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If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges Gulf Coast

If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

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If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges. Gulf Coast. U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service. A surrogate species approach, why is it something we need to do? Only a fraction of the landscape is devoted to species conservation (prioritize conservations lands) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

Gulf Coast

Page 2: If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

A surrogate species approach, why is it something we need to do? 1. Only a fraction of the landscape is devoted to species

conservation (prioritize conservations lands)

2. Finite resources are allocated to conservation as it competes with other socioeconomic objectives ($$ = best conservation value)

3. The vast majority of species habitat requirements remain unknown (utilize data rich areas)

Noon et al. 2009

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Dimension I

Dim

ensio

n II

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

PARTNERSHIPS & COLLABORATION

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

USFWS strategic growth initiative for prioritizing sustainable habitat in the Gulf Coastal Prairies Conservation Region

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Human footprint

Sea-level rise

Intense drought

Key threats to multiple species

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

1. Mottled Duck (irregularly flooded marsh)

2. Redhead Duck (estuaries)

3. Whooping cranes (saltwater marsh)

A starting point:

Page 8: If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

Land use land cover change (LULCC)

U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Past LC/LU

Present & Future LC/LU

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Wet

land

s

Contemporary trends Future (?)

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Mexico?

Housing boom?

Energy development?

NOAA C-CAP LandcoverBaseline?

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Conservation Planning

Aransas NWR - Potential acquisition boundary

• Where to expand and how much?

• Need to understand the impact of sea level rise

Page 12: If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

What do cranes like now?

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

What does sea-level rise mean for cranes?

Initial conditions 2100 at 2m sea level rise scenario

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Initial conditions 2100 at 2m sea level rise scenario

Potential habitat for whoopers with sea level rise

Page 15: If we knew then what we know now….Adapting to meet challenges

U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

Coastal LiDAR to greatly enhance sea level predictions

Points in space = 3D vegetation and terrain

Work by Luke Beasley SCA intern

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U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

• Baseline information to determine habitats vulnerable to change, and areas less vulnerable

• Prioritize areas for sustainable conservation

• ID candidate sites for refuge expansion, mitigation banking, and other conservation approaches

Wetlands

Urbanization

Complementary data and tools needed for a surrogate species approach for: