Global Retail Trends 2010 by yStats.com

RESEARCH ON INTERNATIONAL MARKETSWe deliver the facts – you make the decisions

RESEARCH ON INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Global Retail Trends 2010Global Retail Trends 2010July 2010

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Publication Date July 2010

Language English

Format PDF & PowerPoint

Number of Pages/Charts 183

Price €2,950(excl.VAT)

Global Retail Trends 2010 July 2010


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Global Retail Trends 2010

Key Findings

Company and Product Information

Covering Trends in Global Retail Markets

• In major markets like the US and the UK, retail spending is expected to decline, while emerging markets like China expect a growth in 2010.

• TherearesignsofimprovementforUS consumers, but the recent destruction of wealth is expected to limit consumer spending.

• Asiaisbelievedtorepresentthebestgrowthprospectsforretailersandconsumer-productscompaniesin 2010.

• In India, garments, fashion accessories, cosmetics and white goods are expected to continue the uptrend of 2009 in 2010 and beyond.

• Forecastsshowacontinuedgrowthoffunctionalfoodin2010,forexamplebyahighernutritionalvaluefor consumers.

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4. Discount Stores• Expansion of German Discount Stores in Bulgaria• DiscountShoppingGrowthinAustralia

5. Supermarket/Hypermarket Stores

• GlobalSupermarketPerspectives• GlobalGroceryRetailStrategyandIndustryTrends• Top10fastmovingConsumerGoodsRetailers,by Retail Sales in USD, 2009• USSupermarketProductTrends• USPrivateLabelFoodTrends• FiveTrendstohelpRetailersCompeteon Convenience• US Hypermarkets Expansion Plans (including Wal-MartandTarget)• US Discounters Expansion Plans (including Kohl’s and Costco)• US Retailer and Department Store Expansion Plans (including Family Dollar and Macy’s)• OnlineGroceryMarketVolumeintheUSandthe UK, in USD billion, 2014• HypermarketTrendsinIndia

1. GENERAL RETAIL TRENDS

• ThreeMajorGlobalStrategyTrendsforRetailersin 2010 and beyond• Global Challenges for Stationary Retailers and Shopping Centers until 2020 • Top5RetailSpendingTrends• GeneralRetailTrends:EconomicOutlookforthe largest Retail Markets (Summary, China)• GeneralRetailTrends:EconomicOutlookforthe largest Retail Markets (US)• GeneralRetailTrends:EconomicOutlookforthe largest Retail Markets (Europe and the UK)• GeneralRetailTrends:EconomicOutlookforthe largest Retail Markets (Japan, Russia, Brazil)• Top10GlobalRetailers,byRetailSales,inUSD million, 2008• Globalization of Retailers: Impacts for US Retailers• GlobalizationofRetailers:ShareofTop250 Retailers by Region/Country, in %, 2008• AsianRetailTrends-Grocery,Apparel,fastmoving Consumer Goods, Electronics• Growth of organized Retail in India, including total and organized Retail in USD, 2007-2013• SixTrendsthatwillshapeBrazil‘sConsumerand Retail Market • Brazil’sTop5RetailingProductCategoriesby Growth Rate, in %, 2009• Retailing and Social Networking• GlobalRetailandLicensingTrendsfor2011

Table of Contents (1 of 3)

2. Convenience Stores

• ChallengesforUSConvenienceStores:More Competitors for prepared Food Retailing• FactsandrecentDevelopmentsamongtheleading USConvenienceStores• Top10USConvenienceStores,bytotalStore Count (Company-Operated and Franchise), 2009• ConvenienceStoresGrowthTrendsintheUK• ConvenienceStoreSalesintheUK,inGBPbillion, 2005-2010 & 2015f• RuralConvenienceStoreSalesTrendsintheUK

DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS

3. Department Stores

• Department Store Expansions in the US• DepartmentStoresGrowthTrendsinChina• Japanese Department Stores Sales Breakdown, by Category,in%,April2010• JapaneseDepartmentStoresGrowthTrends,by Category,in%,April2010

DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS (cont.)

6. Franchising

• TheTop10GlobalFranchises2010• GlobalFranchiseTrendsintheRestaurantand Health Segment• TopUSFranchisingTrendsfor2010


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7. Multi-Channel

• GlobalMulti-ChannelRetailingStrategyTrends• Consumers Channel Crossing In-Store and Online• TheInfluenceofChannelsonthePurchasing Decision in the US• Multi-ChannelActivitiesoftheleadingUSRetailers• Home-Shopping Sales by Category in South Korea, in KRW, 2008-2012

8. Online

• SixGlobalOnlineRetailTrends• Online Retail Challenges for 2010• OnlineGroceryMarketVolumeintheUSandthe UK, in USD billion, 2014f• UKOnlineRetailGrowthTrendsandRevenue Potential for 2013• OnlineGroceryShoppingTrendsintheUK• OnlineGroceryShoppingTrendsintheUK: Reasons to buy online, in %, 2010• Top5ProductCategoriesorderedonlinein Germany,byAgeGroups,in%,2009• Sales in the Chinese Online Shopping Market, in RMB billion, 2007-2012f

9. Catalog• ThechangingRoleofCatalogsinUSMulti-Channel


10. Mobile

• TopFiveGlobalMobileCommerceTrendsfor2010: Bargain Hunting• TopFiveGlobalMobileCommerceTrendsfor2010: MobileTicketing&Banking• TopFiveGlobalMobileCommerceTrendsfor2010: TangibleGoods&Marketing• KeyTrendsintheMobileContentServices• M-CommerceTrendsinFrance,includingTop3 mostpopularM-CommerceApplications,in%, 2009• JapaneseE-CommerceTrendsandM-Commerce Potentials, including Share of M-Commerce in 2013

12. Retail Services

• Top10CustomerServiceTrends2010• ThenewDigitalCustomerandMarketing Challenges for Global Retailers• ThefourSocialMediaTrendsreshapingCustomer Service• RetailRewardsTrendsintheUS• ParticipationLevelsofRewardProgramsintheUS, by Number of Programs per Consumer, 2009• Reward Program Enrollments in the US by Selected GroupsandGrowthvs.2007,in%,2009• USConsumerBrandLoyaltyintheRecession• ReductionofPurchasesoftheindividualpreferred Brand,byCategoryin%,2010vs.2008

11. Pharmacy

• Supermarkets Focus On Healthcare Sector in the UK• OnlinePharmacyRetailTrendsinGermany2010• OTCPharmacyOnlineSalesinGermany,inEUR million, 2007-2008• ChineseOTCMarketGrowthTrendsuntil2014


ASSORTMENTS

13. Apparel

• OnlineApparelRetailShareandConversionRates Trendsworldwide• PriceDiscountTrendsinApparel• ApparelConsumerSegmentTrends(byAgeGroup andApparelStyle)intheUS• Top10GlobalApparelRetailers,byRetailSalesin USD, 2008• E-Commerce of Clothing and Fashion in Germany• TradingVolumeofChineseFashionCommodities Online Shopping, in RMB billion, 2007-2012f

15. Electronics

• ElectronicTrendsin2010,includingTabletsand E-Book Readers• ElectronicTrendsin2010,includingSmartTVand MobileTV• ElectronicTrendsin2010,including3Dand Connected Cars• ElectronicTrendsin2010,includingAndroidand Apps• US Consumer Electronics Outlook for 2011• USConsumerElectronicsSalesRevenues, in USD billion, 2006-2011f• ConsumerElectronicsAccessoriesPurchasing TrendsintheUS:AccessoriesandAudio• ConsumerElectronicsAccessoriesPurchasing TrendsintheUS:DigitalImagingandGaming• ConsumerElectronicsAccessoriesPurchasing TrendsintheUS:HomeNetworkingandHome Theatre• ConsumerElectronicsAccessoriesPurchasing TrendsintheUS:VideoandWireless Communication• ConsumerElectronicsAccessoriesPurchasing TrendsintheUS• China Consumer Electronics Outlook until 2014

17. Household Appl. & Home Furniture

• GlobalHouseholdAppliancesTrends• GreenHomeTrends• Share of US Consumers plan to Purchase Energy EfficientHomeAppliances,byCategoryin%,2010• Top10USKitchenandBathTrends2010• ChineseFurnitureStyleTrends

18. Luxury

• GlobalLuxuryRetailMarketTrends• GlobalLuxuryRetailMarketOutlook• LuxuryMarketandtheRecessioninIndia- Strategic Implications

19. Perfumeries

• FourGlobalPerfumeryTrendsin2010• European Market for Natural Cosmetics• LuxuryCosmeticsTrendsinJapan• HerbalProductTrendsintheIndianMarket

20. Sports

• MajorFitnessTrends2010• GlobalHomeFitnessEquipmentMarketTrends


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14. DIY and Gardening

• DIYTrends,includingHomeDécor,Furniture,Color• DIYTrends,includingLandscaping,New-Home Construction, Remodeling• GardeningRetailSalesTrendsintheUK

16. Food/Grocery

• TopTenFoodTrendsfor2010• GeneralFoodRetailTrends• SalesMigrationfromServicetoRetailintheUS Food Sector• Food Retailing during the Recession in the US and Implications for Retailers• FoodandDrinkPurchasingBehaviorinthe Recession in the UK


ASSSORTMENTS (cont.) ASSORTMENTS (cont.)


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Samples

We deliver the facts – you make the decisionsRESEARCH ON INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

One of the consumer goods spending trends for 2010 is that local and regional grocery players will become acquisition targets.Top 5 Retail Spending TrendsTop 5 Retail Spending Trends• Discretionary spending cutbacks continue to change the way consumers shop. Consumers now use coupons with an enthusiasm

not seen in many years—for the first three quarters of 2009, Inmar reported that manufacturer coupon redemptions were up 26%.• Food departments outperformed nonfood, health and beauty and general merchandise departments as Americans returned to

cooking and eating at home—boosting grocery channel shopping trips in the process. Store brands grew becoming an acceptablealternative—or even preferred brand—for many. Meanwhile, consumers “traded down” across categories, preferring chicken,turkey and pork to beef and seafood. While value channels such as supercenters, club and dollar stores, as well as online retailers,drove shopping trips to their stores, discretionary retail channels (home improvement, office supply and pet stores) saw declines.

Top Five Consumer Goods Spending Trends in 20101 Restraint remains the new normal Americans confidence has been slower to rebound compared to other parts of the world The1. Restraint remains the new normal. Americans confidence has been slower to rebound compared to other parts of the world. The

need to save money, unemployment and other economic issues continue to be top of mind, suggesting that any return to pastbehavior may take some time—if at all.

2. Value is a top priority. With no signs of readiness to open wallets, a focus on low prices at the expense of all other variablesthreatens margins. Value messaging must also include some point of differentiation beyond pricing. Manufacturers and retailersth t “d i th i ” d t k ti l i i ti d d di lik l t b th bi ithat “drive the recession wave” and take an active role in innovation and ad spending are likely to be the big winners.

3. Store brand growth continues. Even with year-end 2009 softness in store brand dollar share growth as retailers cut pricesacross the store to be more competitive, unit share growth continues and retailer focus has never been stronger.

4. Grocery consolidation intensifies. Local and regional players, unable to drive profits in the soft economy, will becomeacquisition targets and some larger national and regional grocers will divest unprofitable formats and banners to strengthenacquisition targets and some larger national and regional grocers will divest unprofitable formats and banners to strengtheninvestments behind their winning formats and banners.

5. Assortment wars escalate. Retailer efforts to simplify the consumer shopping experience by eliminating aisle and shelf clutter willcause market share land grabs for small and medium-sized brands in pursuit of elusive revenue growth. Retailers may lose salesas they shift away from in-store merchandising that drove impulse buying and built shopper baskets. Look for brands caught in thetrap of greater store brand focus and assortment optimization to forge alliances with key retailers enter or step-up efforts as store

6

Source: Brandweek, December 2009

trap of greater store brand focus and assortment optimization to forge alliances with key retailers, enter or step-up efforts as storebrand suppliers, and/or explore direct-to-consumer sales.

We deliver the facts – you make the decisionsRESEARCH ON INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Clothing (36%) was the top category sold at department stores in Japan in April 2010, followed by food (25%).Japanese Department Stores Sales Breakdown by Category in % April 2010Japanese Department Stores Sales Breakdown, by Category in %, April 2010

Gift Vouchers4%

Services1% Others

1%

ClothingPersonal Effects

Household Goods

5%

36%13%

Miscellaneous Goods15%

Food25%

26

The survey covered sales at 92 department store operators with 267 shops.Source: Japan Economy News, May 2010

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Global Retail Trends 2010 by yStats.com