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··•· · Russia and Its Near Abroad: • .·· .. From One Empire to Another? ·
Defense Science Board · . · . 26 May 2005
. . . · · Dr. Eric A. Miller .. · · .... · ... ·· I National Institute for Public Policy .
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The Diversity of Russia . Autonomoos Areas in Russia
Automus republic
Autononous oblast (AO!
Autcmroos olaug (AOk}
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The Cauldrons of Multi-ethnicity
• Stalin's Border Demarcation· Caucasus ·
• Divide and Rule Strategy
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) "The demise of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century." Russian President Vladimir Putin
State of the Nation Address, April 25, 2005
• ···•· · · •·-~ ·c .... ~- ~-------------
.. Independence & Upheaval in the Caucasus
Georgia: South Ossetia (1990-91) :·
: Abkhazia (1992-93)
Line of . Armenian
Occupation of Seven · · Azeri Provinces . _ .. :,_ .
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;:.: _<~~spl•n .. . :':::: :Sea:··; __ .:
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· Azeri-Armenian Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh ( 1_991-94)
------------ - - .. ···---- . ...
...... , .. _, • ..•. .. .........-------·--------
Independence & Upheaval in Central Asia
· Tajik Civil War (1992-97)
Ferghana Valley \ Ol!i~\:'\ihi;;;·;;J,.:J..- 1989, 1990 (2005)
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···I • .. ·'\ •• · ·Fevent ,the snread of ·iJSiatintc .exlef1TI!t'i . ;: .... ,.,,_, ., . , · .·:r .:··.: oH}1.~ ~ --~ ~ .:: .. · · ·:· ~:_:: ~ : .. _',: . .. ~~-- ·. =· ;._,_. f :i: .. ":::::: ... · ... · · '. : ... · \_. :i·t· ·:i)~; ,._ · ~ ·:?.;;.: ;· :.\r· · · ·!\;·-··!··:~, ~L~ .,.1
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"The civilizing mission of the Russian nation on the Eurasian continent should . . · · continue. This means that democratic values multiplied by national interests · should enrich and strengthen our historical unity."
_. Russian President Vladimir Putin State of the Nation Address, April 25, 2005
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.· f · •.. · .. Russian Perception: Regional predominance ~I · · . r· . · . · . . challenged and crumbling .• • . · .. · . ·.. 1
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Russian Involvement in Georgia ·
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A-6 Existing Russian/CIS Military Bases
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· ·. Sea: ..... . . : .
Ajara 1 Reintegrated
May 2004 . ·•··
. .. . · .I South Ossetia & · Abkhazia • Ethnically Distinct
. 1 ·Previous Civil Wars .. · I 1990·91 I 1992·93 . ·
1 Ethnic Violence
· • .Refugee Issues
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. Orange Revolution: The Loss of Ukraine · • Ukraine closely tied to Russian . ·. national identity · • Kiev: Birthplace of Russia state ·
• Russian minorities/Russian-. speakers in Eastern Ukraine .
1 Putin on the Yanukovich campaign ·trail ·
1 Fraudulent elections and revolution · 1 Kiev looks to the Euro-Atlantic .
community
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