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Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat PSY/ORF 322 05/05/2005 Group Intention effects on REG

Group Intention effects on REG

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Group Intention effects on REG. Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005. From Margins of Reality. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Group Intention effects on REG

Page 2: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

From Margins of Reality

“…Deliberate investigations of group interactions with

physical systems and processes, beginning with

multiple operator experiments…or others

testing various implications of the model for group behavior,

could be instructive.”(p.328)

Page 3: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Overview of Method

1. Compile group operator data.

2. ShortREG Analysis Panel

a. Calculate basic statistics: mean, standard deviation.

b. Graph REG output.

c. Implement Excel to compute Chi2.

3. Conduct Chi2 test on PSY/ORF 322 (2005): high, low, baseline, total.

4. Analyze results.

Page 4: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Our Working Data

Group Data SetSerie

sDates Conducted

Operators

Age Range

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.712 6 11/11 – 11/19/1998 N/A 19-22

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.921 12 03/28 – 04/14/2005 3 – 10 19-22

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.703 7 02/24 – 03/11/1999 ~12 4th Grade

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 10 03/21 – 05/26/2000 ~12 4th Grade*

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.716 8 03/23 – 05/31/2001 ~12 4th Grade

Tower Hill School TWRHLL.720 1 11/29/1999 ~15 High School

[Calibration Data] CALIB.991 33 (older) N/A N/A

[Calibration Data] CALIB.995 6 (recent) N/A N/A*A class of second graders operated series #10 of HILLSBOR.704

Page 5: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Aggregate Means

Group Data Set Series High Baseline Low

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.712 6 99.73 99.89 100.13

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.921 12 100.01 100.039 100.26

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.703 7 99.72 99.679 99.80

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 series 1-9 100.08 99.91 99.97

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 series 10 99.23 100.48 100.18

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.716 8 99.82 99.96 99.98

Tower Hill School TWRHLL.720 1 98.8 99.67 100.42

[Calibration Data] CALIB.991 33 NA 99.99 NA

[Calibration Data] CALIB.995 6 NA 99.95 NA

Total Hillsboro 703, 704, 716 24 99.24 100.48 100.19

Total PSY/ORF 712, 921 18 99.93 100.00 100.15

Total Calibration 991, 995 39 NA 99.98 NA

Page 6: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Aggregate Standard Deviations

Group Data Set Series High Baseline Low

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.712 6 6.93 6.96 6.93

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.921 12 7.07 7.19 7.07

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.703 7 7.18 7.14 7.22

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 series 1-9 7.07 6.95 7.28

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 series 10 7.46 6.78 7.72

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.716 8 7.08 7.04 7.07

Tower Hill School TWRHLL.720 1 7.09 7.17 6.90

[Calibration Data] CALIB.991 33 NA 7.08 NA

[Calibration Data] CALIB.995 6 NA 7.07 NA

Total Hillsboro 703, 704, 716 24 7.09 7.04 7.17

Total PSY/ORF 712, 921 18 7.07 7.12 7.07

Total Calibration 991, 995 39 NA 7.075 NA

Page 7: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Chi2 Test

Group Data Set Series High Baseline Low

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.712 6 1.69 0.29 0.44

PSY/ORF 322 HIP.921 12 0 0.5 3.33

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.703 7 2.11 3.01 1.03

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 series 1-9 0.3 0.32 0.02

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.704 series 10 2.34 0.94 0.14

Hillsboro School HILLSBOR.716 8 1.02 0.04 0.01

Tower Hill School TWRHLL.720 1 5.76 0.44 0.71

[Calibration Data] CALIB.991 33 NA 0.42 NA

[Calibration Data] CALIB.995 6 NA 1.48 NA

Total Hillsboro 703, 704, 716 24 4.32 3.9 1.12

Total PSY/ORF 712, 921 18 1.03 0.09 3.39

Total Calibration 991, 995 39 NA 1.91 NA

Page 8: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Calibration (Older)

Page 9: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Calibration (Recent)

Page 10: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Calibration (Total)

Page 11: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Hillsboro (2nd Grade, 2000)

Page 12: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Hillsboro (4th Grade, 1999)

Page 13: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Hillsboro (4th Grade, 2000)

Page 14: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Hillsboro (4th Grade, 2001)

Page 15: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Hillsboro (Total)

Page 16: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Tower Hill (High School)

Page 17: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

PSY/ORF 322 Class (1998)

Page 18: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

PSY/ORF 322 Class (2005)

Page 19: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

PSY/ORF 322 Class (Total)

Page 20: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

PSY/ORF 322 Detailed Data (2005)High Baseline Low

Group # Boys # Girls Total Mean St. Dev. Mean St. Dev. Mean St. Dev.

1 3 1 499.3 7.0632 99.39 7.1589 99.06 6.7716

99.36 7.7035 100.48 7.8759 100.39 6.4164

2 3 4 7100.96 7.233 *98.93 7.6624 99.62 7.8801

100.49 6.8586 99.18 6.3634 99.32 7.4181

3 2 3 5100.04 7.0952 99.75 7.216 100.29 7.249

99.25 7.3214 100.21 7.0629 100.72 6.781

4 4 1 599.45 6.8555 100.42 6.6533 100.47 7.1102

100.34 7.3803 101.03 6.545 100.49 7.334

5 2 3 5100.9 6.5636 99.67 6.8579 100.33 2.6384

100.95 6.8111 99.67 6.921 99.96 7.0495

6 3 1 499.29 6.7864 99.03 7.6613 101.18 6.4187

100.46 7.5417 *101.44 6.6656 100.93 6.9388

7 2 1 3100.25 7.0873 100.47 7.5951 100.16 7.2247

*98.5 7.6719 *101.52 6.8039 100.19 6.4129

8 5 3 899.46 7.918 *101.69 7.5018 100.31 7.0305

100.05 6.6308 100.63 7.4815 99.27 7.0394

9 5 1 6100.06 7.068 99.21 6.6139 99.93 6.9765

*101.29 6.9679 100.36 6.9971 100.33 6.8003

10 7 1 8100.15 7.0787 99.51 7.4759 101.02 7.829

100.41 7.0095 99.85 7.234 *101.56 6.936

11 4 6 1099.05 6.649 100.69 7.6419 99.51 6.8909

100.23 6.8222 100.5 7.6337 100.24 7.1352

12 4 1 5100.76 6.9865 99.2 6.7659 101.13 7.0891

99.24 6.3789 98.94 7.3686 99.91 7.1437

Page 21: Group Intention effects on REG

Dara Deshe, Eugene Gokhvat – PSY/ORF 322 – 05/05/2005

Chi2 Analysis, Conclusions

Chi2 Square Analysis of PSY/ORF Data

Intention Chi2 DF

High 24.0944 24

Baseline 32.5726 24

Low 21.8700 24

TOTAL 78.5370 72

Notes:1. For both groups of PSY/ORF 322 classes there is a very evident mean shifting

in the opposite direction of intention.2. This is also the case for the aggregate data of the Hillsboro school students and

the one class of high school students from Tower Hill.3. While it would be convenient to attribute this effect to the machine, calibration

data indicates a nearly perfect mean and standard deviation without intentions.