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8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
1/11
,
Thomas Theis Nielsen
3rd international conference on
Drylands, Deserts and Desertification
Ben Gurion University of the Negevovem er 08, 2010
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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Dynamic causal patterns of desertification, Bioscience;54, 9 Meta study research design
132 cases included in total, 42 in Africa
Site in human use no wilderness In depth field investigation Quantitative data for rate assessment No obvious biases
Geist & Lambin are not trying to
establish wether or not desertification isoccurr ng, u o nves ga e w y soccurring. Hence an unstated onthologythat desertification is real and can be
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
measured at any given level.
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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Dynamic causal patterns of
desertification
Broad underlying driving forces
1. Demographic factors 1. A ricultural activities2. Economic factors3. Technological factors4. Climatic factors
2. Infrastructure extension3. Wood extraction
5. Policy and institutional factors6. Cultural factors
.
Specific proximate causes
1. Livestock production (76%)2. Annual cropping (40%)3. Climatic variability (64%)4. Increased rainfall deficit (57%)
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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Demo ra h Econom Technolo Institutional Cultural Climatic
Local
Regional
National
Global
Individual scales Cross scalar interactions
Geist & Lambin comments that: Some factors intervene in the interplay of,are important at the same hierarchical level of organization (p 825)
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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A set of governing principles withinwhich it has an array of optoins of
Global HOLON
possible responses.
Fundamentally asymetrical and holonsat higher levels are generally less
affected by changes in lower level than
National HOLON
v ce versa
Many geographers would argue
HOLON
these due to the inherent properties of
these terms and labels
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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Heterogenous surfaces may be less wellpresented than very homogeneous ones
Different enerations have different
8 km resolution
characteristics and sensors degrade in time
-
Bi-monthly coverage MVC NDVI
to 2 images per months in order to reducenoise and atmospheric contamination
Fully geo-referenced
Coverage from 1982
Arguments for and against the use of NDVI,especially soil signals and canopy cover.
Only consistent data source offering longterm data for trend analysis studies
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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50
Land degradationmeans reduction or loss, in arid,- -
40
,
or economic productivity[] resulting from land
uses or from a process or combination of processes,
including processes arising from human activities-
20
,
of natural vegetation
010
iNDVIend
Begin
NDVIiNDVINPP
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
8/11
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
9/11
60
80
20
40
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insen,
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Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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1. Soil signal contained in NDVI signal may obscure real signal for low,
covering most desertification studies.2. iNDVI correlates to NPP only for moderate to low canopy cover. If
canopy cover excee s approx ma e y corre a ons su erconsiderably.
3. iNDVI correlation to NPP is biome specific and cannot be establishedat continental level. This will render the option to verify many of theresults near impossible. This would be further problematic at a spatial
resolution of 64 square kilometers.
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change
8/3/2019 Hierarhcies, scales and desertification
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1. We will argue that much work lacks a strong ontological focus where
2. We will argue that the results of the above analysis do not lendthemselves to easy explanations and one should take care not to fall
.
3. We will argue that the ontology and construct validity of this analysis issound, bearing in mind the point of departure (UNCCD).
. broad surveys []which have consistently shown to be ephemeral
products of their time, bringing with them the inevitably ill-informedprejudices of their creators
5. Yet, we will be happy to receive good ideas and inputs
Department of Environmental,Social and Spatial Change