How to set the Research and Innovation agenda?...François Houllier /Brussels .01 08/10/2015 How to set the Research and Innovation agenda? François Houllier Sustainable Agriculture,

François Houllier /Brussels .01

08/10/2015

How to set

the Research and Innovation agenda?

François Houllier

Sustainable Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries in the Bioeconomy.

A Challenge for Europe

Brussels, 8th of October, 2015


08/10/2015

Bioeconomy:

what do the scientists tell us? A too short history of scientific publications that refer to bioeconomy


08/10/2015

Bioeconomy:

a still young and evolutive scientific concept

Forest sciences

Microbiology

Bioenergy & biofuels

Plant sciences & biotechnologies

Chemical & env. engineering

Social sciences

Enzymology & biochemistry


08/10/2015

Mapping Bioeconomy

scientific domains

Plant Sciences & Biotechnologies

Social & Health Sciences

Forest & Bioenergy & Environmental Sciences

Applied Microbiology & Biotechnology

Chemistry

Processes & Engineering


08/10/2015

The need to better express

what Bioeconomy means in the scientific community

• 9-10 juin : « Bioeconomie 2020 – 2050. Les défis aux filières agricoles, alimentaires et énergétiques françaises »

—The contribution to sustainable development: the need for systemic territorial approaches

—The key contribution of technological breakthroughs: systems and synthetic biology, white and green biotechnologies, …

—The role of consumers’ behaviours, with a special focus on diets

—The role of public policies, with a special focus on the valuation of the environmental assets, resources and externalities


08/10/2015

About foresight – research interactions

How do foresight and research feed each other?


08/10/2015

Agrimonde: 2 scenarios

to explore the future of food systems by 2050

World AGO AG1

Use

Population +47%

Co

nsu

mp

tion

Kcal/inhabitant/day

(±3000 Kcal/inhabitant/day) +20% Stable

Animal part De 16% à 23% Stable (15%)

Reso

urc

es

Lan

d u

se

Cultivated lands

1961-2000 : +4 Mha/an

+23%

+7 Mha/year

+39%

+12 Mha/year

11% non food

Forests Stable

Pastures and meadows +7% -15%

Yields

1961-2000 : +2% per year

+75%

+1,14%/year

+7%

+0,14%/year


08/10/2015

AgriMonde :

‘the planet can feed 9 billion people in 2050 if…’

• … we consider food system as a whole and play on different levers

— The demand side and the changes in the diet

• Quantity and type of food (eg. the share of meat in the diet)

— The supply side and the capability to increase food production

• Two complementary levers: area and yield

• ‘Ecological intensification’ as a means to increase production and preserve the environment

— The ‘vertical’ and ‘horizontal’ fluxes

• Reducing the losses along the food chains, from production down to consumption and waste management

• Playing on trade, while controlling and reducing volatility, and increasing the revenue of small farmers through the development of local agriculture

• Mastering the new uses of biomass (energy, chemistry, materials) and the subsequent competition for land and for biomass


08/10/2015

Sustainable intensification as a research priority derived from

AgriMonde

• 3 INRA metaprogrammes in agroecology: transdisciplinary research

• EU projects: FACCE SURPLUS ERAnet CoFund (Research in Sustainable and Resilient Agriculture)


08/10/2015

DuALine: a complementary approach to AgriMonde

in order to address food system sustainability

• Food systems from the farm’s gate to the eater’s plate

• With the aim to highlight the determinants that may positively or negatively affect their sustainability

—The trends affecting global food systems faced with new challenges

—Effects on their sustainability (according the definition of FAO, 2010)

—Focusing on the downstream side of the system

—Investigating the relationships between diets and sustainability

—Taking into account cultural, consumerist, social , economic and local aspects


08/10/2015

DuALine: a complementary approach to AgriMonde

in order to address food system sustainability

• New research avenues —How inequalities in access to a balanced diet –quantitatively and qualitatively–

affect food system sustainability?

—What can be expected from consumer choices to steer the food system towards sustainable options?

—What are the respective roles of the market and regulations in changing food supply and choices?

—What role do domestic food and outside catering practices play in sustainability?

—Lack of data and analyses on food consumption and practices in Southern countries


08/10/2015

Addressing the issue of diet’s economic and physiological

determinants

• INRA: DID’IT metaprogramme

• EU: SUSFOOD Era-Net and HDHL JPI


08/10/2015

ARP VegA: coupling AgriMonde with IEA foresights

• 4 contrasted scenarios to explore the potential use of biomass for energy and chemistry

Consommation de bioénergie et bioproduits dans les scénarios (en Mtep), hors biomasse traditionnelle

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2005 scénario 1 scénario 2 scénario 3 scénario 4

Mte

p

biomolécules

électricité et chaleur issues de la biomasse

biocarburants


08/10/2015

ARP VegA: coupling AgriMonde with IEA foresights

• New questions about the availability of agricultural land for dedicated crops

Dedicated area Waste area

Scenario 1 270 - 545 Mha -

Scenario 2 475 - 645 Mha 35 Mha



Which theoretical area for the production of biomass?

(Mha, excluding traditonal biomass)

• New projects on the transformation of biomass into energy and chemistry


08/10/2015

Open questions: how to incorporate changes?

• Changing environment: the issue of climate change

—INRA: ACCAF metaprogramme

—EU: Animal Change collaborative project, Climate Smart Agriculture ERAnet+, FACCE JPI

• Technological advances and breakthroughs —INRA metaprogramme on genomic selection

for crops and animals


08/10/2015

Open questions:

how to deal with regional issues?

• Addressing food insecurity in North Africa and the Middle East

—Results from an advanced study led by INRA, on behalf of Pluriagri, will be shared with stakeholders at a colloquium in Paris on 28 October 2015.

—The goal of the conference will be to consider the future of the agri-food system in this politically sensitive region under climate change and demographical and food transition

• https://colloque.inra.fr/pluriagri2015

• EU projects and initiatives —ARIMNet1 & -2

—PRIMA: Partnership in Research and Innovation in the Mediterranean Area (Initiative under art. 185 TFEU)

https://colloque.inra.fr/pluriagri2015




08/10/2015

Bioeconomy:

what do the foresight studies tell us?


08/10/2015

Foresight and forward looking studies …

• … as research tools for —setting the scene

—raising contextualized research questions and generating strategic research agendas

—checking the consistency of scientific knowledge

—enhancing the links with policy-makers

• … benefiting from the coupling —of qualitative scenarios

—and of quantitative modeling at various scales


08/10/2015

A sample of key issues: about systems and technologies

• Consumers’ behaviours (determinants, variability, changes, …)

• Land use and the share of biomass dedicated to the ‘animal loop’

• Agroecology as a scientific framework for sustainable intensification

• Technologies and biotechnologies as levers to increase yields, reduce wastes and losses, create new biomass-derived products

• Trade-off between reducing wastes and losses, and the creation of new value chains in a circular & cascading biomass-based economy

• The challenge of incorporating changes and ruptures (environmental, behavioural or technological) in foresight studies


08/10/2015

Thank you for your attention

Documents

How to set the Research and Innovation agenda?...François Houllier /Brussels .01 08/10/2015 How to set the Research and Innovation agenda? François Houllier Sustainable Agriculture,