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Goldman Sachs
12th Annual Cyclicals and Specialty Materials Forum
May 19, 2004
Packaging Corporation of America
Paul T. SteckoChairman and CEO
2
Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements about our future financial condition, our industry and our business strategy. Statements that contain words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “hope” or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on the current expectations of PCA.
Because forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, the plans, actions and actual results of PCA could differ materially. Among the factors that could cause plans, actions and results to differ materially from PCA’s current expectations are those identified under the caption “Risk Factors” in PCA’s Form 10K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available at the SEC’s website at “www.sec.gov”.
Packaging Corporation of America
3
PCA Stock Performance
5/14/04
PCAS&P 500
BigCharts.comL
Enterprise Value 2,704 2,995 11% Equity Value 1,270 2,300 81%Debt 1,434 695 (52%)
IPO Now Change($MM)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
4
PCA is a Major Producer of Containerboard
19%
16%
11%10%
9%
6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
SSCC WY IP GP TIN PCA
Source: Company Form 10-K filings and AF & PA 2003 Paper, Paperboard, Pulp Capacity Survey, North American market share adjusted for permanent and indefinite shutdowns as of May 14, 2004.
Market Share
5
Weyerhaeuser PCA InternationalPaper
Temple-InlandSmurfit-Stone
Georgia-Pacific
96%
69%
55%
25%15%
10%
Pure Play in the Right Product
% of Revenues from Containerboard and Corrugated Products
Note: Based on company press releases and PCA and analyst estimates
6
Saporcel PM2 Portugal 439,800
PT Indah Kiat PM3 Indonesia 427,300
PT Tiwi Kimia PM11 Indonesia 412,300
International Paper PM16 USA 410,600
Boise J-3 USA 392,700
Weyerhaeuser PM2 USA 385,600
UPM-Kymmene PM9 Finland 384,800
PT Riau Andalan PM1 Indonesia 384,800
Saporcel PM1 Portugal 363,200
Weyerhaeuser PM1 USA 357,000
Uncoated White
Company Machine Location Capacity
Worlds Largest Paper Machines
7
APP China PM2 China 600,000APP China PM1 China 600,000Sappi PM11 Austria 560,000StoraEnso PM6 Finland 515,000UPM (Nordland) PM4 Germany 450,000UPM PM8 Finland 400,000StoraEnso PM7 Finland 360,000M-Real PM3 Finland 350,000Burgo PM1 Belgium 350,000International Paper PM41 USA 300,000
Coated Groundwood
Worlds Largest Paper Machines
Company Machine Location Capacity
Coated Free-Sheet
UPM PM4 Finland 400,000Burgo PM9 Italy 400,000UPM PM3 Germany 360,000UPM PM2 Finland 310,000StoraEnso PM5 France 305,000Bowater PM3 USA 300,000UPM PM1 Finland 300,000UPM PM6 Finland 300,000Sappi PM8 Belgium 285,000UPM PM1 United Kingdom 270,000
8
Linerboard
Worlds Largest Paper Machines
Company Machine Location Capacity
Corrugating Medium
Georgia-Pacific PM2 USA 712,200Weyerhaeuser PM1 USA 649,700International Paper PM1 USA 642,600International Paper PM1 USA 589,100Weyerhaeuser PM2 USA 571,200Papierfabrik Palm PM6 Germany 550,900Boise Cascade PM1 USA 544,400International Paper PM1 USA 526,600PCA PM1 USA 521,200Weyerhaeuser PM1 USA 517,700
International Paper PM2 USA 428,400Smurfit-Stone PM1 USA 419,500Cedar River Paper PM1 USA 392,700PT Indah Kiat PM2 Indonesia 385,700SAICA PM9 Spain 385,700Smurfit-Stone PM2 USA 383,800PCA PM4 USA 380,300Weyerhaeuser PM2 USA 369,500SAICA PM7 Spain 330,600PWA PM1 Germany 308,500
9
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Containerboard Capacity Rationalization
Industry Capacity Removed(millions of tons)
Source: Industry Publications
Note: As of January 23, 2004
10
Historical Real Prices
Market Pulp Linerboard
Coated Free Sheet Coated Groundwood Uncoated Free Sheet
$300
$500
$700
$900
$1,100
'85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Y = 14.962x + 30504
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
'85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Y = 39.081x +79055$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
'85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Y = 12.732x + 26464$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
'85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Y = 18.835x + 38478
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
'85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05
Y = 0.9642x + 2347.7
Source: Calculation based on Producer Price Index and Industry published prices (1985 – 2002)
11
US Dollar Indexvs. World Basket of Currencies
120
110
100
90
80
‘90 ‘92 ‘94 ‘96 ‘98 ’00 ‘02 ‘04
Source: BankOne
Note: Basket includes Europe (58%), Japan (14%), Britain (12%), Canada (9%), Sweden (4%) and Switzerland (3%)
12
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1800
2000
2200
2400
2600
2800
Demand Inventory
Industry Supply and Demand Balance
Year over Year Change %
Sources: Fiber Box Association and American Forest & Paper Association
Containerboard Inventory (000 tons)
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M
2003 2004
13
2200
2400
2600
2800
3000
3200
Industry Containerboard Inventory
Sources: Fiber Box Association and American Forest & Paper Association
(000 tons)
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
14
Earnings and Free Cash Flow
$ $MM
Free Cash Flow(3)
$212
$183
$133 $132
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003
$1.25
$0.98
$0.45$0.40
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2000 2001 2002 2003
Earnings Per Share(1)
(1) 2000 earnings per share exclude a $36.4 million after-tax gain on the sale of timberlands, a $16.3 million after-tax charge related to the redemption of 12 3/8% senior preferred stock and a $11.1 million after-tax charge for early extinguishment of debt.
(2) 2003 earnings per share exclude a $10.0 million after-tax charge related to the settlement of several benefit cost related matters and the following after-tax charges incurred with PCA’s debt refinancing in the third quarter of 2003: cash tender offer premium ($34.1 million), write-off deferred financing fees ($10.6 million), other fees and expenses ($2.0 million). Including these one-time charges, net income for 2003 was a loss of $14.4 million or $0.14 per share.
(3) Free cash flow is used by PCA to inform investors of cash available for corporate use after capital expenditures. Free cash flow equals net cash provided by operating activities minus additions to plant property and equipment, commonly referred to as capital expenditures, and is calculated as follows:
2000 2001 2002 2003
Net cash provided by operating activities $ 341 $ 314 $ 240 $245Less: Additions to property, plant and equipment (129) (131) (107) (113)Free Cash Flow $ 212 $ 183 $ 133 $ 132
(2)
15
Mill2003 Production
(tons)% of
Production
LinerboardCounce, TN 963,000 43%Valdosta, GA 425,000 19%
Corrugating MediumTomahawk, WI 554,000 25%Filer City, MI 291,000 13%
Mill Manufacturing is Low Cost
* Counce
* Tomahawk
* Filer City
Valdosta *
• Operational excellence
• Located near excellent low cost fiber
• Fiber and energy flexibility
• Capital spending efficiency
• High integration level
Total System 2,233,000 100%
16
$/Ton
Source: Industry publications
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A
Recycled Fiber Prices HistoricallyHave Been Very Volatile
17
100% 100%
54% 54%
37%33% 30%
22%17%
Limited Exposure to Potential IncreasesIn Wastepaper Prices
Wastepaper/Containerboard Ratio
Source: Industry publications and PCA estimates
Solvay Weyerhaeuser Temple-Inland Georgia-Pacific International Paper
Visy Norampac Smurfit-Stone PCA
18
Fuel Price Volatility
$/ million btu’s NYMEX Oil NYMEX Gas Contract Coal
Note: Excludes delivery costs which are estimated to be $0.74 per million btu’s for coal, $0.94 for natural gas and $0.50 for oil.
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
19
36%
4%
27%
33%
9%
16%
44%
31%
PCA’s Mill Purchased Fuel Mix is PrimarilyCoal and Bark - The Two Lowest Cost Fuels
Natural Gas
Bark
Coal
Oil
Natural Gas
Bark
Coal
Oil
2003 Actual2000 Actual
20
Corrugated Products
Differentiated Operating Strategy
• Stand-alone profit centers
• Value-added products
• 70% local accounts
• Over 8,000 customers
• Top 30 accounts represent
only about 30% of sales
21
Oxnard
Garland
Phoenix
Salt Lake City Windsor
NorthglennDenver
El Paso
Waco
Plano
Los Angeles
Omaha
Marshalltown
MinneapolisGolden Valley
South Gate
Muskogee
Tomahawk
Colby
Counce
Jackson
Orlando
Winter Haven
Jacksonville
OpelikaAtlanta
NewberryHonea Path
RutherfordtonMorganton
Knoxville
GoldsboroSalisbury
High Point
Roanoke
RichmondHarrisonburg
Baltimore
Northampton
Chelmsford
Watertown
Syracuse
Buffalo
Conrad
Milwaukee
Burlington
Vincennes
Gas City
Valdosta
AllentownTrexlertown
LancasterHanover
Filer CityEdmore
GrandvillePlymouth
AkronPittsburgh
Middletown NewarkAshland
Grafton
Arlington
Corrugated plants
Sheet/specialty plants
Mills
Headquarters
Facility Legend
Donna
Fairfield
Strong Geographic Manufacturing Presence
Franklin
Acorn
22
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Cu
mu
lati
ve %
Ch
ang
eCorrugated Products Demand Growth
Source: FBA Data for Industry
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
PCA Industry
23
6.7
4.54.2 4.2
3.43.1
0
2
4
6
8
Capital Expenditures as a Percent of Sales2000 Through 2003 Average
PCA Weyerhaeuser Temple International Georgia Smurfit Inland Paper Pacific Stone
Percent
24
Revolving Credit Facility - - - -
Receivables Revolving Credit Facility $ 109 $ 2 $ 109 $ 1
Term Loans 79 6 39 1
9.625% Senior Sub. Notes 550 53 - -
4.375% 5-Year Senior Notes (Eff. Rate – 3.92%) - - 149 6
5.75% 10-Year Senior Notes (Eff. Rate – 5.26%) - - 397 21
Amortization of Deferred Financing Fees - 3 - 1
Total $ 738 $ 64 $ 694 $ 30
Cash-On-Hand $ 131 $ 188
PCA Completed its Debt Refinancing on July 23, 2003
Annual Annual Debt Interest Debt Interest
Level Expense(1) Level Expense(1)
As of June 30, 2003 As of March 31, 2004
($ millions)
(1) Estimated
LOCK •
25
$170
$118
$74 $68
$48
$30
0
40
80
120
160
Interest Expense Reduction
April 12, 1999 2000(1) 2001(1) 2002 2003 (2) 2004 (3)
Annualized Actual Actual Actual Actual Proj
(1) Excludes charges related to the early extinguishment of our debt of $18 million in 2000 and $1 million in 2001(2) 2003 actual excludes one-time charges associated with refinancing of $73 million.(3) 2004 projection is based on debt levels and interest rates on variable rate debt as of December 31, 2003
$ millions
26
PCA(3) 2.9 PCA(3) 6.1 PCA 47.1%
S & P Moody’s
Existing CorporateCredit Rating
BBB Ba1
BBB Baa3
BB Ba2
BBB Baa2
BB+ Ba3
BBB Baa2
BBB Baa2
B+ N/A
Debt/ LTM EBITDA(2) Debt/ LTM EBITDA(2) / LTM Interest (2) Total Capital
Strong Credit Profile March 2004 Data(1)
Temple Inland 3.7
Georgia Pacific 4.2
Boise Cascade 4.3
Weyerhaeuser 4.5
MeadWestvaco 4.4
International Paper 5.1
Smurfit Stone 8.2
Boise Cascade 4.0
International Paper 3.9
Temple Inland 3.8
Weyerhaeuser 3.8
MeadWestvaco 3.5
Georgia Pacific 3.1
Smurfit Stone 1.7
MeadWestvaco 47.4%
Temple Inland 48.0%
Boise Cascade 51.0%
Weyerhaeuser 63.6%
International Paper 65.4%
Georgia Pacific 66.0%
Smurfit Stone 68.5%
(1) Debt / Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA / Adjusted Interest, and Debt / Total Capital are ratios commonly used by the ratings agencies. Total capital is calculated as total debt plus shareholders’ equity. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted interest are calculated for the period April 1, 2003 through March 31, 2004 and both exclude unusual or nonrecurring items.
(2) Adjustments ($ in millions) were made to the following companies’ reported income before interest and taxes per their SEC filings to eliminate unusual or non-recurring items.
Boise Cascade ($45.2) Smurfit Stone 231.0Georgia Pacific 53.0 Temple Inland 152.0International Paper 281.0 Weyerhaeuser 27.0 MeadWestvaco (110.0)
No adjustments to exclude unusual or nonrecurring items were made to the above companies reported interest.
(3) PCA’s adjusted EBITDA and adjusted interest are calculated as follows:
Income before interest and taxes, as reported for the period $ 65.8 Interest expense, net, as reported for the period $ 113.3Add back: Nonrecurring charges related to refinancing 3.3 Less: Nonrecurring charges related to refinancing (73.3)
Add back: Pactiv benefits settlement 16.0 Adjusted interest $ 40.0
Adjusted EBIT 85.1Add: Depreciation, depletion and amortization as reported the period 157.4
Adjusted EBITDA $ 242.4
Source: Company SEC filings and press releases
27
• Single Business Focus - Operational Excellence
• Grow Corrugated Products Volume- Internal Growth
- Acquisitions
• Enhance Shareholder Value Through Financial and Strategic Flexibility
Strategy