Higher Education Persistence and Completione3alliance.org/.../2015/04/Higher-Education-Persistence-and-Completion.pdf · Percent of Central Texas High School Grads That Enrolled in

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Higher Education Persistence and Completion

1

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Second Year Higher Ed Persistence Rates

Not Improving

82% 83% 83% 83% 82% 81% 79% 80%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Perc

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High School Graduating Class

Percent of Central Texas HS Grads Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed that Persist Into Second Year, by HS Grad Class

2 Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Second Year Persistence Consistently Higher At

Public 4-year Institutions

67% 69% 68% 69% 69% 65% 63% 66%

92% 93% 93% 93% 91% 92% 92% 91%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Perc

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t o

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igh

er

Ed

En

rollees

Year of High School Graduation

Percent of Central Texas HS Grads Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed that Persist Into Second Year, by HS Grad Class

2-Year 4-Year Public

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center 3

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Second Year Persistence for Low Income Grads

Consistently Lower than for Non-low Income Grads

69% 71% 71% 73% 73% 70% 68% 68%

86% 87% 86% 86% 86% 85% 85% 86%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Perc

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igh

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Ed

En

rollees

Year of High School Graduation

Percent of Central Texas HS Grads Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed that Persist Into Second Year, by Income Status, By HS Grad Class

Low Income Non-low IncomeSource: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

4

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Large Variation in Second Year Persistence

Rates by Student Group

56%

63%

65%

66%

70%

72%

73%

83%

84%

87%

88%

89%

93%

94%

96%

97%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Low income Black Male

Low income Black Female

Low income White Male

Low income Hispanic Male

Low income Hispanic Female

Non-low income Black Male

Low income White Female

Non-low income Hispanic Male

Non-low income White Male

Non-low income Hispanic Female

Non-low income Black Female

Non-low income White Female

Low income Asian Male

Low income Asian Female

Non-low income Asian Female

Non-low income Asian Male

Percent of Higher Ed Enrollees

% Central Texas HS Grads Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed that Persist Into Second Year, by Student Group, Class of 2012


© 2015 E3 Alliance

Just 6 in 10 Part-time Enrollees Return for Second Year

6

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Part Time in Yr 1 Full time in Yr 1

Perc

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Ed

En

rollees T

hat

Retu

rned

in

Year

2

Second Year Retention in Higher Ed, by 1st Year Enrollment Status, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates

Part Time in Yr 2 Full Time in Yr 2

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and higher education data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Wide Variability in Second Year Return Rates Among

Students Enrolling Full- or Part-time in First Year

7

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

PT - Fall Semester only

FT - Fall Semester only

PT - Spring Semester only

PT - Both Semesters

FT Fall/PT Spring

PT Fall/FT Spring

FT - Spring Semester only

FT - Both Semesters

Percent of Higher Ed Enrollees That Returned in Year 2

Year

1 E

nro

llm

en

t Typ

e

Second Year Retention in Higher Ed, by 1st Year Enrollment Status, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates

Part-time in Yr 2*

Full-time in Yr 2

* Full-time enrollment in Yr2 defined as either enrolled FT in both semesters or enrolled FT in Spring only. Part-time

enrollment includes all other enrollment patterns.


© 2015 E3 Alliance

Regardless of Income Status, Fewer Part-time

Enrollees Persist to Second Year

8

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

PT in Year 1 FT in Year 1 PT in Year 1 FT in Year 1

Perc

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Ed

En

rollees

Second Year Persistence in Higher Ed, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates

Part Time in Yr 2 Full Time in Yr 2

Low Income Non-low Income


© 2015 E3 Alliance

Persistence Similar between Low Income

ELL and Non-ELL Enrollees

9

67% 68%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

ELL Non-ELL

Perc

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igh

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Ed

En

rolle

es


Note: ‘ELL’ is ELL while in high school. Too few ELL’s are non-low income to include non-low income results in this chart.


© 2015 E3 Alliance

Black Students in Higher Ed Lowest Persistence Rate

10

95%

66%

75%

84%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Asian Black Hispanic White

Perc

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Ed

En

rollees



© 2015 E3 Alliance

All Ethnic Groups Show Huge Persistence Gap

Between Part-time and Full-time Enrollment

11

98%

80%

90% 94%

84%

46%

59% 59%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Perc

en

t o

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igh

er

Ed

En

rollees


Full-time Part-timeSource: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and higher education data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Among Low Income Students, All Ethnic Groups Show

Persistence Gaps Between PT and FT Enrollment

12

96%

75%

86% 86% 86%

41%

54%

44%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Perc

en

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igh

er

Ed

En

rollees

Second Year Low Income Persistence in Higher Ed, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates


© 2015 E3 Alliance

Among Non-low Income Students, All Ethnic Groups

Show Persistence Gaps Between PT and FT Enrollment

13

99%

91% 93% 95%

81%

60%

68% 63%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Perc

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igh

er

Ed

En

rollees

Second Year Non-low Income Persistence in Higher Ed, Central Texas, 2012 HS Graduates


© 2015 E3 Alliance

41% of Full-time Community College Enrollees

Transferred to 4-Year Institution

14,458

561

389

950

Full-time Community College Students Enrolled Within One Year of Graduating in 2010 Who Transferred to 4 Year IHE by Fall 4th Year

Not enrolled in communitycollege or not full-time

Full-time enrolled in communitycollege, did not transfer

Full-time enrolled in communitycollege, transferred to four-year IHE

14 Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and higher education data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

© 2015 E3 Alliance

6-year Higher Education Completion Rates

Not Improving Over Time

49% 48% 47% 48% 48% 49%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Perc

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Percent of Central Texas High School Grads That Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-Year, Completing College Within 6-Years, By HS Grad Class

Note: Completion is defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degree.

Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and Higher Ed enrollment and completion data at the UT Austin ERC 15

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Majority of Central Texas Higher Education

Completers Earn Bachelors Degrees

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Perc

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Percent of Central Texas High School Grads That Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-Year, Completing College Within 6-Years, By HS Grad Class

and Diploma Type

Bachelors

Associates

Certificates



© 2015 E3 Alliance

Majority of Higher Ed Enrollees That Earn a Certificate,

Associates, or Bachelors Do So Within 5 Years

0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Perc

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Percent of Central Texas HS Grads That Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-Year, Completing College Within 2 to 10-Years, By HS Grad Class

10-Years

9-Years

8-Years

7-Years

6-Years

5-Years

4-Years

3-Years

2-Years


Source: E3 Alliance analysis of PEIMS and Higher Ed enrollment and completion data at the UT Austin ERC

24% by

Year 4

17

59% by

Year 10

40% by

Year 5

© 2015 E3 Alliance

Large Gaps Higher Education Completion Persist

66% 69%

29% 33%

33% 35%

54% 57%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Perc

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igh

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Ed

En

rollees


Percent of HS Grads That Enrolled in Higher Ed in Texas Within One Year of Graduating From HS Then Completed College Within 6 Years,

by Ethnicity, Central Texas



Source: E3 Alliance analysis of high school graduation and higher education enrollment data at the UT Austin ERC

18

© 2015 E3 Alliance

6-year Higher Ed Completion Rates Higher for Low

Income and Non-low Income Grads in Class of 2008

27% 28% 26% 28% 28% 30%

53% 53% 52% 54% 53% 57%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Perc

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Percent of Central Texas High School Graduates That Enrolled in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-year, Completing College Within 6-Years, By High

School Graduating Class and Economic Status

Low Income Non-low Income

Note: Completion defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degree


© 2015 E3 Alliance

One in Four Central Texas Graduates Complete

College Within 6 Years of Finishing High School

28%

40%

43%

50%

60%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent of High School Graduates

High School Graduates at 2-or 4-Year Higher Education Institutions in Texas, Central Texas Class of 2008

Enrolled within 1 year

Persisted into 2nd year

Persisted into or completedby 3rd year

Persisted into or completedby 4th year

Completed within 6 Years

Note: Including HS grads that did not enroll within one year of graduating from high school increases the 6-year completion rate from 28 to 30 percent.


Source: E3 Alliance analysis of data at the UT Austin Education Research Center

of 14,054 HS Graduates

20

© 2015 E3 Alliance

One in Ten Low Income Graduates Complete College

Within 6 Years of Finishing High School

12%

36%

21%

45%

25%

51%

32%

59%

44%

68%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Lo

w In

co

me

No

n-l

ow

In

co

me

Percent of High School Graduates

High School Graduates at 2-or 4-Year Higher Education Institutions, Central Texas Class of 2008

Enrolled within 1 year

Persisted into 2nd year

Persisted into or completedby 3rd year

Persisted into or completedby 4th year

Completed within 6 Years

Note: Excludes HS grads that did not enroll within one year of graduating from high school.



© 2015 E3 Alliance

Fewer Than 1 of 5 Part-time Enrollees Complete

College Within 6 Years

16%

67%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Enrolled Part-time in yr 1 Enrolled Full-time in yr 1Perc

en

t o

f E

nro

llees C

om

ple

tin

g W

ith

in 6

Y

ears

Percent of Central Texas High School Graduates That Enrolled Part or Full-time in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-year, Completing College Within 6-Years,

2008 HS Graduates



© 2015 E3 Alliance

Regardless of Income, 6-year Higher Ed Completion

Rates Are Lower For Part-time Enrollees

10%

48%

19%

71%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Enrolled Part-time in yr 1 Enrolled Full-time in yr 1

Perc

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llees C

om

ple

tin

g

Wit

hin

6 Y

ears

Percent of Central Texas High School Graduates That Enrolled Part or Full-time in Texas Higher Ed Within 1-year, Completing College Within 6-Years

2008 HS Graduates

Low Income Non-low IncomeNote: Completion defined as receiving a certificate, associate’s degree, or bachelor’s degree


© 2015 E3 Alliance

www.e3alliance.org

The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the

Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas.

E3 Alliance

Documents

Higher Education Persistence and Completione3alliance.org/.../2015/04/Higher-Education-Persistence-and-Completion.pdf · Percent of Central Texas High School Grads That Enrolled in