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The Theory of Innovation &Entrepreneurship
Prof. Bruno van Pottelsberghe
Ass. Nicolas van Zeebroeck
GEST 112 (Technological Innovation)
S6: The Value of Patents
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|2
Todays Menu .
S6.1. The Cost of patenting
Van Pottelsberghe B. and D. Franois, 2006, The cost factor in patentsystems, working paper.
S6.2. The Value of Patents Harhoff D., Scherer F. M. and Vopel K. (1999),"Citations, Family Size,
Opposition and the Value of Patent Rights", 31p. Reitzig M. (2004), Improving patent valuations for managementpurposes - validating new indicators by analyzing application rationales,Research Policy, n 33 (2004), pp. 939957.
S6.3. The Determinants of Patent Value Guellec D. and Van Pottelsberghe B. (2000), Applications, Grants andthe value of patents, Economic Letters, 69(1).
S6.4. Financial Valorization and Securitization Edwards D. (2002), Patent Backed Securitization: Blueprint for a newasset class, Gerling NCM, 2001. Washington|CORE.
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6.1. The cost of patenting
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|4
Objectives :
Whether and to what extent the cost of patentingaffect the demand for patent?
Put forward a methodology for comparative analysis of
patent systems : the 3-C index The role of cost
Non-cost factors
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|5
Table 1. EPO, USPTO and JPO:
Basic figures, 2003
Why? to expensive? Not all domestic patents? different patents?
4137Others
31550EPC States
881816Japan
55527USA
Geographical origins of patent filings (%)
122,511169,02859,992Total Patent Granted
413,092342,441116,613Total Patent Filings
8399501,022Annual revenue, M
1,12623,6373.400Patent examiners
2,4796,7235,821Total staff
JPOUSPTOEPO
x 3
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|6
Caveats: EU does not include thedomestic priority filings... but
Similar percentage of filings from abroad at theUSPTO and at the EPO, about 50% (2nd filings)
Similar percentage of filings from Japan at theUSPTO and at the EPO, about 18% : (2nd filings)
They confirm that the US market is three timesmore attractive that the European market.
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|7
Table 1. EPO, USPTO and JPO: Basicfigures, 2003
4137Others
31550EPC States
881816Japan
55527USA
Geographical origins of patent filings (%)
122,511169,02859,992Total Patent Granted
413,092342,441116,613Total Patent Filings
8399501,022Annual revenue, M
1,12623,6373.400Patent examiners
2,4796,7235,821Total staff
JPOUSPTOEPO
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|8
Market size and patent filings, 2003
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 50
Population (M)
Patentfiled
USA
EU 13 EU 25EU 3
Japan
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|9
Market size and geographically
designated patent filings, 2003
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Population (M)
Noffilin
Japan
EPO 3
USA
EPO 13
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|10
Not all patents are the same
Number of claims of applications at the USPTO: 23-24
At the JPO: 7
At the EPO: 18.
Many other differences
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|11
Market size and geographically
designated filings of claims, 2003
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Population (M)
Mofclaimsfi
Japan
EPO 3
EPO 13
USA
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|12
Why no size effect?Why _ so few patents at EPO?
EPO = second filings (however Japan)
Not a European market for technology: once grantedthe patent must be validated, translated. In eachindividual member country
A matter of cost?
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|13
Cost effect in the literature?
Surveys always underline the high cost ofpatenting perceived by firms
Surveys always underline a lack of confidence inthe IP system
BUT:
No correlation with patenting behavior
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|14
The cost of patenting
Official fees
Patent attorney for document
Patent attorney for interaction
Patent attorney for translations
Validation fees
Renewal fees
In house or outsourced + transaction cost
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|15
Cost is unique for each patent:
Quality of services
Number of claims/page
Desired geographical scope
Desired speed of services
Desired route (PCT, Direct)
Hypotheses: 3 or 13 EU member countries
Average number of claims
To grant, to 10 years, to 20 years
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|16
Roland Berger, 2005 Survey
17,78022,10019,500**12,500**Attorneys and prof. rep.
31,58046,55056,27223,545TOTAL, including:
5,3006,800Attorneys
5,6009,20016,5972,975Fees
10,90016,000Renewal fees, including:
3,4007,40013,600*3,400*Translation costs
4,4006,3006,5754,670EPO fees
6151818Number of claims
68133Designated states
Euro-DirectEuro-PCTAllAll
RB (2005)1This paper, Table 3
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|17
Comparative cost structure of patentapplications and maintenance
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
90.000
100.000
110.000
120.000
130.000
EPO3 EPO13 USPTO J PO
Process costs
Process and translation
Process and external serv.
TOTAL 10 years
TOTAL 20 years
3,0654,670 6,575 1,541
8,070 20,175
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|18
Proposals for comparativecost analysis:
Process and translation costs more reliable (butno professional representation costs)
Analyse the cost per claim
Analyse the cost per claim per market unit(capita) : 3C-index
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|19
Patent costs per claim in the
three offices
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Process costs Process and
translation
Process and
external serv.
TOTAL 10 years TOTAL 20 years
Cumulative costs
EUR
EPO13
USPTO
EPO3
JPO
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|20
European and Japanese costs relativeto the US
3.51.91.7JPO
10.05.38.4EPO13
3.42.23.4EPO3
CLAIMS
1.10.60.5JPO
7.84.26.6EPO13
2.61.72.6EPO3
TOTAL 20years
TOTAL 10years
Process andtranslationPATENTS
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|21
Millions of claims filed vs. process
cost per claim
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
EUR
M
ofClai
USA
EU 3
Japan
EU 13
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|22
Millions of claims filed vs. processcost per claim per capita : 3C-index
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,
EUR
Mofclai
USA
Japan
EU 3
EU 13
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|23
Qualitative indicators in the three
regional offices
50% (QW: 64%)64% (QW: 87 to 97%)59% (QW: 67%)Grant rate2
371*1,103326.9Claims granted perexaminer
1,1952,235624.1Claims filed perexaminer
50.5*47.817.8Grants per examiner
170.3*96.934.6Filings per examiner
2.9 Million7.9 Million2.1 MillionTotal number of claimsfiled
31exam
27Search: 12Exam : 38
Procedure pendency(in months)
53.8%100%87%Examination rate
JPOUSPTOEPO
3 to 4
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|24
Other factors than costs...
No perceived Europen market : complexity
Longer process, more time per patent
More rigor, and hence quality
Less domains of patentability
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|25
Concluding Remarks on costs
Methodological implications: 3C-index
Europe attracts much less patents than the USA, there is noEurope-wide market for technology
The higher cost of patents induce a smaller demand
The higher rigor of the EPO process would justify higherexamination fees and explain a smaller demand for patent...
but not the 'virtually' higher costs related to validation,translation, transactions, renewals in each individual memberstate
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|26
European Community patent a dream
European Patent Litigation Agreement
London Protocol (much lower translation costs)
Concluding Remarks on costs
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|27
EPO Filing
Belgian Patent
Patenting Processes
Toward a European Community Patent?
Application ProcedureatEPO (Munich)
Enforcementin National CourtsGrant Death
European Patent (Under current EPC)
French Patent
German Patent
UK Patent
Filing
Application Procedure atEPO Enforcement in CentralEuropean Patent CourtGrant Death
European Community Patent (in the future?)
EPO Filing European Patent
Filing
6.2. The Value of Patents
1. The Value of Patents2. A Skewed Value Distribution3. Valorization Models
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6.2. The Value of Patents
1. The Value of Patents
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|30
Patent Value
For a corporation involved in
technological competition, the value of
a patent is best defined as its asset
value
(Harhoff et al., 2003)
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|31
Patent Value
If the value of a patent is best defined as its asset
value, then the value of the patent is actually the
present value of its future cash flows
1- If the patent is exploited by its holder, then it is the
value of the margins on the sold products issuing from
the patent
Share of revenues really due to patent???2- If the patent is licensed out by its holder to external
companies, than it is the value of the royalty feesgenerated by the patent
Very difficult to observeProxies or Indicators only
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|32
Patent Value
Two different types of value proxies:
1- Indicators of patents value show a direct
correlation with observable prices, costs, or sold
quantities of the patent-protected product,
2- Indicators operationalize latent determinants of
patent value such as novelty, inventive step,
breadth, difficulty of inventing around,
disclosure, and dependence on complementary
assets.
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6.2. The Value of Patents
2. A Skewed Value Distribution
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|34
Patent ValueGuellec & van Pottelsberghe
Inventions
1
Applic.
2
Grants
3
High
value4
5
Increasing value
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6.2. The Value of Patents
3. Valorization Models
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|36
Patent Value
Little theoretical understanding and even less empiricalevidence on the complex interaction between indicators,determinants and prices, costs, and quantities of protectedproducts sold.
Until today, a variety of variables have been tested as
indicators of patent value. Amongst them, Reitzig (2002)analyzes the appropriateness of 13 indicators. The 3
evaluation criteria are:
-The validity of the indicator variable
-The point in time at which the information to compute the
indicator becomes accessible
-If the information is available electronically or has to be
collected manually.
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|37
Patent Value
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|38
Patent Value
Three generations of indicators of patent value:
1. The authors of the 1st generation validate indicators which are
linked to patent value by rationales that speak to rather general
economic considerations (i.e., family size, market value, forward &
backward citations) it does not involve in-depth knowledge of
institutional details of the patent system.
2. The 2nd generation indicators use patent-specific procedural
information and link it to patent value (i.e., referring to the filing
strategy or the legal contents of backward citations).
3. The 3rd, new generation: using the patent-full text documents
(i.e., correlation between nber of claims & macro indices of a
nations technological performance)
State of the Art
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|39
Patent ValueState of the Art
New field ofresearch
Patent full-textdocuments (vs makinguse only of 1st pageinfo)
3rd
Less empiricalevidence
Pattern-specificeconomic
considerations
2nd
Empirical evidenceGeneral economicconsiderations
1st
ResearchWhat the indicatorsof a generationhave in common:
Generation
6.3. Determinants of PatentValue
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|41
Patent Value
Assessing the value of patent rights is difficult (distributionis skewed)
Skewness property (Griliches) : These findings, especiallythe large amount of skewness in this distribution, leadto rather pessimistic implications for the use of patentcounts as indicators of short-run changes in the output ofR&D.
Need additional information which is correlated with thetrue value of the patent right
Allow much greater accuracy than unweighted countstatistics
Attempt to solve the problem : use of the informationcontained in renewal decisions of patent holders(Schankermanand Pakes)
Survey of Harhoff, Scherer & Vopel (1999)
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|42
Patent Value
Others correlates of patent value that have been studied are :
Market value of biotechnology firms (Lerner1994)
Social returns to innovation in the computer-tomography scanner industry (Trajtenberg1990)
Number ofjuridictions in which patent protection issought (Putnam1996)
The value of patent rights can be approximated by combiningthese indicators
This survey uses a broad set of indicators which are :
Survey of Harhoff, Scherer & Vopel (1999)
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|43
Patent ValueSurvey of Harhoff, Scherer & Vopel (1999)
Forward citations (citations received from subsequent
patents)
Backward citations (references to other patents)
The number of references made to the non-patent
literature, i.e. mostly to scientific journals.
The outcome ofopposition proceedings
Patent "family size (the number of countries in which
patents were granted for the same invention)
The scope of the patent (that has as proxy the number of
different four-digit IPC classifications)
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|44
Patent Value
They focus on the private value of patent rights and consider twoconcepts :
the value of renewed patent protection the asset value of the patent right
Three scenarios: I. In the first scenario, the patent protects a quality improvement
of a product, but there is no interaction between this particular andother patent rights.
II. They allow for such interactions as they occur in cumulativeresearch processes. In such cases, control over one patent mayaffect the value of other patent rights as well if the owner of onepatent can block the use of the other.
III. They consider the case of multiple patents coveringtechnologies that are perfect substitutes for each other.
Theoretical Issues in Measuring the Value ofPatent Rights
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|45
Patent ValueEstimates of patent value the left hand side,
explained variable
Purpose: In what extent patent value is explained byobservables (citations, scope,)?
First step: a survey to obtain value estimates that weremeant to capture asset values of patent rights.
The survey was directed at German patent-holders andconducted in 1996.
It considered all patent grants with a 1977 German prioritydate which were renewed to full term, i.e., expired during1995.
Data on 4349 patents that were applied for in 1977 andrenewed to full term.
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|46
Patent ValueEstimates of patent value the left hand side,explained variable
Sample was asked a single question :
If in 1980 you had known how its contribution to the
future profitability of your enterprise would unfold,
what is the minimum price for which you would have
sold the patent, assuming that you had a good-faith offerto purchase?
Respondents were asked to place their patent within one of
5 broad minimum selling price ranges: less than DM
100,000, DM 100-399,999, DM 400-999,999, DM 1-5
million, and more than DM 5 million.
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|47
Patent ValueResults of the survey - The distribution of the
value of patent rights
Positive responses were obtained on 772 patents
(57.1% of the total on which contacts were
made) held by 394 organizational entities and
individual inventors (+ or 10).
The distribution of the value of patent rights is
summarized in the following Table.
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|48
Patent ValueResults of the survey - The distribution of thevalue of patent rights
Respondents Valuation of Patents with Full Term - Results after Interviews
Valuation of Patent Cases Percent
Less than
DM 100,000 203 27.0 %
DM 100,000 399,999 200 26.6 %
DM 400,000 999,999 154 20.5 %DM 1 - 5 mill ion 129 17.2 %
DM 5 - 10 mill ion 28 3.7 %
DM 10 - 20 mill ion 16 2.1 %
DM 20 - 40 mill ion 15 2.0 %
DM 40 - 80 mill ion 5 0.7 %
More than DM 80 million 2 0.3 %
Total 752 100.0 %
Note: the survey also produced data for 20 other patents which were assessed by
respondents of our written survey to be worth more than DM 5 million. In these cases, no
additional information was available.
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|49
Patent ValueCorrelates of patent value - the right hand side,
explaining variables
1. Patent Scope :
The scope of a patent is difficult to assess and measure- use of Lerners approach (number of four digit IPC)
2. Citations Received from Subsequent Patents :
Looking at the frequency of citations that a particularcontribution receives from subsequent patents.
3.References to other Patents (BackwardCitations):
A relatively small scope and low monetary value shouldcharacterize a patent whose examination report containsa large number of backward citations.
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|50
Patent ValueCorrelates of patent value - the right hand side,explaining variables
4. References to the Non-Patent Literature:Patents may be based in part or fully on new scientific knowledge.
A relatively high number of references to the scientific literature maytherefore indicate patents of relatively high value (PATDPAdatabase)
5. Family Size :
The size of a patent family (measured as the number of jurisdictionsin which a patent grant has been sought) and the survival span ofpatents are highly correlated (Putnam and Lanjouw)
6. Outcome of Opposition Cases :On average, 8% of all EPO patents are opposed, and 14 % of thepatents thus attacked are revoked. However, opposition rates andoutcomes for EPO patents vary considerably. Leading companieshave their patents opposed far more often than on average. (vander Drift1989)
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|51
Patent ValueCorrelates of patent value 6. Opposition
annulment cases
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|52
Patent ValueData The 1977 sample of applications
Of the total of 57 782 patent applications (comprising
patents renewed to full term), only 24 116 (41.7%) were
initially granted.
Since obtaining patent protection in other than the own
jurisdiction is expensive, applicants will seek international
protection only for their more valuable inventions (Putman
1991).
Foreign patents should be more likely to pass the
examination process.
Patents owned by non-German applicants are attacked less
frequently than German patents (exception: US Patents).
13.3% of the German-owned patents are renewed to full
term, while non-German are more often renewed to full-
term.
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|53
Patent Value
Data The 1977 sample of applications
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|54
Patent ValueData Descriptive statistics
Focus on the 11 475 patents that were initially
granted.
Description of the mean values and standard
errors for the 6 indicators according to different
groups of patents.
Study of the following table:
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|55
Patent ValueData Descriptive statistics
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|56
Patent ValueData Descriptive statistics - Results
Patents which defeated opposition turn out to
differ with respect to most indicators from
patents that were held invalid or never opposed.
Comparison column 3 & 4: unopposed full-term
patents receive more citations, contain more
references and are part of larger patent families
than unopposed patents which were not renewed
to full term (same result holds for a comparison of
patents that were opposed and subsequently
upheld).
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|57
Patent Value
Focus on the moments, range and distribution of the scope andcitation measures.
Data Descriptive statistics
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|58
Patent Value
Most of the indicator variables have skew distributions,with the mean always larger than the median.
Citation counts both in the German and the Europeansystems are spectacularly low by USPTO standards. 2potential reasons:
1. Both the EPO and the DPA systems contain fewerapplications and granted patents/year than the USPTO.
2. Best-mode practice in the USA: applicants have toprovide an exhaustive list of patents that could beconsidered prior art. In Europe, all of the citations in thepatent report come from the examiner, not the applicant.
3. The examiners approach to referencing prior art is moreconservative and targeted in Europe than in the USA.
Data Descriptive statistics - Interpretation
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|59
Patent ValueEstimation multivariate specification
Combination of the above indicators to model the meanvalue of patent rights as a function ofobservables
Complex: no point estimates but only lower & upperbounds => use of an ordered probit framework. Thatmeans:
- Full-term patents delineated by a lower bound, , theparameter to be estimated
- is, at the same time, the upper bound for the value ofpatents which were not renewed to full-term.
The econometric model starts by specifying the logarithmofpatent valuation ln(V)as the sum of a linear functionXbof (ex post) observables and of an error term e
ln(V)= Xb + e
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|60
Patent ValueEstimation multivariate specification
Assumption that :
1. the error terms are distributed i.i.d
2. the normality of the error terms such that the probability of
observing a patent in the value interval between 1and 2 (where 2>
1) is given by (ln(2)/ - X/)- (ln(1)/ - X/) where is the
standard error of the disturbance and (.) is the cumulativestandard normal distribution.
The log-likelihood contribution for patents for which we observe finiteinterval bounds is given by:
lnLA(, , /X) =ln((ln(2)/-X/)- (ln(1)/-X/))(1)
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|61
Patent Value
lnLC(, , /X) =ln(1-(ln()/- Xi/))
lnLB(, , /X, ) =ln(1-(ln()/- Xi/))
Estimation multivariate specification
For observations with value greater than some known amount , butno data on a potential upper bound, the log-likelihood is:
(2)
Those patents that were renewed to full-term with unknown valuationcontribute
Finally, the log-likelihood contribution of those 9349 patents that werenot renewed to full-term is given by:
lnLD(, , /X) = ln((ln()/- Xi/))
(3)
(4)
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|62
Patent Value Estimation Results
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|63
Patent Value
Estimation Results
The scope variable is insignificant in these specifications.
All other variables turn out to have some explanatory power.
While references to the scientific literature are informativeabout the patents value, the average effect across alltechnology areas is smaller than for backward citations ofpatents.
The indicators summarizing the outcome of the opposition islarge and highly significant. A patent which has defeatedopposition in the opposition procedure is considerably morevaluable than a patent that was never attacked.
6.4. Valorization & Securitization
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|65
Patent Valorization & Securitization
Economic value of patents is increasing
Starting observations:
IPR generate competitive
advantage
Estimated value of patents
portfolio has increased in
recent years
IPR increasingly used in
firms valuation
Accenture Survey 2003:
Managing Intangibles is a
CEOs Top 3 priority
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|66
Capital Information
Product Human
ResourceKnow-
HowTechnology
Brand PowerBrand Power
Tangible Assets Intangible Assets
Goodwill Intellectual Assets
On Balance SheetOn Balance Sheet Off Balance SheetOff Balance Sheet
Plants, Equipment,Credit, etc
When These Management
Resources Ar e Rearranged
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationIntellectual Assets as Management Resources
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|67
Patent Valorization & Securitization
Firms exploit patent value through multiple channels
Embedding protected inventions in new products/processes/services
Additional revenues from outward licensing
Access to new technologies (through inward or cross-licensing)
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|68
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationContribution of patents to economic value is hidden
Although critical, IP is under-valued
Traditional wall between research labs and business needs leeds tounexploitability of inventions e.g. Dow Chemical: 55% utilization rate of patents in 2002
Investors need reliable information on patent value
Today, few companies report on the value of their patents Multiple ways of evaluating patents, but no consensus
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Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|69
Patent Valorization & Securitization
Current Financial IP Valuation Methods
Three broad categories:
Market approach: Valuation is determined by looking for similar
transactions involving similar IP. But there is no dynamic market in the
industry for the type of IP valuation and so there will not be many cases
to which the purposed transaction can be compared.
Cost approach: Valuation is determined by what it would cost to
substitute or design around the intellectual property protection. Unless
patent is narrow in scope, it may not be possible to design around
without infringing. Income approach: Valuation is determined from anticipated revenue
which is discounted at some rate according risk factors which could affect
revenue projections. This provides net present value (NPV).
Most common method used for valuations prior to securitization
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|70
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationSecuritization of IP Rights
Just as the electronics industry was formed when thevacuum tubes were replaced by transistors, and transistors
were then replaced by integrated circuits, the financialservices industry is being transformed now that securitisedcredit is beginning to replace traditional lending. Like othertechnological transformations, this one will take place overthe years, not overnight. We estimate it will take 10 to 15years for structured securitised credit to replace to displacecompletely the classical lending system -not a long time,
considering that the fundamentals of banking have remainedessentially unchanged since the Middle Ages.
Lowell L Bryan
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Patent Valorization & Securitization
Defining Securitization
A device of structured financing where an entity seeks to pooltogether its interest in identifiable cash flows over time,transfer the same to investors either with or without thesupport of further collaterals, and thereby achieve thepurpose of financing. Though the end-result of securitisationis financing, but it is not "financing" as such, since the entitysecuritising its assets it not borrowing money, but selling astream of cash flows that was otherwise to accrue to it.
Simplest form: Conversion of assets or cashflow intomarketable securitiesAsset-Backed Securities (ABS)
Origins: GNMA (1970s), Chrysler Financial Corp. (1981)
Estimated market size: $584 billion
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|72
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationIP Valuation and Securitization
Total asset value of patents worldwide: $1 trillion
Revenues from licensing in the US increased by 700%
between 1990 and 1998 to more than $100 billion
IP-backed securitization is recent Origins:
David Bowie (1997)
Dow Chemical (1992)
Recent hype in the field: Companies raising money by selling
bonds back from the income they receive from their IP
licensing.
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Patent Valorization & Securitization
IP Valuation and Securitization
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|74
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationAdvantages of IP-backed Securitization
A company which securitizes its IP can obtain a greater amount of
revenue than from a loan based on that future revenue
Capital is obtained immediately, rather than waiting for royalties to trickle
in over time
Securitization sets up a fixed interest for the duration of the deal
Securitization is non-recourse to the originator & irrevocability of the
bond sale becomes an insurance policy for the value of future royalties
Taxes do not have to be paid on the amount raised by the securitization
Owner retains ownership of the IP
Credit rating on securitization can be higher than the originators rating
because of the quality of the assets, credit enhancement, and the
isolation of the assets in a bankruptcy-remote entity
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Patent Valorization & Securitization
Types of IP-backed Securitization
Loans collateralized by title to a patent the lender loans at a loan to value ratio of between 25-30% of the
appraised value of the asset (depending on the asset quality,creditworthiness of the asset holder, and other risk factors)
The asset holder is happy because he has raised debt capital againstthe value of his asset without relying on the credit of his firm
Securitizations of cash flows emanating from patent basedlicensing agreements The patent is the underlying asset that generates cash flows as
defined by licensing agreements.
The securitizations can either be asset backed (based on guaranteedpayments as defined by a licensing agreement) or future flows (basedon projected royalty streams, generally riskier)
The structure for this type of deal is a special purpose vehicle (SPV)used in other asset backed securities which functions as a legal entity
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|76
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationProcess of IP-backed Securitization
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Patent Valorization & Securitization
IP Valuation and Securitization
Why companies are hesitating?
Lack of success stories so far: need a number of well publicized -and successful - cross border transactions for global IPsecuritization to truly take off
For multinationals with IP assets all around the world, IPSecuritization would not work in all countries
Requires a lot of work to develop the documentation that wouldcomply with everyone's laws as well as provide the ability toperfect those security interests in a particular country and the US
Nevertheless, IP assets can be the strongest assets in acorporate portfolio, they're a potential gold mine
Recent examples
Matsushita securitized patents under new Japanese METI system
Candies: bond pooling & selling income from its logos and licensing
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|78
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationIP Valuation and Securitization
Key questions:
Who has the actual ownership of the asset (co-ownership)?
What if the patented technology becomes quickly obsolete?
If the debtor can grant licenses to the IP, would that significantly
diminish its value by transferring the ownership?
What related assets (IP Rights) may be needed to exploit a
particular piece of IP and are they protected?
e.g. Coca-Cola: You can securitize the brand name, but in reality
that would not be enough because if a lender would ever have to
foreclose, the name Coca Cola without the underlying trade secret
formula is going to have diminished value
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Patent Valorization & Securitization
Conclusions
Markets for technology offer social & economic benefits
Patent exploitation requires well-functional technology markets
Efficient technology markets increase transfers of technology Better diffusion of knowledge
Technology transfer increases in developed economies Shift toward more open innovation processes Universities encouraged to enter patent markets & license out
Intermediaries help technology markets to function smoothly
Public technology licensing offices
E-Market places for technology
Private firms offering advice & linking technology buyers & sellers
All help to improve market efficiency & reduce transaction costs
Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|80
Patent Valorization & SecuritizationConclusions
Public institutions have an important role to play
Improving administration of patent systems to bring
Better enforceability of patents
Faster generation of IP Rights (faster granting procedure)
Providing information to markets
Licensing markets requires timely information about patented inventions
IP valuation tools and methods
Educating and training
Make inventors aware of available options to protect & license inventions
Supporting patent management in the public sector
Foster technology transfers from public research organisations
Encourage & facilitate generation of IPR by public research institutions
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Patent Valorization & Securitization
Conclusions
Need for improved data collection, diffusion & analysis
Under what circumstances are patents used?
When are patents licensed?
When are patents used to block competitors?
When are patents used to negotiate access to 3rd-pary technologies?
How do licensing strategies affect perceived value of patents?
How is the value of a patent related to other patents?
What roles do patents play in technology markets?
Which are the barriers for the development of technology markets?