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Geographic Isolation Scenarios. Purpose. Understand which basins affect which areas of the bay and by how much. Procedure. Set the Susquehanna at Tier 3 loads and all other watersheds at 2000 levels Record the relative change in attainment for each criterion and designated use area - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Geographic Isolation Scenarios
Purpose
• Understand which basins affect which areas of the bay and by how much
Procedure
• Set the Susquehanna at Tier 3 loads and all other watersheds at 2000 levels
• Record the relative change in attainment for each criterion and designated use area
• Repeat for each basin
Progress
• All basins completed
• Results are provisional
Other Considerations
• Final criteria curves not implemented
• Final model applications areas not decided
• Final designated use boundaries and clarity depths not decided
• Problem with the interpolator
Criteria Achievement - CB3MH
7
2620
0 1
57
9
10
10
39
10
85
6470
9789
33
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
DO open water DO Deep Water DO Deep Channel Chlorophyll spring Chlorophyllsummer
Clarity
Sample OutputCB3MH
BasinDO open
waterDO Deep
WaterDO Deep Channel
Total 4.65 12.98 17.54Susquehanna 3.30 9.29 12.79MD Western Shore 0.60 0.49 0.40MD Eastern Shore 0.26 1.19 1.09Patuxent 0.03 0.06 0.15Potomac 0.28 1.41 2.36Rappahannock 0.03 0.09 0.15York 0.03 0.06 0.13James 0.07 0.27 0.31VA Eastern Shore 0.04 0.12 0.16Tier3 4.49 17.12 20.18
% Attainment Increase
DO Deep Water CB3MH
Susquehanna72%
MD Western Shore4%
MD Eastern Shore9%
Patuxent0%
Potomac11%
Rappahannock1%
York0%
James2%
VA Eastern Shore1%
Graphical Output - absolute changeEffectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Main Bay
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Normalized OutputCB3MH
BasinDO open
waterDO Deep
WaterDO Deep Channel
lbs of => N N NSusquehanna 0.076 0.213 0.293MD Western Shore 0.114 0.093 0.076MD Eastern Shore 0.027 0.122 0.112Patuxent 0.029 0.065 0.156Potomac 0.012 0.059 0.098Rappahannock 0.011 0.031 0.049York 0.009 0.021 0.044James 0.006 0.020 0.023VA Eastern Shore 0.037 0.104 0.139Tier3 0.043 0.165 0.194
% Attainment Increase per million lbs
Graphical Output - NormalizedRelative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Main Bay
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Absolute Dissolved Oxygen Open Water
Absolute Dissolved Oxygen Deep Water
Legend<Null>
ESMD
James
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
SAME
Susquehanna
York
Absolute ClarityAbsolute Dissolved Oxygen Deep Channel
Legend<Null>
ESMD
James
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
SAME
Susquehanna
York
Absolute Spring Chlorophyll Absolute Summer Chlorophyll
Legend<Null>
ESMD
James
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
SAME
Susquehanna
York
Results
• Problems (red areas)
• Who has biggest impact
• Who has biggest relative effectiveness
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Channel - Main Bay
#N/A 0
20
39
4 #N/A #N/A #N/A#N/A 1
10
10
10
#N/A #N/A #N/A#N/A
99
70
51
86
#N/A #N/A #N/A0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Channel - Main Bay
0
5
10
15
20
25
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Channel - Main Bay
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Channel - Potomac
#N/A #N/A 9#N/A #N/A
9
#N/A #N/A
82
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Channel - Potomac
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Channel - Potomac
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Water - Main Bay
#N/A 0
26
38
9 3 0 #N/A#N/A 3
10
10
10
94 #N/A#N/A
97
64
52
8189
96
#N/A0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Main Bay
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Main Bay
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Water - Patuxent
#N/A #N/A
23
#N/A #N/A
10
#N/A #N/A
67
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Patuxent
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Patuxent
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Water - Potomac
#N/A #N/A
29
#N/A #N/A
10
#N/A #N/A
61
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Potomac
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Potomac
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Water - Rappahannock
#N/A #N/A
19
#N/A#N/A #N/A
10
#N/A#N/A #N/A
71
#N/A0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Rappahannock
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Rappahannock
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Water - York
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 0 0#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 6 5#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
94 95
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - York
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - York
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mil
lio
n l
bs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Deep Water - Eastern Shore
53
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
10
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
37
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Eastern Shore
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Deep Water - Eastern Shore
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - Main Bay
0 0 7 4 0 0 1 02 5
99
2 4 8 3
98 95
85 88
98 9691
97
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Main Bay
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Main Bay
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - Patuxent
0 0 42 3
9
98 97
87
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Patuxent
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Patuxent
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - Potomac
0 0 53 6
9
97 94
86
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Potomac
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Potomac
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
POTTF POTOH POTMHGre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - Rappahannock
0 0 0 01 1 6 5
99 9994 95
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Rappahannock
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Rappahannock
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - York
0 0 0 0 0 0 01 1 2 1 3 5 3
99 99 98 99 97 95 97
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - York
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - York
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - James
0 0 0 01 1 1 3
99 99 99 97
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - James
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - James
0
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
0.016
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - DO Open Water - Eastern Shore
2 0 0 0 0 08
4 6 7 6 1
9096 94 93 94
99
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Eastern Shore
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en
pe
rce
nta
ge
po
ints
ga
ine
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - DO Open Water - Eastern Shore
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - Main Bay
2 4 0 0 1 8 8 656
2 2 3
6 66
9489
98 98 96
86 86 89
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - Main Bay
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - Patuxent
5 3 1
44
4
91 93 94
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - Patuxent
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - Potomac
0 0 24 25
95 9893
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - Potomac
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - Rappahannock
2 0 1 04 2 3 2
9498 97 98
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - Rappahannock
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - York
0 0 0 0 1 3 22 2 2 2 34 5
98 98 98 98 9692 93
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - York
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - York
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - James
6 1 1
215
4 3
7
8996 97
73
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - James
-5
0
5
10
15
20
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - James
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Spring - Eastern Shore
0 1 0 0 0 02 3 2 3 2 2
98 96 98 97 98 98
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - Eastern Shore
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll spring - Eastern Shore
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - Main Bay
0 2 4 1 0 0 0 034
54 2 3 2 2
96 94 9195 98 97 98 98
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - Main Bay
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en
pe
rce
nta
ge
po
ints
ga
ine
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - Patuxent
37
19
5
8
8
5
55
73
90
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - Patuxent
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - Potomac
23
1 2
8
4 4
69
95 94
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - Potomac
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - Rappahannock
18
0 0 0
6
2 2 2
76
98 98 98
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - Rappahannock
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - York
0 0 0 0 2 0 02 2 2 23 3 2
98 97 98 9895 97 97
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - York
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - James
27
1 0 0
8
4 2 2
65
95 98 98
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - James
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Chlorophyll Summer - Eastern Shore
112
0 2 0 05
7
24
2 3
94
81
9894
98 97
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Chlorophyll summer - Eastern Shore
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - Main Bay
62
5259
43 41 4036 36
9
9
9
98 8
8 8
30
40
32
48 51 5155 56
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Main Bay
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Main Bay
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
CB1TF CB2OH CB3MH CB4MH CB5MH CB6PH CB7PH CB8PHGre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - Patuxent
2925 28
78
8
6367
63
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Patuxent
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Patuxent
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
PAXTF PAXOH PAXMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - Potomac
62
51
32
8
8
8
30
41
60
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Potomac
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Potomac
0
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
POTTF POTOH POTMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - Rappahannock
43
13
29
55
8
6
6
8
49
81
65
37
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Rappahannock
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Rappahannock
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
RPPTF RPPOH RPPMH PIAMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - York
38
17
27
44
1722 24
8
6
8
8
6
77
54
76
65
49
7771 68
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - York
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - York
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
PMKTF PMKOH MPNTF MPNOH YRKMH YRKPH MOBPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - James
50
33
22
12
8
7
8
6
42
61
71
82
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - James
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - James
-0.005
0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
0.03
0.035
0.04
0.045
0.05
JMSTF JMSOH JMSMH JMSPH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Criteria Achievement - Clarity - Eastern Shore
41
87
40 43
32
9
8
9
87
8
6
51
4
52 50
61
85
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Eastern Shore
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Relative Effectiveness of Reductions - Clarity - Eastern Shore
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
EASMH CHOOH CHOMH1 CHOMH2 TANMH POCMH
Gre
en p
erce
nta
ge
po
ints
gai
ned
per
mill
ion
lbs
red
uce
d
Susquehanna
MD Western Shore
Patuxent
Potomac
Rappahannock
York
James
MD Eastern Shore
VA Eastern Shore
Tier3 Average
Still to Come
• New interpolator runs.• Revise with new criteria bioreference
curves, designated use boundaries, and clarity depths.
• After tidal fresh allocations are made, do a similar analysis to inform the final allocation decisions.