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Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector
C W Goodyear Chief Executive Officer10th St. Petersburg International Economic ForumSt. Petersburg, 13 June 2006
Slide 2
1990 – Industry structure
Rio
Tint
oAn
glo
Am.
De B
eers
Genc
orAl
coa
Newm
ont
Alca
nAm
plat
sPl
acer
Dom
eRe
ynol
dsDr
iefon
tein
WMC
Barri
ckGF
SANo
rand
aMi
norc
oIn
coPe
chin
eyMI
MBHP
0102030405060708090
100110120130140
Mark
et C
ap. a
t end
of 1
990 (
US$B
)
In 1990 the top five companies accounted for less than 25% of total resource equity market value
Market value of minerals industry US$150 bnValue of Top Five US$36 bn
Slide 3
BHP Billiton is now the world’s largest diversified resource company
Petroleum
Aluminium
Base Metals
Carbon Steel Materials Diamonds & Spec Prod Energy Coal Stainless Steel Materials
Slide 4
10 year historical Chinese demand
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Chinese refi ned copperconsumption
% share of world refi ned copperconsumption (right hand scale)
‘000 tonnes
Data: BHP Billiton
%
0
50
100
150
200
250
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 050%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Chi nese primary ni ckelconsumpti on
% share of world primary ni ckelconsumpti on (ri ght hand scale)
%‘000 tonnes
Data: INSG
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 '050%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Chinese alumi niumconsumption
% share of global al uminiumconsumption (right hand scal e)
Data: BH, CRU
‘000 tonnes %
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 '050%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Chinese crude steelconsumpti on
% share of gl obal crude steelconsumpti on (right hand scal e)
mill ion tonnes %
Data: IISI, CISA, BHP Bil liton (NB: 05 is based on estimate figures as final figures are not yet released)
Slide 5
Steel intensity of useSteel Intensity per Capita
0.0
200.0
400.0
600.0
800.0
1000.0
1200.0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000GDP/Capita (PPP, Jan. 2006 US$'000)
Kg S
teel/
Capi
ta
USA (1900-2004)Japan (1950-2004)S. Korea (1970-2004)Taiwan (1970-2004)China (1970-2004)
Source: World Bank, OECD (GDP at Purchasing Power Parity), IISI
Slide 6
Energy intensity of use
Source: World Bank, OECD (GDP at Purchasing Power Parity), BP Statistical Review
Energy Intensity per Capita
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000
GDP/Capita (PPP, Jan. 2006 US$'000)
Ener
gy U
se p
er C
apita
(Oil
Equi
vale
nt to
nnes
)
USA (1960-2004)Japan (1960-2004)S. Korea (1965-2004)Germany (1965-2004)Taiwan (1965-2004)China (1965-2004)
Slide 7
Angl
o Am
eric
an
CVRD
Shen
hua
Alco
a
Newm
ont
Noril
sk
Barri
ck
Xstra
ta
Angl
oPla
t
Alca
n
Phel
ps D
odge
Peab
ody E
nerg
y
Teck
Com
inco
Angl
ogol
d
Falc
onbr
idge
Cam
eco
SPCC
Free
port
Rio
Tint
o
BHPB
0102030405060708090
100110120130140
Mark
et C
ap. o
n 21
Apr
il 200
6 (US
$Bn)
2006 - industry structure
Market value of minerals industry US$795bnValue of Top Four US$329bn
Today the top five companies account for over 40% of total resource equity market value
Slide 8
Deep inventory of growth projectsB R O W N F I E L D
G R E E N F I E L D
As at 15 February 2006Size of bubble indicates proposed capital expenditure; bold outer border signifies sanctioned project.
$US 200M$US 200M
Blackwater CPP
RavensthorpeRavensthorpe
BMA Phase 2
WA Iron OreRGP 2
WA Iron OreRGP 2
NeptuneNeptune
NWS T5NWS T5
StybarrowStybarrow
NWSAngelNWSAngel
Koala UGKoala UGZamzama Phase 2
WA Iron OreRGP 4+
WA Iron OreRGP 4+
NickelPetroleum
Diamonds
Alumina
Iron OreBase Metals
Met. Coal
Esc’daSulphideEsc’da
Sulphide
Atlantis North
YabuluYabuluDouglas –
MiddelburgDouglas –
Middelburg
Energy Coal
AlumarAlumar
PyreneesPyrenees
WA Iron OreRGP 3
WA Iron OreRGP 3
MaruwaiMaruwai
ShenziShenzi
WorsleyDCP
Atlantis SouthAtlantis South
SpenceSpence
20092007 2008CY2006 2010 2011
SamarcoSamarco
Worsley E&GWorsley E&G
Slide 9
Escondida
Slide 10
Mozal
Slide 11
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Olympic
Dam
McArth
ur Riv
er
Inkai
Rossin
gJa
biluk
aCiga
r Lak
eAfle
ase
Rio Cris
talino
Itatia
iaRa
nger
Yeeli
rrieVa
lhalla
McClea
n Lak
eKin
tyre
Akouta
Lang
er Hein
rich
Dieter
Lake
Beverl
y
Arlit
Gurvan
bulag
Operating MineConstructionUndeveloped
Olympic DamThe world’s top twenty uranium deposits by remaining resources
‘000 tonnes of U3O8
Source: Internal Global Deposit DatabaseSource: Internal Global Deposit Database
• World-class copper-uranium-gold-silver mineral resource.• 34% of world’s uranium reserves.• BHP Billiton ideally placed to meet increasing demand for uranium.
Olympic Dam
Slide 12
BHP Billiton-Norilsk Nickel Alliance• Alliance between world's largest diversified resources company and
Russia's largest mining company• Significant growth opportunities - geographical diversification for BHP
Billiton and commodity diversification for Norilsk Nickel• Initial focus on exploration - an area that has received insufficient
attention in recent years• A win-win relationship building on strengths of both partners:
– Norilsk Nickel is Russia’s leading mining company and has the in-country knowledge and experience that is essential for success in Russia.
– BHP Billiton offers global exploration and project development expertise, world-class technology and global marketing organisation
Slide 13
A sustainable future
What BHP Billiton brings to Russia:
A model based on developing and sustaining relationships with both local businesses and local communities
A track record of in-country expansion and re-investment ensuring long term prosperity for all partners
A long term partnership based on sustainable development
Slide 14
ConclusionMarket Needs
+
Norilsk Nickel
+
BHP Billiton
+
Communities
=
“Win – Win – Win – Win”
Global Trends in the Natural Resource Sector
C W Goodyear Chief Executive Officer10th St. Petersburg International Economic ForumSt. Petersburg, 13 June 2006