IC CAD Market Trends 2015 - Gary Smith EDAIC CAD market vendor revenue reached $2,295.3 in 2014. Worldwide CAD revenue captured 29% share of total EDA in 2014. The IC CAD market covered

C O N S U L T I N G I N E L E C T R O N I C D E S I G N

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IC CAD Market Trends 2015 Developments of Multi-CAD Models

PHONE +1 (408) 985-2929 www.garysmithEDA.com


© 2015 Gary Smith EDA. All Rights Reserved. You cannot reprint any material or use any graphics without explicit written permission from Gary Smith EDA.

IC CAD Market Trends 2015Developments of Multi-CAD Models

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Title 1 ........... Market Trends 2014 Introduction2 ........... Ic Place & Route3 ........... ASIC Layout Custom Layout4 ........... PhysicalVerification Design Rule Checking (DRC) 5 ........... Extraction6 ........... IC Power7 ........... Signal-Integrity (SI)8 ........... IC SPICE9 ........... Physical Libraries and Tools10 ......... IC CAM

TABLE OF FIGURES

Page Title 1 ........... Figure C-1: Top 5 Share of CAD/CAM 20143 ........... Figure C-2: ASIC Layout Market Share 2014 Figure C-3: ASIC Layout Forecast 20154 ........... Figure C-4: Custom Layout Market Share 2014 Figure C-5: Custom Layout Forecast 20155 ........... Figure C-6: DRC Market Share 2014 Figure C-7: DRC Forecast 2015 Figure C-8: Extractor Market Share 20146 ........... Figure C-9: Extractor Forecast 2015 Figure C-10: Timing, EMI, and Metal Migration Market Share 20147 ........... Figure C-11: IC Power Analysis Market Share 2014 Figure C-12: IC Power Analysis Forecast 20158 ........... Figure C-13: Signal-Integrity Market Share 2014 Figure C-14: Signal-Integrity Forecast 20159 ........... Figure C-15: IC SPICE Market Share 2014 Figure C-16: IC SPICE Market Forecast 201510 ......... Figure C-17: Physical Libraries Market Share 2014 Figure C-18: Physical Libraries Forecast 201511 ......... Figure C-19: IC CAM Market Share 2014 Figure C-20: IC CAM Forecast 201512 .......... Appendix A: IC CAD/CAM Market Forecast 2015

Figure C-1: Top 5 Share of CAD/CAM 2014

(Source: Gary Smith EDA, November 2015)

Mentor20%

ARM5%

Ansys5%

Cadence26%

Synopsys44%

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© 2015 Gary Smith EDA. All Rights Reserved. You cannot reprint any material or use any graphics without explicit written permission from Gary Smith EDA.

IC CAD Market Trends 2015 Developments of Multi-CAD Models

Market Trends 2014

IC CAD market vendor revenue reached $2,295.3 in 2014. Worldwide CAD revenue captured 29%

share of total EDA in 2014. The IC CAD market covered in this report is segmented into four main

categories:ICPlaceandRoute,PhysicalVerification,PhysicalLibrariesandTools,andICCAM(see

Appendix A). There are over 12 sub-applications within these four categories that contain market

shareupdates.ThetopfivevendorsofCAD/CAMtoolscaptured90percentshareofthemarketin

2014. ARM and Ansys now represent 10 percent of total CAD. Figure C-1 illustrates the

topfivevendors.

INTRODUCTION

Traditional CAD models focused on long design cycles from multiple and costly design rework. As

noted by SolidWorks, ideally, one would choose the modeling approach that worked best for the

type of product one needed to design – top-down, bottom-up, or master model design techniques.

Since 2012, as a result of mergers, collaborations and acquisitions, EDA vendors, semiconductor

andsystemscompaniesteamedtodevelopmultipleplatformsandsystemdesignflows.

MicroMagic, Keysight EEsof, Altium, Atoptech, Intel/Docea, and Terrazon, Dassault and Siemens

proved that multiple organizations can work cooperatively to create multiple data models to

improve cost, ease of integration, and security.

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MARY [email protected]


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MicroMagic, Inc. is a privately held company. MicroMagic builds, uses and sells its high-end CAD

tools to create multiple models across its MAX-3D System.

That includes:

• Chip-to-Board viewing and editing - in 3D

• Load Chip, Package and Board together, in one tool

• Isolate and extract nets; study signal integrity across all components

• View, edit and analyze chips, package and board in one environment

• Micro Magic’s 3D Design Suite together with MAX-3D TSV Placer

and MAX-3D Path Finder

Companies like Dassault’s SOLIDWORKS with the 3DEXPERIENCE solutions created single and

multi-modeling methodologies that leverage various approaches or techniques in a single modeling

environment. The SolidWorks Industrial Designer and SolidWorks Conceptual Designer offer

the ability to mix parametric features, concept sketches, 2D mechanism, solids, and direct edit

featuresinasingleproductstructure.TheSingleModelingEnvironmentprovidestheflexibilityto

use the best modeling method to solve design challenges.

Through mergers and acquisitions, PTC is a Multi-CAD design company. As it noted in its recent

publication on “Best Practices” in CAD, most manufacturers are leveraging a variety of 3D CAD

packages in their product development activities to support different design processes such as

mechanical design versus electrical design.

Given the complexity of today’s advanced product designs, cycle times and supply chains,

designersneedvisibilityintothefullproductprocessflowanddevelopment.

IC PLACE & ROUTE

Place and Route tools are used to transfer the design to a silicon mask- generating format. MicroMagic

believes its solution is the most powerful layout system for any size IC, able to load, view, and edit

designs of more than one trillion devices in “real time”. Customer benchmarks prove MAX to be

50X faster in displaying physical layout data. MicroMagic has announced that their layout tools offer

interoperability with other IC design tools for Open Access and IPL programs.

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ASIC LAYOUT

As shown in Figure C-2 Synopsys remains the number one vendor in this market maintaining 64

percent share of total market revenue of $738.1 in 2014. Synopsys, along with Cadence, Mentor and

Atoptech,providecompanieswithalmostcompletesolutions indesign,verification, integrityand

project management. ASIC layout users employ these design solutions in system applications like

automotivetoreducesystemcost,improvereliabilityandimprovetimetomarketcycles.Thefive-

year CAGR for ASIC layout is estimated to reach $1,024 by 2019, or 6.8% percent (see Figure C-3).

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Figure C-2: ASIC Layout Market Share 2014


Cadence Design Systems

29%

Mentor Graphics4%

Atoptech3%

Synopsys64%


588.5 582.4

715.6 738.1 771.8 850.0 867.0

918.0 1,024.0

0.0

200.0

400.0

600.0

800.0

1,000.0

1,200.0

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CUSTOM LAYOUTCustom Layout design tools that work at the transistor level to size transistors, are used in processor, memory, analog design and device design where performance or device scaling is of prime importance. Vendor revenues totaled $241.3 in 2014. Eight vendors participated in the survey in 2014. Cadence remains the number one vendor with over 68 percent market share (see Figure C-4). Tanner, recently acquired by Mentor Graphics, MicroMagic and Silvaco are expected to grow share in the coming forecast years. MicroMagic now offers its MAX 3D design suite for advanced 3D design stacking and Interposer development. The long-range forecast in Figure C-5 shows the

market CAGR at 10.7 percent.

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Figure C-4: Custom Layout Market Share 2014


JEDAT5%

Mentor Graphics4%

Silvaco3%

Tanner 3%

MicroMagic1%


68%

Synopsys8%

Sagantec8%

201.4 213.3 238.8 241.3

303.0 350.2 360.2 371.0

402.0

0.0

50.0

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200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

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PHYSICAL VERIFICATION

DESIGN RULE CHECKING (DRC)DRCisusedtoperformfinalverificationonanICdesignbeforemakingmasks.DRCgrewto$261.2in2014,led by Mentor Graphics at $163.9. Mentor Graphics now owns 63 percent share of the DRC market. Figure

C-6 illustrates the market share distribution for the major vendors of DRC tools. Figure C-7 captures the

2015 forecast of DRC through 2019.



EXTRACTIONExtraction tools are used to determine the parasitic effects caused by the physical implementation of the design. Synopsys maintained its lead in this area with 50 percent market share as seen in Figure C-8. Success in next generation process technologies depends on parasitic extraction tools that can provide accurate transistor level extraction of parasitic effects. Extraction tools are solutions that speed up design cycle times for multiple design applications. Figure C-9 shows a steady forecast

through 2019.

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212.7 226.6 248.9 261.2 268.5

298.0 298.0 289.8 296.0

0.0

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150.0

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350.0

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Figure C-8: Extractor Market Share 2014


ANSYS3%

OptEM Engineering2%

Silvaco0%Synopsys

50%


32%

Mentor Graphics13%

Figure C-6: DRC Market Share 2014


Silvaco1%

Tanner1%

MicroMagic0%Mentor Graphics

63%


20%Synopsys

15%



PHYSICAL ANALYSIS TOOLS

Physicalanalysistoolsareusedtoanalyzethephysicaleffectsofthefinaldesignlayout.Thissub-application segment consists of IC Power analysis, Signal Integrity, Timing analysis, Electro Magnetic Interference (EMI), and Metal Migration. The Timing, EMI, and Metal Migration sub application numbers are small, with few companies represented (see Figure C-10). However, the sub

applications have been included in the long-range forecast shown in Appendix A.

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Figure C-10: Timing, EMI, and Metal Migration Market Share 2014


Ansys (Apache) Timing10%

OptEM-EMI5%Ansys EMI

62%

Quantic EMC Metal Mig.

20%Applied Simulation

Technology-EMI3%

106.9 119.6 119.0

126.5 129.0 135.5 142.2

149.3 155.0

0.0

20.0

40.0

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120.0

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IC POWERIn the power market, Ansys grew its revenue in IC Power tools in 2014 to $70.7 and controls over 69 percent of this market (see Figure C-11). Cadence ranks number two in this market after its acquisition of Sigrity (see Figure C-12). Increasing device complexity, power dissipation, and chip scaling makes thermal/power analysis critical to chip, package, board and system integrity and reliability. Other companies that will drive growth and new products of power analysis and optimizations include: ARM, Envis, Keysight EEsof, Library Technologies, Mentor Graphics, OEA International, and Silvaco.



SIGNAL-INTEGRITY (SI)

The Signal Integrity market maintained fairly strong growth in revenue again in 2014. Worldwide

revenue reached $78.8. Synopsys holds 48% and Cadence has 37% share of the 2014 market (see

Figure C-13). Signal Integrity (SI) addresses two concerns in electrical design – the timing and the

quality of the signal. Does the signal reach its destination when it is supposed to and is it in good

condition when it gets there? The goal of signal integrity analysis is to ensure reliable high-speed

data transmission.

The role of SI analysis is expected to play a critical role in the deep-submicron high-speed chip,

package,PCBandsystemdesignflowtoguaranteereliablesystemoperation.Over16competitors

compete for revenue in this segment. The estimated long-term forecast shown in Figure C-14 could

exceed 6%.

7

70.8 80.3

95.7 101.8 119.0

130.9 143.0

151.0 158.0

0.0

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Figure C-11: IC Power Analysis Market Share 2014



31%

Ansys69%



IC SPICE

IC simulation program with integrated circuit emphasis (SPICE) simulation — SPICE or SPICE-like

simulation typically using a derivative of the Berkeley SPICE transistor-level simulator — transistor-

level simulation. As noted by Texas Instruments, SPICE models have been a mainstay of applications

departments at semiconductor companies for decades. SPICE models provided by EDA companies

were developed for simulation purposes. As markets and technology changed SPICE tools were

distributedinprint,floppyDisk,throughCDsandtheWorldWideWeb.MicrosoftWindowsintroduced

anewelementtoP-SPICE—graphicalinterfacefreeingdesignersfromASCIIfiles.

Simulator Program for Integrated Circuits (SPICE) is a diverse market, split into two main camps

withmultiplecompetitors.Historically,BerkeleySPICEwasthefirstoftheUniversitySimulators

used by IC designers. It split into two camps in the 1980s: P-SPICE used primarily by PCB

designers and H-SPICE used by IC designers. Cadence owns P-SPICE and Synopsys owns H-SPICE.

Synopsys led the IC SPICE market in 2014 with over 68% percent share. Their revenue reached

$65.8 in 2014. There are now over 20 competitors in this market, which is expected to reach $188 by 2019 as shown in Figure C-16. A fairly new competitor to this area is ProPlus Design Solutions.

8


63.7 62.2 72.6

78.8 83.0 87.2 91.5 96.1 110.0

0.0

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40.0

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80.0

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Figure C-13: Signal Integrity Market Share 2014


Synopsys48%

Quantic EMC7%

Ansys6%

OptEM Engineering

2%


37%



ProPlus introduced its NanoSpice™ product in 2015. NanoSpice is a next-generation high-capacity, high-performance parallel SPICE simulator for giga-scale circuit simulation. As stated by Dr. Zhihong Liu, executive chairman of ProPlus, this new simulation technology is essential for deep nanometertechnologydesignswhereprocessvariationssignificantlyimpactcircuityieldandperformance. The need for giga-scale simulations is being driven by complex designs and because of the large number of simulations required to design for variation effects. Traditional SPICE simulators lack capacity requirements even with parallelization. FastSPICE simulators that deliver capacity at the cost of accuracy are losing steam as an increasing number of designs require post-layoutverificationthatweakenscircuithierarchy.NanoSPICEissuitedforapplicationssuchas memory, analog/mixed-signal, I/O, custom digital and standard cell design. NanoSpice handles challenging designs, including the characterization of large embedded SRAM blocks, post-layout analysis of analog circuits, sign-off simulation of full-chip power integrated circuit (IC) or wireless

transceiver circuits, and accurate clock tree and critical path analysis.

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Figure C-15: IC SPICE Market Share 2014


Synopsys68%

Applied Simulation Technology

2%ProPlus Design

Solutions2%

Tanner0%

Silvaco28%

120.9

101.8 91.5 96.5

130.0 136.5

165.0 173.3

188.0

0.0

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PHYSICAL LIBRARIES and TOOLS

This segment of IC CAD/CAM consists of Physical Libraries, Target Compilers and Library Development

tools. As shown in Figure C-17, ARM leads the overall market category with 74% share, followed by

Keysight Technologies with 12% share. The long-range forecast is expected to be strong with CAGR

of 5 percent through 2019, as shown in Figure C-18. Target Compiler and Library Development

segments are small markets as many semiconductor vendors have captured Library Development

tools in-house.

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Figure C-17: Physical Libraries & Tools Market Share 2014


ARM-PL74%

Synopsys-PL9%

Silvaco2%

Ansys2%MicroMagic

1%

Keysight Eesof12%

0.0

50.0

100.0

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250.0

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IC CAM

This segment consists of T-CAD, RET (Resolution Enhancement Technology), and DFY (Design for

Yield) products used during manufacturing to optimize the technology necessary to reduce stress and

thermal effects with the materials, structure, and processes. This segment is basically controlled by

Synopsys in T-CAD followed by Mentor Graphics in RET and DFY tools. Total IC CAM is shown in Figure

C-19. A company not listed but active in the T-CAD space is Silvaco. Silvaco formed a collaborative

relationship with Sematech in 2013 to develop new design, modeling and simulation methods for

next generation technologies. The Synopsys T-CAD tools are widely used for development of CMOS,

power, memory, sensor, and analog/RF device designs. This segment is expected to grow over 8.4%

in the forecast period as shown in Figure C-20.



11

See Appendix A for more 2015 forecast detail.

$381 $396 $418 $471

$508 $554

$604 $621

$705

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

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Figure C-19: IC CAM Market Share 2014


Mentor41%

ProPlus Design

2%

Synopsys49%

Silvaco3%Cadence

5%



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Appendix A: IC CAD/CAM Market Forecast 2015

App Category Sub App (Sub) Sub-App 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 CAGR (%) 2013-2019

IC CAD 2,133.6 7,799.1 8,559.9 9,524.5 10,111.7 10,461.2 11,452.9 8.0%

IC P&R 954.3 979.5 1,074.8 1,200.0 1,227.2 1,289.0 1,426.0 7.8%

ASIC Layout 715.6 738.1 771.8 850.0 867.0 918.0 1,024.0 6.8%

Custom Layout 238.8 241.3 303.0 350.2 360.2 371.0 402.0 10.7%

PhysicalVerification 651.6 693.8 759.4 819.4 872.7 894.1 945.0 6.4%

DRC 248.9 261.2 268.5 298.0 298.0 289.8 296.0 2.5%

Extraction 119.0 126.5 129.0 135.5 142.2 149.3 155.0 4.2%

Analysis 192.2 209.7 231.9 249.4 267.5 281.7 306.0 7.9%

Timing 2.7 2.9 4.3 4.5 4.7 5.0 6.0 15.7%

Power 95.7 101.8 119.0 130.9 143.0 151.0 158.0 9.2%

Signal-Integrity 72.6 78.8 83.0 87.2 91.5 96.1 110.0 6.9%

EMI 16.0 20.4 20.0 21.0 22.1 23.2 25.0 4.1%

Metal Migration 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.5 7.0 4.2%

IC SPICE 91.5 96.5 130.0 136.5 165.0 173.3 188.0 14.3%

Physical Libraries & Tools 109.2 151.4 157.5 166.0 175.1 184.6 193.5 5.0%

Physical Libraries 90.3 129.3 134.0 141.4 149.1 157.3 165.0 5.0%

Target Compiler 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.5 6.2%

Library Development Tools 15.1 18.0 19.0 20.0 20.9 22.0 23.0 5.0%

IC CAM 418.45 470.59 507.84 553.89 604.27 621.00 705.00 8.4%

T-CAD 109.3 117.1 118.3 125.3 132.9 140.0 154.0 5.6%

RET 224.3 259.6 285.6 314.1 345.6 351.0 396.0 8.8%

DFY 84.8 93.9 104.0 114.4 125.8 130.0 155.0 10.5%

Documents

IC CAD Market Trends 2015 - Gary Smith EDAIC CAD market vendor revenue reached $2,295.3 in 2014. Worldwide CAD revenue captured 29% share of total EDA in 2014. The IC CAD market covered