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How green is your valley? How much impact could it have?. Extract from McKinsey & Company independent analysis for the Climate Group SMART 2020 report July 2008. CONFIDENTIAL. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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How green is your valley?How much impact could it have?
Extract from McKinsey & Company independent analysis for the Climate Group SMART 2020 report
July 2008
CONFIDENTIALThis report is solely for the use of client personnel. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from McKinsey & Company. This material was used by McKinsey & Company during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion.
2
The global ICT footprint*
*ICT includes PCs, telecoms networks and devices, printers and data centers. †Compounded Annual Growth Rate
GtCO2e
0.11
0.18
0.35
0.43
0.64
1.08
0.53
0.83
1.43
2002
2007
2020
CAGR†
+6%
Embedded carbon
Footprint from use
2% of total footprint
3
The global ICT footprint by geography
2002
2007
2020
CAGRPercent
17 18 11 13 16 25
23 23 12 10 14 20
27 29 10 7 12 14
9 9 6 3 4 3
% of 0.53
% of 0.83
% of 1.43
Percent of GtCO2e
* EiT = Economies in transition. (includes Russia and non-OECD Eastern European countries) † RoW = Rest of the World. (includes India, Brazil, South Africa, Indonesia and Egypt)
RoW†
China
EiT*
Other industrialized countriesOECD Europe
U.S. and Canada
4
The global ICT footprint by subsector
*Printers were 11% of the total ICT footprint in 2002, 8% in 2007 and will be 12% in 2020
2002
2007
2020 25 18
28 14 57
37 14 49
57
% of 0.53
% of 0.83
% of 1.43
Telecoms, infrastructureand devices
Data centers
PCs, peripherals and printers*
CAGRPercent
5 7 5
Percent of GtCO2e
5
ICT footprint and impact of ICT-enabled abatements
40.0ICT 0.5
2020 BAU
Abatements
2020 with abatements
51.9ICT 1.4
-14.1* -7.8
30†
*For example, avoided deforestation, wind power or biofuels†21.9 GtCO2e abatements were identified in the McKinsey abatement cost curve and from estimates in this study.Source:Enkvist P., T.Naucler and J. Rosander (2007), ‘A Cost Curve for Greenhouse Gas Reduction’, The McKinsey Quarterly, Number 1
GtCO2e Emissions
ICT footprint
Other abatements†
Selected ICT-enabled abatements
2002
5 times ICT’s direct footprint
6
ICT-enabled abatements
* Dematerialisation breaks down into all sectors except power. See detailed assumptions in Appendix 3.† Reduces warehousing space needed through reduction in inventory. See Appendix 3.‡ Reduces energy used in the home through behaviour change. See Appendix 3.
7
Research details
This presentation is extracted from research conducted by McKinsey & Company as independent analysis for The Climate Group on behalf of the Global eSustainability Initiative (GeSI).Full report: http://www.smart2020.org/
McKinsey & Company Contacts:Markus Löffler <[email protected]>James Manyika <[email protected]>Jeremy Oppenheim <[email protected]>
Supporting organizations:GeSI and member companies: Bell Canada, British Telecommunications plc, Cisco Systems, Deutsche Telekom AG, Ericsson, France Telecom, Hewlett-Packard, Intel, Microsoft, Nokia, Nokia Siemens Networks, Sun Microsystems, T-Mobile, Telefónica S.A., Telenor, Verizon, Vodaphone plc.Additional support: Dell, LG
