HEAT MAP Oct 19 - Melbourne Airport · AC Mov Oct 19 Seats Oct 19 Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Oct 19 3.8m 27.8k 4.9m 683k 5.0k 882k

Passenger Forecast by Terminal

Terminal May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6- Month Total

INTERNATIONAL 858,073 918,147 1,006,306 955,160 950,425 950,207 5,638,318

T1 734,130 677,872 738,527 755,422 731,188 800,104 4,437,243

T3 600,323 569,046 657,480 667,248 642,290 682,844 3,819,231

T4 691,146 707,528 864,918 740,422 775,641 828,235 4,607,890

Total International Pax Forecast858,073 918,147 1,006,306 955,160 950,425 950,207 5,638,318

Total Domestic Pax Forecast2,025,599 1,954,446 2,260,925 2,163,092 2,149,119 2,311,183 12,864,364

Total Pax Forecast2,883,672 2,872,593 3,267,231 3,118,252 3,099,544 3,261,390 18,502,682

Actual Actual Actual Actual Sep AOP

Variance Analysis - Forecast to Budget

Terminal May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6 - Month Total

6+6 Pax Foreast (International) 863,608 935,198 1,029,679 974,488 972,856 980,385 5,756,214

6+6 Pax Forecast (Domestic) 2,037,179 2,011,712 2,276,765 2,139,393 2,214,669 2,345,210 13,024,927

Variance to 6+6 (International) (5,535) (17,051) (23,373) (19,328) (22,431) (30,178) (117,896)

Variance to 6+6 (Domestic) (11,580) (57,266) (15,840) 23,699 (65,550) (34,027) (160,563)

Total Variance to 6+6 (17,115) (74,317) (39,213) 4,371 (87,981) (64,205) (278,459)


Passenger Forecast by Airline

Airline May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6- Month Total

QANTAS 161,304 157,649 165,885 161,611 169,794 179,689 995,932

JETSTAR 90,684 98,451 113,982 99,761 113,751 114,540 631,169

EMIRATES 60,561 66,587 68,277 68,159 69,879 57,291 390,754

SINGAPORE AIRLINES 64,207 74,620 78,368 67,685 64,989 66,820 416,689

AIR NEW ZEALAND 53,955 51,670 59,340 57,211 60,133 63,131 345,440

CATHAY PACIFIC 44,140 45,978 49,298 47,173 47,834 50,579 285,002

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA 43,012 45,076 53,401 50,011 51,131 55,778 298,409

ETIHAD 28,296 30,755 36,017 38,182 35,021 27,766 196,037

THAI AIRWAYS INTL 22,195 24,643 29,372 28,663 24,987 28,232 158,092

CHINA SOUTHERN AIR 33,185 31,223 29,020 30,651 28,368 30,144 182,591

MALAYSIA 27,814 28,973 37,979 37,613 36,363 30,724 199,466

QATAR AIRWAYS 23,992 25,577 29,759 30,384 27,265 22,214 159,191

GARUDA INDONESIA AIR 14,623 22,775 25,379 21,790 24,672 22,662 131,901

CHINA EASTERN 20,482 20,662 21,820 21,359 16,808 18,482 119,613

VIETNAM AIRLINES 13,407 15,077 17,400 14,636 12,141 13,484 86,145

OTHER INTERNATIONAL 156,216 178,431 191,009 180,271 167,289 168,671 1,041,887

TOTAL INTERNATIONAL PAX FORECAST 858,073 918,147 1,006,306 955,160 950,425 950,207 5,638,318

QANTAS DOMESTIC 734,130 677,872 738,527 755,422 731,188 800,104 4,437,243

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA DOMESTIC 600,323 569,046 657,480 667,248 642,290 682,844 3,819,231

JETSTAR AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 472,254 483,444 625,059 511,023 546,007 691,684 3,329,471

TIGER AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 197,167 204,545 219,098 207,918 207,699 268,136 1,304,563

REGIONAL EXPRESS 19,353 17,050 18,207 18,966 18,990 24,106 116,672

AIR NORTH REGIONAL 2,372 2,489 2,554 2,515 2,945 3,585 16,460

TOTAL DOMESTIC PAX FORECAST 2,025,599 1,954,446 2,260,925 2,163,092 2,149,119 2,470,459 13,023,640


Forecast pax Oct 19

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Airport Operations Plan - Whole of Airport October 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

All Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Oct 19

Seat Capacity Trend

HEAT MAP Oct 19Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NS19 Schedule

Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Oct 19

Seat Load Factor (%) by MonthAverage Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Oct 19

SLF Oct 19

80.6%3.26m

Forecast Seats Oct 19

4.05m

109 108

114

120

98

111

116

102 103

109

114

92

108 106

97 100

109

118

87

104 102

95

101

110

116

88

106 108

96

102

113

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Air

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Movements Passengers

4,045

5

-205

-

-

3,624

-337

-156

138

700

1200

1700

2200

2700

3200

3700

4200

4700

May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

79.6% 79.4%

82.6% 83.1%

79.3%

80.6%

65.0%

67.0%

69.0%

71.0%

73.0%

75.0%

77.0%

79.0%

81.0%

83.0%

85.0%

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

May June July August September October

Seat

Lo

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Seat

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Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun30-Sep 63,069 58,555 59,272 61,857 66,523 53,623 56,781

7-Oct 60,349 52,981 52,945 55,605 58,742 47,206 53,363

14-Oct 51,953 48,272 50,523 56,231 60,967 45,318 52,078

21-Oct 52,446 48,712 53,433 59,371 63,178 45,325 51,446

28-Oct 50,900 45,991 50,743 55,198 - - -

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun30-Sep 54,659 50,776 48,823 52,611 53,679 44,334 54,378

7-Oct 55,894 48,575 50,435 53,154 55,602 45,232 54,172

14-Oct 53,759 48,376 49,703 52,849 56,564 41,945 51,493

21-Oct 49,303 46,432 47,880 50,158 53,249 42,709 54,345

28-Oct 57,127 49,552 50,829 57,565 - - -

Passenger Forecast by Airline

Airline May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6 - Month Total

161,304 157,649 165,885 161,611 169,794 179,689 995,932

90,684 98,451 113,982 99,761 113,751 114,540 631,169

60,561 66,587 68,277 68,159 69,879 57,291 390,754

64,207 74,620 78,368 67,685 64,989 66,820 416,689

53,955 51,670 59,340 57,211 60,133 63,131 345,440

44,140 45,978 49,298 47,173 47,834 50,579 285,002

43,012 45,076 53,401 50,011 51,131 55,778 298,409

28,296 30,755 36,017 38,182 35,021 27,766 196,037

22,195 24,643 29,372 28,663 24,987 28,232 158,092

33,185 31,223 29,020 30,651 28,368 30,144 182,591

27,814 28,973 37,979 37,613 36,363 30,724 199,466

23,992 25,577 29,759 30,384 27,265 22,214 159,191

14,623 22,775 25,379 21,790 24,672 22,662 131,901

20,482 20,662 21,820 21,359 16,808 18,482 119,613

13,407 15,077 17,400 14,636 12,141 13,484 86,145

13,180 13,414 14,161 13,370 11,827 13,046 78,998

15,780 24,002 24,383 19,711 20,172 16,957 121,005

8,280 10,795 12,144 11,664 10,140 8,850 61,873

8,266 8,183 8,568 8,160 6,636 7,287 47,100

9,560 10,986 9,793 10,692 9,875 8,288 59,194

5,244 6,485 8,140 7,950 6,675 7,492 41,986

10,582 10,443 10,711 9,943 8,596 8,064 58,339

5,632 6,079 5,788 6,582 5,920 5,928 35,929

4,870 5,951 6,594 5,728 6,680 9,316 39,139

4,987 6,864 7,787 7,255 6,009 6,338 39,240

3,078 3,746 4,841 4,893 4,471 4,682 25,711

Seats Nov-187,535 7,872 8,653 8,370 7,278 7,292 47,000

9,737 9,426 9,944 10,094 9,518 10,749 59,468

1,326 1,980 1,796 2,080 2,597 2,791 12,570

9,556 9,177 8,849 7,028 8,999 8,833 52,442

14,095 15,102 15,354 15,778 14,552 14,312 89,193

2,508 2,528 3,156 2,744 2,454 2,255 15,645

5,936 8,014 9,442 8,679 7,302 6,459 45,832

8,189 7,814 9,012 8,711 8,680 8,602 51,008

7,875 8,392 8,602 8,115 5,708 7,728 46,420

- 1,178 3,291 2,724 3,200 3,402 13,795

Total Pax Forecast858,073 918,147 1,006,306 955,160 950,425 950,207 5,638,318

6+6 Pax Forecast/Budget863,608 935,198 1,029,679 974,488 972,856 980,385 5,756,214

Variance(5,535) (17,051) (23,373) (19,328) (22,431) (30,178) (117,896)


AOP Pax Oct 19

\

AOP Pax May-Oct 19

Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NS19 Schedule


Passengers

5.64m

950k 4.3k

Seats May-Oct 19

6.99m

1.20m

Seats Oct 19

HEAT MAP Oct 19

October 19Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 2

25.3k

AC Mov Oct 19

AC Mov May-Oct 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

T2 Seat Capacity Trend

Terminal 2 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Oct 19

Seat Load Factor (%) by Month


Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Oct 19

31

30

32

34

35

33 32

30 30 30

33

32

31

30

28 29

30

32

31 31

29

28 28

30

32 32

31

29

28

29

32

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

155

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

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Pas

sen

gers

(TH

ou

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1,196

-

-

57

9

-

1,108

11

111

-

- 33

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

77%

82% 82% 81% 82%

79%

65%

67%

69%

71%

73%

75%

77%

79%

81%

83%

85%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400


Seat

Lo

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acto

r

Seat

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7-Oct 17,597 16,323 16,381 16,405 18,073 17,430 16,597

14-Oct 16,335 15,272 15,592 16,528 17,744 16,982 16,952

21-Oct 15,838 15,167 15,177 16,292 17,182 16,869 16,363

28-Oct 15,495 14,544 15,503 16,432 - - -


7-Oct 14,497 13,580 13,658 13,615 14,702 14,632 14,261

14-Oct 13,354 12,670 12,913 13,470 14,332 14,188 14,192

21-Oct 12,806 12,565 12,812 13,879 14,345 15,300 14,202

28-Oct 13,802 13,768 13,884 15,837 - - -

Passenger Forecast

Destination May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6 - Month Total

SYDNEY 187,996 170,715 197,312 210,547 204,776 226,918 1,198,264

BRISBANE 94,950 91,337 106,009 109,179 104,093 108,722 614,290

ADELAIDE 71,590 66,371 80,310 77,290 71,791 78,136 445,488

PERTH 49,794 45,743 55,628 51,091 52,813 53,920 308,989

GOLD COAST 48,482 48,586 57,905 55,667 53,820 56,816 321,276

HOBART 36,783 38,104 37,856 38,344 33,613 36,200 220,900

CANBERRA 31,785 28,842 32,023 34,207 35,380 38,273 200,510

LAUNCESTON 26,462 24,680 26,779 26,680 25,950 25,266 155,817

SUNSHINE COAST 17,162 18,072 20,747 21,183 21,873 19,567 118,604

CAIRNS 9,077 9,399 11,114 11,931 11,204 10,705 63,430

DARWIN 8,855 10,101 10,506 9,855 8,763 8,209 56,289

WILLIAMTOWN 7,835 6,967 8,081 9,363 6,906 9,094 48,246

HAMILTON ISLAND 2,481 2,976 4,902 4,306 5,176 4,961 24,802

MILDURA 6,124 6,018 6,337 6,429 5,271 5,310 35,489

KALGOORLIE 760 833 1,060 1,176 861 747 5,437

Other 187 302 911 - - - 1,400

TOTAL 600,323 569,046 657,480 667,248 642,290 682,844 3,819,231


AOP Pax Oct 19

AOP Pax May-Oct 19

Average SLF Oct 19


Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 3 October 19

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCEPassengers

Terminal 3 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Oct 19Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NS19 Schedule

AOP Passengers Oct 19

Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

AC Mov May-Oct 19 Seats May-Oct 19


AC Mov Oct 19 Seats Oct 19



3.8m 27.8k 4.9m

683k 5.0k 882k

Ave SLF May-Oct 19

77% 78%

21 21

22

26

17

22

26

21

22 22

25

17

24

23

21 21

24

27

16

22 22

20

22

24

27

17

24 24

19

21

24

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

Air

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ove

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Pas

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(TH

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75%

74%

82%

83%

75%

77%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000


Seat

Lo

ad F

acto

r

Seat

s an

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Tho

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s)


882 26

-

2 -

-

797

-

36

-

51

26

700

720

740

760

780

800

820

840

860

880

900


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease


7-Oct 12,777 10,182 11,155 11,010 12,486 8,319 12,779

14-Oct 12,055 11,215 11,049 11,796 13,534 8,061 11,666

21-Oct 10,552 10,131 10,155 10,717 12,383 8,271 13,250

28-Oct 13,097 10,402 10,882 12,615 - - -


7-Oct 13,015 10,361 10,681 11,311 12,403 8,420 11,303

14-Oct 11,079 10,196 10,321 11,936 13,696 8,097 10,682

21-Oct 11,110 10,017 11,369 13,175 14,739 8,620 11,112

28-Oct 10,564 8,889 10,292 11,034 - - -

Passenger Forecast

Destination May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6- Month Total

SYDNEY 318,277 274,368 283,811 308,436 317,826 351,088 1,853,806

BRISBANE 113,293 111,119 123,270 121,868 115,588 123,504 708,642

CANBERRA 59,096 52,908 56,676 58,183 49,454 59,822 336,139

ADELAIDE 75,767 69,651 78,027 76,661 76,432 86,555 463,093

PERTH 71,355 67,540 78,811 76,486 69,711 70,772 434,675

HOBART 25,509 26,081 26,853 25,356 24,461 28,694 156,954

LAUNCESTON 12,473 10,810 12,555 13,497 11,925 14,686 75,946

DEVONPORT 11,825 11,062 12,913 12,691 11,196 13,311 72,998

MILDURA 10,283 9,433 10,440 10,674 9,535 10,348 60,713

CAIRNS 10,413 12,111 16,008 14,866 12,942 10,050 76,390

GOLD COAST 7,605 8,582 9,749 9,579 9,394 10,396 55,305

ALICE SPRINGS 4,896 6,173 9,054 8,544 7,803 8,271 44,741

DARWIN 8,331 10,862 12,279 11,489 8,676 8,580 60,217

HAMILTON ISLAND 2,674 3,114 3,706 3,338 3,735 2,936 19,503

KINGSCOTE - - - - - - -

BROOME 2,333 4,058 4,375 3,754 2,510 1,091 18,121

WILLIAMTOWN - - - - - - -

TOTAL 734,130 677,872 738,527 755,422 731,188 800,104 4,437,243


l

AOP Pax Oct 19

AOP Pax May-Oct 19

Average SLF Oct 19






HEAT MAP Oct 19

T1 Seat Capacity TrendAverage Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Oct 19

800k 5.9k 1001kSeat Load Factor (%) by Month




80% 78%

4.4m 33.7k 5.7m

Ave SLF May-Oct 19

28 28

30 29

18

25

27

24

26

28

27

17

23

24

25

28

31 31

16

23

26 26

28

31 31

16

22

28

26

28

31

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

12

17

22

27

32

Air

craf

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ove

me

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Pas

sen

gers

(TH

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san

ds)


78.6%

72.8%

79.3%

80.5%

75.5%

79.9%

68.0%

70.0%

72.0%

74.0%

76.0%

78.0%

80.0%

82.0%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200


Seat

Lo

ad F

act

or

Seat

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1,001

3 0 00

0

934

0 1 6

31

33

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base


7-Oct 13,695 11,993 12,564 14,365 13,353 8,038 10,799

14-Oct 10,937 12,027 13,761 15,785 15,700 8,162 11,367

21-Oct 12,584 12,758 14,565 17,154 17,157 8,054 10,382

28-Oct 12,145 12,044 14,267 15,136 - - -


7-Oct 13,377 12,242 13,005 14,039 13,477 8,475 11,853

14-Oct 13,531 13,418 14,167 15,106 15,393 7,814 11,917

21-Oct 13,453 13,280 13,383 13,738 13,474 7,676 11,789

28-Oct 15,968 13,901 13,895 15,668 - - -

Passenger Forecast

Destination May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 6 - Month Total

SYDNEY 212,031 207,689 226,666 199,171 213,346 231,809 1,290,712

GOLD COAST 83,973 89,241 114,976 101,484 103,085 107,698 600,457

BRISBANE 69,437 73,617 103,243 75,569 82,308 91,630 495,804

HOBART 58,260 60,406 69,085 62,059 61,585 66,710 378,105

ADELAIDE 46,648 48,866 59,117 52,439 54,101 55,400 316,571

LAUNCESTON 30,751 30,362 38,088 27,899 32,197 38,054 197,351

CAIRNS 40,630 44,428 63,596 56,174 55,128 55,360 315,316

PERTH 27,911 30,909 38,848 29,689 31,707 33,427 192,491

WILLIAMTOWN 30,342 30,540 34,196 27,249 30,893 33,643 186,863

SUNSHINE COAST 20,437 20,659 31,903 28,369 31,223 31,759 164,350

TOWNSVILLE 10,118 10,557 12,149 12,241 12,048 11,512 68,625

CANBERRA 8,830 10,343 10,928 9,089 10,245 10,257 59,692

BYRON BAY 5,369 5,552 7,894 6,106 7,019 8,037 39,977

DARWIN 8,632 9,163 12,073 10,122 9,129 9,396 58,515

AYERS ROCK 7,492 6,895 9,827 10,150 9,267 9,171 52,802

COFFS HARBOUR 4,383 4,728 5,614 5,265 4,480 5,366 29,836

OTHER 25,902 23,573 26,715 27,347 27,880 29,006 160,423

TOTAL 691,146 707,528 864,918 740,422 775,641 828,235 4,607,890


AOP Pax Oct 19

0

AOP Pax May-Oct 19

Average SLF Oct 19



828k 5.9k 966k





HEAT MAP Oct 19



Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Oct 19 Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

86% 87%

4.6m 32.5k 5.3m

Ave SLF May-Oct 19


30 30

31 31

29

32 31

27

26

28

30

27

30

28

22 22

24

27

24

27

25

21

24 25

27

23

29

27

22 23

26

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Air

craf

t M

ove

me

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Pas

sen

gers

(TH

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ds)


88%

89%

88%

89%

84%

86%

79%

81%

83%

85%

87%

89%

91%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200


Seat

Lo

ad F

act

or

Seat

s an

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asse

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Tho

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966

--

152

-

-

785

13

190

-

83

46

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease


7-Oct 15,243 12,571 12,617 14,490 14,937 13,806 15,279

14-Oct 14,819 11,073 11,574 12,477 13,305 11,882 13,718

21-Oct 12,492 10,456 11,530 11,824 13,047 11,462 15,104

28-Oct 14,260 11,481 12,168 13,445 - - -


7-Oct 16,042 14,304 13,319 13,524 14,913 13,318 14,664

14-Oct 13,602 10,777 10,849 11,982 13,827 12,077 13,077

21-Oct 12,914 10,770 12,322 12,750 14,100 11,782 13,589

28-Oct 12,696 10,514 10,681 12,596 - - -

Documents

HEAT MAP Oct 19 - Melbourne Airport · AC Mov Oct 19 Seats Oct 19 Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Oct 19 3.8m 27.8k 4.9m 683k 5.0k 882k