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January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 1
I, Robot…how to create digital platforms that consumers want to use
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 2
Agenda
1. The Future is Digital
2. Digital is Trustworthy
3. Digital is Tabloid
4. Digital is Malleable
5. Q&A
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 3
1. The Future is Digital
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 4
Dectech specialises in helping businesses understand and manage consumer decision-making
Example Clients
• Independent: Founded in 2002 at the University of Warwick, we are now entirely staff-owned and based in central London
• Innovative: Nick Chater is a Professor of Behavioural Science at WBS and advises on the latest behavioural research
• Commercial: Henry Stott has over 25 years of commercial experience and prior to Dectech was a Director of Oliver Wyman
• Quantitative: We specialise in quantitative methods, with large sample sizes to tackle commercial problems
Decision Technology
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 5
The migration to online is inevitable, how can behavioural psychology help the industry adapt?
Digital is Trustworthy
How can firms use digital tools to increase trust and truthfulness?
Digital is Tabloid
How can simplicity of online platforms improve customer decision making?
Digital is Malleable
How can choice architecture increase website sales?
• Since 1989, Britain has lost 53% of it’s bank branches, with more than 600 closing in the last year alone (Apr ‘15 – Apr ’16)
• In 2011 there were 478m “customer interactions” in Britain’s bank branches. Last year it was less than 280m
• Meanwhile, online alternative finance market within the UK grew 83% (£3.2 billion) in 2015
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 6
2. Digital is Trustworthy
Background Case study
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 7
The financial crisis has severely damaged the reputation of the banking sector
Source: Dectech (2015), Decision Technology Brand Personality Survey 2015, http://www.dectech.co.uk/brand2015/brand_personality_2015.pdf; http://www.edelman.com/insights/intellectual-property/2016-edelman-trust-barometer/state-of-trust/trust-in-financial-services-trust-rebound/
• Financial services and banks are consistently found to be one of the least trusted industries
• Only 41% of consumers in the UK report having trust in the financial industry compared to 54% in US and Hong Kong
• Trust is fundamental to the financial industry, as almost any consumer interaction is dependant on it
30 40 50 60
Political Parties
Utilities
Banks
Airlines
Insurers
Media
Telecoms
FMCG
Retailers
Car Makers
Technology
Supermarkets
Industry trust scores
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 8
For trust to occur, at least one of the following three conditions within the ABC trust framework must be satisfied
Source; Dectech (2015). Mind the Gap: restoring trust in UK financial services. Financial Services Compensation Scheme, White Paper https://www.fscs.org.uk/globalassets/press-releases/20151111-fscs-trust-white-paper-final.pdf
Trust Framework
Alignment
Competence
Benevolence
Is it in X’s interest to
provide the things that I
want or need?
Are X able to consistently
deliver what I want and
what they promise?
Do I believe that X will do
things for me even if not
in its own direct interest?
How can X credibly
commit to always act in
my best interest?
How can X demonstrate
competence, capability
and consistency?
What can X say or do to
build a reputation for
altruistic behaviour?
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 9
The move into the digital space could actually help with trust
How many people reported that they saved regularly?
29%
14%
• Traditional face-to face interaction is burdened with peer effects and social desirability
• However, studies using self administered methods tend to obtain more honest answers
• Being online can potentially increase trust: as people can be more truthful and trusting in these interactions
Lind, L. H., et al. (2013). Why do survey respondents disclose more when computers ask the questions?. Public opinion quarterly, 77(4), 888-935.
People are less likely to be honest about saving in F2F interaction
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 10
2. Digital is Trustworthy
Background Case study
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 11
Our work for TAL discovered numerous ways in which we can improve honesty in the online space
• TAL is the market leading life insurance company in Australia, with 4 million customers over $3bn in revenue
• Managing people’s honesty during a new online life policy underwriting process was a key concern for TAL
• Since the research TAL has continued to expand, with a growth of 10% from 2015 to 2016
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 12
Summarised under three key axes, we generated ideas on how findings from the literature can be applied digitally
Reciprocation People will behave in a more trustworthy
way if you have exhibited trust or persuaded them that you trust them
Honesty Priming People will be more honest if you can
remind them of the desirability of honesty or their own prior honest behaviour
Self-Consistency When people see themselves behave in a given way, they tend to prefer to continue
to behaviour that way in future
Source: Shu, L. L., Mazar, N., Gino, F., Ariely, D., & Bazerman, M. H. (2012). Signing at the beginning makes ethics salient and decreases dishonest self-reports in comparison to signing at the end. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109, 15197-15200.
Signature location
23,670
26,098
Bottom Top
Signing at the top led to a 10.25% increase in
mileage reporting for a car insurance company
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 13
The ideas generated were implemented on a new digital online underwriting platform to drive growth and sales
Use of positive imagery to encourage truthfulness
Disclosure appears before the customer answers any questions about themselves
Personal medical questions appear at the very end after inoffensive ones to encourage self consistency
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 14
3. Digital is Tabloid
Background Case study
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 15
The financial industry is stacked with choice and complexity, but is this what consumers want?
• The amount of choice available to consumers within the financial industry, especially online, is staggering
• The common belief is that consumers want more and more choice, but behavioural science tells us otherwise…
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 16
When faced with complexity we can make mistakes or disengage from the decision-making process
Source: DecTech (2010). Consumer Decision-Making in Retail Investment Services: A Behavioural Economics Perspective, Final Report
• People are more inclined to choose a simpler product even though it may not always be optimal
• Given the option to invest in two funds, people are much more likely to optimally invest their money if funds are simple
• This can also be seen when funds have explanatory advice and pre-calculation showing a distinct aversion to complexity
14.6%
7.3%
3.9%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Simple Pre-calculated Advisory
Incr
ea
se in
op
tim
al
ass
et
allo
cati
on
(%)
Simple fund: Dow Jones / no fees Complex fund: Dow Jones / guarantee min return / with costs
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 17
Less choice can also lead to greater loyalty for products
Chernev, A. (2003). The role of ideal point availability and assortment in consumer choice. Journal of Consumer Research, 30, 170-183.
• Having a lot of options can lead to confused decision making and people are more prone to changing their mind
• People tend to stick with their original choice if they have less to choose from in the first place
• Offering less can lead to more focused decision making and increase the chance that customers stay loyal
How many people stayed with their original chocolate choice?
91%
62%
4 options
16 options
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 18
3. Digital is Tabloid
Background Case study
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 19
This consumer need for simplicity was a primary focus in our research on British Gas’ HomeCare range
HomeCare before re-launch
• Dectech were asked by BG to enhance the online purchase journey in order to meet changing customer demand
• The existing offer, whilst ultimately 4 products, had in fact 126 different product configurations
• This needed a robust online experiment and a large sample size to test a variety of different propositions
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 20
Using randomised controlled trials, we tested a range of different portfolios against the current offer
• A bespoke online sales journey simulation was created mimicking the existing BG website
• Each consumer was randomly allocated to one of 25 conditions, followed-up with purchase likelihood questions
• Portfolios tested ranged from limited choice to build-your-own and included variations to pricing, excess, extras etc.
Slide 20
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 21
The relaunch of Simply HomeCare more than doubled the 5% online sales conversion target
• Online conversion rates improved by 12% due to the simplified product range and optimized online sales journey
• The Net Promoter Score for the online sales journey has also improved from +9 to +24 since the re-launch
• Our successful research also won the MRS award for Financial Services Research
Dramatically simplified to
8 options
Previously offering
126
Product options
Condensed product options
???
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 22
4. Digital is Malleable
Background Case study
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 23
Which square is lighter, A or B?
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 24
People’s preferences are not always stable, but rather framed by the context effects around them
• Human preference is incredibly malleable, even slight changes in context can influence behaviour
• People tend to have a preference for the ‘default’ options that are presented to them – status quo bias
Source: Knetsch, J. L. (1989). The endowment effect and evidence of non-reversible indifference curves. American Economic Review, 79, 1277-1284.
11%
10%
Given a straight choice 56% would take the mug
gave up mug for chocolate bar
gave up chocolate bar for mug
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 25
Consumers can rely too heavily on information that is given to them when making a decision
• People use potentially unrelated info as anchors or reference points which can wildly sway the decisions they make
• This is no different online, and the way in which information is presented is vital to the choices consumers make
Source: Stewart, N. (2009). The cost of anchoring on credit card minimum payments. Psychological Science, 20(1), 39-41.
Credit card payments
£0-100
£0-100
£100-200
£100-200
£200-300
£200-300
£300+
£300+
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Min Payment
Included
Min Payment
Omitted
People pay less on their credit card when given the minimum payment
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 26
4. Digital is Malleable
Background Case study
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 27
We were asked by LBG to help understand consumer behaviour across home insurance direct channels
• Historically strong in selling home insurance via it’s branch network, sales in this channel were showing a year-on year decline
• LBG were looking to grow their market share and compete more effectively in direct channels like online and aggregators
• Two behavioural experiments were created to explore customer journeys in both the aggregator and .co.uk space
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 28
Comparison is everything within aggregators, and further optimisation in the .co.uk journey can increase satisfaction
This Page Intentionally Blank
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 29
Once on the direct site, a transparent customer journey is key to improving satisfaction and sales
Clear breakdown of features which
are easy to add/remove
Price recalculation when different options selected
Easy comparison across two levels of cover
Additional help pages offered for each element of cover
Option to change from monthly to
annual pricing
Property details pre-filled from aggregator
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 30
5. Q&A
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 31
Digital is an intrinsically different channel and represents an opportunity to increase customer engagement
Digital is Trustworthy
Digital is Tabloid
Digital is Malleable
• Use honesty to improve tailoring • Deliver 100% reliability (or else!)
• Obsessively simplify each customer journey • Sell and cross-sell later. Don’t bundle
• Facilitate flattering price comparisons • Communicate quality with framing
Insight Engagement Opportunity
The Medium is the Message
Source: McLuhan, M. (1964). Understanding media: The extensions of man. New York: McGraw-Hill
January 2017 Copyright © 2017 Decision Technology 32
Thank you
Henry Stott
Nick Chater
Decision Technology Limited
Dilke House, 1 Malet Street
London, WC1E 7JN
www.dectech.co.uk