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Health Budget Brief Investing in children’s health in Rwanda 2017/2018 © Till Muellenmeister Rwanda

Health Budget Brief - UNICEF · This health budget brief is one of four briefs that explore the extent to which the Government of Rwanda addresses the health needs of children under

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Page 1: Health Budget Brief - UNICEF · This health budget brief is one of four briefs that explore the extent to which the Government of Rwanda addresses the health needs of children under

Health Budget BriefInvesting in children’s health in Rwanda2017/2018

© T

ill M

uel

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mei

ster

Rwanda

Page 2: Health Budget Brief - UNICEF · This health budget brief is one of four briefs that explore the extent to which the Government of Rwanda addresses the health needs of children under

Health Budget Brief: Investing in children’s health in Rwanda 2017/2018

© United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) RwandaOctober 2017

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PrefaceThis health budget brief is one of four briefs that explore the extent to which the Government of Rwanda addresses the health needs of children under 18 years of age and mothers in Rwanda. The brief analyses the size and composition of the budget allocation for the 2017/18 fiscal year, and the adequacy of past spending under the health sector of Rwanda. The budget briefs aim to synthesize complex budget information so that it is easily understood by stakeholders inside and outside the government, and to inform decision makers through key messages for policy and financing changes.

Key messages• Despite a nominal health budget increase, the ratio of

the health budget to the national budget has declined in recent years: Over the past five years, the nominal health budget increased by 22.9 per cent, from 157.5 billion RWF in 2013/14 to 193.6 billion RWF in 2017/18. However, the ratio of the health sector budget as a proportion of the national budget shows a declining trend, from 10.8 per cent in 2014/15 to 9.2 per cent in 2017/18. Thus, the health budget is below the Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP) 3 targets of a ratio of 15 per cent of the health budget to the national budget as well as the Abuja Declaration.

• A high rate of budget execution, indicating stronger planning and budget execution capacities of districts within the ongoing decentralization process: The health budget execution rate was nearly 86 per cent in 2015/16 at the national level and 99.6 per cent at district level.

• Declining external financing (donor funding): The health sector realized a major shift from donor-dominant financing to domestic financing (national budget). The share of external finance under the health sector was 57.2 per cent in 2013/14, while in 2017/18 it is estimated at 15.3 per cent. ©

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1. Introduction

1.1 Understanding the Rwandan health sector

The Rwandan health sector is coordinated by the Ministry of Health (MINISANTE), whose mission is to provide and continually improve affordable promotive, preventive, curative and rehabilitative health-care services to the Rwandan population.1 MINISANTE is supported by the Rwanda Biomedical Centre (RBC) – an implementing agency responsible for coordinating and improving research activities in the fields of disease prevention, education and provision of treatment to people at all levels.2

Health services in Rwanda are provided at various levels of the health-care system by public, faith-based, private for-profit and non-government organizations:3

• Community health: Basic treatments are provided at health posts (HPs) and health centres (HCs), and Community Health Workers provide basic assistance at the household level;4

• District: Upon referral from HCs, district hospitals (DHs) undertake advanced diagnosis and treatment; and

• Province or national: Upon referral from DHs, referral hospitals (RHs) address specialized medical diagnosis and treatment.

Figure 1 shows an illustrative summary of health services structures in Rwanda.

Figure 1: Rwanda health services structures

Source: State finance data analysed

1.1.1 Guiding strategic documents and key targets

Table 1: Strategic documents and targets

Strategic documents Key performance indicators and targets

Rwanda Vision 2020: A long-term, 20-year development vision

A reduction of:• The maternal mortality rate from 1,070 to 200 per 100,000• The infant mortality rate from 107 to 50 per 1,000• Fertility rate from 6.5 children in 2000 to 4.5 children in 2020

Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy Second Generation (EDPRS 2): 2013–2018

• Increase births in health facilities from 63 per cent (2011) to 82 per cent in 2018• Reduce:

• Maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births) from 476 (2011) to 220 in 2018• Under-five mortality rate per/1,000 live births) from 76 (2011) to 42 in 2018

Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP) • Increase percentage of births attended in a health facility from 69 per cent to 90 per cent

• Increase health centres with maternal health services from 16 per cent to 100 per cent• Increase government budget for health as a share of the total budget from 11 per cent

(2012) to 15 per cent by 2018

Ministry of Health (MINISANTE)/RBC

Households/Population

Pub

lic H

ealth

Nationalevel

Districtlevel

Sectorlevel

Village

Community

Referral hospitals (RHs)/Provincial

District hospitals (DHs)

Health centres (HCs)

Health posts (HPs)

Community Health Workers

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1.2 Health sector performance on selected indictors

Rwanda’s health sector realized impressive gains in achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), including Goal 4 on reducing child mortality and Goal 5 on improving maternal mortality (Figure 2 and Figure 3).

Figure 2: Maternal mortality ratio per 100,000 (2005–2015) Figure 3: Maternal mortality ratio per 1000 trend (2005–2015)

Between 2005 and 2014, the maternal mortality rate decreased by more than three times (from 750 per 100,000 live births in 2005 to 210 per 100,000 in 2014/15) and infant mortality fell from 152 per 1,000 live births to 50 per 1,000 in 2014/15. Table 2 presents additional indicators that Rwanda has performed strongly in recent years.

Table 2: Key health indicators

Key indicators 2000 2005 2010 2015

Neonatal mortality rate per 1,000 live births 44 37 27 20

Infant mortality rate per 1,000 107 86 50 32

Under-five mortality per 1,000 196 152 76 50

Maternal mortality rate per 100,000 1,071 750 476 210

Stunting (%) 51.1 48.3 44.2 37.9

Institutional deliveries (%) 27 28 69 91

750

476

210

750

750

476

476

210

210

2005 DHS 2014/15 DHS2010 DHS 2005 RDHS 2014/15 RDHS2010 RDHS

Infant mortality

Under 5 mortality

Source: State finance laws Source: State finance laws

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However, the nutrition status among children under 5 years of age continues to be a public health concern, with stunting rates of 38 per cent at the national level, 41 per cent in rural areas and 24 per cent in urban areas.5

Figure 4 and Figure 5 indicate the trends of stunting in Rwanda between 2005 and 2015 and the target by 2020.6

Figure 4: Stunting rates in children under 5 years of age

Figure 5: Children stunting trend by residence

Source: State finance data analysed

Source: State finance data analysed

DHS 1992 DHS 2000 DHS 2005 DHS 2010 DHS 2014/15

DHS 2005 DHS 2010 DHS 2014/15 Target 2020

48

57.5

41.9

44

51

33.3

53.3

37.9

38

40.6

23.7

46.5

27.3

15

60

40

20

0

80

60

40

20

0

Per

cen

tag

eP

erce

nta

ge

Infant mortality Infant mortality

Recommendations for addressing malnutrition:

• Strengthen multi-sectoral coordination to accelerate progress in reducing all forms of malnutrition;

• Scale up nutrition-specific interventions, including maternal, infant and young child nutrition, micronutrient supplementation, etc.;

• Implement nutrition-sensitive interventions in food-insecure areas; and

• Bolster behaviour-change interventions to improve adolescent, maternal and child nutrition.

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2. Trend of government spending in the health sector

2.1 Size of government spending

Rwanda’s health sector budget has increased from 157.5 billion RWF in 2013/14 to 193.6 billion RWF in 2017/18, reflecting an increase of 22.9 per cent. Despite the nominal increase, the share of the health budget to the total government budget declined from 10.8 per cent in 2014/15 to 9.2 per cent in 2017/18, and the share of the health budget to gross domestic product (GDP) decreased from 3.47 per cent in 2014/16 to 2.85 per cent in 2016/17 (Figure 6).

Figure 6: Per-cent share of health budget to total budget and GDP

Figure 7: Per-cent share of budget allocation to priority sectors

2.2 Government spending in the health sector by selected priority sector

The budget allocation to national priority sectors realized a decreasing trend. For example, the share of the transport budget decreased from 11.8 per cent in 2013/14 to 7.3 per cent, the share of the education budget fell from 15.2 per cent in 2013/15 to 11.5 per cent in 2017/18, and the share of the energy budget decreased from 11.6 per cent to 4 per cent in 2017/18 (Figure 7). The analysis indicates that the decreasing trend can be attributed to an increase of the recurrent budget allocated to the newly established public institutions and reforms across government ministries and agencies.

Source: Budget law data analysed by author

Source: Budget law data analysed by author

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

2016/17

2017/18

2017/18

Health budget Education budget Energy budget Transport budget Public order and safety

Health budget (billion) Share of health budget to national budget Government health spending as % of GDP12

10

8

6

4

2

00

50

100

150

200

250

0

20

40

60

157.5

9.5

3.2 3.473.03 2.85

10.8 10.2 9.7 9.2

189.5 180.4 188.6 193.6

9.5 10.8

13.4

10.4

9.99

8.7

12.3

10.2 9.7

11.3

8.5 7.3

9.2

11.515.2

11.6

11.8

4.14.3

5.15.1 5.2

4.5 4

Hea

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bu

dg

et (

no

min

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Per

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e

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2.3 Health sector spending against selected countries

A comparative analysis of health sector spending in Rwanda against that of Kenya, Uganda and the United Republic of Tanzania reveals that despite a slight reduction, Rwanda allocated the biggest proportion of the budget towards health until 2014, followed by Uganda at 7.2 per cent, and Kenya at 5.7 per cent (Figure 8).

While the Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP) targeted an increase in the ratio of the health budget to the national budget from 11 per cent in 2012 to 15 per cent by 2018, it declined instead. The continued declining trend of budget allocated to health is likely to have undesirable effect on the realized health outcome. Thus, the Government of Rwanda will have to substantially increase the budget allocated to the health sector in order to maintain the achievement realized.

2.4 Changes in the health budget

The Government of Rwanda’s budget revision takes place mid-year (December–January), with the purpose of addressing emerging national priority priorities. From 2014/15 to 2017/18, the health budgets were revised upward in response to health-sector needs. For example, in 2014/15, the health budget was increased by 5.7 per cent, in 2015/16 it was increased by 13.1 per cent, and in 2016/17 it was increased by 0.4 per cent (Figure 9).

Figure 8: Government spending in comparison with other countries

Figure 9: Initial vs. revised health budget

Source: World Bank health statistics database.

Source: Budget law data analysed by author

2010

2013/142012/13

2011

2014/15

2012

2015/16

2013

2016/17

2014

2017/18

Kenya Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Sub-Saharan Africa

Initial health budget (millions) Revised health budget (millions) Health budget changes (%)

0

10

20

30

40

0

50

100

150

200

250

11 9.1 7.6 7.5 7.2

5.6

7.5

5.7

5.6

7.7

5.6

5.7

7.7

5.5

5.7

7.7

5.2

5.3

4

7.9

5.8 5.8 5.6 5.7 5.5

-1.9 -2.2

5.7

13.1 15

10

5

0

-5

0.42.7

Per

cen

tag

eP

erce

nta

ge

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2.5 Changes in the health budget: Inflation-adjusted changes

The trend of the inflation-adjusted health budget changes indicates a less significant effect of inflation on the health budget. This was due to: (i) low level of inflation rate over the past four years, ranging between 1.8 per cent and 5.9 per cent; and (ii) annual nominal increase of the health budget, which curbed the inflationary effect on the health budget (Figure 10).

2.6 Health sector priorities: Budget trends for selected programmes

The Third Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP 3) defines the following priorities for the health sector:

• Sustain the achievements in the fight for maternal and child health and against infectious diseases, and invest in prevention and control of non-communicable diseases;

• Improve access to health services (financial, geographical, community health);

• Improve the quality of health provision (quality assurance, training, medical equipment, supervision);

• Reinforce institutional strengthening (especially towards district health services, DHUs); and

• Improve the quantity and quality of human resources for health (planning, quantity, quality, management).

Figure 10: Nominal and inflation-adjusted health government health budget

Source: State finance data analysed

Per

cen

tag

e

Health budget changes (%)

Health budget changes inflation adjusted

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

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-20

0

20

40

-8

2.7-7.2

1.9

0

-9.5-13.8

30

24.6

-0.3

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Figure 12. Nutrition budget changes 2014/15–2017/18

Source: State finance data analysed

Per

cen

tag

e

Total nutrition budget (billions)

Share of nutrition budget to health budget (%)

Changes in nutrition budget

2013/14 2014/152012/13 2015/16

A large amount of the health budget over the past five years has been allocated to financial and geographic accessibility of health services, which include health infrastructure, subsidization to health insurance and performance-based financing (PBF). Financial and geographic accessibility of health services was allocated 43.3 billion RWF in 2017/18, indicating an increase of 20.9 per cent when compared with the 2016/17 budget. Procurement and distribution of medical equipment

is the second-largest health programme, with 38.7 billion RWF in 2017/18, significantly increased when compared with 2016/17. Diseases prevention and control takes the third position, as it was allocated 15.1 billion FRW. This includes vaccination of preventable diseases, HIV prevention and fighting of epidemic diseases. The budget allocation for health human resources declined from 13.1 billion RWF in 2016/17 to 7.5 billion RWF in 2017/18 (Figure 11).

Figure 11: Budget allocation by core programmes

2.7 Budget allocated to nutrition-specific interventions

Malnutrition and stunting remain public challenges, and the Government of Rwanda, through the Ministry of Health (MINISANTE), Ministry of Agriculture (MINAGRI)/Rwanda Agriculture Board (RAB) and Ministry of Local Government (MINALOC)/Local Administrative Development Agency Government (LODA), has established specific budget lines to address nutrition challenges. From 2014/15 to 2016/17, the budget allocated to the nutrition programme increased by two times (from 4 billion RWF to 8.2 billion RWF); however, in 2017/18, the budget allocated to nutrition-related interventions was significantly reduced and reached 5.9 billion RWF (Figure 12).

Source: Budget law data analysed by author

While the analysed budgets for nutrition under this brief consist of government budgets, there are, however, a number of multiple stakeholders involved in fighting malnutrition and stunting countrywide. Mapping all budgets used by non-governmental institutions is recommended to clearly understand various efforts being made to combat malnutrition and ensure equity across the country.

0

2

4

6

8

10

2013/14

2014/15

2015/16

2016/17

2017/18

10.7 30.5 19.7

24.4

41.9

23.1

38.7

7.3

11.9 51.2

11.4 47.3

13.1 35.8

43.3 4.4

5

5.6

7.4

5.1

7.5

12.5

20

11.5

15.1

4

2.12

6.4

3.54

8.259

28.6

-0.1

4.36

5.9

4.49

Percentage

Health human resources

Disease prevention and control

Financial and geographical health accessibility

Medical procurement and distribution

Maternal child and health

80

60

40

20

0

-20

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

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3.1 Budget allocation by the Ministry of Health, agencies and districts

Health spending consists of the budget for three agencies and districts: Ministry of Health, Rwanda Biomedical Centre (RBC), referral hospitals and districts. RBC has been allocated a larger proportion of the health budget; however, there is a declining trend – e.g., RBC was allocated 102.2 billion RWF in 2015/16 and 85.7 billion RWF in 2017/18, reflecting a reduction of 16.1 per cent. MINISANTE was allocated a considerable proportion of the budget – 59.2 billion RWF in 2017/18, -a slight increase when compared with 2016/17. The budget allocated to districts shows an increasing trend; districts were allocated 40 billion RWF during 2017/18, indicating an increase of 16.6 per cent. Also, a limited budget is allocated to referral hospitals – 8.8 billion RWF (Figure 13)

3.2 Health budget per economic activities

The share of the development budget declined from 75.8 per cent of the total health budget in 2013/14 to 54.7 per cent in 2017/18. The decrease in the development budget is partly explained by a significant reduction of external financing to the health sector and a recent increase of recurrent costs associated with the increase of performance-based financing and other incentives offered to Community Health Workers (Figure 14).

To increase the decentralization of health services as well as to enhance equity, the Government of Rwanda will have to increase the budget allocated to districts and referral hospitals. These agencies deal directly with the community on health-related issues.

Figure 13: Budget allocation by key agencies

Figure 14: Recurrent vs. development health budget

Source: State finance data analysed

Source: State finance data analysed

Per

cen

tag

eP

erce

nta

ge

Recurrent

Development (D&E)

% share of development

2015/16

2013/14

2016/17

2014/15

2014/15

2012/13

2017/18

2015/16

0

50

100

150

200

250

0

50

100

150

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

MINISANTE

Referral hospitals

Rwanda biochemical centre

Districts

100

80

60

40

20

0

75.8 77.7 78.1

63.2 54.7

3. Composition of health spending

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4. Budget executionDespite a lack of execution data at the local level, the available data indicate a decreasing trend in the budget execution rate, from 105 per cent in 2012/13 to 86 per cent. In 2015/16. However, at the local level, the budget execution was at 99.6 per cent in 2015/16 (Figure 15).

Figure 15: Budget execution rate

Figure 16: Share of external financing to national budget

Source: Budget law data analysed by author

Source: Budget law data analysed by author

2013/142012/13

2013/14

2014/15

2014/15

2015/16

2015/16 2016/17

% budget execution (health agencies) National budget execution (%)

Domestic (billion) % share of external financeExternal (billion)

5. Financing the health sectorHealth-sector financing experienced a major shift from externally dominant financing to primarily domestic ownership. In the 2013/14 fiscal year, the external financing was more than a half of the national health budget (59.6 per cent); however, over subsequent years domestic financing gained the majority, and is estimated at 15.3 per cent in 2017/18 budget (Figure 16).

To enable efficient monitoring of the health budget execution, the Government of Rwanda will have to avail budget execution reports by spending agencies, programmatic and functional areas.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

50

100

150

200

105.793.8 97.7

87.1 8697.3101.296.3

168,1168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1

168,1168,1

Per

cen

tag

eP

erce

nta

ge

80

60

40

20

0

57.2

21.414.1

23.415.3

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6. Policy issues

• Rwanda has maintained consistent investment in the health sector through domestic revenues amid external aid declines. There is an increasing risk, however, that the country may resort to borrowing funding to maintain the level of services in health and other social sectors.

• The Government of Rwanda must therefore devise strategic interventions aiming at broadening the tax base, and UNICEF will continue to advocate for increased financing in social services, including the health sector.

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1. Increased cost of health servicesIn December 2016, the Government of Rwanda increased the cost of health services. The Ministry of Health explained that those owning RAMA/RSSB health insurance (mostly government employees and their dependents) would experience an increase of 25 per cent on previous tariffs, while those covered by MMI (mostly people in national services) and other private health insurance holders would see an increase of 15 per cent or more. While increasing health coverage costs will improve the quality of service provided by health facilities, it will also increase out-of-pocket expenses..

2. Referral approach for public servants who use Rwanda ‘La Rwandaise d’Assurance Maladie (RAMA)’

In March 2017, the Rwanda Social Security Board (RSSB) announced a new referral system for those owning the RAMA health insurance. The new policy will result in financial gains to RSSB due to the low cost in public health facilities.

3. MalnutritionThe high rate of malnutrition, particularly among children 5 years old and younger: 38 per cent at the national level, 40.6 per cent in rural areas and 23.8 per cent in urban areas. The disparity among the populations in rural and urban areas signals inequity that needs special attention and an increased budget targeting rural areas and the most vulnerable districts.

4. Declining external financing (ODA)In the past, the health sector was mainly financed by external donors. For example, in 2013/14, external financing accounted for 57 per cent of the total health budget, but the share of external financing has decreased significantly in recent years. To maintain health service coverage, the Government of Rwanda must devise strategic interventions aimed at broadening the tax base.

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Endnotes

1 Ministry of Health, ‘Third Health Sector Strategic Plan, July 2012–June 2018’, Kigali, Rwanda, available at: <www.moh.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/Docs/HSSP_III_FINAL_VER-SION.pdf>.

2 <www.moh.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/HLaws/RBC_law.pdf>.

3 Ministry of Health, ‘National Community Health Service Stra-tegic Plan, July 2013–June 2018’, Kigali, Rwanda, May 2013, available at: <www.moh.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/CHD_Docs/CHD-Strategic_plan.pdf>.

4 To follow antenatal care, women after delivery and children younger than 9 months old, malnutrition screening, provision of contraceptives, preventive and behaviour change activities.

5 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda, et al., ‘Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), 2014–2015’, Kigali, Rwanda, March 2016.

6 Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning (MINECOFIN), ‘Rwanda Vision 2020’, revised 2012, Kigali, Rwanda, avail-able at: <www.minecofin.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/docu-ments/NDPR/Vision_2020_.pdf>.

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