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    APACReinforcing the principles

    of efficiency and safetyin an unprecedented

    era of growth

    In this issue:

    Growth Outlook ATFM South Asia style APAC airspace safety monitoring

    APAC priorities and ICAOs Global Aviation Safety Plan ACI and IATA viewpoints

    Airports and Code F aircraft PASO message APAC and ICAOs Strategic Objectives

    An eDocument approach for ATN implementation EMARSSH update

    Regional Report Asia-Pacific

    REGIONAL REPORT

    ICAOINTERNATIONAL CIVIL AVIATION ORGANIZATION

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    ContentsMessage from the Regional Director, APAC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

    APAC growth outlook

    APACs continuing expansion impacts regional employment, infrastructure

    development and a broad range of additional economic drivers that are

    mutually supportive of aviations success in the Region. N.C Sekhar provides

    some perspective on recent trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

    APAC safety monitoring

    In addressing its responsibilities to its Regions, the ICAO APAC Air Navigation

    Planning and Implementation Regional Group (APANPIRG) has established a

    Target Level of Safety for en route airspace in the APAC Region of 5 x 10 -9 fatal

    accidents per flight hour. Andrew Tiede, ICAO APAC Regional Officer, Air Traffic

    Management (ATM), elaborates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

    Safety management in an era of growth: APAC and the GASP

    Safety remains a key priority for this emerging APAC air traffic powerhouse.

    Fareed Ali Shah, ICAO APAC Regional Officer, Flight Safety, explains why all

    regional stakeholders will need to actively participate in the ongoing application

    of ICAOs Global Aviation Safety Plan to meet the Regions objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

    PASO profile

    The Pacific Aviation Safety Office (PASO) is a registered international organizationin operation for the benefit of 13 Pacific Island Member States and is based in

    Port Vila, Vanuatu. Alvin W. Tuala, PASO General Manager, explains his agencys

    role in assisting its States, ICAO and other regional stakeholders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

    Banking on BOBCAT

    Andrew Tiede repor ts that in the two years since the web-based BOBCATs

    (Bay of Bengal Cooperative Air Traffic Flow Management System) first trials,

    significant gains have been experienced by all regional stakeholders, including

    notable fuel and carbon savings for the affected airlines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19

    EMARRSH and Efficiency

    The Revised Route StructureAsia to Europe via the Middle East, South-of-

    the-Himalayas (EMARSSH) Task Force leads the development of a revised route

    structure to provide for increases in international and domestic traf fic operatingbetween Asia and Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25

    Ramping-up for New Larger Aircraft

    N.C. Sekhar describes the ongoing developments as his Region makes the

    necessary adjustments to accommodate the emerging use of Code-F aircraft

    such as the Airbus A380. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

    Regional players: ACI

    Maggie Kwok, Regional Director, ACI Asia-Pacific Region, describes how the ACI

    Asia-Pacific Region will continue to engage in discussions with all international

    organizations, most importantly ICAO and work closely with these partners to

    serve our industry and to meet the challenges that lie ahead for the Region. . . . . . . . . . 30

    Regional players: IATA

    Rob Eagles, IATA APAC Director, Safety Operations & Infrastructure (SO&I),

    describes why ICAO and IATA now need to work together with States to deliver

    the vision of an integrated, harmonised and globally interoperable ATM system . . . . . . . 34

    APAC and ICAOs Strategic Objectives

    A review of how ICAOs Strategic Objectives are being applied and encouraged

    in the APAC Region. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36

    APAC Office History

    An historical look at ICAOs presence and performance in the Asia and Pacific Region . . . . 39

    eDocumentation and ATN implementation

    S.K. Saraswati, ICAO APAC Regional Officer, CNS, provides a detailed repor t

    on how APACs new electronic document management system is now aiding in

    APAC ATN implementation initiatives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42

    REGIONAL REPORT

    ASIA-PACIFIC 2008

    Editorial

    ICAO External Relations

    and Public Information Office

    Tel: +01 (514) 954-8220

    Web site: www.icao.int

    Anthony Philbin Communications

    Editor: Anthony Philbin

    Tel: +01 (514) 886-7746

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Web site: www.philbin.ca

    Production and Design

    Bang Marketing

    Stphanie Kennan

    Tel: +01 (514) 849-2264

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Web site: www.bang-marketing.com

    ICAO Photographs: Gerry Ercolani

    Advertising

    FCM Communications Inc.

    Yves Allard

    Tel: +01 (450) 677-3535

    Fax: +01 (450) 677-4445

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Submissions

    The Regional Reportencourages submissions frominterested individuals, organizations and States wishing

    to share updates, perspectives or analysis related to

    global and civil aviation. For further information on

    submission deadlines and planned issue topics for

    future editions of the Regional Report, please forward

    your request to [email protected]

    Published in Montreal, Canada. ISSN 0018 8778.

    The information published in the Regional Reportwas

    correct at time of printing. The opinions expressed

    are those of the authors alone and do not necessarily

    reflect the opinions of ICAO or its Member States.

    Reproduction of articles in the Regional Reportis

    encouraged. For permission, please forward your

    request to [email protected] The Regional Report

    must be credited in any reproduction.

    Cover image: The Kinnara

    In Southeast Asian mythology, Kinnarees and Kinnaras

    are two of the many creatures that inhabit a mythical

    forest known as Himavanta. Kinnarees have the head,

    torso, and arms of a woman and the wings, tail and

    feet of a swan. She is renowned for her dance, song

    and poetry, and is a traditional symbol of feminine

    beauty, grace and accomplishment. The Kinnara is her

    male counterpart and is idealised as a pragmatic lover

    and celestial musician. The most famous Kinnari in

    Thailand is the figure known as Manora(derived from

    Manohara) in the Thai myth entitled Panyasa Chadok.

    Thai Airways International publishes a monthly maga-

    zine with the title Kinnaree.

    PRINTED BY ICAO

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    3

    MESSAGE FROM THE DIRECTOR

    I

    CAORegionalReportAsia-Pacific

    2008

    ICAO provides a unique forum forconsensus building on global priorities

    relating to civil aviation. To fulfill its

    mandate effectively and to reinforce its

    commitment to States, ICAO continues

    to focus on priorities, improve coordina-

    tion, increase cost effectiveness and

    reduce overlap, wherever necessary.

    The role of ICAO is therefore of

    immense significance in the

    development of aviation safety and

    sustainability around the world. The everchanging technological, economic and

    political environments in which global

    civil aviation operates gives rise to new

    opportunities and challenges which the

    Organization has to continually meet in

    order to satisfy the aspirations of its

    Member States. To accomplish its tasks

    as set out in Article 44 of Chicago

    Convention, the Organization relies

    upon its Regional Offices to maintaincontinuous liaison with the States to

    which they are accredited and with other

    appropriate organizations to promote

    the implementation of ICAO provisions

    and requirements.

    It is a proven fact that aviation has a

    high economic and social impact in

    the Asia and Pacific region, directly

    generating millions of jobs and many

    billions of dollars to APAC GDP. The

    impressive growth of regionaleconomies, apart from offering great

    potential and new opportunities for

    the air transport industry, has also

    given birth to various complex and

    delicate issues. The main challenge for

    the APAC Region in the coming years

    will be to manage the current tempo

    of growth while maintaining the safety,

    security, sustainability and efficiency

    of civil aviation, which I think can beachieved, certainly, with the coopera-

    tion and assistance of the States in

    the region. In this respect the APAC

    Regional Office is committed to

    creating a stimulating environment for

    its Member States in which they can

    mutually shoulder their responsibilities

    and fulfill their obligations under the

    Chicago Conventiontoward the

    international community in general and

    to the travelling public in particular.

    This year is especially significant for

    the ICAO APAC Regional Office as

    we celebrate the 60th anniversary

    of our presence in this Region. During

    these 60 years, the Office has been

    an important representative of ICAO

    assistance to Member States as well

    as a symbol and fulcrum of regional

    cooperation. The Office has been

    located in the Kingdom of Thailand

    since 1955, and through the generosity

    of the Royal Thai Government enjoys the

    use of excellent office and conference

    facilities that benefit all stakeholders.

    This edition of the APAC Regional

    Reportprovides the history of the

    office and describes many of its

    achievements. I hope readers will

    find the report informative.

    Mokhtar A. Awan

    ICAO APAC Regional Director

    Celebrating 60 yearsof cooperation andachievement

    Mokhtar A. Awan joined ICAO APAC as Regional Director in January 2008. Prior to his appointment, he served his government in various

    important positions. Throughout his 30-year career in national public service, Awan has dedicated himself to fostering and promoting

    international civil aviation, focusing on a safe and secure civil aviation infrastructure including meteorological services, and remaining

    engaged with worldwide multilateral/inter-governmental organizations. Awan served as the Representative of Pakistan on the Council of ICAO

    from 2002-2006, and was nominated and served as a member of the Governing Board of the International Financial Facility for Aviation Safety

    (IFFAS). Awans extensive experience in international civil aviation combines policy, practice and procedures for the planning and development

    of the international air transport system.

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    APAC GROWTH

    4

    Aviation has recently experienced a phenomenal period of

    growth that has created new opportunities and new

    challenges for States, airlines, airport operators, aircraft

    manufacturers, air traffic service providers and other related

    air transport organizations. The development and growth of

    air transport depends on various factors including economic

    and trade growth, fuel price changes, airline productivity

    gains and airports and airspace capacity. Traffic growth will

    vary by geographic region because of the impact of specific

    local or regional factors. Changes in personal income affect

    the level of consumer purchasing power and the propensity

    to undertake leisure travel.

    Global and regional economic developments

    The world economy maintained its growth momentum in 2007

    despite higher prices for crude oil and refined products. The

    Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at an estimated average

    annual rate of 5.2 percent in real terms. Growth in emerging

    markets and developing countries remained very strong at 8.1

    percent, well above the world average.

    Over the 1995-2005 period, the aggregate economies of the

    APAC Region grew at an average annual rate of 4.6 percent in

    real terms and the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita

    increased at 3.25 per annum. The region has the largest share

    in the world economy despite a slowdown and recession

    between 1998 and 2001. The economy bounced back in the

    second half of 2003 with a surge in domestic demand coupled

    with export growth boosted by increased global activity.

    In 2007, the aggregate economies of the APAC Region

    maintained its upward momentum at an average annual growth

    rate of 7.3 percent. Developing countries contributed signifi -cantly as their average GDP grew by 9.8 percent. The

    economies of China and India showed remarkable GDP growth

    at 11.5 percent and 8.9 percent respectively, driven by growing

    exports, investment and growing demand. Asias newly

    industrialised economies posted a 4.9 percent GDP growth.

    Aviation growth

    Worldwide, the total number of annual passengers has

    grown by 46 percent in the past 10 years, as the number of

    passengers flying climbed from 1.46 billion to 2.13 billion

    per year. Freight tonne-kilometre figures show an almost

    identical rate of increase. The International Air Transport

    Association forecast notes that in 2011 the air transport

    industry will handle 2.75 billion passengers and 36 million

    tonnes of freight. International passenger demand is

    expected to rise from 760 million passengers (2006) to

    980 million in 2011 at an annual average growth rate of

    5.1 percent.

    In 2006, 2.1 billion passengers traveled on scheduled

    flights alone. To this must be added charter and other

    aircraft operations. At the same time nearly 40 million

    APAC civil aviation growth continues to outstrip all other regions of the world with no

    foreseeable end in sight to this trend. This continuing expansion impacts regional

    employment, infrastructure development and a broad range of additional economic drivers

    that are mutually supportive of aviations success in the APAC Region, and as always ICAO

    continues to provide leadership and vision to help regional stakeholders maintain the safety

    and efficiency of air transport services to manage and guide this ongoing development.

    N.C Sekhar provides some perspective on recent trends.

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    Growth in the APAC civilaviation sector: An outlook

    N.C. Sekhar is a civil engineer with three decades of experience in the design, development, construction and maintenance

    of airport infrastructure. He took up the position of ICAO Regional Officer, Aerodromes and Ground Aids at the BangkokOffice in November 2006. Prior to joining the Organization he was involved with the development of a Greenfield airport in

    Bangalore, India, based on the PPP model. Sekhar also ser ved ICAO TCB in Botswana from 1993 to 1999.

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    6

    tonnes of freight were carried by air,

    from fresh produce to computer

    equipment for the home and office.

    Over the 19962006 period, the

    scheduled passenger traffic of airlines

    registered in the APAC Region grew at an

    average rate of 5.5 percent per annum

    compared to world average of 4.9

    percent (Figure 1, left). The regions

    share of international traffic was 28

    percent of the world traffic in 2006

    (Figure 2, lower left). In 2007, the

    international passenger traffic carried

    in APAC is estimated to have grown by

    6.6 percent. At the current pace of

    traffic growth APAC will overtake the

    European and North American (EUR/NAT)

    Region within the next 10 years and

    become the largest transport market.The bulk of this traffic growth will take

    place in China and India, both in the

    domestic and international segments.

    In freight traffic APAC is the second

    largest Region next to the Americas,

    with an annual growth rate of 8.6

    percent (2006)two percent above the

    world average. China is the leading

    player in the region (Figure 3, bottom

    left). The regions share of international

    scheduled freight traffic was37.4 percent of the world traffic in

    2006 (Figure 4, page 8, top).

    ICAO forecast

    The ICAO global forecast is for an

    average annual passenger growth rate

    of 4.6 percent for the period 2005-2025,

    when the total number of passengers

    should reach some 4.5 billion and 6.5

    percent for cargo traffic. The ICAO

    average annual passenger growth rate

    forecast for the APAC Region is 5.8

    percent and eight percent for cargo

    traffic respectively.

    Employment

    Today, some 32 million jobs are linked

    to civil aviation. Employment in airlines,

    airports, air navigation services and

    aerospace industries (5.5 million jobs),

    plus indirect and induced multiplierICAOR

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    8

    Figure 3: Average Growth in International Air Freight Traffic World and Region: 1996-2006

    12

    Africa

    3.6

    4.9

    8.1

    3.9

    6.6

    Asia/Pacific Europe Middle East

    AverageAnnualgrowth

    rate(%

    )

    North America Latin America World

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    0

    8.6

    6.7

    Figure 1: Average growth in passenger traffic World and regions-1996-2006

    12

    Africa

    5.7 5.55.9

    10.3

    3.5 3.3

    4.9

    Asia/Pacific Europe Middle East

    AverageAnnualGrowthrate(%)

    North America Latin America World

    10

    8

    6

    4

    2

    0

    39.9%

    3.8%

    17.7%

    7.4%

    27.8%3.3%

    Africa

    2006 International Scheduled PKPs

    3,941 billion

    Asia/Pacific

    Europe

    Middle East

    North America

    Latin America

    Figure 2: International scheduled air passenger traffic,World and regions 2006 (Total PKPs and percentage shares per region)

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    8

    ICAOR

    egionalReportAsia-Pacific200

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    effects account for 15 million jobs. Some

    17 million additional jobs are supported

    in a wide range of industries related to

    trade and tourism. Civil aviations exten-

    ded global economic impact is estimated

    to be on the order of US$3.5 trillion

    equivalent to nearly eight percent of the

    global gross domestic product.

    Airlines

    At the end of 2006 there were

    approximately 796 carriers worldwide

    providing international and/or domestic

    scheduled passenger services and about

    87 operating only scheduled all-freight

    services. Between 1997 and 2006, the

    reported number of commercial air

    transport aircraft in service increased

    by about 30 percent from 17,445 to

    22,685 (excluding aircraft with a

    maximum take off mass of less than

    9000kg). In 2006, 2,131 jet aircraft

    were ordered (compared with 2,140 in

    2005) and 1,032 aircraft were delivered

    (compared with 918 in 2005). The

    backlog of unfulfilled orders at the end

    of 2006 was 5,284 aircraft compared

    with 4,494 at the end of 2005.

    Preliminary estimates for 2006 indicate

    that the worlds scheduled airlines

    experienced material operating profits

    and overall net profitability despite rising

    fuel prices. The operating profit amoun-

    ted to an estimated US US$12.9 billion

    representing 2.9 percent of operating

    revenues.

    The airlines of the APAC Region enjoyed

    positive operating results throughout

    the last decade. Preliminary estimates

    indicate that an operating profit of

    about US$800 million was achieved in

    2006. In Asia/Pacific about 40 percentof airlines continue to be state owned

    to a var ying extent. Privatisation of

    state owned airlines has been one

    of the pre-eminent transformations in

    air transport.

    Airports

    According to Airports Council Interna-

    tional (ACI) and based on reports from

    1,100 member airports, in 2006 the

    worlds airports processed 4.4 billion

    passengers, 85.6 million metric tonnes

    of cargo and 72.2 million aircraft

    movements. The APAC Region alone has

    96 ACI members operating 448 airports.

    In 2006 these airports handled

    1.1 billion passengers, 31.3 million

    tonnes of cargo and 10.4 million aircraft

    movements. Five (Tokyo, Beijing, Hong

    Kong, Bangkok Suvarnabhumi and

    Changi Singapore) out of the 25 busiest

    airports worldwide are located in APAC.

    Numerous airports, in their interest to

    adjust capacity to the growing demand,

    are restructuring their ownership and

    management. These reforms are

    enabled by liberalisation of economic

    regulations. Still, significant investments

    are required in a timely and efficient

    manner to overcome and/or avoid

    infrastructure bottlenecks. Privatisation

    has already occurred at several key

    airports in Asia, namely: Tokyo-Narita;

    Hong Kong; Manila Terminal; as well as

    Bangalore, Hyderabad, Delhi and

    Mumbai airports in India. According to

    ACI, capital expenditures for airport

    infrastructure in APAC amounted to

    US$8 billion in 2007, representing a

    14 percent increase over 2006.

    ICAO leadership in aviation

    ICAO has sharpened its focus in how it

    assists its 190 Member States to strive

    for the new benchmarks of 21st century

    civil aviation. These benchmarks are:

    Optimum safety and security.

    Worldwide liberalisation of air

    transport.

    A globally interoperable, harmonised

    and seamless air traffic management

    system.

    Maximum compatibility betweenthe safe and orderly development of

    civil aviation and the quality of the

    environment.

    Further development of a unified

    global legal framework.

    To this end ICAO has intensified its

    leadership in a focused and proactive

    manner, based on four basic

    principlesimplementation, perfor-

    mance, results and transparency. These

    principles have helped in accelerating

    the transition of ICAO to a performance

    and results-based organization. The

    mission of ICAO and of other members

    of the world aviation community is to

    continuously improve the performance

    of the global air transport system in all

    of these areas, so that it continues to

    provide the immense socio economic

    benefits our global society has come to

    need and expect.

    31.3%

    2.8%

    18.6%

    7.7%

    37.4%

    2.1%

    Africa

    2006 International Scheduled FTKs

    124,180 billion

    Asia/Pacific

    Europe

    Middle East

    North America

    Latin America

    Figure 4: International scheduled air freight traffic,

    World and regions 2006 (Total FTKs performed and percentage shares per region

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    Airspace safetymonitoring in theAPAC context

    APANPIRG/RASMAG

    12

    In addressing its responsibilities to its Regions, the ICAO APAC Air Navigation Planning and

    Implementation Regional Group (APANPIRG) has established a Target Level of Safety for enroute airspace in the APAC Region of 5 x 10-9 fatal accidents per flight hour. The increasing

    complexity of RVSM/RNAV/RNP requirements and the necessary State interactions led

    APANPIRG to further establish the Regional Airspace Safety Monitoring Advisory Group

    (RASMAG) to facilitate the safe implementation of reduced separation minima and CNS/ATM

    applications, as well as to assist States in achieving the established levels of airspace safety

    within the APAC Region. Andrew Tiede, ICAO APAC Regional Officer, Air Traffic Management

    (ATM), provides the Reportwith a summary of these developments.

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    The establishment of RASMAG

    As sub-regional implementations of reduced verticalseparation minimum (RVSM) and reduced horizontal

    separation minimum (RNAV 10, RNP 10, RNP 4) proceeded

    throughout the APAC region, the increasing complexity of

    requirements and the necessary State interactions led

    APANPIRG/14 (August 2003) to establish the Regional

    Airspace Safety Monitoring Advisory Group (RASMAG).

    The initial terms of reference for RASMAG focused on

    airspace safety monitoring to support operations in reduced

    vertical and horizontal separation environments, but these

    were subsequently expanded to include consideration of

    the communications performance of FANS 1/A data link

    technologies and the automated ground-ground communi-

    cations between sophisticated ATC systems known as ATS

    Inter-facility Data Communications (AIDC).

    The formal objectives of RASMAG are to facilitate the safe

    implementation of reduced separation minima and CNS/ATM

    applications, as well as to assist States in achieving the

    established levels of airspace safety within the APAC Region.

    RASMAG reports directly to APANPIRG and meets twice yearly,

    in approximately May and December.

    Over the past decade, ICAO has increasingly pursued

    a sharper focus on ATS safety management by way of

    the development of Standards and Recommended Practices(SARPs) in Annex 11Air Traffic Services and complementary

    arrangements in the Procedures for Air Navigation Services

    Air Traffic Management(PANS-ATM Doc 4444).

    At the broadest level, Annex 11 requires States to establish

    a safety programme in order to achieve an acceptable level

    of safety in the provision of Air Traffic Services (ATS). More

    specific requirements exist for the implementation ofsafety

    management systems by Air Navigation Ser vices Providers

    (ANSPs) that identify hazards, ensure remedial action and

    provide for the continuous monitoring and regular assessment

    of the safety level achieved.

    In addressing its responsibilities in this regard, the APAC

    Air Navigation Planning and Implementation Regional Group

    (APANPIRG) has established a Target Level of Safety (TLS)

    for en route airspace in the APAC Region of 5 x 10 -9 fatal

    accidents per flight hour. APANPIRG also continues to

    encourage cooperative arrangements between States to

    undertake airspace safety assessments and to provide

    airspace safety monitoring for the introduction of airspace

    changes and reduction in aircraft separation minima, as

    well as for ongoing operations.

    Andrew Tiede joined ICAO in 2004 as Regional Of ficer, Air Traffic Management (ATM) for the APAC region. He had previously held the

    position of ATS Safety Manager with Airservices Australia for the Melbourne FIR. As well as holding formal qualifications including a

    Bachelor of Aviation Studies, he has broad experience in management, air traf fic management (including almost 20 years as an active air

    traffic controller in Tower, Approach and En route roles) and aviation safety management, and also serves as an ANS auditor with ICAOs

    Universal Safety Oversight Audit Programme.

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    supported by the monthly submission

    by States of Large Height Deviation

    reports (LHD, being vertical excursion

    of 90m/300ft or more) in RVSM

    operations and Gross Navigational

    Error reports (GNE, being lateral

    excursion of 15NM or more, or

    longitudinal excursion of 10NM or

    more) in the horizontal environment.

    APAC RVSM Regional

    Monitoring Arrangements

    Perhaps the most visible of these spe-

    cialist assessment bodies are the

    Regional Monitoring Agencies (RMAs),

    which are specifically established to

    undertake the ongoing monitoring

    of RVSM operations in order to meet

    ICAO Standards (which requiresuch monitoring be conducted on a

    regional basis). For the APAC Region,

    APANPIRG-endorsed RMA services

    are provided by:

    The Australian Airspace Monitoring

    Agency (AAMA), operated by

    Airservices Australia.

    The China RMA, operated by the

    Air Traffic Management Bureau

    (ATMB) of the Civil Aviation

    Administration of China (CAAC).

    The JCAB RMA, operated by theJapan Civil Aviation Bureau.

    The Monitoring Agency for the Asia

    Region (MAAR), operated by

    Aeronautical Radio of Thailand

    (AEROTHAI).

    The Pacific Approvals Registry and

    Monitoring Organization (PARMO),

    operated by the United States Federal

    Aviation Administration.

    The Flight Information Regions (FIRs)

    for which each RMA takes responsibility

    have been described in the RASMAG

    List of Competent Airspace Safety

    Monitoring Organizationsa copy of

    which is included with each RASMAG

    report on the ICAO APAC Regional

    Office website: www.bangkok.icao.int.

    Following the introduction of RVSM in

    China in November 2007, the imple-

    mentation of RVSM throughout the

    APAC Region is essentially complete,

    with only implementations in the Ulaan

    Bataar FIR of Mongolia and thePyongyang FIR of the Democratic

    Peoples Republic of Korea still to occur.

    The regional RVSM monitoring arran-

    gements currently in place mean that

    each RMA has the responsibility to

    inform RASMAG of the outcomes of the

    periodic safety assessment process

    and, in cases where the target level of

    safety is not satisfied, identify the most

    likely reasons for the non-compliance.

    As part of the safety assessmentprocess, RMAs consider Large Height

    Deviation (LHD) performance in terms

    of two components. Technical risk

    relates to the technical performance

    of equipment, including aircraft

    altimetry systems. Operational risk

    arises from human performance

    limitations and, in simple terms,

    means errors made by pilots and air

    traffic controllers. A typical safety

    assessment summarising the results

    of the airspace safety oversight in

    terms of the technical, operational,

    and total risks for the RVSM imple-

    mentation in the Western Pacific/South

    China Sea (WPAC/SCS) airspace is

    shown as Table 1 (page 15, top).

    In addition, Figure 1 (left)presents an

    example of the trends of collision risk

    estimates for each month using the

    appropriate cumulative 12 months of

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    Safety assessment and monitoring for

    international airspace is a complex

    process that requires the specific

    application of internationally recognised

    and mathematically based collision risk

    models to demonstrate that target levels

    of safety can be met. Collision risk

    models consider many parameters that

    may include, for example, average aircraft

    length, height and wingspan, as well as

    average along track speed and relative

    cross track speed between aircraft pairs.

    Requirements for separation in the

    vertical plane vary from those specified

    for separation in the horizontal plane,

    and data link and ATS Inter-facility Data

    Communications (AIDC) applications

    also have different requirements.

    The complexity of these matters hasnecessitated the establishment of a

    number of behind the scenes specialist

    agencies that conduct the required

    safety assessment work. Under the

    coordination of RASMAG, these

    agencies work closely with affected

    regional States to gather and analyse

    data as part of continuous airspace

    safety monitoring processes. To

    support this work, APANPIRG has

    regionally adopted the month of

    December every year for the provisionby all States of one month of Traffic

    Sample Dataessentially a count of

    every flight in international airspace for

    every day throughout December. This is

    Vertical Collision Risk by Type

    RVSM Implementation in the WPAC/SCS Airspace

    The Current FLOS/FLAS

    Technical Risk TLS for Technical Risk TLS for Total RiskOperational Risk Roral Risk

    0.0E+00

    Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Fev-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07

    8.0E-09

    7.0E-09

    6.0E-09

    5.0E-09

    4.0E-09

    3.0E-09

    2.0E-09

    1.0E-09

    Figure 1: Trends of Risk Estimates for the RVSM Implementation in WPAC/SCS Airspace

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    Large Height Deviation (LHD) reports, in this case since

    October 2006.

    Interestingly, the majority of LHDs in APAC RVSM operations

    result from errors in ATC Unit-to-ATC Unit coordination, with

    up to 70 percent of LHDs being categorised in this way.

    Using this data, intensive investigation by RASMAG and APAC

    Regional Office ATS working groups has led to improvements

    in coordination arrangements between neighbouring area

    control centres, with consequent improvements in airspace

    safety performance.

    RASMAG continues to strongly support the introduction ofAIDC messaging capability between ATC Centres to enable

    automated system messaging to take the place of human-

    to-human coordination exchanges, particularly for routine

    circumstances.

    Global long-term monitoring of RVSM height

    keeping performance

    One of the challenges to be addressed by RASMAG during

    2008 is the preparation of an APAC regional impact

    statement that summarises the estimated consequences

    for the Region of the adoption from 2010 of ICAO globalprovisions for the long-term monitoring of the height

    keeping performance of each of the individual airframes

    involved in RVSM operations.

    To be approved for operation in RVSM airspace, an aircraft

    must comply with technical requirements that ensure

    that the aircraft will accurately maintain the actual height

    cleared by air traffic services. An airframe without a

    current and satisfactory monitoring result is excluded from

    RVSM operations. Extensive height-keeping performance

    data was collected globally to demonstrate the stability of

    Altimetry System Error (ASE), but the results to date

    indicate that altimetry systems drift is more than what

    was previously expected. This situation has led to

    amendments to Annex 6Operation of Aircraft, that

    require Contracting States to establish mechanisms for

    monitoring height-keeping performance at specified

    periodicity. The Annex 6 amendment is scheduled for

    implementation in November 2010.

    In considering these matters, APANPIRG/18 (September

    2007) recognised that the implementation of long-term

    monitoring requirements would have significant impacts in

    the way regional monitoring was managed, including the

    need for widespread regional height monitoring infrastructure

    capability to be made available. Additionally, the RASMAG

    considered that it was reasonable to expect that each RMA

    would need to carry out at least the following tasks:

    Educate States and airspace users as to the roles and

    functions of an RMA.

    Establish the monitoring requirements to be satisfied

    by each operator.

    Coordinate with other RMAs so that monitoring results

    are shared.

    Ensure that an adequate regional monitoring systeminfrastructure exists.

    The special steps which an operator must take in order to

    satisfy its fleet monitoring requirements will depend

    on the monitoring infrastructure available within the airspace

    where it conducts its flights. There are two types of moni -

    toring systems available at present, both of which have been

    specifically designed to determine aircraft total vertical error

    and altimetry system error.

    The first type is a fixed ground-based system, termed a

    Height Monitoring Unit (HMU). Such installations exist inEurope (three), Britain (one), USA (three plus two under

    construction) and Canada (two). Flying over one of these

    systems will achieve a monitoring result, but flights must be

    arranged to pass over one of the HMUs. The second type of

    monitoring system is a por table GPS-based Monitoring

    System (GMS), which requires placement of a specialised

    data collection device aboard each aircraft for one flight.

    Unlike HMU systems, use of the GMS requires that an

    operator take special steps to arrange for monitoring by a

    service supplier. However, since the data collection device

    is placed aboard the aircraft to be monitored, no alteration

    to the operators flight pattern is required.

    Recent developments in the possible adaptation of geome-

    tric height information available from ABS-B and multilate-

    ration systems for use as the basis for RVSM height

    monitoring show promise, and testing continues in Australia

    and the United States. At present, however, no HMU

    facilities exist within the APAC Region and there is only

    limited availability of the portable GMS systems. Accordin -

    gly, the provision of adequate regional monitoring infrastruc-

    ture remains a continuing challenge to RVSM operations

    in the APAC Region.

    Source of Risk Lower Bound Risk Estimation TLS Remarks

    Technical Risk 0.54 x 10-9 2.5 x 10-9 Satisfies Technical TLS

    Operational Risk 3.03 x 10-9

    Total Risk 3.57 x 10-9 5.0 x 10-9 Satisfies Overall TLS

    TABLE 1: RISK ESTIMATES FOR THE RVSM IMPLEMENTATION IN WPAC/SCS AIRSPACE, AT MAY 2008

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    Safetymanagementin an eraof growth

    The introduction of more data-driven,

    proactive safety tools and systems is an

    ongoing process in ICAO and the APAC

    Region in particular. As the area of the

    world that is most expected to drive global

    aviation growth in the coming decades,safety remains a key priority for this

    emerging air traffic powerhouse and all

    regional stakeholders, large and small, will

    need to actively participate in the ongoing

    application of ICAOs Global Aviation Safety

    Plan to meet the required safety objectives.

    Fareed Ali Shah, ICAO APAC Regional

    Officer, Flight Safety, explains.

    Aviation has a high economic and social impact in the Asia and

    Pacific region, directly generating millions of jobs and adding

    many billions of dollars to Asia-Pacific GDP.

    In addition to these ef fects, aviation also generates significant

    spin-off ef fects on the regions economiesprincipally through

    tourism and manufacturing. Aviation in the Asia-Pacific region

    generates proportionately more economic activity than in other

    parts of the world and, in light of the regions size and complex

    geography, this is not surprising.

    Looking to the future, global airline traffic is expected to

    increase steadily to the year 2025 and the APAC region in

    particular will contribute significantly to this expected upsurge.

    Forecasters are looking to APAC to generate the highest share

    of global air traffic increase within the next decade and note

    that it will soon account for close to half the worlds air freight.ICAOR

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    APAC AND GASP

    16

    Fareed Ali Shah joined the ICAO APAC Office

    as the Regional Officer, Flight Safety in

    March 2007. Prior to that he was with the

    COSCAP-SA as the Regional Flight Operations

    Inspector from 1999 and took over as the

    Programme Coordinator in December 2002.

    He is actively involved in the ICAO Safety

    Oversight Audit Programme and delivery of

    the ICAO Safety Management Systems

    (SMS) training.

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    complementary nature of these roles.

    It is essential that all relevant stake-

    holders are involved in the development

    and implementation of any activities

    aimed at improving safety. Shared

    commitment to the objectives enshrined

    in the Chicago Convention is funda-

    mental to success.

    A key feature of the GASP is the

    description and provision of 12 inter-

    related safety initiatives, three of which

    will now be explored in greater detail

    and which are essential to current

    safety transformations now underway

    throughout ICAO.

    The first of these is the sharing and

    free flow of safety datadata that is

    required to assess aviation systemsafety on a continuous basis, and to

    correct deficiencies when warranted. In

    order for this data to become available,

    there needs to be an effective error

    and incident reporting mechanism

    which encourages open reporting and

    protects data collected solely for the

    purpose of improving aviation safety.

    The free-flow of safety-related infor-

    mation by everyone involved in air

    transport, at every level, and across

    every discipline, is an essentialcondition for creating or strengthening

    partnerships among various stake-

    holders to resolve deficiencies.

    The second safety initiative reflected

    in the GASP and requiring mention

    here is the consistent use of Safety

    Management Systems (SMS). SMS

    represent the most effective way of

    responding to the need for results-

    based supervision of personnel and

    functions with a relatively small

    workforce.

    ICAO encourages the adoption of SMS

    by service providers while providing

    concrete assistance in the form of

    standards and related guidance

    material, as well as model legislation

    that facilitates the implementation

    of effective SMS. In addition, ICAO

    provides several levels of safety

    management training. This past

    October ICAO held a State safety

    programme and safety management

    system implementation workshop in

    Bangkok. The workshop included

    systematic guidance for the imple men-

    tation of key components of an SMS

    and for the development of a State

    Safety Programme.

    The third safety initiative selected to be

    highlighted from the GASP relates to

    the ability of State and industry aviation

    stakeholders to ensure that they are

    staffed with sufficient numbers of

    qualified personnel. Against the

    forecast growth, a major challenge

    faced by all sectors of aviation concerns

    the recruitment, training and retention

    of technically qualified staff.

    No doubt everyone agrees that a

    properly resourced, skilled and

    appropriately trained workforce is a key

    element in maintaining safe operations,

    and a key aspect if the safety initiatives

    described above are to be implemented

    and managed in a sustainable manner.

    Today, many countries are experiencing

    significant shortages of suitable

    technical staff. As a result, aviation is

    witnessing an increasing migration ofprofessional staff between States and

    regionsinevitably to the detriment of

    some while improving personnel

    availability in others. In the long term,

    this challenge can only be addressed

    if regulatory authorities and industry

    cooperate and develop plans to more

    effectively manage this important

    human resource issue.

    In conclusion, the forecast growth in

    traffic and the increasing complexity

    of air operations dictate that we remain

    extremely vigilant. Safety is built on

    the principle of partnership and the

    cooperative approach to safety

    recognises that all stakeholders of the

    aviation system need to be involved.

    An obvious result of these projections

    will be an increase in the number

    of aircraft in operation in the Asia

    and Pacific Region. This will present

    significant safety and logistical

    challenges for a variety of the Regions

    aviation stakeholders.

    Today, safety statistics published by

    ICAO point to a global air transport

    system that is as dependable and

    trustworthy as it has ever been.

    Everyone involved in our industry can,

    and should, be proud of these results.

    At the same time, the forecast growth

    in traffic and the increasing complexity

    of air operations dictate that all

    stakeholders remain extremely vigilant.

    Aviations main challenge will be tomanage this growth while maintaining

    the safety, security, sustainability and

    efficiency of civil aviation.

    ICAOs strategy for safety is detailed in

    its Global Aviation Safety Plan (GASP).

    The plan provides a common frame of

    reference for all stakeholders in order

    to allow a more proactive approach to

    aviation safety. The latest incarnation

    of the GASP was recently endorsed by

    the ICAO General Assembly inSeptember 2007.

    An important element of this plan is

    that it integrates the Global Aviation

    Safety Roadmap developed by the

    Industry Safety Strategy Group at the

    request of, and with the support of,

    ICAO. This industry group comprises

    Airbus, Boeing, Airports Council

    International, the Civil Air Navigation

    Services Organization, the International

    Air Transport Association, the

    International Federation of Air Line

    Pilots Associations and the Flight

    Safety Foundation.

    The safety plan is therefore very firmly

    founded on the principle of partnership.

    Although there are clearly identified

    roles played by the regulatory, industry,

    and other partners in civil aviation, in

    striving for greater aviation safety there

    is also a clear need to emphasise the

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    PACIFIC AVIATION SAFETY OFFICE

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    The Pacific Aviation Safety Office (PASO) is a registered

    international organization in operation for the benefit of 13

    Pacific Island Member States and is based in Por t Vila, Vanuatu.

    Pacific Islands Forum Aviation Ministers, at their meeting in

    1998, adopted an Action Plan to adopt a policy framework for

    safety regulation. Subsequently, in 2001, Forum Aviation

    Ministers met in Apia, Samoa and approved in principle an

    intergovernmental cooperative approach to establishing anoffice responsible for aviation safety, including security. In

    2002, this was realised and the Pacific Aviation Safety Office

    was opened in Vanuatu.

    The current members of PASO are: Australia; Cook Islands;

    Fiji; Kiribati; Papua New Guinea; Samoa; Solomon Islands;

    Tonga; Vanuatu; Nauru; New Zealand; Niue and Tuvalu. PASO

    membership is open to Forum Member States.

    The Pacific Islands Civil Aviation Safety and Security Treaty

    (PICASST) is a multilateral treaty formalising PASO under

    international law. This was opened for signing at the ForumLeaders Meeting in 2004 in Apia. On June 11, 2005, the

    PICASST entered into force, following the receipt of the fifth

    signature on May 12, 2005. The par ties to the PICASST are:

    Kiribati; Papua New Guinea; Samoa; Solomon Islands; Tonga;

    Vanuatu; Nauru; Tuvalu and Niue. Fiji, New Zealand and

    Australia are working on signing PICASST soon.

    PASO is governed by a Council of Directors comprised of

    representatives from each PASO Member Country and invited

    observers who include the Association of South Pacific

    Airlines (ASPA), the Asian Development Bank (ADB), the

    International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), and the Pacific

    Islands Forum Secretariat (PIFS).

    The ICAO APAC Regional Office actively supports PASO,

    recognising its importance as a sub-regional safety oversight

    organization that provides a cost ef fective and harmonised

    solution to assist States in strengthening their safety oversight

    capabilities and fulfilling their obligations under the Chicago

    Convention. In this regard, the primary goal of PASO is to provide,

    in the long term, an improvement in quality and an extension of

    safety oversight at a lower total cost than would have to be paid

    by the industry and Member States acting alone.

    PASO is responsible for overseeing regional aviation safety

    oversight for its membership. It does this primarily by

    overseeing airport and airline operational safety and security

    standards to ensure that they are met in all its Member

    States. Its core set of responsibilities includes the oversight

    of flying operations, airworthiness, security, airports, and

    personnel licensing for these disciplines.

    In addition, PASO aims to provide an advisory service to the

    national aviation authorities of participating States and toprovide support to the local aviation industry. PASO services

    are available to its membership, however it is anticipated that

    other countries will join PASO over time as their needs require

    and as the organization demonstrates its value and

    capabilities. It is also possible that some countries will utilize

    PASO services on a contract basis. PASO is designed to

    accommodate future growth through both of these mecha-

    nisms. The Pacific Island Leaders Forum, held in Niue in

    August of this year, fully supports the work that PASO is doing

    and urged its members to fully utilise the services that PASO

    has to offer. In their Communiqu, the leaders directed

    members to work closely to ensure that a sustainable funding

    mechanism is developed to ensure PASO is a viable and

    thriving organisation, looking after Pacific countries aviation

    safety and security needs. It directed it members to provide

    assistance to PASO in areas they could.

    At the moment, PASO suffers from a lack of financial

    resources to fully carry out its mandate and is actively

    seeking assistance from outside donors. PASO is a worthwhile

    organisation that the Pacific can be proud of and is in line with

    ICAOs vision of ensuring that members actively participate to

    meet international obligations.

    PASO: Working to enhancePacific Island safety and securityBy Alvin W. Tuala, General Manager, PASO

    Alvin W. Tuala is the General Manager of the Pacific Aviation Safety Office based in Port Vila, Vanuatu. He has also servedas the Regional Transport Sector Adviser with the Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat based in Suva, Fiji, and prior to that he

    was the Director of Civil Aviation for Samoa from 1999 through November 2005overseeing all aspects of civil aviation

    safety and security including work on air services in Samoa.

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    Air traffic flowmanagement:South Asiastyle

    For many years, flights between South east Asia and

    Europe have experienced restrictions to their operations

    arising from the military complexities within and around

    Afghanistan. The limited number of ATS routes and

    shortage of flight levels resulting from the non-

    implementation of Reduced Vertical Separation Minima

    (RVSM) meant that the Kabul Flight Information Region

    (FIR) of Afghanistan effectively acted as a bottleneck

    for this traffic flow, with particular impact on the night

    time peak period traffic flows from Asia to Europe.

    In order to accommodate prevailing circumstances at

    European destinations, including nightly curfew

    restrictions, airline scheduling resulted in a situation

    whereby 55 to 65 long-haul flights per night arrived at the

    eastern boundary of the Kabul FIR within a core three

    hour period. On the South Asian side of Kabul FIR, full

    RVSM flight level capacity was available as well as a

    multitude of ATS routeswith the result that airspace

    capacity was generally adequate.

    Transit within the Kabul FIR, however, is restricted to

    10 minutes longitudinal separation on a limited number

    of ATS routes, using essentially two conventional flight

    levels (FL310 & FL350). Consequently, traffic handling

    during the nightly traffic peak often required many en

    route orbits, level changes, re-routings, holdings and

    other high workload ATC interventions. With the majority

    of flights at the edge of their performance capabilities

    for the typically 10- to 12-hour flight to Europe, the coarse

    traffic management that was routinely necessary and

    consequent additional fuel burn resulted in many

    unscheduled (and expensive) technical stops prior to

    reaching destination.

    BOBCAT AND THE KABUL FIR

    In conjunction with the

    ICAO Air Traffic Flow

    Management Task Force,

    the web-based Bay of

    Bengal Cooperative AirTraffic Flow Management

    System, or BOBCAT, has

    been developed by

    Aeronautical Radio of Thailand to address

    serious flight efficiency impacts caused

    by the military operations in the Kabul

    Flight Information Region. Andrew Tiede,

    ICAO APAC Regional Officer, Air Traffic

    Management (ATM), reports that

    in the two years since the systems first

    trials significant gains have beenexperienced by all regional stakeholders,

    including significant fuel and carbon

    savings for the affected airlines.

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    The South Asian solution

    Under the auspices of the ICAO APACRegional Office, the Bay of Bengal and

    South Asia Air Traffic Flow Management

    Task Force (ICAO ATFM/TF) was formed in

    early 2005 to attempt to address these

    issues. A daily flow-sequencing period of

    four hours (2000-2359UTC), being the

    three-hour core traffic period plus a half-

    hour buffer at either side, was identified

    as necessary. In addition to the large

    numbers of af fected flights originat ing

    from India, Malaysia, Pakistan, Singapore

    and Thailand, the ATFM/TF identifiedspecific cases of long-haul flights originat-

    ing from China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, the

    Philippines and Indonesia that would also

    transit the Kabul FIR during this period.

    The need for an automated flow

    management tool to assist in regulating

    the flow of traffic had also been recog-

    nised by the ATFM/TF. A concept of

    operations was adopted whereby an

    allocated wheels-up time (AWUT) and

    Kabul FIR entry fix time would be applied

    to each flight, notwithstanding that the

    Kabul FIR entry time would be applicable

    typically five to six hours after airborne

    and up to 10 dif ferent ATC Area Control

    Centres (ACCs) and many FIRs

    downstream from departure.

    The BOBCAT system

    In conjunction with the ICAO ATFM/TF,

    an automated and web-based compu-

    terised toolthe Bay of Bengal

    Cooperative Air Traffic Flow Manage-

    ment System (BOBCAT) was develop-ed by Aeronautical Radio of Thailand

    Ltd. (AEROTHAI), the Air Navigation

    Services Provider (ANSP) for Thailand.

    Working with the ATFM/TF, AEROTHAI

    also established the 24-hour Air Traffic

    Flow Management Unit (ATFMU) at the

    Bangkok ACC, where the BOBCAT

    servers are hosted and coordination

    of AWUT and Kabul FIR entry fix times

    is managed. Appropriate ATFM

    procedures were developed, safetyassessments completed and, with

    support from IATA, an operational trial

    of international long-range ATFM

    procedures commenced during July

    2006. Following the success of the

    trial, daily ATFM procedures were per-

    manently implemented from July 5, 2007

    (see Figure 1, top)for the Bay of

    Bengal and South Asia.

    BOBCAT has flexibility in meting-out slot

    times depending on the traffic flow and

    the requirements of the various ANSPs

    concerned. The current configuration

    caters to westbound aircraft entering the

    Kabul FIR during the nighttime peak period

    between 20002359UTC and sequences

    flights at an interval of 15 minutes

    comprising the 10-minute longitudinal

    separation standard plus a five-minute

    buffer. The five-minute buffer time is

    expected to be reduced as the on-time

    performance of affected flights improves.

    As the system is software-based the

    operational parameters can be readily

    and infinitely varied to address thespecific needs of the prevailing ATFM

    circumstances.

    ATFM Procedures

    All BOBCAT-sequenced aircraft are

    required to conduct their flight in

    accordance with State AIPs and the Bay

    of Bengal and South Asia ATFM Users

    Handbook. The primary parties involved

    in the ATFM procedures are:

    a) Airline dispatchers.b) The Bangkok Air Traffic Flow

    Management Unit (ATFMU)

    supported by the BOBCAT system.

    c) Flight crews.

    d) ANSPs.

    Airline dispatchers

    Several hours prior to the agreed cutoff

    time for slot requests (presently

    1200 UTC), airline dispatchers log on

    to the BOBCAT website using their

    assigned secure username/password

    and submit slot requests for waypoint,

    time and flight level for entry into the

    Kabul FIR. At the cutoff time, BOBCAT

    processes the slot requests and

    displays outcomes in terms of AWUT

    and Kabul FIR entry fix parameters,

    including flight level, route, entry fix

    and time on the respective slot

    allocation pages, as well as automa-

    tically e-mailing slot results to all

    Figure 1: BOBCAT messages page showing

    July 2007 implementation.

    Figure 2: Bangkok Air Traffic Flow Management Unit (ATFMU)

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    airspace users concerned. In the event

    that the slot assigned was not satis-

    factory, dispatchers have the ability toswap slots or select an unused slot

    displayed on the BOBCAT website.

    Bangkok ATFMU

    Management of the BOBCAT system

    rests with the Bangkok ATFMU, shown

    in Figure 2 (page 20, top), which is

    located adjacent to AEROTHAIs ATC

    centre in Bangkok. The ATFMU is

    staffed on a 24-hour basis to cater to

    the evening westbound rush hour. TheBangkok ATMFU has the capability to

    modify slot allocation at the request of

    affected airlines and also has a full

    range of communications capabilities

    to liaise with all ACCs and dispatchers

    involved in the ATFM process. The

    ATFMU also receives all flight plansand operational movement messages

    for the flights involved.

    Flight crews

    It is the responsibility of flight crews

    to ensure that the aircraft is ready to

    taxi in time to meet the AWUT

    nominated by BOBCAT. Crews must

    also adjust cruise flight to comply with

    BOBCAT slot parameters at the Kabul

    FIR entry fix, requesting appropriateATC clearances, including speed varia-

    tions, in accordance with published

    AIP requirements.

    Figure 3: BOBCAT Slot Allocation page Control Tower view Figure 4: BOBCAT Slot Allocation page Enroute ACC view

    ANSPS

    ANSPs retain normal responsibility forall separation and tactical ATS and

    traffic management activities. To ensure

    situational awareness of each nights

    traffic, ANSPs also logon to BOBCAT to

    view slot allocation resultsusing

    either the Control Tower view (Figure 3,

    top left)or En route ACC view (Figure 4,

    top right). These results show the

    wheels-up time for each aircraft from all

    departure points as well as the route,

    flight level, entry fix and time allocated

    for entry into the Kabul FIR. Inaccordance with ICAO PANS ATM

    provisions, flights with an ATFM slot

    allocation should be given priority for

    takeoff to facilitate compliance with

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    AWUT. ANSPs also conduct en-route traf fic management in a

    way that ensures that flights can be positioned at the

    correct level and entry time for the Kabul FIR in accordance

    with the BOBCAT slot allocation.

    The strength of cooperation

    Since the commencement of the ATFM operational trial (July

    2006, through December 2007), the nightly average number

    of flights submitting a slot request has risen from 35 to about

    60 flights, with peaks exceeding 65 flights per night. This

    represents nearly a 50 percent increase over the 18-month

    period and again draws attention to the explosive traffic

    growth being experienced in Asia.

    Seven primary States are involvedAfghanistan, Pakistan,

    India, Thailand, Malaysia, Myanmar and Singapore

    supported by an equivalent number of surrounding States.

    Currently, over 35 airlines, the majority of whom are IATA

    members, are consistently using the BOBCAT system for

    facilitated transit through the Kabul FIR.

    The C in the BOBCAT acronym stands for cooperative.

    Accordingly, BOBCAT is a cooperative strategic ATFM tool that,

    in conjunction with ATFM procedures adopted by the ATFMU,

    ANSPs and airspace users, delivers efficient ATFM outcomes.

    Success very much depends on the accuracy of the

    information provided by airline dispatchers as well as the

    cooperative efforts of ANSPs and flight crew to achieve the

    final results of the BOBCAT sequence.

    Measuring the results

    Before the implementation of the long-range ATFM

    procedures, about 60 percent of the Europe-bound flights

    from South east Asia and the Indian sub continent

    experienced departure delays due to congestion along the air

    routes between South east Asia and Afghanistan during the

    evening peak hours. Frequently, aircraft en route had to

    change their route, hold or orbit, or fly at non-optimum flight

    levels as a result of this congestion.

    Although work continues within the ATFM/TF to accurately

    quantify the outcomes, the following benefits, amongst

    others, have already been demonstrated:

    a) ATFM sequenced aircraft now depart on their allocated

    wheels-up time in an orderly fashion, which reduces

    aggregate ground delay and ensures remaining ground

    delays are absorbed with engines off.

    b) En-route congestion is minimised and there is an orderly

    entry into the Afghanistan airspace with a more evendistribution of aircraft across the available ATS routes.

    c) Preferred optimal flight level allocation is achieved more

    often and more reliably.

    d) The re-routes around Afghanistan, which often resulted

    in expensive technical stops, have been eliminated.

    e) Many benefits have been reported by en route ANSPs,

    characterised by orderly long haul traffic sequences

    resulting in greatly reduced ATC workloads.

    f) Similarly, for sequenced flights, the flight crew workload

    has also been significantly reduced.

    g) Based on information supplied from IATA and their member

    airlines during mid 2007, the overall fuel savings foraircraft using ATFM procedures during this nightly four-hour

    period is approximately 12 million kilograms of fuel per

    year, resulting in very worthwhile savings in direct

    operating costs. When considered in an environmental

    context, these fuel savings also equate to a direct

    reduction in carbon dioxide emissions of more than 50

    million kilograms per year.

    More recently, as a direct result of the work of the ATFM/TF

    Afghanistan had agreed to implement new ATS route

    segment UL333 across the southern portion of the Kabul

    FIR to link existing airway structures in Pakistan and Iran.

    Simultaneously, as BOBCAT was reliably providing meted

    traffic flows, Afghanistan was able to lift westbound

    restrictions on usage of route B466 in Kabul FIR. Both the

    UL333 and B466 enhancements, as depicted in Figure 5

    (above, left), became effective on August 28, 2008 and not

    only benefit operators during the nightly ATFM period but

    also facilitate operations between Europe and South east

    Asia on a H24 basis by providing alternate routings through

    the Kabul FIR.

    Figure 5: ATS Routes affected by ATFM procedures

    in the Bay of Bengal and South Asia for flights transiting

    the Kabul FIR, period 2000 2359 UTC daily.

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    Historically, APAC ATS route design was

    based on early technology using ground-

    based aids to navigation and short/medium-haul aircraft that made refueling

    stops en route between Asia and Europe.

    The revised route structure implemented

    by the EMARSSH Task Force has been

    designed to take advantage of advanced

    satellite technology using RNP and RNAV

    aircraft capability and for medium/long-

    haul aircraft.

    To facilitate the work of the Task Force,

    APANPIRG appointed a Core Team led by

    the ICAO APAC Regional Office. Membersof the Core Team were from Australia,

    Hong Kong, India, Iran, Saudi Arabia,

    Singapore and IATA. The conditions lead-

    ing to the development of the EMARSSH

    route structure were as follows:

    Existing aircraft capabilities and new

    CNS/ATM technology

    and procedures were used to develop

    an ATS route structure

    to reduce congestion, enhance safety,

    and minimise environmental impact.

    The EMARSSH trunk routes were

    developed primarily for international

    long-haul and medium-haul flights.

    As much as possible, the EMARSSH

    trunk routes were laterally separated,

    with minimal crossings that could result

    in choke points.

    The need for full coordination amongst

    the involved APAC ANSPs and airspace

    users, and, due to the length of the

    routes, the requirement for increased

    harmonisation with both the Middle East

    and European regions.

    The EMARSSH route structure was

    designed to support Required Navigation

    Performance (RNP) 10 operations, since

    the majority of flights operating within the

    APAC Region were able to meet RNP

    10 levels of navigational accuracy or

    better. The immediate gain was derived

    from the fact that EMARSSH routes have

    been established 50NM apart without

    affecting ATS operations on adjacent

    routes, thus increasing airspace capacity.

    This advantage was particularlysignificant over the Bay of Bengal, where,

    prior to the implementation of EMARSSH,

    100NM lateral separation was the

    minimum required.

    EMARSSH has been implemented in two

    phases. In the first phase, additional

    routes between Perth and Jakarta, as well

    as between Auckland/Sydney/Melbourne

    and Surabaya, were implemented in

    December 2001. Subsequently, over a

    series of meetings, the EMARSSH Task

    Force developed a set of parallel routes

    spaced at a minimum of 50NM apart

    across the Bay of Bengal, India and the

    Arabian Sea. In addition, the Task Force

    realigned some routes over the Saudi

    Peninsula and Egypt, as well as

    developing routes through the Tehran FIR

    to add to the capacity available in the

    Kabul FIR. All these routes were

    implemented in the second phase on

    November 28, 2002.

    In total, more than 30 FIRs were affected

    by the EMARSSH implementations.

    Essential to the successful conclusion of

    the project was the effective civil/military

    coordination carried out by many of the

    States across the vast expanse of the

    route structure. Without this cooperative

    effort in some areas characterised by

    complex military interactions there would

    have been little chance in gaining the

    benefits that have now been realised.

    The implementation of the EMARSSH

    route structure resolved some previouslyidentified choke points, particularly

    those over the Bay of Bengal, and

    created much needed airspace capacity

    enhancement measures for flights

    between Asia and Middle East/Europe.

    This produced substantial benefits for

    both airspace users and Air Navigation

    Service Providers (ANSPs). Significantly,

    the route restructure paved the way for

    the implementation of RVSM over the

    Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea.

    Airlines too welcomed the new route

    structure. IATA reported that the new

    network of air routes connecting Australia,

    Asia, the Middle East and Europe save

    30 minutes of travel-time, reduce ground

    delays for departures to Europe from

    Singapore, Kuala Lumpur and Bangkok,

    and reduce fuel costs by a conservative

    estimate of US$55 million per year

    (in 2002 dollars and oil prices).

    25

    AIR NAVIGATION

    In 2000, the ICAO APAC Planning and Implementation Regional Group (APANPIRG) established

    the Revised Route StructureAsia to Europe via the Middle East, South-of-the-Himalayas (EMARSSH)

    Task Force to lead the development of a revised route structure to provide for increases in

    international and domestic traffic operating between Asia and Europe. The APAC Regional Report

    provides a review of the conditions leading to and significant results of this vital initiative.

    I

    CAORegionalReportAsia-Pacific

    2008

    EMARSSH: Toward the development ofnew APAC-EUR/NAT route structuresKyotaro Harano joined the ICAO Asia and Pacific Office in 2004 as Regional Officer, Air Traffic Management (ATM) follow-

    ing 20 years with the Japan Civil Aviation Bureau, initially as an air traffic controller at Nagoya Airport and Tokyo (Haneda)

    International Airport, and then as the airspace management officer at Naha Area Control Centre with responsibility for

    international liaison. During the period from 1996 to 1998 he worked at the ATM Section of ICAO Headquar ters in

    Montreal and, from 1999 to 2004, also served the International Federation of Air Traffic Controllers Associations as

    the Technical Representative for APAC matters.

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    In the early 1990s, major aircraft manufacturers

    announced that plans were in hand to develop aeroplanes

    larger than the Boeing 747-400 and which would becapable of carrying more than 500 passengers. In

    response, ICAO carried out a study from 1995 to 1997 with

    the participation of several States, selected international

    organizations and aircraft manufacturers, to develop

    appropriate ICAO provisions to facilitate aerodrome

    development for these new larger aircraft. The result of

    this research and consultation was the development by

    ICAO of the new Code F standards for airports.

    ICAO Provisions

    The ICAO study led to Amendment 3 to Annex 14Volume I

    Aerodrome Design and Operations. The amendment was

    adopted by the ICAO Council in March 1999 and became

    applicable from November 1, 1999. A new aerodrome

    reference code, letter F, to cover aeroplanes with wingspans

    from 65m up to but not including 80m, and an outer main

    gear wheel span from 14m up to but not including 16m, was

    established. New specifications on aerodrome physical

    characteristics (runway width, taxiway width, shoulders,

    taxiway minimum separation distances etc.) for Code F

    aircraft, as well as rescue and fire fighting specifications for

    aircraft with maximum fuselage widths in excess of 7m and

    lengths greater than 76m but not including 90m were also

    developed and included in the new Annex 14, Volume I.

    In order to provide States with information on the issues

    concerning aerodrome facilities and services, air traffic

    management and flight operations which should be considered

    for accommodating New Larger Aircraft (NLA) operations at

    existing aerodromes, ICAO also published the new Circular 305.

    This document provides guidance on conducting aeronautical

    studies, including the development of alternative measures,

    operational procedures and operating restrictions, specifically to

    assist existing airports that do not currently meet the relevant

    Code F specifications.

    In support of the implementation of the new Code F specifications

    in Annex 14, Volume I, ICAO has amended theAerodrome Design

    Manual, Part 1Runways and Part 2Taxiways, Aprons andICAOR

    egionalReportAsia-Pacific

    200

    8

    NLA AIRPORT PREPAREDNESS

    28

    APAC AirportsRamping-up for

    New Larger AircraftSince the debut of the

    very first commercial

    aircraft, the aviation

    industry has experienced

    constant improvements in

    the speed, range and size

    of its fleet, with size in

    particular having the

    greatest impact on the design and

    operations of airports. ICAO and airportoperators have always risen to meet the

    challenges that each new generation

    of aircraft has posed, especially with

    respect to the continuous adaptation of

    the physical characteristics of airports.

    N.C. Sekhar describes the ongoing

    developments in this area.

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    the baggage claim carousels, etc. The

    airports third terminal, opened in

    January 2008, has been completely

    designed and built incorporating A380

    requirements. In all, Changi now opera-

    tes 19 A380 compatible stands as well

    as two additional stands for handling

    freighter versions of the super jumbo.

    Kuala Lumpur International Airport (KLIA)

    KLIA has invested US$30 million to

    upgrade its facilities for A380operations. The project commenced in

    2006 and was completed in December

    2007. The project provided for a 60m

    wide runway with 7.5m shoulders on

    both sides, widening taxiways, relocation

    of runway holding positions and stop

    bars, provision of five apron stands with

    three aerobridges for each stand,

    terminal expansions, etc.

    Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA)

    In anticipation of A380 commercial

    operations, HKIA has invested

    HK$67 million on its own enhancement

    works. The project commenced in April

    2005, and was completed in June 2006.

    Phase 1 of the project provided for

    widening taxiway shoulders associated

    with the southern runway and the cross

    field taxiways, relocation of 15 runway

    holding positions, relocation of objects

    Holding bays, to provide important

    additional guidance material to States.

    In cooperation with IATA, ICAO is also

    actively progressing with the revision of

    the Airport Services Manual, Part 5

    Removal of Disabled aircraft.

    Airport readiness in APAC

    In order to accommodate the A380,

    many APAC States have either

    incorporated the new ICAO Code F

    standards in the design and constructionof new airports, or have employed

    them when modifying existing airports

    to receive the A380. The worlds first

    commercial flight of the A380, on

    October 25, 2007, was a milestone

    in Asia/Pacific aviation history.

    Changi International Airport

    The A380 marked a new chapter in

    Changi airports historyas this was

    the first airport in the world to operatethe aircraft commercially with Singapore

    Airlines. To prepare for the A380,

    Changi invested about US$60 million

    on upgrading the airport facilities,

    widening existing runway shoulders,

    widening the runway/taxiway and

    taxiway/taxiway intersections, gate

    modification, installation of a third

    aerobridge providing direct access to the

    A380s upper deck, enhancements to

    Airbus A380 800 Boeing 747 400 Airbus A380 800 Boeing 747 400

    Passengers 555 (33%) 400 Height 24 m (24%) 19.6 m

    Wingspan 79.75 m (24%) 65 m Fuselage Width 7.14 m (10%) 6.4 m

    Length 72.6 m (2%) 70 m Maximum ramp weight 560 tons (40%) 400 tons

    COMPARATIVE OVERVIEW: A 380-800 AND B 747-400

    such as lamp and sign posts, extension

    of blast fences, upgrading the aircraft

    stands for fixed ground power, pre-

    conditioned air, and air bridges to serve

    the upper deck. In addition, Rescue and

    Fire-fighting (RFF) capability has been

    upgraded to ICAO Category 10.

    Narita, Kansai and Nagoya International

    Airports, Japan

    Narita Airport has completed its enhan-

    cement works in May 2008. Kansaiairport has commissioned a second

    runway and the new airport in Nagoya

    was opened in February 2005, fully

    compliant with Code F requirements.

    Suvarnabhumi International Airport,

    Bangkok

    Designed from the onset and construct-

    ed for ICAO Code F requirements, the

    Suvarnabhumi Airport in Bangkok was

    opened for operations in September 2006.The airport has two Code F runways.

    China and Korea

    Three International Airports in China,

    namely Beijing, Shanghai Pudong and

    Guangzhou International Airports are

    also now A380 compatible. In addition,

    Incheon Airport in the Republic Of Korea

    is A380 compatible.

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    Whats next for APAC?

    THE ACI VIEWPOINT

    30

    On behalf of the ACI Asia-Pacific Region,

    I would like to congratulate the ICAO

    Bangkok Regional Office on the occasion

    of its 60th anniversary.

    The Airports Council International (ACI)

    has been working closely with ICAO

    since ACIs establishment in 1991 as

    the first international association

    representing the common interests ofairport operators around the world.

    The aviation industry has been going

    through changes in recent years that

    almost defy imagination, and in the

    Asia-Pacific Region par ticularly the

    industry is witnessing a boom that

    surpasses all our earlier expectations.

    According to the ACI Global Traffic

    Forecast, 2006-2025, the industry will

    grow at an average rate of 4.0 percent

    per annum in the next 20 years, withthe Asia-Pacific Region becoming the

    worlds largest aviation market by 2025.

    The aviation industry is providing over

    4.5 million jobs worldwide that are

    directly dependent on airports and

    airport operations and airports will

    continue to be the most important

    source of jobs created in the aviation

    industry. In the year 2006, airports in

    Asia-Pacific employed some 950,000

    on site.

    Airports today are no longer simply

    infrastructure providers. They have

    become commercially successful

    entities contributing to the growth of

    regional economies and higher level of

    customer satisfaction. Non-aeronautical

    revenue for airports continues to grow

    and now accounts for 45.7 percent of

    revenues for airports in this region.

    Capital Expenditure (CE) rose sharply

    in all regions in 2007, with APAC

    experiencing the largest CE growth rate

    (14.3 percent) of any region in the

    world. With these types of staggering

    figures at hand an obvious question

    might be:

    Whats next for the Asia-Pacific Region?

    Surging APAC traffic currently poses agreat challenge to our industry. Over the

    next 20 years this will be further driven

    by the strong economic growth of

    emerging economies in the region

    such as China and India. ACI believes

    that a shortage in airport capacity is

    therefore the most urgent problem that

    our industry faces. China alone expects

    to construct 49 new airports in the next

    five years as well as to launch 700

    additional airport-related projects.

    Governments must continue to recognizethat the shortage in airport capacity is

    indeed an urgent issue in light of the

    fact that airports and the broader

    aviation industry they serve play such

    a vital role as engines of economic

    growth, trade and tourismcontributing

    significantly to both regional and global

    prosperity.

    ACI encourages its members to become

    carbon neutral and I am proud to state

    that airports in our region have adopted

    a number of effective measures in this

    area. In April 2008 our industry took a

    significant step forward by signing a

    joint declaration and committing itself

    to a carbon neutral growth to help

    tackle the climate change problem.

    The majority of the airports in the Asia-

    Pacific Region are very supportive of

    this declaration and I am confident that

    further excellent projects will be

    developed to help minimize aviations

    impact on the environment and aid its

    sustainability.

    ACI has also been participating actively

    on safety matters together with ICAO

    and submitted several safety-related

    working papers in the last ICAO

    Assembly. ACI encourages airport

    operators, together with their regulators,to focus on airport certification as a

    high priority. It believes regulators

    should apply ICAO standards but avoid

    an excessively prescriptive approach to

    safety regulation.

    ACI believes airport user charges

    should be established through consul-

    tation between airport operators and

    users wherever possible. ACI advocates

    that airports should continue to engage

    in partnership with airlines and the localcivil aviation authorities on a number

    of issues, including airport charges,

    environmental programmes tailored to

    local communities and contingency

    plans to deal with outbreaks of

    communicable diseases.

    The ACI Asia-Pacific Region will

    continue to engage in discussions with

    all international organizations, most

    importantly ICAO and work closely with

    these partners to serve our industry

    and to meet the challenges that lie

    ahead for the Region.

    Maggie Kwok formerly had a distinguished career with the Customs & Excise Department, HKSAR. She has extensive

    experience in the area of world trade facilitation, has worked in strong partnership with the airport community through

    her career, and was instrumental in making Hong Kong an international and regional air logistics hub. In mid-2006,

    Mrs. Kwok joined the ACI, Asia-Pacific Region as Regional Director.

    ICAOR

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    8

    By Maggie Kwok, CDSM, Regional Director, ACI Asia-Pacific Region

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    By Rob Eagles, IATA APAC Director, Safety Operations & Infrastructure (SO&I)

    IATA, ICAO AND APAC ATM

    34

    IATA has a long history of close coopera-

    tion with the ICAO APAC Office, assisting

    and supporting their vision of an integrat-

    ed, harmonised and globally interoperable

    Air Traffic Management (ATM) system.

    APAC is one of the fastest growing Regions

    in the world and, by 2010, it will be largest

    aviation market in the world. This presentsobvious challenges for both ICAO and IATA,

    but there are many examples of how the

    effective working relationship between

    ICAO and IATA has delivered significant

    ATM benefits to the aviation industry. Two

    such achievements are EMARSSH (Europe,

    Middle East, Asia Route Structure South of

    the Himalayas)and BOBCAT (Bay of Bengal

    Cooperative ATFM Advisory System).

    EMARSSH

    A review of the route structure between

    Europe and Australasia (south of the

    Himalayas) in 2000 identified that

    significant improvements were needed

    to enhance ef ficiency. Flights were

    suffering lengthy delays and were

    unable to fly at their optimum altitude.

    IATA engaged the help and support of

    the ICAO APAC Regional Office to

    address this issue (editors notefor

    more on this topic see the related

    EMARSSH article on p. 25).

    The EMARSSH project was completed in

    November 2002 providing a more

    efficient route structure that stretches

    halfway across the world. Flight times

    between Australia and Europe were

    reduced by up to 30 minutes, and fuel

    consumption reduced by at least 25,000

    tonnes annually (2002 data) with an

    associated saving of 79,000 tonnes of

    CO2. The implementation of the new

    route structure was the culmination of

    a two-year effort which saw IATA, the

    international airlines, States, military

    authorities and charting companies all

    working together as an effective team

    under the guidance of ICAO.

    Air Traffic Flow Management (BOBCAT)

    The growth of long-haul flights between

    South east and Western Europe over

    the last five years resulted in flights

    experiencing lengthy delays. This was

    caused by an unregulated flow of

    flights through Kabul FIR and European

    airport cur fews. The s