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Genetic Epidemiology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease as a Probe for Disease Biology Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental & Occupational Health Dept of Environmental & Occupational Health Robert Stempel College of Public Health and Social Work Robert Stempel College of Public Health and Social Work College of Medicine, FIU April 15, 2011

Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

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Page 1: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Genetic Epidemiology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biologyas a Probe for Disease Biology

Genetic Epidemiology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biologyas a Probe for Disease Biology

Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhDMehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD

Dept of Environmental & Occupational HealthDept of Environmental & Occupational HealthRobert Stempel College of Public Health and Social WorkRobert Stempel College of Public Health and Social Work

Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhDMehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD

Dept of Environmental & Occupational HealthDept of Environmental & Occupational HealthRobert Stempel College of Public Health and Social WorkRobert Stempel College of Public Health and Social Work

College of Medicine, FIUApril 15, 2011

Page 2: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

OUTLINEOUTLINE

General introduction to epidemiology, genetic epidemiology and genetic association studies

Success stories leading to ?

Real power of genetic association studies

Conclusions

OUTLINEOUTLINE

General introduction to epidemiology, genetic epidemiology and genetic association studies

Success stories leading to ?

Real power of genetic association studies

Conclusions

Page 3: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

PLoS Med. 2005 Aug;2(8):e124.

Page 4: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

WSJ. 2004Sep14.

Page 5: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Case-control genetic association studies are more common than cohort studies or

linkage studies

Why?Why?

Page 6: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

- They are cheaper- They are easier- They are quick

- They are easier to analyze

Of course, genetic association studies are performed to find the causal genetic

polymorphisms and to learn more about disease biology.

Page 7: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

- They are cheaper- They are easier- They are quick

- They are easier to analyze

However, these advantages have been exploited by many in need of a quick

publication!

Page 8: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Hierarchy of Epidemiologic Study DesignHierarchy of Epidemiologic Study Design

Tower & Spector, 2007 (www)

Page 9: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

When used for scientific enquiries, however, genetic association studies yield

very informative results

Following is a brief history of genetic epidemiology and examples of good use of

genetic association studies

Page 10: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Handbook of Statistical Genetics(John Wiley & Sons)Fig.28-1 (www)

GENETIC EPIDEMIOLOGIC RESEARCH METHODS

Page 11: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

ROCHE Genetic Education (www)

Odds Ratio: 3.695% CI = 1.3 to 10.4

Page 12: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Martin, 2000 (www)

Mapping Disease Susceptibility Genes by Association Studies

Plot of minus log of P value for case-control test for allelic association with AD, for SNPs immediately surrounding APOE (<100 kb)

Page 13: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

(www)

Mapping Disease Susceptibility Genes by Association Studies

Page 16: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

The most robust association in GWAS to date

rs380390

Page 17: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

The most robust association in GWAS to date

rs380390 >>> Y402HOR = 7.4 (r)

96 cases & 50 controls

• Chromosomal region 1q31 where CFH maps had been identified as a

candidate region in six linkage studies

• Activated C5b-9 complex has been detected in patients with AMD

• Complement factor H levels increase with age and in smokers; two

risk factors for AMD

• Complement factor H is detectable in the eye

Page 18: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

Page 19: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

Page 20: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

Page 21: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

Page 22: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

GWAS Success Stories

Page 23: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

(www)

GWAS Success Stories ??

Page 24: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

(www)

Page 25: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

(www)

It is therefore unlikely that as we perform them now even GWAS do not have sufficient power to decode

the substantial portion of genetic component in disease susceptibility.

Page 26: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Genetic Association Studies are Particularly Powerful:

- To test whether reverse causation is involved (iron deficiency in GI tract cancers; low cholesterol in cancer)

- To unravel effect modification (by gender or an environmental factor)

Genetic association results are cumulative results determined by the whole body and environment unlike results of in vitro experiments on a single cell under extremely controlled

environments

Page 27: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

In a case-control study:

• Cause and effect relationship is not clear • The observed association may be caused by a confounder • It may be due to chance • Reverse causation cannot be ruled out

Mendelian randomization may be relied on when the confounder is suspected but not known

Randomization is naturally achieved in genetic association studies

Page 28: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Cause-and-Effect Relationship is Easier to Assess Cause-and-Effect Relationship is Easier to Assess in Genetic Association Studies in Genetic Association Studies

Grimes & Schulz, 2002 (www) (PDF)

Page 29: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

(www)

Effect Modification by an Environmental Factor

Page 30: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

wtwt

wtwt

variantvariant

variantvariant

protectionprotection

riskrisk

High cancer riskHigh cancer risk

low iron levelslow iron levels

High cancer riskHigh cancer risk

high iron levelshigh iron levels

Lo

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ron

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ow

iro

n

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igh

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Iron Regulatory Gene Variants and Modification of Cancer Risk

Page 31: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Mendelian Randomization

Page 32: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

Effect Modification by Gender Effect Modification by Gender

Despite that males and females are Despite that males and females are almost different species, the gender almost different species, the gender

effect is almost always disregarded in the effect is almost always disregarded in the analysis of biomedical research resultsanalysis of biomedical research results

Page 33: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

• IBD3 maps to chromosome 6p in linkage studies and known as the HLA-linked IBD susceptibility locus

Inflammatory Bowel Disease Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Page 34: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 35: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 36: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 37: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 38: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

HLA-DRB4 Association in Childhood ALL

Homozygosity for HLA-DRB4 family is associated with susceptibility to childhood ALL

in boys only (P < 0.0001, OR = 6.1, 95% CI = 2.9 to 12.6 )

Controls are an unselected group of local newborns (201 boys & 214 girls)

* Case-only analysis P = 0.002 (OR = 5.6; 95% CI = 1.8 to 17.6)

%%

Boys, n=64

*

Girls, n=53

*

Effect Modification by Gender Effect Modification by Gender

Page 39: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

HMOX1 5’ flanking regionHMOX1 5’ flanking region

rs5755709 G>A

-10kb -416

rs2071746 A>TSTR

P (sex) = 0.015P (sex; case-only) = 0.01

Effect Modification by Gender Effect Modification by Gender

Page 40: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

NRAMP2 rs422982 shows sex-specific associations in childhood leukemiaNRAMP2 rs422982 shows sex-specific associations in childhood leukemia

Effect Modification by Gender Effect Modification by Gender

Page 41: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 42: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 43: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental
Page 44: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

Observational epidemiologic studies are useful to explore disease biology and generate hypotheses

when used appropriately

Identification of the whole of genetic component of disease susceptibility requires more than DNA

sequence analysis

Dorak Lab is open for business!

CONCLUSIONSCONCLUSIONS

Observational epidemiologic studies are useful to explore disease biology and generate hypotheses

when used appropriately

Identification of the whole of genetic component of disease susceptibility requires more than DNA

sequence analysis

Dorak Lab is open for business!

Page 45: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental

ACKNOWLEDGMENTSACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Anyone who has ever taught me anything

My current teamMalar, Amy and Sandeep

Florida International UniversityRSCPHSW

EOH

ACKNOWLEDGMENTSACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Anyone who has ever taught me anything

My current teamMalar, Amy and Sandeep

Florida International UniversityRSCPHSW

EOH

Page 46: Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Genetic Epidemiology as a Probe for Disease Biology Mehmet Tevfik DORAK, MD PhD Dept of Environmental