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Weather Forecast Office Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created 6/18/2018 11:02 AM Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening Decision Support Briefing # 1 As of: 1100 am Monday, June 18 th, 2018 This is the First Briefing Heat index values from 95-100 this afternoon. A heat advisory is in effect till 8 pm. A couple of rounds of thunderstorms, some strong to severe. Thunderstorms will also have very heavy rainfall with a risk for flash flooding.

Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

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Page 1: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this

afternoon and evening Decision Support Briefing # 1

As of: 1100 am Monday, June 18th,

2018

This is the First Briefing Heat index values from 95-100 this

afternoon. A heat advisory is in effect

till 8 pm.

A couple of rounds of thunderstorms,

some strong to severe.

Thunderstorms will also have very

heavy rainfall with a risk for flash

flooding.

Page 2: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Main Points

Hazard Impacts Timing Location

Heat Heat Index Values from 95-100

could lead to heat illnesses if proper precautions are not taken.

This afternoon into the early evening.

South Central NY and

Northeast PA.

Flash Flood

Very heavy rainfall may result in

localized flash flooding with rapid

rises in streams and creeks.

Urbanized flooding is also possible.

This afternoon and evening.

The Finger Lakes

Region eastward into

the Southern Tier of

NY and North Central

PA.

Damaging

Winds

Some of the storms can produce

damaging winds resulting in

downed trees and wires.

This afternoon and evening.

South Central NY and

Northeast PA.

Lightning Cloud-to-ground lightning is

possible and can be deadly. This afternoon and evening.

Possible in all

thunderstorms.

Hail A few of the storms may contain

small hail. This afternoon into the early evening.

Across South Central

NY and Northeast PA

Tornadoes An isolated tornado can not be

ruled out. This afternoon into the early evening.

Across South Central

NY and Northeast PA

Page 3: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Summary of Greatest Impacts

Heat

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Damaging Winds

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Hail/Tornado

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Flash Flooding

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Lightning

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Page 4: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Maximum Forecasted Heat Index

Page 5: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Excessive Rainfall Risk

Page 6: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Slight Risk For Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak

Page 7: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

What does each risk category mean?

Page 8: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Estimated Thunderstorm Timing 5 pm

5 pm

7 pm

7 pm

8 pm

8 pm

9 pm

9 pm

Several rounds of Thunderstorms are expected.

Page 9: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Event Summary A Heat Advisory is in effect until 8 pm. Heat Index values are expected to

range from 95-100.

Several Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected this

afternoon and evening. Very heavy rainfall may result in localized flash

flooding. Damaging winds are also possible with some storms leading to

downed trees and wires.

Confidence is high with the heat this afternoon and moderate with the

potential for flash flooding and damaging winds.

• The main concern this afternoon is the heat.

• Very heavy rainfall resulting in localized flash flooding is

possible.

• Damaging winds are possible with

thunderstorms resulting in some

downed trees and wires.

Page 10: Hot with Strong to Severe Storms this afternoon and evening€¦ · potential for flash flooding and damaging winds. possible. • The main concern this afternoon is the heat. •

Weather Forecast Office

Binghamton, NY weather.gov/bgm | @NWSBinghamton Presentation Created

6/18/2018 11:02 AM

Web:

http://weather.gov/bgm

Phone (public):

(607) 729-1597

E-mail:

[email protected]

Briefing Webpage:

http://www.weather.gov/bgm/

Facebook:

NWS Binghamton

Twitter:

@NWSBinghamton

YouTube:

NWSBinghamton

Contact and Next Briefing Information

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is time-sensitive, do not use after 6 PM May 15th

Next Briefing Last Briefing on this event unless

conditions warrant.