GENERAL AVIATION IN U.S. EUROPE• Expanded to include rotorcraft & MRO in 2011 ... GLOBAL CIVIL AIRCRAFT POPULATION (≈ 335,000 AIRCRAFT) (Jetnet LLC, Flight Global, IAOPA World

GENERAL AVIATION IN U.S. & EUROPEAEROSPACE DESIGN WORKSHOP

BEIJING, CHINA30.NOV.2016

GENERAL AVIATIONGreg BowlesVice President, Global Innovation & Policy, GAMAActive Instrument Rated Pilot (≈1000 hrs)Aerospace Engineer

DEFINITION: General Aviation (GA) ‐ All aviation EXCEPT scheduled commercial

operations & military operations.

GENERAL AVIATION MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION (GAMA)

• Founded in 1970 to “foster and advance the general welfare, safety, interests and activities of general aviation.”

• Expanded to worldwide membership in 2001

• Expanded to include rotorcraft & MRO in 2011

• Created Associate Membership for Hybrid & Electric Propulsion in October 2015

• Office Locations:

• Washington, DC , USA (headquarters)

• Brussels, Belgium

• Logo is the Greek symbol for the letter “GAMMA”

First Chinese GAMA Member: AVIC General

MANNED OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPE

OPERATIONS IN US & EUROPEDay 1: Seattle,

WA USA


WA USA


WA USA

Day 1: San Jose, CA USA


WA USA


Day 2: Cheyenne, WY USA


WA USA




WA USA



Day 3: Washington, DC USA

GLOBAL CIVIL AIRCRAFT POPULATION(≈ 335,000 AIRCRAFT)

(Jetnet LLC, Flight Global, IAOPA World Assembly)

Commercial Airliners ≈ 20,000

Rotorcraft ≈ 20,500

Business Jets ≈ 17,000

Turboprops ≈ 12,500

Mostly Certified Piston Aeroplanes but also Gliders, Lighter Than Air, Experimental, Etc.

≈ 265,000

GLOBAL CIVIL AIRCRAFT POPULATION(≈ 335,000 AIRCRAFT)

(Jetnet LLC, Flight Global, IAOPA World Assembly)

General Aviation ≈ 315,000 Aircraft

GLOBAL GA DISTRIBUTION

North America = 60%

South America = 5%

Africa = 3%

Europe = 26%Asia = 2%

Oceana = 4%


Rotorcraft = 385

Turbojet ≈ 600

Twin Piston = 96

Turboprop = 151

China (as of 2013)

Single Piston = 794


Rotorcraft = 9,966

Turbojet = 12,362

Twin Piston = 13,146

Turboprop = 9,777

USA (as of 2015)

Single Piston = 126,036

U.S. GA OPERATIONS

Fuel – 1,617,770,300 Gal.

Paved Airports – 5,194

Hours Flown – 23,271,000

USA (2015)

Pilots – 590,038

AIRPORTS IN THE USA

2015 GA TC AEROPLANE PRODUCTION

Maximum Takeoff Weight (Thousand Kg)

Price

(USD

)

101 5 50 100

Piston AeroplaneTurboprop

Turbofan

$100M

$10M

$1M

$100K

$10K

$50K

$500K

$5M

$50M

Source: GAMA Annual Industry Review

FAA Part 23

‐ Piston Aeroplanes

Small Aeroplanes Manufactured Annually20,00018,00016,00014,00012,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,000

0

1947

-19

50 -

1955

-

1960

-

1965

-

1970

-

1975

-

1980

-

1985

-

1990

-

1995

-

2000

-

2005

-

2010

-

GAMA Statistical Data

Average Aeroplane = 48 Years Old

‐ Turboprop Aeroplanes ‐ Turbofan Aeroplanes

U.S. GA TOWER OPERATIONS (FAA & CONTRACT ITINERANT)

1300015000170001900021000230002500027000

Actual Operations 2000 Forecast

GA Ope

ratio

ns (Tho

usands)


1300015000170001900021000230002500027000

Actual Operations 2000 Forecast 2004 Forecast

GA Ope

ratio

ns (Tho

usands)


1300015000170001900021000230002500027000

Actual Operations 2000 Forecast 2004 Forecast 2006 Forecast

GA Ope

ratio

ns (Tho

usands)


1300015000170001900021000230002500027000


GA Ope

ratio

ns (Tho

usands)


1300015000170001900021000230002500027000


2007 Forecast 2008 Forecast 2009 Forecast 2010 Forecast

2011 Forecast 2012 Forecast 2014 Forecast 2015 Forecast

GA Ope

ratio

ns (Tho

usands)

‐

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

16‐19

20‐24

25‐29

30‐34

35‐39

40‐44

45‐49

50‐54

55‐59

60‐64

65‐69

70‐74

75‐79

80+

U.S. FAA Active Private Pilots v. Age

19652015196619671968201420132012201120102009200820001995199019851980

Type Design Introductions

19400

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010Year

4-Seat Entry-Level Aeroplanes

Aircraft Bluebook Price Digest Fall 2009 Vol. 08‐03

35

70

105

140

175

Base

Reta

il Pric

e ($ 1

,000)

1984

Part 2

3 Re

gulatory

Review

Implem

ented

Between 1994 and 1996, approximately 800 rule changes to part 23 were enacted.… they

made it more costly to certify a simple airplane. Essentially the regulatory scope of part 23 has been shifted to more directly address the complex airplanes to the

detriment of simple airplanes.FAA Part 23 – Small Airplane Certification Process Study, July 2009

FUTURE GROWTH IN GA

• Safety – What are the key safety issues in GA?

• Time to Market & Cost (New Part/CS‐23)

• Innovation – How can GA be more attractive?

FUNDAMENTAL SHIFTS IN SOCIETY

FUNDAMENTAL SHIFTS IN SOCIETY

DRIVERLESS CAR MARKET WATCH

Ford CEO expects fully autonomous cars by

2020

Volkswagen expects first self driving cars on the market by

2019

GM: Autononomous cars could be deployed by 2020 or sooner

BMW to launch autonomous iNext

in 2021

First autonomous Toyota to be

available in 2020

Elon Musk now expects first fully autonomous Tesla by 2018,

approved by 2021

Next generation Audi A8 capable of fully autonomous driving in

2017

Driverless cars coming to showrooms by 2020 says

Nissan’s CEO

EARLY DRONE OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS

WHAT WE WILL DISCUSS

• GA Safety• Airplane Design Assurance• Aircraft Design Standards• New Innovation & Safety• The Future for General Aviation in China

CONTACT INFORMATIONGregory J. Bowles ([email protected])Vice President, GAMA Global Innovation & PolicyChairman, ASTM F44, General Aviation Aircraft Committee

General Aviation Manufacturers Association1400 K St. NW Ste. 801Washington, DC 20005USA+1.202.393.1500www.GAMA.aero

ASTM International100 Barr Harbor Drive

PO Box C700West Conshohocken, PA 19428‐2959

USA+1.610.832.9585www.ASTM.org

Documents

GENERAL AVIATION IN U.S. EUROPE• Expanded to include rotorcraft & MRO in 2011 ... GLOBAL CIVIL AIRCRAFT POPULATION (≈ 335,000 AIRCRAFT) (Jetnet LLC, Flight Global, IAOPA World