25
Vol.:(0123456789) 1 3 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-020-05744-w REVIEW Hormone replacement therapy and mammographic density: a systematic literature review Shadi Azam 1  · Katja Kemp Jacobsen 2  · Arja R. Aro 1  · Elsebeth Lynge 3  · Zorana Jovanovic Andersen 3 Received: 8 November 2019 / Accepted: 12 June 2020 / Published online: 22 June 2020 © The Author(s) 2020 Abstract Purpose Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is used to reduce climacteric symptoms of menopause and prevent osteopo- rosis; however, it increases risk of breast cancer. Mammographic density (MD) is also a strong risk factor for breast cancer. We conducted this review to investigate the association between HRT use and MD and to assess the effect of different HRT regimens on MD. Methods Two of authors examined articles published between 2002 and 2019 from PubMed, Embase, and OVID using Covi- dence systematic review platform. Any disagreements were discussed until consensus was reached. The protocol used in this review was created in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). Quality of each eligible study was assessed using the Oxford Center for Evidence-Based Medicine (OCEBM) hierarchy. Results Twenty-two studies met the inclusion criteria. Six studies showed that using estrogen plus progestin (E + P) HRT was associated with higher MD than estrogen alone. Four studies reported that continuous estrogen plus progestin (CEP) users had higher MD than sequential estrogen plus progestin (SEP) and estrogen alone users. However, two studies showed that SEP users had slightly higher MD than CEP users and estrogen alone users. Conclusions Epidemiological evidence is rather consistent suggesting that there is a positive association between HRT use and MD with the highest increase in MD among current users, and CEP users. Our results suggest that due to increase in MD and masking effect, current E + P users may require additional screening procedures, shorter screening intervals, or using advanced imaging techniques. Keywords Mammographic density · Hormone replacement therapy · Breast cancer risk · Systematic literature review Abbreviations BI-RADS Breast imaging reporting and data system CEP Continues estrogen plus progestin E + P Estrogen plus progestin HRT Hormone replacement therapy MD Mammographic density MWS Million women study OCEBM Oxford center for evidence-based medicine PMD Percent mammographic density PRISMA Preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses RCT Randomized controlled trial Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-020-05744-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. * Shadi Azam [email protected] Katja Kemp Jacobsen [email protected]; [email protected] Arja R. Aro [email protected] Elsebeth Lynge [email protected] Zorana Jovanovic Andersen [email protected] 1 Unit for Health Promotion, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Niels Bohrs Vej 9, 6700 Esbjerg, Denmark 2 Department of Technology, Faculty of Health and Technology, University College Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark 3 Section of Environmental Health, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

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Page 1: Hormone replacement therapy and mammographic density: a … · 2020-06-27 · Case–control 3-Case:1164women withbreastcancer -Control:1155women -Age40to70years – PMD-Age,BMI,Ageat

Vol.:(0123456789)1 3

Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-020-05744-w

REVIEW

Hormone replacement therapy and mammographic density: a systematic literature review

Shadi Azam1  · Katja Kemp Jacobsen2 · Arja R. Aro1 · Elsebeth Lynge3 · Zorana Jovanovic Andersen3

Received: 8 November 2019 / Accepted: 12 June 2020 / Published online: 22 June 2020 © The Author(s) 2020

AbstractPurpose Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is used to reduce climacteric symptoms of menopause and prevent osteopo-rosis; however, it increases risk of breast cancer. Mammographic density (MD) is also a strong risk factor for breast cancer. We conducted this review to investigate the association between HRT use and MD and to assess the effect of different HRT regimens on MD.Methods Two of authors examined articles published between 2002 and 2019 from PubMed, Embase, and OVID using Covi-dence systematic review platform. Any disagreements were discussed until consensus was reached. The protocol used in this review was created in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). Quality of each eligible study was assessed using the Oxford Center for Evidence-Based Medicine (OCEBM) hierarchy.Results Twenty-two studies met the inclusion criteria. Six studies showed that using estrogen plus progestin (E + P) HRT was associated with higher MD than estrogen alone. Four studies reported that continuous estrogen plus progestin (CEP) users had higher MD than sequential estrogen plus progestin (SEP) and estrogen alone users. However, two studies showed that SEP users had slightly higher MD than CEP users and estrogen alone users.Conclusions Epidemiological evidence is rather consistent suggesting that there is a positive association between HRT use and MD with the highest increase in MD among current users, and CEP users. Our results suggest that due to increase in MD and masking effect, current E + P users may require additional screening procedures, shorter screening intervals, or using advanced imaging techniques.

Keywords Mammographic density · Hormone replacement therapy · Breast cancer risk · Systematic literature review

AbbreviationsBI-RADS Breast imaging reporting and data systemCEP Continues estrogen plus progestinE + P Estrogen plus progestinHRT Hormone replacement therapy

MD Mammographic densityMWS Million women studyOCEBM Oxford center for evidence-based medicinePMD Percent mammographic densityPRISMA Preferred reporting items for systematic

reviews and meta-analysesRCT Randomized controlled trial

Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (https ://doi.org/10.1007/s1054 9-020-05744 -w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

* Shadi Azam [email protected]

Katja Kemp Jacobsen [email protected]; [email protected]

Arja R. Aro [email protected]

Elsebeth Lynge [email protected]

Zorana Jovanovic Andersen [email protected]

1 Unit for Health Promotion, Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark, Niels Bohrs Vej 9, 6700 Esbjerg, Denmark

2 Department of Technology, Faculty of Health and Technology, University College Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

3 Section of Environmental Health, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark

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556 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

SEP Sequential estrogen plus progestinWHI Women’s health initiative

Introduction

Hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is recognized as an effective treatment for alleviating the climacteric symp-toms of menopause such as hot flushes, sleeping distur-bance, depressive mood, muscle and joint pain [1]. Large clinical trials showed that use of HRT prevents bone loss and decreases risk of osteoporosis and bone fractures in menopausal women [2, 3]. The most common HRT regi-mens are: estrogen alone, combined estrogen plus progestin (E + P) either as continuous estrogen plus progestin (CEP) or sequential estrogen plus progestin (SEP) [4]. For many years, HRT was used widely to improve the quality of life of menopausal women. However, after the results from two large population-based studies, the Women’s Health Initia-tive (WHI) study in the United States in 2003 [5] and Mil-lion Women Study (MWS) in the Unites Kingdom in 2003 [6] showing that HRT use increases risk of breast cancer and cardiovascular disease, the long-term benefits and poten-tial adverse effects of HRT on menopausal women were reconsidered. After the results from these two studies, new guidelines concerning amount, types, and duration of HRT for menopausal women were released, leading to a decline in use of HRT along with a reduction in the rates of breast cancer incidence by 6.7% among American women. After 2003, dramatic decline in HRT consumption and breast can-cer incidence were recognized as the consequence of the findings from WHI and MWS studies [7].

Mammographic density (MD) is a very strong predic-tor for breast cancer risk [8]. MD refers to the amount of radiologically dense breast consisting of epithelial or stro-mal tissue that appears light on a mammogram, whereas fat tissue appears dark on a mammogram [9]. There are dif-ferent methods for measuring MD including percent mam-mographic density (PMD), Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS), and Wolfe [10]. Women with very dense breasts (> 75% density in the breast) have a four to six times greater risk of breast cancer than women with little density (< 5% density) or fatty breasts [8, 9]. Previous stud-ies suggested that MD is influenced by several exogenous hormones which are known to influence breast cancer risk thus, MD is known an important surrogate marker for the effects of exogenous hormones on the risk of breast cancer [11, 12]. This review used a systematic approach to explore the association between HRT use and MD. Furthermore, we investigated the effect of different HRT exposure states (never, former, current use) as well as different HRT regi-mens on MD.

Methods

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Studies included in this review met the following criteria: original research in peer-reviewed journals, full-text avail-able online, a randomized controlled trial (RCT) as the study design, a cohort (prospective-cohort or retrospective cohort), a case–control, or a cross-sectional with a clear description of the samples and methodology, and articles available in English language. We focused on studies that examined the associations between HRT use and MD. Additionally, the MD assessment criteria in the studies had to be based on either Wolfe, PMD, or BI-RADS category. We excluded any descriptive manuscripts which did not have the focus on the association between HRT and MD.

Search strategy

Epidemiological studies from July 2002 to 2019 were retrieved from the following databases: PubMed Cen-tral (US National Institutes of Health [NIH]), OVID, and Embase using the following combinations of MeSH terms: “hormone replacement therapy”, “postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy”, “estrogen-progestin hormone replace-ment therapy”, “combined hormone replacement therapy”, “HRT”, and “estrogen alone hormone replacement therapy” in conjugation with “mammographic density” and “breast density”. An example of the search strategy used in one of the search databases (PubMed) is found in "Appendix".

Study screening

We imported and managed all study citations identified from the search strategy using the Covidence systematic review platform [13]. Two reviewers (S.A, K.J) independently screened the titles, abstract and reviewed the bibliography of articles found through electronic search engines for eli-gibility. Two pairs of co-authors reviewed all the abstracts. Disagreements occurred in less than 5% of all articles; any disagreements were discussed until consensus was reached.

Review protocol

The protocol used in this systematic review was created in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Sys-tematic reviews and Meta-Analyses 2009 (PRISMA) state-ment and flowchart was used [14]. Supplementary Table 1 illustrates the PRISMA checklist of this systematic review. Furthermore, in this literature review, quality of each eli-gible study was assessed using the Oxford Centre for

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557Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

Cha

ract

erist

ics o

f epi

dem

iolo

gica

l stu

dies

inve

stiga

ting

HRT

use

and

mam

mog

raph

ic d

ensi

ty

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Byr

ne e

t al.

(201

7)

[18]

Uni

ted

Stat

esC

ase–

cont

rol

3- C

ases

: 174

wom

en

who

dev

elop

ed

brea

st ca

ncer

- Con

trols

: 733

hea

lthy

wom

en- A

ge ra

nge

50–7

9 ye

ars

- MD

was

ass

esse

d fro

m m

amm

ogra

ms

take

n pr

ior a

nd o

ne

year

afte

r ran

dom

i-za

tion

of c

ases

and

co

ntro

ls

CEP

–- A

ge- B

asel

ine

BM

I- C

linic

al c

ente

r- A

ge a

t firs

t birt

h- P

arity

- Wom

en a

ssig

ned

to C

EP g

roup

had

a

larg

er a

nd b

road

di

strib

utio

n of

mam

-m

ogra

phic

den

sity

ch

ange

(mea

n ch

ange

=

9.7

%),

whe

reas

w

omen

in n

ever

HRT

us

ers/

plac

ebo

grou

p ex

hibi

ted

min

imal

m

amm

ogra

phic

de

nsity

cha

nge

over

on

e ye

ar (m

ean

chan

ge

= −

0.0

5%)

- Afte

r adj

ustin

g fo

r co

varia

tes i

nclu

ding

ba

selin

e de

nsity

, the

di

ffere

nce

in m

ean

chan

ge in

mam

-m

ogra

phic

den

sity

be

twee

n th

e pl

aceb

o (−

0.6

5%, 9

5% C

I =

− 1

.86

to 0

.55)

and

th

e C

EP u

sers

(9.4

9%,

95%

CI =

8.2

5 to

10

.72)

trea

tmen

t arm

s w

as st

atist

ical

ly si

g-ni

fican

t (p

< .0

01)

Ols

son

et a

l. (2

014)

[3

3]Sw

eden

Coh

ort

2- 6

19 w

omen

with

in

cide

nt b

reas

t ca

ncer

- Age

rage

48–

81 y

ears

–B

I-R

AD

S–

- Fro

m 2

14 w

omen

w

ith d

ense

bre

ast 1

06

(49.

5%) w

ere

HRT

us

ers a

t the

tim

e of

br

east

canc

er d

iagn

ose

and

46 (2

1.5%

) wer

e ne

ver H

RT u

ser

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558 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Car

mon

a-Sa

nche

z et

 al.

(201

3)[2

9]Sp

ain

Coh

ort

2- 1

65 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- 1-y

ear s

tudy

follo

w-

up

- Estr

ogen

alo

ne- C

EP- S

EP

BI-

RA

DS

–- M

D in

crea

sed

in 7

.9%

of

wom

en re

ceiv

ing

estro

gen

alon

e co

m-

pare

d to

25.

2% w

omen

re

ceiv

ing

CEP

(p <

0.

022)

dur

ing

1 ye

ar.

- Afte

r 5 y

ears

of H

RT

7.9%

of w

omen

ver

sus

28.3

% o

f wom

en (p

<

0.0

09) h

ad M

D

incr

ease

, res

pect

ivel

y- T

here

was

sign

ifica

nt

stat

istic

al d

iffer

ence

in

wom

en tr

eate

d w

ith

estro

gen

alon

e ve

rsus

th

ose

treat

ed w

ith

com

bine

d H

RT- A

fter 5

yea

rs o

f HRT

, M

D in

crea

sed

21.8

%

in w

omen

rece

ivin

g SE

P ve

rsus

38.

8% in

th

ose

unde

r CEP

(p <

0.

039)

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559Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Cra

ndal

l et a

l. (2

012)

[2

0]U

nite

d St

ates

RCT

1- 6

95 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- Age

rang

e 50

–79

year

s- 1

-yea

r fol

low

-up

study

- Estr

ogen

- E +

PPM

D- A

ge- E

thni

city

(Cau

casi

an,

Bla

ck, A

mer

ican

In

dian

, Asi

an P

acifi

c Is

land

er, u

nkno

wn)

- BM

I (kg

/m2 , c

ontin

u-ou

s and

qua

rtile

s)- G

ail r

isk

scor

e

- At 1

-yea

r fol

low

-up

the

chan

ge fr

om b

asel

ine

in P

MD

was

1.4

% fo

r es

troge

n al

one

user

s an

d -0

.8%

for n

ever

H

RT u

sers

- The

PM

D c

hang

e fo

r E

+ P

use

rs w

as 6

.3%

an

d fo

r nev

er H

RT

user

s was

− 0

.9%

- Cha

nges

in P

MD

wer

e st

atist

ical

ly si

gnifi

-ca

ntly

gre

ater

am

ong

wom

en a

ssig

ned

to a

ctiv

e th

erap

y th

an a

mon

g w

omen

as

sign

ed to

pla

cebo

an

d w

ere

mor

e m

arke

d am

ong

wom

en

assi

gned

to E

+ P

than

es

troge

n al

one

- The

resu

lt fro

m th

is

study

can

not b

e as

sum

ed to

app

ly to

ot

her t

ypes

, dos

es,

rout

s of e

strog

en o

r pr

oges

tin th

erap

y

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560 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Cou

to e

t al.

(201

2)

[19]

Nor

way

Cro

ss-s

ectio

n4

- 242

4 po

stmen

opau

sal

wom

en- A

ged

50–6

9 ye

ars

- Estr

ogen

- E +

PPM

D- A

ge a

t scr

eeni

ng- B

MI

- Num

ber o

f chi

ldre

n- A

ge a

t firs

t chi

ldbi

rth- F

irst-d

egre

e fa

mily

hi

story

of b

reas

t ca

ncer

- Num

ber o

f yea

rs

spen

t in

scho

ol

- PM

D w

as h

ighe

r (1

9.6%

with

95%

CI,

18.3

–20.

8%) i

n ev

er

user

s of H

RT c

om-

pare

d to

nev

er u

sers

(1

6.3

with

95%

CI,

15.7

–16.

8%)

- The

hig

hest

PMD

was

fo

und

in c

urre

nt H

RT

user

s (22

.6%

with

95%

C

I, 22

.1–2

3.2%

), fo

l-lo

wed

by

form

er u

sers

(1

7.7%

with

95%

CI,

17.2

–18.

2) a

nd n

ever

us

ers (

16.3

% w

ith 9

5%

CI,

15.7

–16.

8%)

- Cur

rent

E +

P u

sers

ha

d a

sign

ifica

ntly

hi

gher

PM

D 2

5.4%

(2

4.6–

26.1

%) t

han

curr

ent e

strog

en u

sers

18

.9%

(17.

6–20

.2%

) an

d ne

ver H

RT u

sers

16

.3%

(15.

7–16

.8%

)- I

n th

is st

udy,

MD

w

as m

easu

red

only

on

ce a

nd re

lied

on

cros

s-se

ctio

nal m

ean

diffe

renc

es b

etw

een

the

study

gro

ups,

rath

er th

an c

hang

es in

de

nsity

follo

win

g st

art

of H

RT u

se

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561Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Yagh

jyan

et a

l. (2

012)

[3

5]U

nite

d St

ates

Nes

ted

Cas

e–co

ntro

l3

- 522

pre

men

opau

sal

wom

en- 5

99 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- Age

≥ 4

0 ye

ars

- Cas

es: 2

65 w

omen

w

ith h

igh

MD

- Con

trols

: 860

wom

en

low

MD

–B

I-R

AD

S- P

arity

- Age

at fi

rst

- Chi

ld’s

birt

h w

ere

mod

eled

as c

ateg

ori-

cal w

ith th

ree

leve

ls

(par

ity 0

,1

–2, ≥

3 a

ge a

t firs

t ch

ild’s

birt

h <

20,

20

–29,

≥ 3

0)

- Pos

tmen

opau

sal

wom

en w

ith h

istor

y of

H

RT u

se h

ad in

crea

sed

odds

of h

ighe

r MD

(O

R 2

.1; 9

5% C

I 1.

4–3.

3) a

nd c

ompa

red

to p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

who

nev

er

used

HRT

- In

this

stud

y, d

ue to

th

e la

ck o

f rac

ial h

et-

erog

enei

ty, 9

9% w

ere

Whi

te-n

on-H

ispa

nic

and

ther

efor

e th

e fin

d-in

gs a

re li

mite

d to

one

ra

cial

gro

upJe

on e

t al.

(201

1) [3

2]K

orea

Cro

ss-s

ectio

n4

- 516

wom

en w

ith a

ge

rang

e be

twee

n 40

–80

year

s- 2

84 p

rem

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- 232

pos

tmen

opau

sal

–B

I-R

AD

S–

- Use

of H

RT w

as

posi

tivel

y re

late

d to

hig

her M

D, t

he

odds

of h

avin

g de

nse

brea

sts in

crea

sed

by

OR

= 2

.13

(95%

CI;

1.09

–4.1

6) fo

r wom

en

who

use

d H

RT c

om-

pare

d to

nev

er H

RT

user

s

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562 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Boy

d et

 al (

2011

)[17

]C

anad

aC

ase–

cont

rol

3- C

ase:

116

4 w

omen

w

ith b

reas

t can

cer

- Con

trol:

1155

wom

en- A

ge 4

0 to

70

year

s

–PM

D- A

ge, B

MI,

Age

at

men

arch

e- P

arity

(par

ous o

r no

npar

ous)

, Num

ber

of li

ve b

irths

- Age

at fi

rst b

irth

- Age

at m

enop

ause

(e

xcep

t in

anal

ysis

of

pre

men

opau

sal

wom

en)

- Bre

ast c

ance

r in

first-

degr

ee re

lativ

es

(non

e, o

ne, t

wo)

- Am

ong

case

s PM

D

was

gre

ater

in c

urre

nt

than

in n

ever

HRT

us

ers (

diffe

renc

e, 6

%;

p <

0.0

01) a

nd g

reat

er

in p

ast u

sers

than

in

neve

r use

rs (d

iffer

ence

3.

4%; p

= 0

.03)

- Am

ong

cont

rols

cu

rren

t use

of H

RT

was

ass

ocia

ted

with

a

slig

htly

gre

ater

mea

n PM

D (d

iffer

ence

, 1.

6%; p

= 0

.26)

than

in

nev

er u

sers

, and

pa

st us

ers o

f HRT

had

lo

wer

PM

D th

an n

ever

us

ers (

diffe

renc

e 3.

8%;

p =

0.0

1)

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563Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Che

n et

 al.

(201

0) [3

0]Ta

iwan

Coh

ort

2- 4

67 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- Age

43–

69 y

ears

- Estr

ogen

- E +

PB

I-R

AD

S- B

MI

- Age

at m

enop

ause

- Age

at s

tart

of H

RT- D

urat

ion

from

ons

etof

men

opau

se to

the

star

t of H

RT

- The

dur

atio

n of

HRT

us

e w

as p

ositi

vely

as

soci

ated

with

in

crea

se in

MD

(p <

0.

001)

- Wom

en u

sing

E +

P,

the

prob

abili

ty

of in

crea

sed

MD

w

as p

rogr

essi

vely

in

crea

sed

as th

e du

ra-

tion

of a

dmin

istra

tion

exte

nded

(fro

m 7

.5%

to

22.

4%) b

ut n

ot in

w

omen

who

use

d es

troge

n al

one

- Wom

en u

sing

E +

P fo

r m

ore

than

4 y

ears

had

si

gnifi

cant

incr

ease

in

thei

r mea

n de

nsity

sc

ore,

com

pare

with

th

ose

usin

g on

ly

estro

gen

alon

e (p

=

0.01

3). H

owev

er, a

fter

adju

stmen

t for

effe

cts

of o

ther

var

iabl

es, t

he

asso

ciat

ion

betw

een

choi

ces o

f HRT

re

gim

ens (

E +

P v

s. es

troge

n al

one)

did

not

re

ach

the

sign

ifica

nce

leve

l

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564 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Cra

ndal

l et a

l. (2

008)

[21]

Uni

ted

Stat

esRC

T 1

- 428

Pos

tmen

opau

sal

wom

en- A

ge ra

nge

45–6

4 ye

ars

- Estr

ogen

alo

ne- C

EP- S

EP

PMD

- Bas

elin

e m

amm

o-gr

aphi

c de

nsity

- Age

- BM

I- C

hang

e in

BM

I (1

2 m

onth

s min

us

base

line)

- Dai

ly a

lcoh

ol in

take

- Par

ity (n

one

vers

us

1–2

vers

us ≥

3 p

reg-

nanc

ies)

- Cig

aret

te sm

okin

g (c

urre

nt v

ersu

s not

cu

rren

t)- E

thni

city

(Cau

casi

an

vers

us n

ot C

auca

-si

an)

- Phy

sica

l act

ivity

- Age

at fi

rst p

reg-

nanc

y

- The

mea

n se

rum

es

troge

n su

lfate

(E1S

) le

vel c

hang

ed a

fter 1

2 m

onth

s com

pare

to

base

line

leve

l was

1.9

3 ng

/mL

for e

strog

en

alon

e us

ers,

and

the

diffe

renc

e w

as m

ore

pron

ounc

ed in

E +

P

user

s 2.4

9 ng

/mL

(p

=0.

02)

- Cha

nge

in E

1S le

vel

and

chan

ge in

MD

af

ter 1

2 m

onth

s w

ere

sign

ifica

ntly

po

sitiv

ely

corr

elat

ed

(p =

0.0

001)

. Thi

s is

for e

very

1 n

mol

/L

incr

ease

in E

1S

leve

l at 1

2 m

onth

s fo

llow

-up,

PM

D w

as

1.3%

hig

her.

E1S-

MD

as

soci

atio

n w

as m

ore

poun

ced

in w

omen

ta

king

SEP

com

pare

to

estro

gen

alon

e us

ers

The

incr

ease

in P

MD

w

as 0

.5%

(SD

, 5.1

%)

amon

g ne

ver H

RT

user

s, 1.

2% (S

D, 7

.5%

) am

ong

estro

gen

alon

e us

ers,

4.9%

(SD

, 8.7

%)

amon

g SE

P us

ers,

and

4.7%

(SD

, 10.

8%)

amon

g C

EP u

sers

Cha

nge

in P

MD

was

si

gnifi

cant

ly m

ore

pro-

noun

ced

amon

g E

+ P

us

ers t

han

estro

gen

alon

e us

ers

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565Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Har

vey

et a

l. (2

008)

[24]

Uni

ted

Stat

esC

ase–

cont

rol

- Cas

e: 2

8pos

tmen

o-pa

usal

wom

en u

sing

H

RT- C

ontro

ls: m

atch

ed

with

28

postm

eno-

paus

al w

omen

not

us

ing

HT

at th

e tim

e of

bre

ast c

ance

r di

agno

sis

- Age

rang

e: 4

5–84

ye

ars

PMD

- Age

- HRT

stat

us- T

here

was

a st

atist

i-ca

lly si

gnifi

cant

diff

er-

ence

in b

reas

t den

sity

no

ted

betw

een

the

HRT

use

rs a

nd n

ever

H

RT u

sers

gro

ups (

p <

0.

0001

) with

a m

edia

n di

ffere

nce

in M

D 5

4%

for H

RT u

sers

and

31

% fo

r non

-HRT

us

ers

- Per

cent

fibr

ous s

tom

a w

as 7

% h

ighe

r for

H

RT u

sers

com

pare

d w

ith n

on-H

RT u

ser;

how

ever

, the

diff

er-

ence

was

not

stat

isti-

cally

sign

ifica

nt.

- Inc

reas

ing

MD

in

wom

en u

sing

HRT

w

as a

ssoc

iate

d w

ith

incr

ease

d fib

rous

str

oma

(p =

0.0

2)

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566 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Dui

jnha

ven

et a

l. (2

007)

[27]

Ned

erla

nd a

nd U

KC

ohor

t2

From

Net

herla

nd- 6

20 H

RT u

sers

- 620

nev

er H

RT u

sers

w

ith- A

ge ra

nge

betw

een

49–6

9 ye

ars

From

UK

- 175

HRT

use

rs- 1

61 n

ever

HRT

use

rs- A

ge 5

1 to

71

year

s

- Estr

ogen

- E +

PPM

D- T

ype

of H

RT u

se (n

o H

RT u

se, E

T us

e,

com

bine

d H

RT u

se,

or ti

bolo

ne u

se)

- Den

sity

at fi

rst m

am-

mog

ram

- Age

, BM

I- A

ge a

t men

arch

e- P

arity

/age

at fi

rst f

ull

term

pre

gnan

cy (n

ul-

lipar

ous,

≤ 2

5 ye

ars,

and

≥ 2

5 ye

ars)

- Men

opau

sal s

tatu

s (P

rem

enop

ausa

l, pe

rimen

opau

se/p

ost-

men

opau

sal)

- Fam

ily h

istor

y of

br

east

canc

er- P

revi

ous o

ral c

ontra

-ce

ptiv

e us

e- S

mok

ing

(0, <

5,

5–15

and

≥ 1

5 pa

ck-

year

s)- A

lcoh

ol c

onsu

mpt

ion

- Phy

sica

l act

ivity

(in

activ

e, m

oder

atel

y in

activ

e, m

oder

atel

y ac

tive,

act

ive)

- Stu

dy p

opul

atio

n (P

rosp

ect-E

PIC

/EP

IC-N

orfo

lk)

- PM

D a

t the

firs

t m

amm

ogra

m w

as

low

er fo

r nev

er H

RT

user

s (37

.0%

) tha

n fo

r es

troge

n al

one

user

s (3

9.3%

) and

E +

P

(46.

1%).

The

dens

e ar

ea a

t firs

t mam

mo-

gram

was

low

er fo

r ne

ver H

RT u

sers

(40.

6 cm

2 ) tha

n fo

r estr

ogen

al

one

user

s (45

.9 c

m2 )

and

E +

P u

sers

(50.

8 cm

2 )- A

t the

seco

nd m

am-

mog

ram

the

abso

lute

m

ean

dens

ity w

as

low

er fo

r nev

er H

RT

user

s (31

.7%

) tha

n fo

r es

troge

n al

one

user

s (3

2.6%

) and

E +

P

(35.

6%).

The

dens

e ar

ea a

t the

seco

nd

mam

mog

ram

s was

lo

wer

for n

ever

HRT

us

ers (

38.0

8 cm

2 ) tha

n es

troge

n al

one

user

s (4

0.78

cm

2 ) and

E +

P

user

s (41

.93

cm2)

. The

m

edia

n be

twee

n th

e fir

st an

d se

cond

mam

-m

ogra

m w

as 3

yea

rs- L

onge

r use

of H

RT (>

1

year

) app

eare

d to

ha

ve a

larg

er e

ffect

on

MD

than

shor

ter u

se

of H

RT (<

1 y

ear)

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567Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Aie

llo e

t al.

(200

6)

[28]

Uni

ted

Stat

esC

ross

-sec

tion

4- 3

9,29

6 po

stmen

o-pa

usal

- Age

≥ 4

0 ye

ars

- Estr

ogen

- E +

PB

I-R

AD

S- A

ge a

t mam

mog

ram

- BM

I- A

ge a

t firs

t birt

h (5

-yea

r int

erva

ls)

- Typ

e of

men

opau

se

(nat

ural

, bila

tera

l oo

phor

ecto

my

with

or

with

out h

yste

rec-

tom

y, h

yste

rect

omy

only

, hys

tere

ctom

y w

ith u

nkno

wn

ooph

orec

tom

y, a

nd

othe

r)

- The

Odd

s of h

avin

g de

nse

brea

st in

crea

sed

sign

ifica

ntly

in c

urre

nt

HRT

use

rs b

y O

R 1

.91

(95%

CI,

1.81

–2.0

0)

and

for f

orm

er H

RT

user

s inc

reas

ed

by 1

.14

(95%

CI,

1.08

–1.2

1) c

ompa

red

to n

ever

HRT

use

rs- C

urre

nt E

+ P

use

rs h

ad

sign

ifica

nt in

crea

se in

od

ds o

f hav

ing

dens

e br

easts

(OR

1.9

8;

95%

CI 1

.87–

2.09

) an

d es

troge

n al

one

user

s had

sign

ifica

nt

incr

ease

in th

e od

ds o

f ha

ving

den

se b

reas

ts

by (O

R 1

.71;

95%

CI

1.56

–1.8

7) c

ompa

red

to n

ever

HRT

use

rs- I

n th

is st

udy,

the

study

po

pula

tion

is la

rgel

y w

hite

, whi

ch m

ay li

mit

the

gene

raliz

abili

ty

of th

e re

sults

to o

ther

ra

ce

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568 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Cra

ndal

l et a

l. (2

006)

[2

2]U

nite

d St

ates

RCT

1- 8

75 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- Age

d 45

to 6

4 ye

ars

- 1-y

ear f

ollo

w-u

p stu

dy

- Estr

ogen

- CEP

- SEP

PMD

- Age

- Par

ity- A

ge a

t firs

t pre

g-na

ncy

- BM

I- A

lcoh

ol in

take

- Sm

okin

g- E

thni

city

- Bas

elin

e PD

- Tre

atm

ent a

ssig

n-m

ent (

Plac

ebo,

co

njug

ated

equ

ine

estro

gens

, or

prog

estin

-con

tain

ing

regi

men

)

- At 1

2 m

onth

s mea

n PM

D h

ad si

gnifi

cant

ly

incr

ease

d in

SEP

and

C

EP u

sers

by

4.6%

an

d 4.

4%, r

espe

ctiv

ely

- The

cha

nge

in P

MD

w

as 4

.0%

in th

e pr

oges

tin-c

onta

inin

g ar

ms,

and

it w

as si

g-ni

fican

tly h

ighe

r tha

n th

at in

estr

ogen

alo

ne

arm

p =

0.00

1 an

d in

th

e pl

aceb

o ar

m (p

<

0.00

1)- M

ean

PMD

incr

ease

d in

estr

ogen

alo

ne

user

s afte

r 12

mon

ths

follo

w-u

p by

0.9

%

com

pare

d to

pla

cebo

ar

m; h

owev

er, t

he

resu

lt is

not

sign

ifica

nt

(p =

0.25

)B

oyd

et a

l. (2

006)

[16]

Can

ada

Cas

e–co

ntro

l3

- 174

8 po

stmen

opau

sal

wom

en- C

ases

: 365

wom

en

who

had

dev

elop

ed

inva

sive

bre

ast

canc

er a

t lea

st 12

m

onth

s afte

r the

in

itial

scre

en.

- Mat

ched

con

trols

: 87

9 co

ntro

ls- A

ge ≥

50

year

s

–PM

D- A

ge, B

MI-

Age

at

men

arch

e- P

arity

- Num

ber o

f liv

e bi

rths

- Age

at fi

rst b

irth

- Age

at m

enop

ause

- Bre

ast c

ance

r in

first-

degr

ee re

lativ

es (0

, 1,

2+

)

- Per

cent

den

sity

in th

e ba

selin

e m

amm

ogra

m

was

am

ong

case

s gr

eate

r in

curr

ent u

sers

of

hor

mon

es th

at in

ne

ver u

sers

(diff

eren

ce

= 5

.0%

, p <

0.0

01),

but t

he d

iffer

ence

w

as sm

alle

r and

no

sign

ifica

nt in

con

trols

(d

iffer

ence

= 1

.6%

, p

= 0

.3)

- Ave

rage

PM

D

incr

ease

d si

gnifi

-ca

ntly

with

incr

eas-

ing

expo

sure

to H

RT

amon

g ca

ses,

but n

ot

in c

ontro

ls

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569Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Topa

l et a

l. (2

006)

[34]

Turk

eyC

ohor

t2

113

postm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- Age

≥ 5

0 ye

ars

- Estr

ogen

alo

ne- C

EP- S

EP

-BI-

RA

DS

-- I

n to

tal 2

6 w

omen

sh

owed

MD

incr

ease

af

ter H

RT u

se. A

t fir

st m

amm

ogra

phy,

24

wom

en (9

2.3%

) sh

owed

incr

ease

in

MD

and

in se

cond

m

amm

ogra

phy,

2

wom

en (7

.7%

) sho

wed

M

D- 2

3 w

omen

(38.

3%)

of C

EP, 2

wom

en

(12.

5%) o

f SEP

, and

1

wom

an (2

.7%

) of

estro

gen

alon

e us

er

show

ed in

crea

se in

M

D- I

ncre

ase

in M

D w

as

mor

e co

mm

on a

mon

g w

omen

with

CEP

than

ot

her g

roup

s of H

RT

(p =

0.0

009)

- Wom

en w

ere

exam

ined

ac

cord

ing

to th

e pr

oges

tin d

ose,

in th

e C

EP u

sers

60%

of

wom

en w

ith h

ighe

r pr

oges

tin d

ose

(5m

g/da

y) re

veal

ed a

MD

in

crea

se, o

nly

16.7

%

of w

omen

with

lo

wer

pro

gesti

n do

se

(2.5

mg/

day)

incr

ease

M

D. T

he d

iffer

ence

be

twee

n th

ese

two

grou

ps w

ere

stat

isti-

cally

sign

ifica

nt (p

<

0.05

)

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570 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

McT

iera

nan

et a

l (2

005)

[26]

Uni

ted

Stat

esRC

T 1

- 413

pos

tmen

opau

sal

wom

en- A

ge ra

nge

50–7

9 ye

ars

CEP

PMD

- Tre

atm

ent a

ssig

n-m

ent

- Mam

mog

raph

ic d

en-

sity

at b

asel

ine

and

chan

ge in

den

sity

at

follo

w-u

p- B

asel

ine

char

acte

ris-

tics (

age,

bod

y m

ass

inde

x, a

nd ra

ce/

ethn

icity

)

- Mea

n PM

D w

as

incr

ease

d by

6.0

%

at y

ear 1

in C

EP b

ut

decr

ease

d in

nev

er

HRT

use

rs (p

<

0.00

1). A

fter 2

yea

rs,

the

mea

n ch

ange

s in

PMD

incr

ease

d by

4.

9% in

CEP

gro

up

and

decr

ease

d by

0.8

%

in n

ever

HRT

use

rs.

- App

roxi

mat

ely

75%

of

the

wom

en a

ssig

ned

to

CEP

gro

up e

xper

i-en

ced

an in

crea

se in

PM

DM

arch

eson

i et a

l. (2

005)

[4]

Italy

RCT

1- 1

03 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

- Age

rang

e 47

–56

year

s- 1

- yea

r fol

low

-up

study

CEP

Wol

fe–

- Afte

r 12

mon

ths o

f H

RT 1

6 ou

t to

35

(45.

1%) o

f CEP

use

rs

had

incr

ease

d in

MD

co

mpa

red

to n

ever

H

RT u

sers

and

resu

lts

wer

e hi

ghly

sign

ifica

nt

(p <

0.0

01)

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571Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Hen

g et

 al.

(200

4) [2

5]Si

ngap

ore

Cro

ss-s

ectio

n- 2

9,19

3 w

omen

- Age

45–

69 y

ears

–PM

D- A

ge- A

ge a

t men

arch

e- M

enop

ause

- Eve

r use

of O

Cs o

r H

RT- S

mok

ing

- Fam

ily h

istor

y of

br

east

canc

er- H

eigh

t, w

eigh

t- P

arity

- Age

at fi

rst d

eliv

ery

- Men

opau

sal s

tatu

s- H

istor

y of

a b

reas

t bi

opsy

- Use

of H

RT w

as

asso

ciat

ed w

ith h

ighe

r PM

D b

y 4.

4% a

nd

dura

tion

of u

sing

HRT

w

as a

lso

sign

ifica

ntly

as

soci

ated

with

hig

her

PMD

by

0.07

% w

ith

p =

0.0

01 in

age

-ad

juste

d an

alys

is b

ut

not i

n m

ultiv

aria

te

anal

ysis

- HRT

use

was

pos

i-tiv

ely

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

incr

ease

den

se a

rea

in

brea

sts b

y 3.

61 (c

m2 )

and

dura

tion

of H

RT

was

ass

ocia

ted

with

in

crea

se th

e de

nse

area

by

0.0

6 (c

m2 ) w

ith p

=

0.0

1 in

age

-adj

uste

d an

alys

is b

ut n

ot in

m

ultiv

aria

te a

naly

sis

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572 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Gre

enda

leet

al.

(200

3) [3

1]U

nite

d St

ates

RCT

1- 5

71 p

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

ith- A

ge ra

nge

45–6

4 ye

ars

- Estr

ogen

- SEP

- CEP

BI-

RA

DS

- Mam

mog

raph

ic

perc

ent

dens

ity a

t bas

elin

e- B

MI

- Dai

ly g

ram

s of a

lco-

hol c

onsu

med

- Cig

aret

te sm

okin

g- L

evel

s of p

hysi

cal

activ

ity- 1

2-m

onth

cha

nge

in

BM

I- R

ando

miz

atio

n an

d bl

ocki

ng v

aria

ble

(i.e.

, clin

ic si

te a

nd

hyste

rect

omy

stat

us)

-Afte

r 12

mon

ths

follo

w-u

p th

e ab

solu

te

mea

n ch

ange

s in

MPD

w

ere

obse

rved

in C

EP

and

SEP

user

s; 4

.76%

(9

5% C

I 3.2

9–6.

23%

) an

d 4.

58%

(95%

CI

3.19

–5.9

7%) r

espe

c-tiv

ely.

No

chan

ges i

n M

D w

as o

bser

ved

in

estro

gen

user

s com

-pa

red

to n

ever

HRT

us

ers

-A m

odes

t 3–5

%

incr

ease

in M

PD

was

obs

erve

d am

ong

wom

en w

ho w

ere

treat

ed w

ith c

ombi

na-

tion

HRT

and

thos

e in

crea

ses d

id n

ot d

iffer

by

pro

gesti

n fo

rmul

a-tio

n or

sche

dule

Gap

stur e

t al.

(200

3)[2

3]U

nite

d St

ates

Cro

ss-s

ectio

n4

- 296

His

pani

c w

omen

- Age

rang

e ≥

40

year

s- P

rem

enop

ausa

l w

omen

(n =

105

)- P

ostm

enop

ausa

l w

omen

(n =

191

)

–PM

D–

- PM

D w

as si

gnifi

cant

ly

high

er fo

r pos

tmen

o-pa

usal

wom

en w

ho

curr

ently

use

HRT

co

mpa

red

to n

ever

/pas

t us

ers;

this

diff

eren

ce

was

3.3

% (p

= 0

.03)

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573Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Tabl

e 1

(con

tinue

d)

Aut

hor,

year

Cou

ntry

Stud

y de

sign

Qua

lity

of st

udy

desi

gn

Sam

ple

size

and

cha

r-ac

teris

tics

HRT

regi

men

sM

D a

sses

smen

tC

onfo

unde

rs in

clud

ed

in th

e fin

al a

naly

sis

Resu

lts/F

indi

ngs

Chr

istod

oula

kos e

t al.

(200

3) [3

6]G

reec

eC

ohor

t2

- 121

pos

tmen

opau

sal

wom

en- A

ge 3

8–66

yea

rs- 1

-yea

r fol

low

-up

study

- Estr

ogen

alo

ne- C

EPW

olfe

-- M

D d

id n

ot in

crea

se in

ne

ver H

RT u

sers

afte

r 12

mon

ths o

f fol

low

-up

. Tw

o w

omen

(8%

) in

estr

ogen

alo

ne

grou

p sh

owed

an

incr

ease

in M

D- F

our w

omen

(11.

8%)

in C

EP g

roup

show

ed

incr

ease

in M

D. T

he

resu

lts su

gges

ted

that

H

RT m

ay su

spen

d br

east

invo

lutio

n bu

t do

es n

ot in

crea

se M

D

in m

ajor

ity o

f wom

en.

In th

e m

inor

ity o

f pa

tient

s who

show

a

dens

ity in

crea

se,

the

mag

nitu

de o

f thi

s in

crea

se v

arie

s acc

ord-

ing

to th

e re

gim

en

used

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574 Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

Evidence-based Medicine – Levels of Evidence (OCEBM) hierarchy [15]. The OCEBM levels is a widely used system, which categories studies into different levels ranging from 1 to 5 based on their study designs; it helps the researcher to evaluate the reported results. In The OCEBM system, levels 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 represent well-designed and high quality RCTs, prospective and retrospective cohort studies, case–control studies, cross-sectional and case-series stud-ies, and expert opinion or unpublished clinical observations, respectively [15]. Level 1 is the highest quality and level 5 is the lowest [15]

Data extraction

Data extraction included the information about author and year of publication, country, study design, quality of study design, sample size and characteristics of the participants, HRT regimens, MD assessment, confounders included in the final analysis, final results and findings are included in Table 1 from each study. The term “progestin” has been used to replace all progesterone synthetic names, such as progestogen and progesterone.

Results

Study characteristics

The initial search identified 6676 articles. Of these, 6331 were removed due to duplication. Of the remaining 345 articles, 250 were excluded as not relevant based on thor-ough review of titles and abstracts, and 95 were preselected for further evaluation. Of the 95 remaining articles, 72 did not fulfill the inclusion criteria (Fig. 1). Thus, only 22 arti-cles published between 2002 and 2019 (6 cohort, 6 RCT, 5 case–control and 5 cross-sectional studies) were selected. These 22 studies were conducted in North America (n = 12), Europe (n = 6), and Asia (n = 4) (Table 1).

In all 22 included studies, at least one of the three main methods of MD assessment (PMD, BI-RADS and Wolfe) was used. 12 studies used PMD [16–27], 8 studies used BI-RADS [28–35], and 2 studies assessment MD according to the Wolfe criteria [4, 36].

State of HRT exposure and MD

Ever and never HRT users

From all 22 studies, there were n = 12 (54.5%) which inves-tigated the association between ever and never use of HRT and MD [4, 20–22, 26, 27, 31–33, 36]. All these studies reported a significant increase in MD among ever HRT users

Fig. 1 Flow chart of the search and selection process for arti-cles included in the systematic review

Literature search

(6,676 articles identified)

Databases: PubMed (n= 6,020), OVID

(n=600), and Embase (n=56)

Number of duplications (n= 6,331)

Number of removed articles on the

basis of title and abstract (n= 250)

95 preselected papers

73 articles were excluded for the following

reasons:

- 29 citations were not full-text

- 10 citations were review papers

- 25 studies were not RCT, cohort, case

control, or cross-sectional

- 9 studies used different methods than

BI-RADS, PMD, and Wolfe for

assessment of MD

22 articles selected by eligibility criteria

and included in the systematic review

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575Breast Cancer Research and Treatment (2020) 182:555–579

1 3

compare to never users; however, the results from two stud-ies did not reach the statistical significance (Table 1) [22, 25]. In a RCT of 695 postmenopausal women, at 1-year follow-up the PMD change from the baseline was 1.4% for estrogen users and -0.8% for placebo group with a signifi-cant increase in MD among women assigned to HRT than women assigned to placebo [20]. In a case–control study, Harvey et al. showed that there is a statistically significant difference in MD among HRT ever and never users groups (p-value < 0.001) with a median difference in MD 54% for ever HER users and 31% for never users. They reported that percent fibrous stroma was 7% higher for ever users com-pared to never users; however, the result was not statisti-cally significant [24]. In another case–control study, Jeon et al. found positive association between HRT and MD. The odds of having dense breasts increased by 2.13; 95% CI (1.09–4.16) for women who used HRT compared to never users [32].

Former, current and never HRT users

Five studies examined the association between HRT use and MD among former, current and never HRT users [16, 17, 19, 23, 28]. Three studies showed that MD increased in current HRT users compared to former and never users. Aiello et al. in a cross-sectional study of 39,296 women reported that odds of having high MD increased significantly in women who were the current HRT users (OR 1.91; 1.81–2.00) and former (OR 1.14; 1.08–1.21) as compared to never users [28]. Couto et al. have in a cross-sectional study of 2,424 postmenopausal women found that PMD was highest in cur-rent HRT users followed by former and never users with breast densities of 22.6%, 17.7%, and 16.3%, respectively [19]. Additionally, Gapstur et al. in a small cross-sectional study of 296 Hispanic women found that mean PMD was significantly higher in current HRT users than in former and never HRT users: 18.2%, 14%, and 14% (p-value = 0.02), respectively [23].

In a case–control study Boyed et al. showed that mean PMD among cases was greater in current HRT users than in never users (difference, 6%; p-value < 0.001) and greater in former users than never users (difference, 3.4% p-value 0.03). Among controls, current use of HRT was associated with a slightly greater mean PMD; however, the results were not statistically significant [17]. In another case control study, Boyd et al. found that among cases, mean PMD was greater in current (25.1%) and former (28.1%) HRT users than in never users (30.7%; p-value < 0.001). However, among controls the results were not statistically significant [16].

Finally, a study which examined the effect of HRT on MD among postmenopausal women who previously used HRT and women who never used HRT and that postmenopausal

women with history of HRT use had increased odds of hav-ing higher MD (OR 2.1; 1.4–3.3) compared to never HRT users [35].

HRT regimens and MD

Different HRT regimens were addressed in 14 (63.6%) stud-ies [4, 18–22, 26–31, 34, 36]. Five studies compared the effect of estrogen alone and E + P on MD [19, 20, 27, 28, 30], six studies compared the effect of estrogen alone, CEP, and SEP regimens on MD [21, 22, 29, 31, 34, 36]. Finally, three studies assessed the effect of CEP use on MD com-pared to never HRT use [4, 18, 26] (Table 1).

Estrogen alone versus E + P

The results from all five studies showed that E + P users had higher MD compared to estrogen alone users [19, 20, 27, 28, 30]. In a RCT of 695 postmenopausal women, Crandall et al. found that at 1-year follow-up changes in PMD were statistically greater among women assigned to E + P than women assigned to estrogen alone (p-value = 0.001) [20]. A cohort study of 1240 postmenopausal women showed that PMD at the first and second mammograms were higher in E + P users than in estrogen alone and never HRT users [27]. Additionally, in a large cross-sectional study of 39,296 postmenopausal women, Aiello et al. reported that current E + P users had significantly increased odds of having dense breasts (OR 1.98; 1.87–2.09) followed by estrogen alone users (OR 1.71, 1.95–1.87) compared to never HRT users [28]. Couto et al. have in a cross-sectional study showed that current E + P users had significantly higher PMD (25.4%) than current estrogen (18.9%) and never users (16.3%) [19]. Finally a small retrospective study of 467 postmenopausal study showed that women using E + P more than 4 years had significantly higher mean MD compared to women who used estrogen only (p-value = 0.01); however, after adjustment for other variables the association between MD and HRT regi-mens diminished [30].

Estrogen alone versus CEP and SEP

From six studies which compared the association between estrogen alone, CEP, and SEP regimens on MD [21, 22, 29, 31, 34, 36], four studies showed that CEP users had signifi-cantly higher MD compared to SEP and estrogen alone users [29, 31, 34, 36]. In a RCT study of 571 postmenopausal women randomly assigned to receive placebo, daily estrogen alone, SEP, or CEP, after 12 months of follow-up the abso-lute mean increase in PMD was observed in CEP and SEP users; 4.76% and 4.48%, respectively. No changes in MD were observed in estrogen alone users compared to never HRT users [31]. Additionally, in a retrospective study of

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113 of healthy postmenopausal women, Topal et al. showed that 38.3% of CEP users, 12.5% of SEP users and 2.7% of estrogen alone users had increased in MD. Increase in MD was more pronounced among CEP users than other regimens of HRT (p-value = 0.009) [34]. Finally, Carmona-Sanchez et al. reported that after 5 years of HRT use, MD increased significantly in 21.8% women receiving SEP versus 38.8% of women receiving CEP (p-value = 0.039) [29].

Two studies showed that SEP users had slightly higher MD compared to CEP and estrogen alone users. In a RCT study by Crandall et al. at 12 months, PMD was significantly increased in SEP users by 4.6% and in CEP users by 4.4% [22]. In another RCT by Crandall et al. increase in PMD was 1.2% among estrogen users, 4.7% among CEP users, and 4.9% among SEP users [21].

CEP users versus never HRT users

Three studies addressed the increase in MD among CEP users compared to never HRT users. In a RCT study of 103 postmenopausal women, after 12 months 45.1% of CEP users had increased in MD, whereas no changes was observed among never HRT users. The difference between CEP users and never users were statistically significant (p-value < 0.001). In another RCT study of 413 postmen-opausal women, McTiernan et al. reported an increase in mean PMD by 6% and decrease in MD in placebo group (p-value < 0.001) after 1-year follow-up. Finally a case–con-trol study by Byrne et al. showed that women assigned to CEP group had a larger and boarder distribution of MD change (mean change = 9.49%) compared to women in never HRT/placebo group. Women assigned to placebo group experienced decrease in MD over 1  year (mean change = − 0.65%) after adjusting for possible confounders [18].

Discussion

Our review is the first to systematically investigate the asso-ciation between HRT and MD, comparing different status of HRT exposure and MD, and finally reporting the effect of different HRT regimens on MD. A consistent finding in the literature is that MD was increased in ever HRT users compared to never users. Furthermore, the highest increase in MD was observed in current HRT users compared to never users [16, 17, 19, 23, 28]; in line with previous stud-ies published before 2003 [37, 38]. Marugg et al. found that, compared to never HRT users, 14.3% of women using HRT showed an increase in MD [37]. Another study concluded that current HRT users were more than twice as likely to have higher MD as never users (OR 2.48; 1.32–4.16) [38].

All selected studies which compared the effect of estrogen alone and E + P on MD showed that E + P users had a higher MD compared to estrogen alone users [19, 20, 27, 28, 30]. Similar to this result, previous studies showed a strong posi-tive association between E + P use and increase in MD [37, 39]. According to Marugg et al. 31% of women treated with E + P showed an increase in MD compared with only 8.7% in the group treated with estrogen alone [37]. Vachon et al. found that odds of having higher MD increased in women using E + P by 1.9 compared to women using estrogen alone [39].

Among the studies which provided data on the sub-type of HRT regimens (CEP, SEP and estrogen alone), four stud-ies reported that women who used CEP, where both estrogen and progestin are taken daily, had higher MD than women who used SEP, where estrogen is used daily but progestin is taken only during a certain time of the month and estrogen alone users [29, 31, 34, 36]. These results are in agreement with the results from other studies that examined the associa-tion between HRT and MD with respect to sub-types HRT regimens [40, 41]. In a Swedish study of 31,498 women, Persson et al. has found that MD was significantly increased in 28% of CEP users, 10% of SEP and 5% of estrogen alone users [41]. Another Swedish study by Lundstrom et  al. reported that MD was greater among CEP users (52%) than SEP users (13%), estrogen alone users (18%) over 2 years of follow-up [40]. However, two studies showed that SEP users had slightly higher MD compared to CEP and estrogen alone users [21, 22]. It is important to mention that, different HRT regimens influence MD change differently but the mecha-nism for MD change among CEP and SEP users remain to be unclear. Lundstrom et al. claimed that the inconsistent result on the association between CEP and SEP users with MD maybe due to variation in progestin components, dos-age, and duration of administration [40].

The biological explanation in increasing MD with respect to HRT use is not yet fully understood. However, one estab-lished hypothesis to explain the increase of MD in relation to use of HRT is based on the breast cell proliferation theory. In menstruating women, it has been observed that breast epi-thelial cell proliferation is increasing due to high levels of estrogen and progestin [42]. In a cross-sectional study of 56 pre- and 86 postmenopausal women, Hofseth et al. found that, use of HRT especially E + P is associated with higher level of breast epithelial cell proliferation in post- and premenopausal women compared to never HRT users [43]. Breast epithelial cell proliferation is also known as epithelial hyperplasia which defines as abnormal growth and accumulation of cells that line the ducts or the lobules in the breasts [44]. Hofseth et al. also found that breast epithelial cell density was significantly higher in women using HRT, especially in E + P users than estrogen alone and never HRT users [43]. Another hypothesis to explain the association between increasing MD with respect to use

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of E + P is the stromal oedema theory. Stroma is the major tissue in the breasts therefor any changes in MD primarily reflect alteration of the stroma architecture and composition [44]. Longacre et al. found that stromal oedema is greater in the luteal phase of menstrual cycle which progestin is the main hormone associated with this stage [45]. Therefore receiving E + P should lead to greater MD than estrogen alone.

To our knowledge, this is the first systematic review, which studied not only the effect of different states of HRT expo-sure on MD but also the effect of different HRT regimens on MD. Strengths of our study are all studies included in this review appropriately reported their study design (RCT, cohort, case–control, and cross-sectional), inclusion criteria, and sam-pling methods. Sample size was quite large in observational studies and adequate samples were also reported in several RCT studies. Ethical considerations were reported according to the international standards in 18 papers [4, 16–24, 26–28, 31–33, 35, 36]. Most of studies addressed potential confound-ers, biases and a discussion of limitations. To minimize bias, in this review we used PRISMA checklist and follow chart to ensure transparency and completeness of the reporting (Sup-plementary material 1). In addition, we assess the quality of each eligible study based on their study designs using the OCEBM hierarchy. Another important strength of this review is that the results can be generalized since the selected stud-ies were from different geographical regions (North America, Europe, and Asia) and these studies presented diverse ethnic groups (Asian, Hispanic, and White). Finally, this review included only peer-reviewed studies, since including unpub-lished and gray literature increase the risk of publication bias due to the absence of peer-review and low methodological quality. Moreover, the authors did not include their personal opinion or prior knowledge during the review process in order to avoid publication bias.

There are some limitations regarding the studies included in this review. By far the most common limitations men-tioned in included studies were; misclassification in the assessment of MD, small sample size, unknown HRT com-position, and lack of racial heterogeneity. Other limitations regarding this study are the search for the qualified articles was conducted only in English language, only articles that were accessible electronically were included, and this review found studies with different methodological designs, sample size and demographic factors, therefore due to methodologi-cal heterogeneity between studies included in this review it was not possible to conducted a meta-analysis.

Conclusions

In conclusion, this review showed that MD significantly increased in ever HRT users compared to never users with highest increase in MD among current HRT users.

Furthermore, this review found that E + P users had a higher MD compared to estrogen alone users. Results with regards to HRT regimens and MD showed that CEP users had the highest increase in MD followed by SEP users and estrogen alone.

The findings from this systematic review on the asso-ciation between HRT use and MD can be used in primary prevention of breast cancer incidence as well as secondary prevention of false-negative diagnosis of small tumours. From the primary prevention perspective, our results sug-gest that the use of HRT should be minimized at the low-est does needed for as short time as possible. In addition, from the secondary prevention perspective, women who are current HRT users and increase in MD is detected by mammography screening may require additional screening procedures, shorter screening intervals, and using advanced imaging techniques such as MRI/ultrasound for detecting small tumours.

Acknowledgements Open access funding provided by Karolinska Institute.

Funding This study received funding from “University of Southern Denmark – School of Public Health” The funding had no role in the study design, data collection and data interoperation, in writing of the manuscript or in the decision to submit the manuscript for publication. The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflict of interest The authors declare that have no conflict of interest

Informed consent As this study was a systematic review and we did not involve contact with individual women it was not applicable for informed consent to be obtained.

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attri-bution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adapta-tion, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creat iveco mmons .org/licen ses/by/4.0/.

Appendix

An example of the search strategy used in one of the search databases.

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Search strategy for PubMed

Restriction used: English Language, year July 2002 to 2019

1. Search (hormone replacement therapy) and mammo-graphic density

2. (Hormone replacement therapy) and breast density 3. (Postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy) and

mammographic density 4. (Postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy) and

breast density 5. (Estrogen-progestin hormone replacement therapy) and

mammographic density 6. (Estrogen-progestin hormone replacement therapy) and

breast density 7. (Combined hormone replacement therapy) and mam-

mographic density 8. (Combined hormone replacement therapy) and breast

density 9. (HRT) and mammographic density 10. (HRT) and breast density 11. (Estrogen alone hormone replacement therapy) and

mammographic density 12. (Estrogen alone hormone replacement therapy) and

breast density.

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