2016 9 2ITI

(2005 2014 (2005 2014

& IHS2

(2005 2014 (2005 2014

& IHS3

ASEAN (BEC

& IHS 4

ASEAN (BEC

& IHS 5

ASEAN (BEC

& IHS 6

ASEAN (BEC

& IHS 7

ASEAN (2014 )

8& IHS

( ) 8 ( )FOB

ASEAN (2014 )

9& IHS

( ) 8 ( )CIF

ASEAN ( 1)•

2014 50% 55%

• ASEAN 72% 62%49% 48% 5 (

)•

2014 ( 2013 ) 2005 EUASEAN

ASEAN FTA(ACFTA AFTA(ATIGA)

•21.1% ASEAN 18.1% 17%

45.7%ASEAN 14.2 EU 14.0 9.3%

1.8%10

ASEAN ( 2)• 2014

87.3% ASEAN 77% 68%• 88%

81 ASEAN71% 70% 64% 63%

• ASEAN 53% () 75.3% 77.2%

80.5% 68%• 2014

268 4•

ASEAN• ASEAN

72

•ASEAN

11

12

& IHS

13

& IHS

& IHS14

& IHS

( ) 7 CIF

15

2015

( 1) ( 2) ( ) ( )( ) TRS (Tariff Reduction Schedule) & IHS

(2015 )

( 1) 2014 2015( 2) JIEPA/JTEPA GSP

( 3) (MFN JIEPA/JTEPA/GSP )0 MFN JIEPA/JTEPA

( 4) (MFN EPA ) ( MFN EPA ) ( (MFN EPA ))

( )

GSP EPA/GSP89%

79%

16

2015

( )

(2015 )

( )

2

17

(2015 )

( )

( ) 14.4%

18

(2015 )

( ) 19

AACFTA5 2015

( )

ACFTA5

( )

ACFTAASEAN10

ASEANACFTA

ACFTA ACFTA(ACFTA ACFTA ) FTA

ACFTA ASEANACFTA

( ) ACFTA TRS ( ) (NT1 0% ) NT20 5 ACFTA 0 5 NT2 0 ACFTA

2015 HS( )8 9,558 NT2 488 5.1

20

AAFTA4 2015

( )

AFTA4

( )

AFTA MFN 7.6 ASEANAFTA 5.4 ASEAN AFTA 0

AFTAAFTA MFN

AFTA MFN 4.2 ASEANAFTA 0.6

AFTA ACFTA 4.7%AFTA 4.2% ACFTA(6.2 ) AFTA(2.2 )

AFTA 6.3% ACFTA 4.1%AFTA(3.6 ) ACFTA(2.8%) 2013 ACFTA 3.6%

AFTA 3.8% 1.7% 5.3% AFTAACFTA ASEAN AFTA

ACFTA

21

ACFTA5

( ) 22

AFTA4

( )

ASEANASEAN

23

FTA

( )

MFN

FTA

TRS(Tariff Reduction Schedule)

&IHS

24

FTA

( )

MFN

FTA

TRS(Tariff Reduction Schedule)

&IHS

25

TPP/EPA

TRS ( )26

TPP/EPA

TRS ( )27

TPP/EPA T

TRS ( ) 28

• ASEANAFTA(ATIGA) ACFTA FTA

ASEAN

• ASEAN EPA ACFTA AFTAACFTA/AFTA

ASEAN EPA(AJCEP)

(MFN ) FTA (FTA )

• TPP EPATPP

RCEP FTA ASEAN

29

(

toshiki_takahashi@iti.or.jp