High Cost and Low Value of Electricity From Wind

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    SPPIREPRINTSERIES February10,2010

    THETRUECOSTOFELECTRICITYFROMWINDISALWAYS

    UNDERESTIMATEDANDITSVALUEISALWAYSOVERESTIMATED

    byGlennR.Schleede

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    TABLEOFCONTENTSINTRODUCTION........................................................................................................................... 3

    PERVASIVEMISUNDERSTANDINGOFTHETRUECOSTANDVALUEOFELECTRICITYFROMWIND ................................................................................................................................. 3

    IMPROVINGPUBLIC,MEDIAANDPOLITICALLEADERSUNDERSTANDINGOFWINDENERGYCOSTSANDVALUE ..................................................................................................... 4

    SIXPOINTSCRITICALTOANACCURATEUNDERSTANDINGOFTHEHIGHTRUECOSTANDLOWVALUEOFELECTRICITYFROMWIND .................................................................. 5

    POINT1: Thereisafundamentaldifferencebetweenwindturbinesandreliableelectricgeneratingunits. ....................................................................................................... 6

    POINT2: Windturbineshavelittleornocapacityvalue. ................................................... 7

    POINT3: Electricityproducedbywindturbinesi.e.,thekilowatthours(kWh)haslessrealvaluethanelectricityproducedbyreliablegeneratingunits.. ....................... 8

    Point4: Largepartsofthetruecapitalandoperatingcostsofelectricityfromwindarehiddenbecausemassivefederal,stateandlocaltaxbreaksandsubsidiesshiftmuchofitstruecostfromwindfarmdevelopersandownerstotaxpayers

    andelectric

    customers. ............................................................................................ 8

    Federaltaxbreaksandsubsidies. ........................................................................... 9

    Statetaxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindfarmowners.................................... 14

    Localgovernmentandeconomicdevelopmentagencytaxbreaksandsubsidies.................................................................................................................. 15

    POINT5: Otherimportantelementsofthefull,truecostofelectricityfromwindareoftenhiddenorignoredbywindenergyadvocates....................................................... 16

    POINT6: Noonereallyknowsthetruecostperkilowatthour(kWh)ofelectricityfrom

    windturbines

    because

    all

    estimates

    of

    such

    costs

    are

    based

    on

    highly

    questionableassumptionsreallyguessesthatareuntested. ........................ 18

    THEPRECEDINGPOINTSAREFOCUSEDONFINANCIALCOSTANDVALUE,NOTEXTERNALITIES.......................................................................................................................... 20

    CONCLUSIONS........................................................................................................................... 20

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    THETRUECOSTOFELECTRICITYFROMWINDISALWAYSUNDERESTIMATEDANDITSVALUEISALWAYS

    OVERESTIMATED

    byGlenn

    R.

    Schleede

    |February

    4,

    2010

    INTRODUCTION

    Probably the most common wind energy question that I receive from analysts, reporters,and interested citizens deals with the cost of electricity from wind. The frequency of thequestionisunderstandablesinceestimatesprovidedbythewindindustry,federalandstateagencies and contractors,andthemediaunderstate thetruecostand ignorethefact thatelectricityfromwindisverylowinvalue.

    Typically, those asking the question would like a simple way to compare the cost ofelectricity from wind with the cost of electricity from other sources. Unfortunately, thatisntpossible. Forthosewhoinsist:

    Thefirstshortanswer isthatthetruefinancialcostofelectricityfromwind ishugecomparedtoelectricityfromreliablegeneratingsources.

    The second short answer is that the cost of electricity from wind should not becompared with the cost of electricity from reliable generating sources because thevalueofelectricityfromwindismuchlower.

    PERVASIVEMISUNDERSTANDINGOFTHETRUECOSTANDVALUEOFELECTRICITYFROMWIND

    Infact,fewpeople inthegeneralpublic,mediaorgovernmentknowthefactsaboutthehightruecostandlowtruevalueofelectricityfromwind. Forexample,notlongago,thedelegateto the General Assembly representing our district in Virginia stated repeatedly during atelephonictownhallthatelectricityfromwindisnowcompetitivewithelectricityfromcoal. The delegate has a degree in electrical engineering and a long record ofaccomplishmentsinelectronics. Hisstatementisconsistentwithclaimsoftenmadebywindindustry

    lobbyists

    but,

    unfortunately,

    the

    statement

    is

    false.

    ThedelegatesfalsestatementisunderstandablesincetheUSDepartmentofEnergy(DOE),DOEs National Laboratories and other contractors (all paid with tax dollars), the windindustry; and other wind energy advocates have, for years, issued false and misleadingclaimsaboutthecostandvalueofelectricityfromwind.

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    Criticallyimportantamongtheelementsoftruecostthatareoftenunderstatedorignoredbywindenergyadvocatesisthehugecostoftaxbreaksandsubsidiesprovidedtothewindindustry. Initially,taxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindenergywere justifiedongroundsthatthey were necessary to help an emerging technology compete with existing technologiesfor producing electricity until the technology was more thoroughly developed anddemonstrated.

    Federal,stateandlocalgovernmenttaxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindenergyhavebecomesoprevalentthat itsvirtuallycertainthatthepoliticiansandregulatorswhoprovidethemhavenounderstandingoftheirmagnitudeandcost. Itsalsovirtuallycertainthattheyhavenotweighedbenefitsandcosts. Iftheyreallyhavedoneeither,thereisnoquestionbutthattheyhavedecidedtoputthespecialinterestofthewindindustryaheadoftheinterestsoftaxpayersandelectriccustomerswhoarepayingfortheirlargess.

    Wind industry lobbyists have been exceedingly effective in winning huge tax breaks andsubsidiesfromgovernments. When initiallyproposed,windenergyadvocatesarguedthat

    tax

    breaks

    and

    subsidies

    were

    necessary

    to

    permit

    a

    relatively

    new

    and

    developing

    technologytogainafoothold incompetitionwithothersourcesofenergyforproducingelectricity. However,industrydemandsforcontinuation,expansionandextensionofsubsidieshave made it clear that there are no longer any serious expectations that wind energy iscompetitiveorthatimprovementsinthetechnologywilleventuallymakeitcompetitive.

    Instead, it appears that the only hope that wind energy would become economicallycompetitive with traditional energy sources is if the cost of electricity from traditionalsourcesweredrivenmuchhigherwithalltheadverse impactsonelectriccustomersandlocalandnationaleconomiesthatresultfromhighelectricityprices.

    IMPROVINGPUBLIC,MEDIAANDPOLITICALLEADERSUNDERSTANDINGOFWINDENERGYCOSTSANDVALUE

    Thefalseclaimsandthewidespreadmisunderstandingaboutthefull,truecostsandthelowvalueofelectricityfromwinddemonstratethatitistimetofocusonthefacts. Itwouldbenice if this could be done in a brief paper but brief papers have not been effective ingettingthroughtopeople(particularlythoseingovernmentandthemedia)whoshouldbepresenting the public and our political leaders with accurate information. Therefore, itapparently isnecessarytoexplainthebasicswhich,unfortunately,requiresa longpaperthatdelvesintothedetailsaboutthecostandvalueofelectricityfromwind.

    Accordingly, this paper provides details on all the key factors that must be taken intoaccountwhenmakinghonestestimatesofthetruecostandvalueofelectricityfromwindenergy. This paper will not provide numbers that can be compared because thedevelopment of valid and reliable cost and value data requires detailed information andassumptionsthatvarywidelyamongwindfarms,thegenerationmixandelectricitysupplyanddemandsituationwithinelectricgridcontrolareas,andotherfactors.

    4

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    Hopefully, once the factors that affect true cost and value of electricity from wind areunderstood,analysts, investors,reporters,andothers interested inhonestcomparisonsofcostsandvaluewillbeabletomakerealisticestimatesofatleastthecostsperkilowatt(kWof)windgeneratingcapacity.

    But,asexplainedbelow,reliableestimatesofthecostperkilowatthour(kWhof)electricity

    produced

    by

    wind

    farms

    will

    still

    not

    be

    possible

    because

    such

    estimates

    are

    entirely

    dependentonfactorsthatareandwillremainunknown. Assumptions(i.e.,guesses)madeby those who claim they know the cost per kWh of electricity from wind can easily be inerrorbyafactoroftwoormore.

    Whetherestimatingthetruecostofwindgeneratingcapacityorcostofelectricityproducedfrom wind, the cost of federal, state, and local tax breaks and subsidies are dominantfactors. There is no longer any serious doubt but that tax breaks and subsidies notenvironmental,energy, oreconomic benefits aretheprimary reasonsthatwindfarmsarebeingbuilt.

    SIXPOINTSCRITICALTOANACCURATEUNDERSTANDINGOFTHEHIGHTRUECOSTANDLOWVALUEOFELECTRICITYFROMWIND

    Comparing the cost of electricity from wind with the cost of electricity from reliablegenerating units is a classic apples to oranges comparison (or perhaps crab apples tooranges!). Thethingsbeingcomparedmaylooksimilarbut,infact,arevastlydifferent. Insummary,andasdetailedbelow,thosemakingcomparisonsofthecostofelectricityfromwindoftenoverlookfourcriticallyimportantfacts:

    The full, true cost of electricity from wind is seldom revealed because of massivefederal, state, and local government tax breaks and subsidies for wind farmowners.

    No one really knows the true cost per kilowatthour (kWh) of producing electricityfrom wind turbines because all such calculations are always based on assumptions(i.e.,guesses).

    Thevalueofelectricitythatisproducedbywindturbinesismuchlowerthanthevalueofelectricityfromreliablegeneratingunitsbecausetheoutputfromwindturbinesisintermittent,volatile,unreliableandmostlikelytobeproducedwhenleastneeded.

    The value of wind turbine generating capacity is much lower than the value of thecapacity of reliable generating units because wind turbines produce electricity only

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    1 so they cannot be counted on

    whenelectricitydemandreachespeaklevels.

    POINT1: There isa fundamentaldifferencebetweenwind turbinesand reliableelectricgeneratingunits.

    Thereis

    a

    vast

    difference

    between

    electric

    generating

    units

    that

    produce

    electricity

    only

    intermittently,suchaswindturbines,andreliablegeneratingunits thatcanbecountedontoproduceelectricitywhenitisneeded. Tobemorespecific:

    1. Electricitycannotbestoredinsignificantamountsand,therefore,mustbeproducedasitisneeded(ordemanded)bycustomers. Demandforelectricitybycustomerswhetherresidential,commercial,orindustrial varieswidelybytimeofday,dayofweek, season of the year, prevailing weather and temperature, strength of theeconomy,andotherfactors

    2.Managers

    of

    electric

    grids

    are

    responsible

    for

    assuring

    that

    enough

    electricity

    is

    always available to meet customers demand and, whiledoing this,must keep thegird inbalance(interms ofsupply& demand,voltageand frequency) . To do this,grid managers must always have available and under their control generatingunitsthatare:

    a. Reliable,that is,theunit(s)mustbeavailableoroperableandhavenecessaryfuelsothatitcanbecountedontoproduceelectricitywhenitsoutputisneeded,and

    b. Dispatchable,thatis,theunit(s)mustbesubjecttothegridmanagerscontrolsothat itcanbebroughton line(i.e.,beginproduction)ortakenoff line(i.e.,stop

    production),and,

    for

    a

    unit

    on

    line,

    it

    can

    be

    ramped

    up

    or

    down

    (i.e.,

    increasing

    ordecreasingitsoutput).

    Inadditiontokeepingthegridinbalanceatalltimes,gridmanagersmustalsohavereliableanddispatchablegeneratingcapacityinreserve,whichcapacitycanbecalleduponimmediatelyifthereisanunplannedoutageofoneormoreonlinegeneratingunits (or transmission lines), or if there is a significant, unexpected increase inelectricitydemand.

    Thewind industryoften pretendsthatthisoperating reserveofgenerating capacity

    should

    be

    or

    is

    a

    free

    good

    that

    should

    be

    available

    for

    its

    use

    preferably

    at

    no

    cost to make up for the fact that their wind turbines cant be counted on toproduceelectricitywhenit ispromisedorneeded(i.e.,theturbineshavelittleornoreal capacity value), especially at the time of peak electricity demand. However,

    1 Theystartproducingwithwindsofabout6mph,reachratedcapacityaround32mph,cutoutaround56mph,

    and restartabout45mph. Muchof the time theyproducenoelectricityoronlysmallamountswellbelow

    ratedcapacity.

    6

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    cutting into a grids operating reserve means that there would be less of a reserveavailabletoitsrealpurpose.

    3. Windturbinesarenotreliableordispatchable. Theyproduceelectricityonlywhenthewindisblowingwithintherightspeedrange(showninfootnote#1). Theiroutputisintermittent, volatile, largely unpredictable, and unreliable. If wind turbines are

    connectedto

    the

    grid

    serving

    the

    control

    area,

    the

    grid

    manager

    must

    have

    reliable

    generatingcapacityimmediatelyavailabletobackuptheintermittent,volatileandunreliableoutputfromwindturbinesandkeepthegridinbalance.

    4. Generating units that qualify as reliable and dispatchable are those with turbinegeneratorspoweredbynaturalgas,oil,coal,nuclearenergyandhydropower.2 Howquicklyageneratingunitcanbebroughtonlineorrampedupordownvarieswidely,dependingonsuchfactorsasthegeneratingtechnology(e.g.,usingsteamturbineorgasturbine),theenergysource,andtheageandconditionoftheunit.

    POINT2:

    Wind

    turbines

    have

    little

    or

    no

    capacity

    value.

    Acriticallyimportantfactoraffectingthetruevalueofthecapacityofanygeneratingunitishowmuchoftheunitsratedornameplatecapacitycandefinitelybecountedontobeavailabletogenerateelectricity3andhowmuch itcandefinitelybecountedtoproduceatthe time of peak electricity demand in the control area. This measure is referred to in theelectricindustryastheunitscapacityvalue.

    Infact,regardlessoftheirratedornameplatecapacity,4windturbinescantbecountedon to produce any electricity at the time it is most needed; i.e., when electricity demandreachespeaklevels.5 Therefore,windturbinesreallyhavelittleornorealcapacityvalue,

    asthat

    term

    is

    used

    in

    the

    electric

    industry.

    Because wind turbines have little or no real capacity value, electric grid managersresponsible for assuring the reliability of electric service must, instead, look to othergenerating units i.e., those that are reliable and dispatchable for the capacity that isneeded at the time of peak electricity demand. In most areas of the US, peak electricitydemandislikelytooccurinlateafternoononhot,weekdaysinJulyorAugust.

    Whenattemptingtocompareeitherthecostorvalueofelectricityfromwindturbines,itisimportanttorecognizethatthefactthatwindturbinesproducelittleornoelectricitymost

    2 In some cases, generatingunits poweredby biomass, trash,geothermal energy, and perhaps, solar thermal

    energymayalsoqualifyasreliableanddispatchable.3 Forawindturbine,theunitmustbebothoperableandhaveenoughwind.

    4 Ageneratingunitsratedornameplatecapacityisexpressedintermsofkilowatts(kW)ormegawatts(MW)

    whichisameasureoftheamountofelectricitythatcouldbeproducedbytheunitataninstantintimeifthe

    unitwasproducingatfullcapacity.5 FormostareasoftheUS,peakelectricitydemandismostlikelytooccuronhot,weekdaylateafternoonsinJuly

    or August. During these times there is little or no wind and, therefore, little or no electricity from wind

    turbines.

    7

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    ofthetimemeansthattheirratedornameplatecapacityisnotcomparableinvaluetotheratedornameplatecapacityofareliablegeneratingunit. (Aclearexampleofthecrabappletoorangeanalogy.)

    POINT3: Electricityproducedbywindturbinesi.e.,thekilowatthours(kWh)haslessrealvaluethanelectricityproducedbyreliablegeneratingunits.

    The true value of a kilowatthour (kWh) of electricity depends on when it is produced.Specifically,akWhofelectricityproducedduring periodsofhighorpeakelectricitydemandhasmuchhighervaluethanakWhproducedwhendemand is low6(e.g.,duringnighttimehoursinmostareasoftheUS).

    This,too, is a critically important fact whenattempting to compareeithercost orvalueofelectricity from wind turbines with electricity from reliable, dispatchable generating units.The fact is that electricity from wind turbines has a lower value per kWh because thatelectricityisnotonlyintermittent,volatile,largelyunpredictableandunreliable,butitisalso

    most

    likely

    to

    be

    produced

    at

    night

    and

    in

    colder

    months

    when

    wind

    speeds

    are

    adequate

    to

    spintheblades,notattimesofhighorpeakelectricitydemand.

    Point4: Largepartsof the truecapitalandoperatingcostsofelectricityfromwindarehiddenbecausemassive federal, stateand local taxbreaksand subsidies shiftmuchofitstruecostfromwindfarmdevelopersandownerstotaxpayersandelectriccustomers.

    Wind industry officials and lobbyists as well as the politicians, regulators, and othergovernment officials, government contractors, and nongovernment organizations (NGOs)thatsupportwindindustryinterests,oftenunderstategreatlythetruecostofwindfarms

    and

    electricity

    produced

    from

    wind

    farms.

    Sadly,

    some

    electric

    utility

    officials

    also

    participateinhidingthetruecostsofelectricityfromwind.

    Wheninitiallyproposed,therationaleforprovidingtaxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindenergywastohelparelativelynewtechnologyforproducingelectricitycompetewithestablishedelectric generating technologies until advances in technology would permit wind tocompetewithoutsubsidies.

    However, the massive tax breaks and subsidies now available and the wind industrys wellfinanced lobbyingeffortstopreserve,expand,andextendthemmakesclearthatthere isno

    longer

    any

    serious

    expectation

    that

    electricity

    from

    wind

    will

    become

    competitive

    or

    that

    significantadvancesinwindtechnologyarelikelytoeverpermitwindtobecomeacompetitivesourceofelectricity.

    6 Indisputable evidenceof this isavailable onweb sites for Independent SystemOperators (ISOs)or Regional

    TransmissionOperators(RTOs)thatmanageelectricgridsintheUS. Suchwebsitesgenerallyprovidehourby

    hour(ormorefrequent)dataonthewholesalepricesofelectricityincompetitivemarkets.8

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    The US Energy Information Administration (EIA), in an April 2008 report,7 indicated thatfederal tax breaks and subsidies during 2007 averaged $0.2337 per kWh of electricityproducedbywindduring2007. However,thatEIAreportunderestimatedthetruecostofthetaxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindbecauseit:

    Failed to take into account either the value of 5year double declining balanceaccelerated

    depreciation

    (described

    below)

    that

    is

    available

    for

    wind

    farm

    equipment,butnotavailableforreliablegeneratingunits.

    Didnotcover,ofcourse,over$1billioninadditionaltaxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindenergyawardedin2009bytheUSDepartmentsofEnergyandTreasury(authorizedby various stimulus measures) allegedly to create jobs in the US. As indicatedbelow, a significant share of these awards were for projects owned by foreignentities,coveredequipmentmanufacturedinothercountries,orflowedtoownersofwindfarmswerealreadyunderconstructionorcompleted.

    Did

    not

    cover

    state

    and

    local

    tax

    breaks

    and

    subsidies

    for

    wind

    farm

    owners.

    Amongthemanyfederal,stateandlocaltaxbreaksandsubsidies8thatreducewindfarmdevelopersandownerscosts whileshiftingthosecoststoordinarytaxpayersandelectriccustomersarethefollowing:

    A. Federaltaxbreaksandsubsidies.1. AcceleratedDepreciation (MACRS).9 Nearly allthecapitalcostofawindfarm

    whetherfinancedwithequityordebt canberecoveredthroughdeductionsfromotherwise taxable income using 5year double declining balance accelerated

    depreciation

    (5yr.

    200%DB).

    These

    deductions

    from

    taxable

    income

    reduce

    tax

    liabilityattheownersmarginaltaxrate,usually$35foreach$100deduction. Allofthe eligible capital cost can be written off (recovered) over 6 tax years at thefollowingratesillustratedwith$100,000,000ineligiblecapitalcost:

    7

    US

    EIA,

    Federal

    Financial

    Interventions

    and

    Subsidies

    in

    Energy

    Markets

    2007,

    table

    35,

    page

    106.

    http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/subsidy2/pdf/chap5.pdf.8 Thissummary is limitedprimarilytotaxbreaksandsubsidiesthatbenefit industrialscalewindenergy. There

    are others benefitting smaller scale installations installed by residential, commercial, industrial, educational,

    andcommunityorganizations.9 MACRSstandsforIRSModifiedAcceleratedCostRecoverySystems,whichprescribesthemethodsthatcan

    beusedtowriteoffcapitalcosts(i.e.,deductthecapitalcostoffacilities,whetherfinancedbyequityordebt,

    fromtheorganizationsotherwisetaxableincome)overaperiodoftimethatisgenerallyshorterthantheuseful

    lifeofthefacilities. DetailsofMACRScanbefoundinIRSpublication946.

    9

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    DeductionfromTaxableIncomeTaxYear %ofCapital

    Investment AmountFurtherReductioninIncome

    TaxLiability(inadditiontoPTC)1st 20% $20,000,000 $7,000,000

    2nd 32% $32,000,000 $11,200,000

    3

    rd

    19.2%

    $19,200,000

    $6,720,000

    4th 11.52% $11,520,000 $4,032,000

    5th 11.52% $11,520,000 $4,032,000

    6th 5.76% $5,760,000 $2,016,000

    Totals: 100% $100,000,000 $35,000,000

    Note that these deductions from otherwise taxable income and from tax liabilitycould be taken regardless of whether the $100 million wind farm investment isfinancedwithdebtorequity.10

    Note also that, in addition to the further reduction in tax liability, this generous

    accelerateddepreciation

    deduction

    for

    federal

    income

    tax

    purposes

    has

    two

    other

    hugebenefits;specifically:

    a. Prompt recovery of all the owners equity investment. Quite likely, the equityinvestmentbywindfarmownersandtheirtaxpartners11wouldbenomorethan 30% with the remaining borrowed to reduce its cost. As the table aboveshows, all of the equity investment would be recovered thru depreciationdeductionsearlyinthesecondtaxyearandinlessthan1yeariftheprojectbeginsoperating late in the first tax year. With no remaining equity investment, theownersreturnonequitywouldbeinfinite.

    b. A large interestfree loan. Thedepreciationdeductioncontinueseventhoughallequity has been recovered. Thus, in effect, the owners receive an interest freeloan,courtesyofUStaxpayersforanamountequaltothedebtfinancing.

    2. WindProductionTaxCredit(PTC). AwindfarmowneriseligibleforaWindPTC,currently $0.021 per kilowatthour (kWh), for electricity produced during the 1st 10yearsofoperation. ThenewexpirationdateforthePTCwasextendedtoDecember31, 2012. If the illustrative $100 million project had turbines with the combined,

    10

    Note

    also

    that

    the

    US

    Congress

    enacted

    a

    50%

    1

    st

    year

    bonus

    deduction

    for

    many

    capital

    investments

    placed

    inserviceduring2008and2009asaneconomicstimulus. Theeffectofthisbonuspermittedwindfarm

    ownerstodeduct60%inthe1st,16%inthe2

    nd,9.6%inthe3

    rd,5.76%inthe4

    thand5

    thand2.88%inthe6

    thtax

    years.11

    Totakeadvantageofthelucrativetaxbreaks,awindfarmownermusthavesubstantialtaxableincomefrom

    sourcesotherthanthewindfarm. Developerswhodonothaveenoughtaxable incomemerelyfindsome

    other organization (often a large bank or Wall Street financial institution with large amounts of taxable

    incometheywishtoshelterfrom incometaxes)thatwillbetheirpartnerandpartownerfortheperiodof

    time(years)thatisnecessarytocapturethetaxbenefits. Thenthefullownershipflipstothedeveloper. The

    developersandtaxpartnersarethebigwinnersandordinarytaxpayerswhobeartheburdenescapedbythe

    windfarmownersarethebiglosers.

    10

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    ratedcapacityof50megawatts(MW)andtheyoperatedata30%capacityfactor12,the turbines would produce 131,400,000 kWh of electricity each year, the ownerswould receive a tax credit (a direct deduction form tax liability) of $2,759,400 peryearduringthefirst10yearsofoperation,thusreducingfederal incometax liabilityby$27,594,000over10years.13

    3. InvestmentTaxCredit (ITC). Stimulus legislation enacted during 2008 and 2009permits wind farm owners to choose an investment tax credit (i.e., a directdeduction from taxes otherwise due) equal to 30% of capital costs in lieu of theProductionTaxCredit.IfthewindfarmownerdoesnothavesufficienttaxliabilitytousealloftheITCdeduction,unusedamountscanbecarriedforwardanddeductedinfutureyears. Thistaxbreakisavailableforprojectsplacedinserviceduring2009and2010orwhereconstructionhasstartedby2010andplacedinservicebeforetheend of 2012. The newly authorized ITC has substantial benefits for wind farmownerscomparedtothePTCbecause(i)thebenefit isavailable immediatelyratherthanovera10yearperiodand(ii)thebenefitisbasedoncapitalcostand,therefore,

    is

    available

    regardless

    of

    the

    amount

    of

    electricity

    produced

    by

    the

    wind

    farm.

    14

    4. CashGrant inLieuofITC.Thegenerous20082009stimulus legislationalsomadewindfarmdeveloperseligiblefortheITCtoelecttoreceiveacashgrantofequalvalue from the US Treasury in lieu of the ITC. During September 2009, The USDepartments of Treasury and Energy awarded grants for wind farm projectstotalingabout$900million. $546millionornearly60%ofthetotal15wasawardedtotheSpainbasedfirm,Iberdrola. TheIberdrolaCEOhasindicatedthatheexpectstowinanother$470millioningrantsfromTreasuryandDOEduring2010.16

    Creating jobs was, allegedly, a key reasonfor the $787billion stimulus legislation

    butmost

    of

    wind

    farm

    projects

    included

    in

    the

    $1

    billion

    in

    grants

    awarded

    by

    TreasuryandDOEonSeptember1andSeptember22,2009,werefor(a)projectsthatwerealreadycompleted,nearlycompletedoralreadyfullycommittedtobythegrantrecipients, (b) were equipped with turbines manufactured primarily in othercountries, and (c) were owned by foreignbased companies. Furthermore, windfarmsresultinveryfewnewjobs,certainlyfewerthanwouldbecreatedbysimilarinvestmentsinreliablegeneratingunitspoweredbytraditionalenergysources.

    12 Capacity factor is an after the fact measure determined by dividing the actual electricity production (in

    kilowatthourskWhormegawatthoursMWhbytheratedcapacitytimesthehours intheperiodbeing

    analyzed (e.g.,8760hours inayear). Forthe illustrationabove,thecalculationwouldbeas follows:Annual

    productionof131,400,000kWhdividedby8760hoursx50MW(50,000kW)capacity=30%capacityfactor.13

    Inreality,capacityfactorsmaydecreasesomewhatasturbinesageduetogearboxfailures,bladecracking,and

    bladesbecomefouledfrominsects,hittingbirdsandbats,etc.14

    Separatingthetaxbreakfromactualelectricityproduction,ineffect,reducestheownersincentivetomaintain

    turbinesandotherwindfarmequipmentsoastomaximizeproduction.15

    http://www.greenjobs.com/public/industrynews/inews06694.htm.16

    http://www.windwatch.org/news/2009/12/17/iberdrolachiefwarnsoncostofgreenpower/.

    11

    http://www.greenjobs.com/public/industrynews/inews06694.htmhttp://www.greenjobs.com/public/industrynews/inews06694.htm
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    (Clearly,anyclaimthatthehugeexpenditureoftaxdollarsthatweregiventoownersof wind farms would provide significant job and economic benefits in the UScannotbetakenseriously.)

    5. LoosenedRequirementsfortaxbreaksandsubsidies. Thesamestimuluslegislationalso relaxed a number of restrictions on that had applied to the tax breaks and

    subsidies.

    A

    report

    recently

    released

    by

    DOEs

    Lawrence

    Berkeley

    National

    Laboratory (LBNL) while objectionable in several respects provides a usefulsummaryofgeneroustaxbreaksandsubsidiesnowavailableforwindfarms.17

    6. US Department Agriculture Grants. While not targeting large commercial windfarms,avarietyofrenewableenergyproductionincentives,18grants,19loans,20andlow interest bond 21arrangements are available for certain wind energy projects.These are also summarized in the LBNL report cited above. Some of thesearrangements are available for large wind turbine projects owned by Rural Electriccooperativesandpublicpowerorganizationsownedbystateandlocalgovernments.

    7. DOE Loan Program. A DOE loan program intended to encourage thecommercialization of innovative energy technologies was first authorized by theEnergy Policy Act of 2005 and then was substantially expanded by the AmericanRecovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. Billions in loans and loan guarantees areavailable for various renewable energy (including wind) and energy efficiencyprojects. Onewindproject(NordicWindpower)hasbeenapprovedviathisprogramfor a $16 million loan. Final regulations for this DOE program were issued onDecember7,200922

    8. AdditionalUSDepartment of Energy (DOE) Subsidies. The DOE provides severaladditional

    subsidies

    to

    the

    wind

    industry,

    all

    financed

    with

    tax

    dollars,

    including:

    a. Some$60to$100millionperyearforwindenergyR&Dcontractsandgrants.b. Additional millions in taxpayer dollars for studies, analyses, reports, and

    other wind energy promotional information prepared by or for DOEs Office ofEnergy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (DOEEERE), DOEs National EnergyLaboratories,23stateenergyoffices,andotherDOEcontractorsandgrantees.

    17 Bolinger,Mark,LawrenceBerkeleyNationalLaboratory(LBNL),RevealingtheHiddenValuethattheFederal

    Investment

    Tax

    Credit

    and

    Treasury

    Cash

    Grant

    Provide

    To

    Community

    Wind

    Projects,

    January

    2010;

    pp.

    6

    16.

    Apparently, theobjectiveof the report is topromotecommunitywindprojectsbyoutlining thegenerous

    new taxbreaksmadeavailable forsuchprojects. The reportmakesnoattempt toevaluate theexceedingly

    smallbenefitsthatresultfromthehighcosttotaxpayersandelectriccustomersofcommunitywindprojects.18

    http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US33F&re=1&ee=1.19

    http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US05F&re=1&ee=1.20

    http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US46F&re=1&ee=1.21

    http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US45F&re=1&ee=1.22

    http://www.lgprogram.energy.gov/press/FR12709.pdf.23

    Particularly the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and the Lawrence Berkeley National

    Laboratory(LBNL).

    12

    http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US33F&re=1&ee=1http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US05F&re=1&ee=1http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US46F&re=1&ee=1http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US45F&re=1&ee=1http://www.lgprogram.energy.gov/press/FR-12709.pdfhttp://www.lgprogram.energy.gov/press/FR-12709.pdfhttp://www.lgprogram.energy.gov/press/FR-12709.pdfhttp://www.lgprogram.energy.gov/press/FR-12709.pdfhttp://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US45F&re=1&ee=1http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US46F&re=1&ee=1http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US05F&re=1&ee=1http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US33F&re=1&ee=1
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    WhiletheNationallaboratoriesundoubtedlyperformsomeobjectiveworkthatis based on scientific methods and engineering principles, much of theinformation issued by these organizations that deals with wind energy isdemonstrably biased, misleading, and even false. These laboratory activitiesare more akin to those carried out by trade associations that typically provide

    onesided

    information

    (or

    propaganda)

    that

    is

    used

    to

    influence

    the

    public,

    media

    andgovernmentofficials.24

    c. More taxpayer dollars flowing though DOE and NREL to support various stategovernment wind promotional activities and to state wind working groups,25consistingofwindindustryrepresentativesandotherwindenergyadvocates(butseldom, if ever, include representatives from citizen groups opposed to windfarms)thatworkinsupportofwindindustryobjectives.

    9. MandateduseofrenewableenergybyFederalAgencies.26 TheEnergyPolicyActof

    2005

    requires

    the

    following

    amounts

    of

    total

    electricity

    consumed

    by

    the

    Federal

    Governmenttocomefromrenewableenergy:

    Nolessthan3%infiscalyears20072009 Nolessthan5%infiscalyears20102012 Nolessthan7.5%infiscalyear2013andthereafter.PresidentialExecutiveOrder13423,issuedinJanuary2007,requiresthatatleastonehalf of the required electricity from renewable energy come from new renewablesources. In fact, much of the electricity from renewable energy purchased byfederal agencies comes from wind turbines. Like mandated state green energy

    programs,

    this

    federal

    requirement

    in

    effect

    requires

    that

    federal

    agencies

    pay

    premiumpricesforpartoftheelectricitytheyuse,thuscreatingaspecial,highpricedmarket that is available to wind farms. The higherthanmarket premiums thatmustbepaidforelectricityfromwindareanothersubsidyforthewindindustry. Thehigher prices are paid from agency appropriations which are financed through taxdollars.

    10.PubliclandsmanagedbytheUSBureauofLandManagementandUSForestService.Both agencies havepoliciesandregulationsdealingwiththeconstructionof windfarms and related transmission facilities on public lands that they manage. More

    than

    300

    MW

    of

    wind

    turbine

    capacity

    is

    now

    located

    on

    BLMmanaged

    lands.

    27

    24 Examples include NRELs Jobs and Economic Development Impact (JEDI) model that overstates local and

    state benefits from wind farms, and LBNLs recent report that claims, falsely, that wind farms do not

    adverselyaffectthevaluesofnearbyproperties.25

    http://www.windpoweringamerica.gov/state_activities.asp.26

    http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US01R&re=1&ee=1.27

    http://www.blm.gov/pgdata/etc/medialib/blm/wo/MINERALS__REALTY__AND_RESOURCE_PROTECTION

    _/energy.Par.58306.File.dat/09factsheetmap_Wind.pdf.

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    Typically, rents charged by BLM and USFS are lower than those charged forcomparableprivatelands.

    11.Tax breaks and subsidies for wind farm equipmentmanufacturers. One 2009economicstimulusmeasure28establishedanew$2.3billion investmenttaxcreditto encourage the development of a U.S.based renewable energy manufacturing

    sector.In

    any

    taxable

    year,

    the

    investment

    tax

    credit

    is

    equal

    to

    30%

    of

    the

    qualified

    investment required for an advanced energy project that establishes, reequips orexpandsamanufacturingfacilitythatproduces29somethingconsideredbytheUSTreasury and Energy Departments as an energy efficiency, conservation, orrenewableenergytechnology,includingwindenergy.

    Theapplicationprocessconductedduringthefallof2009resultedintheselectionofdozensofprojectsthatapparentlyexhaustedthe$2.3billionauthorization. Projectsselected for this new tax break included 33 projects involving wind turbines,bearings, towers, and blades totaling more than $250,000,000. Treasury and DOE

    have

    announced

    that

    no

    more

    applications

    are

    being

    accepted

    for

    this

    program.

    30

    However,PresidentsFY2011budgetrequestsanadditional$5billionfortheprogram.

    B. Statetaxbreaksandsubsidiesforwindfarmowners. Manystategovernmentshaveadopted generous tax breaks and subsidies that benefit wind farm developers andowners adding more to the costs that are shifted from developers and owners toordinary taxpayers and electric customers and hidden in their tax bills and monthlyelectricbills.

    The specific tax breaks and subsidies vary widely among states. Information for eachstate can be found at a taxpayer financed web site, Database of State Incentives for

    Renewables

    &

    Efficiency,

    www.dsireusa.org.

    Among

    the

    scores

    of

    incentives

    forindustrial scale wind farms provided by at least one and often more states are:

    1. Stateproductiontaxcredits(e.g.,Iowa).2. Exemptionsfromallorpartofpropertytaxes(e.g.,Iowa,WestVirginia,NewYork).3. Artificiallylowassessments onwindturbines(e.g.,Illinois).4. Exemptions from sales tax on wind farm equipment and materials (e.g.,

    Minnesota).5. Lowcostloans(e.g.,industrialdevelopmentbonds).6. RenewablePortfolioStandards(RPS)thattypicallyprescribedsomepercentageofa

    distribution utilitys sales must consist of electricity produced from wind or someother

    renewable

    energy

    source

    (about

    20

    states).

    7. Purchases of, or markets for, green energy certificates earned by producers ofelectricityfromwind(e.g.,Massachusetts).

    28 TheAmericanRecoveryandReinvestmentActof2009(H.R.1),enactedinFebruary2009.

    29 http://www.dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=US52F&re=1&ee=1.

    30 http://www.whitehouse.gov/thepressoffice/factsheet23billionnewcleanenergymanufacturingtax

    credits.

    14

    http://www.dsireusa.org/http://www.dsireusa.org/
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    8. Green energy programs by electric distribution companies that offer electricityproduced from wind at a premium price either required or encouraged by statePUCorlegislature(manystates).

    9. Payments for green energy attributes using revenue collected via a systemsbenefitcharge(effectively,atax)addedtoelectricbills(e.g.,NewYork).

    10. Higherallowedearningsforelectricutilityinvestmentsinrenewableenergyfacilities(e.g.,

    Virginia).

    Atleastfouroftheabovestaterequirements(6,7,8and9)havetheeffectofcreatingaspecialmarketwhereownersofwindfarmsandotherrenewableenergyfacilitiescansell their electricity at above market prices. Of course, the electricity actually used bycustomers paying extra for green electricity is highly unlikely to be produced by arenewableenergyfacility.

    Theownerscanreceivethehigher,abovemarketpricesfortheelectricitytheyproduceeveniftheirfacilitiesarenotproducingatthetimetheelectricityisbeingused.

    Utilities green energy programs are seldom self supporting. That is, the amountscollectedinpremiumsfromcustomerswhoagreetopayextraarenotadequatetocover(i)thehighercostsofthegreenenergyand(ii)theutilityscostofadministeringthegreen program. Costs not recovered from premium payments are merely passedalongtoalloftheutilityscustomers.

    C. Localgovernmentandeconomicdevelopmentagencytaxbreaksandsubsidies. Somelocal government and economic development officials believe that construction ofwindfarms intheirareaswillprovidenew jobsandothereconomicbenefits. Actualbenefits tend to be much less than assumed by wind farm developers and local

    officials.

    Further,the

    cost

    of

    any

    such

    benefits

    is,

    in

    one

    way

    or

    another,

    shifted

    to

    ordinarytaxpayersand/orelectriccustomers.

    There is no readily available, comprehensive source of information on locally providedtaxbreaksandsubsidies. However,examplesinclude:

    1. Low cost loans or bond financing. County or regional economic developmentauthorities may have authority to offer low cost or interest free loans or bondfinancingwhichsignificantlyreduceawindfarmownerscapitalcost.

    2.Acceptance

    of

    payments

    in

    lieu

    of

    taxes

    or

    PILOTS.

    For

    example,

    local

    government

    and school board officials in some towns in New York accept PILOTS from windfarm owners and give up their statutory authority to override a stateauthorizedexemptionfrompropertytaxes. PILOTsareattractivetolocalofficialsbecausetheytendtobefrontendloaded;thatis,theyprovidesignificantearlybenefitsthatcanbe presented to local voters as an opportunity for near term reductions in homeowners property taxes, new fire trucks or other equipment, restoration of historicbuildings, orother measuresthat cantbe accommodated in local budgets without

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    PILOTS are attractive to wind farm owners because their cost over the assumedlifeofthewindfarmaremuchlessthanpayingpropertytaxesandthefrontendbenefitsareoftenhelpfulingainingsupportforprojectsfromcurrenttownofficials

    and,perhaps,

    citizens

    who

    do

    not

    take

    into

    account

    the

    lower

    long

    term

    benefits

    or

    impacts.

    POINT5: Otherimportantelementsofthefull,truecostofelectricityfromwindareoftenhiddenorignoredbywindenergyadvocates.

    Taxbreaksandsubsidiesarenottheonlyelementsofthefull,truecostofelectricityfromwind that are not transparent and that are often ignored by wind energy advocates. Forexample,additionalelementsofthefull,truecostofelectricityfromwindinclude:

    A.Providing

    reliable

    generation

    to

    backup

    intermittent,

    unreliable

    generation

    from

    wind.

    Because electricity from wind turbines depends on availability and speed of wind, gridmanagers must always have immediately available enough reliable, dispatchablegenerating capacity to keep grids in balance as wind turbines start producing, varywidelyinoutput,orstopproducing.

    Adequate capacity is available on some grids to meet this requirement, but there arecostsofprovidingthisbackupandbalancingservice,whether it isthroughtheuseofaunit running in automatic generation control (AGC) mode, otherwise less than fullcapacity,orinspinningreserve.

    Gridmanagers

    must

    have

    available

    and

    under

    their

    control

    reliable

    generating

    units

    that

    canberampedupordown(i.e.,outputincreasedordecreased)orbroughtonline(startproducing)ortakenoffline(stopproducing). Rampingupanddowntobalancevolatilewindturbineoutputmayaddtowearandtearonthebackupunits.

    Acriticallyimportantobjectiveinelectricgridmanagementistohavesufficientoperatingreservecapacityavailabletokeepelectricservicereliableandkeepthegridinbalanceinthe event that key generating units (or transmission lines) unexpectedly becomeunavailable (e.g., mechanical failures or other unplanned outages), or if there is asignificant, unexpected increase in demand. Wind industry advocates often assume,

    incorrectly,

    that

    this

    critically

    important

    grid

    operating

    reserve

    should

    be

    available

    as

    a

    free backupor balancingservice forthe intermittent, volatile,and unreliableoutput ofwindturbines.

    Providingbalancingandbackupcapabilityfor intermittent,volatile,andunreliablewindturbineoutput involvescostthat isproperlyconsideredapartofthecostofelectricityfromwind. Forexample,unitsthatareavailableforrampingupmustberunningatlessthanfullcapacityand,therefore,atlessthanfullefficiency. Unitsthatarerampeddownalsorunatlessthanfullcapacity. Unitsthatareavailabletobringonlinearelikelytobe

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    running in spinning reservemode (i.e., connected to and synchronized withthe gridbutinputtinglittleornoelectricity)andusingsomefuelandputtingoutsomeemissions.Thesecostsarereallyapartofthetruecostofelectricityfromwind.

    Furthermore,ifadequatecapacityfromreliablegeneratingunitsisnotavailable,backupcapacity would have to be constructed resulting in additional costs that are, at some

    point,passed

    on

    to

    customers.

    It

    must

    always

    be

    recognized

    that

    wind

    turbines

    do

    not

    provide reliable, dispatchable generating capacity and they cannot be counted as asubstituteforsuchreliablecapacity.

    B. Wind farmsplace an extra burdenongridmanagers. Grid managers face a moredifficult task in keeping grids in balance when winds are sufficient to permit windturbinestoproduceelectricity. Becausetheoutputfromwindturbinesvarieswithwindspeed, the output that must be managed is volatile. The extent of the burden differswidely amongwindfarms and among grids depending on many factors,such as theenergy source mix of generating capacity in the control area, the amount of wind

    generation

    and

    its

    volatility,

    and

    electricity

    demand.

    The challenges of integrating into electric grids the intermittent, volatile andunreliableoutputfromwindturbineshasfinallybeenacknowledgedbytheChairmanofFERCinaJanuary21,2010,statement31announcingaFERCNoticeofInquiry.32 Hopefullythis proceeding will lead to greater official and media candor about the challenges ofintegratingtheoutputofwindfarmsintoelectricgrids.

    C. Electricity fromwind results in higher costof transmission. Areas where winds aresometimes strong enough to power wind turbines are often located at considerabledistance from areas where electricity is needed (i.e., load centers). Furthermore,

    windfarms

    are

    not

    welcome

    near

    residential

    areas,

    even

    if

    wind

    conditions

    may

    be

    adequate, because of the large size of the wind turbines (400+ feet or more than 40stories tall), because of their noise and other nuisance impacts, because of theirenvironmental damage, and because of their adverse impacts on neighbors propertyvalues.

    Theneteffectoftheaboveconditionsisthatelectricityfromwindturbinesentailshighcosts of transmitting that electricity to the areas where the electricity can be used.Threefactorsareinvolved:

    1.

    First,

    because

    wind

    farms

    are

    likely

    to

    be

    located

    at

    some

    distance

    from

    load

    centersthelossesduringtransmission(i.e.,linelosses)tendtobehigherthaninthecaseofelectricitygeneratedbyunitsclosertoloadcenters.

    31 http://www.ferc.gov/news/statements speeches/wellinghoff/2010/012110wellinghoffE4.asp.

    32 http://www.ferc.gov/whats new/commmeet/2010/012110/E4.pdf.

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    2. Second, wind farms make inefficient use of transmission capacity. Enoughtransmission capacity must be available to serve the full rated output of a windfarm. However, because wind turbines produce at full rated capacity only whenwindspeedsareabout32MPHorhigher,thefulltransmissioncapacity isusedonlyon a minority, parttime basis. The effect of this is that the unit cost per kWh ofmoving the electricity that is produced tends to be higher than for electricity from

    reliablegenerating

    units.

    3. Third,andespeciallycostly,isthefactthatwindfarmshavebeenbuiltorarebeingproposed in areas that have insufficient or no transmission capacity to move theelectricity that is produced. This means that expensive new transmission capacitywouldhavetobebuiltjusttoaccommodatetheneworproposedwindfarms.

    Someareaswheresubstantialwindgeneratingcapacityhasbeenbuiltorisproposedrequire major increases in transmission capacity (e.g., Texas) to serve the windfarms. While the cost of building the additional capacity is clearly a cost that is

    properly

    attributed

    to

    the

    cost

    of

    the

    electricity

    from

    wind,

    the

    wind

    industry

    seeks

    toavoidthiscostandhaveitallocatedtoi.e.,chargedto electriccustomersasapart of their month bills as if it is a normal part of the cost of providing theirelectricservice.

    Sadly,somepublicutilityregulatorshaveaccededtothewishesofthewindindustry.Billionsofdollarsare involvedbutthewind industry and utility commissionershidethe enormity of the costs by spreading them over all the electric customers in thearea. Onceagain,regulatorsareprovidinganotherhugesubsidytothewindindustryratherthanprotectingelectriccustomers.

    POINT6:

    Noone

    really

    knows

    the

    true

    cost

    per

    kilowatt

    hour

    (kWh)

    of

    electricity

    from

    wind turbines because all estimates of such costs are based on highlyquestionableassumptionsreallyguessesthatareuntested.

    Manyclaimsaremadeaboutthecostperkilowatthourofelectricityproducedfromwindbut,infact,noonereallyknowsthetruecost.

    Anyoneinterestedinthefactsshouldbeverywaryofclaimsmadebythewindindustry,itssupporters employed by the federal and state governments, the DOE NationalLaboratories or other wind energy advocates. Data reported by the media are invalid

    because

    they

    typically

    are

    parroted

    from

    one

    of

    these

    sources.

    A true, meaningful calculation of the cost of per kWh of electricity produced by windturbinesinevitablyrequiresdatathatcanbeknownonlyonanafterthefactbasis. Claims

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    that have been made about costs per kWh of electricity from wind turbines are roughestimatesbasedonassumptions(guesses)andoftendonotincludeallelementsofcost.33

    Keyfactorsthatcannotbeknowninadvanceincludeatleastthefollowing:

    Totaloperatingandmaintenance(O&M)andreplacementcostsduringtheassumedlife

    of

    the

    turbines.

    Useful,productivelifeoftheturbine(s). Amountofelectricity(kilowatthourskWh)thatwillbeproducedduringtheuseful

    life,takingintoaccountturbineandequipmentoutofservicetime,anddeteriorationinoutputasturbines,bladesandotherequipmentage.

    Decommissioningcosts.NoneofthewindturbinesofthetypenowbeinginstalledintheUShaveoperatinghistorieslongenoughtoprovidevalid,reliableestimatesforthesefactors.

    Claimsthat

    are

    made

    by

    wind

    energy

    advocates

    typically

    include

    assumptions

    about

    O&M

    costsandreplacementcosts,usefullife(oftenassumedtobe20years),andcapacityfactor(oftenassumedtobesomethingintherangeof25%to35%).

    TwohighlysimplifiedexamplesillustratetheextenttowhichcostperkWhcalculationscanbemisleadingifbeforethefactguessesproveincorrect. Inthesesimplifiedexampleswhichuses a rough estimate of one element of cost (i.e., overnight capital costs), only one keyfactortheestimatedusefullifeoftheturbines ischangedbuttheimpactoncostperkWhisdoubled.

    Example#1 Example#2Capacityof"windFarm"(kW) 50,000 50,000

    AssumedCapacityFactor 30% 30%

    AnnualElectricityProduction(kWh) 131,400,000 131,400,000

    AssumedUsefulLife 20years 10years

    ElectricityProducedDuringUsefulLife(kWh)

    (131,400,000xyearsofusefullife)2,628,000,000 1,314,000,000

    OvernightCapitalCost $100,000,000 $100,000,000

    OvernightCapitalCostperkWhDuringUsefulLife $0.038perkWh $0.076perkWh

    There is one potentially promising development in the long standing saga of DOENRELmisinformationaboutthecostperkWhofelectricityfromwind. Thatis,ahighlymisleading,fact less, assumption based graph showing an 80% decline in the cost of electricity from

    33 Forexample,seeHarper,John,MattKarcher,MarkBolinger.2007.WindProjectFinancingStructures:AReview

    &ComparativeAnalysis.LBNL63434.Berkeley,Calif.:LawrenceBerkeleyNationalLaboratory. http://eetd.lbl.gov/EA/EMP/reports/63434.pdf. SeeTableB1,page61inAppendixBfordetailedlistofcosts.

    19

    http://eetd.lbl.gov/EA/EMP/reports/63434.pdfhttp://eetd.lbl.gov/EA/EMP/reports/63434.pdfhttp://eetd.lbl.gov/EA/EMP/reports/63434.pdfhttp://eetd.lbl.gov/EA/EMP/reports/63434.pdfhttp://eetd.lbl.gov/EA/EMP/reports/63434.pdf
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    windwithfurtherdeclineslikely apparentlyhasbeenabandoned. EventhehighlybiasedDOEEERE folks admit that their data show the cost per kWh of electricity from wind hasbeen rising, not falling.34 Unfortunately, there seem to be hundreds of reporters whorememberthemisleadinggraphandfalse80%declineclaimandwillcontinueparrotingthatclaimforyearstocome.

    THE PRECEDING POINTS ARE FOCUSED ON FINANCIAL COST AND VALUE, NOTEXTERNALITIES

    Theforegoingdiscussionhasbeenfocusedonthefinancialcostsofproducingelectricityandthefinancialvalueofthatelectricity. Ithasnotdealtwithexternalcosts,commonlyreferredtoasexternalities;i.e.,thecostsnotreflectedinthepricechargedfortheelectricity.

    A discussion of externalities associated with each source of energy used to produceelectricity is far beyond the scope of this paper. However, it should be noted that windenergyadvocatesgenerallyassignhighexternalityvaluestoothersourcesofenergywhile

    assigningnone

    for

    wind

    energy.

    In

    fact,

    producing

    electricity

    with

    wind

    energy

    does

    impose

    externalcosts,includingadverseimpactsonenvironmental,ecological,scenic,andpropertyvalues.

    Examples of adverse environmental and ecological impacts include noise, dead birds andbats, destruction of vegetation and disruption of ecosystems and wildlife habitat, andnuisanceimpactssuchasshadowflicker. Claimsthatwindfarmsdonotadverselyaffectneighbors property values, such as those made recently in a report from the LawrenceBerkeleyNationalLaboratory(LBNL)defycommonsenseandfactsevidentfromaroundtheworld.

    Fortunately,mediastoriesreportingontheadverseimpactsofwindfarmshavebeguntoappearinthemediaandevenintheJournaloftheAmericanBarAssociation.35

    CONCLUSIONS

    Therearenolongeranyseriousquestionsbutthat:

    1. Windindustryofficialsandlobbyistscontinuetounderstategreatlythefull,truecostof electricity from wind and have been successful in creating a false popular

    wisdom

    about

    wind

    energy.

    2. The public, media and government officials have been misled and repeat false andmisleadingclaims.

    34 DOE,2008WindTechnologyMarketReport,July2009,Figure13,page26.

    35 http://www.abajournal.com/magazine/article/the_war_of_winds/.

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    3. Government officials particularly legislators and regulators are providing taxbreaks and subsidies for wind energy without understanding or considering thebenefits and costs of their actions, and they are helping to hide costs in tax andelectricbills.

    4. Governmentagencies,includingtheUSDepartmentofEnergy(particularlyitsOfficeof

    Energy

    Efficiency

    and

    Renewable

    Energy

    DOE

    EERE),

    the

    DOE

    National

    Laboratories (particularly NREL and LBNL), other DOE contractors, and stateenergy agencies and public utility commissions are conducting and supportingactivities and issuing information about wind energy that helps mislead the public,mediaandpoliticalleaders.

    5. Claims that the hundreds of millions of tax dollars being thrown at wind farmprojectsareanefficientandeffectivewayofcreatingjobsintheUSareFALSE. (Thefactthatalargeshareofthosetaxdollarsareflowingtoforeigncountries turbinemanufacturers and wind farm owners should be a clue that would give some

    pause

    to

    Obama

    Administration

    officials

    and

    members

    of

    Congress.)

    6. Someinvestorsinwindfarmsarehighlylikelytobemakingfinancialcommitmentswithoutunderstandingthefactsaboutthehightruecostandlowvalueofelectricityfromwind.

    7. Landownersareleasinglandtowindfarmdeveloperswithoutunderstandingtheadverse impactthat wind turbines have on environmental, ecological, scenic andneighborspropertyvalues.

    8. Localgovernmentofficials,misledbywindfarmdevelopersandluredbypotentialshort

    term

    financial

    benefits,

    are

    fracturing

    their

    communities,

    destroying

    home

    owners property values, and ignoring longterm costs when they encourage orcondonewindenergyprojects.

    9. Energy economists and analysts in government and the private sector, as well asreporters and editors, need a far better understanding of the facts about windenergycostandvaluesthantheyhavedisplayedthusfar.

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  • 8/14/2019 High Cost and Low Value of Electricity From Wind

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    GlennSchleede is semiretired after working onenergy matters formorethan 30 years ingovernment and the private sector. He often writes about energy issues, particularly aboutpoliciesandactionsthatadverselyaffecttaxpayersandconsumers.

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