Upload
clemence-woods
View
222
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
GENII Version 2GENII Version 2General Purpose EnvironmentalGeneral Purpose Environmental
Radiation SoftwareRadiation Software
GENII Version 2GENII Version 2General Purpose EnvironmentalGeneral Purpose Environmental
Radiation SoftwareRadiation Software
PNNL: Bruce Napier, Dennis Strenge, Van Ramsdell, Christian Fosmire, Mitch Pelton
For EPA Office of Radiation and Indoor Air:
Chris Nelson, Dale Hoffmeyer, Sanjib Chaki, Tony Wolbarst, Kathryn Snead
Support from ORNL: Keith Eckerman
2
GENIIGENIIGENIIGENII
A set of computer programs for estimation of radionuclide concentrations in the environment and dose/risk to humans from:Acute or chronic exposures toReleases to surface water or atmosphere,
orInitial contamination conditions
3
GENII V.2 in FRAMESGENII V.2 in FRAMESGENII V.2 in FRAMESGENII V.2 in FRAMES
GENII development history
Available Models
Atmospheric transport
Surface water transport
Waste/soil redistribution
Terrestrial uptake
Human Exposure
4
GENII V.2 in FRAMES, ContinuedGENII V.2 in FRAMES, ContinuedGENII V.2 in FRAMES, ContinuedGENII V.2 in FRAMES, Continued
Dose/Risk
Uncertainty/Sensitivity
Capabilities and limitations
Walk-through some examples
5
GENII DevelopmentGENII DevelopmentGENII DevelopmentGENII Development
1988 - Version 1. Released ICRP-26/30/48 dosimetry
1990 - Version 1.485 stabilized
1992 - GENII-S stochastic version
2004 - GENII Version 2 ICRP-72 age-dependent dosimetryEPA HEAST slope factorsFederal Guidance Report 13 risk factors
2006/7 – V&V
6
Exposure ScenariosExposure ScenariosExposure ScenariosExposure Scenarios
“What is the assessment question?”
- F.O. Hoffman
A scenario is a conceptual model that describes patterns of human activity, events, and processes that result in radiation exposure to people.
7
Types of ScenariosTypes of ScenariosTypes of ScenariosTypes of Scenarios
Far-Field scenariosAtmospheric transport (Acute or chronic)Surface water transport (Acute or chronic)
Near-Field scenariosSpillsBuried waste(Groundwater use - GW transport modeling is
NOT an explicit part of GENII)
8
GENII V.2 Time LineGENII V.2 Time LineGENII V.2 Time LineGENII V.2 Time Line
Dose Period
Release Period Residual Period
Optional inventorydecay/biotic transport
period
Releaseor
disposal
Intake/exposurebegins
Releasestops
Intake/exposureends
9
Radionuclides of InterestRadionuclides of InterestRadionuclides of InterestRadionuclides of Interest
All those with half-lives greater than 10 minutes*
All decay progeny of theseSome are included “implicitly”
*(Except radon progeny…)
10
Frames sources
Contaminants
Atmospheric transport
Surface water transport
Environmental accumulation
Individual uptake
Dose & risk
11
GENII V.2 AtmosphericGENII V.2 AtmosphericTransport OptionsTransport Options
GENII V.2 AtmosphericGENII V.2 AtmosphericTransport OptionsTransport Options
Chronic Gaussian Plume
Chronic Lagrangian Puff
Acute Gaussian Plume
Acute Lagrangian Puff
Input of pre-calculated dispersion parameters (X/Q and D/Q for either acute or chronic, gases and particles)
12
GENII V.2 Chronic Plume ModelGENII V.2 Chronic Plume ModelGENII V.2 Chronic Plume ModelGENII V.2 Chronic Plume Model
Straight-line sector-averaged gaussianRuns on hourly observations or joint-frequency dataMultiple independent sources
Ground level or elevated releasesPoint or area sourcesFinite flow correction
Sectors by 16 compass points or 10 degreesRadial output grid
13
GENII V.2 Chronic Puff ModelGENII V.2 Chronic Puff ModelGENII V.2 Chronic Puff ModelGENII V.2 Chronic Puff Model
Lagrangian puff releases based on 1 observation pointHourly time step (variable number of puffs/hour)
using hourly observations or quasi-hourly built from joint-frequency data
Square grid
Multiple sourcesPoint or area sourcesGround level or elevated releases
14
GENII V.2 Acute Plume ModelGENII V.2 Acute Plume ModelGENII V.2 Acute Plume ModelGENII V.2 Acute Plume Model
Straight-line centerline gaussian for individualsFor short (~2 hour releases)Single sourceGround-level or elevated releases
Radial gridRadial sectors by 16 compass points or 10 degrees
15
GENII V.2 Acute Puff ModelGENII V.2 Acute Puff ModelGENII V.2 Acute Puff ModelGENII V.2 Acute Puff Model
Lagrangian puff based on 1 observation pointHourly time step using hourly observations or quasi-hourly
inputs derived from joint-frequency dataSingle sourceSquare gridGround-level or elevated releases
16
Parameterizations for Diffusion CoefficientsParameterizations for Diffusion CoefficientsParameterizations for Diffusion CoefficientsParameterizations for Diffusion Coefficients
Briggs open country
Briggs urban conditions
Pasquill-Gifford (ISC-3)
Pasquill-Gifford (NRC: PAVAN, MESORAD, XOQDOQ, etc.)
17
Parameterizations AvailableParameterizations Availablein All Air Modelsin All Air Models
Parameterizations AvailableParameterizations Availablein All Air Modelsin All Air Models
Building wake / low-speed meander
Buoyancy-induced diffusion
Plume rise/downwash correctionsMomentumBuoyancy
Diabatic wind profile
18
GENII V.2 AtmosphericGENII V.2 AtmosphericDeposition ModelsDeposition Models
GENII V.2 AtmosphericGENII V.2 AtmosphericDeposition ModelsDeposition Models
All models have plume depletion / mass balance
Dry deposition“Resistance model”Includes gravitational settling of larger particles
Wet depositionWashout dependent on precipitation rateRain and snow considered
19
GENII V.2 Air Submersion Dose RatesGENII V.2 Air Submersion Dose RatesGENII V.2 Air Submersion Dose RatesGENII V.2 Air Submersion Dose Rates
Infinite plumeBased on Federal Guidance Report 13 models
Finite plumeClose to release - array of line sourcesIntermediate distances - stacked series of infinite planesLong distances - defaults to infinite plume
20
Sources of Data for Atmospheric ModelsSources of Data for Atmospheric ModelsSources of Data for Atmospheric ModelsSources of Data for Atmospheric Models
Hourly data CD-144 format (National Climatic Data Center) SAMSON format (NCDC)
1st order stations 1961-1990 on 3 CDs, also a later one
Precipitation in TD-3240 format (NCDC) (For sites in the US, these are now available online from either NCDC
or EPA/CEAM)
Joint frequency data STAR (ISC-3) [provided for many US sites] GENII V.1.485
21
GENII V.2 Surface Water Transport ModelsGENII V.2 Surface Water Transport ModelsGENII V.2 Surface Water Transport ModelsGENII V.2 Surface Water Transport Models
Simple models derived from NRC’s LADTAP codeRivers - analog to atmospheric gaussian plume
Constant depth, width, velocityStraight channelContinuous discharge
River - dilution volume (well mixed)Acute river (time integral)Lake
quasi-steady state wind-driven currents
22
GENII V.2 Near-Field Soil ModelGENII V.2 Near-Field Soil ModelGENII V.2 Near-Field Soil ModelGENII V.2 Near-Field Soil Model
+--------+ +-¦ Plants ¦ +--------------------------+ ¦ +--------+ ¦ Surface Soil Zone +-¦ +--------+ ¦ (compartment 3) ¦ ¦ ¦ Harvest¦ +--------------------------+ ¦ ¦ Loss ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ +--------+ ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ +--------+ ¦ ¦ +-----¦Leaching¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ +--------+ ¦ ¦ ¦ Biotic Human ¦ Transport Intrusion ¦ ¦ ¦ ¦ +--------------------------+ ¦ ¦ Subsurface Soil Zone +-+ ¦ (compartment 2) ¦ +--------------------------+ ¦ Waste Package Degradation ¦ +--------------------------+ ¦ Buried Waste/Package ¦ ¦ (compartment 1) ¦ +--------------------------+
23
GENII V.2 Near-Field Biotic TransportGENII V.2 Near-Field Biotic TransportGENII V.2 Near-Field Biotic TransportGENII V.2 Near-Field Biotic Transport
Plant roots - root fraction applied to CR
Burrowing animals - volume of soil moved versus depth
Applied to arid, humid, or agricultural conditions
24
GENII V.2 Near-Field Human IntrusionGENII V.2 Near-Field Human IntrusionGENII V.2 Near-Field Human IntrusionGENII V.2 Near-Field Human Intrusion
Buried waste and/or deep soil may be manually redistributed at the start of exposure to the surface soil.
Process is a step function manual redistribution factor (m3/m2)
25
GENII V.2 Exposure PathwaysGENII V.2 Exposure PathwaysGENII V.2 Exposure PathwaysGENII V.2 Exposure PathwaysExternalTransported airSoilSwimmingShoreline
InhalationTransported airResuspended soilVolatilized indoor air pollutants from water
26
GENII V.2 Exposure Pathways, ContinuedGENII V.2 Exposure Pathways, ContinuedGENII V.2 Exposure Pathways, ContinuedGENII V.2 Exposure Pathways, Continued
IngestionLeafy vegetables • FishOther vegetables • CrustaceansFruit • MolluscsGrain • Water plantsMeat • Drinking waterMilk • Shower waterPoultry • Swimming waterEggs • Soil
27
GENII V.2 Crop ContaminationGENII V.2 Crop ContaminationGENII V.2 Crop ContaminationGENII V.2 Crop Contamination
Plant = Soil * CR + intercepted deposition
Concentration ratios (CR) updated/revisedInterception function of crop biomass
Wet interceptionDry interception
28
GENII V.2 Animal Product ContaminationGENII V.2 Animal Product ContaminationGENII V.2 Animal Product ContaminationGENII V.2 Animal Product Contamination
Animal Product = TF (Crop * Ingestion rate)
Transfer factors revised / updated
29
GENII V.2 Aquatic Biota ContaminationGENII V.2 Aquatic Biota ContaminationGENII V.2 Aquatic Biota ContaminationGENII V.2 Aquatic Biota Contamination
Fish = Water concentration * BF
Bioaccumulation factors (BF) revised / updated
30
GENII V.2 Tritium Specific Activity ModelGENII V.2 Tritium Specific Activity ModelGENII V.2 Tritium Specific Activity ModelGENII V.2 Tritium Specific Activity Model
Environmental media assumed to have same specific activity (Bq/kg water) as contaminating medium (water or air)
Fractional content of both water and non-water portions of the food product is used
In acute cases, rapid equilibration / de-equilibration is assumed (~8 hours)
Based on observations at Chalk River
Includes organically-bound tritium as a “progeny”
31
GENII V.2 Carbon-14 Specific Activity ModelGENII V.2 Carbon-14 Specific Activity ModelGENII V.2 Carbon-14 Specific Activity ModelGENII V.2 Carbon-14 Specific Activity Model
For atmospheric sources, model is parallel to that for tritium
For water sources, equilibration is assumed with soil carbon atom ratios
For acute cases, uptake via photosynthesis is slow, long de-equilibration
32
GENII V.2 Human ExposureGENII V.2 Human ExposureGENII V.2 Human ExposureGENII V.2 Human Exposure
Up to 6 age groups allowed, following ICRP-56,67,69
3 months 0-1 year1 year 1-2 year5 year 2-7 year
10 year 8-12 year15 year 13-17 year
20 + year 17- 110 year
33
GENII V.2 Acute Deposition Food PathwaysGENII V.2 Acute Deposition Food PathwaysGENII V.2 Acute Deposition Food PathwaysGENII V.2 Acute Deposition Food Pathways
GENII V.1.485 presented results for 4 seasons (Winter/spring/summer/autumn)
GENII V.2 now also includes time-dependent model based on the V.1.485 approach – keys off of time of year from meteorological calculationsThis adds more variability to projected answers, and is
more reasonable for retrospective answers
34
External Exposure - DosesExternal Exposure - DosesExternal Exposure - DosesExternal Exposure - Doses
Dose rate conversion factors from Federal Guidance Report 12, provided by Keith Eckerman, ORNLAir SubmersionWater ImmersionSoil PlaneSoil Volume
35
Internal Exposure - DosesInternal Exposure - DosesInternal Exposure - DosesInternal Exposure - Doses
Effective dose equivalent: ICRP-30Adult only
Effective dose: ICRP-726 age groups24 organs/tissuesInhalation classes F, M, S
36
Risk Calculations - Slope FactorsRisk Calculations - Slope FactorsRisk Calculations - Slope FactorsRisk Calculations - Slope Factors
EPA Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables (Currently the same as FGR 13)Ingestion (risk/pCi ingested)Inhalation (risk/pCi inhaled)Ground plane external (risk/year per pCI/g)
For population exposure = adults
37
Risk Calculations - Dose-to-Risk Risk Calculations - Dose-to-Risk ConversionsConversions
Risk Calculations - Dose-to-Risk Risk Calculations - Dose-to-Risk ConversionsConversions
ICRP provides estimates of cancer incidence and mortality in relation to effective doseICRP-30 effective doseICRP-72 organ dose
The new US BEIR VII report supports these values with minor revision
Risk = Dose (Sv) * Conversion (risk/Sv)
38
Risk Calculations - FGR 13Risk Calculations - FGR 13Risk Calculations - FGR 13Risk Calculations - FGR 13
Federal Guidance Report 13 provides coefficients for 15 cancer sitesInhalation (risk/Bq)
Inhalation classes F, M, S
Ingestion (risk/Bq)Accounts for different consumption patterns with age
- Drinking water- Food crops
39
GENII V.2 Uncertainty AnalysisGENII V.2 Uncertainty AnalysisGENII V.2 Uncertainty AnalysisGENII V.2 Uncertainty Analysis
Parameter uncertainty and sensitivity may be addressed using the SUM3 processor in FRAMES.
All non-control parameters are allowed to be varied, using description files to define ‘available’ parameters
Acute atmospheric releases are an important subset. For these, SUM3 is used to vary start times in the plume or puff models, allowing construction of the location or site cumulative dose/risk distribution function.
40
Use of SUMUse of SUM33 to get CDF of Dose to get CDF of DoseUse of SUMUse of SUM33 to get CDF of Dose to get CDF of Dose