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Guaranteed Corporate Bonds
Fang Chen, Jing-Zhi Huang, Zhenzhen Sun, Tong Yu∗
March 2014
∗Chen is at the College of Business, University of New Haven. Huang is at the Smeal College of Business,Pennsylvania State University. Sun is at the School of Business, Siena College. Yu is at the College of BusinessAdministration, University of Rhode Island. Emails: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected],and [email protected]. All errors are our own. Comments are welcome.
Guaranteed Corporate Bonds
Abstract
This paper investigates the use of guarantee by corporate bond issuers. Guarantees provide
a protection to corporate bondholders to cover their losses in the event of default, and have
been widely used in the corporate bond market since late 90s. However, this important
financing method has received very little attention in the academic literature. Using a large
sample of new issues of corporate bonds over the period 1993–2012, we present empirical
evidence that guarantees indeed enhance bond credit quality. Specifically, given the same
issuer rating, the average rating of bonds issued with guarantees significantly exceed that of
bonds not issued with guarantees. Further, this positive impact of guarantees on bond rating
concentrates on issuers with BB or BBB ratings. Yet, guarantees do not have a significant
impact on bond yields. We also find that firms using guarantees tend to be more financial
constrained, subject to more severe agency problem, and have lower firm ratings and higher
default probabilities, in comparison to non-guaranteed bond issuers.
1 Introduction
It is known that many corporate debt covenants are used to protect bondholders from default
risk. One recent development in the corporate bond market is the use of guarantees provided
by firms themselves when they issue corporate bonds, a new kind of covenants introduced
in mid 1990s. For instance, based on the Mergent Corporate Bond Database, nearly 40
percent of corporate bonds (in terms of issuance amount) issued in 2009 are embedded
with guarantees. guarantees provide investors a protection through an internal or a third-
party arrangement which secures the payments when issuers are at default. Owing to its
significant role in the financial market during the 2007-09 crisis, the use of guarantees, also
known as a common type of credit enhancements, catches a wide attention among academia
and practitioners (e.g., Demyanyk and Hemert, 2011; Dou, Liu, Richardson, and Vyas,
2012). However, the spotlight so far has been on the packaging of credit enhancements
with commercial loans, mortgage- and asset-backed security sector, and municipal bonds.1
The use of guarantees in the corporate bond sector has received very little attention in the
literature.
Using a large sample of corporate bond issuance from 1993 through 2012, we empirically
analyze the impacts and determinants of the use of guarantees. Based on our finding, there
is a striking firm rating difference between bond issuers using and not using guarantees—
roughly two thirds of guarantee users have either “high” speculative ratings (i.e., S&P’s BB+,
BB, and BB- ratings) or “low” investment grade grades (S&P’s BBB+, BBB, BBB-) while
two thirds of issuers not using guarantees receive median (A+, A, A-) or low investment
grades. This is consistent with the conventional wisdom that bonds with relatively poor
credit worth may be inclined to issue securities with guarantees.
Investors of guaranteed bonds are protected due to the presence of the third party to
make payments when the issuers default. Such an institutional arrangement of guaranteed
bonds gives rise to the first set of questions of the study: do guarantees help to improve
1On the applications in mortgage backed securities, see Adelson (2003), Ashcraft and Santos, 2009; Griffinand Tang (2012); Arora, Gandhi and Longstaff (2012). For the applications in municipal bonds, see Braswell,Nosari and Browning (1982), Kidwell, Sorensen and Wachowicz (1987), Nanda and Singh (2004).
1
the ratings of bond issues? and similarly, do guarantees help reduce bond yields? To ad-
dress these questions, we perform regression analysis on bond ratings and yields at issuance
for a sample including bonds with and without guarantees. In the rating regression, the
dependent variable of the regression is the bond rating at issuance. The key explanatory
variables is the interaction between a dummy indicating whether the issue is a guaranteed
bond and the issuer’s rating. The setup allows us to compare the average rating of bonds
packed with guarantees with the rating of non guaranteed bonds holding issuers’ ratings
constant. Following the literature (e.g., Ashcraft, Goldsmith-Pinkham, and Vickery, 2009),
we additionally control for firm size, tangible asset, debt level and bond characteristics. The
result reveals a positive role of guarantees – the average rating of guaranteed bonds is 10%
higher than that of non-guaranteed bonds in terms of the numerical expression of rating.
The further examination shows that the most significant rating enhancement occurs within
the firms whose ratings are close to the default, and the second significant effect concentrates
on the firms that have ratings close to the investment and junk grade cut-off. Compared
with the credit ratings of non-guaranteed bond issuers, guaranteed bond issuers on average
are poorer in their corporate financial ratings.
One may expect the improved ratings of guaranteed bonds result in lower yields of these
bonds. However, this is not true based on our comparison analysis that compares the initial
yields between guaranteed and non-guaranteed bonds. Different from the result of rating
regressions, we find that guarantee doesn’t have any significant impact on yield in general.
We further dig into this issue by analyzing the guarantee effect on bond yields conditioned
on corporate financial ratings. We interact a bond’s guarantee use and the issuer’s rating
and see how the variable affects bond yields. The result shows guarantee generally has no
significant impact on bond yields except when the firm rating is BBB-, a rating at the edge
of investment grade. Even worse, when firm ratings are at CC (a default rating) or AAA
(the highest credit rating), the yields of guaranteed bonds are higher than yields of non-
guaranteed. Investors, or more precisely underwriters, do not take the guarantee as positive
signal of the bond’s credit prospect.
2
Why just a subset of firms using guaranteed bonds? This is our second question. It is
known that guarantees are arranged internally – either subsidiaries (the super majority case)
or parent companies provide guarantee to bond investors. Such an arrangement gives rise
to an easily conceived reason for the restrained use of guarantees: non-guaranteed bonds
may be issued by firms not having any subsidiary or not associated with a parent firm. This
conjecture is however quickly dismissed – in our sample, roughly 85 percent of firms have
a parent or subsidiaries. An alternative explanation is that financing cost of guaranteed
bonds could be high. One must recognize that the direct guarantee fee is trivial given that
guarantees are provided internally. However, guarantees occupy the resources of guarantors
in two ways. First, guarantees provided by guarantees typically are unconditional. The
secured guarantee use various collateral provided by the guarantors. Moreover, the covenants
of debt with guarantees normally have restrictions on the guarantors. The covenants may
restrict the guarantors to pay dividends, making loans or transferring any of their property
to the issuers or between subsidiary guarantors.
The third question of the study is what factors drive corporate use of guarantees. We
hypothesize that the primary force to be financial constraints faced by corporates. Based on
Myers and Majluf (1984)’s pecking order theory, internal capital is least costly and a firm
has to raise external capital, debt financing is preferred relative to equity financing as debt
financing is less expensive. Financial constraints, however, hurt a firm’s capacity to raise
debt from investors (e.g., Kaplan and Zingales, 1997, Lamont, Polk and Saa-Requejo, 2001,
and Baker, Stein and Wurgler, 2002). This will lower firms’ ability to achieve their optimal
investments. guarantees, which offer a guarantee to bondholders when the firm cannot afford
their debt payments, improve corporate credit worthiness thus enable these firms to raise
debt.
Corporates do not have the equal access to investment opportunities. For firms having
poor investments opportunities, the purpose of using guarantees could lie on the managerial
agency problems. Jensen (1986) argued that the managers may increase the size of the firms
for their own perquisite, i.e., the management’s “empire-building” tendency. For instance,
3
a firm may adopt a new project or acquire another regardless of the return (Stulz, 1990;
Titman, Wei, and Xie, 2004; Cooper, Gulen, and Schill, 2008). As noted in the litera-
ture, a consequence of the agency conflict (e.g., in the firms with high free cash flow and
low growth opportunities) is the overinvestment (e.g., Opler and Titman, 1993). Aligned
with the agency conflict explanation, the use of the subsidiaries/parents guarantee may be
a consequence of the empire-building incentive of issuers rather than investing in positive
net present value (NPV) investment opportunities. Issuers use the resource of their sub-
sidiaries/parents to achieve this goal. Under this explanation, firms with poorly aligned
interest between management and shareholders are more likely to use guarantees.
We perform logistic regressions to look into the determinants of bond issuers’ guarantee
uses. Regarding the financial constraints theory, firm ratings are negatively associated with
the use of guarantees. Our finding also reveals that firms with less collateral (proxied by
cash and tangible assets) have a higher chance to use guarantees. The results shows a strong
evidence that firms with financial constraints tend to use guarantee to increase debt capacity.
Regarding the influence of agency problems on the use of guarantees, we find that high
degree of agency problem (as proxied by high free cash cash/low growth opportunities) are
positively associated with the use of guarantees. When we use different proxies for of growth
opportunities, we find consistent results. The finding supports the idea that the use of
subsidiaries do not align with the growth opportunities of the parents. Instead, the use of
guarantees may be a consequence of empire-building of the parents or ”corporate socialism”
among the subsidiaries. Moreover, since overinvestment is more likely to occur in firms
with low grow opportunities (e.g., Jensen, 1986; Lang and Litzenberger, 1989), the positive
relation between the guarantee and high free cash cash/low growth opportunities implies an
overinvestment problem in firms using guarantees.
It is interesting to note that some issuers alternatively use guaranteed and non-guaranteed
bonds. For the purpose of shedding light on this cause, we separate the cases that firms
mix their guarantee uses and that firms persistently use guarantees and run a multinomial
regression. The dependent variable is a categorical variables taking three values: it is 0 if
4
the firm issues non-guaranteed bonds only; it is 1 if the firm issues a mix of non-guaranteed
bonds and guaranteed bonds; and it is 2 if the firm issues guaranteed bonds only. We find
that the lower firm rating, higher agency problems, less cash, less tangible, larger size, and
less debt increase the odds of issuing a mix of non-guaranteed and guaranteed bonds than
that of issuing guaranteed bonds only.
Finally, as a robustness check on the agency problems explanation, we conduct sub-
sample analysis. Chang and Mayers (1992) and Masulis, Wang and Xie (2009) find that
managerial voting power is positively associated with the agency problem. Based on this
finding, we partition the sample into three even-sized groups based on managerial voting
power. Dummy variable highMgtVote equal one if the issuer is in the highest managerial
voting rights group and zero otherwise. The intuition with higher managerial voting rights
indicates a weaker corporate governance and therefore stronger agency problems. We are
likely to observe a stronger tendency of guarantee uses in the high managerial voting rights
group than that in the low managerial voting rights group. We run the logistic regression on
the use of guarantee. The coefficient of highMgtVote is positive and significant. The results
of the subsamples regression yield further supports to the hypothesis that firms with more
agency problem are more likely to use guarantees.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides the institutional
background of guarantees used in the corporate bond market. In Section 3, we introduce the
hypotheses. Section 4 describes our sample and data used in the sample. Section 5 presents
empirical findings. Section 6 concludes.
5
2 Institutional Background on Credit Guarantee for
Corporate Bonds
Being a potential means to alleviate credit risk of a corporate bond, in recent years a sig-
nificant proportion of corporate bonds are issued with guaranties.2. The ratio of corporate
bonds with guaranties increased from 2% in 1990 to 26% in 2010 in terms of dollar value.
Overall, corporate bonds have been sold for USD16,711 billion (par value) during the period
of 1993 to 2012. Of bonds issued in the same period, 17% (USD2,853 billion), by dollar
value, were issued with guaranties.
Guaranties protect bondholders from defaults through providing the guarantee to the
payment of principal and interest payments of the underlying bonds in the event of issuer
defaults. Based on the Mergent database, firms employ three major types of credit enhance-
ments: i) guarantee, ii) bond insurance, and iii) letter of credit (LOC). They respectively
account for 96%, 3% and 1% of the total credit enhancement over the entire sample period
from 1993 to 2012. The distinction across a guarantee, bond insurance, and letter of credit
are obvious. Parent/subsidiary guarantee is an internal arrangement which requires a fil-
ing to SEC, while there is no such requirement for insurance or letter of credits which is
treated as an external contract. Because basically all bond insurances have an AAA rating,
it is common for the insured bonds to have an AAA rating. By contrast, bonds with par-
ent/subsidiary guarantee have their ratings varying from AAA as the highest to D as the
lowest. We focus on guaranties in this analysis because the super majority of guaranties are
provided through corporate guaranties (96% among guaranties).
There are several distinct features associated with corporate guaranties. First, guar-
anties are typically arranged internally where guarantors are either parent companies or
subsidiaries. In our sample, the majority of the guarantors (90%) in our sample are the sub-
sidiaries of the issuers. When the parent debt is guaranteed, the full consolidated financial
statements of the parent company (together with the subsidiaries) are used in the rating
2A recent suvey shows that the majority of over 1,100 risk managers from major international corproatesconsider credit risk as one of the most important risk exposures (Bodnar, et al., 2011
6
determination. See e.g., DBRS Criteria (2010) for the reference. For instance, MGM Mirage
issued a bond using all its domestic subsidiaries as the guarantors . The aggregate par value
of the bond issuance is USD225,000,000.
Second, internally arranged parent/subsidiary guaranties typically involve a low cost. An
explicit expense of the transaction is the cost of filing to Securities and Exchange Commis-
sions (SEC), which is not materially high. An additional cost is the guarantee cost. Since
it is considered as an arm’s-length transaction, subsidiary guarantee fee is typically nominal
and seldom paid by parent companies or subsidiaries.
Third, there are indirect costs associated with guarantee uses. A parent firm and its
subsidiaries are distinct legal entities. Without guarantee, if the subsidiary is at default, its
debtholders have not recourse to the parent unless the parent is involved in some wrong-doing
(Thomson, 1991). However, with a guarantee from the parent, the subsidiary debt holders
have recourse to its parent guarantors should the subsidiary default. In practice, most
of the guaranties to the public issuers were conducted jointly by most or all its domestic
subsidiaries. By law, the guaranties are senior obligation of the guarantor, ranked equally
with all other existing and future senior debt of the guarantors in right of payment. It is
also a common practice to contain the covenants in the indenture to limit the payments of
the subsidiaries or parent companies (whoever the guarantor is), such as dividend payout,
shares repurchase or making early principle payment prior to the schedule, among other
arrangements. Consequently, this arrangement helps to reduce credit risk of guaranteed
bonds.
Fourth, it is possible for a subsidiary to achieve a higher rating than that of a parent or
a consolidated family if it is insulated. Generally, the rating of a subsidiary can exceed that
of the parent firm by up to three notches (Standard & Poor’s, 2000).3 When credit rating
of the guarantor is downgraded, the rating agency will reevaluate the bond and adjust the
rating.
Finally, there is no evidence that the use of guarantee lowers the yields to maturity at
3Insolation means parent companies may be prevented or restricted from accessing the resources of thesubsidiaries. For specific insulation factors, see Standard & Poor’s (2000).
7
bond issuance. For example, the Teck Resources Ltd. issued six corporate bonds in 2011 and
2012, three with guaranties (issued in 2012) and three without guaranties (issued in 2011).
The yield spreads (the difference in the yields of the corporate bond and the treasury bonds
with corresponding maturities) of guaranteed bonds are respectively 195bps, 235bps, 285bps
while those with guaranties are 150bps, 165bps, and 190bps.4
3 Hypotheses
We propose the hypotheses in the section. The first empirical question is how guaranties
affect bond ratings at issuance? As noted in Section 2, guaranteed bondholders have recourse
to the guarantors in the event of the issuers’ default. As a result, it is likely that guarantee
reduces the credit risk of the guaranteed bonds. We postulate the following hypothesis.
H1. Guarantee has an positive impact on bond rating.
Retaining investment grades is a critical condition for bond issues. There is a signifi-
cant drop in bond yields when bond ratings rise from non-investment grades to investment
grades. Institutional investors typically are subject to regulatory scrutiny when investing
in junk bonds (see, e.g, Ellul, Jotikasthira, and Lundblad, 2011). The higher possibility of
staying at investment grade or increasing from junk to investment grade, the more potential
benefit from guarantee. This reasoning leads to the following hypothesis:
H1a. The positive rating effect of guarantee is highest when firm ratings are closer to the
cutoffs of investment and noninvestment grades.
Firms with financial constraints have difficulty of accessing the capital because of their
4This does not necessarily indicate that yield spreads of guaranteed bonds are higher as in the examplehere all guaranteed bonds are issued in 2012, a period that the average yield spread is greater than that of2011.
8
low creditworthiness. These firms either cannot attract enough investors or have to pay a
high price. Credit ratings is an important factor in the requirement by several regulations
on financial institutions’ and other intermediaries’ investments in bonds. For example, regu-
lations restrict banks from investment in speculative-grade bonds since 1936 (e.g., Partnoy,
1999; West, 1973). In 1989, savings and loans were required to completely liquidate their
speculative-grade bonds by 1994 (e.g., Kisgen, 2006). Finally, pension fund guidelines often
prevent bond investments from speculative-grade bonds (e.g., Boot, Milbourn, and Schmeits,
2003).
Since the main benefit of guarantee is to increase the creditworthiness of debt to lower
the cost, firms with financial constraints can benefit from the creditworthiness increase, re-
gardless their heterogeneous characteristics. However, firm specific value like rating, size,
dividend, collateral and rating reflect the firm’s financial constraint situation and have been
widely used as the proxy for financial constraints. In general firms with financial constraints
are more motivated to use guarantee to reduce the financing cost. We therefore postulate
the following hypothesis.
H2. Firms with more financial constraints are more likely to use guarantee.
The puzzle is what drives these firms with financial constraints to use guarantee to
increase their rating and thus debt capacity? Does guarantee align with the best interest of
the parent firms? To answer these questions, we offer two possible explanations. The first
possible reason is the agency problem. If agency problem is strong, then the firm may take
negative NPV project or forfeit positive NPV project. Our paper is on debt issuance, thus
the focus is on the former type of agency problem which leads to overinvestment problem.
Tobin’s Q (the ratio of the market value of assets to the current replacement cost of those
assets) has been used in the literature (e.g. Lang and Litzenberger (1989)) as a proxy for
investment opportunities, with the notion that the managers of a firm with poor investment
opportunities (“low” Q) are likely to overinvest or waste their stockholders’ cash. Using Q as
9
a proxy for overinvestment, Lang and Litzenberger (1989) find that returns around dividend
change announcements are significantly more positive for firms with Q less than one than for
firms with Q greater than one. Investment may be the consequence of the empire-building
of parents rather than following the investment opportunities (e.g., Jensen, 1986).
Moreover, in the specific parent-subsidiary corporate structure, the agency problem may
act through another channel. Scharfstein and Stein (2000) argue that a two-tier agency
problem, stemming from misaligned incentives at parents and at divisions, is necessary for
“corporate socialism” in internal capital allocation. Kolasinski (2009) finds the main rea-
son for subsidiary to issue debt is protecting themselves from the ”corporate socialism” and
”poaching” problems in internal capital markets. On other hand, parents’ use of the sub-
sidiary guarantee may be a consequence of empire-building preference of parents rather than
following the investment opportunities (e.g., Jensen, 1986). In both cases, the agency prob-
lem of the parent spurs the use of guarantee regardless the low growth opportunities. We
therefore postulate the following hypothesis:
H3. Firms with more agency problem are more likely to use guarantee.
Another possible reason of guarantee use is the tax benefit from increased debt level.
An optimal debt structure is to max the marginal tax benefit. While firms are near their
debt capacity but do not reach their desired debt structure, they can use external resources
like subsidiary guarantee to expand the debt capacity. Therefore, when examining a firm’s
motivation of using guarantee, it is important to consider not only the firm’s ability to access
the capital, but also its preferred degree of debt capacity.
The more the marginal tax benefit from increased debt capacity, the more likely the firm
will use guarantee. This reasoning leads to the following empirical hypothesis:
10
4 Sample and Data
4.1 Sample
Our bond data comes from the Mergent Fixed Income Securities Database (FISD). FISD
provides the information of public bonds by both public and private issuers. We select
U.S. corporate bonds including US corporate debenture, US corporate MTN, asset-backed
security and other US corporate bonds. We exclude the US corporate convertible bonds and
preferred stocks. FISD shows whether the corporate bonds are issued with one of the credit
enhancements: guarantee, letter of credit (LOC) or insurance.
Our data sample period is from 1993 to 2012. In this period, there are 14876 US cor-
porate bonds issued with one of the three credit enhancements, including 14407 guarantees,
466 insurance, 3 LOC. We further identify the guarantors of the guarantees. FISD provides
the guarantor information in two ways. First, FISD directly lists most guarantors as ”Sub-
sidiaries”. Second, FISD list the parent of the issuers. If the parent id matches the guarantor
id, the bond is guaranteed by the parent of the issuer. Among 14407 guarantees, we find
7196 parent guarantors, 3702 subsidiaries guarantor besides 3509 unknown guarantors. The
paper investigates the public issuers only. We limit the data to the issuers that are listed
at the time of bond issuance by matching the CUSIP of the issuers in FISD with that in
CRSP. Also for the rest of the unknown guarantors, we manually search their SEC filings.
The guarantors information are disclosed in the 424B, S-4, 8-k, 10-Q or 10-K. From 1993
to 2012, there are 2278 guaranteed bonds issued by public firms, including 2012 bonds with
subsidiaries guarantees, 130 bonds with parents’ guarantees and 144 bonds with insurance.
For the purpose of comparison, the sample includes both bonds with guarantee and those
without guarantee. Follow the convention on bond literature, we exclude financial firms (SIC
codes 6000-6999) and regulated utility firms (SIC codes 4900-4999). From FISD, we obtain
the bond issuance information such as bond maturity, initial bond yield, bond ratings, the
indicators for callable bonds, putable bonds, and secured bonds, and so on. Then we merge
sample bonds with the Compustat by the issuer ID. We obtain firm characteristics data
11
from the Compustat including total assets, cash, operating income, tangible assets, total
debt, free cash flow, and sales.
Firm ratings come from Compusta and are the most recent S&P long term issuer ratings
before bond issuance. Bond ratings are provided by FISD. We first use S&P rating. If S&P
rating is missing, we use Moody’s rating. If both S&P and Moody’s ratings are missing, we
use Fitch’s rating. We delete firms with missing data on total assets, bond ratings and firm
ratings. After the screening, the sample includes 8321 corporate bonds issued by 2214 public
firms from 1993 to 2012. Among them, 794 bonds were offered with guarantee and 7527
bonds without guarantee. Figure 1 provides a detailed depiction of the number of bonds
with guarantee issued by publicly listed companies.
Since all the guarantees are internal arrangement either by the parents or the subsidiaries,
it is natural to examine whether the issuer has the parent or the subsidiaries. We use Capital
IQ to search the information manually. Capital IQ collects companies’ information from their
SEC filings and the information includes the parent and the subsidiaries of the companies in
its corporate tree section. Among 2214 public firms, we identify 1035 firms with subsidiaries
only, 347 firms with parents only, 424 firms with both subsidiaries and parents, 409 firms
without both subsidiaries and parents.
We first provide a distribution of guaranteed bonds in the sample in Table 1. We find
that the percentage of guaranteed bonds in the sample is about 12% in terms of both the
number of bonds and the aggregate value of bonds. We divide the sample firms into public
firms and private firms. In terms of the number of bonds, the percentage of guaranteed bonds
issued by public firms are higher than that issued by private firms (13.02% vs. 10.79%). The
percentage of aggregate value of bonds issued by public firms is on average 8.50% with the
range between 1.19% in 1994 and 20.09% in 2009. However, the average percentage of the
aggregate value of bonds issued by private firms is 15.76% with the range between 0.78% in
1993 and 41.54% in 2009. In sum, public firms have more guaranteed bonds but less bond
value than private firms.
Secondly, we plot the time-series percentage of guaranteed bonds in terms of the aggregate
12
value and the total number of issues by private and public firms together and present the plot
in Figure 2. In Panel A, the percentage of guaranteed bonds in terms of the aggregate value
increases over time and peaks in 2009. Panel B shows that the percentage of guaranteed
bonds in terms of the number of issues varies and peaks in 2009 as well. The average
percentages of guaranteed bonds are about 12% in terms of both the aggregate value and
the number of issues. This finding is consistent with that in Table 1.
Finally, we divide sample bonds into seven groups based on the issuers’ ratings. We
assign number 1 to group 1 if firms’ ratings are AAA, AA+, AA, or AA-; number 2 to group
2 if firms’ ratings are A+, A, or A-; number 3 to group 3 if firms’ ratings are BBB+, BBB,
or BBB-; number 4 to group 4 if firms’ ratings are BB+, BB, or BB-; number 5 to group 5
if firms’ ratings are B+, B, or B-; number 6 to group 6 if firms’ ratings are CCC+, CCC, or
CCC-; and number 7 if firms’ ratings are CC, C, or D. We then compute the percentage of the
aggregate value in each group for guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds respectively.
The plot is presented in Figure 3. We find that most of guaranteed bonds are issued by
firms with the ratings of BB+, BB, or BB- while most of non-guaranteed bonds are issued
by firms with the ratings of A+, A, or A-. It suggests that firms with lower ratings are more
likely to issue bonds packed with guarantee.
4.2 Data and Summary Statistics
We provide descriptive statistics of guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds as well as
their issuers’ characteristics in Table 2. The variables are computed as of the year end before
the debt offerings. The financial data is from Compustat and stock data is from CRSP.
We find a dramatic difference between guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds in
Panel A of Table 2. For instance, non-guaranteed bonds have higher firm ratings than
guaranteed bonds (17.79 vs. 16.30). In terms of the size, they are similar (8.40 vs. 8.34).
The mean (median) market-to-book of firms with guaranteed bonds is 1.53 (1.41) and this
value increases to 1.87 (1.53) for firms without guaranteed bonds. The results show that
the firms with guarantee have a lower market to book than those without guarantee. Two
13
proxies of growth opportunities, P/E and sales growth, have a different result in two samples.
the mean and median P/E of the guarantee firms are significantly lower than those of non-
guarantee firms. In contrast, sales growth for guarantee firms is significantly higher for the
guarantee firms that for the non-guarantee firms. The implication of this difference is that
P/E and sales growth may capture a different aspect of growth opportunities. Considering
this possibility, we estimate the regression for the high growth and the low growth samples
using P/E and sales growth respectively. The S&P long-term domestic debt rating for
guarantee firms is lower than that for non-guarantee firms.
As shown by Table 2, bond-issuing firms with guarantee tend to have a higher debt level,
lower ROA, lower market-to-book, lower P/E, less free cash flow, lower long-term credit
rating by S&P, higher sales growth than those without guarantee. Except free cash flow and
inventory, all the mean differences are statistically significant.
Panel B of Table 2 shows that the correlation matrix of variables used in the analysis.
Firm ratings are positively correlated with firms’ size, operation profits, bonds’ par value,
free cash flow, rating distance, and market to book ratio but negatively correlated with the
marginal tax rate, and sales growth. For instance, the correlation between firm ratings and
firm size is 0.66.
5 Empirical Results
5.1 Effect of Guarantee on Bond Ratings
In this section, we first examine the impact of guarantee on the bonds rating at issuance.
The dependent variable is bond rating at issuance. The regression specifications are specified
as follows.
Bond rating = α0 + α1Guarantee + α2Firm variable + α3Bond variable + ε (1)
where Guarantee is the indicator variable equal to one if the bond is guaranteed bond and
zero otherwise. We include a set of firm variables and bond variables as the control variables.
14
Firm variables are firm rating (FirmRat), firm size (Size), the percentage of tangible assets
in the total assets (Tangible), profit (Profit) and debt ratio (Debt) (e.g., Kovner and Wei,
2012). The bond variables include bond maturity (Mat), bond issuance amount (Par),the
dummy variable for secured bonds (Secure), the dummy variable for callable bonds (Call),
and the dummy variable for putable bonds (Put). Finally, we add the industry dummies
and control for the fixed year effect.
The regression results are reported in Table 3. In column (1), we include Guarantee only.
The coefficient on Guarantee is significantly negative, suggesting that the low rating or low
quality of Guarantee firms or negative impact of Guarantee. In column (2), we control for
the firm rating. The coefficient of guarantee dummy turns to positive and significant at 1%
level. We add firm variables in column (3) and include both firm and bond variables in last
column. We find that The coefficient of Guarantee is positive and significant at 5% level.
The result confirms a positive relation between guarantee and bond rating. On average,
guarantee increases bond rating by 0.110. The coefficients of firm ratings, firm size, profit,
par value, and the dummy for secured bonds are all significantly positive. The coefficient of
debt ratio and the dummy for putable bonds is significantly negative. Overall, the finding
shows a positive impact of guarantee on bond ratings and therefore provide strong support
to our hypothesis H1.
We next examine whether the impact of guarantee on bond rating is conditional on the
firm rating.To answer this question, we perform the regressions of the guaranty and firm
ratings on the change in bond ratings relative to firm ratings. The dependant variable is
the bond rating at issuance. Then we identify the firm ratings in which there are both
guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds. The firm ratings meeting the criteria are
AAA, BBB+, BBB, BBB-, BB+, BB, BB-, B+, B, B-, CCC+, CCC and CC. We interact
the guarantee dummy with the firm rating dummies respectively. We also control for the
firm rating, other firm variables and bond variables as in the regressions in Table 3. The
regression specifications are specified as follows.
15
Bond rating = α0 + α1guarantee*Firm Rating + α2Firm variable + α3Bond variable + ε (2)
The dependent variable is bond rating at issuance. guarantee*Firm Rating is one when
the bond is guaranteed and the firm rating is the specified rating. Other independent vari-
ables are the same as defined in the regression of bond rating in Table 3. The result is
reported in Table 4. The coefficient of firm rating is positive and confirms the positive
impact of firm rating on bond rating.When the firm rating is close to the default rating,
the coefficient on guarantee*CCC is 2.708 and the coefficient on guarantee*CC is 5.221 and
significant at 1% level. The coefficient of guarantee*BBB is 0.273. When the firm rating is
close to the investment and non-investment grade cut-off, the coefficient of guarantee*BBB-
is 0.305 and the coefficient of guarantee*BB+ is 0.498. They are all significant at 1% level.
While the firm rating is AAA, the coefficient of guarantee*AAA is -0.508 and significant.
The coefficients for the interaction of Guarantee with other firm rating are not significant.
In sum, the positive impact of guarantee concentrates on the firms with ratings either
close to default or the split of investment and non-investment grade, with the largest positive
impact when firm ratings are close to default. There are not positive influence of guarantee
on bond ratings at other firm ratings. The result provide evidence that impact of guarantee
on bond rating is conditional on the firm rating and support hypothesis H1b.
5.2 Effect of Guarantee on Bond Yield at Issuance
In this section, we examine the impact of guarantee on the bonds at issuance. The dependent
variable is bond offering yield spread which is the difference in the yields of the corporate
bond and the treasury bonds with corresponding maturities.The regression specifications are
specified as follows.
Yield Spread = α0 + α1guarantee + α2Firm variable + α3Bond variable + ε (3)
The independent variables are the same as defined in the regression of bond rating in
Table 3. The results are presented in Table 5. In Column (1), we add the dummy variable
16
Guarantee first. The coefficient is not significant. Then we add more firm rating, other
firm variables and bond variables into column (2) to (4) and find the coefficient of dummy
variable Guarantee is not significant in all specifications. Contract to the result of rating
regressions, we find that guarantee doesn’t have any significant impact on yield in general.
To further explore this issue, we perform the regression conditioned on each firm rating
level. Specifically, we add the key dummy variable as in the rating regression to indicate
the interaction between a guarantee dummy and the issuer’s rating dummy. Similar to the
regression of bond rating, the firm ratings AAA, BBB+, BBB, BBB-, BB+, BB, BB-, B+,
B, B-, CCC+, CCC and CC are selected because there are both guaranteed bonds and
non-guarantee bonds at these firm ratings. The regression specifications are specified as
follows.
Yield Spread = α0 + α1guarantee*Firm rating + α2Firm variable + α3Bond variable + ε (4)
The dependent variable is bond yield spread at issuance. guarantee*Firm rating is one
when the bond is guaranteed and the firm rating is the specified rating. Other independent
variables are the same as defined in the regression of bond rating in Table 3.
The result is reported in Table 6. The coefficient of guarantee*BBB- is -0.497 and suf-
ficient at 1% level. The result shows guarantee lowers the yield spread significantly when
the firm rating is at BBB-. While firm rating is at CC, B+, BB, or AAA, the coefficients
are positive and significant and thus the guaranty increases the yield spread significantly
instead at these firm ratings. For firms at most of the ratings, we do not detect a significant
yield spread difference between two types of bonds. The result reveals the fact that investors
interprets the information of guarantee on bonds conditioned on issuer’s ratings. Specifically,
investors, or more precisely underwriters, do not take the guarantee as positive signal of the
bond’s credit prospect in general.
17
5.3 The Determinants of the Use of Guarantees
5.3.1 Bond-level Analysis
In this section, we examine the determinants of the use of the guarantee. The special
arrangement of subsidiary guarantee requires a firm to have subsidiaries to obtain guarantee.
As presented in Panel A of Table 2, guarantee firms have the largest number of domestic
subsidiaries (39) at rating range (’BBB+’,’BBB’,’BBB-’) while non-guarantee firms have the
largest number of domestic subsidiaries (31) at rating range (’B+’,’B’,’B-’). On average,
guaranteed bonds have 45 domestic subsidiaries and non-guarantee firms have 26 domestic
subsidiaries. The difference is not significant. The appearing question is why non-guarantee
firms do not use subsidiary guarantee while they could, given the increase of bond rating
from guarantee?
To answer this question, we perform logistic regressions to examine the determinants of
firms that consider guaranteed bonds or non-guaranteed bonds (Y). For each bond, firms
either consider guarantee (Y=1) or don’t consider guarantee (Y=0). We consider a set of
factors in a vector x to explain the decision. We model the probability that a firm uses
guarantee as a probit function:
Pr(Y ∗) = Φ(β′X) (5)
where Y* is not observable while we can observe y, Φ(.) denotes the standard normal distri-
bution, X is a set of variables explaining bond issuers’ propensity to use guarantee (discussed
below). The set of parameters β′ reflects the impact of changes in on the probability.
In the setting of probit, we have:
Y =
1, if Y ∗ > 0;
0, if Y ∗ <= 0.(6)
X includes Guarantee dummy and two group of variables: financial constraints and agency
problem. Guarantee is the dummy variable if the bond is packed with guarantee and zero
otherwise.
18
The independent variables are in two groups. The first group of variables proxy for
financial constraint consists of firm ratings FirmRat, firm size Size, cash ratio Cash, tangible
assets Tangible and debt ratio Debt. The second group of variables proxy for agency problem
contains High FCF*Low MB, High FCF*Low SG and High FCF*Low PE. We control for
Moody’s yield spread for corporate bonds, bond maturity, bond issuance amount at issuance,
the dummies for callable bonds, putable bonds, and secured bonds.
The key measure for financial constraints is the credit quality. In this study, credit
quality is measured by firm rating. A firm’s rating is its Standard & Poor’s long-term
issuer rating as recorded in Compustat and reflects a firm’s absolute creditworthiness. We
expect the higher the firm’s rating, the more likely the firm uses guarantee. Therefore, both
coefficients are expected to have positive signs. In addition, we control for the collateral of
the firm. Bernanke and Campbell (1988) advocate that cash and PPE variables can be used
to measure a firm’s collateral for external capital. The profitability is also a typical proxy
for debt capacity in the corporate finance literature. We expect collateral to decrease the
use of guarantee. Specifically, we expect a negative sign of their coefficients.
Size is also a standard measure of financial constraints (e.g., Gilchrist and Himmelberg,
1995; Erickson and Whited,2000; Almeida and Campello, 2007; Li and Zhan, 2010). Small
firms have more information asymmetry than larger firms and lack collateral to back up
their borrowing. Consequently, small firms have limit access to debt market and have more
financial constraints (Whited, 1992). Therefore smaller size firms are more likely to use guar-
antee. However, smaller size firms are less likely to have strong subsidiaries as guarantors.
The sign of the coefficient can be either positive or negative. The net effect is a empirical
test question. Tangible is proxy for collateral.
The agency problem is measured by the indicator of a combination of high free cash flow
and low growth opportunities. In the agency literature, it has been well established that the
higher free cash and lower growth opportunities increase the agency problem (Jenson, 1986;
Opler and Titman, 1993). Following Kolasinski (2009) and Custodio, Ferreira and Laureano
(2013), we use market-to-book ratio as a measure for growth opportunities. Alternative,
19
McConnell and Servaes (1995) use sales growth and P/E ratio as the measures for growth
opportunities.
We divide the sample into high and low free cash flow groups and growth opportunities
group respectively. For the firms in the high free cash flow and low growth opportunities
group, we define it as the firms more likely to have agency problem. As stated in previous
section, agency problem may play an important role in the decision of guarantee use. It
seems reasonable to assume the sign of the coefficients of number of subsidiaries and agency
problems proxies is positive. All data are in the fiscal year before the debt issuance.
We use a set of control variables. Par value (Par) is the total offering amount in $
millions. Time to maturity (Mat) is the maturity of each bond in years. Secured dummy
(Secure) is equal to one if the bond is secured. Call dummy (Call) and Put dummy (Put)
are dummy variables equal to one if the bond has a call or put provision. Moody’s yield
spread for corporate bond is used to control for the timing of bond issuance by a firm. We
use the average monthly yield of Moody’s AAA and Baa bonds.The lower the yield of bonds
in the market, the more likely the firms use guarantee to increase their debt capacity. We
expect a negative sigh for the yield variable.
To control for time-varying macroeconomic factors and industry specific factors, we also
include the fixed year effect and fixed industry effect. To overcome the potential bias in
standard errors from the correlation between firms, we follow Kolasinski’s (2009) approach
in his research of determinants of subsidiary debt. Specifically, Robust standard errors are
clustered at the firm and year level.
The results are reported in Table 7. In column (1), we include the major financial
constraint proxy firm rating and market yield spread. The coefficient of FirmRat is -0.011
and significant at 1% level. As a major measure of financial constraint, the result shows
that firms with more financial constraints are more likely to use guarantee. In column
(2) , we include other financial constraints variables Size, Cash, Tangible and Debt and
bonds variables. The coefficient of Size) is positive and significant. The finding reveals that
the larger firms are more likely use guarantee. The coefficients of (Cash and Tangible are
20
negative and Debt is positive and they are all statistically significant. Overall, the results of
the financial constraint variables confirm that an increase of financial constraint is associated
with an higher possibility of using guarantee. The results support hypothesis H1.
In column (3), we include both firm rating, other financial constraints variables and bond
variables. The result is consistent with the results in column (1) and column (2).
In column (4) - column (6), we add three agency problem proxy variables HighCF*LowMB,
HighCF*LowSG, HighCF*LowPE respectively. The coefficient of High FCF*Low MB is
0.036 and significant at 5% level. When we use the alternative proxy for growth opportu-
nities, the coefficients for High FCF*Low SG is 0.039 and High FCF*Low PE is 0.045 and
significant at 1% level. The results indicate that the more agency problem a firm has, the
more likely it uses guarantee. Our finding supports hypothesis H3.
5.3.2 Multinomial Logistic Regressions on guarantee Uses: Firm-level Analysis
For firms using credit enhancements, there are actual two options. One is to issue a mix
of guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds and another one is to issue guaranteed
bonds only. In this section, we investigate the determinants of the firms’ choice between
issuing guaranteed bonds only and issuing a mix of guaranteed and non-guaranteed bonds.
The probability that uses the issuance strategy is estimated using a multinomial logistic
regression model. The multinomial logistic model extended to include fixed effects can be
written as follows:
Log(P (Ym = 1, 2)
P (Yi = 0)) = αm +
K∑k=1
βmkXik + ε (7)
The three categories of the dependent variable Y are:
0: if the firm issues non-guaranteed bonds only in year k.
1: if the firm issues both non-guaranteed bonds and guaranteed bonds in year k.
2: if the firm issues guaranteed bonds only in year k.
21
In this multinomial logistic regression model, the baseline group is Yi = 0. X is a vector
of independent variables that includes: subsidiary number, market yield of corporate bonds,
firm rating, size, cash, tangible, debt, marginal and the indicator of agency problem High
FCF*low MB. The result is reported in Table 8.
The second column is the regression results for Yi = 1 in which the dependant variable is
the ratio of using mixed strategy to issuing non-guaranteed bonds only and the third column
is the regression results for Yi = 2 in which the dependant variable is the ratio of using pure
strategy to issuing non-guaranteed bonds only.
The coefficients of the firm rating are -0.321 in the mixed strategy group while -0.163
in the pure strategy group. In other words, holding other variables at a fixed value, with a
one-unit decrease in the firm rating, the log odds of using the mixed strategy (j = 1) over
using non-guaranteed bonds (j = 0) increase 0.321, while the log odds of using the pure
strategy (j = 2) over using non-guaranteed bonds (j = 0) is 0.163.
The coefficients of the High FCF*low MB variable in the mixed strategy group and in
the pure strategy group are not significant.
The coefficients of the cash variable are -4.234 in the mixed strategy group and -2.992
in the pure strategy group. The coefficients of the tangible variable are -1.049 in the mixed
strategy group and -0.699 in the pure strategy group. All these coefficients are significant at
1% level. The coefficient of Size is 0.567 in the mixed strategy group and 0.138 in the pure
strategy group and both are significant at 1%level.
In sum, the lower firm rating, less cash, less tangible, larger size increase the odds of
using mixed strategy more than that of using pure strategy.
5.4 Subsample Analysis
The analysis confirms that agency problem has a positive influence on the use of guaranties.
Because the corporate governance is negatively associated with the agency problem, a rea-
sonable expectation is that the influence of agency problem on the use of guarantee will be
22
affected by the corporate governance 5. In the this section, we examine the conjecture.
5.4.1 Effect of Managerial Voting Power
Chang and Mayers (1992) examine employee stock ownership plan announcements and find
the evidence of more agency problem from increased managerial voting power. Masulis,
Wang and Xie (2009) use a example of U.S. dual-class companies to examine how divergence
between managerial voting and cash flow rights affects managers’ private benefit. Their
empirical results support that the managers with more voting power are more prone to
purse private benefit. We therefore postulate that firms with more managerial voting power
are more likely to use guaranties.
We examine the impact of the managerial voting power on the use of guaranties. We
use the percentage of the voting shares owned by the managers to proxy the managerial
voting power. The subsample is an intersection of the whole sample and the data with
available percentage of the voting shares from RiskMetrics. There are 5,247 observations in
the subsample.The sample is then divided into 3 groups based on the managerial percent
control of voting power. We assign bonds issuance in the largest percentage group to high
managerial voting power subsample and bonds issuance in the smallest percentage group to
the low managerial voting power subsample.
The logistic regression runs in the subsample with available managerial voting power
data. The dependent variable is the dummy variable for guarantee use. The independent
variables are a dummy variable HighMgtVote which equals to one if the firm is in the high
managerial voting power subsample and zero otherwise. Other independent variables include
financial constraints variables FirmRate, Size, Cash, Tangible and Debt and bond variables
Mat, Par, Secure, Call and Put. The results are reported in the Table 9.
In the first column, we include dummy variable HighMgtVote and financial constraints
variables FirmRate, Size, Cash, Tangible. The coefficient of HighMgtVote is positive and
5The widely used Gindex for corporate governance is available from 1990 to 2006. Our sample is from
1993 to 2012. The subsample with GIndex loses two thirds of the observations. Therefore we do not use
GIndex in this analysis.
23
significant at 1% level. In the second column, we include dummy variable HighMgtVote
and bond variables Mat, pat, Secure, Call and Put. The coefficients of HighMgtVote is still
positive and significant at 1% level. In the third column, we include dummy variable High-
MgtVote , financial constraints variables and bond variables. The coefficients of HighMgtVote
is 0.059 and significant at 1% level. The result shows that in the firms with weaker corpo-
rate governance have higher chance to use guarantee. Since weaker corporate governance is
associated with more agency problem, the finding substantiates hypothesis 3.
6 Conclusions
Recently a significant portion of newly issued corporate bonds in the U.S. have embedded
guaranties. For instance, such bonds account for nearly 40 percent of new issues in 2009 in
terms of issuance amount. Yet, there is very little research on this important development in
the corporate bond market over the past decade or so.This study investigates the widespread
phenomenon of using subsidiaries/parents guarantee as credit enhancements for public firms
from 1993 to 2012.
We find that the majority of the guarantee for public firms are subsidiary/parent guar-
antee. We show that the impact of guarantee concentrates on bond rating increase. On
average, guarantee increases the bond rating by 10%. Further, this positive impact of guar-
anties on bond rating concentrates on firms with BB or BBB ratings. Besides, the yield
spread at issuance is lowered by guarantee only when issuer has BBB- rating. We further
exploit the determinants of guarantee use. We also find that firms using guarantee tend
to be more financial constrained, subject to more severe agency problem, and have lower
firm ratings and higher default probabilities, relative to firms issuing regular bonds (without
guaranties). Robust analysis reveals a stronger tendency of the use of guarantee in firms
with weak corporate governance.
We also examine the determinants of firms’ choice between issuing a mix of guarantee and
non-guarantee bonds and issuing guarantee bonds only. The result shows that the lower firm
24
rating, higher agency problem, less cash, less tangible, larger size and less debt increase the
odds of issuing a mix of non-guarantee and guarantee bonds than that of issuing guarantee
bonds only.
Our findings suggest that the use of guarantee may not be in the best interest of firms
and their subsidiaries/parents since it does not align with the firm growth opportunities.
Instead, bundling the resources of the subsidiaries/parents as collateral for issuers’ debt
leaves a room for “corporate socialism” and “poaching” problems in a parent-subsidiary
corporate structure. Our findings call for the need to examine the valuation effect of the use
of guarantee on corporate bonds.
25
Appendix A: Main Variables Used in the Analysis
In this appendix we describe in detail the definitions of variables used in our empirical analysis. We winsorizethe top and bottom 1 percentile observations for the variables.
Variable Definition
guarantee It is an indicator variable for a bond equal to one if the bond is issued with creditenhancement and zero otherwise
FirmRat It is the most recent S&P long term issuer rating before issuance for a firmMktYld It is the market yield from the Moody’s corporate bond yield in the month before issuanceSize It is the logarithm of total assetsCash It is the ratio of the sum of cash, short-term investments and receivables to total assetsTangible It is the ratio of the property, plant and equipment to total assetsProfit It is the ratio of the operating income before depreciation to total assetsPar It is the logarithm of total offering amount in millions dollarsMat It is the logarithm of the bond maturity in yearsSecure It is an indicator for a bond equal to one if the bond is secured and zero otherwiseCall It is an indicator for a bond equal to one if the bond has a call provisionPut It is an indicator for a bond equal to one if the bond has a put provisionDebt It is the ratio of total debt to total assetsTax It is the marginal tax rateIyld It is the yield to maturity for a bond at the time of issuanceExpense It is the difference between the price that the issuer received for its securities and the price
investors paid for themFCF It is the free cash flow computed as the EBITDA minus the sum of XINT, TXT, DVC,
and DVP and then divided by total assetMB It is the ratio of market value to book value computed as the total assets minus total
equity plus market capitalization and then divided by total assetsSG It is the sales growth rate computed as the year end sales minus the sales in prior year
divided by the sales in prior yearPE It is the ratio of market value to operating income before depreciation
26
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Table 1: Statistics for Corporate Bonds with guarantee
This table reports the numbers and aggregate value of corporate bonds and such bonds with guaranteeincluded in the Fixed Income Securities Database (FISD) for each year from 1993 to 2012. Summarystatistics are reported separately for private and public firms. Also shown are the portion of credit enhancedbonds in the sample and the percentage of aggregate value of such bonds for both private and public firms.In the last row, the number of unique corporate bonds and the average of aggregate value of corporate bondsare reported.
Number of bonds Aggregate value of bonds (in Million $)
Public firms Private firms Public firms Private firms
Year Total CE CE/Total Total CE CE/Total Total CE CE/Total Total CE CE/Total(%) (%) (%) (%)
1993 824 76 9.22 2,429 145 5.97 126.68 2.87 2.26 172.53 1.35 0.781994 302 8 2.65 2,486 63 2.53 50.32 0.60 1.19 115.82 1.68 1.451995 487 19 3.90 3,909 84 2.15 75.14 1.36 1.80 175.11 2.89 1.651996 563 27 4.80 2,546 57 2.24 109.98 6.71 6.10 175.53 8.70 4.961997 705 34 4.82 2,998 167 5.57 141.51 4.85 3.43 253.43 33.53 13.231998 873 48 5.50 3,280 241 7.35 214.33 9.97 4.65 409.79 50.40 12.301999 583 34 5.83 3,470 201 5.79 201.93 8.41 4.16 489.86 56.21 11.482000 499 29 5.81 3,040 160 5.26 225.08 8.71 3.87 599.57 92.91 15.502001 756 40 5.29 3,293 265 8.05 343.08 16.59 4.83 646.14 66.95 10.362002 608 35 5.76 3,704 377 10.18 229.92 15.70 6.83 530.12 48.20 9.092003 911 45 4.94 5,596 356 6.36 301.59 16.55 5.49 617.64 57.06 9.242004 701 43 6.13 6,254 549 8.78 232.93 10.84 4.65 670.33 51.94 7.752005 586 31 5.29 6,204 865 13.94 227.90 10.66 4.68 663.48 59.34 8.942006 701 61 8.70 6,900 1,076 15.59 323.63 32.43 10.02 1,119.37 96.14 8.592007 1,092 60 5.49 9,322 1,429 15.33 401.82 27.34 6.80 1,018.56 92.22 9.052008 635 48 7.56 8,614 1,290 14.98 283.82 35.68 12.57 852.67 187.06 21.942009 689 112 16.26 5,698 981 17.22 361.33 72.58 20.09 1,211.30 503.20 41.542010 691 98 14.18 8,594 761 8.86 369.23 49.44 13.39 708.93 156.67 22.102011 629 60 9.54 9,736 627 6.44 364.06 35.29 9.69 689.11 150.93 21.902012 837 105 12.54 11,289 519 4.60 447.30 61.13 13.67 858.69 170.15 19.82Unique 17,372 2,261 116,582 12,576Avg 13.02 10.79 251.58 21.38 8.50 598.90 94.38 15.76
30
Table 2: Cross-sectional Distributions of Variables
Panel A of the table reports the cross-sectional mean, median, and standard deviation of the main variablesused in the analysis for guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds respectively. They include the numberof subsidiaries of a firm (NSub), firm rating (FirmRat), market yield (MktYld), the logarithm of total assets(Size), cash ratio, the ratio of PPE to total assets (Tangible), profit, the logarithm of par value (Par), thelogarithm of bond maturity (Mat), firm leverage (Debt), marginal tax rate (Tax), number of firms’ sub-sidiaries (NSub), free cash flow (FCF), market to book ratio (MB), sales growth rate (SG), and PE ratio(PE). More detailed explanations on the variables are provided in the Appendix A. We obtain each statisticeach year, then take the average over time. Panel B reports the correlations among variables. We computethe correlations in each year and then take the average over time. The sample period is from 1993 to 2012.
Panel A: Statistics
Credit-enhanced bonds Non-credit-enhanced bonds
Mean Median Std Dev Mean Median Std Dev
NSub 45 22 59 26 7 48FirmRat 16.30 16.03 2.36 17.79 17.98 3.52Size 8.40 8.38 1.49 8.34 8.37 1.60MktYld 6.64 6.65 0.26 6.67 6.69 0.29Cash 0.16 0.13 0.10 0.22 0.19 0.15Tangible 0.55 0.48 0.40 0.63 0.56 0.39Profit 0.13 0.13 0.07 0.14 0.14 0.09Par 5.67 5.60 0.68 5.64 5.61 0.73Mat 2.37 2.33 0.53 2.27 2.24 0.63Debt 0.40 0.40 0.16 0.33 0.30 0.20Tax 0.18 0.21 0.15 0.21 0.29 0.15FCF 0.10 0.08 0.14 0.06 0.09 0.32MB 1.53 1.41 0.60 1.87 1.53 1.06SG -0.78 -0.88 0.31 -0.81 -0.90 0.37PE 8.13 6.86 5.04 9.07 6.85 8.68
Panel B: Correlation
FirmRat Size MktYld Cash Tangible Profit Par Mat Debt Tax NSub FCF MB SG
Size 0.66MktYld 0.01 0.06Cash 0.05 -0.22 -0.05Tangible -0.03 0.04 0.02 -0.43Profit 0.41 0.19 -0.02 -0.12 0.22Par 0.30 0.60 0.05 -0.09 -0.04 0.14Mat 0.10 0.11 -0.03 -0.03 0.07 0.08 0.08Debt -0.02 0.10 0.02 -0.11 -0.09 -0.05 0.09 0.02Tax -0.43 -0.15 0.02 -0.21 0.09 -0.18 -0.08 -0.06 0.07NSub 0.35 0.23 0.03 -0.04 0.02 0.33 0.11 0.07 0.02 -0.24FCF 0.18 0.20 0.00 -0.25 0.21 0.59 0.11 0.09 0.04 -0.17 0.20MB 0.30 -0.13 -0.05 0.29 -0.15 0.20 0.07 -0.03 -0.08 -0.10 0.01 -0.13SG -0.21 -0.18 -0.02 0.05 -0.10 -0.12 -0.03 -0.04 0.05 0.04 -0.09 -0.11 0.12PE 0.06 -0.12 -0.05 0.18 -0.21 -0.20 0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.22 -0.09 -0.09 0.45 0.19
31
Table 3: Effect of Credit Enhancements on Bond Rating
This table reports the results of the impact of credit enhancements on bond ratings. The dependent variableis bond rating. The independent variables include guarantee, firm characteristics (FirmRat, Size, Tangible,Profit, Debt), and bond characteristics (Par, Mat, and three dummies for callable bonds (Call), putablebonds (Put), and secured bonds (Secure)). All data are in the fiscal year before the debt issuance. Thedefinitions of these variables are provided in the Appendix A. We consider industry dummies and fixed-yeareffect in the regressions. Robust standard errors are clustered at the industry and year level. t-statistics arepresented in parentheses. ***, **, and * represents the significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level, respec-tively. The sample period is from 1993 to 2012.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Intercept 18.05*** -1.23*** -1.68*** -1.53***(109.04) (-8.26) (-12.05) (-8.30)
Guarantee -1.732*** 0.146*** 0.109** 0.110**(8.98) (2.90) (2.17) (2.29)
Firm VariablesFirmRat 1.065*** 1.001*** 1.009***
(122.95) (60.94) (61.05)Size 0.164*** 0.189***
(7.14) (6.94)Tangible 0.050 0.029
(1.08) (0.62)Profit 0.718** 0.770***
(2.44) (2.68)Debt -0.351*** -0.414***
(-3.22) (-3.92)Bond VariablesPar 0.086**
(-2.57)Mat 0.025
(1.47)Secure 1.099***
(6.96)Call -0.035
(-1.10)Put -0.108
(-1.57)Industry dummies Yes Yes Yes YesFixed year effect Yes Yes Yes YesN 6477 6477 6366 6366R2 0.049 0.935 0.938 0.939
32
Table 4: Effect of Credit Enhancements on Bond Rating: Further Tests Conditioned onIssuer Rating
This table reports the results of the impact of credit enhancements and issuer rating on bond ratings. Thedependent variable is bond rating. The independent variables include thirteen interactive dummies variablesguarantee*firm rating. Guaranteed bonds exist when firm rating is AAA, BBB+, BBB, BBB-, BB+, BB,BB-, B+, B, B-, CCC+, CCC and CC. For each of these firm rating, guarantee*firm rating equals to one ifthe firm has this rating and the bond is guaranteed bond and zero otherwise. The control variables are firmand bond characteristics are as defined in Table 3. We consider industry dummies and fixed-year effect inthe regressions. Robust standard errors are clustered at the industry and year level.t-statistics are presentedin parentheses. ***, **, and * represents the significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level, respectively. Thesample period is from 1993 to 2012.
33
(1) (2) (3)
Intercept -1.502*** -1.858*** -1.692***(-4.34) (-5.17) (-4.68)
FirmRat 1.068*** 1.010*** 1.015***(120.93) (61.77) (60.52)
Guarantee*AAA -1.180** -0.639*** -0.580***(-2.19) (-4.76) (-4.83)
Guarantee*BBB+ 0.267*** 0.107 0.110(2.68) (1.07) (1.10)
Guarantee*BBB 0.304*** 0.260*** 0.273***(3.94) (3.30) (3.41)
Guarantee*BBB- 0.326*** 0.284*** 0.305***(5.22) (4.64) (4.80)
Guarantee*BB+ 0.549*** 0.520*** 0.498***(4.68) (4.44) (5.43)
Guarantee*BB -0.140 -0.173 -0.155(-0.98) (-1.21) (-1.09)
Guarantee*BB- -0.464*** -0.474*** -0.418***(-4.41) (-4.57) (-4.05)
Guarantee*B+ -0.348** -0.282 -0.267(-2.05) (-1.54) (-1.46)
Guarantee*B 0.222 0.202 0.184(0.93) (0.79) (0.71)
Guarantee*B- 0.432 0.208 0.019(1.42) (0.63) (0.07)
Guarantee*CCC+ 1.108 0.859 0.626(1.60) (1.33) (1.23)
Guarantee*CCC 3.952*** 3.484*** 2.708***(36.37) (21.12) (14.20)
Guarantee*CC 6.387*** 6.017*** 5.221***(3.88) (3.67) (3.23)
Firm VariablesSize 0.149*** 0.178**
(6.53) (6.51)Tangible 0.052 0.035
(1.10) (0.75)Profit 0.542* 0.614**
(1.90) (2.19)Debt -0.306*** -0.365***
(-2.87) (-3.53)Bond VariablesPar
Mat
Secure
Call
Put
Industry dummies Yes Yes YesFixed year effect Yes Yes YesN 6477 6366 6366R2 0.9375 0.939 0.9413
34
Table 5: Effect of Credit Enhancements on Bond Offering Yield Spread
This table reports the results of the impact of credit enhancements on bond offering yield spread. The de-pendent variable is bond offering yield spread which is the difference in the yields of the corporate bond andthe treasury bonds with corresponding maturities. The control variables are firm and bond characteristics asdefined in Table 3. All data are in the fiscal year before the debt issuance. The definitions of these variablesare provided in the Appendix A. We consider industry dummies and fixed-year effect in the regressions.Robust standard errors are clustered at the industry and year level. t-statistics are presented in parentheses.***, **, and * represents the significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level, respectively. The sample period isfrom 1993 to 2012.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Intercept 5.251*** -11.334*** 10.589*** 8.307***(44.40) (63.74) (37.54) (26.80)
guarantee 0.508*** 0.017 0.102 0.081(4.59) (0.19) (1.13) (1.03)
Firm VariablesFirmRat -0.367*** -0.305*** -0.291***
(-38.49) (-19.98) (-21.30)Size -0.095*** -0.137***
(-3.48) (-4.95)Tangible 0.369*** 0.213***
(5.36) (3.40)Profit -0.732 0.739
(-1.44) (-1.61)Debt 0.899*** 0.716***
(4.35) (3.92)Bond VariablesPar 0.091**
(2.28)Mat 0.730***
(22.43)Secure 1.913***
(10.51)Call 0.542***
(8.12)Put -3.844***
(-27.34)Industry dummies Yes Yes Yes YesFixed year effect Yes Yes Yes YesN 6235 6235 6117 6117R2 0.237 0.4481 0.4560 0.5812
35
Table 6: Effect of Credit Enhancements on Offering Yield Spread: Further Tests Conditionedon Issuer Rating
This table reports the results of the impact of credit enhancements and issuer rating on bond offering yieldspread. The dependent variable is bond offering yield spread which is the difference in the yields of thecorporate bond and the treasury bonds with corresponding maturities. The independent variables includethirteen interactive dummies variables guarantee*firm rating as defined in table 4. The control variablesare firm and bond characteristics similar to those in Table 3. We consider industry dummies and fixed-yeareffect in the regressions. Robust standard errors are clustered at the industry and year level.t-statistics arepresented in parentheses. ***, **, and * represents the significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level, respec-tively. The sample period is from 1993 to 2012.
36
(1) (2) (3)
Intercept 11.86*** 11.251*** 8.86***(23.69) (19.04) (16.98)
FirmRat -0.362*** -0.299*** -0.286***(-36.65) (-19.53) (-20.88)
Guarantee*AAA 1.243*** 1.271*** 1.143**(7.30) (9.71) (5.24)
Guarantee*BBB+ 0.042 0.291 0.081(0.17) (1.09) (0.30)
Guarantee*BBB -0.053 0.058 -0.071(-0.28) (0.28) (-0.38)
Guarantee*BBB- -0.557*** -0.505*** -0.494***(-3.41) (-3.01) (-3.47)
Guarantee*BB+ -0.121 -0.013 -0.100(-0.71) (-0.07) (-0.56)
Guarantee*BB 0.253 0.294 0.445**(0.96) (1.14) (2.08)
Guarantee*BB- 0.161 0.239 0.327(0.65) (0.94) (1.50)
Guarantee*B+ 0.722** 0.748** 0.825***(2.01) (2.25) (2.67)
Guarantee*B 0.211 0.061 0.477(0.34) (0.10) (0.90)
Guarantee*B- 0.095 0.083 0.235(0.15) (0.14) (0.68)
Guarantee*CCC+ 1.356 1.510* 1.320(1.57) (1.70) (1.30)
Guarantee*CCC 2.100*** 2.325*** 0.872(3.26) (3.40) (1.22)
Guarantee*CC 2.884*** 3.363*** 1.807***(18.46) (19.65) (8.02)
Firm VariablesSize -0.100*** -0.136***
(-3.63) (-4.88)Tangible 0.361*** 0.197***
(5.23) (3.15)Profit -0.767 -0.705
(-1.57) (-1.54)Debt 0.902*** 0.696***
(4.36) (3.81)Bond VariablesPar 0.091**
(2.28)Mat 0.722***
(22.63)Secure 1.855***
(9.93)Call 0.551***
(8.30)Put -3.853***
(-27.32)Industry dummies Yes Yes YesFixed year effect Yes Yes YesN 6235 6117 6117R2 0.4512 0.4594 0.5840
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Table 7: Determinants of Debt Credit Enhancements: Bond-Level Logistic Regressions
This table shows the results of two-way cluster regressions using the sample bonds issued by public firmswith subsidiaries. The dependent variable is guarantee for bonds, an indicator variable equal to one if it isissued with guarantee and zero otherwise. The basic independent variables include NSub, MktYld, Mat, andFirmRat. In addition, we include the financial constraints variables (Size, Cash, Tangible) and tax benefitvariables (Debt, Tax) in columns (1) and (2) and then add add the different measures of agency problem(HighCF*LowMB, HighCF*LowSG, HighCF*LowPE) in columns (3)-(5) respectively. We divide the firmsinto high free cash flow and low free cash flow groups based on FCF. We also divide the firms into high growthopportunities and low opportunities groups based on MB, SG and PE respectively. A firm is classified as lowif it is below the median and as high if it is above the median of a given firm characteristic. HighCF*LowMB(HighCF*LowSG, HighCF*LowPE) is a dummy variable for a firm equal to one if the firm is in the highFCF group and low MB (SG, PE) group and zero otherwise. All specifications include industry fixed effectand year fixed effect. We also control for offering value, secured, callable and putable of the bonds. Robuststandard errors are clustered at the firm and year level. t-statistics are presented in parentheses. ***, **,and * mean significant at the 1%, 5%, and 10% level, respectively.
38
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Intercept 0.384*** 0.219** 0.324*** 0.307 0.035*** 0.313(4.60) (2.21) (3.35) (3.14) (3.68) (3.23)
MktYld 0.014 0.016 0.018 0.018 0.016 0.019(0.89) (1.03) (1.17) (1.23) (1.05) (1.24)
FirmRat -0.011*** -0.017*** -0.017*** -0.019*** -0.017***(-7.16) (-6.94) (-7.02) (-7.43) (-7.05)
Firm VariablesSize -0.008* 0.015*** 0.016*** 0.016*** 0.015***
(-1.75) (2.57) (2.73) (2.87) (2.61)Cash -0.299*** -0.281*** -0.281*** -0.290*** -0.288***
(-6.64) (-6.34) (-6.38) (-6.58) (-6.52)Tangible -0.096*** -0.091*** -0.097*** -0.100*** -0.106***
(-4.99) (-4.81) (-5.18) (-5.25) (-5.42)Debt 0.100*** -0.002 0.006 -0.001 0.005
(3.58) (-0.08) (0.20) (-0.002) (0.15)Bond VariablesMat 0.032*** 0.036*** 0.036*** 0.037*** 0.036***
(5.25) (5.58) (5.86) (5.98) (5.89)Par 0.013 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.009
(1.50) (1.08) (1.09) (0.93) (1.15)Secure 0.042 0.008 0.009 0.007 0.011
(1.23) (0.24) (0.29) (0.23) (0.33)Call -0.011 -0.016 -0.015 -0.017 -0.017
(-0.097) (-1.35) (-1.50) (-1.45) (-1.39)Put -0.022 -0.025 -0.025 -0.026 -0.022
(-1.22) (-1.39) (-1.36) (-1.42) (-1.23)Agency Problem VariablesHigh FCF/Low MB 0.036**
(2.26)High FCF/Low SG 0.039***
(2.84)High FCF/Low PE 0.045***
(3.07)Fixed Firm Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesFixed YearEffect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes# of Observation 5961 5854 5854 5854 5854 5854Pseudo R2 0.069 0.079 0.094 0.097 0.097 0.098
39
Table 8: Multinomial Logistic Regression Results for the Determinants of Debt CreditEnhancements
The probability that uses guarantee for bonds is estimated using a multinomial logistic regression model.The independent variable is j where j equals 0 when the firm issues non-guaranteed bonds in a year, 1 whenthe firm issues both guaranteed and non-guaranteed bonds in a year, 2 when the firm issues only guaranteedbonds in a year. All data are in the fiscal year before the debt issuance. The baseline group for j is j=0. Allspecifications include industry fixed effect and year fixed effect. Robust standard errors are clustered at thefirm and year level. t-statistics are presented in parentheses. ***, **, and * mean significant at the 1%, 5%,and 10% level, respectively.
Guaranteed and non-Guaranteed Bonds Guaranteed Bonds Only
Intercept -1.888 -0.481(0.483) (0.626)
MktYld -0.215 0.139(0.617) (0.331)
FirmRat -0.321*** -0.163***(<0001) (<0001)
Firm VariablesSize 0.567*** 0.1379**
(0.0004) (0.0434)Cash -4.234*** -2.992***
(0.004) (<0001)Tangible -1.049*** -0.699***
(0.0094) (<0001)Debt 0.129 0.405
(0.8787) (0.2550)Bond VariablesMat -0.182 0.397***
(0.5915) (0.0015)Par 0.091 0.059
(0.7454) (0.6107)Secure 0.215 -0.375
(0.7251) (0.2100)Call -0.324 0.056
(0.3815) (0.7271)Put 0.619 -0.708**
(0.3120) (0.0231)Agency Problem VariablesHigh FCF/Low MB 0.578 0.234
(0.119) (0.114)Fixed Industry EffectFixed YearEffect# of Observation 3771 3771Likelihood Ratio 451.114 451.114Pseudo R2 0.113 0.113
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Table 9: Impacts of Managerial Voting Power
This table shows the results of the regressions for one pairs of subsamples: high or low managerial votingpower subsamples. The dependent variable is guarantee for bonds, an indicator variable equal to one ifit is issued with guarantee and zero otherwise. We first sort firms into 3 groups based on the managerialpercent control of voting power. Then we assign bonds issuance in the largest percentage group to thehigh managerial voting power subsample and bonds issuance in the smallest percentage group to the lowmanagerial voting power subsample. We include industry fixed effect and year fixed effect and also controlfor offering value, secured, callable and putable of the bonds. Robust standard errors are clustered at thefirm and year level. at-statistics are presented in parentheses. ***, **, and * mean significant at the 1%,5%, and 10% level, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
Intercept 0.490*** 0.234* 0.298***(3.95) (1.74) (2.22)
MktYld 0.015 0.021 0.018(0.75) (1.11) (0.94)
FirmRat -0.018*** -0.018*** -0.174***(-5.32) (-6.60) (-5.30)
Firm VariablesSize 0.015* 0.005
(1.94) (0.66)Cash -0.276*** -0.281***
(-4.32) (-4.41)Tangible -0.077*** -0.081***
(-2.81) (-2.97)Debt 0.061 0.070
(1.14) (1.31)Bond VariablesMat 0.035*** 0.035***
(4.22) (4.23)Par 0.033*** 0.029**
(2.85) (2.41)Secure -0.090** -0.086**
(-2.09) (-1.99)Call -0.003 0.005
(-0.21) (0.36)Put -0.078*** -0.069***
(-3.75) (-3.42)Managerial Voting PowerHighMgtVote 0.058*** 0.066*** 0.059***
(3.03) (3.53) (3.12)Fixed Firm Effect Yes Yes YesFixed Year Effect Yes Yes Yes# of Observation 3177 3231 3177Pseudo R2 0.123 0.121 0.1326
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Figure 1: Guarantors of Credit Enhanced Bonds
This figure shows the number of guaranteed corporate bonds and that of guaranteed bonds with differenttypes of guarantors. The two main types of guarantors are external and internal guarantors. Withinthe guaranteed bonds with internal guarantors, there are bonds with parent guarantors and subsidiaryguarantors.
The number of CE bonds: 2,278
CE bonds with external guarantors (bond insurance): 141
CE bonds with internal guarantors: 2,137
CE bonds with parent guarantors: 109 CE bonds with subsidiary guarantors: 2,014
42
Figure 2: Statistics of Credit Enhanced Corporate Bonds
This figure shows the the percentage of guaranteed corporate bonds issued by private and public firmstogether in the total corporate bonds in terms of the number of issues and the market value of issues.Each year, we sort corporate bonds into guaranteed bonds and non-guaranteed bonds and then computethe percentage of guaranteed bonds value in all bonds and the percentage of guaranteed bonds number inall bonds. Panel A shows the percentage of guaranteed bonds value in all bonds and Panel B shows thepercentage of guaranteed bonds number in all bonds. The sample period is from 1993 to 2012.
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 20120
20%
40%
Panel A: Percentage of CE-Bond Value in All Bonds
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 20120
10%
20%Panel B: Pecentage of CE-Bond Number in All Bonds
43
Figure 3: Distribution of Corporate Bond Issuers
This figure plots the distributions of corporate bond issues across different rating groups. Panel A is for theissuers of guaranteed bonds (credit enhanced bonds) and Panel B is for the issuers of non-guaranteed bonds.R=1 if the firm rating is in (’AAA’,’AA+’,’AA’,’AA-’); R=2 when the firm rating is in (’A+’,’A’,’A-’); R=3when the firm rating is in (’BBB+’,’BBB’,’BBB-’); R=4 if the firm rating in (’BB+’,’BB’,’BB-’); R=5 if thefirm rating in (’B+’,’B’,’B-’); R=6 if the firm rating in (’CCC+’,’CCC’,’CCC-’); R=7 if the firm rating in(’CC’,’C’,’D’). The sample period is from 1993 to 2012.
1 2 3 4 5 6 70
20%
40%
Panel A: CE Bond Issuers
1 2 3 4 5 6 70
20%
40%
Panel B: Non-CE Bond Issuers
44