. Game of Partnership – Dilemma of
Business Partner
In situations of conflict, involving two or more
business partners, it is common to consider a question
about the best strategy to be followed by each
company once there is a dilemma always present in
organizations: competing or cooperating?
The Game of Partnership - Dilemma of the
Business Partners will be presented. It analyses the
applicability of the two ways: is it more advantageous
to compete at the risk of losing or winning, or even,
the best alternative is the adoption of a policy of
cooperation between the business partners?
It should be clarified that table for the game of
Partnership (which will be presented below), was
prepared from the above table data. In this analysis,
some factors considered as variables of the model
will be used.
- Skill;
- Local presence + Relationship.
Table 02: Game of Partnership - Dilemma of the
Business Partners
Source: Authors’ calculations
Business partners have the same set of actions to
play (factor “skill” and “local presence +
relationship”), but their payoffs are different for each
move as shown in the table above, which expresses
the game question. The business partner 01 is
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
896
represented on the line and the business partner 02 is
represented in the column.
Few are the games that have a balance of
dominant strategies, such as the classic case in the
literature of the Prisoner's Dilemma.
Now presented in this game, the business partner
01 has a dominant strategy as it is its skill. This
strategy is strongly dominant compared to the skill
factor of the Business Partner 02 and weakly
dominant factor as the local presence + relationship.
The business partner 02 has a strongly dominant
strategy as the local presence factor + relationship in
relation to the business partner 01 and its strategy is
strongly dominant compared to the skill factor and
also to factor local presence + relationship.
The combination of strategies (skill, local
presence + relationship) is a balancing dominant
strategies that seems to have grip with reality and
involves business partners.
6. Results
In this study, it was intended to move towards
and propose solutions for the management of
situations involving conflicts in the information
technology sector. This results knowledge from the
experience gained by one of the researchers, who has
developed a model within the company where he
works.
In addition, this paper’s development resulted as
a unique opportunity to bring to the Academy the
experience obtained in the business reality. Managing
conflict situations which exist in the day to day life
results a very interesting way proposed by this model
for the management area of companies in the market
and on competition in front of business in this very
competitive industry.
Such a situation of conflict, very interesting
from the academic point of view and scientific
research, is a source of relevant modelling being
possible to bring it to analysis and theoretical
foundation.
The possibility of creating a situation arising
from the use of Game Theory and Quantitative
Methods proved to be rewarding with the results
obtained from the study, which are very clear and
defined. Thus, not only the cooperation gains
function as a logical consequence of the results for
games in such situations, as it can be extended to
other types of modelling.
It must be emphasized that the existence of clear
rules makes possible the emergence of a climate of
trust among the participants of the game, who are
willing to comply with them (the rules).
In the analysed situation (the Information
Technology sector in Brazil), it is necessary to define
the conditions of the process of partnership in order
to find alliance strategies between potential business
partners; to enable cooperation gains resulting from
such partnerships; and also to generate efficiency
gains and productivity.
7. Conclusions
At the present juncture, the advance of
globalization, interdependence in the economic sector
and the dynamism of markets contribute to the
emergence of a competitive scenario which results
are different from those obtained 20 years ago.
Companies have not enough resources to the success
of their businesses, so they need to establish strategic
alliances in order to remain in these competitively
markets.
Several factors lead the business partners
working together, considering that some relationships
are better suited to the objectives previously
determined than others. Even in the partnership
process, there is the possibility of conflict, which
justifies the application of game theory, and the
analysis of formation of strategic alliances.
This theory, based on mathematical analysis,
enables the analysis and interpretation of real
situations of conflicts in the negotiation process.
Such conflicts are similar to a game in which the
following elements are present: availability of
information, decision-making, positioning and
actions of the players, the adoption of strategies,
results and equilibrium.
The use of this theory enabled the researcher to
perceive and to analyse the strategies of each player
and the key motivational forces for the formation of
this type of cooperative relationship in the case
studied.
In situations of conflict, involving two or more
business partners, a common question may be posed:
which is the best strategy to be followed by each
company, as there is a dilemma always present in
organizations, competing or cooperating. In this
paper, the applicability of the two ways was
analysed: when it is most advantageous to compete at
the risk of losing or winning; or when a better
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
897
alternative is to adopt a policy of cooperation
between business partners.
The Mechanism design theory also was used.
According to the literature, a game may be based on a
mechanism on which a player can set his own
strategies. A mechanism consists on rules for the
game and shall be developed in order to achieve this
purpose, so decisions must be taken in accordance
with the interests of each player. The player who
draws the mechanism should consider his exercising
influence over other players, therefore his
expectations need to be reasonable, and otherwise
other players will not accept the game.
In this situation, the establishment of rules
dictated by the manufacturer / business regulator for
distribution of hardware (equipment) and software
(programs), the provision of services and the
existence of cooperation determines the benefits to
participants throughout the process. For this, it is
essential that there is a climate of trust, to ensure
every player that the rules are complied with.
In constructing the model, which occurred from
the factors skill, local presence and relationships was
elaborated a comparative table, which was assigned a
weight to each factor in relation to the business
partner's positioning and its client, the game (project)
in progress.
In the model, the factors skill, local presence and
relationship entered as variables. It was possible to
estimate the payoffs of each player. Such factors are
quantifiable variables and somehow are identified
without great difficulty. Such features make this
model a simple and objective alternative to the
analysis and decision making regarding the
partnership in situations of conflict involving
business partners in the IT industry.
The experience gained through years of working
with business partners made one of the researchers
able to model real situations of experienced business
in the information technology sector.
The work carried out, which consisted in the
application of game theory to business partners, has
enabled the understanding of partnership as a factor
that contributes to the sustainable growth of
information technology companies in Brazil as a
benchmark for other organizations or future research.
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Journal. v. 36, p. 794-829.
[11] Sprague, R. (1935), Uber Mathematische
Kampfspiele. Tohoku Mathematical Journal, p.
438-441.
[12] Yoshino, M. Y.; Rangan, U. S. (1996), Alianças
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globalização. São Paulo: Makron Books.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
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The Managerial and Economic Effects of
Celebrity Endorsement on Consumer
Purchasing Intentions
Hélia Gonçalves Pereira*, António Carvalho+, Sofia Lopes Portela#
*Department of Marketing, Operations, and Management
Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), BRU-IUL, Lisboa, Portugal [email protected]
+Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), Lisboa, Portugal
#Department of Quantitative Methods for Management and Economics
Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), BRU-IUL, Lisboa, Portugal [email protected]
Abstract - Despite the fact that celebrity endorsement
brings up some risks, it has been used quite extensively
in the present era and it is a method to reach
competitive advantage by companies. The economic
effects for companies are obvious. This study focuses on
examining the relationship between a set of variables
(gender, credibility, attractiveness, type, multiple
endorsements and multiple product endorsement) that
were identified during the literature review as
characteristics of the TV advertisings and consumers
purchasing intentions.
A questionnaire survey was applied. This study is based
on a sample of 285 young respondents. Respondents
answered two sets of questions after viewing an
advertisement of a specific product featuring one or
more endorsers. A quantitative approach has been
adopted to investigate the relationship between the
purchase intentions and the perceptions of the six
characteristics of celebrity endorsement mentioned
above.
Results revealed that all the characteristics of celebrity
endorsement analyzed had a positive impact in
consumers purchasing intentions, however some of
them were quite low. This study has an approach with
relevant consequences for companies, either economic
or managerial, bringing room to analyze and to discuss
the related coming up managerial implications.
Keywords: celebrity endorsement, purchase intentions.
1. Introduction
Due to the competitive environment in which
companies are working on, with many economies
living a serious social downturn and others, doing an
effective communication definitely is one of the key
issues to catch the attention of the consumers and
there are a variety of communication strategies,
which allow the advertisers to reach their target. The
use of celebrities as spokespersons is becoming an
increasingly common strategy in the advertising
industry.
There is a daily access to hundreds of television
stars, movies, sport athletes and other well known
celebrities through the five major mass advertising
media: television, radio, magazines, newspapers and
internet. This, made celebrity advertising an
appealing choice by advertising makers, who invest
huge amounts of money in contracts with celebrity
endorsers each year, since it was found that
celebrities are able to increase: brand visibility (Muda
et al., 2011; Constanzo and Goodnight, 2007), levels
of attention (Friedman and Friedman, 1979; Newman
et al., 2011), positive attitudes towards the product
(Friedman and Friedman, 1979; White et al., 2009)
and greater purchase intentions (Friedman and
Friedman, 1979; Khatri, 2006).
Understanding the effectiveness of endorsers is a
key issue for both academics and practitioners and
clearly justifies the relevance of this study.
2. Literature Review
Friedman and Friedman (1979) consistently
found that the type of endorser used in an advertising
campaign, might interact with the type of product
being endorsed. They also found out that the use of
celebrity endorsers is appropriate when product
purchasing involves high social and psychological
risk.
____________________________________________________________________________________ International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance & Economic Sciences IJLTFES, E-ISSN: 2047-0916 Copyright © ExcelingTech, Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
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Some previous studies that have explored the
relationship between endorser’s gender and
consumer’s gender resulted in two opposite ideas:
endorser’s gender does not significantly influence
consumer attitudes toward products (Freiden, 1984;
Boyd and Shank, 2004) and endorser’s gender
significantly influences consumer attitudes toward
products (Debevec and Kernan, 1984; James, 2010).
Freiden (1984) studied if there was any
influence of endorser’s gender on consumers’ attitude
to television advertisements, using a durable and a
neutral product. The result was that the gender of the
endorser did not significantly influence consumer
(226 adults and students) attitudes. On the other hand,
Debevec and Kernan (1984) found that there was a
relationship between the endorser gender and the
consumer. Attractive female models generated
superior attitudes than attractive male models across
both genders but particularity among males. Mishra
et al. (2001) also pointed out that consumers respond
differently to female celebrity endorsers than to male
celebrity endorsers and ads featuring female
celebrities were evaluated more favorably than an ad
featuring male celebrities. Female endorsers have
also been shown to be more credible than male
endorsers (James, 2010).
Thus, it is proposed the following research
Hypothesis:
H1: Endorser’s gender has a relation with consumers
purchase intentions
Selecting the perfect celebrity to endorse a
product or brand is not an easy task. Many researches
have been done in order to help on the construction of
a guideline model to select the endorser. Carl
Hovland and his associates presented one of the
earliest models in 1953, called the Source Credibility
Model. Following this, three additional models were
improved: the Source Attractiveness Model
(McGuire 1985), the Product Match-Up Hypothesis
(Kamins, 1990) and the Meaning Transfer Model
(McCracken, 1989). To date, the models cited above,
have been the basis and the backbone for explaining
the effectiveness of celebrity endorsement, playing a
pivotal role in developing our understanding about
the topic.
One of the most important reasons for using
a celebrity as a spokesperson is to make the message
more credible, an important benefit due to the fact
that some advertising research suggests that about 70
percent of consumers think that advertising is often
untruthful (Eisend, 2006). Source credibility is
defined as a “communicator's positive characteristics
that subsequently influence the receiver’s evaluation
of the message” (Ohanian, 1991; Till and Shimp,
1998). An endorser, who has the key credibility
source factors, is able to increase considerably the
purchase intentions of the consumer (Eisend, 2006)
and can also influence their beliefs, opinions,
attitudes and behaviors through a process called
internalization.
Taking these studies into account, the
authors propose the hypothesis:
H2: Endorser’s credibility has a relation with
consumers purchase intentions.
It is for no coincidence that most
advertisements use attractive people (Erdogan, 2006),
once consumers tend to form positive stereotypes
about such people. In addition, research has proven
that physically attractive communicators are more
successful at changing beliefs (Debevec and Kernan,
1984; Kahle and Homer, 1985) and generating
purchase intentions (Friedman and Friedman, 1979)
than their unattractive counterparts.
Source attractiveness and its effectiveness
are more related to physical attributes, such as
similarity, familiarity and likeability, which are
important factors in an initial judgment of another
person (Ohanian, 1991).
Summarizing the effect of source
attractiveness, one can say that it is used to create
effective messages, where the attribute attractiveness
refers to the endorser’s physical appearance,
personality, likeability and similarity (Kahle and
Homer, 1985; Ohanian, 1991). It is demonstrated that
attractive celebrity endorsers enhance attitudes
towards advertising and brands, but what is not
proved yet is whether they are or not able to create
purchase intentions. Within the broader context of
celebrity endorsement, endorser attractiveness is
certainly a relevant construct. However, the nature
and scope of the attractiveness construct remains
uncertain, and therefore appears worthy of additional
attention.
The authors propose the following research
hypothesis:
H3: Endorser’s attractiveness has a relation with
consumers purchase intentions
A consumer that observes messages from
two different brands, one containing a celebrity
endorsing a product and the other not, believes the
celebrity-endorsed product will have more purchases
(Ranjbarian et al., 2010). In side-by-side
comparisons, celebrity endorsers were found to be
more trustworthy, competent and slightly more
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
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attractive than non-celebrity endorsers (Gaied and
Rached, 2010). The study of Perception of
Advertising and Celebrity Endorsement (Rashid et
al., 2002) shows that using a well-known celebrity as
an endorser could help to improve the subjects rating
of the commercial. Upadhyay and Singh (2010)
argued that the difference between celebrities and
anonymous person is that celebrities have the
capability to deliver meanings of extra depth, power,
subtlety and also offers a range of lifestyle and
personality that cannot be matched by anonymous
people.
In addition, Silvera and Austad (2004) stated
that using celebrities to endorse a product enhances
positive advertising ratings and product evaluations.
According to the authors, a possible explanation for
the success of celebrity-endorsed advertisements
could be attributed to consumers, who believe that
celebrities accept to endorse products as a result of
their true emotions towards the product and not
because of the payment that they receive. Therefore,
it is advisable for companies to consider using a well-
known celebrity as an endorser rather than nameless
spokesperson so they can have a competitive
advantage in differentiating a firm’s products from
competitors (Van der Waldt and Van Zyl, 2007).
Thus, the authors proposed this forth
research hypothesis:
H4: Advertising campaigns that contain celebrity
endorsements have a higher relation with consumers
purchase intentions than ad campaigns that do not
perform with any celebrity.
Celebrity endorsement can be classified
according to the number of products endorsed (single
product vs. multiple products) or number of
celebrities doing the endorsement (single celebrity vs.
multiple celebrities).
When using more than one celebrity in a
campaign, the consumer has a positive impact on
attitude toward the advertisement, attitude toward
brand and purchase intentions (Saleem, 2007). Hence
the use of multiple celebrities for a product can have
some benefits for a company, such as attract and
cover all the different target audiences (Um, 2008a;
Um 2008b) and help the advertisers to reduce the
boredom of the ad. One should however be careful in
this strategy to take care of the core brand values
because there is a great chance of confusing
consumers about the brand identity. In order to avoid
this sort of mix-up, managers who have genuine
reasons to use more than one celebrity for a particular
campaign should make sure that each and every
celebrity possesses compatible meaning that are
sought for brands (Erdogan, 2006).
In addition, multiple product endorsements
weaken the effects of celebrity to the product (Zahaf
and Anderson, 2008) and the number of products a
celebrity endorses, apart from the number of
exposures to the celebrity endorser, negatively
influences consumer perceptions of the endorser and
advertising itself. McCracken (1989) states that the
celebrity endorser carries on meanings from an
advertisement to other, and endorsing multiple
product affect those assigned meanings such that the
consumer perceive the celebrity to be less credible
and less likable. When a celebrity endorses for
multiple products, the endorsement effect loses its
strength because the attitude of the consumer will
decrease (McCracken, 1989).
So, finally, the authors propose these two
research hypothesis;
H5: Advertising campaigns featuring more than one
celebrity endorsing the product, have a relation with
consumers purchase intentions
H6: Celebrities who endorse more than one
product/brand at the same time have a relation with
consumers purchase intentions
3. Methodology
According to the definition of McCracken (1989:
310) a celebrity is “any individual who enjoys public
recognition and who uses this recognition on behalf
of a consumer good by appearing with it in an
advertisement”. Thus, a pretest was developed to
confirm if the respondents were familiar with all the
endorsers that were being shown in the questionnaire,
so that it would exist accuracy in the final
questionnaire.
In a second phase, an online questionnaire was
used, in order to gather the required data for this
analysis. When doing research of this type there are
merits to use a fictitious celebrity in order to
minimize prior exposure to and perceptions about
real celebrities and their endorsement relations (Choi
and Rifon, 2007). On the other hand, using actual
celebrities in a study allows a sense of realism and
celebrities in the marketplace often evoke a much
richer set of feelings, representing the life of their
own (Chen and Huddleston, 2009; Balakrishnan and
Kumar, 2011) and this is what makes them
interesting in the first place. All the advertisements
that were used in the questionnaire performed
national celebrities, who were (1) previously tested in
the pretest and (2) an output of the pretest.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
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The target population is the population of
individuals, which we are interested in describing and
making statistical inferences about. The target
population for this study is comprised of all male and
female individuals over the age of 18 years. In this
research, 251 people participated in the survey.
According to Ohanian (1991) the higher the
perceived credibility of an endorser, the more
effective the advertising tends to be. Ohanian (1991)
developed a list of 139 adjectives related to source
credibility, which was believed to measure celebrity
endorsers’ perceived credibility. Later on, those
adjectives are reduced to a more manageable list of
15 manifest variables, five for each construct:
Expertise, Trustworthiness and Attractiveness. The
resulting scales were submitted to a confirmatory
factor analysis as well as several validity tests, from
which was obtained a valid and reliable instrument.
Each of these constructs has descriptive pairs to
measure these variables on a 7-point bi-polar
adjective scale. The descriptive pairs that measure
Trustworthiness are: dependable/undependable,
dishonest/honest, unreliable/reliable,
insincere/sincere, and trustworthy/untrustworthy. The
descriptive pairs for measuring expertise include:
expert/not-expert, inexperienced / experienced,
unknowledgeable/knowledgeable,
qualified/unqualified and unskilled/skilled. The
following descriptive pairs measure attractiveness:
unattractive/attractive, classy/not classy,
ugly/beautiful, sexy/not sexy and plain/elegant.
However, in this research it was adapted Ohanian’s
credibility measure scale and it has only comprised
the five-item endorser trustworthiness and endorser
expertise scale. This decision was based on the fact
that the attractiveness level of the endorser is one of
the independent variables of the study, so it was
reasonable to create an independent variable of
endorser credibility that did not include attractiveness
as an underlying construct.
4. Results
Of the 285 respondents, 50.5% were male and
49.5% female. The similarity between the number of
respondents of both genders was intentional, so it
could be possible to have an equal number of
responses of males and females in each question. In
terms of sample distribution by age criteria,
respondents have at least 18 years and there is not a
predefined maximum value for age, referred in the
questionnaire as "25 +". However, the majority of the
responses were recorded between ages of 22 and 23,
representing rates of 22.8 and 26% respectively.
Regarding reliability, generally, values with a
Cronbach Alpha between 0.65 to 0.7 are considered
to be the lower limit for a reliable scale, that is to say
that all the internal dimensions do have consistency
and can be used for statistical analysis. According
Cronbach’s Alpha, all the dimensions presented
values above those
Ohanian’s (1991) adapted credibility scale was
used to measure the credibility of two different
celebrities in two different advertisements, so it has
reproduced two values (Cronbach's Alpha = 0.902
and Cronbach's Alpha = 0.930). The same procedure
was applied to measure attractiveness, consisting on
an evaluation of two advertisements with different
reliability values (Cronbach's Alpha = 0.906 and
Cronbach's Alpha = 0.898), respectively. Endorser
type items showed the lowest reliability value
(Cronbach's Alpha = 0.760) but it is still an
acceptable value.
Purchase intentions scale followed each
advertisement question that was shown (total of 8
advertisements) and have reliability values of
Cronbach's Alpha from 0.949 to 0.982.
4.1. Endorser’s gender
The results are quite stucked in the middle, that
is to say, on average respondents do not have a strong
responding trend in any of the items. However, when
questioned if the use of a female endorser played an
important role in the advertisement and if that gender
created interest on the product, respondents are more
inclined to agree with it.
On the opposite side, respondents slightly
disagree with the idea that the use of a female
celebrity endorser and not a male, change the
evaluation that is done about the product, implying
that if in that advertisement a male endorser
appeared, their evaluation about the product would
not be different. However, and still according to the
use of a male endorser rather than a female,
respondents are neutral on the item related to their
motivation for that advertisement if a male celebrity
was used. Finally, on the item that evaluated if there
was a match between the gender of the endorser
(female) and the product being promoted (ice cream),
respondents also do not have a strong responding
trend, so they do not agree or disagree.
As previously stated, the main purpose of this
study is to analyze the correlation between a set of
independent variables and consumers purchase
intentions.
The first hypothesis (H1) aims to evaluate the
relationship between the gender of the endorser and
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
902
purchase intentions. In this way, to make that
analysis, two correlations were used:
1. Pearson’s correlation shows that endorser’s
gender and purchase intentions are positively
correlated, however it is a weak correlation (ρ=
0.382). Thus, it could be concluded that the
gender of the endorser does have a relationship
with consumers purchase intentions, which
means that H1 is not rejected.
2. Spearman’s correlation aims to go deeper and
present results between each gender item and
purchase intentions. Results show that there is a
positive (but weak) correlation between all the
items and purchase intentions, so reinforcing the
positive correlation presented in Pearson’s value.
4.2. Endorser’s credibility
For this second research hypothesis (H2), two
advertisements were shown. The first one (more
credible) presented José Mourinho (a worldwide
known football coach) and the second one (less
credible), also performing a sports related person -
Paulo Futre, an older football player. An adapted
credibility scale was used with a set of 10 items that
supported the assessment to be made about the
impact of endorsers credibility in the shown
advertisement. Answers were given based on 7-point
bi-polar adjective scale.
Results present evidence about the perception of the
respondents about the credibility of José Mourinho.
All the items follow a positive trend, which means
that respondents on average do agree with the fact
that the endorser in that advertisement is:
Honest; Reliable; Sincere; Trustworthy; Expert;
Skilled; Experienced; Knowledgeable; Qualified.
To analyze the correlation between this
second endorser variable and consumers purchase
intentions, the same two-independency tests (Pearson
and Spearman) were done.
H2 aims to evaluate the relationship between
endorser’s credibility and purchase intentions. So, for
the first advertisement, which the endorser is José
Mourinho:
1. Pearson’s correlation shows that endorser’s
credibility (mean of 10 items) and purchase
intentions (mean of 3 items) are positively
correlated, however it is a weak correlation (ρ=
0.394). Thus, it could be concluded that the
credibility of the endorser does have a
relationship with consumers purchase intentions,
which means that H2 is not rejected.
2. Spearman’s correlation shows that there is a
positive (but weak) correlation between all the
items and purchase intentions, so reinforcing the
positive correlation presented in Pearson’s value.
A second advertisement with Paulo Futre
endorsing other product was shown.
Based on Pearson correlation, H2 is once again
not rejected. The obtained ρ= 0.437 means that
despite being a less credible endorser, the credibility
still has a positive correlation with consumers
purchase intentions. Spearman results correlate each
of the ten credibility items with purchase intentions
and also provides evidence that a positive relation
between all the items and purchase intentions is
present.
When comparing values of Pearson’s correlation
about credibility and purchase intentions, we find out
that despite being considered to be a higher credible
endorser, José Mourinho presents a lower correlation
level with purchase intentions. One of the possible
reasons is that the product endorsed by José
Mourinho is a bank and Paulo Futre endorses a drink
and if we take in consideration the age of the sample
used in the study, we may conclude that people
would prefer to buy a drink rather than a bank service
product. Also, banks have, in the present economic
situation, a negative image for most of consumers,
being the bank industry considered one of the most
important responsible stakeholders in this economic
downturn and this can be one of the reasons for José
Mourinho cannot overcome this trend.
4.3. Endorser’s attractiveness
To measure the impact of endorsers
attractiveness, two advertisements were shown. The
first one (less attractive) presented the actress Ana
Bola and the second one, also related with the same
product/brand, presented the actress Diana Chaves
(most attractive). A set of 5 items were used to
support the assessment to be made about the impact
of endorsers attractiveness in each advertisement.
Answers were given based on 7-point bi-polar
adjective scale.
The perception that respondents have about her
is that she is more (1) unattractive than attractive, (2)
ugly than beautiful, (3) not sexy than sexy, (4) not
classy than classy and (5) plain instead of elegant.
H3 aims to evaluate the relationship of
endorser’s attractiveness and purchase intentions. To
analyze this hypothesis, two stimuli were shown. As
regards to the first advertisement (Ana Bola
endorsing MultiOpticas, an optical company):
1. Pearson’s correlation shows that Ana Bola
attractiveness (mean of 5 items) and purchase
intentions (mean of 3 items) are positively
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
903
correlated. It is a medium correlation (ρ= 0.557)
and it could be concluded that the attractiveness
of the endorser does have a relationship with
consumers purchase intentions, which means that
H3 is not rejected.
2. Spearman’s correlation shows that there is a
positive correlation between all the items,
whether it is in terms of (1)
unattractive/attractive, (2) ugly/beautiful, (3) not
sexy/sexy, (4) not classy/classy or (5)
plain/elegant and purchase intentions, so
reinforcing the positive correlation presented by
Pearson’s value.
Regarding the second advertisement where
Diana Chaves appeared also endorsing MultiOpticas,
the same two analyses were done.
1. Pearson’s correlation shows that Diana Chaves
attractiveness (mean of 5 items) and purchase
intentions (mean of 3 items) are positively
correlated. It is a medium correlation (ρ= 0.517)
and it could be concluded that the attractiveness
of the endorser does have a relationship with
consumers purchase intentions, which means
once again that H3 is not rejected.
2. Spearman’s correlation present results between
each attractiveness item and purchase intentions
(mean of 3 items). Results presented shows that
there is a positive correlation between all the
items, whether it is in terms of (1)
unattractive/attractive, (2) ugly/beautiful, (3) not
sexy/sexy, (4) not classy/classy or (5)
plain/elegant and purchase intentions, so
reinforcing the positive correlation presented by
Pearson’s value.
4.4. Endorser’s Type
To analyze what type of evalution people make
about the type of endorser, that is to say, celebrity
versus non-celebrity, it has been developed a set of
five items that supported the assessment to be made
about it. Answers were given based on a 7-point
likert scale, where 1 = strongly disagree and 7 =
strongly agree.
It is clear that four out of five items have, on
average, an agreement trend and respondents disagree
with the remaining one. On balance respondents
agree with the idea that:
1. Ratings about the product are different from
advertisements that show a celebrity endorsing a
product, than those advertisements that do not.
2. Levels of attention are higher in advertisements
that show a celebrity endorsing a product, than
those advertisements that do not show a celebrity
endorsing a product.
3. Advertisements that show a celebrity endorsing a
product are more popular than advertisements
that show an anonymous person.
4. Advertisements with celebrities are more
favorable to remember than advertisements with
non-celebrity endorsers.
The last item, which linked quality and products
endorsed by celebrities, did not have on average, an
agreement among respondents, thus concluding that
products which are endorsed by celebrities may not
be of good quality and also that celebrity will not
increase product’s quality.
H4 aims to evaluate the relationship between the
type of endorser and purchase intentions. In terms of
correlation between the two variables, the results are
presented below:
1. Pearson’s correlation shows that there is a
positive and medium relationship between the
variable endorser type (mean of 5 items) and
purchase intentions (mean of 3 items) (ρ= 0.409),
thus allowing to conclude that H4 is not rejected.
2. Spearman’s correlation present results between
each endorser type item and purchase intentions
(mean of 3 items). Results show that there is a
positive correlation between all the items, so
reinforcing the positive correlation presented by
Pearson’s value.
4.5. Multiple endorsements
To analyze the multiple endorsement question, it
has been developed a set of four items that supported
the assessment to be made about the impact of more
than one celebrity in an advertisement. Answers were
given based on a 7-point likert scale, where 1 =
strongly disagree and 7 = strongly agree.
When analyzing the first two items: if the
presence of more than one celebrity in the
advertisement makes it (1) persuasive and (2)
convincing, it seems that, on average, respondents do
not agree. On the other hand, when they were asked if
the presence of more than one celebrity in the
advertisement makes it (3) appealing and (4)
dynamic, on average, respondents do agree.
H5, which aims to find out if there was any
relationship between multiple endorsements and
purchasing intentions.
1. According to Pearson’s correlation, there is
a positive and medium relationship between the
two variables (ρ= 0.555) and makes the
hypothesis H5 not rejected. It seems that when
an advertisement shows more than one celebrity
endorsing the product, it has a positive relation
with consumers purchase intentions.
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2. Spearman’s correlation present results
between each item of multiple endorsements
and purchase intentions (mean of 3 items).
Results show that there is a positive correlation
between the items: (1) persuasiveness, (2)
convincement, (3) appeal and (4) dynamism and
purchasing intentions, so reinforcing the
positive correlation presented by Pearson’s
value
4.6. Multiple product endorsement
On average, the answers to all the four items are
either neutral or slighty positive. The fact that a
celebrity endorser appears promoting many different
products does not change the respondents opinion, on
average, about (1) the advertisement and (2) celebrity
itself. In terms of trust about the celebrity when she
endorses more than on brand in a short period of
time, on average, it also follows a neutral pattern,
concluding that there is no great effect. However, on
balance, respondents do agree with the fact that when
a single celebrity endorses more than one brand, it is
not easy to remember all those endorsed brands.
To test the last hypothesis (H6), which aims to find
out if multiple product endorsement has a
relationship with consumers purchase intentions, two
correlations were used:
1. According to Pearson’s correlation, there is a
positive but weak relationship between the two
variables (ρ= 0.136). Despite this low
relationship, the hypothesis H6 is not rejected.
2. Spearman’s correlation aims to go deeper and
present results between each item of multiple
product endorsement and purchase intentions
(mean of 3 items). Results presented some
interesting findings based on the lack of
correlation between the next three items and
purchase intentions, that is to say, regardless the
level of agreement with the items, consumers
purchase intentions do not change.
“My opinion about the celebrity changes because she
endorsers many different products”.
“My level of trust about the celebrity changes
because she endorses more than one brand in a short
period of time”.
“My opinion about an advertisement changes when I
see the same celebrity endorsing many different
products”.
5. Conclusions
This study was designed to investigate how a set
of endorsers characteristics (i.e., gender, credibility,
attractiveness, type, multiple endorsements and
multiple product endorsement) would influence
consumers intention to purchase a product, being this
understanding important for economy, having in
consideration that, better company results imply
better economic indicators.
All the correlations presented in the study,
indicate that there was a positive relationship
between the dependent variables and consumers
purchasing intentions. This indicates that higher
scores in those dependent variables lead to higher
purchasing intentions.
One of the first purposes of this study tried to
find any relationship between endorser’s gender and
consumers purchasing intentions. In order to avoid
unbiased results, it was used a neutral product – ice
cream – so no gender tendency would exist. The
respective research hypothesis was considered to be
valid, showing a positive and moderate correlation
between the two variables.
Previously studies that analyzed endorser’s
gender resulted in multiple ideas: endorser’s gender
does not significantly influence consumer attitudes
toward products (Freiden, 1984) and endorser’s
gender significantly influences consumer attitudes
toward products (Boyd and Shank, 2004).
Findings from the study also concluded that there
was a relationship between the endorser and the
consumer, particularly in what regards the use of a
female endorser and male respondents answers,
stressing that males do agree more in all the gender
items. Previous studies reinforce this output and
pointed out that consumers respond differently to
female celebrity endorsers than to male celebrity
endorsers and ads featuring female celebrities were
evaluated more favorably (Klaus and Bailey, 2008).
Furthermore, it was found that attractive female
models generated superior attitudes than attractive
male models across both genders but particularity
among males.
It was also tested the relationship between
the product – ice cream – and the use of a female
endorser. It was found that the female endorser was
considered to create interest on the product, however
the level of agreement was not too strong.
Contradicting this last finding, respondents stated that
if instead of a female celebrity endorser there would
be a male one, their evaluation about the product and
motivation to the ad would not be different, which
makes this relationship inconclusive. Mishra et al.
(2001) also examined the relationship of three neutral
products and male and female endorsers. They found
that there was no interaction between the gender of
the endorser and the gender of the respondent
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
905
regarding the likelihood of purchase, and attitude
toward the ads.
H2 meant to explore the relationship
between endorser’s credibility and consumers
purchase intentions and despite presenting a moderate
but positive correlation its final findings were not
totally in accordance with the previous studies.
The majority of the research done about
credibility states that an endorser, who has the key
credibility source factors, is able to increase
considerably the purchase intentions of the consumer
(Till and Shimp, 1998). Additionally, it is supported
the idea that using credible endorsers and their
personal sources may be a way to bring higher levels
of believability into an advertising message
(Erdogan, 2006), once it has been shown that they are
able to increase and influence consumers purchase
intentions (Ohanian, 1991).
Surprisingly, this study does not support all
the results from the literature. José Mourinho, who is
considered to have higher levels of credibility,
appeared in the first advertisement endorsing a bank
service. In the second advertisement appeared Paulo
Futre who is considered to be less credible, endorsed
a drink called Licor Beirão. According to the
literature review José Mourinho should enhance
purchase intentions due to his credibility scores.
In the study of Ohanian (1991) one of the
major conclusions was that the perceived expertise of
a celebrity in the eyes of the consumers is more
important in explaining purchase intentions and
carries more persuasiveness rather than their
attractiveness and trustworthiness. When analyzing
the results obtained from Spearman’s correlation
(José Mourinho versus Paulo Futre) it can be
concluded that for all the items of expertise, Paulo
Futre presented higher values, what can be part of a
possible explanation. Other possible explanation is
the fact that José Mourinho is endorsing a bank,
which has – the overall industry – a negative image in
the eyes of the market, being this sector considered
guilty for most of the economic situation people live
nowadays in Europe and several other developed
countries. Financial institutions were in the genesis of
the crisis that led to the current recession. The
environment we live in has been shaped by the
undisputable force of a perfect storm that can be
dated from 2007: the Great Recession. With its
genesis in the United States, it resulted from a
combination of complex events including the U.S.
housing boom, the subprime MBS (mortgage-backed
securities) bubble and the deregulation of OTC (over-
the-counter) derivatives. Such explosive cocktail
would later reveal that it was unable to contain itself
within American land – it would be only a matter of
time until it crossed borders. Globalization worked as
a catalyst that quickly spread it throughout the planet
like wildfire: austerity, high levels of household debt,
trade imbalances, high unemployment, failure of key
businesses and the bailout by national governments
of banks – the same institutions which through
excessive borrowing, risky investments and lack of
transparency.
Additionally, further research done about
credibility supports the theory that highly credible
sources are more persuasive than less credible ones,
but only under certain conditions (Mc Guire, 1985;
Kamins, 1990). This idea finds its basis in the
cognitive response theory which claims that social
influence depends on a message recipient’s initial
opinion (Friedman and Friedman, 1979).
Theoretically, a source lacking credibility can be
more persuasive than a high credible source if
individuals have a positive predisposition towards the
message. With this study, this theory finds here one
additional empirical finding, once that the product
endorsed by Paulo Futre is much more targeted to the
range of ages of the sample than the product
promoted by José Mourinho. In this case, the
recipient’s initial opinion about a bank is worst than a
drink.
H3, which explored the relationship between
attractiveness and consumers purchasing intentions
was also valid and presented a moderate correlation
in both advertisements. According to Erdogan (2006)
there is no coincidence on most advertisements using
attractive people once consumers tend to form
positive stereotypes about such people. In addition,
research has proven that physically attractive
communicators are more successful at changing
beliefs (Temperley and Tangen, 2006; Al Zoubi and
Bataineh, 2011; Alsmadi, 2006; Debevec and Keman,
1984) and generating purchasing intentions
(Friedman and Friedman, 1979; Amos et al., 2008)
than their unattractive counterparts.
Findings from this study contradict previous
authors, since the endorser who is considered to be
less attractive obtained higher levels of purchasing
intentions. Contrary to what happened in the
credibility question, the product being endorsed in
these two shown advertisements was the same,
however the content of both ads were different from
each other and consumers might get involved in
different ways. In the advertisement of Diana Chaves
(attractive endorser), respondents could read that
when buying a pair of eyeglasses, they would receive
a second pair as an offer and in the second ad the
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
906
main message was that when buying a pair of
eyeglasses, consumers would receive a discount
equal to their age (i.e. 25 years old = 25% discount).
One of the possible reasons to explain the results is
that consumers would prefer to have a discount,
especially in the economic scenario in which we are
living, rather than getting an extra pair of eyeglasses,
which could be unnecessary.
Additionally, Erdogan (2006) also stated
that attractiveness is not merely based on physical
attributes and that there are other virtuous
characteristics that receivers may perceive in
endorser intellectual skills, personality properties or
lifestyle characteristics. Empirically, Diana Chaves is
physically much more attractive than Ana Bola and
this idea gets more power if we take a look into the
sample’s range of age due to the fact that Ana Bola
has much more influence in elder generations and
Diana Chaves in younger’s one.
Another possible reason is that there might
exist a relationship between the endorser
attractiveness and credibility. Eisend (2006) tested if
the physical attractiveness of endorsers would have a
positive relationship with endorser’s credibility and
her conclusion was that attractive endorsers received
statistically significantly lower ratings of endorser
credibility than unattractive endorsers. Thus, despite
having a greater influence power next to younger
generations, Diana Chaves might be seen as a less
credible endorser and as a consequence the
purchasing intentions on the products she endorses
are lower.
In terms of the benefits of using celebrities
rather than non-celebrities to endorse the products,
findings of this study didn’t reach the desired
precision due to failures on the construction of the
questionnaire. However, results were in accordance
with some of the literature.
Endorser’s type presented a positive and
moderate relationship with consumers purchasing
intentions, which means that the hypothesis was
valid. Despite agreeing positively with the majority
of the purposed endorser’s type items, respondents
did not show a remarkable tendency in their answers,
in particular as regards to the questions about
attitudes toward the ads and also attitudes towards the
products endorsed by celebrities. Respondents saw
simultaneously two advertisements promoting the
same product and the same brand: the first ad
contained a celebrity and the second did not. In fact,
respondents slightly agree with the fact that their
evaluations about the product would be different
from the ad with a celebrity to the other. It reinforced
the theory supported by previous studies, which
argues that when a consumer observes messages from
two different brands, one containing a celebrity
endorsing a product and the other not, believes the
celebrity-endorsed product will have more purchases
(Biswas and O’Donnell (2009). This increasing
tendency on purchasing intentions is also related with
the fact that celebrity endorsers were found to be
more trustworthy, competent and slightly more
attractive than non-celebrity endorsers, as it is stated
by Kahle and Homer (1985).
It also proved that there exists a relation
between ads containing celebrities and attitudes
towards the ad and product. Respondents do agree
with the idea that when an advertisement contains a
celebrity it becomes more popular, easier to
remember or even that it can stuck their attention.
These findings are not aligned with some of past
studies, which shows that using a well-known
celebrity as an endorser could help to improve the
subjects rating of the commercial (Rashid and
Nallamuthu 2002). Furthermore, Silvera and Austad
(2004) also stated that using celebrities to endorse a
product enhances positive advertising ratings and
product evaluations.
However respondents agree with the idea
that products being endorsed by celebrities might not
be of good quality, reinforcing the idea that despite
having a well-known person promoting the product
there isn’t a transfer of perceived quality into the
product, which might go against the idea of
McCraken (1989) who argued that celebrities have
the capability to deliver meanings of extra depth,
power, subtlety and also offers a range of lifestyle
and personality which cannot be matched by
anonymous people.
The use of more than one celebrity in an
advertisement proved to have a positive relationship
with consumers purchasing intentions and their
attitude towards the ad seems to be different. In this
research question it was used once again an
advertisement, which was showing a bank service
and respondents agree with the fact that the ad
becomes more dynamic and appealing that is aligned
with previous studies. Those have concluded that
when using more than one celebrity in a campaign,
the consumer has a positive impact on attitude toward
the advertisement, attitude toward brand and
purchase intentions (Saleem, 2007). Furthermore, Um
(2008a, 2008b) also concluded that this technique
would help the advertisers to reduce the boredom of
the ad. However, the use of multiple endorsements
did not proved to be worthwhile if practionners want
to make the ad more convincing or more persuasive.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
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Finally, despite that fact the same celebrity
appears endorsing more than one product/brand, it
has got a positive but weak relationship with
consumers purchasing intentions.
Findings from this study, present evidence
that respondents agree with the idea that when the
same celebrity endorsers several different brands, the
phenomenon of overexposure occurs and makes the
consumer confused and unable to recall correctly all
the endorsed brands.
Past research on multiple product endorsements
(Mc Cracken, 1985; Zahat and Anderson, 2008)
suggest that it does negatively affect consumers
assessment of the endorser's trustworthiness, brand
image and ad evaluations, however respondents of
this study showed to be totally indifferent to those
aspects.
5.1. Future research
Further research on this topic should include the
usage of qualitative studies because such tool can be
helpful on obtaining consumers thoughts and beliefs
from varied angles. Despite having used a
quantitative approach to collect data for this study,
qualitative studies such as semi-structured interviews
and focus group would also enable researchers to
probe answers and enrich the understanding of the
research questions.
Alsmadi (2006), Chen and Huddleston (2009)
and Biswas and O’Donnell (2009) noted that source
characteristics are more persuasive when they appear
in television ads than in print ads. Despite making the
questionnaire too exhaustive, it would be interesting
to present TV advertisements, not only due to sources
characteristics but also to the overall dynamism that it
would bring into the analysis. Another possibility
would be the use of those TV ads as the content of
the focus groups.
Finally, the Meaning Transfer Model by
McCracken (1989) needs to be analyzed with greater
depth. Study on how the meaning is transferred from
the celebrity to the product, reasons on how the
media selects such celebrities and how consumers are
attracted towards their attributes and what in turn
leads to buying behavior can also be investigated.
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Organization Design Redefinition Using Design
Thinking David Lamelas+, José Lamelas#, José Filipe*
+Nova School of Business & Economic, Portugal [email protected]
#Universidade Lusófona de Humanidades e Tecnologias - ULHT, CPES, Portugal
*Lisbon University Institute ISCTE-IUL, BRU-IUL, Portugal
Abstract - This paper intends to present and discuss
some concepts and methods in the area of organization
design, showing how a new vision can bring a significant
upgrading to the classical methodologies. In this case it
is demonstrated how classical design and design
thinking can be used in organizational design theories to
create an organization design to be applied to different
kind of organizations. The implementation of these
techniques have already been implemented by the
researchers in terms of a practical way to some different
projects in different economic sectors (tourism sector,
wine industries, design companies and non
governmental organizations). The present case is
referred to the first implementation, an experimental
application to a social project in a NGO - “Bairro
Criativo” - with interesting results.
Keywords – Classical design, design thinking
organization design, engineering-based organization
design, design-based organization design, simplicity,
beauty, functionality, sustainable, contextual information,
users-oriented, co-creation, mutation, integrative and
participative processes.
1. Introduction
The idea of an organization design is not merely
mapping out an organizational structure. It involves
an additional perspective about the way the
organization is associated with many other aspects,
since the users (co-workers and clients), governance,
functions, processes, strategies that coexist in the
organization and the general context and environment
the organization faces.
By the end of the 19th century, organization
theory art and the classical design art have known
considerable changes in the way they were
conceived. Since the accomplishments of Frederick
Taylor in the area of organization design, with a
strong engineering characteristic, later the fit on
human systems was added and significant
improvements were obtained.
Going back on the organizations history it can
be seen that, in some companies, old theories and
beliefs survived in terms of organization theories
appliance. In fact, all organizations are guided by a
management doctrine which reflects basic values.
Considering some illustrations, it can be said, for
instance, that for the first administrative doctrine (the
military) there was a maxim: “do this or die”; for a
contemporary doctrine (eg. Henry Ford) the principle
was: all what we ask men is that they do the work,
which is set before and which implies “being fired is
better than being shot... ”.
More sophisticated doctrines are needed when
meaningful and fulfilling work for organization’s
employees is the organization central goal. Doctrine
and attitudes affect the morale, the performance and,
more importantly, the organizational culture. Each
organization’s doctrine remains in force until
technological and situational changes make the
organization’s adaptations less useful and render the
organization incompetent.
It is central to say that organizational culture
affects the overall competence (or incompetence) of
an organization.
In general, organization theories alternated
between a more “rational” view, more focused on the
functions and results (economist), and a more
“normative” view, more focused on the importance of
human relations (humanistic - psychology and
sociology).
Despite this, the different schools in the
management theories area are similar to a “jungle”
with braiding trees that are rarely seen as a totality
(Koontz, 1961, 1966).
____________________________________________________________________________________ International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance & Economic Sciences IJLTFES, E-ISSN: 2047-0916 Copyright © ExcelingTech, Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
911
In the following figure, we highlight six major
theories that currently coexist in the literature in this
area:
Theory Period Type
Scientific
management
1900 - 1923 Rational
Human relations 1923 - 1955 Affective
Systemic rationalism 1955 - 1980 Rational
Organizational culture 1980 - 1993 Affective
Radical rationalism
(Re-engineering and
others)
1993 – 2000 Rational
New Trends: Design
thinking
2000 - ? Integrative sharing
and big data
management
This figure is based on Cunha (2006). Since about the year 2000,
there is a tendency that allows us to emphasize the existing
tendency of organizational design based on processes that integrate
people and various different elements, as described in the text.
The so-called “classical theories” of
management may be presented as follows:
the “scientific management”, especially
represented by F. Taylor (1856-1915) and H.
Ford (1863–1947),
the “administrative management”, especially
represented by H. Fayol (1841-1925) and
the “bureaucratic management”, especially
represented by Max Weber (1864-1920).
All these theories have a mechanistic view of the
human person and are concerned with the increase of
the work efficiency. In this research paper we call it
as the “Engineering-based Organization Design” -
let’s label it as EOD.
In opposition, we will label the new trends on
organization design, based on design thinking as
“Design-based Organization Design” - let’s label it as
DOD.
Taylorism denounces the causes of worker
inefficiency and presents the management as a “true
science” by applying the principles of mechanics
(down to top). By its turn, Fordism added the
assembly line and vertical and horizontal integration,
in order to reduce the unproductive cycles.
The underlying philosophy of scientific
management lies on the following principles:
the rationalization makes the work less hard
and more productive;
all people are rational;
people understand the work only as an
economic enterprise.
The principles of scientific work organization
can be presented as the following ones:
leaders plan, workers perform;
division of labor in sub-tasks;
maximum efficiency (“one best way”);
selection and training of scientific workers
(right person, right place);
train people to be effective;
tight supervision of the performance of
workers.
With the same goal (efficiency), the Fayolism
focuses on the six basic functions of management, as
follows:
technical,
commercial,
security,
financial,
accounting,
administrative;
and on the four basic administrative functions:
planning
organizing
directing
controlling.
Finally, the bureaucratic management of Max
Weber has also a rationalist view of man. It
prescribes strict and disciplinary precepts for the
effective performance of the individual and of the
organization.
Elton Mayo marks the beginning regarding the
human factor at work, not with many moral and
humanistic concerns to improve the worker but with
concerns to improve working conditions and also to
increase efficiency (a classics heritage). The previous
logic remains mainly in the improvement of
productivity.
The Hawthorne heritage remains today, namely:
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
912
in the importance of considering people
themselves and not just the effectiveness and
efficiency;
in the idea of social man;
in the participation of workers;
in the leader as a key element in the moral
and job satisfaction group.
It is in this school that the organizational
behavior (the organizations psycho-sociology), the
human resources management, the holistic co-
leadership and even the DOD are rooted.
With systemic rationalism (Herbert Simon and
others) a rationalist and mechanistic view of the
human person is back. The affective component is
replaced by the cognitive science. Engineering
predominates again. The organization is a processing
machine information. The mind as a “digital
computer” becomes the conceptual model of human
thought. Employees are considered as rational beings,
nearly an automatic machine, whose behavior is
foreseen. The schools of management and business
are in favour of operational research, statistics,
finance and accounting. This proves that “the
organization’s vision as a machine is deeply rooted in
western management, from Taylor to Simon” (Pina e
Cunha, 2006).
With the advent of organizational culture (G.
Hofstede, Pascal and Athos, T. Peters, etc.) the
concern for the human factor at work is back. “The
organization’s human side occupies the stage again”
(Pina e Cunha, 2006). The influence of the success of
Japanese companies questioned the Systemic
Rationalism and brought back the emotional
component. The systemic thought reduces the loyalty
and the commitment of people and removes the
necessary flexibility to the organizations in a
changing world that needs the existence of committed
people.
With the coming of this new millennium, we
have evolved to models that integrate, as are the co-
leadership models, the holistic management, the
integrative management, the participative
management, the multidisciplinary teams, the
multifunctional teams, the change management, the
holacracy.
These innovative trends (which we can even
consider revolutionary) can be witnessed by
researchers and authors such as Heenan and Bennis
(1999), Zohar and Marshal (2000), Endenburg
(1998), or Robertson (2007). In these models, the
design has a fundamental function, because with it
there is the knowledge to integrate all the elements.
Today there is a stream of researches that point
to the need of considering people as beings with
various facets: cognitive / rational, emotional and
spiritual. That is to say, there is a unique organization
design that fits and serve the good performance of
any different organization and each group of co-
workers in the organization. Design thinking allows
the process in order to find that there is a unique
organization design for the needs of any organization.
“Professional managers often resort to mimicking the
‘best practices’ of their industry as a preferred course
of action. Around this idea, it is possible to cite the
management maxim: ‘don’t reinvent the wheel’, even
though reinventing the wheel might be precisely what
a situation calls for” (Boland et al, 2008).
Considering the evolution of organizations and
new visions for management, today there are valued
topics, such as the concepts of democratic
organization, corporate social responsibility, friend
company family (best places to work), healthy
organizations, virtuous organization, enlightened
organization, or spirituality in the workplace.
Although the engineering organizational design
had evolved with the human resources approach and
useful management tools, there are constraints for
generating new and different ideas (as is defended by
Boland and Collopy, 2004).
The models that resulted from the School of
Humanities and Human Resources often may not
have a proper basis to be able to have the expected
effect. This means that they continue to survive in an
organizational basis, being designed and inspired
considering the old hierarchical organizational model
designed by Taylor and his followers.
At the same time there is the classical design,
which is practiced since the 16th century1. Depending
also on the human sense, on social, cultural,
economic, political, technical and aesthetic aspects,
the classical design evolved to an extreme functional
and engineering design during the Industrial
Revolution. The design was supposed to be mainly
functional, the object or process mainly had to serve
its objective.
1 It was practised in a very small scale, for example in royal
furniture and architecture design to ornament the high society class
of that time.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
913
Unlike the existence of EOD, the Classical
Design continued to mutate pro-actively and
massively throughout the market. Over the recent
decades, some strong design histories changed with
matters of concern like education levels, society
models, class, gender, postcolonial, voluntarism, new
crisis, aesthetics, economics and ecology, which have
contributed to new ways of understanding the world
mode of organization and the way it configures
around us today, persecuting to give people what they
really need and look for, according to their own
objectives.
In truth, EOD hardly seems to have evolved in
practice. Even though several studies have shown
considerable development frameworks responding to
the new needs of society and ecology (for example
through the School of Human Resources in general
and Human Resources Management). The fact is that
these theories are far from being usually implemented
in the market and are distant from being massively
applied, contrarily to what happens with design
theories.
Just late in time, science got interested in
improving organization design, using the classical
design approach in all business dimensions (see
Boland and Collopy, 2004). As presented before, this
may be called “Design-based Organization Design”
(DOD).
This paper focus on this new approach. By
experimenting the development of this idea,
formulating methods and interfaces that can be useful
not just to create a DOD method, but also to use it in
a DOD interface (an outcome of a design thinking
process and method applied to the organization
design creation and mutation). This is not just and
exclusively relevant for the organization design
practitioners but also for non-organization designer
users. This means that the design is not just to create
whatever be - because it is an evidence that “design is
everywhere” (Peters, 1994).
Based on the aforementioned, in this paper not
only a method for the conception and creation of an
organizational design is presented, but it is also
showed how an organizational design can be created
by using the design thinking, the design methods and
the principles and fundamental bases of a classic
design.
There is a good and very interesting definition about
design and organizational design paradox: “By it self,
design is an empty vessel waiting to be filled with
people, meanings, and actions… it is a dead form
that as no life or energy itself… Yet on the other
hand, it creates everything since the organizational
design will have a fundamental framing effect on
people’s expectations and perceptions, setting the
context for the organizing activity – the social
construction of roles and relationships – through
which structure is enacted” (Bate, Khan and Pye,
2000).
Considering this, design methods take the user into
account because they were created to serve users. For
example to mediate and guide the achievement of the
expected outcome, design methods use internal and
external boundaries, meanings, values, sense, actions
and the minimum of rules instead of strict processes
used on the EOD design; that is, sometimes they are
aggravated by the fact that those processes on the
EOD are created by technocrats, being far away from
the operation and so they don’t know and think on
what users need.
This research follows a research action process,
“…a participatory, democratic process concerned
with developing practical knowing in pursuit of
worthwhile human purposes, grounded in a
participatory worldview… It seeks to bring together
action and reflection, theory and practice, in
participation with others, in the pursuit of practical
solutions to issues of pressing concern to people, and
more generally the flourishing of individual persons
and their communities” (Reason and Bradbury,
2001)
2. Creation Methodology for
Organizational Design
In this research, the creation methodology is
used considering Tim Brown2’s products
development methods in IDEO (Brown, 2008).
2 The CEO and president of a large innovation and design firm
called IDEO.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
914
Figure 1 The three spaces: Inspiration, Ideation, Implementation.
It consists of 3 main spaces:
Inspiration, that motivates the search for
solutions and creates opportunity;
Ideation, which is the process of generating,
prototyping, developing and testing that may
lead to solutions;
Implementation, for the Charting of the path
to the market.
In this circular method, as can be seen later,
projects may loop back frequently, mainly to the
inspiration and ideation spaces, since ideas are
redefined and projects take other directions different
from the initial design project. However, for this
research we enriched and developed this method by
making a framework and the representation of one
design space (Figure 2), a generator and a test of
DOD interfaces for different organization designs.
Figure 2: Framework for the Design-Based Organization
Design (inspired in Brown, 2008)
This way the methodology followed to create
DOD interfaces was a design process that generates
design outcomes in the design space (the process on
the top of Figure 2), and filled it with the design
components (at the bottom of Figure 2). For a better
understanding, we can view design methods from a
chemical and biological language perspective, i.e. by
viewing the outcome solution as a chemical solution,
where the design space is a “solvent”, the circular
processes and the design components are the
“reagents”.
As can be seen, first there is the inspiration
space, which motivates the search for unique
solutions. In this stage it is important to understand
the problem and create questions. Sometimes the
extreme solutions or jokes help to create an
opportunity for creativity. In this space, together with
the participants that collaborated in this work project,
we studied the words, found what is the business
sense, what were the business constraints, where the
opportunities were, what has changed or may change
in a near future within the organization and on the
external environment. We also observed what people
did, how they thought, what they needed and wanted.
Since two of the projects in the complete research
were located on the middle of the nature (on national
natural parks), being the nature the main inspiration3.
In this stage we often use examples to communicate.
For instance, after working for two days with a future
Eco Hotel administrator, co-workers and designers,
we were talking about the way to make an Eco Hotel
more sustainable. To get a solution, since there were
functional and beautiful synergies, we suggested that
we could put some strong ecology values or even a
NGO or a foundation in the middle of the
organization.
However, it is important to notice that this
inspiration space was never abandoned. It was a
constant state of mind which was also supported by
the diversity of activities that were being experienced
during the work project. For this purpose, some of the
members of the team participated in many real
projects, conferences, exhibitions, travels and design
museums in several countries to learn more about
design but also to take some ideas from what each
member learned. This gave the team a lot of
inspiration and the opportunity to explore this theme
abroad and the possibility to learn about other
3 Actually somehow nature can show us all the patterns that exist.
In one of the projects we even inspired and putted permaculture ethics and principles in everything we do and in the centre of the
organization.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
915
organizations with some alternative organization
designs that are less known because of their small
dimensions. However, they have really been made to
XXI century people.
Secondly, there is the ideation space, which is
the process of generating, in a very fast and rough
way, the prototyping, the developing and the testing
phase, that may lead to solutions. At this space, we
used brainstorming, made many sketches, mixed
existent scenarios to reach, finally, a few number of
ideal solutions. Consequent creative frameworks
were built, as order out of chaos was got, using the
main principles of design and instruments (bottom of
Figure 2) serving as boundaries to the creative space.
It was noticed that these boundaries had a huge
impact in this method. The team applied integrative
thinking, put users and customers in the midst of
everything and also described their journeys and
experiences. In this part, it was very important to
engage in developing and codifying the external
elements (bottom of Figure 2) what helped to align
the organization theory and DOD methodology. After
this process, some more elements were prototyped
and refined until the part of testing in which the Van
Akens´s Alpha/Beta test interface was followed.
“Alpha testing involves the initial development of a
design proposition, and is done by the researchers
themselves through a series of cases. Subsequently,
Beta testing is a kind of replication research done by
third parties to get more objective evidence as well as
to counteract any blind spots or flows in the design
proposition not acknowledged by the researchers”
(Van Aken, 2001, cited in Romme, 2003). The testing
space of this work project was made by comparison
with other project results with which the team was
working, through interviews and focus groups. The
team created and tested a DOD interface of an Eco
Hotel with design methods. The results were tested
with users, in the voluntary program called “Bairro
criativo”4 (“Creative Quarter” - described below)
created and coordinated by one of the authors of this
paper.
During the brainstorming where decisions
should work fast, the team used a minimal testing
process by testing mainly four boundaries of the
prototype, which - as referred before - are considered
the four big buzzwords and principles of the design:
4 “Bairro Criativo” is a voluntary program from an NGO for
development called AHEAD (Associação Humanitária para a
Educação e Apoio ao Desenvolvimento), an entrepreneurial voluntary organization of NOVA University, which came from
PUMAP (Programa de Universitários em Maputo).
functionality, beauty, simplicity and sustainability
(from now on, the FBSS test).
The third space is the Pre-Design based
Organization Design (Pre-DOD), which means a
final prototype conception that will be the guidance
to the implementation phase. Without this pre-design,
implementation can easily fall into chaos. This way,
in this space a fledged DOD interface is created to
serve that purpose and to put everybody on the track
to the final design. Two good effects on prototyping
result from materializing and observing the big
picture in less time, being possible to change it later
for improvements. For example, sometimes it is only
possible to see the existence of problems or
opportunities when we actually see and materialize
the prototype. In fact, there are things that are
difficult to see in the ideation stage where everything
is still very rough. Most of the projects and
organizations that the team helped and in which
participated have achieved this space.
The fourth space is Implementation, which is the
path to the market and DOD action in the field. This
step happened thanks to the growing interest of the
interviewees that experienced the DOD.
The final space is Post Design, which is
characterized by conducting field studies and tests of
the DOD in use (of the prototype or of the final
implemented DOD), to obtain data for new versions
or to improve the quality of the DOD based on new
features.
Therefore since this design methodology has a
circular design, whenever we have new resources, or
either new opportunities or yet new constraints, the
process may loop to the initial moment, “inspiration”,
and it is possible to restart again the design
methodology that was created and is reflected on
figure 2.
A very important characteristic of DOD
framework is the possibility of filling since the
beginning this design vessel or process with some
guidance or boundaries like the ones that were used
in DOD experimental tests (at the bottom of figure
1): users (resulting in the question: who and where
are the users or potential users?), the contextual
information (by posing the questions: are we here for
what? Where are we? When?) and the main design
principles referred previously, which are:
Functionality (it serves the purpose); Beauty (people
love it); Simplicity (everyone understands);
Sustainability (it must integrate time and prosper in
time taking into account ecology, sociology and
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
916
economy), that is to say FBSS test (functionality,
beauty, simplicity and sustainability).
3. The case of DOD interface in
“Bairro Criativo”
3.1 Concept
This project refers to the social inclusion
through a musical cultural training, creativity
development, cognitive development, behavioural
and emotional development of children and
adolescents from social and economically
disadvantaged neighbourhoods (at Bairro da Boavista
– Lisbon suburbs).
We wanted to make a very personalized
volunteering program for the worst cases in terms of
behaviour in the explanatory program of the same
NGO for Development occurring in the same place.
3.2 Target population
The first target population that we chose were
children and young people from 13 to 15 years old,
who had creative skills and some behaviour problems
in another volunteering program of the same NGO,
where they had been receiving private lessons since
2006.
3.3 Activity plan
The plan is to
to perform a dynamic group/team to
promote cooperation, communication and
trust among Bairro Criativo “family”
members;
to perform a number of different workshops
to give the necessary knowledge and
technology to create the music for one song;
to allow the participants’ self-achievement
through the composition and production (on
a CD) of one song made by each of them.
3.4 History
The project emerged, based on a particular and
personal “dream” of one of the authors of this paper,
to create a volunteering program related to music and
education. As he had already worked and coordinated
for 2 years some volunteering programs in this NGO,
called AHEAD (the biggest NGO of Nova School of
Business & Economic, Portugal), he knew that it
would be easy to get support and management
freedom for doing it.
The first step was quite hard, based on
uncertainty. After having everything together, he
quickly made a prototype of the operational viability
and started to speak with people who could be
interested in this musical project and people he
wanted in his team. He scanned through the
neighbourhood population to see their needs and
skills related to creativity and music. After knowing
who would be the children that would participate, the
resources needed, the resources he had and the DOD
interface that he was interested in testing, he
concluded that this project would fit perfectly to a
volunteering program like “Bairro Criativo”.
However he knew that some adjustments or deep
changes could emerge since he wanted to respect
users and contextual information reality. He made it
with a volunteer, who has worked with him before,
who was specialized in forensic psychology. He
wanted this member would be his co-coordinator in
this project. In three weeks, they made a work team
(some months after it was called “family”) with eight
people, around his age, having different backgrounds
and being also from different social backgrounds.
The team had these disciplines: management,
psychology, law, musicians and music producers.
Since then the team created their project all together
from the basic prototype he designed, which was
applauded by all the members of the group (because
some adjustments were made), saying that it was the
best representation of “our” organization. They
rebuilt, adapted and implemented it in one month.
With meetings, chats and emails, they used the DOD
methods and debated the prototypes of the necessary
documents to the NGO, and at the same time, they
designed another document to make the promotion
outside the NGO. These documents would be the
official ones that would show their intentions, how to
put them into practice and who they were. Moreover,
those documents encouraged the team to create,
prototype and implement their organization with the
DOD methods (figure 2).
3.5 DOD in the “Creative Quarter”
The team first started to question words like
creativity, learning, voluntary, family, music,
education, workshops, classes, neighbourhood,
children, … They also talked about children’s
educational experiences and their family lives.
Finally lots of ideas appeared, which would be
managed, mixed, put in the “waiting list” or affected
directly to someone that would be responsible for
implementing them. For example each workshop
(that happened before the music production), was
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
917
performed by the person who had the skill to teach
that subject. That person would be the coordinator of
the workshop of that week, making each
departmental space (the circles around the central co-
coordination) working with his own processes.
Besides that at the same time this person had to
coordinate other volunteers, including the co-
coordination (the “general direction” figure), because
the team established that all the workshops would be
very personalized and there would be, more or less, a
volunteer’s support per student to help in the games5
and to give “our” “brand mark” to volunteer work in
this educational area. In other words instead of
making a mass educational program with 20 or 30
children, the team chose 8 specific problematic
children/adolescents. The group gave them a
premium and personalized service to make a
profound revolution on their lives, since the team
were 8 volunteers giving that personal monitoring,
being 2 of them skilled psychologists and supporting
everyone.
Following the DOD framework (Figure 2:
Framework for the Design-Based Organization
Design) some principles started to be integrated. All
members of the teamwork presented the principles
and values they wanted.
The yellow little balls in the first DOD interface
presented below are the points the team thought it
would be the principal activity, meeting and most
important control points.
The values they chose were: cooperation,
cohesion, creativity, mutual help, empathy, trust,
responsibility, optimism, entrepreneurship,
multidiscipline and diversity, personalized and
familiar environment.
Then the team refined the prototype again and
its final result was the DOD interface below, which
works well in small teams. Volunteers were
positioned in a very democratic work practice and
arranged according to their skills and emotional
connections.
Skills of each volunteer
Number of people with this
skill
Positioning
Master in management
1 Coordination, production,
5 It was the name the team gave to exercices.
Skills of each volunteer
Number of people with this
skill
Positioning
workshops.
Finalist in the Forensic Psychology Master and graduated in law
1 Coordination, workshops & group dynamics, psychologist and law.
Finalist in educational psychology Master
1 Workshops & group dynamics, psychologist, dance, percussion.
Degree in management
2 Workshops, percussion.
Degree in law 2 Workshops, Jazz.
Musicians 5 Hip hop, percussions, jazz, rock, pop, workshops.
Music producers 4 Productions, workshops.
Dance professor 1 Outsourcing.
Virtual total 17 Skills distributed and integrated through the organization design.
After 3 sessions in the field the team perceived
that the DOD interface was already implemented and
operating. But the team also noticed that this DOD
interface was mutating and what they planned at the
beginning was not what was happening in reality
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
918
when they were already operating. Therefore in the
middle of this project the team made this
phenomenon of change in team’s DOD interface and
a more real representation was drawn about their
organization, as follows:
The changes were mainly on the area of
“psychologists and law” where the needs of
intervention increased and because that area was the
one with the biggest performance and participation.
Contrarily to what could be expected, the co-
coordination (green colour) also moved down to this
“psychologist and law” approach. Since the
beginning, the team thought it would move up to the
music and production area, but that didn’t happen.
That is why the “hip hop, percussion and jazz” has a
form directing outside in the second picture. This
means that it has to move, or in the future, it will be
taken away, change positioning or substituted. The
“dance” area was outsourced because it deviated from
our music purpose and because we didn’t have those
skills inside the organization, this way being
separated from the organization, and being managed
directly by the “workshop and group dynamic” area.
At the same time, the points of control (the yellow
little balls in the first DOD interface) disappeared
because we didn’t need them, since our values
overruled that. This way all the activity, control and
decisions were made and discussed by everyone at
the interception of all the balls (departmental areas)
of the DOD interface in the second DOD interface of
“Bairro Criativo” (look at the centre of the DOD
interface where all the circles and forms intercept
each other).
At this moment of change, all the users assumed
that this DOD interface was a very useful tool,
considered as “our” body, because of its organic and
dynamic characteristic.
Additionally the vertical red bar - that we see in
this DOD interface, separating the NGO AHEAD and
the program “Bairro Criativo” - represents the
operational freedom given by the NGO AHEAD to
the “Bairro Criativo” project, creating at the same
time a political relationship between the two parts.
The author of this paper who intervened in the
project and who was central in the project conception
and development also observed that the first five
people who made part of the project from the
beginning became presently the ones more effective
and motivated; also the ones who performed
“impossible tasks” in troubled times. Those who
entered in the middle of the process were more aside
of all the decisions and of the processes “we created
to ourselves” inside the group. However, they state:
“we want to go every week, because we want to be
integrated in this family spirit, but we don’t have
energy to participate in this project like you”.
Everybody loved this organization design since
it suited perfectly the creative and volunteering
environment. The team worked like a multi
disciplinary team where each skill was respected. So
in most cases there were no centralized decisions.
Important values, as it is the case of equality, came
out. Everyone understood the idea and culture on the
project. Moreover, it was quite functional, though
they often felt it was necessary some time to take
decisions. However, these decisions were better and,
no doubt, more appreciated by all, only possible
because it was a very small organization. For
example if it was a big organization, one of the
improvements of this organization design could have
been the usage of some sociocracy and holacracy
processes and structures, that could have facilitate
this decision and elections processes (that is why we
used and inspired on this sociocracy and holacracy
knowledge on the bigger projects we created after
this “Bairro Criativo” first project and experiment).
On one of last team sessions about the
integration and discussion about the DOD interface
of “Bairro Criativo”, we discussed it again and the
final result was that not only they understood other
different DOD interface we was working on (because
we shared some other DOD with similar results), but
also gave a lot of good witnesses and suggestions to
future DOD interface and methods. For instance,
what they could see in that “round table6” was what
6 The name they gave to characterize the organization design of
“Bairro Criativo”.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
919
they saw in reality. “It is our face, our reality”, they
said. They also referred that the fact of having
participated in this DOD interface construction
allowed them to love “Bairro Criativo” as if it was
“their baby”, and that really helped to make the
implementation space without any problems.
There was only one person in the eight co-
workers who said it was confusing. By the way, he
was one of the volunteers who joined the project in
the middle of the process.
Finally this project was the most appreciated,
according to the inquiry made in one of the
conferences we participated in the Psychology and
Education Science faculty” (FPCE- Faculdade de
Psicologia e Ciências da Educação da Universidade
de Lisboa), on 7th May 2009. Additionally in all the
conferences in which we have participated, the
audience showed a lot of interest in our organization
and in the design of the entire project.
References
[1] Bate, P., Khan, R. and Pye, A., (2000). Towards
a Culturally Sensitive Approach to Organization
Structuring: Where Organization Design Meets
Organization Development, Organization
Science, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 197-211.
[2] Boland, R. J. Jr. and Collopy, F. (2004)
Managing as designing, CA: Stanford
University Press.
[3] Boland R. J. Jr., Collopy, F., Lyytinen, K. and
Yoo, Y. (2008). Managing as Designing:
Lessons for Organization Leaders from the
Design Practice of Frank O. Gehry,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Design
Issues, Winter 2008.
[4] Brown, T. (2008). Design Thinking. Harvard
Business Review, June 2008.
[5] Endenburg, G. (1998). The organization of
decision-making ‘no objection’ as the principle
of sociocracy. Eburon.
[6] Heenan, D. A. and Bennis, W. (1999). Co-
Leaders, the Power of Great Partnerschips,
John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York.
[7] Koontz, H. (1961). The management theory
jungle. The Journal of the Academy of
Management, 4(3): 174-188. December 1961.
[8] Koontz, H. (1966). A Miscelânea nas Teorias de
Administração. RAE-Revista de Administração
de Empresas, 6 (18), 169-196.
[9] Peters, T. (1994). The pursuit of Wow!: Every
person’s guide. Vintage Original – 1994.
[10] Pina e Cunha, M. (2006), Manual de
Comportamento Organizacional e Gestão, RH
Editores, Lisboa.
[11] Reason, P. and Bradbury, H. (2001) Handbook
of Action Research – Participate Inquiry and
Practice, SAGE Publications.
[12] Robertson, B. J. (2007). Organization at the
Leading Edge: Introducing Holacracy.
HolacracyOne.
[13] Romme, A. G. L. (2003). Making a difference:
organization as design. Faculty of Economics
and Business Administration, Tilburg
University, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
[14] Zohar, D. and Marshal, I. (2000). Spiritual
Intelligence, the Ultimate Intelligence,
Bloomsbury Publishing, Ltd. London.
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
920
Better Decision Making in Complex Dynamic
Tasks-A Book Review Manuel Alberto M. Ferreira
Lisbon University Institute ISCTE-IUL, BRU-IUL
Portugal
Abstract – The objective of this work is the book “Better
Decision Making in Complex Dynamic Tasks (Training
with Human-Facilitated Interactive Learning
Environments)”, 978-3-319-07985-1, from Springer
Series “Understanding Complex Systems” review:
H. Qudrat-Ullah, Editor of
this book points its three main
objectifs as:
1. Providing a comprehensive
study of decision making and
learning with human
facilitated ILEs.
2. Introducing decision
making in dynamic tasks.
3. Explaining the methods and obstacles of training with
human facilitated simulation-based learning
environments.
It is composed of four parts:
Part I serves as an introduction to the importance and
complexity of decision making in dynamic tasks.
Part II provides background material, drawing upon
relevant literature, for the development of an integrated
process model on the effectiveness of human facilitated
ILEs in improving decision making in dynamic tasks.
Part III focuses on the design, development, and
application of FishBankILE in laboratory experiments
to gather empirical evidence for the validity of the
process model.
Part IV presents a comprehensive analysis of the
gathered data to illustrate the lessons to be learned.
The keywords and the related subjects presented below,
also supplied by the Editor, complete the understanding
about the subjects dealt with in this book and also on
the research methodologies used. The whole book is
written in very correct and accessible English. It is
scientifically rigorous and exigent. The contributors are
leading experts in this field, with high reputation.
According to the Editor, this book will be useful for
managers and practitioners, researchers, and students
of dynamic decision making.
Keywords - Business Dynamics; Complex Decision
Making; Complex Dynamic Task; Decision Making
Dynamic Task; Decision Making and Learning; How to
Develop an ILE; Human Facilitated Interactive Learning
Environment; ILE - Interactive Learning Environment.
Related subjects - Complexity; HCI; Learning &
Instruction; Operations Research & Decision Theory.
1. The review
The Albert Einstein words, cited by this book
Editor:
“I never teach my pupils, I only
attempt to provide the conditions in
which they can learn”
are paradigmatic in what concerns a good teacher
work. In fact to learn is a personal, and original,
achievement. Who does not learn for itself does not
learn effectively and never will be autonomous in
action. Who is not able to learn for itself, always has
to be driven for any other, more or less closely and
will never be independent.
So the teacher work is to supply the adequate
learning environment for the pupils.
Following this idea, in this book it is intended to
give ways of training with Human-Facilitated
Interactive Learning Environments-ILEs, in order to
have better decision making in complex dynamic
tasks. In particular in ILEs design, development and
application.
The complex dynamic tasks to be considered in
the scope of this book are innumerous and diverse as
Human and Natural Catastrophes, Medicine,
Epidemics, Fisheries, Finance, Economy, War,
Traffic…
So the word Complex appears in the sense that a
Complex Problem is a one about which very few or
even nothing is known. It is also referred in
“Complex Decision Making” that is in a higher level
than the “Decision Theory” usually considered in the
“Operations Research” scope.
____________________________________________________________________________________ International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance & Economic Sciences IJLTFES, E-ISSN: 2047-0916 Copyright © ExcelingTech, Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/)
Int. J Latest Trends Fin. Eco. Sc. Vol-5 No. 2 June, 2015
921
The word Dynamic is connected with something
that changes very rapidly, demanding a permanent
learning.
Part I and Part II are more theoretic and
conceptual supplying background on this theme. Part
III and Part IV are driven to the applications: design,
development, data analysis.
Part III is entirely devoted to an application in
Fisheries: the design, development, and application of
FishBankILE in laboratory experiments, performed
and described with a very great detail. Through this
application, empirical data are collected for the
validity of the process model. It is a very clever and
pedagogic way to show how to construct and validate
ILEs.
Finally note that the literature on this subject is
not particularly abundant and so this book gives an
important contribution to pad this gap.
2. Overall review
This is an outstanding book, scientifically
rigorous, fundamental and valuable in “Training with
Human-Facilitated Interactive Learning
Environments”, simultaneously conceptual and
operative. Written by highly reputed contributors it is
an essential reading for managers and practitioners,
researchers, and students of dynamic decision
making.
Reference
[1] H. Qudrat-Ullah (Ed.). Better Decision Making
in Complex Dynamic Tasks (Training with
Human-Facilitated Interactive Learning
Environments). Understanding Complex
Systems, XIV, 2015, XX, 252 p., 69 illus., 59
illus. in color, ISBN: 978-3-319-07985-1. DOI:
10. 1007/978-3-319-07986-8_1.
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