Upload
carmen-velasco
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Journal of International Development
J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/jid.1089
GROUP DYNAMICS, GENDER ANDMICROFINANCE IN BOLIVIA
CARMEN VELASCO1 and REYNALDO MARCONI2*1FINRURAL, La Paz
2PROMUJER, Bolivia
Abstract: This paper examines the wider impacts, or externalities, of microfinance in
Bolivia, an environment in which the loss of confidence in the formal banking system and
the proactive role of the Superintendencia de Bancos in converting NGOs into deposit-taking
institutions have been positive factors. Our focus is on the group-lending technology of
ProMujer, which practises a ‘credit plus’ technology in which training, health and advisory
services for women only are linked with lending (and savings services through FIE). There is
some preliminary evidence that such groups have achieved the externality of stimulating
collective public action outside of the immediate microfinance context (for example by
lobbying for better public services or changes in policy); such growth seems to happen most
readily where the group has collective experience of adversity, and/or where intragroup
equality is high. They also have exemplary repayment rates, which—unlike those of most
other microfinance institutions—did not fall off during the recent recession. This creates a
second externality for the economy as a whole—a contribution to macro-economic stability.
We hypothesise that the chain of causation goes from ProMujer’s ‘credit plus’ ancillary
services, to client loyalty to the institution, to high repayment rates, to ability to expand
lending and investment. Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
1 MICROFINANCE AND GENDER WITHIN THE POLITICAL
ECONOMY OF BOLIVIA
In this paper we offer an analysis of the role of microfinance in Bolivia which is both
general and specialized. From our position as managers of, respectively, a co-ordinating
network for the microfinance system as a whole (FINRURAL) and one women-only NGO
within that system (ProMujer) we present some reflections on the social impact achieved
within Bolivia by different kinds of microfinance design, and on how that impact might be
further enhanced.
The current structure of microfinance in Bolivia is the product of an even more serious
crisis than the one which currently afflicts the country—the hyperinflation of 1985, which
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
*Correspondence to: R. Marconi, FINRURAL, Edificio Montevideo. Piso 3, Av. Arce 2081, Bolivia.E-mail: [email protected]
marked the climax of many decades of chronic political instability. This crisis, in particular,
brought about a complete loss of confidence in the formal financial sector, which created an
opportunity for microfinance organizations to offer, over the following ten years, a financial
product which had previously been inaccessible for small Bolivian enterprises (Glosser,
1993; Hulme and Mosley, 1996, ch 9). The other factors favouring a spectacular growth of
microfinance in this period derived from the consequences of a structural adjustment
process of proportions almost rivalling those of eastern Europe, which pushed thousands of
people out of mining and other state employment into self-employment, assisted by a
centre-right government which saw microfinance as a particularly appropriate technique
(Newman et al., 1991) for ‘mitigating the social cost of adjustment’.
Under the stress of these changes, the Bolivian macroeconomy experienced a pro-
nounced structural change away from the primary (agriculture and mining), and in favour
of the tertiary sector1—the principal market for most microfinance institutions. This was
favourable for the nascent microfinance sector, which, at the end of 2002, accounted for
less than 6 per cent of all savings deposits, only 9 per cent of the portfolio, but 57 per cent
of bank customers (Microfinanzas, December 2002, Annex 1) and the small business
sector, now principally served by microfinance institutions, supplied an estimated 80 per
cent of all employment.
Under the impetus of a creative regulatory environment which allowed a number of
microfinance NGOs to convert themselves into banks or ‘private financial funds’,2 the
Bolivian microfinance sector had by the middle of the 1990s achieved not only rapid rates
of growth but also serious profits, with BancoSol for several years achieving the highest
rates of profit of any financial institution.3 These profits, in the classical manner, attracted
new entrants into the industry, in particular consumer-credit houses (Fondos Financieros
Privados (FFPs) de consumo). Several of the new entrants, such as the FFPs ACCESO,
CrediAgil and FASSIL, put nearly all their eggs into the microcredit basket, but with
important changes of procedure. They offered larger loans than established microfinance
organizations and commercial banks, generally for the purchase of consumer durables
such as televisions and washing-machines rather than business assets; and their techniques
of loan appraisal were much more casual. However, under the pressure of this competition
several of the established credit providers, including BancoSol and PRODEM, also
increased their loan size,4 and in the process none of the players in the game noticed
either the deterioration of portfolio quality that was taking place or the increase in
customers’ overall debt-service ratios, as bigger and less well-supervised loans were thrust
at an already over-exposed market. The entry of these new players was so rapid,5 indeed,
1Rhyne (2001), table 2.1, states that between 1985 and 1989 the share of manufacturing within the informal sectordeclined from 31 to 17, whilst the share of trade and services grew from 35 to 56 per cent.2Fondos financieros privados (FFPs): nonbank financial institutions authorised, unlike NGOs, to takedeposits from the public.3The entire microfinance sector earned a return on assets of 4.8 per cent in 1997, which had fallen to �0.5 per centby December 2002.4‘Before the middle of 1999 (BancoSol) introduced a whole heap of new financial products, generally aimed at ahigher market stratum than that occupied by solidarity groups. It placed itself in competition with conventionallenders by increasing its maximum loan size from $30 000 to $100 000. It introduced mortgages, giros endescubierto, and consumption loans. [It also introduced a minimum limit on savings deposits, therebydiscriminating against low-income consumers—Authors] An employee protested: ‘The end of the worldoccurred when BancoSol offered a $50 000 loan to the Roda family’ (a well-known rich Bolivian family)’Rhyne, 2001, pp. 153–154.5For example: the clients of ACCESO grew between 1995 and 1998 from zero to 90 000—a larger number ofclients than BancoSol had achieved in twelve years.
520 C. Velasco and R. Marconi
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
as to unbalance the entire microfinance sector and to create a serious problem of over-
indebtedness even before the global crisis hit Bolivia in 1999 (Marconi, 2002). The main
focus of all this overlending was the urban sector, where economies of scale could more
easily be achieved and the perceived costs of lending kept down. There were some
occasional successful experiments in rural credit, such as the FFP PRODEM and the
NGOs ANED and CRECER, but the growth of these organizations was heavily limited by
their dependence on donor financing (FINRURAL, 1998).
We thus at the onset of the global financial crisis, which hit Latin America only in 1999,
have a dual structure of microfinance in Bolivia (Table 1) in which some financial
institutions have come under the purview of the regulator, the Superintendencia de
Bancos, and others remain outside. This structure is, as in many developing countries,
biased towards the services sector in urban areas. But two much less expected paradoxes
also emerge from Table 1. In the first place, the locus of financial instability—the
consumer-credit FFPs—is in the regulated and not in the unregulated sector. Secondly, the
gender balance is almost the same as between the regulated and the unregulated sector
(broadly 40 per cent male to 60 per cent female), and in both cases very different from the
prevailing ratios in global microfinance, where about four-fifths of borrowers are women6
and many microfinance institutions will not accept male clients.
In what follows, we wish to make a connection between these paradoxes and the wider
impact of microfinance. We shall examine the service-provision technology of one
particular microfinance NGO (ProMujer); we then speculate on why microfinance
institutions with this lending technology have had particularly high levels of financial
stability through the recent recession, and discuss the connection between this financial
stability and the institution’s wider impacts.
Table 1. Financial institutions in Bolivia: portfolio, clientele and gender distribution(December 2001)
Value of Number of Gender balance Percentageportfolio clients of clients female
($ million) (thousands) (thousands)
Male Female
Formal banking sector:
Domestic private banks 4208 206
Foreign private banks 367 10
Mutual funds 319 49
Microfinance sector:
(i) Regulated microfinance
entities (able to take deposits)
Banco Sol 76 56 22 34 60
Consumer-credit FFPs 41 19 7 12 62
Microfinance FFPs 87 118 58 60 51
(ii) Savings and loan
co-operatives 213 46 29 17 36
(ii) NGOs (not authorised to
take deposits) 48 137 53 84 61
Source: FINRURAL, Microfinanzas, December 2002 issue.
6Seventy-nine per cent of microfinance borrowers are women according to the most recent (2003) data: HelziNoponen, personal communication, IMPACT global meeting, Polokwane, South Africa, 5 May 2003.
Microfinance in Bolivia 521
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
2 ALTERNATIVE MICROFINANCE TECHNOLOGIES
Microfinance performs a conjuring-trick: it achieves higher rates of loan repayment (and
often, as in the case of BancoSol, higher rates of profit) than conventional banking, without
having access to the collateral which conventional banks employ to protect their loan
portfolio. It performs this trick through constructing social relationships which substitute
for collateral by putting pressure on the borrower to repay loans. These relationships may
be either group-based (in which case peer pressure within the group is an important
element in pressure to repay) or individual-based, in which case the pressure comes from
loan officers and in some cases mentors and others within the client’s community. Both
modalities are well-developed in Bolivia, and there is some evidence of progression from
group to individual loans as the client’s loan size and income increase. In this paper our
focus is on the group-based technologies employed by the NGO ProMujer.
Groups are sets of interrelated persons who interact to perform a task or pursue
an objective; and in ProMujer, they pursue many objectives additional to a technology
for the administration and repayment of loans. In particular, they provide opportunities for:
* Social learning—which converts the more formal mentoring and training in business
practices, legal systems and healthcare that accompanies the provision of financial
services within the organisation into a process of mutual support;
* Gender solidarity—an opportunity for women clients to share their experiences as
women and thereby to optimize their economic role within the household;
* ‘Group reproduction’—as when a group formed for loan monitoring and training
purposes develops into a pressure group to secure better health or education, or to
pursue a common political objective. Further examples are given below.
The idea that the inclusion of the socially excluded in networks might have a substantial
economic payoff has, of course, recently been popularised (e.g. World Bank, 2000) under
the name of social capital. The form of social capital which ProMujer seeks to create is, as
we have seen, gender-specific and dynamic. As a response to the initially low self-esteem
and limited family support among members of the target group, the unit of organization is
the all-female group, typically 15–25 members. But the establishment of group members as
mutually supportive independent entrepreneurs is simply a point of departure in a process of
personal and collective development in which the development of technical skills7 and
capacities for collective organization are key milestones. As in organizations such as BRAC
and SEWA of South Asia the ultimate objective is the empowerment of the disempowered,
not only in relation to patriarchal family structures but also in relation to a condition of state
weakness which has recently been aggravated by the crises of February and October 2003.
These longer-term objectives have obvious significance for the way in which evaluation is
done, but they are also, as we shall see, important for the economy as a whole.
3 ‘NARROWER’ AND ‘WIDER’ IMPACTS
There is therefore a wide range of indicators against which the performance of any micro-
finance organization needs to be assessed, but particularly an ‘integrated’ organization
7The anecdote was told by Carmen Velasco, at the Rajendrapur conference which gave rise to this volume, of aclient who was beaten by her husband every time she came to the loan centre, but who one day was not beaten,‘because I am a student now’. Oral presentation, Rajendrapur, 6 January 2003.
522 C. Velasco and R. Marconi
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
Table 2. Bolivia: indicators of microfinancial performance, 1997–2002. (portfolio in $ millions;default rates expressed as percentages)
1997(Dec) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002(e)
Commercial banks 3185 4023 3786 3174 2769
Cooperatives and mutual societies 426 469 457 465 442
Microfinance houses:
BancoSol*:
Portfolio value $mn 63 74 82 77 81 81
Portfolio in arrears (%) 1.9 4.5 7.0 12.3 14.7 9.4
Microfinance FFPs:
PRODEM
Portfolio value $mn 18 24 21 23 33 44
Portfolio in arrears (%) 1.7 16.7 15.2 3.1 7.9 5.3
FIE**
Portfolio value $mn 12 14 19 22 27 35
Portfolio in arrears (%) 2.7 1.5 6.2 7.9 8.0 6.5
Caja Los Andes**
Portfolio value $mn 28 35 46 52 64
Portfolio in arrears (%) 5.8 6.5 7.6 8.1 5.8
BancoSol and all microfinance FFPs, total
Total portfolio value $mn 93.4 140.9 161.8 181.8 205.7 230.5
Portfolio in arrears % 2.0 4.6 6.7 9.3 11.0 7.3
Consumer-credit FFPs:
Acceso
Portfolio value $mn 80 88 32 5 1 Insig.
Arrears rate % 20.0 19.9 31.9 29.4 7 0
Fassil
Portfolio value $mn 13 19 15 13 8 6
Arrears rate % 8.6 14.1 15.7 22.6 40
Consumer-credit FFPs, total
Portfolio value $mn 88.3 109.0 47.9 24.4 19.6 6.9
Arrears rate % 19.4 19.4 29.6 20.9 29.5 39.8
NGOs:
ProMujer
Portfolio value $mn 2.3 2.1 2.2 3.4 3.8 4.5
Arrears rate (%) 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.2
CRECER
Portfolio value $mn 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.5 5.8
Arrears rate (%) 2.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5
SARTAWI
Portfolio value $mn 2.5 3.1 3.3 5.0 4.7 5.1
Arrears rate (%) 3.9 5.4 6.0 8.3 23.0 17.2
ANED
Portfolio value 5.8 6.4 7.2 7.4 8.3 10.5
Arrears rate (%) 4.7 5.1 7.3 10.5 15.7 19.0
Other NGOs 34.3 47.5 42.7 50.8 34.0
All NGOs
Portfolio value $mn 37.6 49.5 61.3 64.5 65.7 78.0
Arrears rate (%) 4.5 6.8 7.1 10.5 12.1 13.2
Total microfinance sector:
Portfolio value ($mn) 236.3 292.0 257.1 246.5 291.0 315.4
Value of savings ($mn) 188.3 240.3 223.8
Arrears rate (%) 10.1 8.0 11.5 13.0 10.2
Source: FINRURAL, Microfinanzas: Boletin financiero, 12/02 (available at www.finrural-bo.org)Notes:**only offers individual loans, *offers some individual loans.
Microfinance in Bolivia 523
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
committed to social development objectives such as PROMUJER. In Table 2 we set out
measures of portfolio growth, arrears, and where possible also more direct measures of
impact such as influence on investment and empowerment. It is to be borne in mind that
the data in Table 2 relate to a period of recession during which GDP growth as a whole
averaged less than 1 per cent and for the services sector, which is the main focus for
microfinance, often fell well below zero (Marconi and Mosley, 2003).
Of considerable importance for PROMUJER are also the wider community-building
impacts8 achieved, in particular, through training and the provision of incentives to the
development of group functions. These for the most part have to be assessed with the help
of a qualitative methodology, by contrast with the quantitative methodology used in
Table 2.
We conducted pilot interviews, in August 2002, with five groups9 from the El Alto
branch of ProMujer to assess the extent of growth in group functions. We began from the
hypothesis that a group’s capacity to extend and develop its capacities for public action
will depend on:
(i) leadership capacities of group members: which may in turn depend on pre-existing
assets such as political experience, assets, training received, etc.;
(ii) the collective experience of the group. If the group has already overcome a crisis that
can affect its level of collective confidence and thus its capacity for collective action
(as already observed in the study of social capital in Russia and Eastern Europe,
above);
(iii) Perceived inequality within the group—which can debilitate the group’s solidarity
and its capacity for collective action;
(iv) Relations of group members with the organization—if the organization provides
incentives for leadership in public action, this can encourage possibilities for
spontaneous action by the group;
(v) External influences—often the stimulus which turns feeling into political action can
be traced to a shock (an injustice or an action by the political authorities) which a
client has experienced.
In pilot interviews conducted in August 2002 we obtained material which supported stories
(i), (iii) and (v). In particular, members of microfinance groups had diversified from simply
supporting each other’s businesses into running a joint canteen, provision of co-ordinated
volunteer help in a medical centre and campaigning together against the government’s
removal on import duties on second-hand clothes (which had badly hit the several
interviewees who sold clothes). The more expansionist groups appeared to be those which
had lower levels of inequality (hypothesis (iii) and which had experienced injustice directly
rather than by proxy (hypothesis (v)). The more expansionist individuals were those at
higher levels of income,10 operating in groups with effective leadership (hypothesis (i)).
We need to see these outcomes not only in relation to the benchmark of ‘satisfactory
performance’ on the various indicators but also in relation to the performance of other
organizations in Bolivia. It will be recalled that PROMUJER (and its sister ‘village
8These are the main ‘wider impacts’ investigated here. Others may also be important, in particular those relatingto labour markets, transmission of knowledge and stabilisation of income; see also the argument in section.9Estrellas de Belen, Huayna Potosi, Juan Pablo II, Luna Nueva and Sartawi (! this is also the name of a rivalNGO).10This contradicts the assertion of Sebstad and Cohen (p53) . . . .
524 C. Velasco and R. Marconi
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
banking’ organization, CRECER) differ from other microfinance organizations in Bolivia
in the following ways:
* In the first place, in both institutions the clients are purely female; a characteristic
associated almost worldwide11 with higher repayment rates, whether because women
are more risk-averse, or have fewer possibilities of obtaining credit outside
microfinance, or take more seriously the consequences for their children of their
failing to repay, or a combination of the above.
* Secondly, average loan size is smaller; hence the possibilities for exercising political
leverage on the creditor—(or, in the manner described above, on the Superintendency
of Banks) in order to induce forgiveness of the loan are smaller.
* Thirdly, both institutions offer a form of quasi-insurance in which emergency loans are
offered in case of need (on a vote of clients within a solidarity group) from an ‘internal
account’ financed by a surcharge on the interest rates paid by all members. In Bolivia,
as in other developing countries, it is very hard for low-income people to gain access to
insurance,12 which inhibits their room for manoeuvre in the event of a sudden adverse
shock such as market collapse, children’s ill-health or burglary. The ‘internal account’
provides a modest form of insurance, and thereby of managing debt, not available to
clients of other Bolivian NGOs.
* Finally and perhaps most importantly, the village banks provide credit as a ‘means and
not an end in itself’ (Marconi, 2002, p. 4), within a package comprising technical
training, health services, advice on legal rights and—political education. In other
words they practice an ‘integrated’ rather than a ‘minimalist’ model: a model which,
however much out of fashion with the microfinance establishment (Otero and Rhyne,
1995; Robinson, 1996; and even, in the current context, Rhyne, 2001) compels intense
loyalty from the women who benefit from it, by offering a range of services going far
beyond a substitute for collateral. This loyalty leaves no room for doubt, in the event of
crisis, as to who will be the first creditor to be repaid.
As shown in Table 3 and Figure 1, these characteristics have enabled PROMUJER and
CRECER to achieve levels of financial performance and social impact which are not only
satisfactory in relation to conventional performance benchmarks, but also in relation to
other financial institutions in Bolivia, notably those which are more focused on profit and
less on the achievement of social objectives such as the consumer-credit FFPs (private
financial funds). Whereas the loan volume of the bulk of the microfinance sector, and most
of all the consumer-credit FFPs, declined through the recession, the loan volume of the all-
female, integrated credit institutions rose continuously to the present day (Figure 1). We
believe that this ironic fact deserves a little more investigation.
4 CONCLUSION
The interesting aspect of the success of PROMUJER, and CRECER (and also the
individual-lending institutions FIE and Caja Los Andes) is that it contradicts the ‘lemons
model’ of Akerlof (1970) which states that in a market with asymmetric information
caused by uncertainties about product quality—which the Bolivian microfinance market
11Indonesia, interestingly, appears to be an exception; Hulme and Mosley(1996), vol. 2, chapter 11.12The 2000 World Development Report (World Bank 2000, p. 143) states that ‘insurance markets are virtuallynon-existent in developing countries’.
Microfinance in Bolivia 525
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
certainly is—bad products will, by analogy with Gresham’s law, drive out good and the
nice guys will finish last. In Bolivia it is the bad guys (the consumer-credit FFPs), who
sought to live purely by the rules of the market, who have been, over the course of the
recession, virtually driven out of it and (at least some of ) the nice guys, who have sought to
provide services and have been driven by principles going far beyond the requirements of
loan recovery and profitability, who have succeeded in it. Of course, a part of this unusual
result is due to the consequences of regulation by the Superintendencia de Bancos—a
parameter not contained in the models of Stiglitz and Akerlof; but this is not the whole
story. Another part of it consists in the approach of the ‘nice guys’ to their clients, which
took it as axiomatic that clients’ motivation was not purely economic, and based elements
of the microfinance package—training, legal services, health and education services—on
this supposition. These elements have turned out to be important components of clients’
coping strategies during the recession, hence the fact that they have induced loyalty in
repayment towards institutions which provided those services. During the crisis, this
approach turned out more successful, as a means of achieving loan recovery and growth in
the portfolio, than the more materialistic strategies used by the consumer-credit FFPs and
even by BancoSol.
In our impact assessment, we have examined both effects which are specific to the
individual client, such as investment, income and empowerment, and also effects which go
‘wider’ than the individual client, in particular intrahousehold relationships, the provision
of incentives to institution-building and political participation and the stabilisation of
community income. In all of these respects there are impacts, as documented above, which
go beyond the person—the female client in PROMUJER—who is the immediate
Table 3. Bolivian microfinance organisations; Performance indicators and possible explanatoryfactors
Indicator ProMujer and CRECER Other microfinance organizations
Client well-being indicators
(Dec 2002)
Poor and destitute(%) 38.3% 10.6%
Without lowest level of education(%) 14.1% 5.1%
Asset value $ 421.6 924.4
Average annual sales $ 757.9 2502.8
Institutional performance indicators
(annual average 1997–2002)
Growth of portfolio 24.7% 5.7%
Growth of customer base 26.2% �5.3%
Default rate 0.6% 9.8%
Return on assets 6.9% �1.9%
Design characteristics
%female clients 98% 57%
‘Internal account’ for emergency loans Yes No
Loan modality Village banks with Solidarity groups, with the
solidarity groups exception of FIE, Caja Los
Andes, most of BancoSol,
and the consumer-credit FFPs
Average loan size($) 134 901
Training services offered? Yes No (except for FIE)
Source: performance indicators and design characteristics from FINRURAL, Microfinanzas, December 2002edition; well-being indicators from preliminary results of impact evaluation studies of microfinanceorganisations conducted by FINRURAL for Ford Foundation.
526 C. Velasco and R. Marconi
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
recipient of financial services. These wider impacts are the familiar ‘externalities’ of
economics, and we have illustrated the fact that ‘integrated’ institutions such as
PROMUJER make a particular effort to create them. But we have so far not mentioned
the most important externality of all, which is that by growing, and creating higher levels
of investment, through the recent recession these institutions—and also FIE and Caja Los
Andes, see Figure 1—have been able to exert a counter-cyclical influence on the
macroeconomy, by contrast with the procyclical influence exercised by other institutions
and especially the consumer-credit FFPs. In Bolivia, unfortunately, this type of micro-
finance institution is in a minority (Table 3) and so the macro-economic counterweight it
has been able to exert has been limited, by contrast with, for example, Indonesia where the
enormous BRI, by analogy with ProMujer and CRECER, grew through the 1997–99
recession and was able to pull the entire macro-economy upwards (Patten et al., 2001).
Nonetheless, Table 3 illustrates the kind of dividend which can be extracted from an
approach to microcredit which concentrates on family-level and community-level rather
than individual-level impacts; and for those impacts to be understood and spread, they
must first be measured, which is what we have sought to achieve here in an introductory
manner.
Figure 1. ‘The sheep’ and ‘the goats’: portfolio, arrears rates and estimated investiment rates,1997–2002
Microfinance in Bolivia 527
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)
REFERENCES
Akerlof G. 1970. The market for lemons, in Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 87 (Reprinted in
Akerlof, (1983) An economic theorist’s book of tales, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.)
Binswanger H. 1981. Attitudes towards risk: theoretical implications of an experiment in rural India.
Economic Journal 91: 867–890.
Chen M, Dunn E. 1996. Household Economic Portfolios. AIMS: Washington, DC.
FINRURAL. 1998. Movilizacion del Ahorro Rural en Bolivia: Tarea Impostergable. FINRURAL,
PROFIN/COSUDE: La Paz.
Glosser A. 1993. BancoSol, a private commercial bank: a case study in profitable microenterprise
development in Bolivia, Gemini Technical Report 142, Bethesda, MD: Development Alternatives
Inc.
Gonzales-Vega C, Rodriguez-Meza J. 2002. La Situacion Macroeconomicy el Sector de las
Microfinanzas en Bolivia. USAID/Development Alternatives: La Paz.
Hardy DC, Holden P, Prokopenko V. 2002. Microfinance institutions and public policy. Working
Paper 02/159, Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
Hulme D, Mosley P. 1996. Finance Against Poverty. Routledge: London.
Marconi R. 2002. Marco legal de regulacion y de politicas para instituciones de microcredito
comprometidas con la lucha contra la pobreza: experiencia boliviana, FINRURAL: La Paz.
Marconi R, Mosley P. 2003. Bolivia during the global crisis 1998–2003: towards a ‘macroeconomics
of microfinance’, unpublished paper.
Mosley P. 1978. Implicit models and policy recommendations: policy towards the informal sector.
Institute of Development Studies Bulletin 9: 3–11.
Mosley P. 2001. Microfinance and poverty in Bolivia. Journal of Development Studies: 101–132.
Newman J, Jorgensen S, Pradhan M. 1991. How did workers benefit from Bolivia’s Emergency
Social Fund? World Bank Economic Review 5: 367–393.
Otero M, Rhyne E (eds). 1994. The New World of Microenterprise Finance: Building Healthy
Financial Institutions for the Poor. Kumarian Press: West Hartford, CT.
Patten R, Rosengard J, Johnston D. 2001. Microfinance success amidst macroeconomic failure: the
experience of Bank Rakyat Indonesia during the east Asian crisis. World Development 29(6):
1057–1069.
Rhyne E. 2001. Mainstreaming Microfinance: How Lending to the Poor Began, Grew and Came of
Age in Bolivia. Kumarian Press: West Hartford, CT.
Rosenberg R. 1999. Microcredit interest rates. Focus Note No 1. Consultative group to Assist the
Poorest: Washington, DC.
Sebstad J, Cohen M. 2001. Microfinance, Risk Management and Poverty. AIMS: Washington, DC.
Weeks J. 1975. Policies for expanding employment in the informal urban sector of developing
economies. International Labour Review 111: 1–13.
World Bank. 2000. World Development Report 2000: Attacking Poverty. World Bank: Washington,
DC.
528 C. Velasco and R. Marconi
Copyright # 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. J. Int. Dev. 16, 519–528 (2004)