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Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector C W Goodyear Chief Executive Officer 10 th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum St. Petersburg, 13 June 2006

Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

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Page 1: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector

C W Goodyear Chief Executive Officer10th St. Petersburg International Economic ForumSt. Petersburg, 13 June 2006

Page 2: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 2

1990 – Industry structure

Rio

Tint

oAn

glo

Am.

De B

eers

Genc

orAl

coa

Newm

ont

Alca

nAm

plat

sPl

acer

Dom

eRe

ynol

dsDr

iefon

tein

WMC

Barri

ckGF

SANo

rand

aMi

norc

oIn

coPe

chin

eyMI

MBHP

0102030405060708090

100110120130140

Mark

et C

ap. a

t end

of 1

990 (

US$B

)

In 1990 the top five companies accounted for less than 25% of total resource equity market value

Market value of minerals industry US$150 bnValue of Top Five US$36 bn

Page 3: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 3

BHP Billiton is now the world’s largest diversified resource company

Petroleum

Aluminium

Base Metals

Carbon Steel Materials Diamonds & Spec Prod Energy Coal Stainless Steel Materials

Page 4: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 4

10 year historical Chinese demand

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Chinese refi ned copperconsumption

% share of world refi ned copperconsumption (right hand scale)

‘000 tonnes

Data: BHP Billiton

%

0

50

100

150

200

250

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 050%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

Chi nese primary ni ckelconsumpti on

% share of world primary ni ckelconsumpti on (ri ght hand scale)

%‘000 tonnes

Data: INSG

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 '050%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Chinese alumi niumconsumption

% share of global al uminiumconsumption (right hand scal e)

Data: BH, CRU

‘000 tonnes %

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 '050%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Chinese crude steelconsumpti on

% share of gl obal crude steelconsumpti on (right hand scal e)

mill ion tonnes %

Data: IISI, CISA, BHP Bil liton (NB: 05 is based on estimate figures as final figures are not yet released)

Page 5: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 5

Steel intensity of useSteel Intensity per Capita

0.0

200.0

400.0

600.0

800.0

1000.0

1200.0

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000GDP/Capita (PPP, Jan. 2006 US$'000)

Kg S

teel/

Capi

ta

USA (1900-2004)Japan (1950-2004)S. Korea (1970-2004)Taiwan (1970-2004)China (1970-2004)

Source: World Bank, OECD (GDP at Purchasing Power Parity), IISI

Page 6: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 6

Energy intensity of use

Source: World Bank, OECD (GDP at Purchasing Power Parity), BP Statistical Review

Energy Intensity per Capita

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000

GDP/Capita (PPP, Jan. 2006 US$'000)

Ener

gy U

se p

er C

apita

(Oil

Equi

vale

nt to

nnes

)

USA (1960-2004)Japan (1960-2004)S. Korea (1965-2004)Germany (1965-2004)Taiwan (1965-2004)China (1965-2004)

Page 7: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 7

Angl

o Am

eric

an

CVRD

Shen

hua

Alco

a

Newm

ont

Noril

sk

Barri

ck

Xstra

ta

Angl

oPla

t

Alca

n

Phel

ps D

odge

Peab

ody E

nerg

y

Teck

Com

inco

Angl

ogol

d

Falc

onbr

idge

Cam

eco

SPCC

Free

port

Rio

Tint

o

BHPB

0102030405060708090

100110120130140

Mark

et C

ap. o

n 21

Apr

il 200

6 (US

$Bn)

2006 - industry structure

Market value of minerals industry US$795bnValue of Top Four US$329bn

Today the top five companies account for over 40% of total resource equity market value

Page 8: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 8

Deep inventory of growth projectsB R O W N F I E L D

G R E E N F I E L D

As at 15 February 2006Size of bubble indicates proposed capital expenditure; bold outer border signifies sanctioned project.

$US 200M$US 200M

Blackwater CPP

RavensthorpeRavensthorpe

BMA Phase 2

WA Iron OreRGP 2

WA Iron OreRGP 2

NeptuneNeptune

NWS T5NWS T5

StybarrowStybarrow

NWSAngelNWSAngel

Koala UGKoala UGZamzama Phase 2

WA Iron OreRGP 4+

WA Iron OreRGP 4+

NickelPetroleum

Diamonds

Alumina

Iron OreBase Metals

Met. Coal

Esc’daSulphideEsc’da

Sulphide

Atlantis North

YabuluYabuluDouglas –

MiddelburgDouglas –

Middelburg

Energy Coal

AlumarAlumar

PyreneesPyrenees

WA Iron OreRGP 3

WA Iron OreRGP 3

MaruwaiMaruwai

ShenziShenzi

WorsleyDCP

Atlantis SouthAtlantis South

SpenceSpence

20092007 2008CY2006 2010 2011

SamarcoSamarco

Worsley E&GWorsley E&G

Page 9: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 9

Escondida

Page 10: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 10

Mozal

Page 11: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 11

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Olympic

Dam

McArth

ur Riv

er

Inkai

Rossin

gJa

biluk

aCiga

r Lak

eAfle

ase

Rio Cris

talino

Itatia

iaRa

nger

Yeeli

rrieVa

lhalla

McClea

n Lak

eKin

tyre

Akouta

Lang

er Hein

rich

Dieter

Lake

Beverl

y

Arlit

Gurvan

bulag

Operating MineConstructionUndeveloped

Olympic DamThe world’s top twenty uranium deposits by remaining resources

‘000 tonnes of U3O8

Source: Internal Global Deposit DatabaseSource: Internal Global Deposit Database

• World-class copper-uranium-gold-silver mineral resource.• 34% of world’s uranium reserves.• BHP Billiton ideally placed to meet increasing demand for uranium.

Olympic Dam

Page 12: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 12

BHP Billiton-Norilsk Nickel Alliance• Alliance between world's largest diversified resources company and

Russia's largest mining company• Significant growth opportunities - geographical diversification for BHP

Billiton and commodity diversification for Norilsk Nickel• Initial focus on exploration - an area that has received insufficient

attention in recent years• A win-win relationship building on strengths of both partners:

– Norilsk Nickel is Russia’s leading mining company and has the in-country knowledge and experience that is essential for success in Russia.

– BHP Billiton offers global exploration and project development expertise, world-class technology and global marketing organisation

Page 13: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 13

A sustainable future

What BHP Billiton brings to Russia:

A model based on developing and sustaining relationships with both local businesses and local communities

A track record of in-country expansion and re-investment ensuring long term prosperity for all partners

A long term partnership based on sustainable development

Page 14: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Slide 14

ConclusionMarket Needs

+

Norilsk Nickel

+

BHP Billiton

+

Communities

=

“Win – Win – Win – Win”

Page 15: Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector - BHP Billiton/media/bhp/documents/investors/reports/2006/... · 2006-06-13 · 10 year historical Chinese demand 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000

Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector

C W Goodyear Chief Executive Officer10th St. Petersburg International Economic ForumSt. Petersburg, 13 June 2006