Geog 102 Topic 9

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    GEOG 102 Population, Resources, and the Environment

    Professor: Dr. ean!Paul Rodri"ue

    Topic 9 Environmental Sustainability

    # $he %oncept of &ustaina'ilit(

    ) $o*ards a &ustaina'le +orld

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    The Concept of Sustainability

    1. Sustainable Development 2. Sustainable Society 3. General Indicators

    A

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    Sustainable Development

    The issue Brought or!ard in vie! o challenges at a scale never seen

    beore. Demographic challenge"

    # Strong population gro!th$ notably in the developing !orld. %esource challenge"

    # &n increasing usage o resources$ rene!able and non rene!able ali'e.( %a! materials.( )nergy.( *ood.

    )nvironmental challenge"# +igher levels o environmental impacts o human activities.

    The capacity o this !orld to sustain its population is

    compromised.

    1

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    Sustainable Development

    ,Sustainable- The process or the activity can be

    maintained !ithout ehaustion or

    collapse. Intra and Inter/generational issue.

    0apacity o a system to accommodatechanges"

    # %ates o use o rene!able resources

    should not eceed their rates or

    regeneration.# %ates o use o non/rene!able

    resources should not eceed at !hich

    rene!able substitutes are developed.# %ates o pollution emissions should not

    eceed the assimilative capacity o the

    environment.

    1

    Your generation

    The 340 generations of humanity

    Generations tocome

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    Sustainable Development

    ,Development- Development is about people$ not necessarily the economy. Development is a process. Improvement o the !elare o the population"

    # 0reate an enabling environment or people.# ten orgotten in the immediate concern !ith the accumulation o

    commodities and !ealth.

    *inding !ays to satisy and improve human needs.

    1

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    Sustainable Development

    0onditions" &ppropriate social$ political$ legal

    and economic conditions.

    utcomes Improvement o the physical and

    human capital. +uman capital"

    # Improved health or 'no!ledge.# Improved opportunities or people

    to use their acuired capabilities.

    # Improved !or' or leisureconditions.

    hysical capital"# Improved private inrastructures.# Improved collective

    inrastructures.

    Development

    -Health-Education

    -Quality of life

    -ights-E!uity

    -ule of la"

    #onditions

    -Employment-$urplus

    Human #apital %hysical capital

    &utcomes

    1

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    Sustainable Society

    Three ,)-s )conomics. )cology 4 )nvironment. )uity 5social6.

    opulation 7essen population gro!th and stabili8e it 5preerably6. Stop subsidi8ing reproduction. &ccess to contraception and amily planning 5reedom o choice6.

    Basic material needs satisied 5social obligation96. olitical and gender euity. &ccess to inormation and education.

    2

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    Sustainable Society

    )cology %estore the biological base 5soils$ orests$ atmosphere and

    hydrosphere6. &griculture supporting ecosystems 5diversity and organic

    recycling6. )nergy

    :inimi8e and abolish ossil uels 5mar'et orces are li'ely to do

    so6.

    Shit to natural gas as an interim measure. :ove to rene!able energy sources 5hydrogen$ solar$ !ind$

    geothermal$ biomass and hydroelectric6.

    2

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    Sustainable Society

    )conomy romotion o eiciency and recycling. Source materials mainly recycled materials. %educe !astes in production$ pac'aging and distribution.

    )conomy li'e an ecosystem. Demateriali8ation o the economy.

    Spatial orms %ational use o space 5mar'et orces6.

    Dense and compact cities. :ultiamily d!ellings. &lternative transportation modes"

    # 7eaning on mass transit$ cycling and !al'ing.

    2

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    Energy and Density280

    40

    20

    60

    20 60 30040 80 100

    Los Angeles

    Sydney

    LondonSingapore

    United States

    Australia and Canada

    EuropeAsia

    Hong Kong

    Chicago

    Houston

    PhoenixDetroitDenver

    Adelaide

    Melbourne

    Toronto

    Ne !or"

    #ienna

    Paris

    $erlin To"yo

    Ener"(consu

    mptionpercapita-1,00

    0millionsof.oules/

    Population densit( -people per hectare/

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    Sustainable Society

    Social orms :aterial suiciency and rugality"

    # %eplacing consumerism and materialism 5unli'ely6.# 7iving according to one;s means.

    Sel/!orth and social status"#

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    Global Sustainability

    Economic Development

    #Sustain economic gro!th

    #:aimi8e proit#)pand mar'ets#)ternali8e costs

    Ecolog

    ical

    Dev

    elop

    men

    t

    #%espect carrying capacity#0onserve and recycle

    resources#%educe !aste

    $

    ocialDevelopm

    ent#Satisy needs#Increase sel/reliance

    Socialism #onservationism

    Ecologism

    2

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    Global Sustainability

    ualit( of ife

    &ustaina'le

    level

    ive

    )illion%onsumes 203

    Resource 4 Ener"(

    consumption

    %arr(in" capacit(

    2

    One

    )illion%onsumes 503

    6nsustaina'le

    level

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    General Indicators

    Glo'al $ustaina'ility

    3

    )ater* materials and "aste Energy and air !uality

    +iva'ility

    Transportation+and* green spaces

    and 'iodiversity

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    General Indicators: hat the !ar"et Can Do

    Ener"( and air7ualit(

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    To#ards a Sustainable orld$

    1. 0onventional =orlds 2. Barbari8ation 3. Great Transitions

    B

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    The %utures of &umanity1

    Reference

    )alanced "ro*th

    ortress +orld

    8e* &ustaina'ilit( Paradi"m

    Eco!communalism

    2000

    9 5 10 12

    ;0

    100

    1;0

    200

    2;0

    Gross +orld Product-trillion

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    Conventional orlds

    0onventional Developmentscenario Situation let as it is. Solution led to mar'et mechanisms. 7ittle or no collective eorts.

    7imited success o birth controlpolicies.

    Generation o !ealth$ but unair

    distribution.

    0onseuences Gro!th o ineualities and

    environmental degradation. otential instability and environmental

    collapse.

    1

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    Conventional orlds

    Balanced Gro!th 7egislation and policy intervention"

    # Strengthen management systems.# )nsure !idespread use o better

    technology.

    rovide greater social euity andenvironment protection.

    Same patterns o production and

    consumption. or global

    environmental issues. Socialism.

    1

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    'arbari(ation

    Brea'do!n

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    )*+* 'rea"do#n Scenario

    ./00 000 .00

    Pollution

    >ndustrial outputPopulation

    ife e?pectanc(

    8atural resources

    Oil production

    030

    ood

    2

    ,rea1do"n

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    'arbari(ation

    *ortress =orld &uthoritarian ,solution-. 0onlicts bet!een the rich and the poor"

    # & minority o the elite in privileged

    enclaves.

    # rotect their !ay o lie by orcibly imposinglimits and social controls on the

    impoverished ma>ority.# Sei8ing control o critical natural resources

    or eclusive use.# %estricting access to inormation and

    technology. 0onseuences

    ?nchec'ed demographic gro!th. Social stratiication. Instability o a ,*ortress- system may push

    the !orld into a ,Brea'do!n- situation.

    2

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    3 Great Transitions

    )co/communalism Deep green utopian vision. Strong collective eorts to!ards

    small/scale. )mphasis"

    # Bio/regionalism.# 7ocalism and ace/to/ace

    democracy.# Small technology and economic

    autar'y.

    0onseuences opulation and economic scales

    diminish. )nvironmental conditions improve

    dramatically. Socialism4communism9

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    Great Transitions

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    Conclusion

    =hich *uture9 In light o the current situation around the !orld$ !hich scenario

    is the most li'ely9 =hat are the alternatives9

    opulation$ resources and the environment The absolute bottom line. =ill shape the ate o humanity in the 21stcentury. eriod o strong demographic gro!th 5demographic transition6.

    opulation policy and amily planning. :igration and urbani8ation. 0onsumption o resources 5commodities and energy6. The environmental challenge.