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Global - Overview
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Overview of the Global Market
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Structured Product Market is growing +13%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
End of 2013 End of 2014 End of 2015 End of 2016 End of 2017 End of August2018*
Global Outstanding Volume – in USDbn
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
Sales volume by Region - in USDm
Europe MEA North America Latin America Asia Pacific International
North America: 25%Latin America: 22%Europe: 9%International: 8%Asia Pacific: 1%MEA: -1%
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
All these factors aligned perfectly…
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
1 mo 3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 7 yr 10 yr 20 yr 30 yr
%
US Treasury Yield Curve Rates
Sep-18 Sep-17
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Global Average Annual Performance
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
2018-Sep 2017 2016 2015 2014
S&P500 dividends
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com and Yahoo Finance
0
10
20
30
40
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
From whom can we learn?
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Structured Product Market is growing +13%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
In South Korea, yield is everything…
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Outstanding Volume (USDm)
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2015 2016 2017 2018e
Sales Volume (USDm)
Autocallables, 52%
Credit Default, 7%
Others, 41%
Market share by Payoffs, 2018ytd
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18
Correlation between average autocall coupon and sales is 0.13
Monthly Sales (KRWbn) - LHS Average Autocallable Coupon - RHS
Structured Product Market is growing +13%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
Taiwan: If you are looking for long-term high-interest-rate markets
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Outstanding Volume (USDm)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
2015 2016 2017 2018e
Sales Volume (USDm)
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Outstanding Volume in ZAR Products (USDm)
Outstanding Volume (USDm) ZARTWD
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Structured Product Market is growing +13%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
Sales Volume should finish 20% up mainly due to the performances
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Outstanding Volume (USDm)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2015 2016 2017 2018e
Sales Volume (USDm)
0
10
20
30
40
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Strategy and Prop Indices Market Share
Strategy Proprietary & Custom Indexes
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Structured Product Market is growing +13%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
US investors looking for yield with Reverse Convertibles on US stocks on Notes
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
340,000
350,000
360,000
370,000
380,000
390,000
400,000
2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Outstanding Volume (USDm)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2015 2016 2017 2018e
Sales Volume (USDm)
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
2011 2012 3013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Market Share of Autocallables in the USA
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2011 2012 3013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
US Investors use structured products to sell volatility
Autocallable Reverse Convertibles
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
US Market-linked CD’s
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Market-linked CD’s are the closer market to the Indexed Insurance products
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Outstanding Volume in MLCD's (USDm)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Market share of Proprietary Indices in MLCDs (%)
Enhanced Tracker
44%
Knock Out21%
Uncapped Call14%
Digital7%
Capped Call4%
Fixed Upside4%
Enhanced Tracker,
Knock Out4%
Market share by payoffs
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
100% 100-120%120-140%140-160%160-180%180-200% >200%
Histogram of participation on MLCD's in 2018
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
Market-linked CD’s are the closer market to the Indexed Insurance products
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Participation rate vs. term
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
US Indexed Insurance Market
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Recent Additions – 2017-2018:
• BlackRock iBLD Ascenda Index – launched in September 2018;
• GS Motif Aging of America Dynamic Balance Index – launched inAugust 2018;
• BlackRock iBLD Claria Index – designed specifically for annuities inFebruary 2018;
• Balanced Capital Strength 6 Index – developed in May 2018;
• Franklin US Index - launched in November 2017;
• PIMCO Global Optima Index - launched in October 2017;
• Janus SG Market Consensus Index - launched in May 2017;
• BNP Paribas Momentum Multi-Asset 5 Index - launched in January2017;
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Number of underlyings per sector as % of all unique underlyings being offered in indexedannuities
Total interest crediting strategies for all underlyings within each sector as % of all strategies
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
Global Trends
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
• Country & Regional Indices +20%
• Proprietary Indices +153%
• Strategy Indices +3%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
2018 vs. 2017
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Global Market Share of Equity Indices
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
5.00%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Strategy & Proprietary Indices
Equity Indices are replacing FX rates and other underlyings
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Key Trends on underlyings
Growing:
• Eurostoxx 50, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, S&P 500 +736%
• Eurostoxx 50, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Nikkei 225 +420%
• Eurostoxx 50, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Kospi 200 +93%
Source: www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
2018 vs. 2017
2015 2016 2017 2018ytd
Others 55.98% 66.46% 59.51% 59.98%
Certificate of Deposit Rate 91d 0.54% 1.17% 0.88% 1.15%
Gold 2.09% 3.37% 1.10% 1.24%
USD/MXN 0.01% 0.02% 0.97% 1.38%
Eurostoxx 50, Kospi 200, S&P 500 0.54% 1.34% 1.61% 1.88%
Eurostoxx 50, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Kospi 200 0.80% 0.27% 0.98% 1.88%
Unknown 0.92% 2.20% 2.60% 2.26%
Eurostoxx 50, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Nikkei 225 0.00% 0.08% 0.44% 2.30%
Kospi 200 1.87% 2.23% 2.49% 2.38%
FX Rate (Unspecified) 24.83% 10.30% 2.01% 2.53%
S&P 500 2.15% 3.93% 2.61% 3.02%
USD 3M Libor 0.01% 0.12% 16.36% 4.13%
Share Basket (Unspecified) 2.45% 2.54% 1.81% 4.30%
Eurostoxx 50, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, S&P 500 2.76% 0.22% 0.57% 4.76%
Eurostoxx 50 5.04% 5.75% 6.06% 6.82%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Global TOP 10 Underlyings
Falling:
• USD 3M Libor -75%
• Kospi 200 -4%
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Survey Results
Source: SRP’s 2018 Indexed Insurance survey
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Key trends and challenges
Source: SRP’s 2018 Indexed Insurance survey
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Regulatory changes
Consumer education – ensuring Americans are
educated about the need for lifetime income and
really understand how the products work
Innovation
Hybrid products
Smart beta indices
Credit cycle and interest rates
Higher market volatility
Fighting stock market performance
Income benefits with lower cost
Shorter surrender periods
Set fees for life & flexibility to cancel
Trying to determine by what and when the
industry will be disrupted
What should we take from this conference?
1) TrendsNavigating a Mature Bull Market
Adviser Panel: Best Practices for Using Structured Products and Indexed Insurance
Global Market Overview: Insurance & Structured Products Recap
2) Innovation & Product IdeasProduct Development and Innovation in Annuities
Index Innovation in Capital Markets
In Conversation with leading Carriers
3) Distribution & EducationInsurance Solutions Distribution – Best Practices from each Channel
Is the Future of Advice Technologically Driven?
Growing the Pot: How can Index Annuities become Mainstream Products?
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018
Thank you for your attention!
Copyright © 2018 Structured Retail Products Limited. All Rights Reserved.
Reproduction and distribution of this report in any form without prior written permission is strictly prohibited.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. SRP disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Use of this report is at your
sole risk and SRP accept no responsibility for any problems or incidents arising from its use.
Tiago FernandesManaging Director
www.StructuredRetailProducts.com
Anita KirilovaResearch Analyst
© Copyright Structured Retail Products a division of Euromoney Global Limited 2018