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Gunkul Engineering Plc.
Opportunity Day Q3/2014
9 December 2014
1
Strictly Private & Confidential
1. Strategic Direction
2. Company Overview
3. Financial
4. Growth Strategy
Agenda
2
1. Strategic Direction
3
Strictly Private & Confidential
Past Present & Future Direction
Section 1: Strategic Direction
PRES
ENT
PAST
FUTU
RE
Mostly green field Mostly Thailand Partially divest so as
to reinvest in higher-yield opportunities
JV & green field Asian countries Position as a
developer—seek for higher yield projects, develop and partially divest so as to buildup balance sheet
initiation of new energy-related business
Continuous capacity ramp-up
Stable income from diversified power plant portfolio
further earning uplift from EPC business and initiation of energy-related business
4
Strictly Private & Confidential
Strategy
Section 1: Strategic Direction
GROWTH
DISCIPLINE
Capacity ramp-up of energy Line-up renewable energy
construction work Expansion in Asia
Cash return on investment with hurdle of ~18-20%
Dividend payout policy
of > 40%
5
2. Company Overview
6
Strictly Private & Confidential
GUNKUL– Leading Integrated Energy Player
Section 2: Company Overview
Founded in 1982 as an electrical equipment trader
1982
Set up our own manufacturer
1992
Expanded business to neighboring LVMC countries
Found the first offshore office in Myanmar
1997 2009
Entered into renewable energy EPC business by achieving supply and set up the first wind turbine of Thailand to EGAT
Since 2010
Trading and Manufacturing
EPC
O&M
Trading and Manufacturing
One of the largest medium- to high-voltage electrical equipment manufacturer and supplier (over 5,000 product items)
Thailand's no. 1 one-stop provider for renewable power plant EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction)
Own power plants. positioned as a power developer as a shortcut to become leading power producer
Expand into renewable energy power producer business
Possess a current renewable energy pool of 178 MW (58 MW of solar and 120 MW of wind)
4 Business Units
1
2
3
2017F Revenue Breakdown
2013 Revenue Breakdown1
Remark: (1) This revenue includes dividend income earned from the JV companies operating solar power plant businesses
Power Producer 4
7
Strictly Private & Confidential
Business Structure
Section 2: Company Overview
GUNKUL Group
Public Shareholders
GUNKUL PCL.
60% 40%
G.K.Assembly 100%
G.K.Power Products
K.N.P.Supply
GUNKUL CHUBU Powergen (1)
G-Power Source (2)
NK Sola
Wind Energy Development
51%
40%
100%
100%
Trading and Manufacturing &
EPC Business
Power Producer Business
Remark: (1) the remaining stake of 49% of GCPG is held by Chubu Electric Power Gem B.V.
(2) the 60% stake of GPS is held by The Electricity Generating PCL (EGCO)
Greenovation Power 100%
Gunkul LED 74.99%
100%
100%
25.01%
100%
100%
100%
100%
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 1,3,6,10,17
Gunkul Solar Roof 1
Gunkul Solar Power 2
Solar Energy Society
Siam Gunkul Solar Energy
Gunkul Myanmar Central Power
51%
8
Strictly Private & Confidential
Business Structure
Section 2: Company Overview
Customer Manufacturer Distributor GKA
GKP
External Manufacturer
KNP
GUNKUL
Gov’t
Private Entities
Foreign Gov’t
Trading and Manu. Business Flow 1
Customer Supplier Main Contractor
EPC Business Flow
GKA
GKP
External Manufacturer
GUNKUL
GCPG
GPS
Internal/ External Power
Producer
2
Power Producer BU Flow
Solar 30.9 MW
3
GUNKUL CHUBU Powergen
G-Power Source
NK Sola
Wind Energy Development
Solar 26.0 MW
Solar 1.0 MW
Wind 60.0 MW
Electricity Authority Power Plant
Greenovation Power Wind 60.0 MW
GLED
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 1 Solar Rooftop 636.48 kWp
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 3 Solar Rooftop 832.32 kWp
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 6 Solar Rooftop 832.32 kWp
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 17
Solar Energy Society
Gunkul Solar Power 2
Gunkul Solar Roof 1
Siam Gunkul Solar Energy
Solar Rooftop 997.56 kWp
Solar Rooftop 723.84 kWp
Solar Rooftop 264.32 kWp
Solar Rooftop 538.56 kWp
Solar Rooftop 1,872 kWp
Gunkul Myanmar Central Power Gas Engine 25 MW
WHA Gunkul Green Solar Roof 10 Solar Rooftop 979.20 kWp
9
Strictly Private & Confidential
Trading and Manufacturing Business
Section 2: Company Overview
1
Electricity plants: Wind turbine components Solar panel components
Transmission lines: Cable and accessories Fuse and switches Hardware and connectors Insulators Lightning protection Maintenance equipment Tools and instruments
Substation: Battery and chargers Capacitors Grounding Maintenance equipment Meters Tools and instruments Transformers
Low voltage lines: Capacitors Explosion proof products Fuses and switches Grounding Hardware and connectors Insulators Lightning protection Meters Preformed Street lighting and control Telephone hardware
We offer a wide range of products and services from upstream to downstream of the electricity supply system (over 5,000 electricity items)
Distribution lines: Cables and accessories Capacitors Fuse and switches Grounding Hardware and connectors Insulators Lightning protection Live part covers Maintenance equipment Meters Preformed Tools and instruments Transformers
Highlight in-house products
Cutout Arrester Disconnecting Switch SF6 Gas switch Low-Voltage Switch
10
Strictly Private & Confidential
EPC Business
Section 2: Company Overview
2
Project Reference
Project Owner MW* Status
1) Gunkul Chubu Powergen (Phase 1) 2) G-Power Source (Phase 1) 3) Gunkul Chubu Powergen (Phase 2) 4) G-Power Source (Phase 2) 5) NK Power Sola 6) CK & Sun Solar Power Plant 7) Solarta Solar Power Plant 8) Bangchak Solar Energy (NSM) 9) Bangchak Solar Energy (CPM) 10) Solar Rooftop Projects
3.3 22.8 34.1 7.6 1.2 8.8 8.8
12.5 12.5
7.68 / 3.32
Completed Completed Completed Completed Completed Completed Completed Completed Co mpleted
80% Complete
Total 122.6*
Business Partner
With more 30-year experience in the electrical system and its integrated business model, we are well positioned to offer one-stop services for constructing renewable power plants
* Installation Capacity
11
Strictly Private & Confidential
Power Plant Business
Section 2: Company Overview
3
Project 1 (COD since 2011) Capacity: 3.0 MW and 4.4 MW Location: Chondan Petchaboon Average Radiation: 5.08 kWh/m2/d
Project 2 (COD since Mar 2013) Capacity: 8.0 MW Location: Petchaboon Average Radiation: 5.08 kWh/m2/d
Project 3 (COD since Mar 2013) Capacity: 4.5 MW Location: Pichit Average Radiation: 5.08 kWh/m2/d
Project 4 (COD since June 2013) Capacity: 8.0 MW Location: Nakorn Nayok Average Radiation: 5.04 kWh/m2/d
Project 5 (COD since May 2013) Capacity: 3.0 MW Location: Bung Samphan, Petchaboon Average Radiation: 5.04 kWh/m2/d
Solar 30.9 MW Capacity
GPS Plants
GPG Plants WED Plants
Total Plants : 21 Plants Already COD : 86.14 MW
Going to Construction : 140 MW Total : 226.0 MW
NK Plant
Solar 1.0 MW Capacity
Project 1 (COD since Nov 2013) Capacity: 1.0 MW Location: Kanchanaburi
Solar 26 MW Capacity
Project 1 (COD since Q12012) Capacity: 6.5 MW Location: Tasang, Nakorn - Sawan
Project 2 (COD since Q12012) Capacity: 6.5 MW Location: Takeed, Nakorn -Sawan
Project 3 (COD since Q12012) Capacity: 6.5 MW Location: Dong-Korn, Chainat
Project 4 (COD since Feb 2013 Capacity: 6.5 MW Location: Bung Samphan, Petchaboon
Project 1 (SCOD : 1Q2016) Capacity: 10 MW Location: Nakorn Ratchasima
Project 2 (SCOD : 1Q2016) Capacity: 50 MW Location: Nakorn Ratchasima
Wind 60 MW Capacity
Project 1 (SCOD : 4Q2016) Capacity: 60 MW Location: Nakorn Ratchasima
Wind 60 MW Capacity
GNP Plant
Total 17 Projects Total Capacity : 7.68 MW Location: Bangkok, Rayong, Samutprakarn
WHA-GUNKUL
Gas Engine 50 MW Capacity
Project 1 (COD since Nov 2013) Capacity: 25.0 MW Location: Rangoon, Myanmar
Project 2 (SCOD : 2H2015) Capacity: 25.0 MW Location: Rangoon, Myanmar
GMP
12
Strictly Private & Confidential
Power Plant Business (Cont’d)
Section 2: Company Overview
3
Solar Farm Solar
Rooftop Wind Farm
Gas
Engine
Project Investment Costs
~THB80–100 mm
per MW
~THB 60 mm
per MW
~ THB 70 mm
per MW
~ THB 35 mm
per MW
Technology Thin Film CIS modules without cadmium or Crystalline Silicon
Module
Crystalline Silicon Module Horizontal Wind Turbine Gas Fired Engine
Selling Price
(Base Tariff)
Peak :THB 3.85 per kWh,
Off-Peak: THB 2.04 per kWh
FT: THB 0.52 per kWh
Feed-in Tariff (FIT)
THB6.16 per kWh
for 25 years since COD
Peak: THB 3.68 per kWh
Off-Peak: THB 2.04 per kW
FT: THB 0.52 per kWh
~US$0.034 /kWh
Adder THB8.0 per kWh for 10 years since COD - THB3.5 per kWh for 10 years
since COD -
BOI Tax Exemption
Year 1st - 8th : 100%
Year 9th – 13th : 50% Year 1st - 5th : 100%
Import Tax 100% import tax exemption
Yearly Revenue ~ THB 20 mm per MW ~ THB 8 mm per MW ~ THB 16 mm per MW ~ THB 7 mm per MW
Key Information
13
Strictly Private & Confidential
Power Plant Business
Section 2: Company Overview
3
Gunkul Myanmar Power (Hlawga) Pte. Ltd.
Myanmar Local Partner
Gunkul Engineering PLC.
GKMCP II SCOD : 2H 2015
GKMCP I COD: Nov. 2013
60%
51% 49%
40%
14
Strictly Private & Confidential
Progress on 120-MW Huai Bong Wind Farm
Section 2: Company Overview
Land Site: fully secured 1
Fencing Works : Done Land Boundary Measurement: Done IEE: Done
License for 120 MW Huai Bong Wind Power Project:
(WED 60 MW and GNP 60 MW) fully secured
2
3 Wind Data Summary Report
Average wind speed (38 months) at 100 m height: 5.6 m/s (WED mast 1) and 5.7 m/s (WED mast 2) The long term wind speed at 100m are 5.8m/s (Mast HB1) and 5.9 m/s (Mast HB2) The long term wind speed at 125m are 6.0 m/s (Mast HB1) and 6.2 m/s (Mast HB2)
WED
GNP
15
3. Financial
Strictly Private & Confidential
16 16 Note : Total Revenue from Government , Private and Foreign Customer is considered as revenue from Conventional Business.
Revenue Breakdown
Revenue Breakdown by Business Unit % Revenue Breakdown
9M/2014
9M/2013 1,594 MB
2,340 MB
** Electricity : Solar Chubu : 8.4 MW.
** Electricity : NK Solar : 0.940 KW. Solar root top : 0.802 KW.
Million Baht.
1,288
2,651
4,722
2,819 2,369 2,340
9M-Comparison
+47%
Strictly Private & Confidential
17 17
Revenues & Profit as of Sep 30, 2014
Revenue vs. Overall Gross Margin Net Profit vs. Net Profit Margin
Million Baht. Margin %
Included Gain From Share Divestment
Million Baht. Margin % GPS
divestment
GPG divestment
Strictly Private & Confidential
18 18
Our Financial Flexibility
Gunkul’s Liabilities D/E Ratio
Debt to Equity ratio
-
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 9M/2014
0.58
3.68
2.24
0.47
0.81 657
4,355
4,814
1,459
2,662
Million Baht.
Strictly Private & Confidential
19 19
Growth of Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet
Non Current Asset
Current Asset
Current Liabilities
Non Current Liabilities
Shareholders' Equity
As of Sep 30,2014 As of Dec 31,2013
Total Asset 4,579.61 Total Asset 5,942.79
Million Baht.
Strictly Private & Confidential
20 20
Solar Farm Profit Sharing : GPS & GCPG (2013 vs 2014F)
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Million Baht. Million Baht.
2013 2014F
Strictly Private & Confidential
21 21
2014 Sales Forecast and Incoming Project
Column1 Backlog Project (Incoming) MW. SCOD
1 WED 60 Q1/16
2 GNP 60 Q4/16
3 Gas Enging (Myanmar) # 2 25 Q4/15
EPC 1,389 Mn.
Service 50 Mn.
Electricity 20 Mn.
EPC & Service : THB 1,459 million
No . Bu s i n ess Un i t Amt. (THB Mn . )
1 E PC 1,389
2 Serv i c e 50
3 NK So l a 20
T o ta l 1,459
E PC & Serv i c e : THB 1,459 Mn .
Domestic Trading
970 Mn.
Oversea Trading
480 Mn.
Trading : THB 1,450 million
No . Bu s i n ess Un i t Amt. (THB Mn . )
1 Domesti c T rad i n g 970
2 Ov ersea T rad i n g 480
T o ta l 1,450
T rad i n g : THB 1,450 Mn .
Total 2,909 Mn.
22
4. Growth Strategy
23
Strictly Private & Confidential
Strategy for Trading and Manufacturing Business 1
Expansion and improvement of electrical system are expected, as demand for electricity continued to expand
In 2012 electricity peak demand in Thailand increased strongly at 9.3% YoY, compared with the average of 3.78% of growth rate of peak demand over the past ten years
Investment in transmission and distribution systems will remain substantial As indicated in PDP 2010, the investments for the main electricity authorities during 2010-2030 is budgeted to reach THB 328 Bn.
1,691 1,779
328 421
2010-2020 2021-2030
Power generation Distribution
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Unit: THB Bn. Unit: MW
+9.3% YoY
Source: EPPO as of NOV 2014 http://www.eppo.go.th/info/5electricity_stat.htm
24
Strictly Private & Confidential
Strategy for Trading and Manufacturing Business 1
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Gov’t budget of THB 2 trillion for improving Thailand’s infrastructure including the construction of Mass Rapid Transit for 9 routes will create demand of our in-house products
In-house Products
1.Bangsue-Bangyai
C1.Bangsue-Talingchan
5.Bangkapi-Bangbumru
7.Bangkapi-Minburi
C3.Bangsue-Pyatai-Huamark 2.Bangsue-Thapra
Hualumpong-Bangkae
6.Taksin-Bangwa-Puttamonton sai 4
3.Morchit-Paholyathin-Sapanmai (Lumlukka)
C2.Bangsue- Thammasart Rungsit
C4. Hualumpong-Mahachai
4.Baring-Sumrong-Samutprakarn (Bangpu)
8.Outer Ring Road (A-D)
Transport network of rail and mass transit 9 lines
25
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Growing number of renewable power plants is expected
From New Alternative Energy Development Plan 2012-2021, following policy announcement on November 30, 2011 by the government, renewable energy is to contribute 25% of electricity source by 2021. On October 2014, the regulator increased generating capacity from 9,201 MW to 14,724 MW representing 60%
Type of Energy Previous Capacity Current Capacity PPA-Granted PPA-COD in Q3/2014
Solar 2,000 3,800 1,424 1,083 Biogas 600 3,600 89 188
Biomass 3,630 4,800 118 976 Waste 160 400 111 43 Hydro 1,608 324 14 0.35 Wind 1,200 1,800 1,750 180 Total 9,201 14,724 3,506 1,870.35
Thailand’s PDP 2010, 3rd revision
Unit: MW
Previous Total 9,201 MW
Revised Total 14,724 MW in 2021
Source: http://webkc.dede.go.th/testmax/sites/default/files/factsq1_2014.pdf http://www.erc.or.th/ERCSPP/MainPage.aspx
Current (install capacity) Total 3,969 MW in Q1/2014
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer 2 3
26
Strictly Private & Confidential
On July 16, 2013, the Energy Ministry launched a solar rooftop program and set the rate of electricity to be sold back
to utilities (the Provincial Electricity Authority) in a range of THB 6.16 to THB 6.96 and THB 6.06 for industrial ( 250 KW
to 1 MW) since August 2014.
On October 22, 2014, the Energy of Ministry have a resolution of meeting to achieved 200 M and postpone SCOD date
solar rooftop to be within December, 2015.
Energy Regulatory Commission was delegated to issues regulations for the purchase of power from solar roof.
The Energy Ministry also revised up the target of electricity contribution from renewable energy sources by 60% from
9,201 MW to 14,724 MW, 3,800 MW of 14GW are targeted to come from solar energy sources.
Breakdown of Thailand’s solar
power industry
Total 3,800 MW
Solar Rooftop Total Value
200 MW
~THB 14 Bn.
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Thailand’s Solar Industry Snapshot
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer 2 3
27
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Thailand’s Solar Industry Snapshot
Growth Capacity for Power Plant & EPC Business
PPA + EPC
( FIT = 5.66 Baht) (~ THB 90,000 Mn.) EPC Value
( ~ THB 32,000 Mn.)
( FIT = 5.66 Baht)
800 MW + 576 MW Solar Farm & 800 MW Government and Cooperative Solar Farm PPA would have been granted
within 1H2015. Both Sector have to COD within 2015.
800 MW 800 MW
28
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
Solar’s PPA Quota Plan
29
Strictly Private & Confidential
Solar Roof Government Feed-in Tariff Program
Residential Industrial Building
0 to 10 kW 10 to 250 kW 250 kW to 1 MW >1 MW
Private Customer Local communities
Small buildings
Agriculture
Local communities
Medium buildings
Agriculture
Industries
Industries
Retail
Logistic centres
Installed capacity
6.96 6.55 6.01 FIT
(Baht/unit)
0 to ~77 sq.m. ~77 to ~1,900 sq.m. ~1,900 to ~7,700 sq.m.
Section 4: Growth Strategy
30
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
PPA status of Wind Energy
Currently, GUNKUL has been granted PPA 120 MW GUNKUL is looking for opportunity to acquire more PPA approx. 50-100 MW
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer 2 3
PPA Granted : 1,750 MW
31
Strictly Private & Confidential
Section 4: Growth Strategy
With unusable land of wind projects (2,100 Rais with additional land for new projects), plantation of high heat plants is an interesting option for biomass power plant or trading business
Biomass Business
& Strategy for EPC and Power Producer 2 3
New opportunity to fulfill “Smart Energy in Action!”
32
Strictly Private & Confidential
Existing & Potential Power Plants of Domestic Renewable Market
Extracting growth from existing domestic assets & potential developing projects
Section 4: Growth Strategy
3
Energy/ Capacity Company Project Location 2013 2014 2015 2016 Capacity
Accumulated Installed Capacity
(GUNKUL + Partner)
% Own and Accumulate of
Install Capacity by GUNKUL’
Proportion (MW) (MW) % (MW)
Solar Farm 56.9 MW
GCPG Project 1 Chondan COD since 2011 7.5 7.5 51% 3.83 GPS Project 1-3 Tasang,Takeed, Dong-Kon COD since Q12012 19.5 27.0 40% 11.63 GPS Project 4 Bung Samphan COD since Feb, 2013 6.5 33.5 40% 14.23
GCPG Project 2 Petchaboon COD since Mar, 2013 8.0 41.5 51% 18.31 GCPG Project 3 Pichit COD since Mar, 2013 4.4 45.9 51% 20.55 GCPG Project 4 Bung Samphan COD since May, 2013 3.0 48.9 51% 22.06
GCPG Project 5 Nakorn Nayok COD since June, 2013 8 56.9 51% 26.16
Solar Farm 1 MW NK Project 1 Kanchanaburi COD since Nov, 2013 1 57.9 100% 27.16
Solar Rooftop 7.83 MW
Solar Entities Project 1-17 Bangkok, Saraburi, Rayong,
Nongthaburi, etc 4 Projects COD since 2Q2014 7.68 65.58 100%
25.01% 30.56 31.63
Wind #1 - 60 MW WED Project 1 Huai Bong 1& 2 SCOD 1Q2016 10 75.58 100% 41.63
WED Project 2 Wayu SCOD 1Q2016 50 125.58 100% 91.63
Wind #2 - 60 MW GNP Project 1 Salarnlom SCOD 4Q2016
60 185.58 100% 151.63
Gas Engine 50MW
GKMCP1 Project 1 Yangon, Myanmar COD since Nov, 2013 25 210.58 51% 164.38
GKMCP2 Project 2 Yangon, Myanmar SCOD 2H2015 25 235.58 60% 179.38
Wind #3 - 50 MW Potential Developing Project 50 285.58 100% 229.38
Solar Farm 100 MW Potential Developing Project 100 385.58 100% 329.38
Total (MW) 385.58 329.38
33
Strictly Private & Confidential
Potential Oversea Wind Projects
Granted MOU by MOEP2 (Ministry of Electric Power 2) to conduct feasibility
study for wind projects in Myanmar with total capacity of
1,000MW
Section 4: Growth Strategy
3
MON
Tanintharyi
34
Q & A
35
Strictly Private & Confidential
Disclaimer
This presentation includes statements of future expectations, projections or other forward-looking
statements, which reflect our current views with respect to future events and are not a guarantee of further
performance. A number of important factors, risks and uncertainties could cause actual results or
outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. No assurance is
given that these future events will occur, or that the Company’s assumptions are correct.
Contact us at [email protected]
36
Strictly Private & Confidential