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f . ··•· · Russia and Its Near Abroad: . ·· .. From One Empire to Another? · Defense Science Board · . · . 26 May 2005 . . . · · Dr. Eric A. Miller .. · · .... · ... ·· I National Institute for Public Policy . . 1

I..."The civilizing mission of the Russian nation on the Eurasian continent should . . · · continue. This means that democratic values multiplied by national interests · should

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f .

··•· · Russia and Its Near Abroad: • .·· .. From One Empire to Another? ·

Defense Science Board · . · . 26 May 2005

. . . · · Dr. Eric A. Miller .. · · .... · ... ·· I National Institute for Public Policy .

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Soviet Monolith? ·

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The Diversity of Russia . Autonomoos Areas in Russia

Automus republic

Autononous oblast (AO!

Autcmroos olaug (AOk}

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The Cauldrons of Multi-ethnicity

• Stalin's Border Demarcation· Caucasus ·

• Divide and Rule Strategy

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) "The demise of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century." Russian President Vladimir Putin

State of the Nation Address, April 25, 2005

• ···•· · · •·-~ ·c .... ~- ~-------------

.. Independence & Upheaval in the Caucasus

Georgia: South Ossetia (1990-91) :·

: Abkhazia (1992-93)

Line of . Armenian

Occupation of Seven · · Azeri Provinces . _ .. :,_ .

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· Azeri-Armenian Conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh ( 1_991-94)

------------ - - .. ···---- . ...

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Independence & Upheaval in Central Asia

· Tajik Civil War (1992-97)

Ferghana Valley \ Ol!i~\:'\ihi;;;·;;J,.:J..- 1989, 1990 (2005)

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"The civilizing mission of the Russian nation on the Eurasian continent should . . · · continue. This means that democratic values multiplied by national interests · should enrich and strengthen our historical unity."

_. Russian President Vladimir Putin State of the Nation Address, April 25, 2005

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.· f · •.. · .. Russian Perception: Regional predominance ~I · · . r· . · . · . . challenged and crumbling .• • . · .. · . ·.. 1

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Russian Involvement in Georgia ·

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A-6 Existing Russian/CIS Military Bases

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Ajara 1 Reintegrated

May 2004 . ·•··

. .. . · .I South Ossetia & · Abkhazia • Ethnically Distinct

. 1 ·Previous Civil Wars .. · I 1990·91 I 1992·93 . ·

1 Ethnic Violence

· • .Refugee Issues

12

. Orange Revolution: The Loss of Ukraine · • Ukraine closely tied to Russian . ·. national identity · • Kiev: Birthplace of Russia state ·

• Russian minorities/Russian-. speakers in Eastern Ukraine .

1 Putin on the Yanukovich campaign ·trail ·

1 Fraudulent elections and revolution · 1 Kiev looks to the Euro-Atlantic .

community

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