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Hélimax Energie inc. www.helimax.com 20-10-2004
Strategic StudyStrategic Study on Wind Energy on Wind Energy Development in AfricaDevelopment in Africa
Presented by Presented by Mr. Louis Robert, MPMMr. Louis Robert, MPM
Vice-president, Helimax EnergyVice-president, Helimax Energy
Presented toPresented toAfrican Development Bank (AfDB)African Development Bank (AfDB)
Tunis Wind Energy ConferenceTunis Wind Energy Conference
October 28th, 2004
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 2
Outline
+ Helimax in a few words
+ Wind Energy in the World
+ Presentation of the wind energy study – Background and Overall objective– Methodology– Results and conclusions of the reports– Recommendations
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 3
Helimax in a few Words
+ Leading wind energy consulting company in Canada– Projects/mandates in 9 of the 10 Canadian provinces / in 20
countries
+ Multidisciplinary team dedicated to wind energy. Among our team: – 6 scientists including 4 meteorologists– 11 engineers (various disciplines)– 2 masters in project management– 2 economists and specialists in the environment– 3 support staff (administration and accounting)
+ Presence nationally and internationally:– Québec : 30%– Canada (outside Québec) : 40%– International : 30%
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 4
Wind Energy in the World
+ Wind energy is clean, community friendly, and renewable.
+ Wind Turbine Generator (WTG) is a proven and reliable technology.
+ Approximately 40,000 megawatts (MW) of wind installed worldwide by the end of 2003.
+ Wind farms in operation in 52 countries by the end of 2003.
+ Average annual growth rate of about 32% over the past 10 years.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 5
Wind Energy in the World
+ Investments on the order of US$ 10 billion in 2003.
+ Increasingly competitive with conventional generation due to ongoing reduction in price per kWh produced.
+ Major players in the energy and financing sectors have become involved.
+ Wind is no longer a marginal source of energy.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 6
Wind Energy in the World
0
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1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Inst
alle
d C
apac
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(M
W)
0
5 000
10 000
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20 000
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45 000
Installed Capacity Cumulative Capacity
Cu
mu
lati
ve C
apac
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(M
W)
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 7
Background and Overall Objective of the Study
Commissioned by: African Development Bank
(AfDB)
Supported by: Canadian International
Development Agency (CIDA)
Performed by: Helimax Energy Inc.
The overall objective of the Study was to promote investments in wind energy projects in Africa.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 8
Methodology
The methodology was divided into 5 steps:
A. Wind mapping of Africa continent (53 countries) at a
resolution of 50 km.
B. Analysis of institutional and regulatory framework of
countries with high wind energy potential
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 9
Methodology (Cont’d)
C. Technical, economic, social and environmental analysis of
countries with high wind energy potential
D. Development of a strategic plan for wind energy
deployment in Africa.
E. Search for financial partners interested in investing in
wind energy projects in Africa.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 10
A. Meso-scale Wind Mapping of Africa
+ Wind map produced using Helimax’s expertise with MC2-WEST.
+ WEST stands for Wind Energy Simulation Toolkit.
+ Dynamic, 3-Dimensional Atmospheric Model developed by Environment Canada, based on MC2.
+ Sources of information : NCEP/NCAR, Retscreen-NASA, Helimax knowledge, wind atlas, publically available information, pressure pattern, topographical maps.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 11
A. Meso-scale Wind Mapping of Africa
CONCLUSION report A :
15 countries endowed with excellent wind resource
Southern Africa : South Africa, Lesotho, Madagascar, Mauritius
Eastern Africa : Djibouti, Eritrea, Seychelles, Somalia
North Africa : Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia
West Africa: Cape Verde, Mauritania
Central Africa: Chad
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 12
B-C. Analysis of the country situations
+ Analysis of the 15 countries endowed with high wind
energy potential
+ From a policy, institutional, legislative, and regulatory
point of view
+ From a technical, economic, social, and environmental
point of view
CONCLUSION reports B & C :
+ the 15 countries can be grouped based on the similarities
of their national situations
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 13
B.-C. Similar country situations
Group 1
Morocco
Tunisia
Group 2
South Africa
Algeria
Egypt
SIMILARITIES+ Policy in favour of wind
energy+ Legal/regulatory framework
in place+ Rapid growth of the
electricity demand+ Wind farms up and running,
others under dev.+ Fossil fuel imports
SIMILARITIES+ Abundant fossil fuel+ Cheap electricity generation
cost + Huge emission reduction
potential+ Strong interest from various
stakeholders+ Capacity to establish a new
industry and create jobs
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 14
B.-C. Similar country situations
Group 3
Cape Verde
Eritrea
Madagascar
Mauritania
Somalia
Group 4
Djibouti
Lesotho
Mauritius
Seychelles
Chad
SIMILARITIES+ Interest in wind energy+ Need to extend the supply of
electricity to not served population
+ Small scale projects in remote areas or connected to small local grid
+ Investments restrictions
SIMILARITIES+ Not yet taken a stance+ Possible environmental
constraints (cyclone)+ Possible other sources of
energy more appropriate:- Geothermal, Djibouti- Hydro, Lesotho- Photovoltaic, Chad- Bio-combustibles, Mauritius/Seychelles
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 15
FIRST DISCUSSION PERIOD
+ Questions?
+ Commentaires / comments?
+ Suggestions?
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 16
D. Identification of the main barriers
+ Legal and regulatory– Lack of framework promoting private investment– Lack of framework promoting wind power production
+ Economic and Financial– Incremental cost of wind energy– Exacting financing conditions because of the risk
+ Technical– Limited knowledge of both the national wind resource and the
electrical grid features– Lack of wind power projects portfolio
+ Lack of information and training– Limited knowledge of wind energy, lack of qualified people, little
experience in IPP, lack of experience sharing and coordination
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 17
D. Profitability of large scale wind power projects
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 18
D. Strategic Plan 2005-2010
Objective 1:
+ Implementation of the required conditions for the development of wind energy.
+ Design and implementation of adequate institutional and regulatory framework, specifically to favour private development
+ Production of wind maps of high resolution+ Study of electrical grid integration+ National capacity building in all aspects relating to wind+ Development of demonstration projects+ Promotion of wind energy to pertinent institutions.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 19
D. Strategic Plan 2005-2010
Objective 2:
+ Implementation of viable commercial wind energy projects.
+ Raising the interest of private sponsors and other potential investors in wind energy opportunities in Africa
+ Mobilizing required funds for project preparation+ Performing feasibility studies and developing most
promising wind energy projects+ Financing and implementing two or three wind power
projects totaling an installed capacity of 140 MW in Africa leading countries
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 20
Recommendations
It is recommended that the AfDB:
+ Keep promoting wind energy projects as one of its focus areas of action during the period 2005-2010.
+ Focus its action on a limited number of countries showing a different situations such as:Tunisia, Morocco, South AfricaMauritania, Madagascar, Cape Verde, Mauritius, EritreaOthers,…Selection criteria:- Excellent wind resource- Mix of large scale and small scale projects- Mix of advanced and less advanced countries with regard to wind
energy- Potential of greenhouse gas emission reductions- One or two countries showing industrial capacity to implement a
manufacturing plant
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 21
Recommendations
+ Address the needs of rural areas through the development of small wind energy (hybrid) systems for remote areas and small local grids.
+ Address the needs of urban areas through the development of grid-connected utility scale wind farms.
+ Develop a close collaboration with the most interested financial/institutional/governmental partners.
+ Develop a close collaboration with one or two sponsor/IPPs developer that will show the highest interest.
Hélimax Énergie inc. www.helimax.com 28-10-2004 Page 22
Recommendations
+ Support, on a country by country basis, the design and the financing of specific wind energy programme/projects to be started in 2005 in the target countries.
+ Confirm the collaboration with the most interested partners and secure part of the required funds to launch/pursue wind/ energy programmes/projects in 2005.