Hierarhcies, scales and desertification

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  • 8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification

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    ,

    Thomas Theis Nielsen

    3rd international conference on

    Drylands, Deserts and Desertification

    Ben Gurion University of the Negevovem er 08, 2010

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    Dynamic causal patterns of desertification, Bioscience;54, 9 Meta study research design

    132 cases included in total, 42 in Africa

    Site in human use no wilderness In depth field investigation Quantitative data for rate assessment No obvious biases

    Geist & Lambin are not trying to

    establish wether or not desertification isoccurr ng, u o nves ga e w y soccurring. Hence an unstated onthologythat desertification is real and can be

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

    measured at any given level.

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    Dynamic causal patterns of

    desertification

    Broad underlying driving forces

    1. Demographic factors 1. A ricultural activities2. Economic factors3. Technological factors4. Climatic factors

    2. Infrastructure extension3. Wood extraction

    5. Policy and institutional factors6. Cultural factors

    .

    Specific proximate causes

    1. Livestock production (76%)2. Annual cropping (40%)3. Climatic variability (64%)4. Increased rainfall deficit (57%)

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    Demo ra h Econom Technolo Institutional Cultural Climatic

    Local

    Regional

    National

    Global

    Individual scales Cross scalar interactions

    Geist & Lambin comments that: Some factors intervene in the interplay of,are important at the same hierarchical level of organization (p 825)

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    A set of governing principles withinwhich it has an array of optoins of

    Global HOLON

    possible responses.

    Fundamentally asymetrical and holonsat higher levels are generally less

    affected by changes in lower level than

    National HOLON

    v ce versa

    Many geographers would argue

    HOLON

    these due to the inherent properties of

    these terms and labels

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    Heterogenous surfaces may be less wellpresented than very homogeneous ones

    Different enerations have different

    8 km resolution

    characteristics and sensors degrade in time

    -

    Bi-monthly coverage MVC NDVI

    to 2 images per months in order to reducenoise and atmospheric contamination

    Fully geo-referenced

    Coverage from 1982

    Arguments for and against the use of NDVI,especially soil signals and canopy cover.

    Only consistent data source offering longterm data for trend analysis studies

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    50

    Land degradationmeans reduction or loss, in arid,- -

    40

    ,

    or economic productivity[] resulting from land

    uses or from a process or combination of processes,

    including processes arising from human activities-

    20

    ,

    of natural vegetation

    010

    iNDVIend

    Begin

    NDVIiNDVINPP

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    1. Soil signal contained in NDVI signal may obscure real signal for low,

    covering most desertification studies.2. iNDVI correlates to NPP only for moderate to low canopy cover. If

    canopy cover excee s approx ma e y corre a ons su erconsiderably.

    3. iNDVI correlation to NPP is biome specific and cannot be establishedat continental level. This will render the option to verify many of theresults near impossible. This would be further problematic at a spatial

    resolution of 64 square kilometers.

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change

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    1. We will argue that much work lacks a strong ontological focus where

    2. We will argue that the results of the above analysis do not lendthemselves to easy explanations and one should take care not to fall

    .

    3. We will argue that the ontology and construct validity of this analysis issound, bearing in mind the point of departure (UNCCD).

    . broad surveys []which have consistently shown to be ephemeral

    products of their time, bringing with them the inevitably ill-informedprejudices of their creators

    5. Yet, we will be happy to receive good ideas and inputs

    Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change