Global Polymer Trends

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/9/2019 Global Polymer Trends

    1/4

    Global polymer trends |  markets feature

    AMI Consulting has just published a new report which fullydocuments global plastics consumption by polymer type, region andprocess. Senior project manager Carole Kluth reviews some of the

    key trends for the industry and its future outlook

  • 8/9/2019 Global Polymer Trends

    2/4

    markets feature | Global polymer trends

    Global polymer

    demand growth

    1983-2018

    Source: AMI

    Consulting, 2014 

    What the industry must hope is that the rational

    decisions which recognized plastics’ superior perfor-

    mance in relation to traditional materials will continue

    to be accepted. However, real issues such as food waste

    and energy conservation are impossible to solve without

    plastics materials. In a world where 1.3 billion tonnes of

    food are wasted every year and US$6.5 billion-worth of

    goods are damaged in transit because of insufficient

    exists in nearly every country in the world.

    The last 30 years have also seen a significant change

    in the structure and direction of the world industry. In

    1983, approximately 74% of world demand occurred in

    the developed countries of North America, Western

    Europe and Japan. By 2013 their share of world demand

    had decreased to 32%. This is despite the fact that

    demand has continued to grow quite strongly in these

  • 8/9/2019 Global Polymer Trends

    3/4

    markets feature | Global polymer trends

    The strongest growth is expected to occur in the

    Indian sub-continent, a region which has a population

    greater than that of China but with a polymer demand

    that is currently one-fifth of the size. The market is

    being driven by policy relaxations, allowing greater

    foreign direct investment and closer integration with the

    global economy to drive investment in petrochemicals,

    Although South America has long been regarded as

    a region of considerable potential for strong growth,

    particularly Brazil, growth has in reality been erratic

    with the industry held back by a number of factors.

    These include: weak and unstable governments; high

    debt burdens; a dependency on globally traded

    commodities (making the region vulnerable to external

    economic shocks); burdensome import tariffs; high

    energy costs; and infrastructure bottlenecks. These

    factors will continue to limit its potential.

    The Asia-Pacific region slightly underperforms in

    relation to the global average because of the effects of

    the mature and slow growing Japanese market. Without

    Japan, the region’s growth is at least one percentage

    point higher. Huge potential still exists within the

    Indonesia, Vietnamese, Korean and Malaysian markets.

    Packaging leads the way 

    AMI’s analysis looks in detail at where and how

    polymers are used around the world. Although they are

    used in a wide variety of different applications, packag-

    ing has come to dominate the end-use markets for

    polymer. This is true in all geographic areas of the

    world. Overall, packaging accounts for around half of all

    polymers processed in volume terms, split fairly evenly

    a region of considerable potential for strong growth,

    particularly Brazil, growth has in reality been erratic

    with the industry held back by a number of factors.

    These include: weak and unstable governments; high

    debt burdens; a dependency on globally traded

    commodities making the region vulnerable to external

    economic shocks); burdensome import tariffs; high

    energy costs; and infrastructure bottlenecks. These

    factors will continue to limit its potential.

    relation to the global average because of the effects of

    the mature and slow growing Japanese market. Without

    Japan, the region’s growth is at least one percentage

    point higher. Huge potential still exists within the

    Indonesia, Vietnamese, Korean and Malaysian markets.

    ackaging leads the way

    End use applications for polymers 2013

    Source: AMI Consulting, 2014 

  • 8/9/2019 Global Polymer Trends

    4/4

    markets feature | Global polymer trends

    within a maturing industry. This has been compounded

    by the effects of the global recession. Furthermore, in

    many countries where the industry is still relatively

    small, the structure will be one in which there will be a

    handful of larger groups, often operating multiple

    processes. These will account for a significant propor-

    tion of the polymer demand in that country, alongside a

    large number of much smaller players. In many parts of

    the world, plastics processing is also characterised by

    smaller, unorganised companies which operate just one

    or two machines in an intermittent fashion and

    purchase very small amounts of polymer.

    This kind of structure particularly applies to

    the injection moulding industry. All regions of the

    world are characterised by a large number of

    injection moulders, reflecting the wide availabil-

    ity and relatively low cost of moulding equip-

    ment. AMI estimates that there are in the region

    of 130,000 injection moulding companies. The

    process is popular as it requires a relatively low

    investment to produce plastics goods for a local

    market. In broad terms, extrusion equipment,

    be it for film, pipe or fibre, tends to require

    greater capital investment and usually involves larger

    capacity machines.

    Future outlook

    In the 1980s and 1990s, the process of substitution of

    traditional materials and the forging of new applications

    ensured that polymer demand growth could outstrip

    economic growth. Since the turn of the century, polymer

    demand has increasingly moved in line with GDP trends.

    However, the scope for growth in developing parts of the

    world will ensure that the global polymer industry can

    still look forward to annual increases in demand of

    around 5%/year, which will result in a market in excess

    of 300 million tonnes by 2018.

    More information

    Global Polymer Demand is an AMI consulting data

    report. It provides detailed statistical data on the demand

    and end-use for all major thermoplastic materials

    worldwide. For further information please contact Carole

    Kluth at AMI Consulting ([email protected], +44 117

    311 8120), or visit http://bit.ly/AMIglobal.

    ❙ www.amiplastics.com

    or two machines in an intermittent fashion and

    purchase very small amounts of polymer.

    the injection moulding industry. All regions of the

    world are characterised by a large number of

    injection moulders reflecting the wide availabil-

    ity and relatively low cost of moulding equip-

    ment. AMI estimates that there are in the region

    of 130 000 injection moulding companies. The

    process is popular as it requires a relatively low

    investment to produce plastics goods for a local

    market. In broad terms extrusion equipment

    be it for film pipe or fibre tends to require