GEST112_2006_S06_2

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    The Theory of Innovation &Entrepreneurship

    Prof. Bruno van Pottelsberghe

    Ass. Nicolas van Zeebroeck

    GEST 112 (Technological Innovation)

    S6: The Value of Patents

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|2

    Todays Menu .

    S6.1. The Cost of patenting

    Van Pottelsberghe B. and D. Franois, 2006, The cost factor in patentsystems, working paper.

    S6.2. The Value of Patents Harhoff D., Scherer F. M. and Vopel K. (1999),"Citations, Family Size,

    Opposition and the Value of Patent Rights", 31p. Reitzig M. (2004), Improving patent valuations for managementpurposes - validating new indicators by analyzing application rationales,Research Policy, n 33 (2004), pp. 939957.

    S6.3. The Determinants of Patent Value Guellec D. and Van Pottelsberghe B. (2000), Applications, Grants andthe value of patents, Economic Letters, 69(1).

    S6.4. Financial Valorization and Securitization Edwards D. (2002), Patent Backed Securitization: Blueprint for a newasset class, Gerling NCM, 2001. Washington|CORE.

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    6.1. The cost of patenting

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|4

    Objectives :

    Whether and to what extent the cost of patentingaffect the demand for patent?

    Put forward a methodology for comparative analysis of

    patent systems : the 3-C index The role of cost

    Non-cost factors

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|5

    Table 1. EPO, USPTO and JPO:

    Basic figures, 2003

    Why? to expensive? Not all domestic patents? different patents?

    4137Others

    31550EPC States

    881816Japan

    55527USA

    Geographical origins of patent filings (%)

    122,511169,02859,992Total Patent Granted

    413,092342,441116,613Total Patent Filings

    8399501,022Annual revenue, M

    1,12623,6373.400Patent examiners

    2,4796,7235,821Total staff

    JPOUSPTOEPO

    x 3

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|6

    Caveats: EU does not include thedomestic priority filings... but

    Similar percentage of filings from abroad at theUSPTO and at the EPO, about 50% (2nd filings)

    Similar percentage of filings from Japan at theUSPTO and at the EPO, about 18% : (2nd filings)

    They confirm that the US market is three timesmore attractive that the European market.

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|7

    Table 1. EPO, USPTO and JPO: Basicfigures, 2003

    4137Others

    31550EPC States

    881816Japan

    55527USA

    Geographical origins of patent filings (%)

    122,511169,02859,992Total Patent Granted

    413,092342,441116,613Total Patent Filings

    8399501,022Annual revenue, M

    1,12623,6373.400Patent examiners

    2,4796,7235,821Total staff

    JPOUSPTOEPO

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|8

    Market size and patent filings, 2003

    0

    50000

    100000

    150000

    200000

    250000

    300000

    350000

    400000

    450000

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 50

    Population (M)

    Patentfiled

    USA

    EU 13 EU 25EU 3

    Japan

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|9

    Market size and geographically

    designated patent filings, 2003

    0

    50000

    100000

    150000

    200000

    250000

    300000

    350000

    400000

    450000

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

    Population (M)

    Noffilin

    Japan

    EPO 3

    USA

    EPO 13

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|10

    Not all patents are the same

    Number of claims of applications at the USPTO: 23-24

    At the JPO: 7

    At the EPO: 18.

    Many other differences

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|11

    Market size and geographically

    designated filings of claims, 2003

    0,0

    1,0

    2,0

    3,0

    4,0

    5,0

    6,0

    7,0

    8,0

    9,0

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

    Population (M)

    Mofclaimsfi

    Japan

    EPO 3

    EPO 13

    USA

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|12

    Why no size effect?Why _ so few patents at EPO?

    EPO = second filings (however Japan)

    Not a European market for technology: once grantedthe patent must be validated, translated. In eachindividual member country

    A matter of cost?

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|13

    Cost effect in the literature?

    Surveys always underline the high cost ofpatenting perceived by firms

    Surveys always underline a lack of confidence inthe IP system

    BUT:

    No correlation with patenting behavior

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|14

    The cost of patenting

    Official fees

    Patent attorney for document

    Patent attorney for interaction

    Patent attorney for translations

    Validation fees

    Renewal fees

    In house or outsourced + transaction cost

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|15

    Cost is unique for each patent:

    Quality of services

    Number of claims/page

    Desired geographical scope

    Desired speed of services

    Desired route (PCT, Direct)

    Hypotheses: 3 or 13 EU member countries

    Average number of claims

    To grant, to 10 years, to 20 years

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|16

    Roland Berger, 2005 Survey

    17,78022,10019,500**12,500**Attorneys and prof. rep.

    31,58046,55056,27223,545TOTAL, including:

    5,3006,800Attorneys

    5,6009,20016,5972,975Fees

    10,90016,000Renewal fees, including:

    3,4007,40013,600*3,400*Translation costs

    4,4006,3006,5754,670EPO fees

    6151818Number of claims

    68133Designated states

    Euro-DirectEuro-PCTAllAll

    RB (2005)1This paper, Table 3

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|17

    Comparative cost structure of patentapplications and maintenance

    0

    10.000

    20.000

    30.000

    40.000

    50.000

    60.000

    70.000

    80.000

    90.000

    100.000

    110.000

    120.000

    130.000

    EPO3 EPO13 USPTO J PO

    Process costs

    Process and translation

    Process and external serv.

    TOTAL 10 years

    TOTAL 20 years

    3,0654,670 6,575 1,541

    8,070 20,175

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|18

    Proposals for comparativecost analysis:

    Process and translation costs more reliable (butno professional representation costs)

    Analyse the cost per claim

    Analyse the cost per claim per market unit(capita) : 3C-index

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|19

    Patent costs per claim in the

    three offices

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    Process costs Process and

    translation

    Process and

    external serv.

    TOTAL 10 years TOTAL 20 years

    Cumulative costs

    EUR

    EPO13

    USPTO

    EPO3

    JPO

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|20

    European and Japanese costs relativeto the US

    3.51.91.7JPO

    10.05.38.4EPO13

    3.42.23.4EPO3

    CLAIMS

    1.10.60.5JPO

    7.84.26.6EPO13

    2.61.72.6EPO3

    TOTAL 20years

    TOTAL 10years

    Process andtranslationPATENTS

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|21

    Millions of claims filed vs. process

    cost per claim

    0,0

    1,0

    2,0

    3,0

    4,0

    5,0

    6,0

    7,0

    8,0

    9,0

    0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

    EUR

    M

    ofClai

    USA

    EU 3

    Japan

    EU 13

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|22

    Millions of claims filed vs. processcost per claim per capita : 3C-index

    0,0

    1,0

    2,0

    3,0

    4,0

    5,0

    6,0

    7,0

    8,0

    9,0

    0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,

    EUR

    Mofclai

    USA

    Japan

    EU 3

    EU 13

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|23

    Qualitative indicators in the three

    regional offices

    50% (QW: 64%)64% (QW: 87 to 97%)59% (QW: 67%)Grant rate2

    371*1,103326.9Claims granted perexaminer

    1,1952,235624.1Claims filed perexaminer

    50.5*47.817.8Grants per examiner

    170.3*96.934.6Filings per examiner

    2.9 Million7.9 Million2.1 MillionTotal number of claimsfiled

    31exam

    27Search: 12Exam : 38

    Procedure pendency(in months)

    53.8%100%87%Examination rate

    JPOUSPTOEPO

    3 to 4

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|24

    Other factors than costs...

    No perceived Europen market : complexity

    Longer process, more time per patent

    More rigor, and hence quality

    Less domains of patentability

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|25

    Concluding Remarks on costs

    Methodological implications: 3C-index

    Europe attracts much less patents than the USA, there is noEurope-wide market for technology

    The higher cost of patents induce a smaller demand

    The higher rigor of the EPO process would justify higherexamination fees and explain a smaller demand for patent...

    but not the 'virtually' higher costs related to validation,translation, transactions, renewals in each individual memberstate

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|26

    European Community patent a dream

    European Patent Litigation Agreement

    London Protocol (much lower translation costs)

    Concluding Remarks on costs

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|27

    EPO Filing

    Belgian Patent

    Patenting Processes

    Toward a European Community Patent?

    Application ProcedureatEPO (Munich)

    Enforcementin National CourtsGrant Death

    European Patent (Under current EPC)

    French Patent

    German Patent

    UK Patent

    Filing

    Application Procedure atEPO Enforcement in CentralEuropean Patent CourtGrant Death

    European Community Patent (in the future?)

    EPO Filing European Patent

    Filing

    6.2. The Value of Patents

    1. The Value of Patents2. A Skewed Value Distribution3. Valorization Models

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    6.2. The Value of Patents

    1. The Value of Patents

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|30

    Patent Value

    For a corporation involved in

    technological competition, the value of

    a patent is best defined as its asset

    value

    (Harhoff et al., 2003)

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|31

    Patent Value

    If the value of a patent is best defined as its asset

    value, then the value of the patent is actually the

    present value of its future cash flows

    1- If the patent is exploited by its holder, then it is the

    value of the margins on the sold products issuing from

    the patent

    Share of revenues really due to patent???2- If the patent is licensed out by its holder to external

    companies, than it is the value of the royalty feesgenerated by the patent

    Very difficult to observeProxies or Indicators only

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|32

    Patent Value

    Two different types of value proxies:

    1- Indicators of patents value show a direct

    correlation with observable prices, costs, or sold

    quantities of the patent-protected product,

    2- Indicators operationalize latent determinants of

    patent value such as novelty, inventive step,

    breadth, difficulty of inventing around,

    disclosure, and dependence on complementary

    assets.

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    6.2. The Value of Patents

    2. A Skewed Value Distribution

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|34

    Patent ValueGuellec & van Pottelsberghe

    Inventions

    1

    Applic.

    2

    Grants

    3

    High

    value4

    5

    Increasing value

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    6.2. The Value of Patents

    3. Valorization Models

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|36

    Patent Value

    Little theoretical understanding and even less empiricalevidence on the complex interaction between indicators,determinants and prices, costs, and quantities of protectedproducts sold.

    Until today, a variety of variables have been tested as

    indicators of patent value. Amongst them, Reitzig (2002)analyzes the appropriateness of 13 indicators. The 3

    evaluation criteria are:

    -The validity of the indicator variable

    -The point in time at which the information to compute the

    indicator becomes accessible

    -If the information is available electronically or has to be

    collected manually.

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|37

    Patent Value

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|38

    Patent Value

    Three generations of indicators of patent value:

    1. The authors of the 1st generation validate indicators which are

    linked to patent value by rationales that speak to rather general

    economic considerations (i.e., family size, market value, forward &

    backward citations) it does not involve in-depth knowledge of

    institutional details of the patent system.

    2. The 2nd generation indicators use patent-specific procedural

    information and link it to patent value (i.e., referring to the filing

    strategy or the legal contents of backward citations).

    3. The 3rd, new generation: using the patent-full text documents

    (i.e., correlation between nber of claims & macro indices of a

    nations technological performance)

    State of the Art

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|39

    Patent ValueState of the Art

    New field ofresearch

    Patent full-textdocuments (vs makinguse only of 1st pageinfo)

    3rd

    Less empiricalevidence

    Pattern-specificeconomic

    considerations

    2nd

    Empirical evidenceGeneral economicconsiderations

    1st

    ResearchWhat the indicatorsof a generationhave in common:

    Generation

    6.3. Determinants of PatentValue

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|41

    Patent Value

    Assessing the value of patent rights is difficult (distributionis skewed)

    Skewness property (Griliches) : These findings, especiallythe large amount of skewness in this distribution, leadto rather pessimistic implications for the use of patentcounts as indicators of short-run changes in the output ofR&D.

    Need additional information which is correlated with thetrue value of the patent right

    Allow much greater accuracy than unweighted countstatistics

    Attempt to solve the problem : use of the informationcontained in renewal decisions of patent holders(Schankermanand Pakes)

    Survey of Harhoff, Scherer & Vopel (1999)

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|42

    Patent Value

    Others correlates of patent value that have been studied are :

    Market value of biotechnology firms (Lerner1994)

    Social returns to innovation in the computer-tomography scanner industry (Trajtenberg1990)

    Number ofjuridictions in which patent protection issought (Putnam1996)

    The value of patent rights can be approximated by combiningthese indicators

    This survey uses a broad set of indicators which are :

    Survey of Harhoff, Scherer & Vopel (1999)

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|43

    Patent ValueSurvey of Harhoff, Scherer & Vopel (1999)

    Forward citations (citations received from subsequent

    patents)

    Backward citations (references to other patents)

    The number of references made to the non-patent

    literature, i.e. mostly to scientific journals.

    The outcome ofopposition proceedings

    Patent "family size (the number of countries in which

    patents were granted for the same invention)

    The scope of the patent (that has as proxy the number of

    different four-digit IPC classifications)

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|44

    Patent Value

    They focus on the private value of patent rights and consider twoconcepts :

    the value of renewed patent protection the asset value of the patent right

    Three scenarios: I. In the first scenario, the patent protects a quality improvement

    of a product, but there is no interaction between this particular andother patent rights.

    II. They allow for such interactions as they occur in cumulativeresearch processes. In such cases, control over one patent mayaffect the value of other patent rights as well if the owner of onepatent can block the use of the other.

    III. They consider the case of multiple patents coveringtechnologies that are perfect substitutes for each other.

    Theoretical Issues in Measuring the Value ofPatent Rights

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|45

    Patent ValueEstimates of patent value the left hand side,

    explained variable

    Purpose: In what extent patent value is explained byobservables (citations, scope,)?

    First step: a survey to obtain value estimates that weremeant to capture asset values of patent rights.

    The survey was directed at German patent-holders andconducted in 1996.

    It considered all patent grants with a 1977 German prioritydate which were renewed to full term, i.e., expired during1995.

    Data on 4349 patents that were applied for in 1977 andrenewed to full term.

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|46

    Patent ValueEstimates of patent value the left hand side,explained variable

    Sample was asked a single question :

    If in 1980 you had known how its contribution to the

    future profitability of your enterprise would unfold,

    what is the minimum price for which you would have

    sold the patent, assuming that you had a good-faith offerto purchase?

    Respondents were asked to place their patent within one of

    5 broad minimum selling price ranges: less than DM

    100,000, DM 100-399,999, DM 400-999,999, DM 1-5

    million, and more than DM 5 million.

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|47

    Patent ValueResults of the survey - The distribution of the

    value of patent rights

    Positive responses were obtained on 772 patents

    (57.1% of the total on which contacts were

    made) held by 394 organizational entities and

    individual inventors (+ or 10).

    The distribution of the value of patent rights is

    summarized in the following Table.

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|48

    Patent ValueResults of the survey - The distribution of thevalue of patent rights

    Respondents Valuation of Patents with Full Term - Results after Interviews

    Valuation of Patent Cases Percent

    Less than

    DM 100,000 203 27.0 %

    DM 100,000 399,999 200 26.6 %

    DM 400,000 999,999 154 20.5 %DM 1 - 5 mill ion 129 17.2 %

    DM 5 - 10 mill ion 28 3.7 %

    DM 10 - 20 mill ion 16 2.1 %

    DM 20 - 40 mill ion 15 2.0 %

    DM 40 - 80 mill ion 5 0.7 %

    More than DM 80 million 2 0.3 %

    Total 752 100.0 %

    Note: the survey also produced data for 20 other patents which were assessed by

    respondents of our written survey to be worth more than DM 5 million. In these cases, no

    additional information was available.

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|49

    Patent ValueCorrelates of patent value - the right hand side,

    explaining variables

    1. Patent Scope :

    The scope of a patent is difficult to assess and measure- use of Lerners approach (number of four digit IPC)

    2. Citations Received from Subsequent Patents :

    Looking at the frequency of citations that a particularcontribution receives from subsequent patents.

    3.References to other Patents (BackwardCitations):

    A relatively small scope and low monetary value shouldcharacterize a patent whose examination report containsa large number of backward citations.

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|50

    Patent ValueCorrelates of patent value - the right hand side,explaining variables

    4. References to the Non-Patent Literature:Patents may be based in part or fully on new scientific knowledge.

    A relatively high number of references to the scientific literature maytherefore indicate patents of relatively high value (PATDPAdatabase)

    5. Family Size :

    The size of a patent family (measured as the number of jurisdictionsin which a patent grant has been sought) and the survival span ofpatents are highly correlated (Putnam and Lanjouw)

    6. Outcome of Opposition Cases :On average, 8% of all EPO patents are opposed, and 14 % of thepatents thus attacked are revoked. However, opposition rates andoutcomes for EPO patents vary considerably. Leading companieshave their patents opposed far more often than on average. (vander Drift1989)

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|51

    Patent ValueCorrelates of patent value 6. Opposition

    annulment cases

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|52

    Patent ValueData The 1977 sample of applications

    Of the total of 57 782 patent applications (comprising

    patents renewed to full term), only 24 116 (41.7%) were

    initially granted.

    Since obtaining patent protection in other than the own

    jurisdiction is expensive, applicants will seek international

    protection only for their more valuable inventions (Putman

    1991).

    Foreign patents should be more likely to pass the

    examination process.

    Patents owned by non-German applicants are attacked less

    frequently than German patents (exception: US Patents).

    13.3% of the German-owned patents are renewed to full

    term, while non-German are more often renewed to full-

    term.

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|53

    Patent Value

    Data The 1977 sample of applications

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|54

    Patent ValueData Descriptive statistics

    Focus on the 11 475 patents that were initially

    granted.

    Description of the mean values and standard

    errors for the 6 indicators according to different

    groups of patents.

    Study of the following table:

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|55

    Patent ValueData Descriptive statistics

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|56

    Patent ValueData Descriptive statistics - Results

    Patents which defeated opposition turn out to

    differ with respect to most indicators from

    patents that were held invalid or never opposed.

    Comparison column 3 & 4: unopposed full-term

    patents receive more citations, contain more

    references and are part of larger patent families

    than unopposed patents which were not renewed

    to full term (same result holds for a comparison of

    patents that were opposed and subsequently

    upheld).

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|57

    Patent Value

    Focus on the moments, range and distribution of the scope andcitation measures.

    Data Descriptive statistics

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|58

    Patent Value

    Most of the indicator variables have skew distributions,with the mean always larger than the median.

    Citation counts both in the German and the Europeansystems are spectacularly low by USPTO standards. 2potential reasons:

    1. Both the EPO and the DPA systems contain fewerapplications and granted patents/year than the USPTO.

    2. Best-mode practice in the USA: applicants have toprovide an exhaustive list of patents that could beconsidered prior art. In Europe, all of the citations in thepatent report come from the examiner, not the applicant.

    3. The examiners approach to referencing prior art is moreconservative and targeted in Europe than in the USA.

    Data Descriptive statistics - Interpretation

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|59

    Patent ValueEstimation multivariate specification

    Combination of the above indicators to model the meanvalue of patent rights as a function ofobservables

    Complex: no point estimates but only lower & upperbounds => use of an ordered probit framework. Thatmeans:

    - Full-term patents delineated by a lower bound, , theparameter to be estimated

    - is, at the same time, the upper bound for the value ofpatents which were not renewed to full-term.

    The econometric model starts by specifying the logarithmofpatent valuation ln(V)as the sum of a linear functionXbof (ex post) observables and of an error term e

    ln(V)= Xb + e

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|60

    Patent ValueEstimation multivariate specification

    Assumption that :

    1. the error terms are distributed i.i.d

    2. the normality of the error terms such that the probability of

    observing a patent in the value interval between 1and 2 (where 2>

    1) is given by (ln(2)/ - X/)- (ln(1)/ - X/) where is the

    standard error of the disturbance and (.) is the cumulativestandard normal distribution.

    The log-likelihood contribution for patents for which we observe finiteinterval bounds is given by:

    lnLA(, , /X) =ln((ln(2)/-X/)- (ln(1)/-X/))(1)

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|61

    Patent Value

    lnLC(, , /X) =ln(1-(ln()/- Xi/))

    lnLB(, , /X, ) =ln(1-(ln()/- Xi/))

    Estimation multivariate specification

    For observations with value greater than some known amount , butno data on a potential upper bound, the log-likelihood is:

    (2)

    Those patents that were renewed to full-term with unknown valuationcontribute

    Finally, the log-likelihood contribution of those 9349 patents that werenot renewed to full-term is given by:

    lnLD(, , /X) = ln((ln()/- Xi/))

    (3)

    (4)

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|62

    Patent Value Estimation Results

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    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|63

    Patent Value

    Estimation Results

    The scope variable is insignificant in these specifications.

    All other variables turn out to have some explanatory power.

    While references to the scientific literature are informativeabout the patents value, the average effect across alltechnology areas is smaller than for backward citations ofpatents.

    The indicators summarizing the outcome of the opposition islarge and highly significant. A patent which has defeatedopposition in the opposition procedure is considerably morevaluable than a patent that was never attacked.

    6.4. Valorization & Securitization

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    Economic value of patents is increasing

    Starting observations:

    IPR generate competitive

    advantage

    Estimated value of patents

    portfolio has increased in

    recent years

    IPR increasingly used in

    firms valuation

    Accenture Survey 2003:

    Managing Intangibles is a

    CEOs Top 3 priority

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    Capital Information

    Product Human

    ResourceKnow-

    HowTechnology

    Brand PowerBrand Power

    Tangible Assets Intangible Assets

    Goodwill Intellectual Assets

    On Balance SheetOn Balance Sheet Off Balance SheetOff Balance Sheet

    Plants, Equipment,Credit, etc

    When These Management

    Resources Ar e Rearranged

    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationIntellectual Assets as Management Resources

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    Firms exploit patent value through multiple channels

    Embedding protected inventions in new products/processes/services

    Additional revenues from outward licensing

    Access to new technologies (through inward or cross-licensing)

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|68

    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationContribution of patents to economic value is hidden

    Although critical, IP is under-valued

    Traditional wall between research labs and business needs leeds tounexploitability of inventions e.g. Dow Chemical: 55% utilization rate of patents in 2002

    Investors need reliable information on patent value

    Today, few companies report on the value of their patents Multiple ways of evaluating patents, but no consensus

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    Current Financial IP Valuation Methods

    Three broad categories:

    Market approach: Valuation is determined by looking for similar

    transactions involving similar IP. But there is no dynamic market in the

    industry for the type of IP valuation and so there will not be many cases

    to which the purposed transaction can be compared.

    Cost approach: Valuation is determined by what it would cost to

    substitute or design around the intellectual property protection. Unless

    patent is narrow in scope, it may not be possible to design around

    without infringing. Income approach: Valuation is determined from anticipated revenue

    which is discounted at some rate according risk factors which could affect

    revenue projections. This provides net present value (NPV).

    Most common method used for valuations prior to securitization

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    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationSecuritization of IP Rights

    Just as the electronics industry was formed when thevacuum tubes were replaced by transistors, and transistors

    were then replaced by integrated circuits, the financialservices industry is being transformed now that securitisedcredit is beginning to replace traditional lending. Like othertechnological transformations, this one will take place overthe years, not overnight. We estimate it will take 10 to 15years for structured securitised credit to replace to displacecompletely the classical lending system -not a long time,

    considering that the fundamentals of banking have remainedessentially unchanged since the Middle Ages.

    Lowell L Bryan

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    Defining Securitization

    A device of structured financing where an entity seeks to pooltogether its interest in identifiable cash flows over time,transfer the same to investors either with or without thesupport of further collaterals, and thereby achieve thepurpose of financing. Though the end-result of securitisationis financing, but it is not "financing" as such, since the entitysecuritising its assets it not borrowing money, but selling astream of cash flows that was otherwise to accrue to it.

    Simplest form: Conversion of assets or cashflow intomarketable securitiesAsset-Backed Securities (ABS)

    Origins: GNMA (1970s), Chrysler Financial Corp. (1981)

    Estimated market size: $584 billion

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    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationIP Valuation and Securitization

    Total asset value of patents worldwide: $1 trillion

    Revenues from licensing in the US increased by 700%

    between 1990 and 1998 to more than $100 billion

    IP-backed securitization is recent Origins:

    David Bowie (1997)

    Dow Chemical (1992)

    Recent hype in the field: Companies raising money by selling

    bonds back from the income they receive from their IP

    licensing.

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    IP Valuation and Securitization

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    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationAdvantages of IP-backed Securitization

    A company which securitizes its IP can obtain a greater amount of

    revenue than from a loan based on that future revenue

    Capital is obtained immediately, rather than waiting for royalties to trickle

    in over time

    Securitization sets up a fixed interest for the duration of the deal

    Securitization is non-recourse to the originator & irrevocability of the

    bond sale becomes an insurance policy for the value of future royalties

    Taxes do not have to be paid on the amount raised by the securitization

    Owner retains ownership of the IP

    Credit rating on securitization can be higher than the originators rating

    because of the quality of the assets, credit enhancement, and the

    isolation of the assets in a bankruptcy-remote entity

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    Types of IP-backed Securitization

    Loans collateralized by title to a patent the lender loans at a loan to value ratio of between 25-30% of the

    appraised value of the asset (depending on the asset quality,creditworthiness of the asset holder, and other risk factors)

    The asset holder is happy because he has raised debt capital againstthe value of his asset without relying on the credit of his firm

    Securitizations of cash flows emanating from patent basedlicensing agreements The patent is the underlying asset that generates cash flows as

    defined by licensing agreements.

    The securitizations can either be asset backed (based on guaranteedpayments as defined by a licensing agreement) or future flows (basedon projected royalty streams, generally riskier)

    The structure for this type of deal is a special purpose vehicle (SPV)used in other asset backed securities which functions as a legal entity

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|76

    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationProcess of IP-backed Securitization

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    IP Valuation and Securitization

    Why companies are hesitating?

    Lack of success stories so far: need a number of well publicized -and successful - cross border transactions for global IPsecuritization to truly take off

    For multinationals with IP assets all around the world, IPSecuritization would not work in all countries

    Requires a lot of work to develop the documentation that wouldcomply with everyone's laws as well as provide the ability toperfect those security interests in a particular country and the US

    Nevertheless, IP assets can be the strongest assets in acorporate portfolio, they're a potential gold mine

    Recent examples

    Matsushita securitized patents under new Japanese METI system

    Candies: bond pooling & selling income from its logos and licensing

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    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationIP Valuation and Securitization

    Key questions:

    Who has the actual ownership of the asset (co-ownership)?

    What if the patented technology becomes quickly obsolete?

    If the debtor can grant licenses to the IP, would that significantly

    diminish its value by transferring the ownership?

    What related assets (IP Rights) may be needed to exploit a

    particular piece of IP and are they protected?

    e.g. Coca-Cola: You can securitize the brand name, but in reality

    that would not be enough because if a lender would ever have to

    foreclose, the name Coca Cola without the underlying trade secret

    formula is going to have diminished value

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    Conclusions

    Markets for technology offer social & economic benefits

    Patent exploitation requires well-functional technology markets

    Efficient technology markets increase transfers of technology Better diffusion of knowledge

    Technology transfer increases in developed economies Shift toward more open innovation processes Universities encouraged to enter patent markets & license out

    Intermediaries help technology markets to function smoothly

    Public technology licensing offices

    E-Market places for technology

    Private firms offering advice & linking technology buyers & sellers

    All help to improve market efficiency & reduce transaction costs

    Van Pottelsberghe SBS S6|80

    Patent Valorization & SecuritizationConclusions

    Public institutions have an important role to play

    Improving administration of patent systems to bring

    Better enforceability of patents

    Faster generation of IP Rights (faster granting procedure)

    Providing information to markets

    Licensing markets requires timely information about patented inventions

    IP valuation tools and methods

    Educating and training

    Make inventors aware of available options to protect & license inventions

    Supporting patent management in the public sector

    Foster technology transfers from public research organisations

    Encourage & facilitate generation of IPR by public research institutions

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    Conclusions

    Need for improved data collection, diffusion & analysis

    Under what circumstances are patents used?

    When are patents licensed?

    When are patents used to block competitors?

    When are patents used to negotiate access to 3rd-pary technologies?

    How do licensing strategies affect perceived value of patents?

    How is the value of a patent related to other patents?

    What roles do patents play in technology markets?

    Which are the barriers for the development of technology markets?