Housing Funding Costs

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  • 8/14/2019 Housing Funding Costs

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    12 June 2009

    Funding Costs for Home Loans

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    Overall Funding Costs continue to increase

    The cost of long term wholesale funding is still at record levels

    As old wholesale funding matures and is replaced by new more expensive funding,the Bank average cost of funding continues to increase.

    The cost of retail funding has been increasing significantly as banks competeaggressively on deposits.

    CBA home loan rate remains very competitive

    Throughout the credit crunch, CBA has retained a very competitive standard variablehome loan rate.

    Even with a 10bp increase, CBA has equal lowest standard variable rate of all the

    major banks

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    Standard Variable Rate Comparison

    SVRCBA 5.64%

    CBA (after change) 5.74%

    ANZ 5.81%

    NAB 5.74%

    Westpac 5.81%

    St George 5.79%

    Suncorp 5.80%

    BankWest 5.70%

    Bank of Queensland 5.89%

    Bendigo 5.90%

    HSBC 5.74%

    Source: Canstar Cannex

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    -0.20%

    -0.15%

    -0.10%

    -0.05%

    0.00%

    0.05%

    0.10%

    0.15%

    0.20%

    0.25%

    0.30%

    0.00%

    1.00%

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    5.00%

    6.00%

    7.00%

    8.00%

    9.00%

    10.00%

    1Jan08

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    1Ma

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    1May08

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    CBA

    ANZ

    NAB

    SGB

    WBC

    CBA Standard Variable Home Loan Rate - comparison

    CBAs Standard Variable

    Home Loan RateVs

    Average of other majors[use RHS]

    Standard Variable HomeLoan Rates[use LHS]

    CBAs Standard Variable Home Loan Rate

    is currently 0.15% less than the average ofother majors

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    Funding Costs for Variable Rate Home Loans

    Funding Cost for Variable Rate Home Loans

    = Cash Rate + Long Term Funding Cost + Basis Risk Cost

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    Long Term Funding- Costs have increased from Aug 07, and still remain very high

    0.000%

    0.250%

    0.500%

    0.750%

    1.000%

    1.250%

    1.500%

    1.750%

    2.000%

    2.250%

    2.500%

    2.750%

    1Jul07

    1Aug07

    1Sep07

    1Oct07

    1Nov07

    1Dec07

    1Jan08

    1Feb08

    1Mar08

    1Apr08

    1May08

    1Jun08

    1Jul08

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    Source: CBA Spectrum and CBA Group Treasury

    Credit Spreads for AA Australian bank senior debt in Secondary Markets

    AA Aust Banks 3yr - not guaranteed

    AA Aust Banks 5yr - not guarantee d

    AA Aust Banks 5yr - domestic

    guaranteed incl. f ee

    AA Aust Banks 3yr - domestic

    guaranteed incl. f ee

    The cost of long term wholesalefunding has increased by over 1.10%

    since June 2007

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    The majority of the Banks funding is priced by reference to BBSW rates. BBSW rates are wholesale marketreference rates set daily, and are fixed rates for a period of months (eg typically 3 months). The difference betweenBBSW rates and the official cash rate (referred to as basis risk) has been extremely large and extremely volatile.

    The Bank uses Overnight Index Swaps (OIS) to manage this Basis Risk.

    The cost of OIS swaps has also increased dramatically since the start of the Credit Crisis.

    Note: LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate) does not affect Australian banks BBSW is the Australian equivalent of LIBOR.

    Basis Risk Cost has reduced in recent months but remains high

    0.00%

    0.20%

    0.40%

    0.60%

    0.80%

    1.00%

    Jun 07 Aug 07 Oct 07 Dec 07 Mar 08 May 08 Jul 08 Sep 08 Nov 08 Jan 09 Mar 09 May 09

    Cost of OIS (3mth moving average)

    Cost of OIS (spot)

    Long term average cost of OIS prior to Credit Crisis

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    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    8.0%

    9.0%

    30 Jun 07 30 Sep 07 30 Dec 07 30 Mar 08 30 Jun 08 30 Sep 08 30 Dec 08 30 Mar 09 30 Jun 09 30 Sep 09 30 Dec 09 30 Mar 10 30 Jun 10

    Forecast Period: assumes all market rates remain

    steady throughout 2009-10

    Official Cash Rate

    OIS cost - the cost of hedging BBSW and Cash Rate

    Portfolio Long Term Funding Cost

    Funding Cost:June 2007 = 0.20%May 2009 = 1.04%

    June 2010 = ~ 1.46%

    Total wholesale funding costs

    The cost of funding the home loan portfolio will continue to riseas the older cheap term funding matures and must be replaced bymore expensive new term funding

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    Funding Costs for Fixed Rate Home Loans

    Funding Cost for Fixed Rate Home Loans

    = Fixed Interest Swap + Rate Long Term Funding Cost

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    3 Year Fixed Interest Swap Rate

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    5.00%

    6.00%

    7.00%

    8.00%

    1-Jul-08 1-Oct-08 1-Jan-09 1-Apr-09

    Target Cash Rate

    3 year sw ap rate

    3 year swap rate hasincreased 0.80%

    in 4 monthsThis period sawreductions in fixed

    home loan rates due todecreases in the fixed

    interest swap rates

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    Deposit Funding Extreme Competition has driven up costs

    Average Interest rates on deposits v cash rate

    0.00%

    1.00%

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    5.00%

    6.00%

    7.00%

    8.00%

    Jul 07 Oct 07 Jan 08 Apr 08 Jul 08 Oct 08 Jan 09 Apr 09

    Official Cash Rate

    Deposit Interest Expense

    Note: this is note the same as reported deposit margin which is based on internal transfer pricing that reflects swap rates, basisrisk and long term funding premiums

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    -2.00%

    0.00%

    2.00%

    4.00%

    6.00%

    8.00%

    10.00%

    Jul07

    Jul07

    Aug07

    Sep07

    Oct07

    Nov07

    Dec07

    Jan08

    Feb08

    Mar08

    Apr08

    May08

    Jun08

    Jul08

    Aug08

    Sep08

    Oct08

    Nov08

    Dec08

    Jan09

    Feb09

    Mar09

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    6 month BBSW

    Margin to BBSW (average per month)

    Retail Term Deposit Rates are well above wholesale rates

    Headline Term Deposit rates v 6 Month BBSW

    Current 6 month TD rate of 3.8%v 6 Month BBSW of 3.3%

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    Retail Funding

    Short Term Wholesale

    Structured Funding with first call

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    Australian Banks have passed on much larger ratecuts than overseas

    * From start of easing cycle to end December 2008. Source: RBA